The document discusses the field of Development Economics, focusing on the transformation of economies from stagnation to growth, addressing issues like poverty, inequality, and unemployment. It outlines various models and theories related to economic growth, structural change, and the importance of understanding developing nations to improve their material conditions. Additionally, it highlights key megatrends shaping the future, including shifts in global economic power, demographic changes, urbanization, technological advancements, and climate change.
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ECODEV Midterm Reviewer
The document discusses the field of Development Economics, focusing on the transformation of economies from stagnation to growth, addressing issues like poverty, inequality, and unemployment. It outlines various models and theories related to economic growth, structural change, and the importance of understanding developing nations to improve their material conditions. Additionally, it highlights key megatrends shaping the future, including shifts in global economic power, demographic changes, urbanization, technological advancements, and climate change.
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PART I
Economics - branch of Social Science that Development:
deals with allocation of resources, Traditional definition: more focused on production, distribution, and consumption economic growth of goods and services. New definition: education or elimination of Two Branches: poverty, inequality, and unemployment 1. Microeconomics within the context of a growing economy. 2. Macroeconomics “Redistribution from growth” became a common slogan. Economic Resources: Land, Labor, Capital, Entrepreneurship Poverty Equilibrium Development Economics - poverty itself maintains the forces - study of how economies are that lead to its perpetuation. transformed from stagnation to growth Poverty - characterized by malnutrition, Absolute Poverty illiteracy and disease as to be beneath any - unable to meet the minimum levels reasonable definition of human decency of income, food, clothing, health care, Yet within a particular society at a shelter and other essentials particular time, poverty is often defined relative to average living standard. Reasons for Studying Dev’t Econ. Poverty Trap - when an economic 1. Nature - concerned with economic, system requires a significant amount of cultural and political requirements for capital in order to earn enough to escape effecting rapid structural and institutional poverty transformations of entire societies in a Headcount Index - proportion of a manner that will mostly efficiently bring the country’s population living below the fruits of economic progress to the broadest poverty line segments of their populations. Foster-Greer-Thorbecke (FGT) Index 2. Aim - purpose of this field is “to help - class of measures of the level of people understand developing economies in absolute poverty order to help improve the material lives of Total Poverty Gap - sum of the difference the majority of the global population.” between the poverty line and actual income 3. Scope - traces the current state of levels of all people living below that line developing nations, from what they have and what they have not, and apply the The Structure of Third World Economies theories of development applicable to each. 1. The size of the country (geographic area, Includes analysis of: population, and income) 1. poverty 2. Its historical and colonial background 2. inequality 3. Its endowments of physical and human 3. population growth resources 4. rural-urban migration 4. The relative importance of its public and 5. agricultural development private sectors 6. international trading 5. The nature of its industrial structure 7. stabilization policies 6. Its degree of dependence on external 8. Financial system economic and political forces 9. Fiscal policy 7. The distribution of power and the 4. Importance institutional and political structure within To help developing countries attain the nation. development: 1. economic and social equality Characteristics of the Developing World 2. elimination of poverty 1. Lower levels of living and productivity 3. universal education 2. Lower levels of human capital 4. rising levels of living 3. Higher levels of inequality and absolute 5. national independence poverty 6. modernization of institutions 4. Higher population growth rates 7. rule of law and due process 5. Greater social fractionalization (ETHNIC, 8. access to opportunity CULTURAL, RELIGIOUS ASPECT) 9. political and economic 6. Larger rural populations but rapid rural- participation to-urban migration 10. grassroots democracy 7. Lower levels of industrialization 11. self-reliance 8. Adverse geography 12. personal fulfillment (RESOURCES/WEATHER & CLIMATE) 9. Underdeveloped financial and other Structural Transformation markets - a major alteration in the industrial 10. Lingering colonial impacts such as poor composition of any economy institutions and often external dependence.
Lewis Two-Sector Model
Indicators of development: - surplus labor from the traditional 1. Income agricultural sector is transferred to the a) GDP/GPI/GNI modern industrial sector b) Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) 2. Health International-Dependence Revolution 3. Education - developing nations as being threatened by external environment: Human Development Index Political - measures three areas of human economic rigidities development: health, education, and institutional dependence standard of living. dominance of the rich countries Neocolonial Dependence Model PART II - believes that the developing Linear Stages Theory countries are underdeveloped and - Walt W. Rostow continues to be - development undergoes stages of Center - In dependence theory, the growth in achieving development economically developed world. - important factor that will start this Periphery - In dependence theory, takeoff is for a country to have a sufficient the developing countries. fund to achieve the necessary growth to Comprador group - In dependence attain development theory, local elites who act as fronts for foreign investors. Harrod-Domar Growth Model - growth rate of gross domestic Underdevelopment product (g) depends directly on the national - persistent low levels of living in net savings rate (s) and inversely on the conjunction with absolute poverty, low national capital-output ratio income per capita, low rates of economic - for countries to achieve growth, growth, low consumption levels, poor health they need to save and invest services, high death rates, high birth rates, - growth of the labor force and the dependence on foreign economies, and progress in technology are the other factors limited freedom to choose among activities needed to attain growth that satisfy human wants
Structural Change Model False Paradigm Model
- transformation of the economic - underdevelopment is due to faulty structures of the developing countries from and misleading and inappropriate advice traditional subsistence agriculture to given by the experts coming from developed modern industrialized economy countries Two-sector Surplus Labor From traditional, overpopulated, Dualistic-Development Thesis rural subsistence sector; to high- - we live in is the existence of the rich productivity modern, urban industrial and the poor: rich and poor nations, rich sector and poor people a combination of developing both the Dualism - coexistence of two situations or traditional sector and the industrial sector phenomena
Structural Change Theory Neoclassical Counterrevolution
- hypothesis that underdevelopment - In developed nations, this is due to underutilization of resources counterrevolution favored supply-side arising from structural or institutional macroeconomic policies, rational factors that have their origins in both expectations theories, and the privatization domestic and international dualism. of public corporations - In developing countries, it called for freer markets and the dismantling of 4 Highly Desirable Properties Of public ownership, statist planning, and Measuring Inequality government regulation of economic 1. Anonymity Principle activities - measure of inequality should not 1. Free-market analysis - analysis of the depend on who has the higher income properties of an economic system operating 2. Scale Independence Principle with free markets - measure of inequality should not 2. New Political Economy Approach - depend on the size of the economy or the self-interest guides all individual behavior way we measure its income and that governments are inefficient and corrupt because people use government to 3. Population Independence pursue their own agendas - measure of inequality should not be 3. Market-friendly Approach - successful based on the number of income development policy requires governments to recipients create an environment in which markets 4. Transfer Principle can operate efficiently and to intervene only - Pigou-Dalton Principle selectively - Monotonicity Principle - all other incomes constant, if we O-Ring Theory transfer some income from a richer person - Michael Kremer (1993) to a poorer person the resulting new income - tasks of production must be distribution is more equal executed proficiently together in order for any of them to be of high value Poverty in the Third World - people with similar skill levels Poverty Groups work together Rural poverty Kremer thinks that the O-ring development Women and poverty theory explains why rich countries produce Ethnic Minorities, Indigenous more complicated products, have larger Populations, and Poverty firms and much higher worker productivity Poor countries than poor countries John Maynard Keynes Major Assumptions of O-ring - Father Of Modern Macroeconomics 1. firms are risk-neutral - Solved the problem of the Great 2. labor markets are competitive Depression – 1930’S 3. workers supply labor inelastically High Unemployment + Inflation =Stagflation 4. workers are imperfect substitutes for one another Keynes Hypothesis 5. there is a sufficient complementarity of - The only solution for this problem is tasks to satisfy the minimum absolute needs of the population by providing enough income PART III Measuring Inequality 1. Personal distribution of income (size distribution of income) - distribution of income according to size class of persons Quintiles (20%) and Deciles (10%) Lorenz curve - graph depicting the variance of the size distribution of income from perfect equality Gini coefficient - measure of income inequality ranging from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (perfect inequality) 2.Functional distribution of income (factor share distribution of income) - distribution of income to factors of production without regard to the ownership of the factors Megatrends - driving forces that define the world today and that of tomorrow. - they are what we know about a likely future. - characterized by being far-reaching, global patterns related to behaviour, mobility and environment - they will present us with both tremendous opportunities to seize - as well as extremely dangerous risks to mitigate
5 Key Megatrends 1. Shift in Global Economic Power 2. Demographic Change 3. Rapid Urbanization 4. Rise of Technology 5. Climate Change/Resource Scarcity