Report

Canadian Politics
Survey of Canadians

Date: 03 / 17 / 2025
Project: 16811-142
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Introduction

Methodology
Every month, we conduct a survey of Canadians to explore their voting intentions and opinions on key federal political issues.

Method When Rounded data

Online survey among respondents 18 years of age or older. Data collection from March 14 to March 16, 2025. The numbers presented have been rounded up.
(Canadian sample: n= 1,568). However, the numbers before rounding were used
to calculate the sums presented and might therefore
Respondents had the option of completing the survey in French and English and not correspond to the manual addition of these numbers.
were randomly recruited using LEO's online panel.

Margin of error

For comparison purposes, a probability sample Questions

Weighting of this size yields a margin of error no greater than ±2.47%.
Have questions about the data presented in this report?
Results were weighted according to age, gender, mother Please contact Andrew Enns, Executive Vice-President,
tongue, region, education and presence of children in Central Canada at the following e-mail address:
the household in order to ensure a representative sample [email protected] or Sébastien Dallaire, Executive
of the Canadian population. Vice-President, Eastern Canada, at
[email protected].
Significant differences

Data in bold red characters indicate a significantly lower

proportion than that of other respondents. Conversely, data
in bold green characters indicate a significantly higher
→ Notes proportion than that of other respondents.
A more detailed methodology is presented in the Appendix.

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About polling

The Most Accurate Polling Firm in Canada

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Key highlights: Canadian Politics

Some of the key highlights 1

of our survey about If a federal election were held today, 42% of Canadians would vote for the Liberal Party led by Mark Carney, while 39% would vote for the
Canadian Politics… Conservative Party. The Liberal Party has seen a 5-point increase since last week, taking the lead over the Conservative Party, which has
experienced a 2-point increase. This represent the first time since early 2023 the Liberals are leading the Conservatives.

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Nearly half of Canadians (46%) hold a favourable view of Mark Carney, while 28% have an unfavourable opinion, and 26% are not familiar
enough with him to have formed an opinion.

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While 39% of Canadians have a favourable opinion of Pierre Poilievre, 49% view him unfavourably, and 12% do not know him well enough to
form an opinion.

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Over three-quarters of Canadians (77%) agree that one of Mark Carney’s top priorities should be meeting with President Trump to discuss
the current trade tariff situation. This proportion is higher among Liberal voters (86%).

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Between Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre, 42% of Canadians think that Carney would do a better job managing the relationship with the
U.S. and President Trump. Canadians also feel Carney would be best suited to grow Canada’s economy (45% vs 31% for Poilievre), do more for
the environment (40% vs 13% for Poilievre), and make life more affordable for Canadians (37% vs 32% for Poilievre). On the other hand, Carney is
also seen by Canadians as the one more likely to raise taxes (35% vs 25% for Poilievre).

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Federal Voting Intentions
Voting Intentions - Federal Elections (1/2)
Q1. If federal elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...? In the event a respondent
had no opinion, the following prompting question was asked: Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political
parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for the ...
Base: Decided voters (n=1,379) except for the Bloc Québécois, Quebecers only

Liberal Party of Canada 42% +5

Conservative Party of Canada 39% +2

NDP 9% -2

Bloc Québécois 5% =

Green Party of Canada 3% +1

Popular Party of Canada 2% =

… Other Parties
0% =

Note: The + / - are in comparison to the most recent voting intention measure, from March 10th , 2025. 6
 Voting Intentions - Federal Elections (2/2)
Q1. If federal elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...? In the event a respondent
had no opinion, the following prompting question was asked: Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political
parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for the ...
Base: Respondents who are eligible to vote (n=1,568), except for the Bloc Québécois, Quebecers only

Total
Total Total ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Urban
Sub-
Rural March Gap
Decided urban 10th
Canada voters
2025
Weighted n= 1,568 1,360 90 312 527 79 162 190 709 651 350 445 566 577 511 262 1,272 -
Unweighted n= 1,568 1,379 86 372 554 102 132 133 745 634 333 419 627 602 514 255 1,291 -

… Mark Carney’s Liberal Party of Canada 37% 42% 51% 40% 44% 40% 31% 46% 40% 45% 38% 37% 49% 42% 45% 39% 37% +5

...Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party of Canada 33% 39% 32% 23% 42% 52% 55% 37% 43% 34% 38% 43% 35% 39% 36% 40% 37% +2

... Jagmeet Singh’s New Democratic Party of Canada 7% 9% 10% 6% 9% 5% 11% 13% 7% 11% 11% 10% 6% 9% 9% 7% 11% -2

... Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois 5% 5% - 24% - - - - - - - - - - - - 6% -1

... Elizabeth May’s Green Party of Canada 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 2% 4% 2% 3% 6% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 5% -2

... Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% -

… another party 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% -2

I would not vote 4% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

I would cancel my vote 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I don’t know 7% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Refusal 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

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Evolution of Voting Intentions in Canada

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%
Others

*Official results from Elections Canada 8

Impression of Political Figures (1/2)
Q1. Do you have favourable or unfavourable impression of the following individuals? If you do not know enough about the individual to have an
opinion, just say so.
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Very Favourable Somewhat Favourable Somewhat Unfavourable Very Unfavourable Don’t know enough about this person Total Total
Favourable Unfavourable

Mark
Carney
17% 29% 12% 16% 26%
46% 28%

Pierre 39% 49%

Poilievre
16% 23% 15% 34% 12%

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Impression of Political Figures (2/2)
Q1. Do you have favourable or unfavourable impression of the following individuals? If you do not know enough about the individual to have an
opinion, just say so.
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Total Sub-
CANADA ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Urban Rural
urban

Weighted n= 1,568 106 362 607 101 175 218 765 803 418 504 646 666 578 310

Unweighted n= 1,568 101 427 622 125 142 151 804 764 387 480 701 683 577 297

Mark Carney

% Total Favourable 46% 55% 44% 48% 45% 35% 49% 50% 42% 42% 42% 52% 47% 47% 42%

% Total Unfavourable 28% 19% 23% 28% 28% 44% 29% 34% 23% 29% 30% 25% 28% 26% 32%

Pierre Poilievre

% Total Favourable 39% 34% 32% 40% 44% 48% 38% 48% 30% 41% 43% 34% 41% 34% 41%

% Total Unfavourable 49% 49% 54% 48% 40% 44% 53% 47% 51% 43% 45% 56% 48% 51% 47%

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 Impression of Political Figures – By Voting Intentions
Q1. Do you have favourable or unfavourable impression of the following individuals? If you do not know enough about the individual to have an
opinion, just say so.
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Total LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Canada

Weighted n= 1,568 574 524 117 74 39 25*

Unweighted n= 1,568 654 420 147 84 38 29*

Mark Carney

% Total Favourable 46% 89% 18% 40% 36% 40% 21%

% Total Unfavourable 28% 3% 61% 19% 29% 25% 54%

Pierre Poilievre

% Total Favourable 39% 11% 91% 10% 20% 12% 50%

% Total Unfavourable 49% 83% 7% 73% 71% 83% 37%

*Given the small number of respondents (n<30) data are presented for illustrative purposes only. 11
Carney Meeting President Trump on Trade Tariffs (1/2)
Q2. Canada has a new Prime Minister, Mark Carney, who was sworn into the position this week. Do you agree or disagree that one of his top
priorities should be to meet with President Trump to discuss the current trade tariff situation?
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Total Agree: 77%

41%
36% Total Disagree: 14%

9% 9%
5%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know

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Carney Meeting President Trump on Trade Tariffs (2/2)
Q2. Canada has a new Prime Minister, Mark Carney, who was sworn into the position this week. Do you agree or disagree that one of his top
priorities should be to meet with President Trump to discuss the current trade tariff situation?
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Total Sub-
CANADA ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Urban Rural
urban

Weighted n= 1,568 106 362 607 101 175 218 765 803 418 504 646 666 578 310

Unweighted n= 1,568 101 427 622 125 142 151 804 764 387 480 701 683 577 297

Total Agree 77% 69% 76% 78% 82% 75% 76% 78% 76% 75% 78% 76% 78% 77% 75%

Strongly agree 41% 38% 42% 40% 53% 37% 41% 44% 38% 36% 42% 43% 43% 42% 36%

Somewhat agree 36% 31% 34% 38% 29% 38% 35% 34% 37% 39% 36% 33% 35% 35% 39%

Total Disagree 14% 16% 17% 13% 8% 16% 14% 16% 12% 13% 12% 17% 13% 15% 15%

Somewhat disagree 9% 13% 11% 7% 6% 9% 6% 9% 8% 7% 7% 11% 9% 8% 8%

Strongly disagree 5% 2% 6% 6% 2% 6% 7% 7% 4% 6% 5% 6% 4% 7% 7%

Don’t know 9% 16% 7% 9% 10% 9% 10% 6% 12% 12% 10% 7% 9% 8% 10%

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 Carney Meeting President Trump on Trade Tariffs – By Voting Intentions
Q2. Canada has a new Prime Minister, Mark Carney, who was sworn into the position this week. Do you agree or disagree that one of his top
priorities should be to meet with President Trump to discuss the current trade tariff situation?
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Total LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Canada

Weighted n= 1,568 574 524 117 74 39 25*

Unweighted n= 1,568 654 420 147 84 38 29*

Total Agree 77% 86% 73% 81% 75% 76% 79%

Strongly agree 41% 47% 40% 42% 43% 27% 44%

Somewhat agree 36% 39% 33% 39% 32% 50% 35%

Total Disagree 14% 12% 16% 14% 24% 20% 21%

Somewhat disagree 9% 9% 8% 11% 17% 16% 9%

Strongly disagree 5% 3% 8% 3% 7% 4% 12%

Don’t know 9% 2% 10% 5% 1% 4% 0%

*Given the small number of respondents (n<30) data are presented for illustrative purposes only.
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Best Leader for Key Issues
Q3. It is widely expected there will be a federal general election called soon. Two individuals, Mark Carney for the Liberals and Pierre Poilievre for
the Conservatives, are currently most likely to win this election and form the next government of Canada. Of these two individuals who do you
feel will do the best job on the following issues:
Base: All respondents (n=1,568)

Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Neither of them Don’t know

Grow Canada’s economy 45% 31% 10% 14%

Manage the relationship with the US

and President Trump
42% 29% 13% 16%

Do more for the environment to fight

climate change
40% 13% 25% 23%
Make life more affordable for
Canadians
37% 32% 16% 14%

Raise taxes 35% 25% 14% 26%

Bring real change to Canada 32% 32% 19% 17%

Reduce government spending and

work toward a balanced budget
31% 36% 17% 16%

Strengthen our armed forces 26% 33% 17% 24%

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Respondent Profile
Appendix

Respondent profiles – Canadian Sample

(Base n=1,568)
The table below presents the Canadian distribution of respondents before weighting.

Gender Language (Mother Tongue)

Unweighted Weighted

Unweighted Weighted French 373 309

Male 804 765 English 1,058 1,127

Female 764 803 Other 137 132

Age Province
Unweighted Weighted

Unweighted Weighted British Columbia 151 218

18 to 34 387 418 Alberta 142 175

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 125 101
35 to 54 480 504
Ontario 622 607
55+ 701 646
Quebec 427 362
Atlantic 101 106

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Appendix

Our Credentials

Canada Europe America International

Leger is a member of the Leger is a member of ESOMAR Leger is also a member of Leger is a member of the
Canadian Research Insights (European Society for Opinion the Insights Association, Worldwide Independent
Council (CRIC), the industry and Market Research), the the American Association of Network of Market Research
association for the global association of opinion Marketing Research Analytics. (WIN), a global alliance of
market/survey/insights
polls and marketing research leading independent market
research industry.
professionals. research and polling firms that
collaborate to share expertise,
methodologies, and insights
across diverse markets.

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Appendix

Our services

Leger
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Customer Experience (CX)

Strategic and operational customer experience consulting services
300
employees
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Data modelling and analysis

Leger Opinion (LEO)

Panel management 185
consultants
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Online community management

Leger Digital
Digital strategy and user experience 8 MONTRÉAL | QUÉBEC |
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