GatieTrades - Predicting Market Moves (Po3)
GatieTrades - Predicting Market Moves (Po3)
Power of 3
Predicting Market Moves
Introduction
What To Expect
GEMS is the strategy I use every single day to determine bias and execute trades. The premise of
this strategy is power of 3 - how the market moves. In this book you will learn intricacies of power
of 3, including basics to advanced theory on how the market moves and where it will move to as
well as how to execute on it. Understand that it is IMPOSSIBLE for me to capture everything I know
on power of 3 and market moves in one single book, however I can guarantee you this book will
teach you things you have never learned before and of all the sources on Po3, this will be the start
of the best.
About Me
Many of you know me as an improving trader looking to find his way. I have been trading for over a
year, and gotten some payouts as well as some nice trades in a live stock account. I have thousands
of hours on the charts, thousands of backtested trades and have studied ICT lectures more than
anyone I have ever met. Most of you will know me for my ability to predict the market moves. I have
a lot of improving to do and I do not claim to be an amazing trader or very profitable or anything
like that. I do claim to know ICT better than most people, and I do claim to be very precise and
accurate in predicting price moves. My track record in predicting market moves is for the public as
I live stream everyday calling out moves beforehand time and time again and have been doing so for
months. However, like most traders I have many weaknesses and I am not here to brag or convince
you of anything,being the best trader I can be will always be my goal. Imany improvements that
need to be made and together we will make those improvements with GEMS and the enigma in Po3.
Table of Contents
Passionate
Passion is key to consistency and longevity in trading. One of my strongest characteristics as a trader is
my passion for trading, falling in love with learning, improving and trading will be much easier. “The
man who enjoys the journey will walk further than the man who enjoys the destination.”
Disciplined
Without discipline you can never be consistent as a trader. Discipline is the ability to stick to the system
and the rules, always thinking in the mindset of 100 trades and not just the current trading day. Your
system and your money management will do the heavy lifting.
Patient
A lack of patience was one of my largest weaknesses as a trader, forcing trades and not being patient in
the setup. The reality is most of the time, the best thing you can do in trading is wait.
Fearless
Do not be afraid of missing a move, there is nothing wrong with sitting out on a move and learning. Do
not fear losing money, remember in 100 trades you will be net profitable, the losses are inevitable. Do not
fear clicking buy or sell, focus on the candlesticks, not the money. Finally, do not fear holding a trade, if
the trade comes back and you lose or break even, it does not matter, all you can control in trading is
following your rules. The market will do what it will do, follow your rules and you will be profitable.
Confident
Have confidence in the system, in the rules, in the time and the money management. Without confidence,
you will be emotional in trading when it is against you or when you lose. Staying confident while on a
loss streak is difficult and you may miss setups because of fear. Do not be scared, trust your system, you
did the hard work, all you have to do now is execute according to your system.
Definition
The Liquidity Resistance Factor [LRF] is a numeric value that can be calculated to help determine
whether the NYAM Session will have low or high resistance liquidity and whether or not you should
trade the session. Determining a LRLR or HRLR session is a very key component to my trading
system, as trading with the same rules in high resistance conditions will result in a very low win
rate. Thus the 1st step in GEMS is to determine the LRF and determine if we can anticipate HRLR.
Economic Calendar
A. Day Before NFP = 10pts
B. Day of FOMC = 10pts
C. Session of Powell Speaking = 10pts
D. Day of Powell Speaking = 5pts
E. Contract Expiration = 3pts
F. No News Day = 2pts
G. Day Before CPI / FOMC/ / Powell= 1pts
H. Large economic events = ???
I. Holidays = ???
Market Conditions
J. London Expansion = 2pts
K. Asia Expansion = 2pts
L. Opening Range Gap Less Than 30 Handles = 2 pts
M. Previous Day Large Expansion = 2pts
LRF Result
Sum up the total value of points and achieve a numeric value and identify one of the 3 options. Note in reality any
of these conditions can cause a potential LRLR.
LRF Selection Criteria
1. LRF 10 or Greater = avoid trading
2. LRF 5 or Greater = anticipation of HRLR
3. LRF 4 or Less = anticipation of LRLR
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Power of 3 Understanding
Understanding the power of 3 of a higher time frame candle can give bias for the week, for the day,
for the session and help frame trades. Power of 3 refers to accumulation, manipulation and
distribution of a candle. Understanding the intricacies to EACH of the 3 stages is crucial to
executing low resistance liquidity runs and having high probability trades. Utilizing the po3 I look
to avoid accumulation (time distortion) and identify manipulation legs to trade the distribution legs.
Power of three is the key to avoiding accumulation, identifying the manipulation and trading the
distribution. The power of 3 is the key to my bias and trading model. I have much to share on po3,
information you will not find anywhere else, so pay close attention.
What is Po3
Power of 3 is accumulation, manipulation and distribution or AMD. This refers to when a candle
opens at a specific time, for example the 9:30am open and we have accumulation around that price
level at that time. Then, you look for a manipulation from that opening price (a fake price run)
which forms the wick of the higher time frame candle and then frames the reversal. The reversal is
the start of the distribution of that candle, which forms the body and the opposing wick.
Stage 1 - Accumulation
With stage 1 of po3, you want to see price accumulate around the opening price of the candle. During
accumulation price is getting ready to expand off the orders it accumulated. This accumulation will
create the range to STDEV project the manipulation of the candle (will cover soon).. It is crucial to
identify when the candle is likely to move and stay range bound. Price will range when it is waiting on
the correct TIME to move. This is called Time Distortion and will be utilized later in this document.
Stage 2 - Manipulation
With stage 2 of po3 you want to see manipulation into a key level that can frame the reversal for stage
3. This will set the price leg to STDEV project the distribution of the candle. It is crucial to identify the
manipulation from the candle in order to trade the low resistance distribution. High probability
manipulations occur from the opening price of the candle and setup distribution for a key time.
Stage 3 - Distribution
With stage 3 of po3 you want to see distribution towards a key objective. This will help determine what
will happen in stage 4 and where we will close in the candle. Distribution is likely to occur at a key
time, the market can always accumulate before distributing, the key is to know when.
Monthly Po3
Accumulation, manipulation, distribution from the monthly open. 00:00 EST on the 1st day of the month.
Weekly Po3
Accumulation, manipulation, distribution from the weekly open. 00:00 EST on Monday.
Daily Po3
Accumulation, manipulation, distribution from the daily open. 00:00 EST on the given day.
AM Session Po3
Accumulation, manipulation, distribution from the session open. 09:30 EST on the given AM session.
PM Session Po3
Accumulation, manipulation, distribution from the session open. 13:30 EST on the given PM session.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Importance of Time
As the correct narrative unlocks the Po3, time unlocks the trade. Remember price will only move at
the correct time, while timing the market can be very hard, the models in GEMS will discuss how to
time the Po3 and when to expect the distribution effectively and consistently. The key in this
section is to understand Po3 is the key to the market whilst narrative and time is the key to po3.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Review
Before we continue, it is important you understand chapters 1 to 4 thus far as we are going to dive
into advanced theory on power of 3. There is no need to be overwhelmed, you can always go back
and learn more or ask questions. I know it is a lot to handle, but I strive for precision and
consistency and this is what it took me, so bare with me, I have a lot more insight to share.
Going Forward
Once these concepts are understood, continue lower. We are going to cover the following:
Chapter 8 - Journaling
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Market Timing
This low formed in pre-market and now
that is identified as the protected low,
we can move to 09:30 and we can
expect bullish Po3.
Consolidation
Consolidation is where price moves inside a clear trading range and shows no willingness to move
significantly higher or lower. After consolidation is always EXPANSION.
Expansion
Expansion is when price moves quickly from a level of equilibrium. Expansion or displacement is
understanding the “willingness” for the market to move. After expansion is always RETRACEMENT or
CONSOLIDATION.
Retracement
Retracement is when price moves back inside the recently created price range. Typically retracement is to
a fair value gap,
Reversal
Reversal is when price moves the opposite direction that current direction has taken it.Typically you
are looking for liquidity pools for where price is reversing too.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Time Distortion
Time distortion is an essential component to trading the distribution in power of 3. You have
learned to identify protected highs or lows, you understand the stages of price delivery and what
can occur, now we will discuss time distortion and how to better time a price move. Time distortion
is when price is consolidating in a range, simply waiting to expand on the basis of time.
Definition
Time distortion is a price consolidation that is waiting for a Po3 distribution. This is very commonly
aligned with 2nd stage re-accumulation / re-distribution of a market maker model and gives a fake
price move against a higher time frame Po3 or MMXM. If you are confused, just wait, everything
will align soon.
Fake Distribution
It is possible you have the incorrect narrative
and where you expect price to distribute, it can
actually reverse once you enter and stop you
out. One reason this happens is because you
think you are trading the distribution projection
but really you entered on a manipulation. Based
on what we learned, we can use range deviation
to predict where the manipulation will occur.
Therefore we should not be “resisting” off the
STDEV levels 0 to -1 STDEV. If we are there is a
CHANCE your trade was a manipulation move
and not a distribution move.
Macros
A macro is a time window where you can ANTICIPATE the market will run for inefficiency or
imbalance. A lot of the time you will see either a manipulation leg or a distribution leg during a
macro (expansion). The macros we use in GEMS are as follows:
Macro Times
AM Session: 09:50 - 10:10 Macro and 10:50 - 11:10 Macro
PM Session: 1:50 -2:10 Macro and 2:50 -3:10 Macro
Framework
● Accumulation pre-market (before 9:30)
● Manipulation into key level ( from NYO)
● IFVG / FVG forming back into the range
Throughout these models we will build layers on the po3 to make it more and more effective and precise in its
delivery.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
NY Reversal Po3
This is where NY manipulates from 00:00 and frames the reversal after for the rest of the
day. We can trade the reversal or the continuation in the NY session.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
MMXM and Po3 (SMR - 1st Stage Accumulation - 2nd Stage Accumulation)
MMXM and Po3 is aligning a MMBM with a bullish Po3, this can form many different ways but the
focus is to understand the basic model for now.
Silver Bullet
The silver bullet is a model that can overlap with Po3 distribution as well and is always worth
looking for. The silver bullet we are focused on forms from 10:00am to 11:00am. The silver bullet is a
narrative, expecting distribution from 10:00am to 11:00am playing off the narrative of the London
session and the narrative from 9:30 - 10:00am that is established. Although this silver bullet setup
can form many ways, here is a base example we will be working off of. If 9:30 frames a reversal look
for a 10:00am continuation. If 9:30 does not frame a reversal, look for 10:00am reversal and
continuation. Remember, silver bullet is a narrative and trading a fair value gap in that narrative.
This works really well with the MMXM model as well utilizing the determined stages.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
A+ Po3 Models
With every trading model there is always your A+ setup and for this book I will share the A+ setups
and how they form in the Po3. Understand that setups will vary and the key component is always
the smart money narrative and the time aspect that will unlock the Po3. This is just a sample base
of one way an A+ model will form.
A+ Criteria
Accumulation pre-market NYO
AMP - range deviation 0 to -1 STDEV
Manipulation into key level
IFVG / BPR back into the range
9:50 - 10:10 Macro Distribution
BRKR / MSS / CISD confirmation
MDP -2 to -2.5 into key level
Confluences
The Key
1. Smart money narrative
2. Bias
3. Draw on liquidity
Note
This will work best with NY Reversal Po3 and not
LO Reversal as London Reversal or Pre-market
manipulation usually means 9:30 distribution.
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
A+ Criteria
Accumulation pre-market NYO
AMP - range deviation 0 to -1 STDEV
Manipulation into key level
IFVG / BPR back into the range
Retracement leading up to 9:50 - 10:10 Macro into key level usually at -2 to -2.5 STDEV
IFVG
MDP to -4 STDEV distribution target
Confluences
The Key: htf objective was not met and smart money is accumulating more positions to distribute to the target
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
A+ Criteria
Accumulation in asia
Range deviation 0 to -1 STDEV in LO
Manipulation into key level from MNO
CISD reversal confirmation
Protected high/low of day in LO
Retracement in NY into key level
Key distribution time macro / SB
BRKR / MSS / CISD confirmation
MDP -2 to -2.5 into key level
Confluences
Note
With daily po3 sometimes 9:30 can have a very
small retracement or no retracement at all.
These aggressive distributions at 9:30 can be
difficult to predict but what you need to
understand is, if the daily po3 is framed and
smart money is positioned, they want to use the
9:30 volatility injection to distribute their
positions not to accumulate more positions at
times. In order to identify which is occurring
you must master the smart money narrative
and distribution timing.
Intermediate Power of 3s
I call these intermediate powers of 3s because they are not daily or 4 hour power of 3s. In the daily
candle power of 3 you use MNO. In the H4 power of 3 you use the 9:30 opening price and 13:30
price (in regular trading hours). However in electronic trading hours your 4 hours candles are
10:00am and 2:00pm. Therefore you can come to this conclusion based on the hourly candles that
every 30 minutes you have a potential po3 distribution after an opening price. In order to identify
which will distribute you must understand the following.
This model can form in many ways but it is important to remember the following, know when the
distribution can come and where you are in the narrative and context.
Predicting Po3 Distributions based on Intermediate Power of 3s
● Smart money narrative (where smart money is positioned and distributing to)
● IPAD stages in price delivery (accumulation then expansion)
● Time distortion
● MMXM
Intermediate Power of 3s
● ETH 1 hour candles: 10:00am, 11:00am
● RTH 1 hour candles: 10:30am, 11:30am
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Chart Setup
Now that we have discussed base A+ models and the context of MMXM, it is time to get into the
trading plan and what to do to start finding these trade setups. The first thing you are going to do
in the morning, before 9:30am open, is mark out key levels to help frame a Po3. Levels I always
mark out are the current NDOG / NWOG , 00:00 opening price, asian range, london range and any
close proximity htf key levels that align with my narrative and dol (step 2).
Trading Models
Once you have the chart setup and your clear narrative and dol the next step of GEMS
Entry Models. Power of three gives the framework and the idea for each of the following models.
09:30 Power of 3
00:00 Power of 3
Intermediate Power of 3 Distribution / Reversals
MMXM
Silver Bullet
Entry Models
Entry models are all the ways of getting into the market and finding good RR based on the price action. Entry
models always come after the trading models and are only for execution and trade management. Understand
your Po3 and once the trading model is framed and distribution is expected, select the entry model.
Unicorn
FVG / IFVG
BRKR MIT
OTE PDCT
FVG Soup
CISD OTE
1st Presentation
Gatie's Execution Morning Strategy (GEMS)
Money Management
Money management is what will do the heavy lifting for you because the truth is you will make
mistakes. The more you simplify the more you can miss, the more you complicate the more you can
over do and it is inevitable to mess up. Money management is what will carry you through your
mistakes. This is my money management system and what I recommend for PROP FIRM TRADING.
For live traders I would recommend a static %risk every single trade around 0.5-4% is good.
Risking Rules
1. Give yourself enough risk to allow a losing streak and let probabilities play out
2. Choose an amount risk that will not make you emotional in your trade or after your trade
Taking Profits
Every trade has a final objective where you will close the final position if it reaches there,
sometimes this can be your low hanging fruit objective or it can be multiple RRs. The way I manage
my trade is by following these rules.
Reducing Risk
I reduce risk when it makes sense in my trade and can reduce it to a stop loss that is a protected
high or low in the sense of the po3 distribution. Remember, the stop loss is SAFE as long as your
narrative is correct, so understand if you are wrong it will stop you and if you are right it wont,
assuming you have placed it correctly. When reducing risk to manage SL at the following:
The Key to Success
Journaling is the truth to success and consistency, it is how I learn from endless mistakes and
continually improve. Something as simple as journaling a picture of your trade can give you so
much information about your trading. For example, you can learn how much drawdown your
winning trades are allowing, if there is little drawdown, you can maybe craft for a tighter SL and
better RR. IF there is a lot of drawdown, you can maybe craft for a better entry. This is one of the
infinite things journaling will do you for your trading in the long term. Without journaling, I would
have never gotten payouts or passed accounts and found the system that works for me.
Journal Template
A lot of you are lazy to journal and I understand that I was too. This FREE journal template for
GEMS / the po3 model. For those of you who wish to conceptualize your trading with the context
of Po3, which I recommend all of you do, this template will be beneficial for you.
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Conclusion
Take-Away
The main takeaway for you guys reading this is that the Po3 is how the market moves.
Understanding the Po3 and which distribution we are in and when it is likely to take place
is the key to unlocking the market moves. Every single large body candle took place
because of a Po3, starting all the way from the monthly all the way down to the lower time
frames. There are basic concepts in understanding Po3 and advanced concepts in
understanding Po3 and I hope you guys learned something in both.
Understand I can not teach every single concept I know in this document, and I cannot
teach through live price action. I hope you guys learned something from this E-Book and
realized the power, in the power of 3 in unlocking market moves.
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