Inbound 6871377452097040922
Inbound 6871377452097040922
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Pre-requisite (Recall):
•PROBABILITY
𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑤𝑎𝑦𝑠 𝑖𝑡 𝑐𝑎𝑛 ℎ𝑎𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑛
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑛 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 =
𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
•SAMPLE SPACE
➢ It is the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
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Sample Space:
Determine the sample space and the total number
of possible outcomes for each experiment:
1. Tossing a coin
Sample Space = {head, tail} or {H, T}
Total no. of possible outcomes = 2
2. Rolling a die
Sample Space = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Total no. of possible outcomes = 6
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Sample Space:
3. Tossing a coin thrice
1st 2nd 3rd Sample Total no. of possible outcomes
Toss Toss Toss Space =2x2x2
H HHH =8
H
T HHT
H
H HTH
T
T HTT
H THH
H
T T THT
T H TTH
T TTT
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Let X denote the number of heads that
result in the experiment:
3. Tossing a coin thrice
1st 2nd 3rd Sample Number of
Toss Toss Toss Space Heads X
H HHH 3
H
T HHT 2
H
H HTH 2 Random
T
T HTT 1 Variable
H THH 2
H
T T THT 1
T H TTH 1
T TTT 0
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Chapter 1
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Lesson 1
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Learning Targets:
At the end of this lesson, I C AN…
1.Illustrate a random variable;
2.Classify random variables as
discrete or continuous; and
3.Find the possible values of a
random variable.
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➢It is a function that associates a
real number to each element in
the sample space.
➢It is a variable whose values
are determined by chance.
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Experiment: Tossing a coin one
Random Variable X
Possible Outcomes
(number of heads)
H 0
T 1
X = {0, 1}
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Experiment: Tossing a coin thrice
Random Variable X
Possible Outcomes
(number of heads)
HHH 3
HHT 2
HTH
HTT
2
1 X = {0, 1, 2, 3}
THH 2
THT 1
TTH 1
TTT 0
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Example 1:
Z = {0, 1, 2}
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Let’s Try It!
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Two Types of Random Variables:
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Experiment: Tossing a coin thrice
Possible Outcomes
HHH
Random
RandomVariable
VariableXX
(number of heads)
3
X = {0, 1, 2, 3}
HHT
HH 2
T
HTH 2 P(0) = 1/8 or 0.125
THH
HT
T
TTH
THH
2
1
1
2
P(1) = 3/8 or 0.375
THT 1 P(2) = 3/8 or 0.375
HTT
TTH 1
TTT 0 P(3) = 1/8 or 0.125
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DISCRETE PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTION
Number of
0 1 2 3
Heads X
1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8
Probability
or or or or
P(X)
0.125 0.375 0.375 0.125
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Learning Targets:
At the end of this lesson, I C A N …
1. Illustrate a probability distribution for a
discrete random variable and its
properties;
2. Compute probabilities corresponding to
a given random variable; and
3. Construct the probability mass function
of a discrete random variable and its
corresponding histogram.
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Let’s recall
Suppose two coins are tossed and we are
interested to determine the number of tails that
will come out. Let us use X to represent the
number of tails that will come out. Determine
the values of the random variable X.
Let’s recall
1. List the sample space
S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}
Let’s recall
2. Count the number of tails in each outcome
and assign this number to this outcome.
Outcome Number of Tails
(Value of X)
HH 0
HT 1
TH 1
TT 2
Level up!
3. Construct the frequency distribution of the
values of the random variable X.
Number of Tails Number of Occurrence
(Value of X) (Frequency)
0
1
2
Total
Level up!
3. Construct the frequency distribution of the
values of the random variable X.
Number of Tails Number of Occurrence
(Value of X) (Frequency)
0 1
1 2
2 1
Total 4
Level up!
4. Construct the probability distribution of the
random variable X by getting the probability
of occurrence of each value of the random
variable.
Level up!
Number of Number of Probability
Tails Occurrence P(X)
(Value of X) (Frequency)
0 1
1 2
2 1
Total 4
Level up!
Number of Tails Number of Probability
(Value of X) Occurrence P(X)
(Frequency)
0 1 ¼ or 0.25
1 2 2/4 or 0.50
2 1 ¼ or 0.25
Total 4 1
Level up!
X 0 1 2
P (X) ¼ or 0.25 2/4 or 0.50 ¼ or 0.25
➢It consists of the values a
random variable can assume
and the corresponding
probabilities of the values.
➢ It is also known as the
probability mass function.
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1. The probability of each value of the
random variable must be between or
equal to 0 and 1. In symbol, we write it as
0 ≤ 𝑃 𝑋 ≤ 1.
2. The sum of the probabilities of all values
of the random variable must be equal to 1.
In symbol, we write it as Σ𝑃 𝑋 = 1.
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Try It!
The probabilities 0.32, 0.28, 0.34, and 0.06 are all between 0 and
1.
Try It!
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Example 2:Determine if the given table is a discrete
probability distribution/probability mass function. If it is
not a discrete probability distribution, identify the
property or properties that are not satisfied.
YES
NO = 0.99
NO
= 1.02
NO
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Level up!
Using our previous example, construct
the Probability Histogram for the Discrete
Probability Distribution below.
X 0 1 2
P (X) ¼ or 0.25 2/4 or 0.50 ¼ or 0.25
Example 1:
1 2
3 4
The given spinner is divided into four
sections. Let Y be the random variable
which is the score where the arrow will stop
(numbered 1, 2, 3, 4) in the drawing above.
Find the probability that the arrow will stop
at 1, 2, 3 and 4. Construct the discrete
probability function/probability mass
function of the random variable Y.
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Experim ent: Spinner
P(1) = ¼ or 0.25
P(2) = ¼ or 0.25
P(3) = ¼ or 0.25
P(4) = ¼ or 0.25
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Experim ent: Spinner
Random Probability
Variable (Y) P(Y)
1 ¼ or 0.25
2 ¼ or 0.25
3 ¼ or 0.25
4 ¼ or 0.25
𝜮𝑷 𝒀 = 𝟏 (c) roegencargamentorivera2019
Example 3:
Z = {0, 1, 2}
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Solution:
Number of Probability
Blue Balls Z P(Z)
0 ¼ or 0.25
1 ½ or 0.5
2 ¼ or 0.25
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Seatwork No. 2
Four coins are tossed. Let Z be the
random variable representing the
number of heads that occur.
Construct the probability
distribution for the random variable
Z and draw the corresponding
probability histogram.
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Try It!
Example 1:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random variable 𝑋
below, find 𝑃(𝑋 = 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.10 0.21 ? 0.5
Try It!
Example 1:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random variable 𝑋
below, find 𝑃(𝑋 = 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.10 0.21 ? 0.5
Solution:
Example 1:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random variable 𝑋
below, find 𝑃(𝑋 = 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.10 0.21 ? 0.5
Solution:
Example 1:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random variable 𝑋
below, find 𝑃(𝑋 = 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 0.10 0.21 ? 0.5
Solution:
0.10 + 0.21 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 3 + 0.5 = 1
0.81 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 3 = 1
𝑃 𝑋 = 3 = 1 − 0.81
𝑃 𝑋 = 3 = 0.19
Thus, 𝑷 𝑿 = 𝟑 = 𝟎. 𝟏𝟗.
Try It!
Try It!
Example 2:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random
variable 𝑋 below, find 𝑃(𝑋 < 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 1 3 2 4
10 10 10 10
Try It!
Example 2:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random
variable 𝑋 below, find 𝑃(𝑋 < 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 1 3 2 4
10 10 10 10
Solution:
Analyze the problem.
The notation 𝑃(𝑋 < 3) means that the random variable 𝑋 is less
than 3.
Try It!
Example 2:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random
variable 𝑋 below, find 𝑃(𝑋 < 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 1 3 2 4
10 10 10 10
Solution:
The random variables take on the values 1, 2, 3, and 4 in which 1
and 2 are less than 3. The probabilities are 𝑃(𝑋 = 1) and 𝑃(𝑋 = 2).
Add all the identified probabilities.
𝑃 𝑋 <3 =𝑃 𝑋 =1 +𝑃 𝑋 =2
Try It!
Example 2:
Given the probability distribution of a discrete random
variable 𝑋 below, find 𝑃(𝑋 < 3).
𝑿 1 2 3 4
𝑷(𝑿) 1 3 2 4
Solution:
10 10 10 10
𝑃 𝑋 <3 =𝑃 𝑋 =1 +𝑃 𝑋 =2
1 3 4 2
𝑃 𝑋<3 = + = or
10 10 10 5
Therefore, the probability that the random variable 𝑋 is less than 3
𝟒 𝟐
is or .
𝟏𝟎 𝟓
Let’s Try IT!
Let’s Try IT!
BE CAREFUL!
A laboratory supervisor in
a type III hospital is
investigating number of
reported on-the-job training Accidents Probability
accidents over a period of one Reported X P(X)
month. Based on the past
records, she has derived the
0 0.50
following probab ility 1 0.25
distribution for x; where x is
the number of reported
2 0.10
accidents per month. 3 0.10
4
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Solution:
X P(X) X•P(X)
0 0.50 (0)(0.50)=0
1 0.25 (1)(0.25)=0.25
2 0.10 (2)(0.10)=0.2
3 0.10 (3)(0.10)=0.3
4 0.05 (4)(0.05)=0.2
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𝝁 = 0.95
Interpretation:
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Learning Targets:
At the end of this lesson, I C A N …
1. Illustrate and calculate the mean of a
discrete random variable;
2. Interpret the mean of a discrete
random variable; and
3.Solve problems involving mean of
probability distributions.
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➢It is a weighted average of the possible
values that the random variable can take.
➢It provides the long-run average of the
variable, or the expected average outcome
over many observations.
➢It is a parameter that describes the center
or common data in the distribution.
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➢Its common symbol is μ.
➢It is also known as the mean of the
discrete random variable, mathematical
expectation, population mean, or the
expected value.
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Learn about It!
𝑿 𝑷(𝑿)
1 0.09
2 0.16
3 0.17
4 0.28
5 0.25
6 0.05
Try It!
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Solution:
X P(X) X•P(X)
3 0.15 0.45
4 0.10 0.40
5 0.20 1.00
6 0.25 1.50
7 0.30 2.10
𝝁 = 5.45
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Lesson 4
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Learning Targets:
At the end of this lesson, I C A N …
1. Illustrate and calculate the variance of
a discrete random variable;
2. Interpret the variance of a discrete
random variable; and
3. Solve problems involving variance of
probability distributions.
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➢It is the measure of spread or variability or
dispersion for a distribution of a random
variable that determines the degree to which
the values of a random variable differ from the
expected value.
➢It is a parameter that measures the average
squared distance or deviation of each item in the
data from the mean.
➢It is denoted by 𝝈 𝟐 .
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1. Find the mean of the probability
distribution.
2. Subtract the mean from each value of the
random variable X.
3. Square the results obtained in Step 2.
4. Get the sum of the results obtained in
Step 4.
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𝜎2 = Σ 𝑋 − 𝜇 2 •𝑃 𝑋
where:
𝑋 = value of the random variable
𝑃 𝑋 = probability of the random variable
𝜇 = mean of the probability distribution
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𝜎= Σ 𝑋−𝜇 2 •𝑃 𝑋
where:
𝑋 = value of the random variable
𝑃 𝑋 = probability of the random variable
𝜇 = mean of the probability distribution
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Investor’s Dilemma!
Variance Standard
Investment Mean
Deviation
Package 𝝁 𝝈𝟐
𝝈
Package A 3 2 𝟐 = 𝟏. 𝟒𝟏
Package B 3 0 𝟎=𝟎
Difference
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Try It!
Solution:
1. Compute for the mean of 𝑿 𝑷(𝑿) 𝑿 ⋅ 𝑷(𝑿)
the probability distribution. 0 0.09 0
1 0.19 0.19
Thus, the mean of the
probability distribution is 2 0.37 0.74
𝝁 = 𝟐. 𝟏. 3 0.23 0.69
4 0.12 0.48
TOTAL 𝟐. 𝟏
Try It!
Solution:
Thus, the variance of the discrete random variable 𝑋 is
𝝈𝟐 = 𝟏. 𝟐𝟓, and its standard deviation is 𝝈 = 𝟏. 𝟏𝟐.
Exam ple:
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Dealer B:
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Sum m ary:
Variance Standard
Mean
Finalist 𝟐 Deviation
𝝁 𝝈
𝝈
Dealer A 35 35 5.92
Dealer B 36 74 8.60
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Interpretation:
Dealer B is more variable than
Dealer A because the standard
deviation of Dealer B is higher than
Dealer A. Therefore, Dealer A is the
“Best Dealer of the Year” .
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