Economic Update for Financial Experts
Economic Update for Financial Experts
Executive Summary
2. Fiscal Sector
NBR tax revenue collection augmented by 13.89 percent during July-December of FY24; achieving 38.52
percent of the target set for FY24.
There was a net repayment of National Savings Certificates (NSC) of BDT 6063.25 crore during July-December
of FY24 compared to the net repayment of BDT 3106.85 crore of July-December of FY23.
The government made a net repayment of BDT 35796.00 crore to the banking system during July-December of
FY24, while net borrowing from the public (non-banking system) during July-December of FY23 was BDT
7387.83 crore. Domestic debt (public) to GDP ratio was 15.43 percent at the end of December 2023, slightly
lower than that of the previous year.
1
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
3. Real sector
Headline point-to-point inflation fell to 9.41 percent in December 2023 from 9.49 percent in November 2023.
Headline 12-month average inflation, however, rose to 9.48 percent in December 2023 from 9.42 percent in
November 2023.
The general index of industrial production grew by 7.58 percent (y-o-y) during July-October of FY24 compared to
4.33 percent (y-o-y) growth of the said index during July-October of FY23.
The disbursement of agricultural credit increased by 14.07 percent while the non-farm rural credit decreased
by 9.61 percent during July-December of FY24 compared to the same period of FY23.
The disbursement of CMSME loans increased by 8.06 percent (y-o-y) in FY23 compared to 19.26 percent of
FY22.
The disbursement of industrial term loans increased 31.52 percent (y-o-y) in FY23 compared to 5.23 percent
of FY22.
4. External sector
Merchandise commodity exports grew by 2.52 percent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24. This achievement,
however, fell short of the strategic target set for the period by 7.28 percent.
Merchandise imports declined by 19.90 percent during July-December of FY24 compared to the same period of
the previous fiscal year.
Fresh opening of import LCs fell by 5.33 percent during July-December of FY24 because of rising the price of
USD and BB’s close price monitoring of LC opening.
Inflow of remittances increased by 3.60 percent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24 stood at USD 12.90
billion.
Gross foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 25.11 billion at the end of January 2024; however, according to
the BPM6 this gross foreign exchange reserves amounted to USD 19.96 billion.
Receipts of total foreign aid and net foreign aid increased by 7.49 percent and 4.04 percent respectively during
July-December of FY24 compared to July-December of FY23.
Bangladesh Taka depreciated against USD by 1.49 percent during July-January of FY24 compared to 11.19
percent depreciation during July-January of FY23.
Current account balance recorded a surplus of USD 1.93 billion during July-December of FY24 compared to a
deficit of USD 4.92 billion during July-December of FY23. The financial account recorded a deficit of USD
5.39 billion during July-December of FY24 against the surplus of USD 0.14 billion during July-December of
FY23. As a result, the overall balance recorded a lower deficit of USD 3.67 billion during July-December of
FY24 compared to an overall deficit of USD 6.45 billion during July-December of FY23 in the balance of
payments.
Note: The information furnished in the executive summary and the subsequent pages are provisional and subject to revision.
2
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
1. Money and credit developments
(BDT in crore)
December, December, Flow of July- Flow of July-
Particulars June, 2022R R June, 2023R P R P
2022 2023 December, FY23 December, FY24
1 2 3 4 5 6=(3-2) 7=(5-4)
A. Net Foreign Assets of 364298.80 319397.10 316728.30 277463.80 -44901.70 -39264.50
Percent
10 10
8.47
5 5
FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24
0 0
Nov
May
Sep
Jul.
Mar
Jun
Feb
Aug.
Oct
Dec
Jan
Apr
Nov
Mar
May
Jun
Jul.
Sep
Feb
Dec
Aug.
Apr
Oct
Jan
3
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
B. Deposits held with BB* 90979.30 87648.20 71637.40 92665.30 -3331.10 21027.90
(-24.92) (-6.93) (-21.26) (+5.72) (+56.70) (-365.63)
Of which: Excess
reserves 28302.58 22371.95 4381.79 21335.38 -5930.62 16953.59
(-55.68) (-33.05) (-84.52) (-4.63) (+38.19) (-90.17)
Money multiplier 4.92 4.63 4.92 5.13 NA NA
Source: Statis tics Department, BB.
Note:- Figures in the parenthes es indicate percentage changes (y-o-y). P = Provis ional, R = Revis ed, NA = Not applicable:
Growth rate of NDA at the end of current period= [(xt -xt-1 )/|xt-1 |]; where xt = NDA at the end of current period, xt-1 = NDA at the
end of previous period and |xt-1 | = abs olute value of NDA at the end of previous period.
*Includes non-bank financial institutions.
Aug
Dec
Nov
Apr
Oct
Jan
Mar
Jun
Sep
Feb
Money multiplier reached 5.13 at the end of December 2023, from 4.63 at the end of December 2022, as
reserve deposit ratio decreased substantially along with a fall in currency deposit ratio.
4
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
1 2 3 4a 4b 5 6 7
=(3+4a+4b
State-owned Banks 133929.83 3598.46 17817.14 2918.39 329.05 102843.04 127506.07 75214.87
Specialised Banks 2540.33 n/a 1943.44 334.83 137.96 n/a 2416.23 1943.44
Private Banks 196662.18 15558.61 32951.78 7363.49 5415.05 144667.12 205956.05 138594.64
(Other than Islamic)
Islamic Banks 37933.18 6630.12 15699.39 6532.12 1985.15 13833.39 44680.17 37425.23
Foreign Banks 50168.40 738.46 3768.35 2817.73 3735.21 41391.87 52451.62 16653.50
Total 421233.93 26525.65 72180.10 19966.56 11602.42 302735.42 433010.14 269831.68
(as % of total liquid (+6.13) (+16.67) (+4.61) (+2.68) (+69.91)
assets)
Source : Department of Offsite Supervision, BB.
Comment: The data shown in the above table are collected based on the regulatory purposes of Bangladesh Bank.
Note :- Figures in parentheses indicate sectoral share in the total liquid assets. P=provisional. , R= Revised.
*Required reserves is calculated @ 4.0% CRR since April 15, 2020; 1/ Minimum required liquid assets is the sum of required reserves (@4.0% CRR) and Statutory Liquidity
Rrequirement (SLR) (@13.0% for Conventional Banking and @5.5% for Islamic Banking); n/a=Data not required for supervision purpose.
5
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total liquid assets of scheduled banks increased by 2.80 percent and registered at BDT 433010.14 crore at
the end of December 2023 from the level of end June 2023.
The minimum required liquid assets of the scheduled banks at the end of December 2023 stood at BDT
269831.68 crore, while it was BDT 254961.89 crore at the end of June 2023.
Excess reserves (cash in excess of CRR) stood at BDT 19966.56 crore in December 2023 which was BDT
11629.64 crore in June 2023.
Liquid assets in excess of maintained SLR decreased by 1.79 percent to BDT 163305.46 crore in December
2023 compared to June 2023, however, it was 15.58 percent higher than that of November 2023.
2000 Excess liquid assets (excess of SLR): bank group-wise*
1000 Islamic
State-owned
500 Private (Other than Islamic)
Total Excess Liquid Assets
0
Jun'23
Jan'23
Jul'23
Sep'22
Oct'22
Sep'23
Oct'23
Nov'22
Nov'23
Aug'23
Dec'22
Dec'23
-500 *Specialized banks are exempted from maintaining SLR
Advance Deposit Ratio (ADR) of the banking system was increasing gradually since March 2022
until March 2023, remaining well below the allowable limit1 set by BB. In September 2023, it fell
and reached 78.08 percent.
Maintained Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of the banking sector had been falling since March
2022 and reached 152.37 percent in June 2023, still remaining above the minimum requirement of
100 percent that would cover the banks net cash flows for a minimum of 30 days.2
Minimum regulatory requirement of holding Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) was maintained at
109.71 percent in June 2023 compared to 110.30 percent in March 2023.3
1
Banks were instructed in April 2020 to maintain their ADR within maximum 87 (85 percent + 2.0 percent of special
consideration) percent for conventional banks and 92 (90.0 percent + 2.0 percent of special consideration) percent for Islamic
Shari’ah based banks respectively according to DOS circular no.02 dated 12 April 2020.
2
LCR measures a bank’s need for liquid assets in a stressed environment over the next 30 calendar days: minimum requirement
for LCR is greater or equal to 100 percent.
3
NSFR measures a bank’s need for liquid assets in a stressed environment over one year period: minimum requirement for NSFR
is greater than 100 percent.
6
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
FY23
June --- 6.80 7.07 7.90 8.09 8.71 --- --- --- 6.00 8.00 4.25 6.06
FY24
July --- 7.26 7.35 8.64 8.86 9.02 9.09 --- --- 6.50 8.50 4.50 6.30
August --- 7.33 7.38 8.42 8.92 9.00 9.12 --- --- 6.50 8.50 4.50 6.28
September --- 7.24 7.40 7.97 8.65 8.99 9.20 9.49 9.76 6.50 8.50 4.50 6.41
October 8.27 8.85 9.08 9.39 9.15 10.05 10.39 10.54 10.54 7.25 9.25 5.25 7.35
November 9.39 9.97 10.10 10.26 10.54 10.99 11.01 11.16 11.21 7.75 9.75 5.75 8.03
December 9.90 10.89 11.09 11.28 8.69 10.35 10.46 11.06 11.16 7.75 9.75 5.75 8.84
January --- 11.23 11.33 11.55 11.42 11.51 11.87 11.99 12.08 8.00 9.50 6.50 9.38
Source: Monetary Policy Department and Debt Management Department, Bangladesh Bank . ---- = no auction conducted,
* Bangladesh Bank has refixed policy Rate at 8.00 percent with 150 (±) basis points symmetric corridor consisting of SLF at 9.50 percent and SDF at 6.50 percent with effect from 21 January,
2024; 1/ Bangladesh Bank calculates SMART (six months moving average rate of Treasury bill) from the moving average of the yields on 182-Day treasury bill over the past six months.
The weighted average yields on 91-Day, 182-Day and 364-Day increased in January 2024 compared to the
previous month.
The weighted average yields on 2-Year, 5-Year, 10-Year, 15-Year and 20-Year Bangladesh Government
Treasury Bond (BGTB) increased and registered 11.42 percent, 11.51 percent, 11.87 percent, 11.99 percent
and 12.08 percent respectively in January 2024.
The policy rate was increased by 25 basis points and re-fixed at 8.00 percent on 17 January 2024, with a 150
(±) basis points symmetric corridor consisting standing lending facility (SLF) rate and standing deposit facility
(SDF) rate, with effect from 21 January 2024.
Weighted average call money rate increased by 54 basis points to 9.38 percent in January 2024 from 8.84
percent of December 2023.
Yields on treasury bills Policy rate, SDF, SLF and call money rate
14.0 9.50
10.0
11.55
12.0 11.33 9.38
11.23 8.0
10.0 8.00
9.90 6.0
Percent
8.0
Percent
6.50
6.0 4.0
4.0 91-day 182-day
2.0 Policy rate(Repo) SDF rate
2.0 Call money rate SLF rate
364-day 14-day
0.0 0.0
Jun.23
Jan.23
Mar.23
Jan.24
Jul.23
May.23
Sep.23
Oct.23
Nov.23
Aug.23
Dec.23
Apr.23
Feb.23
Oct.23
Jun.23
Jan.23
Mar.23
Jan.24
Dec.23
Jul.23
Apr.23
Feb.23
May.23
Sep.23
Nov.23
Aug.23
7
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Spread
on on
WAIR* WAIR* WAIR*
Spread
deposits advances WAIR* on
on Spread on Spread on
advances
advances advances deposits
FY23
June 7.10 4.38 7.31 2.93 7.26 2.88 7.19 2.81 7.93 8.20 0.27
FY24
July 7.10 4.46 7.75 3.29 7.69 3.23 7.65 3.19 8.02 8.18 0.16
August@ 7.14 4.52 7.85 3.33 7.80 3.28 7.75 3.23 8.08 11.47 3.39
September 7.20 4.52 7.83 3.31 7.78 3.26 7.73 3.21 8.15 11.58 3.43
October 7.43 4.55 7.89 3.34 7.84 3.29 7.80 3.25 8.21 11.60 3.39
November 7.72 … … … … … … … … … …
December 8.14 … … … … … … … … … …
January 8.68 … … … … … … … … … …
Source: Debt Management Department and Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank.
*WAIR = Weighted Average Interest Rate. **Six M onths' M oving Average Rate of Treasury Bills. ... = Data not avaiable; @WAIR on advances for NBFIs was calculated
based on the last contractual interest rate for the current bad loans since August 2023.
The spread between the weighted average interest rate (WAIR) on advances and deposits of all
banks moved up by 3 basis points to 3.34 percent in October 2023 compared to the previous
month.
Spread between the WAIR on advances and deposits of NBFIs stood at 3.39 percent in
October 2023 which was 3.43 percent in September 2023. It should be noted that, the WAIR
on lending had been calculated based on the last contractual interest rate for bad loans from
August 2023.
The WAIR on deposits of all banks and NBFIs rose to 4.55 percent and 8.21 percent in
October 2023 compared to the previous month.
Excluding advances on credit cards, WAIR spread of all banks was 3.29 percent in October
2023.
WAIR spread excluding advances on consumer finance and credit cards for all banks was 3.25
percent in October 2023.
The reference lending rate, known as ‘SMART’ (six months moving average rate of treasury
bills) increased by 54 basis point to 8.68 percent in January 2024.
Spreads between WAIR on deposits and advances, across types of financial intermediaries and
major sectors of the economy, ploted in the following charts (page 09), show a steady but
elevated stance in response to the reference rate.
8
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
c. Sector-wise breakdown of interest rate spread of all scheduled banks
(Percent)
Sector-wise break down of interest rate spread of all scheduled banks
All other sectors
SME Agriculture Large Industries Services
(excluding SME)
WAIR* WAIR* WAIR* WAIR* WAIR*
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
Spread
on on on on on
advances advances advances advances advances
FY23
June 6.99 2.61 7.39 3.01 7.48 3.10 7.23 2.85 7.66 3.28
FY23
July 7.39 2.93 7.82 3.36 7.96 3.50 7.70 3.24 8.36 3.90
August 7.45 2.93 7.94 3.42 8.23 3.71 7.77 3.25 8.38 3.86
September 7.49 2.97 7.91 3.39 8.29 3.77 7.74 3.22 8.40 3.88
October 7.57 3.02 7.96 3.41 8.30 3.75 7.83 3.28 8.45 3.90
Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank.
*WAIR = Weighted Average Interest Rate. # Revised.
3.6 3.75
3.1 3.28
Percent
3.02
2.6
2.1
SME Agriculture Large Industry Service
1.6
Oct'22
Dec'22
Oct'23
Jan'23
Feb'23
Mar'23
Jul'23
Sep'23
Nov'22
Apr'23
Jun'23
May'23
Aug'23
2.00
2.90
1.00
2.70
2.50 0.00
Oct'22
Dec'22
Oct'23
Jan'23
Feb'23
Mar'23
Jul'23
Sep'23
Nov'22
Apr'23
Jun'23
May'23
Aug'23
9
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The DSE Broad Index (DSEX) moved up by 0.38 percent (m-o-m) in December 2023.
Market capitalization increased by 1.17 percent (m-o-m) to BDT 780849.60 crore at the end of
December 2023 which is 15.60 percent of nominal GDP.
Total turnover in terms of value increased by 7.45 percent (m-o-m), while its’ volume increased by 29.19
percent (m-o-m) at the end of December 2023 respectively.
The relative strength index (RSI) of DSEX increased to 36.58 in December 2023 from that of index
32.34 in November 2023, indicating oversold situation of the stock market.
The PE ratio slightly moved down to 13.12 in December 2023 from 14.53 in November 2023.
The DSE Shariah index moved up to 1346.15 in December 2023 from 1341.86 in November 2023.
The number of enlisted issues (of securities) increased to 654 in December 2023 compared to 650 in
November 2023, thus issued capital (of listed securities) also increased as well in December 2023.
The share of individual industries in total turnover is shown in the pie chart:
Share of sectoral turnover, December 2023 Market capitalization and index of DSE
Financial
Miscellane Banks Institutions 10000 Capitalisation (LHS) 11200
ous 6.09% Others 2.27% 0.93%
18.80% DSEX (RHS) 9200
Insurance 8000
Food &
10.63%
Allied
billion BDT
Telecomm 7200
unication Product 6000
0.14% 8.27% 5200
Fuel 4000
&Power 3200
2.66% 2000 1200
Pharmaceu
Mutual ticals & 0 -800
Chemicals
June'23
Oct'23
Jan'23
Dec'22
Mar'23
Dec'23
Apr'23
Feb'23
May'23
Sep'23
Nov'23
Aug'23
July'23
Funds
Cement Engineerin Textile 16.34%
5.87%
1.64% g 16.51% 9.84%
10
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
6. Public finance
a. Government tax revenue collections
(Taka in crore)
Total revenue collections 2/
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
during
NBR Tax Revenue 171679.14 202312.94 223892.42 218406.05 259881.8 301633.84 331454.88
(185000.00) (225000.00) (280000.00) (300500.00) (301000.00) (330000.00) (370000.00)
1/ 6282.39 7041.07 6031.9 3950.11 4918.3 6990.92 7555.59
Non-NBR Tax Revenue
(7261.00) (7202.00) (9600.00) (12567.00) (15000.00) (16000.00) (18000.00)
Total Tax Revenue 177961.53 209354.01 229924.32 222356.16 264800.1 308624.76 339010.47
(192261.00) (232202.00) (289600.00) (313068.00) (316000.00) (346000.00) (388000.00)
Note:- Figures in parentheses indicate the target of revenue collection.
1/ Before FY22 Non-NBR tax revenue included narcotics & liquor duty, taxes on vehicals, road tax, land revenue and stamp duty (non judicial);2/ According to iBAS++ from FY22
onwards.Non-NBR tax revenue includes taxes on financial and capital transactions, narcotic and liquor duty, taxes on use of goods and on permission to use goods or perform
activities and stamp duty. 3/Data for non-NBR tax revenue available up to June 2023 (FY23) since October 2023.
(BDT in crore)
NBR Tax Revenue Non-NBR Total Tax
Customs Tax Revenue
VAT Income Tax Others* Total 2/
duties Revenue Collections
1 2 3 4 5=(1+..+4) 6 7=(5+6)
R
FY23
December 2722.65 10289.38 10991.98 5609.80 29613.81 550.33 30164.14
17862.66 55653.10 43959.03 27956.69 145431.48 3491.01 148922.49
July-December
(+10.99) (+39.71) (+12.08)
FY24P
December 2975.63 11991.31 12231.98 6081.54 33280.46 203.21 33483.67
19371.67 68688.28 50789.71 26780.15 165629.81 2917.56 168547.37
July-December
(+13.89) (-16.43) (+13.18)
Source: National Board of Revenue and Office of the Controller General of Accounts, Bangladesh, P=Provisional, R=Revised. Note:-* others include
supp lementary tax (local+imp ort), Exp ort, Excise duty , Turnover tax and Travel tax. Figures in the parentheses indicate percentage changes over the
corresp onding period of the preceding year. NA=Not Available. #Data for total tax revenue is not available from July 2023, as Non-NBR tax revenue is
not available.
NBR tax revenue collection grew by 13.89 percent (y-o-y) during July-December of 2023. VAT,
income tax and customs duty stood at 41.47 percent, 30.66 percent and 11.70 percent of total
NBR tax revenue respectively during the period under review.
This collection during July-December of FY24 was 38.52 percent of the target set for FY24
(target for NBR tax revenue collection have been set at BDT 4,30,000.00 crore in the budget for
FY24).
Total tax revenue (NBR and Non-NBR) during July-December of FY24 grew by 13.18 percent
(y-o-y) and stood at BDT 168547.37 crore (plotted in the following chart on the left-hand side).
20
percent
20
13.18
15 13.89
0 10
10.99
-20 5
Jul-23
Jan-23
Jun-23
Sep-23
Feb-23
Apr-23
Oct-23
Dec-22
Mar-23
Dec-23
May-23
Aug-23
Nov-23
0
May
Jun.
Sep.
Feb.
Mar.
Nov.
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Apr.
Dec.
Aug.
11
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
12
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Percent
July-December of FY24 compared to the same period of the previous -400
fiscal year.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Nov.
Jan.
Apr.
Aug.
Feb.
Sep.
Oct.
Dec.
May.
substantially by 95.16 percent (y-o-y) resulting in a net repayment of
Outstanding amount of NSC stood at BDT 354641.79 crore at the end of December 2023, which was 1.73 percent lower compared to the same
13
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total
Net borrowing of Net non-bank
Total Net foreign Total financing as Outstanding Outstanding domestic
the Govt. from borrowing of the
FY domestic financing 3/ financing % of GDP @
Domestic debt debt as % of GDP@
the banking Govt. from the
1/ financing at current (end period)4/ at current market price
system public 2/
market price
1 2 3 4=(2+3) 5 6=(4+5) 7 8 9
FY19 18269.30 53928.68 72197.98 42084.37 114282.35 3.87 428262.35 14.51
FY20 66907.60 22986.27 89893.87 50999.13 140893.00 4.44 518156.22 16.34
FY21 39790.00 44280.64 84070.64 47402.71 131473.35 3.72 602226.86 17.06
FY22 61940.50 26925.08 88865.58 73197.27 162072.00 4.08 691092.44 17.40
FY23 102017.30 7651.84 109669.14 74645.22 184314.36 4.15 800761.58 18.04
July-December of FY23 9952.20 2954.38 12906.58 28525.57 41432.15 0.93 703999.02 15.86
July-December of FY24 -35796.00 7387.83 -28408.17 34192.72 5784.56 0.12 772353.41 15.43
Source: Statistics Department and Debt Management Department, Bangladesh Bank; Department of National Savings (DNS); Ministry of Finance & Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).
1/ 2/
Excludes interest. Includes treasury bills & bonds (both in face value, Bangladesh Government Investment Sukuk included since December 2020) held by the non-bank financial institutions through secondary
3/
auctions, Net sale (NSCs) and excludes P.Bonds/income tax Bonds. Total foreign aid disbursement less amortization payment (converted using cummulative exchange rate of the corresponding period).
4/
Outstanding Domestic Debt (end period)= Outstanding domestic debt of a fiscal year + Total Domestic financing of the following fiscal year. @ Actual GDP and estimated annual GDP for FY23 as published by
BBS. nominal GDP (base 2015-16=100) has been used.Estimated GDP for FY23 is as per Medium Term Macroeconomic Framework (MTMF) of MoF.
Net repayment of the government from the banking system reached BDT 35796.00 crore while, non-bank borrowing of the government
from the public reached BDT 7387.83 crore. The large repayment to banking system resulted in a net domestic repayment of BDT
Net foreign financing increased by 19.87 percent (y-o-y) to BDT 34192.72 crore during the period under review.
14
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Despite the larger domestic repayment, borrowing of the government was BDT 5784.56 crore during July-December of FY24 compared to
As per budget for FY24, targets for government’s borrowing from the banking system (net), non-banking system (net) and foreign sources
(net) for FY24 has been set at BDT 1323.95 billion, BDT 230.00 billion and BDT 1024.90 billion respectively. Total deficit financing
15
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (December, 2023)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
9.0
9.41
8.52 percent. The rise in nonfood inflation was 8.0
offset by the greater fall in food inflation and 7.0
contributed to the decrease in the headline 6.0
12 month average Point to Point
(p-t-p) inflation. 5.0
Oct'23
Apr'23
Jun'23
Feb'23
Sep'23
Dec'22
Mar'23
Dec'23
Nov'22
May'23
Aug'23
Nov'23
1
BBS has changed the base of CPI from 2005-06 to 2021-22 along with new basket weights, methodologies and introducing classification of Individual
Consumption by Purpose (COICOP). (Details about the new base can be found in the volumes before 09/2023 September 2023, of this document.)
2
Base shifted from FY06 to FY22 for point to point general index and twelve month average general index. Inflation is calculated accordingly.
16
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (December, 2023)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
WRI growth
Headline wage rate index (point to point) grew
by 7.74 percent (y-o-y) in December 2023 10.0
Base shifted from Base:
FY11 to FY22 FY2021-22=100
compared to that of November 2023.
9.0
Wage rate index in Agriculture sector grew by
7.74
Percent
8.0
8.07 percent (y-o-y) in December 2023
7.03
compared to 8.03 percent of November 2023. 7.0
Sep'23
Mar'23
Nov'23
Jul'23
Jan'23
Oct'23
Dec'22
Apr'23
Dec'23
Aug'23
May'23
Among the eight divisions of Bangladesh, Dhaka experienced 7.32 percent (y-o-y) growth
in WRI, Chattogram experienced 6.61 percent, Rajshahi 7.10 percent, Rangpur 8.42
percent, Khulna 7.25 percent, Barishal 6.90 percent, Sylhet 6.33 percent; while the new
division Mymensingh had the wage rate index of 113.48 in December, which was 112.67 in
November 2023.
1
BBS has changed the base of WRI from 2010-11 to 2021-22, with the help of Labor Force Survey 2016-17, and have been publishing with this new base
since July 2023.
17
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
8. Industrial production
a. Industrial production of manufacturing industry
The production index of all manufacturing enterprises (large, SMME and cottage) decreased
by 0.84 percent to 191.02 in October 2023 from 192.64 in October 2022.
Percent
The industrial sector contributed 35.55 10 7.58
Nov
May
Mar
Jun
Sep
Feb
Jul
Aug
Dec
Oct
Jan
Apr
percent to GDP in FY23.
Monthly Average
General Percentage Average Percentage
Period
Index change (y-o-y) index change (y-o-y)
Jul-22 174.34 10.64
Aug-22 187.68 13.39 July-August, FY23 181.01 12.05
Sep-22 174.89 -5.09 July-September, FY23 178.97 5.82
Oct-22 189.54 0.33 July-October, FY23 181.61 4.33
Nov-22 216.82 17.71 July-November, FY23 188.65 7.13
Dec-22 235.20 12.74 July-December, FY23 196.41 8.21
Jan-23 228.70 6.97 July-January, FY23 201.02 8.00
Feb-23 198.50 6.32 July-February, FY23 200.71 7.79
Mar-23 205.18 4.65 July-March, FY23 201.21 7.43
Apr-23 186.32 -3.37 July-April, FY23 199.72 6.32
May-23 202.04 17.73 July-May, FY23 199.93 7.27
Jun-23 221.54 4.62 FY23 201.73 7.02
Jul-23 202.46 16.13
Aug-23 205.17 9.32 July-August, FY24 203.82 12.60
Sep-23 192.99 10.35 July-September, FY24 200.21 11.87
Oct-23 180.92 -4.55 July-October, FY24 195.39 7.58
Source: Bangaldesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).
P = Provisional.
c. Index of Industrial Production (IIP) of small, medium and micro enterprise (SMME) and
small-scale (cottage) manufacturing industry (Base: FY2015-16 = 100)1
The general index industrial production of small, medium and micro enterprise (SMME)
increased by 2.28 percent (y-o-y) and reached 205.07 in October 2023.
The general production index for small scale manufacturing industry (cottage) increased by
4.65 percent to 196.84 in October 2023 compared to the same month of the previous year.
However, the said index was 2.24 percent lower compared to the previous month (September
2023).
1
According to base: FY2015-16=100. Monthly data were introduced instead of quarterly data for the new base (FY2015-
16=100) since October 2022.
18
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
9. Food Situations
(In lac metric ton)
Food grai n Imports Foodgrai
Actual Domesti c Publ i c n Stock
Fi scal Producti on Producti on Net Domesti c Publ i c
Domesti c (Publ i c)*
Year Target Producti on* Publ i c** Pri vate Total Di stri buti on
(Gross) 1 Procurement ** (End
June)
FY18 372.97 373.76 336.38 13.91 83.83 97.74 15.35 21.17 13.15
FY19 373.12 374.08 336.67 5.44 52.90 58.34 24.15 25.94 16.74
FY20 399.69 376.32 338.69 4.36 60.02 64.38 18.71 27.77 11.20
FY21 395.53 386.93 348.24 10.52 56.50 67.02 15.53 32.63 14.48
FY22 407.08 392.31 353.08 12.29 37.70 49.99 20.20 30.77 16.07
1
FY23 427.32 402.19 361.97 13.14 36.17 49.31 19.43 30.08 18.48
T
FY24 446.50 ---- ---- 11.00 ---- 11.00 20.74 33.53 ----
Note : T =Target. ---- = Data not avaiable; 1 Actual Domestic Production (gross) for Rice (Aus, Aman & Boro) and wheat. B = Boro, R =
Revised, (import, procrument and distribution are revised),
1
*= After 10% deduction for seed, feed, waste etc., **Including food aid, ***Including transit, Rice= Aus, Aman and Boro. , Production of
Aus and Aman for FY22 .
(In lac metric ton)
Parti cul ars Jul y-January, FY24 Jul y-January, FY23
Food production (rice and wheat) reached 402.19 lac metric tons in FY23.
Food grain (Aus, Aman, Boro and wheat) production target for FY24 is set at 446.50 lac metric tons.
Import (rice and wheat), distribution (rice and wheat) and procurement of rice (Aman and Boro) rose
by 6.24 lac metric tons (y-o-y), 1.65 lac metric tons (y-o-y) and 2.55 lac metric tons (y-o-y)
respectively during July-January of FY24.
Stock of food grains was lower by 3.14 lac metric tons at the end of January of FY24 compared to the
same period of the previous fiscal year.
30
550 24.04
446.5 25
19.57
450 20
16.43
12.56 15
350 402.19 10.01
10
250
5
150 0
FY21
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY22
FY23
FY24
19
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
BDT in crore
2621.66
2000 600
1500 400
1000 424.39
200
500 FY23 FY24 FY23 FY24
0 0
May
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Dec.
Sep.
Feb.
Apr.
Jun.
Aug.
Nov.
Mar.
May
Jul.
Jan.
Oct.
Jun.
Dec.
Sep.
Apr.
Feb.
Mar.
Aug.
Nov.
Total disbursement of agriculture and non-farm rural credit registered at BDT 18326.17 crore during
July-December of FY24, of which BDT 15692.27 crore was disbursed as agriculture credit and BDT
2633.90 crore as non-farm rural credit.
The disbursement of agricultural credit grew by 14.07 percent (y-o-y) during July-December of FY24,
down from 20.91 percent during the same period of previous fiscal year. Non-farm rural credit, on the
other hand, decreased by 9.61 percent (y-o-y) during July-December of FY24.
Recovery of agriculture credit showed 9.80 percent (y-o-y) growth, while that of non-farm rural credit
decreased by 0.24 perccent (y-o-y) during July-December of FY24.
c. Overdue and outstanding agriculture and non-farm rural credit
(BDT in crore)
P R
FY24 FY23
End Month Overdue as % Overdue Outstanding Overdue as %
Overdue Outstanding
of outstanding of outstanding
December 8084.15 55395.32 14.59 7212.15 50997.35 14.14
(+12.09) (+8.62) (+4.03) (+7.00)
Source: Agricultural Credit Department, Bangladesh Bank.
Note:- Figures in parenthesis indicate percentage changes over the corresponding period of the preceding year. P = Provisional, R = Revised.
Overdue of agriculture and non-farm rural credit as percentage of its total outstanding slightly
increased and stood at 14.59 in December of FY24 compared to the same period of FY23, while it
was lower compared to 15.28 percent in November of FY24.
Outstanding agriculture and non-farm rural credit registered 8.62 percent (y-o-y) growth at the end of
December 2023. 20
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Overdue Outstanding
End Period
LSI MSI SSCI Total LSI MSI SSCI Total
June, 2022 34851.82 11738.42 4338.28 50928.52 246669.08 49664.12 24077.02 320410.22
June, 2023 41588.82 12414.37 5587.23 59590.42 305269.01 57555.00 32493.81 395317.82
Source: SME & Special Programmes Department, Bangladesh Bank .
Note:- Figures in parentheses indicate changes over the same period of the previous year.
LSI=Large Scale Industries, MSI=Medium Scale Industries, SSCI= Small Scale & Cottage Industries.
Total disbursement and total recovery of industrial term loans increased by 31.52 percent (y-o-
y) and 64.03 percent (y-o-y) respectively in FY23 as compared to their levels of FY22.
Disbursement and recovery of industrial term loans also increased by 22.01 percent (y-o-y)
and 2.72 percent (y-o-y) during April-June, the last quarter of FY23 against the same period of
Outstanding amount of industrial term loans at the end of June 2023 stood at BDT 395317.82
crore.
Overdue of industrial term loans at the end of June 2023 was BDT 59590.42 crore, which was
21
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Banks/NBFIs Non-Bank
State-owned Foreign Specialised
CMSME Loans Private Banks Financial Total
Banks Banks Banks
FY/Quarter Institutions
1
Table presented using latest available data and will be updated when new data is available.
22
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
12. Export
a. Annual exports
(USD in million)
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23R
36668.17 40535.04 33674.12 38758.31 52082.66 55558.77
(+5.81) (+10.55) (-16.93) (+15.10) (+34.38) (+6.67)
Source : Export Promotion Bureau (EPB), Bangladesh.
b. Monthly exports
(USD in million)
P R
Month FY24 FY23
July 4592.92 3984.81
August 4782.19 4607.00
September 4310.33 3905.07
October 3762.03 4356.62
November 4784.81 5092.56
December 5308.09 5365.19
January 5724.34 5136.24
July-January 33264.71 32447.49
(+2.52) (+9.81)
Export target is set at USD 62000.00 million for FY24.
S o urc e : Expo rt P ro m o tio n B ure au (EP B ), B anglade s h.
R =R e v is e d data; P =P ro v is io nal. S trate gic targe t during J uly-M ay o f FY 23
N o te :- Figure s in pare nthe s e s indic ate pe rc e ntage c hange s o v e r the
c o rre s po nding pe rio d o f the pre c e ding ye ar.
5000
20.00 5136.24
Percent
9.81 4000
10.00
3000
2.52
0.00 2000
-10.00 FY23 FY24 1000 FY24 FY23
-20.00 0
May
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Nov.
Mar.
May
Feb.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Sep.
Mar.
Feb.
23
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Exports increased mainly due to increasing demand for knitwear, which contributed 48.64 percent
share of the country’s export and increased by 8.15 percent (y-o-y) during July-January of FY24.
The readymade garment products (knitwear and woven garments) contributed the lion’s share
(85.27 percent) of the country’s exports during the period.
Among all others items, exports of plastic products (+15.48%), chemical products (+11.60%), and
agricultural products (+4.44%) increased during July-January of FY24.
There were the highest decreases in exports of home textiles (-34.37%), followed by frozen and
live fish (-14.90%), leather and leather products (-14.33%), jute and jute goods (-6.85%),
engineering products (-6.41%) and woven garments (-2.20%) during July-January of FY24 as
compared to the preceding fiscal year. The highest reduction of exports by volume occurred in
exports of woven garments during the period.
24
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
13. Imports
a. Custom-based import, import LCs settlement and LCs opening
(USD in million)
Custom based import (c&f) Import LCs opening Import LCs settlement
P R P1
Month FY23 FY22 FY23 FY23P 1
July-June 75061.60 89162.30 67632.90 72856.21
(-15.81) (+35.93) (-26.67) (-12.94)
Month FY24 P
FY23 R
FY24 P2
FY24P 2
July 5384.60 6338.10 5028.16 6174.05
August 5247.60 7375.30 6383.12 5761.59
September 5277.20 7191.90 5210.95 4700.53
October 5962.70 6654.70 5845.19 5608.41
November 5890.80 7591.60 5505.51 5868.94
December 5232.60 6042.90 4956.38 5569.99
July-December 32995.50 41194.50 32929.31 33683.51
(-19.90) (-2.20) (-5.33) (-18.19)
Source: National Board of Revenue (NBR), Bangladesh and Foreign Exchange Operations Department
(FEOD), Bangladesh Bank .
Note:- Figures in the parentheses indicate percentage changes over the corresponding period of the
preceding year. P = Provisional; R= Revised; NA= Not Available. 2. Customs based c& f data incorporated
in MEI since February, 2015 onwards with the
1 approval of competent authority.
Data retrieved from OIMS on 11.07.2023; 2 Data retrieved from OIMS on 14.01.2024.
Custom based imports decreased by USD 8199.00 million or 19.90 percent (y-o-y) during July-
December of FY24, it had also decreased by 2.20 percent during July-December of FY23. The fall in
imports might be the outcome of a number of initiatives taken by the central bank as well as the
government since April 2022, i.e., close monitoring of LC opening with price rationalization along
with allowing depreciation of local currency.
Meanwhile, opening of import LCs fell by 5.33 percent (y-o-y) during July-December of FY24.
30 8000
Percent
6042.90
20
10 6000
-2.20
0 4000 5232.6
-10
-20 -19.90 2000 FY23 FY24
-30
0
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
May.
May
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
25
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Change of July-December of
July-December July-December FY24 over July-December of
Particulars
of FY24 of FY23 FY23
In amount In Percent
Food Grains 767.10 1323.70 -556.60 -42.05
Rice 9.30 390.20 -380.90 -97.62
Wheat 757.80 933.50 -175.70 -18.82
Consume r Goods 2314.50 2877.40 -562.90 -19.56
Edible Oil 1140.40 1752.40 -612.00 -34.92
Sugar 576.20 412.60 163.60 39.65
Others 597.90 712.40 -114.50 -16.07
Inte rme diate Goods 19924.30 25017.80 -5093.50 -20.36
Crude Petroleum 580.20 469.40 110.80 23.60
Raw Cotton 1640.30 2683.30 -1043.00 -38.87
Textile and Articles thereof 3657.70 4225.70 -568.00 -13.44
Others 14046.10 17639.40 -3593.30 -20.37
Capital Goods 5586.90 7298.20 -1711.30 -23.45
Capital Machinary 2058.80 2660.10 -601.30 -22.60
Other Capital Goods 3528.10 4638.10 -1110.00 -23.93
Othe rs 4402.70 4677.40 -274.70 -5.87
TOTAL 32995.50 41194.50 -8199.00 -19.90
Source: Statistics Dep artment, Bangladesh Bank
Among the categories, intermediate goods, capital goods, consumer goods and food grains had
60.38 percent, 16.93 percent, 7.01 percent and 2.32 percent share respectively to total custom-
Decline in the imports of capital goods (23.45 percent), intermediate goods (20.36 percent) and
26
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Item wise share of LCs opening during July-December of FY24 and July-December of FY23 are
shown in the following pie diagrams. Item-wise detailed data of fresh opening and settlement of
import LCs during July-December of FY24 and July-December of FY23 are also given in the
appendix.
Item-wise share of LC opening during Item-wise share of LC opening during
July-December of FY23 July-December of FY24
Industrial Capital Machinery Petroleum &
raw materials machinery for misc. petro.prodts.
35.55% 3.81% Capital inds. 3.57% 14.41%
Intermediate Others
goods 7.44% Machinery machinery 27.72%
for misc. 4.07%
inds. 3.64%
Industrial raw
materials
Consumer 33.73%
goods Petroleum &
petro.prodts. Consumer
11.65% Intermediate goods 9.64%
Others 14.45%
goods 6.85%
23.47%
d. Projection of opening import LCs and probable liabilities against back to back LCs of
authorized dealer banks
(USD in million)
Probable liabilities of banks against
Month Opening of import LCs
back to back LCs
Jan'24 4545.13 906.42
Feb'24 4542.34 846.64
Mar'24 4681.01 754.57
Jan-Mar, FY24 13768.48 2507.63
Source: Compiled by Monetary Policy Department (MPD), Bangladesh Bank on the basis of the statements of all authorized dealer
banks.
The projection of import LCs opening during January-March of FY24 was USD 13768.48 million
which was higher than the projection of USD 12827.89 million during January-March of FY23.The
probable liability against back to back LCs was USD 2507.63 million during January-March of FY24
which was 38.46 percent of foreign currency holdings (Nostro account net balance+Investment in
OBU+FC balances with Bangladesh Bank) of AD banks as on 31 January 2024.
27
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Total workers’ remittances inflow increased by USD 448.50 million or 3.60 percent to USD
12900.63 million during July-January of FY24 compared to that of July-January of FY23. This
increase in inward remittances during July-January FY24 may be a result of depreciation of BDT
and new incentive opportunity extended by banks, with effect from 22 October 2023, which
allows up to 2.5 percent incentive on inward remittances in addition to the existing 2.5 percent
incentive facility by the government.
Inflow of workers’ remittances registered USD 2100.95 million in January 2024, which was 7.25
percent higher compared to the same month of previous year and it was also 5.51 percent higher
compared to the previous month of the same year.
2100.95
Percent
20
2000 4.25
1500 1958.87 0
3.60
1000 -20
500 -40
FY24 FY23
FY24 FY23
0 -60
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Sep.
Mar.
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Nov.
Feb.
May.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Apr.
Oct.
Dec.
Jan.
Aug.
Nov.
Sep.
Mar.
Feb.
28
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
The U.A.E. appeared as the largest remittance sender country during July-January of FY24 while
U.S.A has been the top remittance sender country for the same period of FY23.
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries (K.S.A, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Bahrain) had
49.32 percent share of total inflow of remittances during July-January of FY24, whereas about
10.33 percent of total remittance came from U.S.A. during the period under review.
In the top ten list, among the European countries, the U.K. and Italy contributed combindly to
19.46 percent of total remittances received during July-January of FY24.
29
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
June of FY23. 20
Sep.23
Mar.23
Nov.23
Jul.23
Jan.23
Jan.24
Oct.23
Dec.23
Apr.23
Aug.23
May.23
Year
5.20
July 5900.52 4881.49
B. Outstanding August 5808.74 5018.67 4.60
reserve at the end September 6174.01 4904.99 4.00
of the month October 5924.02 4505.60 3.40
November 5970.87 4708.18 2.80
December 5559.65 4795.90 2.20
Jul.23
Jan.23
Jan.24
Jun.23
Oct.23
Feb.23
Sep.23
Apr.23
Dec.23
Mar.23
Aug.23
Nov.23
May.23
Gross foreign exchange held by commercial banks increased by 20.52 percent (y-o-y) at the end of
January 2024.
It also increased by 5.12 percent compared to December 2023.
30
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
July 0.00 405.79 405.79 170.78 235.00 0.00 488.04 488.04 136.48 351.55
August 0.00 333.28 333.28 117.73 215.56 0.00 376.26 376.26 79.81 296.45
September 5.50 543.87 549.37 241.08 308.29 12.50 472.45 484.95 197.02 287.94
October 0.00 344.45 344.45 133.12 211.33 0.00 690.81 690.81 138.25 552.56
November 0.00 648.33 648.33 163.43 484.89 0.00 491.88 491.88 131.55 360.32
December 5.00 1777.61 1782.61 127.89 1654.71 12.50 1236.13 1248.63 108.42 1140.21
July-December 10.50 4053.33 4063.83 954.04 3109.79 25.00 3755.57 3780.57 791.53 2989.03
(+7.93) (+7.49) (+20.53) (+4.04) (-10.57) (-10.03) (+1.72) (-12.70)
Source: Forex Reserve & Treasury Management Department (FRTMD), Bangladesh Bank & Economic Relations Division, Ministry of Finance.
Note:- Figures in the parenthesis indicate percentage changes (y-o-y). P = Provisional, Project Aid includes grant and loan; food aid indicates
food grant.
3000
3780.57
4063.83
3109.79
2500
2989.03
foreign aid was also higher by USD 120.76
2000
million or 4.04 percent (y-o-y) during July- 1500
1000
December of FY24. 500
31
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Sep-22
Dec-22
Feb-23
Jun-23
Sep-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jul-22
Aug-22
Jul-23
Aug-23
Jan-23
Oct-22
Oct-23
1/
Starting from 01 July, 2023 Bangladesh Bank has been using the interbank exchange rate for transaction in the foreign
exchange market.
32
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
R R
July-December July-December
Particulars FY22 FY23
R P
of FY23 of FY24
Trade balance -33250 -17163 -12312 -4595
Exports f.o.b(including EPZ) 49245 52332 25820 25985
Imports f.o.b(including EPZ) 82495 69495 38132 30580
Services -3987 -4384 -2055 -2344
Credit 8531 6971 3774 3083
Debit 12518 11355 5829 5427
Primary income -2726 -3407 -1402 -2253
Credit 345 443 212 272
Debit 3071 3850 1614 2525
Of which:Official interest payment 518 1030 311 729
Secondary income 21767 22289 10847 11119
Official transfers 65 88 38 23
Private transfers 21702 22201 10809 11096
of which : Workers' remittances (current a/c. 0 21493 10437 10743
portion)**
Current account balance -18196 -2665 -4922 1927
Capital account 610 475 171 160
Capital transfers 610 475 171 160
Financial account 16691 -2078 144 -5390
i) Foreign direct investment(net)* 1827 1649 894 755
ii) Portfolio investment (net) -158 -30 -25 -80
of which : Workers' remittances (financial a/c. 114 118 56 55
portion)**
iii) Other investment(net) 15022 -3697 -725 -6065
Medium and long-term (MLT) loans 10295 8704 3572 3882
MLT amortization payments 1527 1745 792 951
Other long-term loans (net) 1443 434 -7 407
Other short-term loans (net) 3315 -1883 219 -1315
Trade credit (net) 311 -6436 -2045 -7439
DMBs & NBDCs(net) 1185 -2771 -1672 -649
Assets 791 799 401 -219
Liabilities 1976 -1973 -1271 -868
Errors and omissions -5761 -3954 -1846 -369
Overall balance -6656 -8222 -6453 -3672
Reserve assets 6656 8222 6453 3672
Bangladesh Bank(net) 6656 8222 6453 3672
Assets -4987 -8766 -7345 -2970
Liabilities 1669 -544 -892 702
Gross official reserves (as per BPM6) 33386 24754 26023 21868
Gross official reserves 41827 31203 33748 27130
In months of imports of goods and services (prospective) 6.2 4.9 5.6 4.8
33
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Current account balance recorded a surplus of USD 1.93 billion during July-December of FY24
compared to a deficit of USD 4.92 billion during July-December of FY23, mainly supported by
lower trade deficit during the period.
Overall balance incurred a lower deficit of USD 3.67 billion during July-December of FY24
compared to USD 6.45 billion deficit during July-December of FY23. Despite the surplus in
current account balance, a deficit in the financial account of USD 5.39 billion resulted in this lower
deficit in overall balance during the period under review. The deficit in financial account was
mainly attributed by deficits in trade credit net (USD 7.44 billion) and other net short term loans
(USD 1.32 billion).
The foreign exchange reserves of December 2023 was sufficient to pay import of goods for 5.2
months (cif, prospective) which is higher from 4.8 months in November 2023.
-2000
5.5
-4000 5.20
Months
-3672 5.0
-6000 -4595 -4922
-8000 -6453 4.5
-10000 4.0
-12000
-12312 3.5
-14000
Trade Balance Current Account Overall Balance 3.0
Jun.23
Feb.23
Sep.23
Nov.22
Mar.23
Nov.23
Jul.23
Jan.23
Oct.23
Dec.22
Apr.23
Dec.23
Aug.23
Balance May.23
34
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Appendix A
Break-up of fresh opening and settlement of import LCs
(USD in million )
Percentage changes
during July-December of
July-December of FY24 July-December of FY23
FY24 over July-
December of FY23
Items Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement
A. Consumer goods 3174.05 3225.47 4051.16 4162.76 -21.65 -22.52
Rice and wheat 775.77 693.09 1365.10 1119.05 -43.17 -38.06
Sugar and salt 492.35 611.26 341.91 359.80 44.00 69.89
Milk food 145.05 189.82 142.55 182.66 1.75 3.92
Edible oil (refined) 634.57 681.33 1092.69 1277.25 -41.93 -46.66
All kinds of fruits 197.21 135.98 148.66 136.95 32.66 -0.71
Pulses 108.11 110.62 107.42 130.54 0.65 -15.26
Onion 162.89 157.84 76.67 68.93 112.46 128.99
Spices 231.00 237.54 112.02 127.13 106.21 86.85
Second hand clothings 0.59 0.16 2.33 1.09 -74.43 -84.96
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Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
36
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Update (January, 2024)
Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
Appendix B
Major Economic Indicators: Monthly Updates (MEI) Publication Panel
Chief Adviser
Chief Editor
Assistant Editor
Contributor
37