Sustainability 16 00658 v2
Sustainability 16 00658 v2
Article
Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Traffic Flow in Rural and
Urban Areas Using a Traffic Flow Simulator
Makoto Fujiu 1, * , Yuma Morisaki 1 and Jyunich Takayama 2
1 Faculty of Transdisciplinary Sciences for Innovation, Institute of Transdisciplinary Sciences for Innovation,
Kanazawa University, Kanazawa 920-1192, Japan; [email protected]
2 Graduate School of Sustainable Systems Science, Komatsu University, Komatsu 923-8511, Japan;
[email protected]
* Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +81-76-234-4914
Abstract: Autonomous vehicles have the potential to significantly improve modes of transportation,
and many businesses and research facilities are developing such systems. Although there are studies
on the social implementation of autonomous vehicles, these studies are based on limited conditions
such as predetermined driving environments. Therefore, in this study, we target urban areas and
rural areas, and we simulate a behavioral algorithm for autonomous vehicles being developed
and owned by Kanazawa University. In this study, a traffic flow simulation system (Aimsun) was
constructed to reproduce the current situation of traffic flow in the city during normal times, using
data from a person-trip survey conducted by the local government. In addition, we varied the mixing
rate of automated vehicles and evaluated its effect on the delay time between ODs. We assume
the gradual replacement of existing vehicles by autonomous vehicles on actual road networks and
for realistic traffic volumes, and we investigate their impact on traffic flow. We vary the mixing
rate of autonomous vehicles into actual traffic environments, and we measure the delay in the
origin-destination (OD) interval to evaluate the impact of autonomous vehicles on traffic flow. The
results obtained show that as the mixing rate of autonomous vehicles increases, the delay between
OD intervals increases. Then, once the mixing rate exceeds a certain value, the delay between OD
intervals gradually decreased. The delay time for all vehicles slightly increases as the mixing rate of
autonomous vehicles increased from 10 to 45%. When the mixing rate increased from 45 to 50%, the
delay time for all vehicles decreased notably, and when the mixing rate was 50 to 100%, it remained
Citation: Fujiu, M.; Morisaki, Y.; constant. Analytical results showed that when socially implementing autonomous vehicles, their
Takayama, J. Impact of Autonomous
mixing rate impacts the traffic flow; thus, there is a need to determine appropriate distribution
Vehicles on Traffic Flow in Rural and
scenarios and areas for implementation.
Urban Areas Using a Traffic Flow
Simulator. Sustainability 2024, 16, 658.
Keywords: autonomous vehicle; traffic flow; simulation; impact analysis
https://doi.org/10.3390/su16020658
increase by about 43%. On the other hand, if all vehicles use both sensors and vehicle-to-
vehicle communications, the increase is about 273%. The above results clearly indicate
that inter-vehicle communication is essential for the introduction of automated vehicles.
However, since inter-vehicle communication cannot be considered in this study, the
importance of inter-vehicle communication is discussed here [30]. The goal of this study
is to analyze the impact of connected automated vehicles (CAVs) on traffic safety under
different penetration rates. The mixed traffic flows of both conventional vehicles and
CAVs were simulated and the values of frequency of dangerous situations and time to
collision in mixed traffic flows under different CAV penetration rates were calculated. The
results were used as an indicator of the impact of CAVs on road safety. The distributions
of acceleration and velocity differences for mixed traffic flows were presented to show
the evolution of mixed traffic flow dynamics with increasing CAV penetration in the
mixed flow. Results show that the road safety situation improved significantly with
increasing CAV penetration rates. it was found that the more cautious vehicles following
systems of CAVs provide significant road safety benefits, albeit with little increase in
carrying capacity. The percentage of smooth running increases with increasing CAV
penetration rates. The CAVs are more likely to be used in mixed traffic flows. The
percentage of smooth running will increase. Speed differentials between vehicles are
reduced and traffic flows are significantly smoother. It also reveals that stop-and-go traffic
is greatly mitigated [31,32]. Upon reviewing existing studies on autonomous vehicles,
this study developed an algorithm that enables autonomous vehicles to drive in traffic
flow simulations (Aimun 8.0) and aimed to evaluate the impact on traffic flow when
introduced to an actual traffic environment. Because autonomous vehicles are driven
under predetermined constraints, their driving behaviors differ from those of general
vehicles. Therefore, their coexistence with general vehicles will have both positive and
negative impacts. However, as it is currently complex to introduce autonomous driving in
actual traffic flows, we evaluated the impact of introducing autonomous vehicles in actual
traffic flows using traffic flow simulation software. The implementation of the behavior
algorithm for automated vehicles developed at Kanazawa University into a traffic flow
simulation system, the reproduction of traffic flow on the traffic flow simulation system
based on a person-trip survey, and the evaluation of the effect of mixing automated
vehicles into the traffic flow on road traffic during normal times are innovative points,
and the measurement of the delay time between ODs enables the formulation of road
traffic policies. In this study, a behavior algorithm for automated vehicles was defined
in order to reflect the behavior of automated vehicles in a traffic flow simulation system.
Actual road traffic flows in urban and rural areas were reproduced on the simulation
system. Automated vehicles were mixed into the simulation system that reproduced actual
road traffic flow. By varying the mixing rate, we attempted to clarify the positive and
negative effects of the diffusion of automated vehicles. By utilizing the analysis results
of this study, it is possible to formulate transportation policies for the introduction and
diffusion of automated vehicles in urban and rural areas with different transportation
environments. Section 2 provides an overview of the self-driving vehicles covered in this
study. Section 3 describes a simulation experiment of the social acceptability of self-driving
cars. Algorithms and simulation areas for self-driving cars are also described. In Section 4,
the results of the simulation experiments are discussed. Section 5 presents a summary of
this research and future issues. The research and development of autonomous vehicles
are being conducted all over the world. When autonomous vehicles are implemented
in society, our lifestyles will undergo a major transformation. The time required for
driving itself will be reduced, and we will be able to spend more time on other activities.
The widespread use of autonomous vehicles in society will have various positive effects,
such as increasing leisure time in human life and reducing carbon dioxide emissions
by optimizing driving behavior, and will greatly contribute to the development of a
sustainable society for human life. For this reason, it is extremely important to evaluate the
diffusion of autonomous vehicles in society in advance. In particular, this study provides
Sustainability 2024, 16, 658 4 of 14
a detailed analysis of the mixing rate of autonomous vehicles and the delay time between
ODs. This enables us to quantitatively understand the impact of the development of new
machines such as autonomous vehicle on human life and contributes to the solution of
global problems and the formulation of sustainable transportation, environmental, and
other policies. Furthermore, from the viewpoint of sustainable policy making, this research
contributes to the evaluation from various perspectives from the viewpoint of the SDGs,
as autonomous vehicle are expected to be introduced not only in developed countries but
also in developing countries. In particular, this research is the first attempt in the world to
analyze the behavior of automated vehicles, and no analysis has been conducted on the
delay time between ODs. In addition, as cutting-edge technologies supporting automated
vehicles, research is being conducted on the development of computational algorithms
for the cooperative operation of intelligent vehicles [31] and on faster communication for
connected vehicles using 6G networks and UAVs [32]. Furthermore, the development
of information and communication technology will enable the realization of smart cities,
the construction of sensor networks and the acquisition of accurate location information,
and the operation of UAVs, which will contribute to a reduction in resources and the
improvement of safety [33]. Research and development on the development and social
implementation of self-driving vehicles is being conducted around the world. Under these
circumstances, there are contributions to be made to traffic congestion, the time required
between ODs, the impact on public transportation, and the mobility of the elderly that can
be assessed in advance when self-driving vehicles begin to be implemented in society.
2. Autonomous Vehicles
2.1. Outline of Autonomous Vehicles
In this study, we used the behavioral algorithm of an autonomous vehicle being
developed at the mechanics laboratories at the authors’ university (Figure 1), and we
introduced the algorithm into a traffic flow simulation software. In this section, we discuss
details of the autonomous vehicle that was employed. With autonomous vehicles, a series
of driving activities normally performed by drivers must be substituted by sensors and
computers onboard the vehicles. These include cognition, judgement, and operation.
Therefore, advanced information processing and reliability are necessary. The test vehicle
in Figure 1 is equipped with many sensors, including an omnidirectional high-resolution
range sensor (Velodyne HDL-64E S2, San Hose, CA, USA), six laser range sensors (IBEO
LUX fusion system, Seongnam-si, Republic of Korea), nine millimeter-wave radars (Fujitsu
Ten, Kobe, Japan), a monocular color camera, and a GNSS/INS compound navigation
system (Applanix POS-LV220, Richmond Hill, ON, Canada). With these sensors, the
environment around the vehicle and estimates of the position of the autonomous vehicle
can be obtained with high accuracy, allowing for actual operation. The autonomous
vehicle targeted in this study uses a laser range sensor (IBEO LUX) to recognize drivable
space and visualize moving objects, with which it accurately estimates its own position.
Multiple signals are simultaneously recognized while driving autonomously, enabling it
to drive through intersections. By combining these technologies, it has been confirmed
that autonomous vehicles can be driven on roads with lengths exceeding 10 km, including
urban areas [34].
Sustainability 2024,16,
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Figure1.1.Autonomous
Figure Autonomousvehicle
vehicleowned
ownedby
byKanazawa
KanazawaUniversity.
University.
2.2.
2.2.Demonstration
DemonstrationExperiment
Experimentin inSuzu
SuzuCity,
City,Japan
Japan
Here,
Here,we wediscuss
discussaadriving
drivingexperiment
experimentinvolving
involvingan anautonomous
autonomousvehicle vehicleon onpublic
public
roads
roadsininSuzu
SuzuCity,
City,Ishikawa
Ishikawa Prefecture,
Prefecture, which
which is the firstfirst
is the reported attempt
reported attemptby any Japanese
by any Japa-
university (Figure
nese university 2). Suzu City
(Figure.2). SuzuisCityan aging
is an municipality
aging municipality locatedlocated
at the tip of Noto
at the tip ofPenin-
Noto
sula in Ishikawa Prefecture, with 45% of its population (15,000)
Peninsula in Ishikawa Prefecture, with 45% of its population (15,000) being elderly. Pres- being elderly. Presently,
public transportation
ently, public in Suzu
transportation in City
SuzuisCity
limited to buses
is limited and taxis,
to buses and depending
and taxis, and depending on theon
specific area, there may be only one bus service per day. Therefore,
the specific area, there may be only one bus service per day. Therefore, the use of autono- the use of autonomous
vehicles to service
mous vehicles areas without
to service publicpublic
areas without transportation
transportationis urgently required.
is urgently Driving
required. tests
Driving
in Suzu
tests in City
Suzubegan in February
City began 2015, and
in February 2015, it and
is currently in the initial
it is currently in the stage
initialofstage
the exper-
of the
iment. The experiment aims to improve elemental technology
experiment. The experiment aims to improve elemental technology of autonomous driv- of autonomous driving
such as recognizing
ing such as recognizing driving
drivingenvironments
environments andand passpassplanning,
planning, and
andthisthisisisbeing
beingcarried
carried
out
out primarily by accumulating driving data from urban areas. In the future, we
primarily by accumulating driving data from urban areas. In the future, we plan
planto to
continue
continueour ourtests
teststowards
towardsthe theutilization
utilizationof ofautonomous
autonomousvehicles vehiclesin inSuzu
SuzuCity Cityas aspart
partof of
its
itspublic
publictransportation
transportationnetwork.network.The Thevehicle
vehicleused usedfor for the
the experiment
experimentis is the
the Toyota
ToyotaPrius
Prius
shown in Figure 1, and it has been remodeled so that the steering angle, braking, driving,
shown in Figure 1, and it has been remodeled so that the steering angle, braking, driving,
and turning signals can be controlled using commands received from a computer. Upon
and turning signals can be controlled using commands received from a computer. Upon
installing various sensors, experiments were performed on public roads after confirming
installing various sensors, experiments were performed on public roads after confirming
that no traffic regulations would be breached. At the present time, the section used for
that no traffic regulations would be breached. At the present time, the section used for the
the driving experiment is about 6.6 km in various environments such as urban areas and
driving experiment is about 6.6 km in various environments such as urban areas and
mountainous areas. In April 2015, two months after the beginning of the experiment, a
mountainous areas. In April 2015, two months after the beginning of the experiment, a
completely autonomous return journey was successfully achieved, with a total distance
completely autonomous return journey was successfully achieved, with a total distance of
of 13.2 km. Figure 2 shows some pictures taken during the driving experiment. From the
13.2 km. Figure 2 shows some pictures taken during the driving experiment. From the
driving experiment, we also discovered various issues related to urban areas. For example,
driving experiment, we also discovered various issues related to urban areas. For exam-
there is a problem with the sensor layout. In the test vehicle that we are currently using for
ple, there is a problem with the sensor layout. In the test vehicle that we are currently
the driving experiment, we installed a laser-range sensor that is able to sense all directions.
using for the
However, sincedriving experiment,
the sensor we installed
was installed in the acenter
laser-range sensor that
of the vehicle, is able to sense
in intersections withall
directions. However, since the sensor was installed in the center
poor visibility, the condition of such an intersection cannot be safely assessed unless the of the vehicle, in intersec-
tions with
vehicle poor visibility,
has already entered thethe condition
intersection. of Normally,
such an intersection
drivers cancannot
confirm bethe
safely assessed
condition of
unless the vehicle has already entered the intersection. Normally,
an intersection with limited view by moving their heads; however, this is not possible with drivers can confirm the
condition
the of anwas
sensor that intersection
fixed to the with limited
vehicle. view by an
Therefore, moving their heads;sensor
omnidirectional however, this is not
is insufficient,
and it is important to place the sensor in a position that allows for the appropriate sensor
possible with the sensor that was fixed to the vehicle. Therefore, an omnidirectional moni-
is insufficient,
toring of criticaland it is important
regions. By drivingtoon place
publictheroads,
sensorother
in a position
problems, that
both allows for theand
significant ap-
propriate monitoring of critical regions. By driving on public
minor, were highlighted. To fully understand these findings, a public road driving test isroads, other problems, both
significant
essential. Asand minor,
such, were highlighted.
the autonomous vehicle Tothat
fullyis understand
presently being thesestudied
findings, a publictoroad
continues go
driving driving
through test is essential.
experiments As such, the autonomous
on public roads, whilevehicle that isto
we continue presently
develop being studied
fundamental
continues to go through driving experiments on public roads, while we continue to de-
technologies.
velop fundamental technologies.
Sustainability 2024, 16, 658 6 of 15
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15
Simulationnetwork
Figure3.3.Simulation
Figure network(left:
((left): Suzu
Suzu City;
City; (right):
right: Kanazawa
Kanazawa City).
City).
Figure 3. Simulation network (left: Suzu City; right: Kanazawa City).
Sustainability 2024, 16, 658 7 of 14
v " #
u 2
u 2 V ( n, t )
Vb (n, t + T ) = d(n) + td(n) T 2 − d(n) 2{ x (n − 1, t) − s(s − 1) − x (n, t)} − V (n, t) T − ′ (2)
d ( n − 1)
V ( n ,t )
Vb ( n ,t + T ) = d ( n ) + d ( n )2 T 2 − d ( n ) 2{x( n − 1,t ) − s( s − 1 ) − x( n ,t )} − V ( n ,t )T −
' ( n − 1 )
(2)
d
Figure 4.
Figure 4. Vehicle
Vehicle spacing
spacing when
when going
going straight.
straight.
Figure 5. Stop
Figure 5. Stop condition
condition when
when going
going straight.
straight.
Sustainability 2024, 16, 658 3.4.4. Determining When to Turn Right or Left 9 of 14
The vehicle begins to turn right or left when the following conditions are met. In this
study, the setting for determination of left turns and right turns was based on observations
3.4.4. Determining
of traffic flow (FigureWhen6). to Turn Right or Left
① At Theleast
vehicle
1.5 sbegins to turnsince
has elapsed rightcoming
or left when the as
to a stop following conditions
shown in Figure 6i.are met. In this
② Ifthe
study, setting
there is nofor determination
oncoming ofon
vehicle leftthe
turns and right
driving routeturns was
within based
5 s, on observations
the vehicle will start
of traffic flow (Figure
as shown 6). 6ii.
in Figure
Figure6.6.Condition
Figure Conditionfor
forturning
turningright/left.
right/left.
3.4.5.
⃝
1 AtReaction
least 1.5Time
s has elapsed since coming to a stop as shown in Figure 6i.
⃝
2 If there is no
In this study, oncoming vehicle
we set the on the
reaction driving
time basedroute within
on the 5 s, the vehicle
environment will start the
surrounding as
shown
driver in theinsimulation
Figure 6ii.system. General vehicles have a reaction time of 0.8 s during nor-
mal operation, 1.2 s when stopping, and 1.6 s to the vehicle in front. However, vehicles
3.4.5. Reaction Time
driven by the elderly have reaction times of 1.6 s during normal operation, 2.4 s when
In thisand
stopping, study,
3.2 swe set vehicle
to the the reaction time
in front based onreaction
(modeling the environment
time withinsurrounding
a traffic simula-the
driver in
tion model).the simulation system. General vehicles have a reaction time of 0.8 s during
normal operation, 1.2 s when stopping, and 1.6 s to the vehicle in front. However, vehicles
driven
4. Resultsby the
andelderly have reaction times of 1.6 s during normal operation, 2.4 s when
Discussion
stopping, and 3.2 s to the vehicle in front (modeling reaction time within a traffic simulation
In this study, Suzu City and Kanazawa City were selected for the following reasons.
model).
Presently, the driving experiments of the autonomous vehicle owned by Kanazawa Uni-
4.versity
Resultsareand
being conducted in Suzu City, and social implementation is therefore expected
Discussion
to be relatively fast. We aim to determine whether there is a difference in the impact on
In this study, Suzu City and Kanazawa City were selected for the following reasons.
traffic flow between a rural area such as Suzu City and an urban area such as Kanazawa
Presently, the driving experiments of the autonomous vehicle owned by Kanazawa Uni-
City. The
versity arepresent simulationingradually
being conducted Suzu City,increases
and socialtheimplementation
mixing rate of autonomous vehicles.
is therefore expected
It is assumed that autonomous vehicles have become commercially
to be relatively fast. We aim to determine whether there is a difference in the impact available to the gen-
on
eral public,
traffic and an increase
flow between in the
a rural area such number
as SuzuofCity
suchand
vehicles is captured
an urban area such over time. As it
as Kanazawa
increases,
City. the changes
The present in thegradually
simulation traffic congestion
increases are
the observed,
mixing rate and we observe whether
of autonomous vehicles.theIt
is assumed that autonomous vehicles have become commercially available to theageneral
impact of the autonomous vehicle is positive or negative, using the delay time as param-
eter. This
public, anddelay time isinthe
an increase thedifference
number ofbetween the expected
such vehicles timeover
is captured of arrival
time. for the
As it autono-
increases,
mous vehicle and the actual arrival time for each 1 km of roadway.
the changes in the traffic congestion are observed, and we observe whether the impact By comparing these
value,
of we determine
the autonomous the degree
vehicle of congestion.
is positive On the
or negative, usinggraph, the vertical
the delay time asaxis shows the
a parameter.
delay time, while the horizontal axis shows the mixing rate. We also
This delay time is the difference between the expected time of arrival for the autonomous compared the delay
time for the operations of general vehicles and autonomous vehicles
vehicle and the actual arrival time for each 1 km of roadway. By comparing these value, to observe the poten-
we
tial trends in changes in delay time owing to vehicle characteristics.
determine the degree of congestion. On the graph, the vertical axis shows the delay time,
while the horizontal axis shows the mixing rate. We also compared the delay time for the
operations of general vehicles and autonomous vehicles to observe the potential trends in
changes in delay time owing to vehicle characteristics.
55
50 all auto car
45
40
35
Delay time(sec/km)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
10 20 30 45 50 60 70 80 90 100
Mixing rate(%)
Figure7.7.Simulation
Figure Simulationresults
resultsfor
forSuzu
SuzuCity
City(rural
(ruralarea
areain
inIshikawa
Ishikawaprefecture).
prefecture).
Furthermore, with
Furthermore, with aa mixing
mixing rate
rate of
of 100%,
100%, there
there is
is no
no delay
delay time
time for
for general
general vehicles.
vehicles.
Thisisisbecause
This becausewhenwhenthe themixing
mixingrate
rateof
ofautonomous
autonomousvehicles
vehiclesisis100%,
100%,there
thereare
arenonogeneral
general
vehicles, and thus there would
vehicles, and thus there would be no delay. be no delay.
Figure77shows
Figure showsthatthatthethedelay
delaytime
timefor
forall
all vehicles
vehicles slightly
slightlyincreases
increasesas asthe
themixing
mixingrate rate
of
ofautonomous
autonomousvehiclesvehiclesincreased
increasedfromfrom1010toto
45%.
45%.When
When thethe
mixing
mixingraterate
increased
increasedfrom 45
from
to
4550%,
to 50%,the the
delay time
delay for for
time all vehicles decreased
all vehicles decreasednotably, andand
notably, when the the
when mixing raterate
mixing waswas50
to
50100%,
to 100%,it remained
it remainedconstant. Next,Next,
constant. we compare
we compare the 10%
the and
10%45% and mixing rates, rates,
45% mixing between be-
which
tween the delay
which thetime
delay increased. The delay
time increased. Thetime
delay attime
the mixing rate of rate
at the mixing 45%of was45% 1.10
wastimes
1.10
that at that
times the mixing rate of rate
at the mixing 10%.ofThe10%.delay
Thetime
delaydropped by 0.89 by
time dropped from
0.89the mixing
from rate of 45%
the mixing rate
to 50%. The delay time of the autonomous vehicle for each mixing rate
of 45% to 50%. The delay time of the autonomous vehicle for each mixing rate was differ- was different from
the
entdelay
from time of alltime
the delay vehicles
of allwhen the mixing
vehicles when the rate increased
mixing rate from 10 to from
increased 45% and
10 toremained
45% and
mostly
remained the mostly
same. When
the same.the mixing
When the ratemixing
increased
ratefrom 45 to from
increased 50%, 45
thetodelay
50%,time suddenly
the delay time
dropped and plateaued.
suddenly dropped and plateaued.
The delay time of general vehicles for each mixing rate increased at a mixing rate of
10 to 45% and then suddenly dropped at 45–50%, then remained constant, which was the
same trend observed for the delay time of all vehicles.
55
50
all auto car
45
40
Delay time(sec/km)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Mixing rate(%)
Figure8.
Figure 8. Simulation
Simulation results
results for
for Kanazawa
Kanazawa City.
City.
5. Conclusions
In this study, we used a traffic flow simulation system, and we evaluated the impact
on the traffic flow using the delay time between the OD when an autonomous vehicle is
socially implemented. We evaluated the effects on the traffic flow in an urban area that has
been motorized and in an aging rural area. For both areas, with the implementation of the
autonomous vehicle, decreased congestion, decreased traffic accidents, and the improved
reliability of travel time are expected. However, as the population of rural areas is aging
and these regions becoming more sparsely populated, its implementation may be able to
solve many issues such as mobility for seniors.
We examined an autonomous vehicle that is being developed by our university. The
autonomous vehicle that was employed is equipped with various sensors and is able to
drive on public roads with complete autonomy. In order to evaluate the impact on the
traffic flow, we developed an algorithm to incorporate its driving behavior into a traffic flow
Sustainability 2024, 16, 658 12 of 14
make them practical. Due to the limitation of the simulation system, the evaluation in this
study was based on the delay time. Simulation experiments under various conditions are
necessary to generalize the results of this study.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, M.F. and J.T.; methodology, M.F.; software, M.F. and Y.M.;
validation, M.F., Y.M. and J.T.; formal analysis, M.F. and Y.M.; investigation, Y.M.; resources, M.F., Y.M.
and J.T.; data curation, M.F., Y.M. and J.T.; writing—original draft preparation, M.F.; writing—review
and editing, M.F.; visualization, M.F. and Y.M.; supervision, J.T.; project administration, J.T.; funding
acquisition, M.F. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement: Data are contained within the article.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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