Algeria Hybrid Energy System Analysis
Algeria Hybrid Energy System Analysis
art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: This paper aims to study the techno-economical feasibility of a photovoltaic–diesel–battery hybrid
Received 7 May 2014 energy system (HES) destined to electrify a research unit (UDES) located in the north of Algeria. For this
Received in revised form aim several scenarios have been studied for a photovoltaic penetration varying from 0% to 100%
13 November 2014
including a stand-alone diesel system and a stand-alone photovoltaic system. For each scenario, the
Accepted 25 November 2014
power system has been designed and optimized to get a maximum output power at a low cost. The
Available online 18 December 2014
performance of these systems has been analysed based on some determinant criteria such as net present
Keywords: cost, the cost of energy, energy excess, load satisfaction, fuel consumption savings, maintenance and
Photovoltaic operation costs of diesel generators, CO2 and pollutants saving rates. The impact of the storage battery
Diesel generator
bank size on the total cost of the power system has also been studied; it has been found that this
Hybrid energy system
parameter is a decisive factor that determines the optimum share of the solar resource in the hybrid
Techno-economic analysis
Sensitivity analysis system. Results showed that 25% PV–diesel–battery HES is the optimal configuration, which presents the
Carbon emissions best compromise between PV penetration efficiency, energy cost and the system stability. A sensitivity
analysis has been performed on the optimal HES in order to study the effect of some parameters'
variation (global solar radiation, diesel price, real interest rate and load consumption) on its total cost,
the cost of energy, photovoltaic resource penetration and fuel intake.
& 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Contents
1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1135
2. Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1136
3. Hybrid energy system description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
3.1. Photovoltaic modules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
3.2. Battery bank. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
3.3. Power converter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
3.4. Diesel generators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
4. HOMER software . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
4.1. Description. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1138
4.2. Economic assessment criteria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
4.2.1. Net present cost. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
4.2.2. Total annualized cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
4.2.3. Capital recovery factor. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
4.2.4. Annual real interest rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
4.2.5. Levelized cost of energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
5. Homer input parameters description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
5.1. Load profile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139
n
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: [email protected] (A. Mellit).
1
Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Strada Costiera, 11-34151 Trieste, Italy.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.11.103
1364-0321/& 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150 1135
the architecture and the choice of the operating strategy that PV/wind/diesel system with battery storage for rural electrification
should effectively manage different sources of energy [27]. A HES at the lowest cost; the study has been performed for six sites of
should meet the load requirements with minimum investments Algeria. A discrete chaotic harmony search-based simulated
avoiding over-sized components. For this aim, the load profile annealing efficient algorithm has been developed in Ref. [39] for
should be accurately defined and the availability of the REs the aim of finding the optimum design of a PV/wind HES. Rehman
potential for the implantation site should be precisely estimated et al [40] have studied the feasibility of a PV/wind/diesel system to
as long as the output power of the RE system depends on the power a village, in a remote area, electrified with a set of eight
energy flow intensity [28]. diesel generators; a hybrid PV/wind/diesel system with a con-
Massive studies and researches have been carried out on HESs tribution of RE sources of 35% was found to be optimal with an
in the literature since these systems are very interesting and optimal COE of 0.212 $/kWh.
suitable as far as energetic, economical and ecological aspects This paper aims to study the economic feasibility of a hybrid
are concerned. As reported in the literature, selection of the PV–diesel–battery energy system destined to supply electric
optimal configuration of a HES is based on technical, economical power for a research unit (Unité de Développement des Equipements
and environmental criteria. Some parameters to be considered Solaires, UDES) [41] located in Tipaza, north of Algeria. The
when evaluating the performance of a HES are the cost of kWh of investigation has been focused on the analysis of several scenarios
energy (COE) produced by the system, the net present cost (NPC) of energy systems for a PV penetration varying from 0% (stand-
of the system, the specific consumption of DGs, their number and alone diesel system) to 100% (stand-alone PV system). The Hybrid
duration of failure (O&M) costs and the excess of energy that Optimization Model for Electric Renewables (HOMER) has been
should be minimized, and GHGs emission rates [29,15]. Based on used to determine the optimal design for each system. In fact, for
the (COE) and CO2 emission rate parameters, the study carried out each case study, the technical, economical, energetic and environ-
by Shaahid and El-Amin [30] for a remote residence in a tropical mental aspects will be carefully analysed, then a comparative
climate has shown that the hybrid PV–diesel–battery energy study will be conducted in order to determine the different factors
system scenario was economically effective over the two other that influence the total cost of the system and to define an optimal
scenarios consisting of a stand-alone diesel system and a stand- range, in which the choice of the hybrid system will be justified in
alone PV system. In Ref. [11], a techno-economic feasibility study terms of an effective PV penetration for an optimal cost of
of a hybrid energy PV–diesel power generation system was kilowatt-hour of electricity. A sensitivity analysis will also be
performed for the Khavar-E-Bala, a remote rural village situated performed according to some parameters (global solar radiation,
in the eastern part of IRAN, and a PV–diesel system without energy diesel price, load consumption and real interest rate) to study the
storage was found to be cost effective. The feasibility study of a effect of their variation on the design, the size, the total cost of the
hybrid PV–diesel system [31] has shown that the COE is very HES and COE. The main benefit of the HES is that the drawback of
sensitive to the cost of fuel and the fuel intake. In Ref. [32], a multi- one source is covered by the other source.
objective optimization model has been developed, in C- This paper is structured as follows: the next section provides a
programming language, to define the optimum sizing of a hybrid background of the energy sector status in Algeria. Then, the
PV–diesel–battery power generation system with respect to two structure of the HES is described in Section 3. Section 4 provides
objectives which are: a minimized NPC CO2 emission rates. Dekker a description of HOMER software and the assessment criteria.
et al. [33] performed an economic analysis of a hybrid PV–diesel Input parameters are described in Section 5. The energy dispatch
energy system on the basis of the NPC concept, using HOMER strategy is depicted in Section 6. Simulation results are presented
software, various climatic regions were the subject of this study. and discussed in Section 7. In Section 8, a sensitivity analysis of the
Adaramola et al. [34] studied the economic feasibility of exploiting system is performed. Finally, a conclusion of the results obtained
solar energy in parallel with DGs in the northern part of Nigeria in this study is given in Section 9.
instead of using only DGs to provide electrical energy; the study
has revealed that hybrid PV–diesel systems with battery storage
are more effective from an economical viewpoint with a COE 2. Background
varying between 0.348 $/kWh and 0.378 $/kWh (depending on the
interest rate value) compared to systems using only DGs without Algeria is the biggest country in Africa with an area of
storage with a COE that varies between 0.417 $/kWh and 0.423 2 381 741 km2, bordered in the north by the Mediterranean Sea,
$/kWh. in the east by Tunisia and Libya, in the south by Nigeria and Mali,
High investments of autonomous solar- and wind-energy-based in the southwest by Mauritania and western Sahara and to the
installations are the main reason for curbing their integration in power west by Morocco [42].
plants. Thus, their hybridization allows exploitation of their benefits At its independence, the country's electrification system indicates
from both technical and economical viewpoints. As a result, hybrid PV/ an extreme disparity between different regions of the country with
wind power systems have aroused a great interest in view of the coastline and cities electrified and the rest of the country,
numerous studies performed in this field. Li et al. [35] studied the including rural areas, without any form of energy. The national
feasibility of a hybrid wind/PV/battery power system destined to electrification rate in 1969 was 40% including a strong regional
electrify a household in the region of Urumqi in China, according to dispersion, reflecting the regional socio-economic imbalances. Thus
the NPC of the system and the COE, they found that the hybrid wind/ the government very soon perceived the importance of electrification
PV/battery system is more cost effective compared to the hybrid PV/ as a vector of carrying economic and social progress; hence Algeria
battery and wind/battery systems; a combination of both the PV and launched an ambitious national electrification program which has
wind energy resources has allowed a reduction in the NPC of the allowed it to raise the rate of electricity production from 53% at the
system with approximately 9% and 11% compared to a PV/battery and end of 1975 to 61% in 1979 and 83.8% in 1989 to reach 98.6%
the wind/battery, respectively. in 2010; it is notable that from 2001–2011, the total installed
In Refs. [36,37], the authors have developed optimization sizing capacity in Algeria has increased from 5600 MW to 11,389 MW
models for PV/wind power systems based on the loss of power [43–45].
supply probability (LPSP) and the levelized cost of energy (COE). This boost in electricity production had affected the socio-
Saheb-Koussa et al. [38] have presented a model developed, economic development of the country; this could be observed by a
in Matlab Simulink, to perform the optimal sizing of a hybrid significant increase in the per capita electricity consumption, as
H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150 1137
shown in Fig. 1, in black color, the electricity consumed per capita In this perspective, the production of electricity using
has increased significantly in the period from 1971 (131.87 kWh) RE sources, that Algeria is planning to develop, would be 650
to 2010 (982.17 kWh) with an average annual growth rate of 2.21% megawatts by 2015, 2600 by 2020 and 22,000 MW by 2030, or
(21.80 kWh). Equally the per capita energy consumption (esti- 40% of total electricity generation (37% from solar and 3% from
mated in equivalent fuel kilograms) has reached 1089.27 kg fuel wind resource) [37,46]. Algeria aims to export 10,000 MW of the
compared to 229.64 kg fuel in 1971 with a peak of 1119.91 kg fuel 22,000 MW planned for the next two decades, while the remain-
in 2009; on an average period of 39yr, from 1971 to 2010, an ing 12,000 MW are intended to cover domestic demand [46] (see
annual growth rate of 2.03% has been observed as mentioned by Fig. 2). Once completed, this program will save nearly 600 billion
the graph of Fig. 1 in red [43–45]. cubic meters of gas over a period of 25 yr [47].
The production of electricity in Algeria is based on fossil fuels The evolution of the national electrification rate highlights the
(98% on natural gas). This dependence has increased drastically efforts made by the state; nevertheless, there still exist lots of
the carbon dioxide emission rate. The graph of Fig. 1, in blue, isolated sites in Algeria which are not yet connected to the grid
illustrates that the per capita CO2 emissions have increased from especially in the deep south where electricity is provided only by
0.55 T in 1960 to 3.33 T in 2009 [43–45]. diesel generators. In 2006 the penetration of diesel in the energy
Environmental concerns required the development of the so- sector had been estimated at about 6.61% of the total national
called clean and REs mainly solar and wind energy, which are production and 0.9% in 2010 and 2011. Fig. 3 represents the
available and abundant especially in the south (Solar) and south- evolution of fuel contribution in the energy sector over the period
west (wind) of Algeria. The contribution of wind and solar from 2000 to 2006 [48].
energies in electricity production is still low; it represents only The use of diesel plants in remote areas, especially in the deep
3% of the national production [46]. south, is extremely restrictive given the lack of road infrastructures to
In fact, with the aim of protecting the environment, a national deliver fuel, high costs of fuel transportation depending on the site
renewable energy program has been drawn for a gradual intro- location, and frequent maintenance required. Despite all these dis-
duction of alternative sources including solar energy with its two advantages DGs are still used as the main means of power generation
thermal and photovoltaic branches in power generation over the for the isolated sites. A combination of REs with DGs for power
next 20 yr in the period (2011–2030) [46]. generation in HES is suitable as the combination is more advantageous
1000 3.0
800
2.5
800
600 2.0
600
1.5
400
400 1.0
200
0.5
200
0 0.0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Fig. 1. Electricity and energy consumption, CO2 emission rates per capita in Algeria. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure, the reader is referred to the
web version of this article.)
4.2. Economic assessment criteria data have been provided by the accounting service of the UDES by
referring to the Algerian Electricity Company bills. For the area
4.2.1. Net present cost under study, the consumption of electrical energy is high between
The net present cost includes the cost of installing and operat- 8 h and 30 and 16 h and 30 for each month throughout the year,
ing the system throughout its lifetime. The economic outputs of and it coincides with office hours, outside this interval the
the system are calculated for the purpose of finding the net electricity consumption falls down and the little amount of
present cost [50,51]. The net present cost is calculated using the electricity consumed during the night is used to provide lighting.
following equation: The UDES energy consumption has been estimated at about
509 kWh/day (distributed between lighting, heating, air condi-
NPC ¼ TAC=CRF i; Rproj ð1Þ
tioning, laboratories and electronic machines).
where
TAC is the total annualized cost ($); CRF is the capital recovery
5.2. Solar radiation data
factor; i is the interest rate (%) and Rproj is the project life time (yr).
The solar radiation data for the area under study have been
4.2.2. Total annualized cost downloaded from the NASA website [52]. As can be seen from
The total annualized cost (TAC) of energy is the sum of the Fig. 6, the solar radiation data vary in a range of 2.120–6.795 kWh/
annualized costs of each component of the power system includ- m2/day. The scaled annual average value, computed by Homer
ing capital, replacement, operation and maintenance and fuel costs software is 4.512 kWh/m2/day with a clearness index of 0.552.
[50,51]. The high radiation intensity periods are observed from April
(5.198 kWh/m2/day) to September (5.085 kWh/m2/day) with the
4.2.3. Capital recovery factor highest intensities in June and July (6.795 kWh/m2/day and
The capital recovery factor is a ratio used to calculate the 6.740 kWh/m2/day, respectively) and the lowest intensity period
present value of a series of equal annual cash flows [50,51]. is in December (2.120 kWh/m2/day).
CRF ¼ ½in ð1 þiÞN =ðiþ 1ÞN 1 ð2Þ
5.3. Diesel
where
N is the number of years and i is the annual real interest rate.
According to a study prepared by the GIZ, the German firm
specializingin multi-sectorial expertise at the regional and inter-
4.2.4. Annual real interest rate
national levels, Algeria is ranked among the top 10 countries
The annual real interest rate (i) is the discount rate used to
where fuel is cheapest in the world [53]. Currently, the price of
convert between one-time costs and annualized costs [50,51]. The
diesel in Algeria is 13.5 Algerian Dinar (AD) per liter, which is
annual real interest rate is a function of the nominal interest rate
equivalent to $0.1685/L. In fact the cost of fuel varies by region; in
as shown by Eq. 3
remote areas the price would be higher because of the transporta-
i ¼ ði' f Þ=ð1 þ f Þ ð3Þ tion costs. Another cause responsible for increasing fuel prices is
where fuel shortage, in some cases fuel prices increase up to 50 AD per
i is the real interest rate; i' is the nominal interest rate; and f is liter ($0.625/L). Thus, in this study several simulations were
the annual inflation rate. performed with different diesel prices to see their effect on the
total cost of the system [53].
4.2.5. Levelized cost of energy
The levelized cost of energy (COE) is the average cost per kWh
6. System dispatch strategy
of useful electrical energy produced by the system. It is computed
by dividing the annualized cost of producing electricity by the
HOMER simulates how the components of the HES function
total useful electric energy production [50,51]. The equation for
together as a single system for each hour and takes decisions as to
the COE is as follows:
which generators should operate and at what power level and
COE ¼ TAC= Eprim;AC þEprim;DC ð4Þ whether to charge or discharge the batteries. In this study, the
where following load dispatch strategy has been adopted where the load
Eprim,AC is the AC primary served load and Eprim,DC is the DC is supplied by the PV system and DGs work only when the
primary served load. batteries are discharged to produce enough of energy to meet
the primary load requirements. Under this dispatch strategy
HOMER dispatches the power sources in order to work in a way
5. Homer input parameters description to satisfy the primary load at the least total cost.
Fig. 5. (a) The location of the research unit (Unité de Développement des Equipements Solaires, UDES) [41] and (b) UDES daily consumption profiles.
In some cases DGs have been scheduled not to operate in 7.1. Stand-alone diesel system
certain times to avoid production of electricity in excess. PV panels
are mounted on a two-axis tracking system so they rotate about The stand-alone diesel system was found to be the most cost-
both vertical and horizontal axes. This makes the solar radiation effective system compared to the other systems analysed in this
perpendicular to the PV panels' surface, then the output power is study since it doesn't comprise any RE resource which has high
extremely maximized. A derating factor of 90% has been applied installation costs. The optimal configuration of the only-diesel
on the output power of PV panels to account for losses when the system has been obtained with the combination of two-diesel
PV module is submitted to real working conditions: higher generators DG1 and DG2 with a rated power of 50 kW and 23 kW,
ambient temperature, different operating voltages and soiling. respectively. The system satisfies the annual load (185,785 kWh)
with only 6017 kWh (3%) of energy produced in excess. The
Table 2
Technical and electrical characteristics of the stand-alone diesel system.
System components Electricity production Excess electricity Unmet electric load Capacity shortage Annual hours of operation Annual fuel consumption
DG1 127,931 6017 (3.15%) 727 (0.39%) 1873 (1.01%) 3233 44,915
Generator 1
Generator 2
Monthly Average Electric Production
30
25
Power (kW)
20
15
10
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Fig. 7. Monthly average electric power produced by the stand-alone diesel system.
Table 3
Economic characteristics of the diesel system.
Component Sizes (kW) Capital ($) Replacement ($) O&M ($) Fuel ($) Salvage ($) N.P.C ($) L.C.O.E ($/kWh) Operating cost ($/yr)
Capital
Replacement Fuel
Cash Flow Summary Operating Salvage
200,000
Net Present Cost ($)
150,000
100,000
50,000
-50,000
G1 G2
Fig. 8. The net present cost of the diesel system as a function of its different components' cash flows.
1142 H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150
Generator 1
Cash Flow Summary Generator 2
200,000
150,000
50,000
-50,000
Capital Replacement Operating Fuel Salvage
Table 4
Annual greenhouse gases emitted by the stand-alone diesel system.
Pollutant Carbon dioxide Carbon monoxide Unburnt hydrocarbons Particulate matter Sulfur dioxide Nitrogen oxides Total
bank of 23,000 kWh and a 100 kW sized power converter. The PV duration of the project lifetime, are given in columns [2–6]. The
subsystem produces about 155,542 kWh/yr of electrical power. COE estimated ($/kWh), the net present cost ($) and the operating
In the case of 100% PV penetration, the optimum configuration cost ($) are equally reported in columns [7–9].
has been obtained using an 80 kW PV generator, a storage bank of As indicated in Table 7, the COE and the NPC increase when the
25,000 kWh and a 100 kW sized power converter. The total required penetration of the PV resource increases in the HES; the COE has
energy is provided by the PV subsystem with 187,619 kWh of energy increased from 0.260 $/kWh to 0.374 $/kWh then to 2.924 $/kWh
produced annually. The details of the electrical characteristics (PV to reach 6.904 $/kWh as well as the NPC was found to be equal to
and diesel energy production, total production, electricity excess, 617,489$, 885,813$, 6,944,177$ and 16,251,990$ for the 25%, 50%,
unmet load, capacity shortage) of each system are reported in 75%, 100% PV-based systems, respectively. These high costs could
Table 6. be justified by the low efficiency of PV modules compared to fuels
and the use of storage devices which have high costs.
7.2.2. Economic analysis Fig. 10 presents the details of the NPC by cost type (capital,
The details of the cash flow summary of each system design are replacement, operating, fuel and salvage) for each optimal hybrid
represented in Table 7. The initial capital cost (ICC), replacement, system. The distribution of each cost type, as a function of the HES
operation, fuel consumption and salvage costs, evaluated on the components (PV modules, DGs, batteries and converters) is
Table 6
Electrical characteristics of the hybrid and stand-alone PV power systems.
PV contribution PV (kWh) G1 (kWh) G2 (kWh) G3 (kWh) Total production Excess electricity Unmet load Capacity shortage
(%) (kWh) (kWh) (kWh) (kWh)
Table 7
Economic characteristics of the hybrid and stand-alone PV power systems.
PV contribution (%) Capital ($) Replacement ($) O&M ($) Fuel ($) Salvage ($) NPC ($) L.C.O.E ($/kWh) Operating cost ($/yr)
200,000
400,000
150,000
100,000 200,000
50,000
0
0
-50,000 -200,000
Capital Replacement Operating Fuel Salvage Capital Replacement Operating Fuel Salvage
15,000,000
Net Present Cost ($)
4,000,000
3,000,000 10,000,000
2,000,000
5,000,000
1,000,000
0
0
-1,000,000 -5,000,000
Capital Replacement Operating Fuel Salvage Capital Replacement Operating Fuel Salvage
Fig. 10. NPC details of each power system as a function of different costs.
1144 H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150
14000000
12000000
costs($) 10000000
8000000
6000000
4000000
2000000
0
0 % 25 % 50 % 75 % 100 %
PV Contribution
Fig. 11. Domination of the cost of hybrid systems by the cost of the storage system.
C.O.E ($/KWh)
NPC ($)
PV subsystem initial Cost ($)
0000000 8 Storage Bank Initial Cost ($)
1500000
400000
5000000 6
1000000
0000000 4
200000
5000000
5000000 2
0 0 0 0
0 25% 50% 75% 100%
PVPenetration
Fig. 12. Effect of the PV penetration on the NPC, COE, PV system and battery bank costs for each power system.
represented in different colors. For the 25% PV-based system, the subsystem and the storage bank system costs, the variation of
initial capital cost of the PV subsystem constitutes 46.07% of the the NPC and the COE as a function of the PV penetration. It's
total capital cost of the system where the storage bank constitutes evident that the NPC and COE curves have the same shape as that
31.72%, which means that the cost of the PV subsystem is of the storage bank cost curve; this means the cost of the storage
dominant in this case. For the other scenarios where the PV system affects the COE and NPC of the HES rather than the cost of
penetration varies from 50% to 100%, the capital cost of the PV the PV subsystem, which can be seen more clearly (see Fig. 13). So
subsystem constitutes 36.30%, 6.7% and 3.44% of the initial capital it can be concluded that for this class of power systems, where
cost of the concerned system, respectively. The capital cost of the storage devices are used, a large investment is required to achieve
storage bank varies in its turn from 52.6% to 90.39% to reach high penetration of the PV resource.
95.99%. This means that the cost of batteries dominates the initial An analysis of the replacement costs of the HESs components
cost of HES installations, thereby the high costs of the energy shows that the storage battery bank has the highest percentage
produced by a HES result from the high costs of the storage bank which has been estimated at about 84,696 $, 110,441$, 157,734$,
system which should be provided in such a system to store energy 3,944,334$ for the 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% PV-based HESs,
as a consequence of solar resource intermittency that doesn't respectively, and it's dominant for the last three systems. This
allow the production to be adapted continuously to the load needs. situation could also be interpreted by the high costs of batteries.
Similarly, the NPC of the HES is affected by the size of the The operating and maintenance costs of the DGs and the
storage system, for the 50%, 75% and the 100% PV-based systems quantity of fuel consumed by the HESs have decreased linearly
the size of the storage bank has increased from 700 kWh to when the percentage of the PV penetration increased as mentioned
10,000 kWh, then to 25,000 kWh and as a consequence the NPC in Fig. 14. This is mainly due to the reduction of operating hours of
of each system is dominated by the cost of the storage bank as DGs when the PV penetration increases, which automatically
mentioned in Fig. 11. Fig. 12 shows the variation of the PV implies the reduction of fuel consumption and O&M costs.
H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150 1145
NPC ($)
16000000 LCOE ($)
6
14000000
12000000
4
10000000
8000000
2
6000000
4000000
2000000 0
0
0 (0%) 271111 (25%) 354200 (50%) 5060000 (75%) 11638000 (100%)
storagebankcost ($)
Fig. 13. Effect of the battery bank on the NPC and COE of each power system.
O&M ($)
80000 Fuel ($) 150000
60000
100000
40000
50000
20000
0
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
PV Penetration
Fig. 14. Impact of increasing PV penetration on the fuel and O&M costs of each power system.
80000 6000
Fuel Consumption (L/Yr)
CO2 (Kg/Yr) 200000
60000 Pollutants (Kg/Yr)
4000
150000
40000
100000 2000
20000
0 50000
0
-20000 0
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
PV Penetration
Fig. 15. Effect of increasing the PV penetration on fuel consumption and GHG saving.
7.2.3. Environmental impacts of hybridization quantity of released dioxide carbon and other pollutants as a
The hybrid mode has positive effects on the environment; the function of PV penetration, as the penetration of PV resource
hybridization of the only diesel system with the PV resource increases, the fuel consumption decreases due to the reduction of
avoided the emission of tons of GHGs in the atmosphere. Fig. 15 operational hours of DGs. The annual quantity of saved fuel has
represents the variation of the quantity of fuel consumed, the reached 23.68%, 53% and 72.27% for 25%, 50% and 75% PV pene-
1146 H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150
Renewable Fraction
Renewable Fraction vs. Global Solar PV Array Capacity
0.34 35
0.32 30
0.28 20
0.26 15
0.24 10
4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0
Global Solar (kWh/m²/d)
Fig. 16. Effect of varying the GSR on the PV fraction in the HES.
tration, respectively, compared to the only diesel system. Further- cost-effective compared to other systems with the lowest COE of
more, the reduction of operational hours of DGs has avoided the 0.260 $/kWh.
emission of 45,712 kg/yr, 102,251 kg/yr and 147,210 kg/yr of CO2 in
the local atmosphere compared to the only diesel system, also
it has been noticed that the introduction of PV resource contri-
buted to the reduction of other pollutants such as unburned 8. Sensitivity analysis
hydrocarbons, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide and particulate
matters. So the high costs resulting from introducing PV resource In this section, various sensitivity analyses have been per-
with DGs are justified in terms of saving the atmosphere and formed on the 25% PV–diesel–battery HES, which involved chan-
improving the living conditions. Equally, reducing operating hours ging some parameters in order to anticipate possible costs of the
of DGs stretches their lifetime duration and reduces their O&M system, the parameters studied are: global solar radiation, diesel
costs. The 100% PV system that does not contain any conventional price, load consumption and real interest rate.
resource is considered as clean with 0% emission.
From the results obtained in this section, the following key
remarks can be made:
8.1. Global solar radiation and diesel price
Replacing diesel mini-grids with hybrid PV–diesel mini-grids is
an effective measure to reduce diesel fuel consumption and The efficiency of PV modules depends on the intensity of solar
emissions of GHGs while providing electrical service 24 h per radiation; when the irradiation increases the power produced by
day of small islands and other rural or remote infrastructures. the PV system increases and vice-versa. Thus, the contribution of
The scheme which has the greater PV penetration has the solar energy in the hybrid power system depends on the global
bigger cost, consumes less fuel, emits less GHGs and vice versa. solar radiation (GSR) received and captured on the surface of the
The size of the battery bank is a key element that influences PV panels. Fig. 16 depicts the variation of the PV penetration as a
largely the choice of the optimal power system at the basis of function of the global solar radiation for the same PV array
the life cycle cost of the system and the cost of kilowatt hour of capacity (23 kW), the contribution of PV energy has been opti-
electricity produced by the HES over its lifetime. An effective mized (see Fig. 16), as can be seen, for an increase of 0.50 kWh/m2/
management of electrical energy would maximize the lifetime day, 1 kWh/m2/day and 1.5 kWh/m2/day approximately; an
of the batteries because even their replacement cost has a increase of 3%, 6% and 8%, respectively, of the renewable fraction
significant share in the total cost of the system. has been observed.
Even though DGs play a very important role in the HES to As shown in Fig. 17, the increasing GSR intensity has, equally, a
ensure the quality of service when PV technology produces direct influence on the NPC and the COE; as the renewable fraction
little energy or when the batteries are discharged, the use of increased, the NPC and the COE decreased linearly (always for the
DGs should be minimized due to the high costs of fuel same PV array capacity of 23 kW). Table 8 reports the effect of the
consumed over the project's life span. GSR increase on the renewable fraction, the NPC, the COE and the
As reported in the literature, the acceptable PV penetration in an annual fuel consumption.
off-grid PV–diesel HES varies in the range of 11–25% [30]. The results of the sensitivity analysis performed on both
A penetration of less than 11% does not allow us to reap the parameters, the price of diesel and the GSR are reported in
benefits of using this type of systems; such as reducing depen- Fig. 18. The diesel price has been varied from 0.168$/L to 0.6$/L
dency on fuel and reducing GHG emissions. On the other hand, for and the GSR from 4.5 kWh/m2/d to 6.00 kWh/m2/day. As clearly
high penetrations of PV resource, it results in technical difficulties shown in Fig. 18, the cost of a kilowatt hour generated by the
to maintain a stable voltage and frequency. hybridized system depends directly on the local solar resource
Taking into account that the objective of this work is to determine (which determines the amount of electricity generated by the PV
the optimal power system in respect to load satisfaction, mini- system for a given investment) and the local cost of diesel. The
mized NPC, optimized COE (around 0.2$ as reported in Ref. [30]), COE generated by the HES is acceptable as long as the diesel price
reduction of CO2 emissions, considering an effective rate of PV is lower than 0.25$/L for the considered range of solar radiation,
penetration that guarantees a stable voltage and frequency of the once the diesel price exceeds this value, the COE is no longer
network, the 25% PV-based HES was found to be optimal and adequate for this study.
H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150 1147
0.282
665,000
0.280
660,000
0.278
655,000
0.276
650,000 0.274
4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0
Global Solar (kWh/m²/d)
Fig. 17. Effect of the GSR on the NPC and the COE of the HES.
Superimposed
Levelized COE ($/kWh)
0.5
0.363 0.355 0.348 0.345
Diesel Price ($/L)
0.4
0.332 0.326 0.320 0.317
0.3
0.302 0.296 0.292 0.290
0.2
0.262 0.258 0.255 0.253
Fig. 18. Effect of varying GSR and diesel price on the COE generated by the HES.
The output power of an energy system depends on the load The impact of varying the real interest rate on the COE and the
requirements that should be satisfied at all times. If the load NPC is represented in Fig. 21. The real interest rate has been varied
consumption increases, the energy production should impera- from 5% to 10%. The COE and the real interest rate are linearly
tively be increased; in the case of the HES under study the related, the COE increased from 0.252 $/kWh for a real interest of
production capacity has been increased from 185,785 kWh/yr for 5% to 0.304 $/kWh for an interest rate of 10% which is because the
a load consumption of 509 kWh/d to 233,452 kWh/yr for a con- TAC of the HES increases with the increasing real interest rate (Eq.
sumption of 640 kWh/day (see Fig. 19). Since the size of the PV 4) as mentioned in Table 10. However, the real interest rate doesn't
subsystem has remained the same, the capacity shortage is have a significant impact on the COE as we can see when the real
ensured by the DG. The dependence on the conventional energy interest rate decreases by 50%, the COE decreases only by 2.7%.
to meet the peak load has increased the diesel penetration to over Unlike the COE, the net present cost of the system is inversely
80% and decreased that of the PV subsystem to (20%). The total related to the real interest rate, because according to Eqs. (1) and
cost (NPC) of the HES has increased from 621,498$ to 689,348$ (2) when the real interest rate increases, it will decrease the cost of
due to the increasing costs of diesel consumption from 121,049$ to the present value accumulated over the project's lifetime.
1148 H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150
250,000 0.24
Renewable Fraction
240,000 0.23
230,000 0.22
220,000 0.21
210,000 0.20
200,000 0.19
520 540 560 580 600 620 640
udes (kWh/d)
Fig.19. Effect of load variation on the electrical production of the HES and the renewable fraction.
680,000 0.260
670,000 0.255
660,000 0.250
650,000 0.245
640,000 0.240
630,000 0.235
620,000 0.230
520 540 560 580 600 620 640
udes (kWh/d)
Fig. 20. Impact of load variation on the NPC and the COE of the HES.
Table 9
Effect of varying the load consumption on the diesel and PV contribution, NPC and COE, fuel consumption and O&M costs of the HES.
Load consumption (kWh/d) Diesel production (kWh/yr) (%) PV production (kWh/yr) (%) NPC ($) COE ($) Fuel consumption ($) O&M costs ($)
9. Concluding remarks alone PV system. HOMER has been used to perform the techno-
economic analysis of each system for a projection period of 25 yr,
In this paper, a feasibility study of a PV–diesel–battery HES based on the recommendations cited above concerning the selec-
destined to electrify a research unit (UDES) located in the northern tion of the optimum power generation system on the basis of
part of Algeria has been performed. The PV penetration has been optimized NPC and COE concepts, fuel consumption economy,
varied from 0% to 100% including a stand-alone diesel and a stand- operation time of the DG and the GHGs saving rates.
H. Rezzouk, A. Mellit / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 43 (2015) 1134–1150 1149
650,000 0.30
600,000
0.28
550,000 0.27
0.26
500,000
0.25
5 6 7 8 9 10
Interest Rate (%)
Fig. 21. Impact of increasing real interest rate on the NPC and the COE of the HES.
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