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Assignment_2_ES111

The document is an assignment for the ES 111 course at Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute, focusing on probability mass/density functions and random variables. It includes various questions related to joint density functions, cumulative distribution functions, and probabilities of different scenarios involving random variables. The assignment is due on March 5, 2024, and carries a weight of 1%.

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4 views

Assignment_2_ES111

The document is an assignment for the ES 111 course at Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute, focusing on probability mass/density functions and random variables. It includes various questions related to joint density functions, cumulative distribution functions, and probabilities of different scenarios involving random variables. The assignment is due on March 5, 2024, and carries a weight of 1%.

Uploaded by

zs3783999
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute of Engineering Sciences and Technology (GIKI)

Faculty of Engineering Sciences (FES)

ES 111 Spring 2024 Assignment 2 Weight 1% Due: 05 Mar 2024

CLO 2: Calculate probability mass/density function parameters, moments and


functions of random variables.
Q 1. A tobacco company produces blends of tobacco, with each blend
containing various proportions of Turkish, domestic, and other tobaccos. The
proportions of Turkish and domestic in a blend are random variables with
joint density function (X = Turkish and Y = domestic)
24 xy, 0  x, y  1, x + y  1,
f ( x, y ) = 
0 otherwise

a. Find the probability that in a given box the Turkish tobacco accounts
for over half the blend.
b. Find the marginal density function for the proportion of the domestic
tobacco.
c. Find the probability that the proportion of Turkish tobacco is less than
1/8 if it is known that the blend contains 3/4 domestic tobacco.
Q 2. An insurance company offers its policyholders a number of different
premium payment options. For a randomly selected policyholder, let X be
the number of months between successive payments. The cumulative
distribution function of X is

0, if x = 1,
0.4, if 1  x  3,

F ( x ) = 0.6, if 3  x  5,
0.8, if 5  x  7,

1.0, if x  7.

FES ES111 – Introduction to Statistical Theory – Engr. Muhammad Sadiq GIKI


a. What is the probability mass function of X?
b. Compute P(4 < X ≤ 7).

Q 3. Suppose that f ( x ) = c / 3x , x  0 is the probability function for a


random variable X.
a. Determine c.
b. Find the cumulative distribution function.
c. Graph the probability mass function and the cumulative distribution
function.

d. Find P ( 2  X  5) .

e. Find P ( X  3) .
Q 4. Suppose that

cxe −2 x , x  0,
f ( x) = 
0, otherwise

is the density function for a random variable X.

a. Determine c.
b. Find the cumulative distribution function.
c. Graph the probability density function and the cumulative distribution
function.

d. Find P ( X  1) .

e. Find P ( 2  X  3) .
Q 5. The shelf life of a product is a random variable that is related to consumer
acceptance. It turns out that the shelf life Y in days of a certain type of
bakery product has a density function
 1 − y /2
 e , y  0,
f ( y) = 2
0, otherwise

FES ES111 – Introduction to Statistical Theory – Engr. Muhammad Sadiq GIKI


What fraction of the loaves of this product stocked today would you
expect to be sellable 3 days from now?

Q 6. Consider the random variables X and Y that represent the number of


vehicles that arrive at two separate street corners during a certain 2-minute
period. These street corners are fairly close together so it is important that
traffic engineers deal with them jointly if necessary. The joint distribution of
X and Y is known to be
9 1
f ( x, y ) = . ( x+ y )
16 4

for x = 0, 1, 2, . . . and y = 0, 1, 2, . . . .

a. Are the two random variables X and Y independent? Explain why or


why not.
b. What is the probability that during the time period in question less
than 4 vehicles arrive at the two street corners?
Q 7. Impurities in a batch of final product of a chemical process often reflect a
serious problem. From considerable plant data gathered, it is known that the
proportion Y of impurities in a batch has a density function given by

10 (1 − y )9 , 0  y  1,
f ( y) = 
0, otherwise

a. Verify that the above is a valid density function.


b. A batch is considered not sellable and then not acceptable if the
percentage of impurities exceeds 60%. With the current quality of the
process, what is the percentage of batches that are not acceptable?
Q 8. The behavior of series of components plays a huge role in scientific and
engineering reliability problems. The reliability of the entire system is
certainly no better than that of the weakest component in the series. In a
series system, the components operate independently of each other. In a

FES ES111 – Introduction to Statistical Theory – Engr. Muhammad Sadiq GIKI


particular system containing three components, the probabilities of meeting
specifications for components 1, 2, and 3, respectively, are 0.95, 0.99, and
0.92. What is the probability that the entire system works?
Q 9. One type of system that is employed in engineering work is a group of
parallel components or a parallel system. In this more conservative approach,
the probability that the system operates is larger than the probability that any
component operates. The system fails only when all components fail.
Consider a situation in which there are 4 independent components in a
parallel system with probability of operation given by
Component 1: 0.95; Component 2: 0.94;
Component 3: 0.90; Component 4: 0.97.

What is the probability that the system does not fail?

Q 10. Consider a system of components in which there are 5 independent


components, each of which possesses an operational probability of 0.92. The
system does have a redundancy built in such that it does not fail if 3 out of
the 5 components are operational. What is the probability that the total
system is operational?

FES ES111 – Introduction to Statistical Theory – Engr. Muhammad Sadiq GIKI

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