Economics Chapter 2
Economics Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Interest and Time Value
of Money
CHAPTER OUTLINE
• Interest (Simple interest, compound
interest)
• Economic Equivalence
• Nominal and Effective Interest Rate
• Discrete Cash Flow and Discrete
Compounding Formulas
• Continuous Compounding Formulas
• Interest Calculation for Gradient Series
• Introduction to Life Cycle Costing
• Introduction to Financial and Economic
Analysis
is not sure that you may get it back either because of his nature or
market scenario. The situation is worse in case when you are
making investment on businesses, shares etc. where you might also
loose your principal amount. It is common that most of the people
fear for investing, knowingly or unknowingly they are conscious
about risks associated with it. In other words, it is the reward for any
chance that you would not get your money back or that it will have
declined in value while invested.
(c) Inflation factor
Purchasing power of money goes down at a constant rate annually
and we call it inflation. The money we invested should at least earn
to cover the loss in its value due to inflation. In other words, it is the
compensation for decrease in purchasing power between the time
you invest it and time it is returned to you.
Every investor, because of these factors, looks for some return on
their investment and charges a cost of investment known as interest
rate. It is a percentage that is periodically applied and added to an
amount (or varying amounts) of money over a specified length of
time. When money is borrowed, the interest paid is the charge to the
borrower for the use of the lender’s property; when money is loaned
or invested, the interest earned is the lender’s gain from providing a
good to another. Interest, then may be defined as the cost of having
money available for use.
i%
0 N
P
Fig: 3.1Single cash flow diagram
Total accumulated amount at the end of 1st year
F1= P + I1 = P + i*P = P (1+i)
For the 2nd interest period
Interest I2= i* F1 = i* (1+i) Total accumulated amount at the end
of 2nd year
(To find the initial payment (P) of the single future sum (F))
P= F (1+i) - N
The factor in the bracket is called the Single Payment Present
worth factor
Functionally, 𝑷 = 𝑭 (𝑷/𝑭, 𝒊%, 𝑵)
Example3.1
Suppose you deposit Rs 1,000 in savings account that pays interest
at a rate of 8%, compounded annually. Assume that you don’t
withdraw the interest earned at the end of each period (year), but let
it accumulate. How much would you have at the end of year 3?
Solution F=?
Given: P = Rs 1,000, N=3 years, and i = 8% per year
F = P (F/P, i%, N)
F = Rs 1,000 (1+0.08)3 0 1 2 3
F = Rs 1,259.71 (Ans)
Rs 1,000
Example3.2
You have just purchased shares @Rs 100 per share. If you
expect the stock price to increase 20% per year, how long do
you expect to double its market price?
Example3.3
Mr. X deposits Rs 10,000 now in a bank which gives 8% interest
per year. He draws Rs 4,000 at the end of 2nd year. What will be the
remaining amount at the end of 5th year?
F=?
Solution 4,000
0
1 2 3 4 5
10,000
Alternatively
F = {10,000 (1.08)2 -4,000} (1.08)3
= Rs 9,654.5 (Ans)
RULE OF 72
Rule of 72 can determine approximately how long it will take for a
sum of money to ‘double’. The rule states that “to find the time it
takes for the present sum of money to grow by a factor of 2, we
divide 72 by the interest rate”
Er. Santosh K. Shrestha Er. Ishwar Adhikari
Fundamentals of Engineering Economic Analysis
Example3.4
Suppose we invest Rs. 1000 at 12% annual interest for 5 years.
From Compound interest formula,
F= P (1+i) N, expresses the equivalence between present amount, P, and
future amount, F, for given interest, i, and number of interest
periods N.
F = Rs. 1000(1+0.12)5 = Rs. 1762.34
Example3.5
Suppose you are offered the alternative of receiving either Rs. 3000
at the end of 5 years or P Rs. today. There is no question that the
Rs. 3000 will be paid in full (no risk). Because you have no current
need for the money, you would deposit the P Rs. in an account that
pays 8% interest. What value of P would make you indifferent to
your choice between P Rs. today and the promise of Rs. 3000 at the
end of 5 years?
Solution
Our job is to determine the present amount that is economically
equivalent to $3000 in 5 years given the investment potential of 8%
per year.
Given: F = Rs. 3000, N = 5 years, i=8% per year.
P = F (1+i)-N = 3000 (1+0.08)-5 = Rs. 2042
• If P is anything less than Rs. 2042, you would prefer the
promise of Rs. 3000 in 5years to P Rs. today.
• If P were greater than Rs. 2042, you would prefer P.
Principle 1
Equivalence calculations made to compare alternatives requires a
common time basis.
In example 3.5, if we had been given magnitude of each
cash flow and had been asked to determine their
equivalency, we should choose the reference point and find
the value of each cash flow at that point.
For selecting the reference point, commonly present time
(present worth) or some point in future (future worth) is
used.
The choice of point is chosen as per convenience.
Example3.6
In example 3.5, we determined that, given an interest rate of 8% per
year, receiving Rs. 2042 today is equivalent to receiving Rs. 3000 in
5 years. Are these cash flows also equivalent at the end of year 3?
Solution
Here base period is 3 years.
In fig (a)
P = Rs. 2042, i=8% per year, N = 3 years
In fig (b)
F = Rs. 3000, i=8% per year, N = 2 years
Principle 2
Equivalence depends on interest rate
The equivalence between two cash flows is a function of
both the cash flow pattern and the interest rate that operates
on those cash flows.
Change in the interest rate will destroy the equivalence
between these two sums.
Example3.6
In example 3.5, we determined, at an interest rate of 8% per year,
receiving Rs. 2042 today is equivalent to receiving Rs. 3000 in 5
years. Are these cash flows equivalent at an interest rate of 10%?
Solution
Lets select base period N= 5 years.
Principle 3
Equivalence Calculations may require the conversion of multiple
payment cash flows to a single cash flow.
Example3.7
Suppose that you borrow Rs. 1000 from a bank for 3 years at 10%
annual interest. The bank offers two options: (1) Repaying the
interest charges for each year at the end of that year and repaying
the principal at the end of 3 year. (2) Repaying the loan all at once
(including both interest and principal) at the end of year 3.
Option Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
End of year repayment of interest Rs. 100 Rs.100 Rs.1100
and principal repayment at end of
loan.
One end of loan repayment of 0 0 Rs. 1331
both principal and interest
Determine whether these options are equivalent, assuming the
interest rate for comparison is 10%?
Solution
Since we pay the principal after 3 years in either plan, the
repayment of principal can be removed from our analysis.
Example 3.9
A person deposits a sum of Rs 5,000 in a bank at a nominal interest
rate of 12% for 10 years. The compounding is quarterly. Find the
maturity of the deposit after 10 years.
Solution
P = Rs 5,000, N = 10 years, i=12%compounded quarterly
Interest period in a year = 4
Total interest period for 10 years = 40
i= 12%/4 = 3%
Using single payment compound amount factor
F = P (F/P, 3%, 40) = 5,000 (1+0.03)40 = Rs 16,310 (Ans).
Alternatively
iyear =(1+0.12/4)4 -1 = 12.5508% per year
N =10 years
F = 5,000 (F/P, 12.55%, 10) = 5,000 (1+0.125508)10
= Rs 16,310 (Ans)
2.4 Development of Interest formulas
As we begin to compare series of cash flows instead of single
payments, the required analysis becomes more complicated.
However, when patterns in cash flow transactions can be identified,
we can take advantage of these patterns by developing concise
expression for computing either present or future worth of the
series. We will classify the five major categories of cash flow
transactions; develop interest formulas for them and present several
working examples for them.
Types of Cash Flow
1. Single cash flow: the simplest case involves the
equivalence of a single present amount and its future worth.
The single cash flow formulas deal with the only two
amounts; a single present amount P and its future worth F.
1,000
Years
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1 2 3 4 5 Years
0 1 2 3 4 5 Years
Fig: Linear Gradient series
(c) Geometric gradient series: Another kind of gradient series
is formed when the series in cash flow is determined, not by
a fixed amount like Rs 1,000, but by some fixed rate,
expressed as a percentage. For example, in a 10 year
financial plan for a project, the cost of particular raw
material might be budgeted to increase at a rate of 4% per
year. The curving gradient in the diagram of such a series
Years
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1 2 3 4 5 Years
A A A A A
0 1 2 3 N-1 N
If the amount ‘A’ occurs at the end of each period for N periods and
i% is the interest rate per period, the Future worth (F) at the end of
the last (Nth) period is:
F = A {(1+i) N-1 + (1+i) N-2 + (1+i) N-3 + ………… + (1+i) 1 + 1}
The bracketed term comprise a geometric progression with common
ratio (1+i) -1
SN = a1 – baN (b≠1)
1-b
Alternatively,
F=A (1+i) N-1+A (1+i) N-2+……. +A(1+i)+ A………………(1)
Multiplying both sides by (1+i)
F (1+i) = A (1+i) N + A (1+i) N-1 + ……….. + A (1+i) 2 + A
(1+i)……………… (2)
Subtracting equation (1) from equation (2), we get
F (1+i) – F = A (1+i) N –A
Er. Santosh K. Shrestha Er. Ishwar Adhikari
Fundamentals of Engineering Economic Analysis
Example 3.10
If a woman deposits Rs 15,000 at the end of each year for 10
continuous period years, how much money is accumulated at the
end of 10 years? i=10% compounded annually.
Solution
Given: A=Rs 15,000, N = 10 years, i=10% per year, F =?
F=?
i=10%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000
Example 3.11
How much money should you deposit now in a saving account
earning 10% interest rate compounded annually so that you may
make 8 end of year withdrawal of Rs 2000 each?
Solution
Given: A = Rs 2,000, N =8, i=10% per year
2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P =?
Example 3.12
Mr. Ramesh wants to have Rs 10, 00,000 for the studies of his
daughter after the period of 15 years. How much rupees does he has
to deposit each year for 10 continuous years in a saving account that
earns 8% interest annually. (TU, IOE-2061)
Solution
Given: F=Rs 10, 00,000, N =15, i=8% per year, A =?
Example 3.13
How many deposits of Rs 25,000 each should Dr. Thakur make
each month so that the final accumulated amount will be Rs 10,
00,000 if the bank interest rate is 12% per year? (TU, IOE 2063)
Solution
Given: A = 25,000 per month, F = 10, 00,000, i =12% per year
Monthly interest rate,
im = (1+iyear)1/12 -1
im = (1+0.12)1/12 -1
im = 0.0094 = 0.94%
Using the uniform series compound amount factor
F = A (F/A, 0.94%, N)
10, 00,000 = 25,000 {((1+0.0094) N – 1)/ 0.0094}
0.376 = (1.0094) N -1
1.376 = (1.0094) N
Taking log on both sides
Log 1.376 = N Log 1.0094
N = 34, Dr. Thakur should make 34 deposits (Ans)
Example 3.14
A man aged 40 years now had borrowed Rs, 5, 00,000 from a bank
for his further studies at the age of 20 years. Interest was charged at
11% per year compounded quarterly. He wished to pay loan in
semiannual equal installments with the first installment beginning 5
years after receiving the loan. He has just cleared the loan now.
What amount did he pay in each installment? (TU, IOE-2062)
Solution
Rs 5, 00,000
21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 39 40
20
A
Given: P = Rs 5, 00,000, i=11%per compounded quarterly, N=20
years, A =?
Quarterly interest rate,
iq = 11%/4 = 2.75%
Semiannual interest rate
isemi = (1+iq)2 -1
isemi = (1+0.0275)2 -1
isemi = 5.57%
Using the single payment compound amount factor
F =5, 00,000 (F/P, 5.57%, 40) …………….. (1)
Using the uniform series compound amount factor
F = A (F/A, 5.57%, 30) …………………… (2)
Equating equation (1) and (2)
5, 00,000 (1+0.057)40 = A {((1+0.057)30 -1/ 0.057}
A = Rs 61,217.3 is the semiannual payment (Ans)
0 1
P 1/p
Fig 3.4 Cash flow of Continuous compounding for 1 year
Er. Santosh K. Shrestha Er. Ishwar Adhikari
Fundamentals of Engineering Economic Analysis
We have
F = A {(1+i) N-1/i}
F = A {(1+i)-1/i} (if N=1)
Future equivalent at the end of year 1
F = 1/p {(1+r/p) p -1 / r/p}
F= {(1+r/p) p -1/r}
AS F= P (1+r/p) p
P = (1+r/p) p -1
r (1+r/p)p
As lim (1+r/p) p = er
p ∞
Present equivalent of continuous one year cash flow
P = 1{er-1 / r(er)}
P = er-1/rer
(P/A, r%, N) = erN-1/rerN
Where A = amount flowing uniformly and continuously over
one year.
Interest factors and symbols
To Given Factor Factor name Functional
find symbol
Example 3.15
Suppose that Mr. Keshab has a present loan of Rs 1,000 and desired
to determine what equivalent uniform end of year payments, A,
Example 3.16
Calculate the future worth of the following cash flows deposited at
8% compounded continuously for five years (i) Rs 50,000 at the
beginning of each year (ii) Rs 50,000 at the end of each year. (TU,
IOE-2064)
F=?
Solution
(i)
0 1 2 3 4 5
50,000
Using Continuous compounding compound amount factor
F = A {F/A, r%, N}*er = A (erN-1/r) = 50,000 (e0.08*5-1/e0.08) *
e0.08 = Rs 3, 19,850 (Ans)
(ii) F=?
0 1 2 3 4 5
50,000
A1 + (N-1) G
A1 + (N-2) G
A1 +4G
A1 +3G
A1 +2G
A1 +G
A1
0 1 2 3 4 5 N-1 N
0 1 2 3 4 5 N-1 N
A1 - (N-2) G
A1 -4G
A1 -3G
A1 - 2G
A1 A1 -G
0 1 2 3 4 5 N-1 N
G NG
F= [(1+i) N-1 + (1+i) N-2 + ……………. + (1+i) 2 + (1+i) 1 + 1] -
i i
G [ (1 + i ) − 1] − NG
N
F=
i i i
The quantity in the bracket is called the Gradient to Future
equivalent factor
G NG
Functionally, (F/G, i%, N) -
i i
A[ ]= [ ]−
i i i i
Er. Santosh K. Shrestha Er. Ishwar Adhikari
Fundamentals of Engineering Economic Analysis
1 N
A = G[ − ]
i (1 + i ) N − 1
The quantity in the bracket is called the Gradient to uniform series
factor
Functionally, G (A/G, i%, N)
Example 3.17
A person is planning for his retired life. He has 10 more years of
service. He would like to deposit 20% of his salary, which is Rs
4,000 at the end of the first year, and there after he wishes to deposit
the amount with an annual increase of Rs 500 for the next 9 years
with an interest rate of 15%. Find the total amount at the end of the
10th year of the above service.
Solution
G = Rs 500, i=15%, N =10 years, F =?
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500 6,000
6,500
7,000 7,500
8,000
= 8,500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4,00 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
= 4,000 ]+ [ ]−
0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
= Rs 1, 15,562 (Ans)
Example 3.18
Ram and Shayam have just opened two saving accounts. The
accounts earn 10% annual interest. Ram wants to deposit Rs.1, 000
in his account at the end of the 1st year and increase this amount by
Rs.300 for each of the following 5 years. Shayam wants to deposit
an equal amount each year for next 6 years. What should be the size
of the Shayam’s annual deposit so that the two accounts would have
equal balance at the end of 6 years?
Solution
Given: G = Rs.300, i=10%, N =6 years
1 2 3 4 5 6
0
1,000
1,300
1,600
=
1,900
2,200
= 2,500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
+
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
300
600
900
1,000
1,200
Using Gradient to uniform series conversion factor
A = A +G (A/G, 10%, 6)
Alternatively
P = 1,000(P/A, 10%, 6) + 300(P/G, 10%, 6)
= 1,000 (4.3553) +300 (9.6842)
= Rs.7, 260.56
A = P (A/P, 10%, 6)
= Rs. 1,667.02 (Ans) this is Shayam’s annual contribution.
Example: 3.19
Suppose that one has cash flows as follows.
End of year Net Cash Flow
1 -8000
2 -7000
3 -6000
4 -5000
Calculate the Present equivalent at i=15%
Solution
1 2 3 4
0
5,000
7,000 6,000
8,000
P =?
=
0 1 2 3 4
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1 2 3 4
Using Gradient to present equivalent conversion factor
= 8,000 (P/A, 15%, 4) – 1000 (P/G, 15%, 4)
= 8,000 [(1+0.15)4-1/ (1+0.15)4 *0.15] – 1,000/0.152[
(1 + 0.15) 4 − 4*0.15 − 1
(1 + 0.15) 4
= 22,864 - 3,786
= Rs 19,078 (Ans)
Example 3.20
Consider the cash flow as below:
End of year Net Cash Flow
1 200,000
2 175,000
3 150,000
4 125,000
5 100,000
Calculate the Present equivalent using gradient series formula at
i=10% per year.
Solution
0 1 2 3 4 5
P=?
0 1 2 3 4 5
- 100,000
P1=? 75,000
50,000
25,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
P2=?
Using uniform series present worth factor and Gradient to present
equivalent conversion factor
P= P1 –P2
P = 2, 00,000 (P/A, 10%, 5) – 25,000 (P/G, 10%, 5)
P = 2, 00,000 [(1+0.1) 5 - 1] / [0.1* (1+0.1) 5] –
25, 000 (1 + 0.1)5 − 5*0.1 − 1
[ ])
0.12 (1 + 0.1)5
P = 7, 58,160 – 1, 71,545
P = 5, 86,615 (Ans)
If i ≠ g
P = A1 [ 1- (1+g)N (1+i) –N ]
i–g
If i = g
P = [NA1/ (1+i)-1]
Functionally,
F = A1 [(1+i)-N- (1+g)N ]
i–g
If i = g
F = NA1 (1+i) N-1
Functionally,
F= A1 (F/A1, g, i, N) Geometric gradient series future worth factor
Example: 3.21
Air plane ticket price will increase 8% in each of the next four
years. The cost at the end of the first year will be Rs. 2000. How
much should be put away now to cover a passenger travel home at
the end of each year for the next four years. Assume i=5%.
Solution
Given: A1 =2000, g=8%, i=5%
Here i ≠ g
P = A1 [1- (1+g)N (1+i) –N ]
i–g
Example: 3.22
An investment of Rs. 100,000 is made in a limited partnership in a
natural gas drilling project. The first year of the investment
produced net revenue of Rs. 25,000. Over a 20 year period, the net
revenue received from the investment decreased by 10% each year.
Based on a interest rate of 12%, what is the present worth for the
investment?
Solution
Given; A1 = 25,000, i =12%, g= -10%, and N=20 years.
PW = -100,000 + 25,000 (P/A1, 12%, -10%, 20)
= -100,000 + 25,000 [1- (0.9)20 (1.12) –20 ]
012 – (-0.1)
= 12,204.15 (Ans)
Example: 3.23
A graduating Civil Engineer is going to make Rs 35000 per year
with granite construction. A total of 10% of the salary will be placed
in the mutual fund of their choice. The engineer can count on a 3%
salary increase for the next 30 years of employment. If the engineer
place the retirement fund in a account averaging 12% over the
course of a career. What can he expect at retirement?
Solution
Given: A1 = 10% of 35000 = Rs 3500, i=12%, g=3%, N =30 years
Here i ≠ g
F = A1 [(1+i) -N- (1+g) N]
i–g
= 3500 [(1+0.12) -30- (1+g) 30]
0.12 –0.03
= Rs 1070714
4G
5,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
50,000
Solution
P = 5,000, N=5, i=10%, G=? 5,000
0
1 2 3 4 5
+
50,000
4G
3G
2G
G
0
1 2 3 4 5
50,000
Applying the uniform series present worth factor and gradient series
present worth factor
50,000 = 5000 (P/A, 10%, 5) + G (P/G, 10%, 5)
Or, 31,046 = 6.8618G
1, 00,000
1, 15,000
1, 30,000
1, 45,000
1, 60,000
1, 75,000
6 7 8 9 10
5
1, 15,000
1, 30,000
1, 45,000
1, 60,000
= 1, 75,000
6 7 8 9 10
5
1, 15,000
+
6 7 8 9 10
5
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
Now using the gradient relation (assume i=10%)
P5 = 115000 (P/A, 10%, 5) + 15000 (P/G, 10%, 5)
= 115000 * 3.7908 + 15000 * 6.8618
= 435942 + 102927
= 538869
Review Questions
1. Explain Time value of Money.
2. What is the practical application of the different interest
formulas?
3. Differentiate between nominal and effective interest rate.
Exercises
1. For an interest rate of 8%, compounded annually, find (i)
how much can be loaned now if Rs. 5,000 will be repaid at
the end of 5 years? (ii) How much will be required in 4
years to repay a Rs 12,000 loan now? (3402.92, 16325.87)
2. You bought 100 shares on 2065 Chaitra 31. Your intention
is to keep the stock until it doubles in value. If you expect
15% annual growth for shares, how many years do you
expect to hold on the stock of shares? Compare the solution
obtained by rule of 72. (5 years)
3. How much invested now at 6% would be sufficient to
provide three payments with the first payment in the amount
of Rs 2,000 occurring at the end of 1st year, Rs 3,000 at the
end of 5 years, and Rs 4,000 at the end of 3 years?
(7487.04)
4. What equal annual series of payments must be paid into a
sinking fund to accumulate the following amount?
(a) Rs 10,000 in 13 years at 5% compounded annually
(564.56)
(b) Rs 25,000 in 10 years at 9% compounded annually
(1645.50)
(c) Rs 15,000 in 25 years at 7% compounded annually
(237.16)
(d) Rs 8,000 in 8 years at 12% compounded annually
(650.42)
5. Part of the income that a machine generates is put into a
sinking fund to replace the machine when it wears out. If Rs
1,500 is deposited annually at 7% interest, how many years