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PREFACE
Introductory Statistics is written for a one- or two-semester first course in applied statistics.
This book is intended for students who do not have a strong background in mathematics. The
only prerequisite for this text is knowledge of elementary algebra.
Today, college students from almost all fields of study are required to take at least one
course in statistics. Consequently, the study of statistical methods has taken on a prominent role
in the education of students from a variety of backgrounds and academic pursuits. From the first
edition, the goal of Introductory Statistics has been to make the subject of statistics interesting
and accessible to a wide and varied audience. Three major elements of this text support this goal:
1. Realistic content of its examples and exercises, drawing from a comprehensive range of
applications from all facets of life
2. Clarity and brevity of presentation
3. Soundness of pedagogical approach
These elements are developed through the interplay of a variety of significant text features.
The feedback received from the users of the eighth edition (and earlier editions) of Introductory
Statistics has been very supportive and encouraging. Positive experiences reported by instructors
and students have served as evidence that this text offers an interesting and accessible approach
to statistics—the author’s goal from the very first edition. The author has pursued the same goal
through the refinements and updates in this ninth edition, so that Introductory Statistics can continue
to provide a successful experience in statistics to a growing number of students and instructors.
■ The data sets posted on the book companion Web site and WileyPLUS have been updated.
■ Most of the Uses and Misuses sections at the end of each chapter have been updated or replaced.
■ Many of the Mini-Projects, which are now located on the book companion Web site, are
either new or have been updated.
■ Many of the Decide for Yourself sections, also located on the book companion Web site, are
either new or have been updated.
end of each section (or sometimes at the end of two or three sections) include problems on the
topics of that section. These exercises are divided into two parts: Concepts and Procedures that
emphasize key ideas and techniques and Applications that use these ideas and techniques in
concrete settings. Supplementary exercises appear at the end of each chapter and contain exer-
cises on all sections and topics discussed in that chapter. A large number of these exercises are
based on real data taken from varied data sources such as books, government and private data
sources and reports, magazines, newspapers, and professional journals. Not only do the exercises
given in the text provide practice for students, but the real data contained in the exercises provide
interesting information and insight into economic, political, social, psychological, and other
aspects of life. The exercise sets also contain many problems that demand critical thinking skills.
The answers to selected odd-numbered exercises appear in the Answers section at the back of the
book. Optional exercises are indicated by an asterisk (*).
Advanced Exercises All chapters have a set of exercises that are of greater difficulty. Such
exercises appear under the heading Advanced Exercises after the Supplementary Exercises.
Uses and Misuses This feature toward the end of each chapter (before the Glossary) points out
common misconceptions and pitfalls students will encounter in their study of statistics and in
everyday life. Subjects highlighted include such diverse topics as do not feed the animals.
Glossary Each chapter has a glossary that lists the key terms introduced in that chapter, along
with a brief explanation of each term.
Self-Review Tests Each chapter contains a Self-Review Test, which appears immediately after the
Supplementary and Advanced Exercises. These problems can help students test their grasp of the
concepts and skills presented in respective chapters and monitor their understanding of statistical
methods. The problems marked by an asterisk (*) in the Self-Review Tests are optional. The
answers to almost all problems of the Self-Review Tests appear in the Answer section.
Technology Usage At the end of each chapter is a section covering uses of three major technolo-
gies of statistics and probability: the TI-84 Color/TI-84, Minitab, and Excel. For each technology,
students are guided through performing statistical analyses in a step-by-step fashion, showing
them how to enter, revise, format, and save data in a spreadsheet, workbook, or named and
unnamed lists, depending on the technology used. Illustrations and screen shots demonstrate the
use of these technologies. Additional detailed technology instruction is provided in the technol-
ogy manuals that are online at www.wiley.com/college/mann.
Technology Assignments Each chapter contains a few technology assignments that appear at the
end of the chapter. These assignments can be completed using any of the statistical software.
Mini-projects Associated with each chapter of the text are Mini-projects posted online at www.
wiley.com/college/mann. These Mini-projects are either very comprehensive exercises or they
ask students to perform their own surveys and experiments. They provide practical applications
of statistical concepts to real life.
Data Sets A large number of data sets appear on the book companion Web site at www.wiley.
com/college/mann. These large data sets are collected from various sources, and they contain
information on several variables. Many exercises and assignments in the text are based on these
data sets. These large data sets can also be used for instructor-driven analyses using a wide variety
of statistical software packages as well as the TI-84. These data sets are available on the Web
site of the text in numerous formats, including Minitab and Excel.
Videos New for the Ninth Edition, videos for each text section illustrate concepts related to the
topic covered in that section to more deeply engage the students. These videos are accessible via
WileyPLUS.
Preface ix
Web Site
www.wiley.com/college/mann
After you go to the page exhibited by the above URL, click on Visit the Companion Sites. Then click
on the site that applies to you out of the two choices. This Web site provides additional resources for
instructors and students. The following items are available for instructors on this Web site:
• Key Formulas
• Printed Test Bank
• Mini-Projects
• Decide for Yourself
• Power Point Lecture Slides
• Instructor’s Solutions Manual
• Data Sets (see Appendix A for a complete list of these data sets)
• Chapter 14: Multiple Regression
• Chapter 15: Nonparametric Methods
• Technology Resource Manuals:
• TI Graphing Calculator Manual
• Minitab Manual
• Excel Manual
These manuals provide step-by-step instructions, screen captures, and examples for using tech-
nology in the introductory statistics course. Also provided are exercise lists and indications of
which exercises from the text best lend themselves to the use of the package presented.
x Preface
Using WileyPLUS
SUCCESS: WileyPLUS helps to ensure that each study session has a positive outcome by putting
students in control. Through instant feedback and study objective reports, students know if they
did it right and where to focus next, so they achieve the strongest results.
Our efficacy research shows that with WileyPLUS, students improve their outcomes by as
much as one letter grade. WileyPLUS helps students take more initiative, so you will have greater
impact on their achievement in the classroom and beyond.
Supplements
The following supplements are available to accompany this text:
■ Instructor’s Solutions Manual (ISBN 978-1-119-14830-2). This manual contains com-
plete solutions to all of the exercises in the text.
■ Printed Test Bank The printed copy of the test bank contains a large number of multiple-
choice questions, essay questions, and quantitative problems for each chapter. It can be
downloaded and printed from WileyPLUS or from www.wiley.com/college/mann.
■ Student Solutions Manual (ISBN 978-1-119-14829-6). This manual contains complete
solutions to all of the odd-numbered exercises in the text.
Acknowledgments
I thank the following reviewers of the ninth edition of this book, whose comments and sugges-
tions were invaluable in improving the text.
I express my thanks to the following for their contributions to earlier editions of this book that
made it better in many ways: Chris Lacke (Rowan University), Gerald Geissert (formerly of
Eastern Connecticut State University), Daniel S. Miller (Central Connecticut State University),
and David Santana-Ortiz (Rand Organization).
I extend my special thanks to Doug Tyson, James Bush, and Chad Cross, who contributed to
this edition in many significant ways. I take this opportunity to thank Mark McKibben for work-
ing on the solutions manuals and preparing the answer section and Julie M. Clark for checking
the solutions for accuracy.
It is of utmost importance that a textbook be accompanied by complete and accurate sup-
plements. I take pride in mentioning that the supplements prepared for this text possess these
qualities and much more. I thank the authors of all these supplements.
It is my pleasure to thank all the professionals at John Wiley & Sons with whom I enjoyed
working during this revision. Among them are Laurie Rosatone (Vice President and Director),
Joanna Dingle (Acquisitions Editor), Wendy Lai (Senior Designer), Billy Ray (Senior Photo
Editor), Valerie Zaborski (Senior Content Manager), Ken Santor (Senior Production Editor),
Ellen Keohane (Project Editor), Jennifer Brady (Sponsoring Editor), Carolyn DeDeo (Market
Solutions Assistant), David Dietz (Senior Product Designer), and John LaVacca (Marketing
Manager). I also want to thank Jackie Henry (Full Service Manager) for managing the production
process and Lisa Torri (Art Development Editor) for her work on the case study art.
Any suggestions from readers for future revisions would be greatly appreciated. Such
suggestions can be sent to the author at [email protected] or [email protected].
I recently retired from Eastern Connecticut State University and, hence, will prefer that readers
email me at [email protected].
Prem S. Mann
December 2015
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Statistics and Types of Statistics 2
Case Study 1–1 2014 Lobbying Spending by Selected Companies 3
Case Study 1–2 Americans’ Life Outlook, 2014 4
1.2 Basic Terms 5
1.3 Types of Variables 7
1.4 Cross-Section Versus Time-Series Data 9
1.5 Population Versus Sample 10
1.6 Design of Experiments 18
1.7 Summation Notation 22
Uses and Misuses / Glossary / Supplementary Exercises / Advanced Exercises / Self-Review Test / Technology
Instructions / Technology Assignments
INDEX I1
C H AP TE R
1
© Carol Thacker/iStockphoto
Introduction
Are you, as an American, thriving in your life? Or are you struggling? Or, even worse, are you suffering? 1.1 Statistics and Types of
A poll of 176,903 American adults, aged 18 and older, was conducted January 2 to December 30, 2014, Statistics
as part of the Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index survey. The poll found that while 54.1% of these Case Study 1–1 2014
Americans said that they were thriving, 42.1% indicated that they were struggling, and 3.8% mentioned Lobbying Spending by
that they were suffering. (See Case Study 1–2.) Selected Companies
Case Study 1–2 Americans’
The study of statistics has become more popular than ever over the past four decades. The increas- Life Outlook, 2014
ing availability of computers and statistical software packages has enlarged the role of statistics as 1.2 Basic Terms
a tool for empirical research. As a result, statistics is used for research in almost all professions, from
1.3 Types of Variables
medicine to sports. Today, college students in almost all disciplines are required to take at least one
1.4 Cross-Section Versus
statistics course. Almost all newspapers and magazines these days contain graphs and stories on
Time-Series Data
statistical studies. After you finish reading this book, it should be much easier to understand these
1.5 Population Versus Sample
graphs and stories.
1.6 Design of Experiments
Every field of study has its own terminology. Statistics is no exception. This introductory chapter
1.7 Summation Notation
explains the basic terms and concepts of statistics. These terms and concepts will bridge our under-
standing of the concepts and techniques presented in subsequent chapters.
1
2 Chapter 1 Introduction
Statistics Statistics is the science of collecting, analyzing, presenting, and interpreting data,
as well as of making decisions based on such analyses.
Every day we make decisions that may be personal, business related, or of some other kind.
Usually these decisions are made under conditions of uncertainty. Many times, the situations or
problems we face in the real world have no precise or definite solution. Statistical methods help
us make scientific and intelligent decisions in such situations. Decisions made by using statistical
methods are called educated guesses. Decisions made without using statistical (or scientific)
methods are pure guesses and, hence, may prove to be unreliable. For example, opening a large
store in an area with or without assessing the need for it may affect its success.
Like almost all fields of study, statistics has two aspects: theoretical and applied. Theoretical
or mathematical statistics deals with the development, derivation, and proof of statistical theo-
rems, formulas, rules, and laws. Applied statistics involves the applications of those theorems,
formulas, rules, and laws to solve real-world problems. This text is concerned with applied sta-
tistics and not with theoretical statistics. By the time you finish studying this book, you will have
learned how to think statistically and how to make educated guesses.
Google $16,800,000
Verizon $13,300,000
The accompanying chart shows the lobbying spending by five selected companies during 2014. Many com-
panies spend millions of dollars to win favors in Washington. According to Fortune Magazine of June 1, 2015,
“Comcast has remained one of the biggest corporate lobbyists in the country.” In 2014, Comcast spent
$17 million, Google spent $16.8 million, AT&T spent $14.2 million, Verizon spent $13.3 million, and Time
Warner Cable spent $7.8 million on lobbying. These numbers simply describe the total amounts spent by
these companies on lobbying. We are not drawing any inferences, decisions, or predictions from these data.
Hence, this data set and its presentation is an example of descriptive statistics.
Descriptive Statistics
Suppose we have information on the test scores of students enrolled in a statistics class. In statis-
tical terminology, the whole set of numbers that represents the scores of students is called a data
set, the name of each student is called an element, and the score of each student is called an
observation. (These terms are defined in more detail in Section 1.2.)
Many data sets in their original forms are usually very large, especially those collected by
federal and state agencies. Consequently, such data sets are not very helpful in drawing conclu-
sions or making decisions. It is easier to draw conclusions from summary tables and diagrams
than from the original version of a data set. So, we summarize data by constructing tables, draw-
ing graphs, or calculating summary measures such as averages. The portion of statistics that helps
us do this type of statistical analysis is called descriptive statistics.
Chapters 2 and 3 discuss descriptive statistical methods. In Chapter 2, we learn how to con-
struct tables and how to graph data. In Chapter 3, we learn how to calculate numerical summary
measures, such as averages.
Case Study 1–1 presents an example of descriptive statistics.
Inferential Statistics
In statistics, the collection of all elements of interest is called a population. The selection of a
portion of the elements from this population is called a sample. (Population and sample are
discussed in more detail in Section 1.5.)
3
CASE STUDY 1–2
AMERICANS’ LIFE AMERICAN’S LIFE OUTLOOK 2014
OUTLOOK, 2014 Suffering
3.8%
INSU
FFIC
FUN IENT
DS
Struggling Thriving
42.1% 54.1%
ICE
F NOT
LAYOF rm you that yoouurr
et to info eliminated.
We regr
has been
position
Margin
Marg of sampling error ±1%
A poll of 176,903 American adults, aged 18 and older, was conducted January 2 to December 30, 2014,
as part of the Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index survey. Gallup and Healthways have been “tracking
Americans’ life evaluations daily” since 2008. According to this poll, in 2014, Americans’ outlook on life
was the best in seven years, as 54.1% “rated their lives highly enough to be considered thriving,” 42.1%
said they were struggling, and 3.8% mentioned that they were suffering. As mentioned in the chart, the
margin of sampling error was ±1%. In Chapter 8, we will discuss the concept of margin of error, which can
be combined with these percentages when making inferences. As we notice, the results described in the
chart are obtained from a poll of 176,903 adults. We will learn in later chapters how to apply these results
to the entire population of adults. Such decision making about the population based on sample results is
called inferential statistics.
A major portion of statistics deals with making decisions, inferences, predictions, and fore-
casts about populations based on results obtained from samples. For example, we may make
some decisions about the political views of all college and university students based on the polit-
ical views of 1000 students selected from a few colleges and universities. As another example, we
may want to find the starting salary of a typical college graduate. To do so, we may select 2000
recent college graduates, find their starting salaries, and make a decision based on this informa-
tion. The area of statistics that deals with such decision-making procedures is referred to as
inferential statistics. This branch of statistics is also called inductive reasoning or inductive
statistics.
Inferential Statistics Inferential statistics consists of methods that use sample results to help
make decisions or predictions about a population.
Case Study 1–2 presents an example of inferential statistics. It shows the results of a survey
in which American adults were asked about their opinions about their lives.
Chapters 8 through 15 and parts of Chapter 7 deal with inferential statistics.
Probability, which gives a measurement of the likelihood that a certain outcome will occur,
acts as a link between descriptive and inferential statistics. Probability is used to make statements
about the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an event under uncertain conditions. Probability and
probability distributions are discussed in Chapters 4 through 6 and parts of Chapter 7.
4
1.2 Basic Terms 5
EXE RC I S E S
CONCEPT S AND PROCEDURES b. The following table gives the earnings of the world’s top seven
female professional athletes for the year 2014 (ceoworld.biz).
1.1 Briefly describe the two meanings of the word statistics.
1.2 Briefly explain the types of statistics.
2014 Earnings
Female Professional Athlete (millions of dollars)
APPLI C AT IO NS
1.3 Which of the following is an example of descriptive statistics Maria Sharapova 24.4
and which is an example of inferential statistics? Explain. Li Na 23.6
a. In a survey by Fortune Magazine and SurveyMonkey, partici- Serena Williams 22.0
pants were asked what was the most important factor when Kim Yuna 16.3
purchasing groceries (Fortune, June 1, 2015). The following
Danica Patrick 15.0
table lists the summary of the responses of these participants.
Assume that the maximum margin of error is ±1.5%. Victoria Azarenka 11.1
Caroline Wozniacki 10.8
Factor Percent of Respondents
Price 42.4
Nutrition 36.0
Absence of additives 16.4
Number of calories 3.8
Carbon footprint 1.5
The total wealth in our example is called a variable. The total wealth is a characteristic of these
persons on which information is collected.
Variable A variable is a characteristic under study that assumes different values for different
elements. In contrast to a variable, the value of a constant is fixed.
A few other examples of variables are household incomes, the number of houses built in a
city per month during the past year, the makes of cars owned by people, the gross profits of com-
panies, and the number of insurance policies sold by a salesperson per day during the past month.
In general, a variable assumes different values for different elements, as illustrated by the
total wealth for the eight persons in Table 1.1. For some elements in a data set, however, the
values of the variable may be the same. For example, if we collect information on incomes of
households, these households are expected to have different incomes, although some of them
may have the same income.
A variable is often denoted by x, y, or z. For instance, in Table 1.1, the total wealth for per-
sons may be denoted by any one of these letters. Starting with Section 1.7, we will begin to use
these letters to denote variables.
Each of the values representing the total wealths of the eight persons in Table 1.1 is called an
observation or measurement.
From Table 1.1, the total wealth of Warren Buffett was $72.7 billion. The value $72.7 billion is an
observation or a measurement. Table 1.1 contains eight observations, one for each of the eight persons.
The information given in Table 1.1 on the total wealth of the eight richest persons is called
the data or a data set.
Other examples of data sets are a list of the prices of 25 recently sold homes, test scores of
15 students, opinions of 100 voters, and ages of all employees of a company.
EXE R CI S E S
CON CE PTS AND PROCEDURES Briefly explain the meaning of a member, a variable, a measurement,
and a data set with reference to the information in this table.
1.4 Explain the meaning of an element, a variable, an observation,
and a data set. 1.6 The following table lists the number of deaths by cause as
reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on
APPLI CAT IO NS February 6, 2015 (Source: www.cdc.gov).
1.5 The following table lists the number of deaths by cause as Cause of Death Number of Deaths
reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on
February 6, 2015 (Source: www.cdc.gov). Heart disease 611,105
Cancer 584,881
Cause of Death Number of Deaths
Accidents 130,557
Heart disease 611,105 Stroke 128,978
Cancer 584,881 Alzheimer’s disease 84,767
Accidents 130,557 Diabetes 75,578
Stroke 128,978 Influenza and Pneumonia 56,979
Alzheimer’s disease 84,767 Suicide 41,149
Diabetes 75,578
Influenza and Pneumonia 56,979 a. What is the variable for this data set?
Suicide 41,149 b. How many observations are in this data set?
c. How many elements does this data set contain?
1.3 Types of Variables 7
Income, height, gross sales, price of a home, number of cars owned, and number of accidents
are examples of quantitative variables because each of them can be expressed numerically. For
instance, the income of a family may be $81,520.75 per year, the gross sales for a company may
be $567 million for the past year, and so forth. Such quantitative variables may be classified as
either discrete variables or continuous variables.
Discrete Variables
The values that a certain quantitative variable can assume may be countable or noncountable. For
example, we can count the number of cars owned by a family, but we cannot count the height of
a family member, as it is measured on a continuous scale. A variable that assumes countable
values is called a discrete variable. Note that there are no possible intermediate values between
consecutive values of a discrete variable.
Discrete Variable A variable whose values are countable is called a discrete variable. In other
words, a discrete variable can assume only certain values with no intermediate values.
For example, the number of cars sold on any given day at a car dealership is a discrete vari-
able because the number of cars sold must be 0, 1, 2, 3, . . . and we can count it. The number of
cars sold cannot be between 0 and 1, or between 1 and 2. Other examples of discrete variables are
the number of people visiting a bank on any day, the number of cars in a parking lot, the number
of cattle owned by a farmer, and the number of students in a class.
Continuous Variables
Some variables assume values that cannot be counted, and they can assume any numerical value
between two numbers. Such variables are called continuous variables.
Continuous Variable A variable that can assume any numerical value over a certain interval or
intervals is called a continuous variable.
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