2022PSF CaseStudySahel
2022PSF CaseStudySahel
Study Report
April 2022
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Table of Contents
1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................ 1
2 METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................................................... 1
3 CONTEXT OF THE PROGRAMME .......................................................................................................... 2
4 BRIEF PROGRAMME DESCRIPTION ..................................................................................................... 4
5 OVERALL ACHIEVEMENTS .................................................................................................................... 6
6 STRATEGIC GUIDANCE ........................................................................................................................ 14
7 PROGRAMME DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION .............................................................................. 18
8 MANAGEMENT AND ORGANISATION ................................................................................................ 21
ANNEX A: SELECTED CASE STUDY ENGAGEMENTS AND SAMPLING CRITERIA...................... 23
ANNEX B: LIST OF PERSONS MET ........................................................................................................ 26
ANNEX C: BIBLIOGRAPHY ...................................................................................................................... 28
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List of Abbreviations
1
ODA - Official Development Assistance
OHCHR - Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights
PSED - Peace and Stabilisation Engagement Document
PSF - Peace and Stabilisation Fund
PSP - Peace and Stabilization Programme
RDE - Royal Danish Embassy
SAMSEK - Inter-Ministerial Cooperation Secretariat
SDG - Sustainable Development Goals
SFCG - Search for Common Ground
SPSU - Sahel Programme Support Unit
ToC - Theory of Change
ToR - Terms of Reference
UK - United Kingdom
UN - United Nations
UNDP - United Nations Development Programme
UNDPA - United Nations Department of Political Affairs
UNECA - United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
UNODC - United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
UNSCR - United Nations Security Council Resolution
USA - United States of America
VDP - Voluntaires pour la Defense de la Patrie
WACAP - West African Network of Central Authorities and Prosecutors
WOG(A) - Whole of Government (Approach)
WPS - Women, Peace and Security
XOF - West African CFA franc
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1 Introduction
This case study report on the Sahel region focuses on one of three regional case studies carried
out as part of the Evaluation of the Danish Peace and Stabilisation Fund. The evaluation covers
the period 2014-2020 and is undertaken on behalf of Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The
Sahel case study focuses on two PSF Peace and Stabilisation Programmes phases (Phase I 2013-
2017 and Phase II 2018-2022). The formulation of an expected third phase (2022-26) is currently
underway. Other case studies cover the Fund’s engagement in Horn of Africa and in Iraq/Syria.
The regional case studies will together with broader analysis form the basis for the forthcoming
Evaluation Report (Mid 2022).
The case study report is structured according to the four evaluation questions (EQs) (Chapters 4
to 7). The report addresses the evaluation questions at a strategic level based on evidence from
the analysis of selected Peace and Stabilisation Engagements (projects), interviews and a
document review. The methodology is elaborated in Chapter 2. The report also includes a brief
description of the Programme context (Chapter 3).
Fieldwork was carried out in Burkina Faso and Mali from 14th to 26th November 2021. The
mission team would like to thank the staff of the embassies in Bamako and Ouagadougou for
their support in providing contacts and insights. Unfortunately, the mission team could not travel
to the project areas (Liptako-Gourma) due to security restrictions.
2 Methodology
The purpose of the regional case studies in the PSF evaluation is to seek in-depth insights on the
results, challenges and opportunities arising from PSF programmes. The Terms of Reference
(ToR) of the evaluation has directed the team to focus on the following three regions: Horn of
Africa, Iraq-Syria and Sahel. For the assessment of the regional case studies, the team has a
layered approach to capture various strategic and more operational dimensions of programming:
Layer 1. Holistic/strategic level analysis: The Evaluation takes a broader look at the overall
PSF programme for the case study region for questions related to strategic use and
overall impact/PSF added value of the programme in the region and targeted countries.
This will inform EQ 1 (broader impacts, whole of government (WOG) approach), EQ 2
(relevance, coherence, strategic guidance, priority setting), EQ 3 (use of conflict analysis)
and, to some extent, EQ 4 (role of IMSC, SAMSEK, overall management).
Layer 2. Analysis of selected engagements: Selected engagements (PSEDs) are included in the
evaluation for a more in-depth assessment of results, sustainability and questions around
design, implementation and monitoring of PSF-funded engagements. This analysis will
mostly inform EQ 1 (engagement level results, WOG approach), EQ 2 (relevance,
coherence), EQ 3 (design, implementation, monitoring, use of conflict analysis, ToC, etc).
The Evaluation has conducted the following tasks in the Sahel regional case study:
a) Review of key documents from the PSF programmes (PSP I and PSP II), including
programme documents and appraisals, implementation reports, reviews, evaluations, etc. An
exhaustive list of documents is included in the overall bibliography of the main evaluation
report. Selected documents are listed in the bibliography of this report (Annex C).
b) The selection of a sample of engagements (Layer 2 above), aimed to inform the strategic level
(Layer 1 above). The criteria for sampling are found in Annex A. In the Sahel, the following
engagements were included in the sample:
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1 Trust building and cooperation for stability and security in border regions; (2019-2021) in
Liptako-Gourma
Implementing partner Search for Common Ground (SFCG);
2 Prevention and resolution of conflicts among border communities (2013-2017) and Border
management and protection of pastoralists and local border communities (2018-2021)
Implementing partner Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue (HD)
3 Comprehensive security sector analysis (2013-2017) Strengthened democratic control of the
security sector (2018-2021);
Implementing partners Geneva Center for the Democratic Control of the Armed Forces (DCAF) /
National Democratic Institute (NDI);
4 Improving Governments’ capacity to countering and strengthened prevention-focused justice
response to illegal trafficking, transnational crime and violent extremism (2013-2017) and
Improved regional cooperation in combatting organised crime – UNODC’s Response to the
Sahel Crisis (2018-2021);
Implementing partner United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)
5 FC-G5S human rights and international humanitarian law compliance; Military support to the
FC-G5S and relevant national and regional security, defence and peace support capacities;
Implementing partners Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) and Expertise
France/France via the African Peace Facility (APP)
c) Interviews were conducted both at strategic level and for each engagement. Interviews
included:
Key Danish MFA from HQ, embassies (Bamako and Ouagadougou) and advisers
involved in PSF;
Implementing partners (multilaterals, bilateral, NGOs);
National Independent Human Rights Commissions;
Think tanks;
Bilateral development partners.
The interviews were face-to-face (when possible) or virtual. A list of interviewees is included as
Annex B.
1 Danish Regional Sahel Peace and Stabilisation Programme 2013-2017, October 2013.
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disappearances, especially since 2020, creating a security and human rights challenge in
themselves. This has contributed to weakening social cohesion and communities’ confidence in
the state.
The security situation has evolved at a different pace across the three countries:
Burkina Faso is the country which has deteriorated fastest and most drastically, starting
in the Sahel region (particularly in Soum and Oudalan, then Yagha), before spreading to
the North (2017), the East (2018), and the Centre-North and Boucle du Mouhoun
regions (2019). The situation has improved somewhat since 2020 but has significantly
deteriorated again toward the end of 2021;
In Mali, the violence that up until 2015 was confined to the North of the country has
spread to the Centre regions (Mopti, Ségou) – now the epicentre of attacks – and, still to
a lesser extent, to some regions in the south (Kayes, Sikasso, and even Koulikoro);
Niger has best withstood the jihadist insurgents since 2013. There are two main hotspots
of violence, one active since 2013 in the west (Tillabéri, north of Tahoua) and the second
that became active in 2014 in the East (Diffa). There has been no notable improvement
in the situation in these two areas.
While each country has specific internal challenges, the security issues have a clear cross-border
nature: the area of Liptako-Gourma, situated between Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger, is currently
the epicentre of conflicts and violence.
The recent developments in the political situation highlight the depth of the governance
crisis in the sub-region, despite fragile progress in some countries.
In Mali, after many years of stagnating implementation of the Algiers Peace accord2,
increasing insecurity in the country and rising popular discontent with the political elite, a
military coup of 18 August 2020 led to the resignation of President Ibrahim Boubacar
Keïta. The military put a transitional government in place and completed a second
military coup in May 2021. After an announcement by the transitional government to
postpone elections foreseen for February 2022 with up to five years, ECOWAS,
UEMOA and the EU have imposed sanctions against the regime;
In Burkina Faso, Roch Marc Christian Kaboré was re-elected in 2020 for a second term
with a comfortable parliamentary majority. Yet, several insecure rural areas of the country
were excluded from polling, and several ballots could not open because of insecurity
issues. The security situation in those areas deteriorated since then, which triggered
popular revolts at the end of 2021; a military coup in January 2022 deposed president
Kabore accused of not being able to manage the security crisis;
In Niger, ten years after the coup that led to the fall of President Tandja (2000-2010) and
following President Issoufou’s two mandates, Mohamed Bazoum was elected president in
2021. The regular transfer of power from one legitimately elected leader to another was
the first in the history of the country.3
In 2014, five countries in the region (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger) organised
themselves in the institutional framework of G5 Sahel, receiving support by the international
community including through the Danish PSF. A range of international initiatives have been
created in the last years to better coordinate international support to G5 such as the Sahel
Alliance4 and the Sahel Coalition5, the latter being particularly relevant given its focus on security
and defence-related issues. The United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilisation Mission
in Mali (MINUSMA) was deployed in 2013 to support political processes in that country and
2 https://www.un.org/en/pdfs/EN-ML_150620_Accord-pour-la-paix-et-la-reconciliation-au-Mali_Issu-du-Processus-d'Alger.pdf
3 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-56175439
4 Alliance Sahel, 2021, Alliance Sahel. Available at: https://www.alliance-sahel.org/lalliance-sahel/
5 Sahel Coalition, 2021, The Coalition. Available at: https://www.coalition-sahel.org/en/coalition-pour-le-sahel/
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carry out a number of security-related tasks.6 The European Union (EU) heads up three civilian
and military missions in support of G5 Sahel countries: the EU Training Mission (EUTM) in
Mali, a military mission launched in 2013, and the civilian missions EU Capacity Building Mission
(EUCAP) Sahel Niger and EUCAP Sahel Mali.7 French army forces have been present in Mali
with Operation Barkhane since 2013 which is planned to stop in 2022. Task force Takuba, an
advisory and training mission to the Malian army created in 2020 by a number of EU countries8
under French command, would remain in place including also French troops.9 Yet, the partial
withdrawal has been subject of heated exchanges between the Malian transition Prime Minister
Maïga and French President Macron. The Malian Prime Minister has accused France of
abandoning Mali and used it to justify the choice of increasing military cooperation with Russia
(and thereby the controversial Russian private security firm Wagner Group), an alliance which is
condemned by Macron.10 At the end of 2021, the Mali military government postponed to 2025
presidential elections which were supposed to be held in February 2022, triggering ECOWAS
sanctions backed by the EU. The military junta started obstructing the deployment of the Takuba
task force, among other things asking Denmark to withdraw its troops under the accusation of
not having followed official procedures, leading the EU to finally terminate the mission. The
deteriorated relations between the EU/France and Mali and ECOWAS and Mali, the crisis in
Burkina Faso and the tensions in Niger raise question on the future of sub-regional cooperation
structures like G5 but also the socalled G3 – Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali).
PSP I
Period: 2013–2017: DKK 125 million
takuba-est-lancee/?lang=en
9 France 24, 2021, Macron announces France's Sahel military force will end in early 2022. Available at:
https://www.france24.com/en/france/20210713-macron-announces-france-s-sahel-military-force-will-end-in-early-2022
10 RFI, 2021, Mali: premières réactions politiques aux propos du président français. Available at:
https://www.rfi.fr/fr/afrique/20211002-mali-premieres-reactions-politiques-propos-macron-cooperation-barkhane-continue-
terrain
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Programme title: Danish Regional Sahel Peace and Stabilisation Programme
Programme objective: Contribute to peace and stability in the Sahel region
Component 1 – Objective: Contribute to enhanced mediation and conflict resolution, with a
specific focus on local level mediation and conflict resolution, as the local conflicts often act as triggers
or drivers of the larger, national and regional conflicts.
Engagements:
Border Security and Management in the Sahel (Danish Demining Group (DDG))
Mediation to prevent conflict among pastoralist communities (CHD)
Diminish the risks of insecurity and instability in North-West and South-East Niger caused by
terrorist threats, religious extremism and tensions between communities (European
Commission (EC))
Component 2 – Objective: Contribute to improved security, with a specific focus on enhancing the
democratic control of the security sector in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso by building capacity of
Parliaments, civil society and Ministries of Defence
Engagements:
Analysis of security sectors in the three countries (DCAF)
Strengthening Democratic Control and Oversight of the Security Sector (NDI).
Capacity building of the Mali National Guard (GNM) (Danish Home Guard)*
Component 3 – Objective: Contribute to the countering of violent extremism and organised
crime, with a focus on new ways to counter violent extremism and on improving the regional
cooperation on combatting organised crime
Engagements:
Improving regional capacity and cooperation to suppress organized crime and violent
extremism (UNODC).
Other: Analytical support
The Sahel Maghreb Research Platform – Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)
Evidence-based analytical support to the G5 Sahel Joint Force (Institute for Security Studies
(ISS)
PSP II
Period: 2018-2021: DKK 166 million (DKK 45 million by Norway)
Programme title: Danish Regional Sahel Peace and Stabilisation Programme II
Programme objective: To contribute to stability, justice and security for the population in the Sahel
Region
Thematic Programme A - Objective: Strengthened justice and rule of law in compliance with
human rights principles
Engagements:
TPA1: UNODC’s Regional Sahel Programme (UNODC)
TPA2: Prevention and resolution of conflicts among border communities (CHD)
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Engagements:
TPB1: FC-G5S HR/IHL Compliance Framework (EU/African Peace Facility: OHCHR)
TPB2: Strengthening democratic control and oversight of the defence and security sector
(DCAF)
TPB3: Trust building and cooperation for stability and security in border regions (SFCG)
TPB4: Military support to the FC-G5S and relevant national and regional security, defence and
peace support initiatives (EU/Africa Peace Facility: Expertise France/France) Capacity
building of the Mali National Guard (GNM) component of Antiterrorist Special Forces
FORSAT (Danish Home Guard)*
TPB5: Improving the Protection of Civilians in the Sahel (CIVIC) (included in PSPII in May
2021 through the use of unallocated funds).
(*) Not formally integrated in PSP II programme document
A Programme Committee was established, consisting of the heads of the contributing (Danish)
representations in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso and by the Head of the Africa Department in
the Danish MFA. Under PSP II, representatives of the Rabat Embassy (also competent for
Mauritania, where the secretariat of G5 Sahel is located) and the Addis Ababa embassy (managing
the Africa Programme for Peace (APP)) were also included.
The management of PSP I was decentralised from the MFA Africa Policy & Development
(APD) Department in Copenhagen to the embassy in Mali in 2016. A Sahel Programme Support
Unit (SPSU) was created in Bamako including one international advisor and two local staff. In
the subsequent phase (PSP II), the unit was staffed with one regional advisor and one military
advisor, plus two project officers in charge of project management and finance respectively.
5 Overall achievements
EQ 1 What have been the achievements of PSF-funded programmes since 2014, both
through results “on the ground” and in terms of Danish policies and inter-ministerial
collaboration?
1.1 What have been the main achievements of PSF programmes on the
ground and to what extent are they sustainable?
PSP I and PSP II have certainly produced several immediate and intermediate results in
the direction of peace and stabilisation in the intervention countries. The funded
engagements have contributed to the strengthening of local conflict resolution practices in the
Liptako-Gourma area and to improved relations between local population and defence and
security forces. They have helped make security legislation publicly accessible in Mali and Niger
and advanced the drafting of national policies and strategies; they have contributed to an
improved judicial and police cooperation in the Sahel region.
Yet, the programmes have not achieved some of the expected outcomes, and the
achievements appear fragile. Below is a run through of the expected outcomes of the
engagements, and the achievements the evaluation finds to date. Taking together PSP I and PSP
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II and simplifying the programme document statements, it can be said that the following
outcomes were expected from the various engagements:
a) Enhanced local communities’ involvement in local conflict prevention and resolution
through mediation practices; (PSP I – C1; PSP II – TPA2)
b) Greater democratic control on security sector; (PSP I – C2; PSP II – TPB2)
c) Increased trust and cooperation of population with defence and security forces (DSF) in
border regions; (PSP II – TPB3)
d) Greater compliance of security services with human rights and international humanitarian
law; (PSP II – TPB1)
e) More accessible, efficient and accountable criminal justice systems; (PSP II - TPA1)
f) Improved countering of violent extremism and organised crime; (PSP I – C3)
g) Strengthened regional security forces (objective of ODA non-DAC engagements, not
integrated in the logical framework). (PSP II – TPB4)
arm%C3%A9e-au-niger/5312989.html
14 Le Monde, 2021, Au Burkina Faso, des milliers de manifestants marchent pour protester contre la faillite sécuritaire. 27
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instability, especially in Mali and in Burkina Faso (with recent coups) but also in Niger, is a
challenge. Some work done with members of parliament in Mali, for instance, has become useless
after the military coup has disempowered parliament, with no clear path to restoration of
legitimate legislative power. This highlights the importance of democratic governance to security
issues but also the difficulty of achieving it in the current context.
Increased trust in and cooperation of population with defence and security forces in border regions
The SFCG project implemented various civil-military cooperation activities aimed at bringing
together the population and defence and security forces. This was also done during PSP I by
DDG.
It is difficult to establish whether there has been an actual increase in trust between the
population and DSF in the three countries of implementation. Some positive signs come from
the project’s M&E system, but improved relations are not coupled with increased trust in
effectiveness of DSF in protecting civilians.15 At the country level, a clear sign of limited trust
in defence and security forces by the population is the proliferation of voluntary militias. These
are subject to different policies – while in Niger they are opposed by the government, and in Mali
they do exist and are ignored, in Burkina Faso the Voluntaires pour la Defense de la Patrie (VDP)
are now openly supported by the government. The reason is that the government is unable to
reach out with its own DSF to the whole territory and there is a high demand by the population
of such self-defence organisations. In Burkina Faso, 83% of the respondents to Afrobarometer
agreed that local security initiatives are a good thing.16 A distinction would also be needed
between internal security forces like the gendarmerie or the police, which are stationed in the
communities, and armed forces that are normally situated outside the inhabited areas.
Greater compliance of security services with human rights and international humanitarian law
This outcome has been pursued through support to the OHCHR (via the EU – African Peace
Facility) to ensure the application of a Compliance Framework within the G5 Sahel Joint Force,
based on UNSCR 2391 (2017). Compliance with human rights is also a crosscutting theme in
other engagements, like DCAF or SFCG. At the moment, there is anecdotical evidence of
greater availability of G5 hierarchies to conduct internal investigations on human rights
violations and to deplore incidents17, and a commitment to extend the compliance
framework to national armies. Behaviours however have not yet changed significantly, and
there are in fact increasing violations, including from G5 forces, reported by MINUSMA and
human rights organisations.18 It is the opinion of implementing partners that to obtain changes at
15 In the mid-term review of the SFCG project, of the survey respondents (a sample of population from the involved
communities in the three countries):
• 65% perceived an improvement in relations between the community and security and defense forces (88% in Niger, 62%
in Burkina Faso and 54% in Mali).
• 58% of respondents declared having cooperated with security forces (70% in Niger, 59% in Mali and 50% in Burkina
Faso); these were 26.50% at baseline;
• 89% of targeted local consultative security committee and security force members reported communicating with each
other (were 40.70% at baseline);
• However only 54% of respondents stated that the presence of DSF reduced exactions in communities by armed groups
(83% in Niger, 62% in Burkina Faso and 26% in Mali) and this percentage decreased with respect to the baseline (it was
70.60%);
• In Mali, the fact that just one in four respondents considered DSF effective in reducing extortions is quite telling. This
confirms Afrobarometer data where in Mali, 62.5% of respondents consider the presence of armed forces even “a major
problem” .
16 CGD, 2019, Enquête Afrobarometer Round 8 au Burkina Faso, 2019. Available at:
https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/publications/Summary%20of%20results/resume_des_resultats-
afrobarometer_round_8_au_burkina_faso-v2-17dec2020_0.pdf
17 UNSC, 2021, Joint Force of the Group of Five for the Sahel Report of the Secretary-General, 10 May 2021, pp.5-6. Available
at: https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/S_2021_940_E.pdf
18 Multiple cases of sexual violence perpetrated by the Chadian battalion of the JF, in Tera (Niger) on 28 March 2021; arrests of
children in February 2021. For more information, see: UNSC, 2021 Joint Force of the Group of Five for the Sahel Report of the
Secretary-General, 10 May 2021, pp.5-6.
8
behavioural level a longer time frame (at least five years) is required, given that the project started
in 2018. There is also the problem of frequent rotation of G5 forces, although this is considered
by the partner a plus as it would “trickle down” training to national armies. Another limitation is
that commands of national armies retain tactical control over their troops provided to JF G5.19
19 OHCHR, 2020, Rapport de situation: Projet d’Appui du HCDH à la Force conjointe du G5 Sahel dans la mise en œuvre du
Cadre de conformité aux droits de l’homme et au droit international humanitaire 1er mai 2018 – 31 mars 2020, 05 Août 2020, p.
4. Available at: https://www.ohchr.org/Documents/Countries/Africa/G5_Sahel_Report_F_Final_05.08.2020.pdf
20 5 Laws adopted 1 antiterrorist law in May 2020 in Chad, 1 law on smuggling of migrants in August 2020 in Mauritania, 1 law
on trafficking in persons in August 2020 in Mauritania, 1 law reforming the penal code in September 2019 in Burkina Faso and 1
law reforming the code of criminal procedure in June 2019 Burkina Faso. It is expected that Mali will adopt two laws this year,
namely the new code of criminal procedure and the new criminal code. (TPA RFI for Update 04.2021)
21 In Niger, 468 suspects of terrorism received a trial thanks to direct UNODC assistance: 344 were acquitted and 124 convicted.
In Mali, 147 people for terrorism-related offences received a trial thanks to UNODC assistance:32 were acquitted and 115
convicted. In Burkina Faso, the Specialized Investigations Brigade, since its operationalization in May 2019, arrested 400
individuals for terrorism and transferred 215 cases to the prosecutor (source: TPA RFI Update 04.2021). Significant increase in
the pace and reach of investigations, seizures and court cases related to drugs – 41 cases have been initiated since the training
began, compared to less than ten in the year prior. Officers at airports did 65 seizures in Niger, 23 in Mali and 11 in Burkina Faso.
Operation Benkadi (July 2019, in Mali, Burkina Faso and Côte d’Ivoire) allowed for the arrest of 15 people, the identification and
rescue of 33 potential child victims of human trafficking for exploitation in gold mines in Mali, and the seizure of 17 kilograms of
cannabis, over 1 kilogram of amphetamines, 6.5 tons of fraudulent medicine, 33 sticks of dynamite, 10 detonators, 50 kilograms
of explosive wicks, 1 rifle with 789 ammunition, 18 stolen cars and 10 unauthorized military uniforms. The operation Kafo II
conducted from 30 November to 6 December 2020 at the border of Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso and Ivory Coast. During the
operation, law enforcement officers checked over 12,000 people, vehicles, containers and cargo against international criminal
databases, and also conducted searches, to determine whether suspects were using stolen travel documents or vehicles. The
operation resulted in several suspected terrorists arrested, and the seizure of firearms as well as illicit goods of various types,
namely: 50 firearms, 40,593 sticks of dynamite, 28 detonating cords, 6,162 cartridges, 1,473 kilos of narcotics (cannabis and khat),
2,263 boxes of contraband drugs, 60,000 liters of contraband fuel. (UNODC – Summary 2020 for Denmark).
22 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark (2021). Mid-Term Review of Danish Regional Sahel Peace and Stabilisation
Programme 2018-2021. Final Report. Copenhagen, Denmark: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark; PSP I Final Results
Report.
23 The Sahel Judicial Platform has been used to facilitate the exchange of information in at least ten cases related to terrorism. In
mid-2015, requests for mutual legal assistance made through WACAP played a part in dealing with a trafficking group specialising
in babies and operating in Benin, Burkina Faso, Niger and Nigeria – including the indictment of 30 participants.
9
This result is linked to the MoD funded engagements in support of the operationalisation of the
Joint Force G5 Sahel and the Mali National Guard. The way this engagement is documented
is such that outcome level effects cannot be demonstrated. The MoD relies to a large extent
on the analysis and reporting by partners when it comes to operational monitoring. Particularly,
when this entails training of units or delivery of material in areas with limited or no access for
programme staff due to security issues. For PSP II, the MoD set expected result indicators in the
PSED according to the nature of the contribution i.e., focusing on delivery of equipment within
the framework of guidelines developed together with the implementing partner
Expertise France was contracted to carry out the delivery of counter-IED and other non-lethal
equipment to JF G5, and to perform associated training. The equipment was delivered, and
training was performed. There is however still a follow-up to be done in order to verify that the
equipment will be transferred by national armies to the JF G5, and this seems to be problematic
according to the defence attaché, as travel in the field is impossible and would be perceived as
“interference” by the Mali MoD. The engagement has been designed in such a way that its
results remain at the output level, without ensuring the achievement of outcomes.
The support to the National Guard of Mali was provided by the Danish Home Guard through
training by instructors on site in Mali (especially physical education) and provision of
communication equipment (radios, switchboard) to enhance responsiveness. From the mid-term
review (MTR) it appears that the training has been appreciated by the beneficiaries. There were
some issues concerning the involvement of FORSAT, the anti-terrorist force of which one leg is
provided by the Home Guard (the others being the gendarmerie and the police), in human rights
violations. Apparently, this did not concern the command of the GNM. In any case, FORSAT
was dissolved in autumn 2021. After the coup in 2021, activities with the GNM were put on
hold. The fact that equipment was made available might have contributed to strengthen
operational capabilities, but again, no outcome level evidence is available.
Political results
PSP I and PSP II do not seem to have yielded significant results at the political level in
terms of dialogue with country governments. This is also due to the fact that it was not used
for this purpose by embassies and its management was kept to a greater extent at the operational
level (as will be discussed further in relation to EQ 2 below). Visibility was especially limited in
Burkina Faso (and Niger where there is no Embassy) – in part because of the limited presence of
some projects in the country, and in part due to lack of communication between PSP
management and embassy and overall limited ownership of the programme by the RDE of
Burkina Faso.
PSP engagements enabled Denmark to get politically closer to the EU and France. This
was possible not only because support to the G5 JF is crucial to the EU strategy, but also because
some other engagements (e.g., capacity building of the GNM) were orchestrated with the French
advisors or implemented through Expertise France. Having a Sahel regional programme, which is
quite unique in the donor landscape, provided Denmark with a strong asset in teaming up with its
EU partners. Naturally, given the persistent French lead in EU initiatives, this also means sharing,
in part, the risks of being associated with France when the popularity of its military presence is
decreasing.
Sustainability
There were sufficient efforts from the partners and the SPSU to enhance institutional and
financial sustainability of the engagements by taking measures to ensure continuity of
results beyond the projects closure. However, especially for engagements in support of
G5 Sahel, sustainability is quite an issue.
10
The CHD and SFCG projects have supported local security committees foreseen by national
peace architectures and have put in place implementation structures based on local leaders and
agents, that can ensure continuity of results.24 Seven of the 19 operational mediation networks of
the CHD project have now started to collect money locally through fixed contributions from the
community and have their own treasury.
OHCHR has contributed to the drafting of 18 doctrine documents to ensure continuity of
directives in compliance with HR within G5. In addition, on 10 June 2021 the G5 member states
agreed to extend the Compliance Framework for the Joint Force to national armies. This could
ensure better alignment between G5 and national armies’ directives and practices.
For what concerns support to the G5 Sahel JF, financial and institutional sustainability raises
deep concerns. The JF still suffers from strong supply and logistical problems and does not have
aerial means of transport.25 The JF is not budgeted for in member states’ national budgets, and
units are not integrated into their national peace architecture; on the other hand, they have no
UN mandate. The proposal by the UN to establish a UN bureau in support of the JF G5 has
found agreement among some Security Council members (including France) but not from others
(UK, USA) with the argument that the JF G5 is an aggregation of nationally operating counter-
terrorist forces and not a multinational peacekeeping force.26
1.2. What has been the contribution of PSF programmes towards long-
lasting peace and the stabilization of the regions of intervention in the
context of international efforts?
PSP I and PSP II have been part of a set of international efforts (backed by the EU and UN
Sahel strategy) to address the Sahel security crisis. Despite localised achievements and some
intermediate results, if one looks at the bigger picture, one must conclude that the
contribution of these efforts to peace and stability in the subregion has been modest. The
Sahel crisis has clearly deteriorated during the evaluation period. Internal displacement numbers
have increased. As of 26 November 2021, 2,116,685 individuals have been displaced,
including 1,933,045 Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) (91% of the displaced population)
and 183,640 refugees (9%)27. Interventions of the international community and regional
organisations can hardly claim successes in addressing the instability of the subregion.
The key impact indicator of PSP I – the ranking on a Failed States Index (FSI) for Mali, Niger
and Burkina Faso – does not show a significant improvement.28
Mali was ranked 38th out of 178 in 2013 and has worsened to 19th in 2021. The current
ranking of Mali reflects the deterioration from 2016 in the central regions.29
Burkina Faso was ranked 35th in 2013, progressed to 47th in 2019, but went back to the
prior level in 2020 and 2021 (36th).
Niger was ranked 18th in 2013, improved slightly to 21st in 2018 and is still 21st in 2021.30
In terms of more direct programme contributions of engagements:
november-2021
28 Ranking is to be interpreted in the sense that the higher the ranking, the most failed is the state; thus a lower rank indicates an
improvement.
29 Sahel PSP I Final results report
30 The Fund for Peace, 2021, Fragile States Index. Washington, DC. Available at: https://fragilestatesindex.org/country-data/
11
The improvement of local peace-building practices may have helped weaken the grip of
jihadists in some remote communities, however intercommunity conflicts are said to
persist and proliferate, also in relation to the climate crisis31.
Support to the JF G5 Sahel’s operational capacity has been part of the military side of the
French-led and EU-backed stabilisation strategy, based on a succession of
securitisation, stabilisation and restoration of the state. This strategy has over the
years had a limited impact on the overall crisis, given that the jihadists have most
often moved to new areas once pushed away from their original strongholds.32
Some critics suggest that the Sahel strategy should focus more on governance in order to
strengthen security.33
Other contributions to security sector reforms might have gone in this direction, however
national tensions (coups in Mali, Burkina Faso) slow down progress.
Clearly, the lack of impact concerns the international community as a whole, not solely the
Danish contribution. Still, Denmark has some leverage to engage critically in shared
strategies. Also, strengthening the governance aspect requires greater coherence between
country level and regional level support, as it will be discussed under EQ2 below.
1.3. What have been the achievements of PSF in terms of improved inter-
ministerial collaboration and strengthened WoG approach?
Cooperation between MoFA and MoD has materialised in the fourth engagement of
Thematic Programme B under PSP II, Military support to the FC-G5S and relevant
national and regional security, defence and peace support initiatives. The engagement was
implemented by the MFA, Ministry of Defence (MoD), the Defence Command Denmark (DCD)
and the Danish Home Guard with relevant partners in the Sahel region. Danish defence actors
implemented the support to the Mali National Guard, while support to the G5 Joint Force was
undertaken via the EU-African Peace Facility, under the supervision of the defence attaché.
During PSP II, the defence attaché of the Mali embassy was part of the SPSU team as military
advisor and, as such, participated in various programme missions including on MFA-funded
projects.
That this cooperation has strengthened the WoG approach of Denmark in the countries
of intervention cannot be taken for granted. MoD and MFA focuses their engagement in PSP
II on each of their own funded activities, and thus they are not always integrated. Even after two
PSF cycles, strategic guidance is missing from the Inter-Ministerial Steering Committee (IMSC)
on how to concretely implement the WoG approach, which in the case of Sahel arrives at the
level of common objectives but goes no further than that.
Furthermore, there has not been a PSF initiated reflection leading to better understanding
how the WoG approach of PSF helps strengthen the Humanitarian-Development-Peace
(HDP) nexus, considering that the WoG approach is meant to characterise the Danish presence
in fragile countries as a whole and not just within the PSF.
A missing component of the WOG approach in the Sahel PSP I and II is the involvement
of the Ministry of Justice (MoJ), even though a key engagement (UNODC) concerns mainly
justice-related issues. One might ask if with such involvement, the engagement might have been
better monitored, and results might have been better used.
31 Intervention of Mme AMMO AZIZA BAROUD (Tchad), Conseil de Security Couverture de Réunions - CS/14699 12
novembre 2021 La création d’un bureau d’appui de l’ONU à la Force conjointe du G5 Sahel divise le Conseil de sécurité
32 ‘Militants have swept from the north into the centre of Mali and across borders into south-western Niger and northern and
eastern Burkina Faso’. Source: International Crisis Group, 2021, A course correction for the Sahel stabilization strategy, Report
299/Africa, 1 February 2021.
33 Ibidem.
12
1.4. Which results have been made possible by PSF and its WoGA, that
would not have been achieved through a siloed approach?
The use of MoD funding made it possible to support the JF G5 Sahel, aligning Denmark
with the international stabilisation efforts in the Sahel led by France and the EU. This
can be considered a political result. The support provided by MoD to the G5 Sahel in terms
of equipment and training complements well the training in HR provided under TPB4. It showed
that Denmark not only aimed at increasing the compliance of the JF with human rights standards
and international humanitarian law, but also wanted to strengthen its operational effectiveness,
which is a critical aspect for raising the population’s trust in the defence and security forces. The
MoD contributions were fully aligned and discussed with allies in order to bring an added value.
Denmark was the only country funding the home guard component of the FORSAT, an
antiterrorism response unit including different security forces. The provision of communication
equipment was identified as a small but highly valuable contribution together with the French
advisors embedded in the ministry of defence.
The support to the JF G5 Sahel would not have received proper technical supervision
without the PSP II military advisor. Likewise, the implementation of the support to the
National Guard of Mali would have not been possible without the MoD expertise and
funding. Several PSP II implementing partners and embassy staff stressed that the military
advisor brought valuable information to the programme on the security situation in the region,
tapping into MoD sources. His presence as part of the SPSU was visible on the occasion of
meetings, formulation meetings, the MTR etc. It is in general considered useful to have someone
with military expertise who speaks the military language in order to interact with ministries of
defence and military structures.
The MTR of PSP II and the interviews conducted for this case study however also stressed that
there is a greater potential in the position of military advisor within the PSP than what
has been realised so far. It is true that the main function of a military advisor funded under the
PSP is to implement MoD activities under the program and this role is distinct from that of a
defence attaché. However, in the PSP the two roles have been taken up by the same person.
Moreover, implementation was mostly indirect (through Expertise France) and thus the military
advisor was more part of programme management than a direct implementer of activities. In this
respect, his “double hat” was an advantage for a comprehensive approach, and he could have
played a greater role in terms of support to the embassy on policy and political dialogue with the
countries related to security sector reform, or in terms of helping “opening the doors” at the
defence ministries.
1.5. Which results have been made possible by the two PSP and their
regional approach, that would not have been achieved through a
national approach?
The PSP regional approach materialised in engagements in different ways : 1) through supporting
regional organisations (e.g. support to the JF G5 Sahel) or creating cross-border cooperation
networks between authorities (e.g. judiciary cooperation for UNODC); 2) by addressing issues
with cross-border nature through enhancing cooperation between communities that naturally live
across the borders (e.g. CHD) 3) by promoting the exchange of knowledge and good practices
between national governments (e.g. DCAF) or between locally implemented projects from
different countries (e.g. SFCG).
The largest added value of the regional approach came from community level, cross
border projects working with local actors and leaders. The collaboration between
communities across the borders in Liptako-Gourma for instance allowed the programme to
address very concrete livelihood needs, e.g., recovery of stolen cattle or building transhumance
13
corridors. It also makes sense because national governments are only to a limited extent present
in these border areas, and local actors matter more.
Support to sub-regional organisations34 potentially also has an added value as it helps to
address cross-border security challenges, however some of these constructions are not very
sustainable and eventually depend on national input. In addition, there are different regional
organisations with different geographical scope and only partially overlapping membership
(ECOWAS, G5, the LGA), complicating institutional relations. Yet, regional cooperation
institutions are important given the nature of challenges affecting Sahel, thus it is an often a
matter of looking at the glass as half full or half empty.
Least added value seems to reside in 3): engagements where the regional aspect is limited to
networking and knowledge exchange. These engagements could also have been organised in
nationally funded projects, especially when their main focus is working with national ministries,
CSOs and parliamentary institutions and to influence national security and defence policies.
6 Strategic Guidance
EQ 2 To what extent has the PSF been used in a sufficiently strategic manner; i.e. in
terms of relevance of PSF funded programmes in relation to the given contexts; relevance
to and alignment with Danish policies and priorities; coherence with and added value in
comparison to other Danish and international efforts?
Generally speaking, the use of PSF to fund a regional programme in the Sahel was
guided by strategic choices well aligned with Danish foreign and defence policies. It has
been a medium-to-long term political priority to support the EU Sahel Strategy and the
establishment of the G5 Joint Force with the PSF. Neither PSP I nor PSP II were object of
unplanned changes of focus to accommodate short term political priorities.
The choice of launching a regional programme in the Sahel as part of a wider Danish Sahel
initiative was consistent with the increased focus of Danish Foreign and Development
policy on conflict prevention and stabilisation of fragile situations, the Mali crisis of 2011
clearly being a case in point and the situation of Burkina Faso and Niger, even if not qualified as
fragile in a strict sense, being at risk.35 At the time of formulating PSP I, Denmark had a
longstanding presence in the countries of choice (in Mali since the 1970s, in Burkina Faso and
Niger since the 2000s), with development cooperation in the area of water and sanitation and
agricultural development, as well as on decentralisation policies. In addition, several Danish
NGOs and the Danish Institute of Human Rights (DIHR), had worked with national actors for
some years.
The justification that led to the launch of PSP I remained valid when embarking on PSP II;
furthermore, the Programme became strategic for the materialisation of the migration,
terrorism and instability priority pillar of Denmark’s Foreign Policy and Security Strategy and
34 Denmark has also the African Programme for Peace to support regional organisations, however in the case of G5 Sahel, there
is also the WoG dimension which justifies using PSF.
35 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark (2013). Danish Regional Sahel Peace and Stabilisation Programme 2013-2017.
14
the prevention of irregular migration objective of the Danish Strategy “The world we share”.
This development did not change much the substance of the programme. Also, from the
defence perspective, the programme made sense as a complement to continued contributions to
MINUSMA.
Over the years, the programme has found it difficult to focus and prioritize, being pushed
by two different drivers. On the one hand, Denmark wanted to be present in the Sahel,
bringing the asset of having a regional programme to the wider stabilisation efforts of allies and
development partners. This objective, of particular interest to MoD but also to MoFA, explains
the support to the UNODC Sahel programme, and the contribution to the EU African Peace
Facility to support the G5. On the other hand, within the breadth and complexity of the Sahel
Crisis, Denmark, as a small donor, was aware of the need to focus on specific
geographical areas and prioritise themes where Denmark has a comparative advantage.
This driver was represented by the focus on Liptako-Gourma, as a border region of three
countries where Denmark is present (however, this is not a distinctive choice of Denmark – see
EQ2.4), and above all, by the choice to prioritise the human rights topic.
The co-presence of these two drivers resulted sometimes in contradictory choices or
results not corresponding to strategic purposes. For instance, the programme did not stick
completely to the chosen geographical focus as some of the funded engagements (UNODC,
support to G5) had a wider geographical scope. This extended scope brought about challenges
in terms of visibility of results to the PSP management, monitoring, and coherence with
country programmes.
Concerning the focus on human rights, this was clear in the type of support provided to G5
through the OHCHR, but, for instance, the human-rights based approach in terms of
inclusion of women and youth, and the women, peace and security (WPS) agenda
weren’t that prominent in the choice of engagements (while youth is an important theme in
the bilateral programmes in the same countries).
15
EQ2.2. To what extent have PSF programmes been relevant and adaptive in
relation to challenges and needs in the specific country/regional contexts?
Already at the start of PSP I, the Mali crisis had some spill-overs in the other two countries,
which the context analysis for the formulation of the programme duly considered. During the
implementation of PSP II, the security threats expanded significantly across the region.
Furthermore, significant developments took place in the governance of the three countries,
making their trajectories diverge to some extent.
In Mali there were dramatic developments with the two consecutive coups of 2021, but also
Burkina Faso experienced increasing tensions generated by expanded jihadism and mistrust
towards government, until the resignation of the prime minister and subsequent deposition of the
president with a military coup. In Niger, better national peace and security institutions and
policies provided a more favourable environment (the High Authority for Peace Consolidation,
the National Human Rights Commission with A status, the local recruitment of police, etc.), but
social tensions related to increased insecurity have been growing there also.
The evaluation hasn’t found evidence of a strategic response by PSP II to accommodate
these divergent developments, although some adaptation has taken place at the level of
engagements. For instance, the UN partners (belatedly) opened offices in countries where they
had been insufficiently present, and DCAF adjusted its plan of support to security policy
developments in each country. On the military side, the focus of MoD support, at least in terms
of direct implementation, remained more focused on Mali, which has been adjusted in the PSP
III. On the civilian side, a coherent joint response of PSP, well-coordinated with Danish country
programmes, was not developed.
The geographical focus, when present, has been on Liptako-Gourma, and remains such in the
current proposal of the PSP III, which is currently under formulation. As part of the formulation
of the PSPIII, an inclusion of the frontier area between Mali, Burkina Faso and Cote d’Ivoire has
been suggested. As resources are limited, the balance between remaining for sufficiently long
time to have an impact and extending the geographical focus to follow shifting security
threats remains one difficult to address. This is a common issue for international donors and
the subject of ongoing discussions on what stabilisation means and how it differs from
development and peacekeeping.36
In this context, it is worth stressing that while at central level, the PSF still does not have an
official definition of stabilisation, the Mali RDE has endeavoured to produce its own one,
inspired by the joint reflexion with other development partners in the region. In the most recent
understanding of the Programme, stabilisation essentially means return of the state (or
alternative legitimate actors that provide what the state cannot provide). Return of the state in
turns means provision of basic services; mediation services and activities; improved relations
between defence and security forces and population, with a human rights perspective. Yet, this
broad definition calls into question whether stabilisation can be pursued through a
specific instrument solely, especially a short-medium term one like PSF.
The support provided by MoD to the G5 Sahel in terms of equipment and training
complemented well the work on the HR compliance framework and showed that Denmark
36See for example the Team Europe initiative on stabilization in Mali, or the new stabilization facility promoted by Germany, vis à
vis the Joint UN programme funded by Sweden in the Liptako Gurma area.
16
is not there just for its “typical” human rights topics, but also to support operational capabilities
in a very concrete manner. Without MoD involvement, this would not have been possible.
The PSP operated at an intermediate level between country programmes and the Africa
Programme for Peace (APP) and managed to carve its own space between the two,
maintaining a good degree of complementarity, but with limited synergies that could
enhance the strategic use of the Programme.
Unlike other regional PSF programmes, PSP was part of a wider Danish Sahel Initiative, the
objective of which was - through political, development, humanitarian, military, peacekeeping and
stability channels - to contribute to increased stability, poverty reduction and promotion of
human rights. The idea was therefore strictly connected to the HDP nexus and an integrated
approach, in which the regional programme would complement bilateral assistance.
PSP was indeed complementary to the bilateral programmes of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger in
the sense that it addressed issues beyond the national dimension, like local conflicts with a cross-
border dimension, or transnational organised crime. Some good practice transfer has taken place
between regional programme experience on agropastoral mediation and national peace mediation
activities by the NGO CHD. However, more could have been done to make PSP more
synergetic with bilateral country programmes and use PSP more strategically to develop
policy dialogue with national authorities. One factor that did not help was the non-
overlapping programming cycles of bilateral programmes and PSP, especially in the case of
Burkina Faso/Niger.
Concerning complementarity with the APP, the differences with PSP were clear. While
APP and PSF dealt with similar themes, they are set apart by the choice/type of partners: namely,
the APP is implemented with regional organisations37, which are quite far from the 'on the
ground’ presence and operations of PSF partners. The complementarity was however far
from perfect. WANEP for instance was funded by APP and was also the key partner of one PSP
engagement in the Liptako-Gourma Area. On democratic control of security and defence, the
PSP engagement worked with similar themes to APP but directly with the countries in the region,
which could have been done also through the bilateral programmes. Active synergies in
implementation do not seem to have been developed. The fact that APP is formulated and
managed from the Ethiopia RDE does not help coordination, although a positive move was to
include Ethiopia RDE in the Programme Steering Committee.
The internal coherence of the PSP improved over time. During PSP I, there were no
thematic programmes, but three components; two of them were allocated to one partner each;
the first component on conflict resolution was split by outcome between CHD and EU. No
synergy or complementarity was developed or envisaged. The programme was designed to be
bottom-up but based on project ideas from partners. In PSP II, there was a more conscious
effort to take a top-down programme approach, particularly by funding engagements as part of
“thematic programmes” built around logical complementarities between national and local
dimensions, and between peacebuilding and justice/security, etc. Yet, the value of the
(thematic) programme approach was not exploited strategically beyond the Danish
circle, to present a coherent programme also to national authorities of the three countries for
instance, and to create concrete synergies between different partners. In light of the above, it
remains questionable whether the thematic programmes were actual programmes or ways of
clustering engagements.
37AU, ECOWAS, IGAD and EASBRICOM - as well as the Kofi Annan International Peace Training Centre (KAIPTC), UNECA
and civil society organisations including the West African Network for Peacebuilding (WANEP).
17
Denmark has been active in coordination with other donors, taking part in fora such as the
EU-led Team Europe Working Group on Stabilisation in Mali, and the Forum on Peacebuilding
in Burkina Faso; but has also contributed to the multiplication of uncoordinated support in
Liptako-Gourma. A major issue with coordination in all three countries is that the governments
do not own or manage donor coordination. Governments also have limited access to Liptako-
Gourma, and there the multiplication of projects with the related risks of duplication and
inconsistency is a reality. The multiplicity of sub-regional organisations – ECOWAS, G5, and the
Authority of Liptako-Gourma (which is not a regional organisation, but also a cross border
institution, with local authorities and ministries) adds to the confusion. Denmark has been
focusing on Liptako-Gourma while at the same time, Sweden funded a comprehensive Joint
Programme of the UN and many more initiatives were taking place, without much coordination.
As part of the formulation of PSPIII, Denmark is coordinating with Germany38 in relation to
envisaged support to the UNDP Stabilisation Mechanism in Liptako-Gourma as well as a
secondment into the Liptako-Gourma Authority (LGA).
The context analysis and development of Theories of Change (ToC) improved between
PSP I and PSP II. The PSP I design did not include a theory of change at the programme level,
only at the engagement level. It did include a context analysis, identifying the drivers of conflict
and the key security issues. The analysis started from the root causes of the crisis in the Sahel
(chronic underdevelopment, continuous humanitarian crises, underlying political and security
concerns) to narrow down the focus to “political and security concerns” including unresolved
conflicts, lack of security, and the rise of violent extremism and organised crime. It looked more
like an overview of the different aspects of the security crisis than an in-depth analysis of its
contributing factors.
PSP II elaborated ToCs at the Thematic Programme level.39 The ToCs were quite simple, and
mostly based on the expected effect of “capacity building”, the targets of which were
defined quite broadly to cover very diverse projects beneficiary groups. The context analysis
38 Germany has launched a stabilisation mechanism being implemented by UNDP, based on the Lake Tchad Basin Area example.
The Liptako-Gourma Authority (LGA) is historically weak, but with due capacity building has the potential to become the
institutional counterpart of cooperation in the area (thanks also to an expanded mandate on security) and could take up a role of
coordination of donor support.
39 The ToC for TPA stipulates that If Denmark provides financial support and capacity building to criminal justice institutions as well as to the
population in the Liptako-Gourma for managing local conflicts in this border area, then, those institutions and the border communities will have a
stronger capacity to fulfill their role, thus contributing to the prevention and disruption of transnational organised crime, which in turn contributes to
stability, justice and security in the Sahel region. The ToC of TPB says that If Denmark supports national and regional stakeholders’ democratic
control over security sector governance and deployment in neglected border areas within a harmonised legislation framework, support building the capacity
of the FC-G5S to deliver on its mandate in compliance with human rights and international humanitarian law, then the Sahel Governments will have a
stronger capacity to meet public security needs and reinforce national and regional peace and reconciliation processes, thereby contributing to stability,
justice and security in the Sahel.
18
was better and identified key governance and security challenges in the three countries. The
weakness of state institutions, the difficult civil-military relations, the widespread human rights
violations were all identified.
The ToCs also included a number of assumptions, quite similar for the two thematic
programmes, and pointed to political will of national actors of the three countries, and at security
conditions.
The identified assumptions were correct, in the sense that some did materialise, other did not,
and this affected project implementation. Political will and commitment by national and regional
security and defence actors were important, for instance in supporting the JF G5, making
commitments to respect human rights; at national level, ministries keener on security sector
reform allowed for better implementation of programme activities.
Yet, the identification of assumptions was incomplete. There was, for instance, a lack of
awareness of potential unintended negative effects of international support on the stability
of the implementation context (for instance, of how the increased unpopularity of the French
troops, and France-supported EU missions, would affect civil-military relations)40 – an aspect of
political economy and conflict sensitivity that was not sufficiently addressed in the context
analysis. Behavioural and cultural factors as well as operational circumstances, which
undermine the implementation of commitments (compliance with human rights by defence and
security forces for example), were also not well articulated in assumptions. As a side note, it
can be questioned whether placing “sufficient security conditions” among the assumptions, while
improved security is itself a key programme objective, was logically correct.
The PSP I, and even more the PSP II design, included spot-on risk analyses and
presented risk scenarios. Working with fragile national institutions, or informal groups of
citizens, in insecure areas makes a certain dose of risks unavoidable for a programme, which aims
at peace and stabilisation. The activities of CHD and even more SFCG in Liptako-Gourma
communities involved some risks, from exposing participants to security threats, to unwillingly
involving people affiliated to criminal organisations. The programme had sufficient flexibility to
address risky developments and partners made efforts to mitigate some of these risks. However,
part of the mitigation was made more difficult by the design of individual engagements. For
instance, the risk of not having the G5 JF equipment delivered to G5 by the national army that
physically receives it, could not be mitigated because the project design stopped at the level of the
delivery of outputs and did not include a follow-up on outcomes.
There was awareness of lessons learned from PSP I in the design of PSP II. The common
theme of these lessons seems the need for continuity with PSP I to produce impact on the long
term and go in-depth in developing relations, collaboration and partnerships on the ground. The
need of discontinuing unproductive engagement has not been spelled out to the same extent but
it has received more attention the end of PSP II. The contrast between short-term duration of
the engagements and ambitions requiring long-term interventions is a conundrum PSP I
and II have found themselves in. The solution that is being taken seems to try and build more
flexibility within engagements of a longer duration.
In PSP I and PSP II, the implementing partners chosen were a mix of NGOs, UN, and EU
Member State government agencies (Expertise France), whose involvement appears widely
justified by their expertise and (to a more limited extent, for the UN agencies) presence in the
field. For the MoD engagement, the Danish Home Guard was the implementing partner.
19
Expertise France was chosen for its strong entry points with Barkhane and the French
authorities. The NGOs were all highly competent in their fields, with own already tested
methodologies.
The identification of partners for PSP I was at least in part supply-driven: The search for
partners was therefore done by interacting with organisations, which worked in the three
countries and had plans for regional engagement. PSP II made a more conscious effort to
strike a balance between efficiency by using multilateral channels – UN and EU – and
providing support to smaller engagements reflecting specific activities, some of which are at grass
root level. Partners demonstrated that they were able to adjust their ways of working and
approaches in response to these unforeseen events.41
Consistently with its mandate, the PSF was employed to promote innovative approaches
to conflict resolution and peacebuilding, as well as to include new partners with
innovative ideas. For instance, HD introduced a new stream of activity in its agropastoral
mediation project, the cross-border retrieval of stolen cattle, based on ideas of the communities.
A Civilian Incident Tracking and Analysis Cell (CITAC) tool was introduced by OHCHR in
collaboration with CIVIC, in the context of support to the JF G5 in implementing the HR
compliance framework.
Partners did not suffer from under-funding on their projects. The PSP II disbursed
sufficient funding for project implementation and perhaps exceeded the needs of implementing
partners at certain points in time.42 Extensions with costs were granted to some partners in order
to enable the closure of activities.
The choice of setting up a SPSU did not help to ensure the strategic use of PSF funding
and did not relieve the Embassy of its management tasks. The coordination between the
SPSU and the Embassy in Bamako has been regular with bi-monthly meetings. However, since
the SPSU does not have access to various MFA financial platforms, the RDE in Bamako ends up
doing much of the work that was supposed to be delegated to the SPSU, in the end not
alleviating the intended number of tasks or work load. Moreover, the level of transaction costs
discouraged the RDE of Burkina Faso from greater involvement. Most importantly, delegating
programme management to a separate unit removed it from the heart of diplomatic activity of
the embassies (and especially from that of the Burkina Faso and Niger representation), which
also impeded the use of the PSP at a more strategic level and as a political instrument. For the
PSP III it is envisaged to have the programme implementation included at the Embassy in
Bamako
EQ3.3. Have PSF programmes been able to adequately capture outcomes? How effective
and informative are the methods and indicators used to monitor and document results
(i.e., the M&E system), including in terms of adaptability?
The monitoring of the programme was not optimal. Monitoring was very difficult, for
security reasons. Missions in the field were hardly possible. However, there were also flaws in the
results frameworks. PSP I originated as a bottom-up designed programme, in part supply-driven,
through aggregation of project proposals; this was only partially attenuated in PSP II with the
“Thematic programmes”, because engagements continued using their own results frameworks,
not always consistent with the programme one. The SPSU found it challenging to obtain separate
PSP reports on results, as often happens when funding multilaterals or NGOs with multiple
donors. The SPSU kept some pressure on partners, provided specific templates, but was not
always satisfied with results. A distinct issue is the monitoring of MoD contributions, for
which expected outcomes were not set. The MoD relies to a large extent on the analysis and
41 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark (2021). Mid-Term Review of Danish Regional Sahel Peace and Stabilisation Programme
2018-2021. Final Report. Copenhagen, Denmark: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark.
42 At the time of the MTR, there was a significant underspend of funding disbursed by PSP to partners.
20
reporting by partners when it comes to operational monitoring. Particularly, when this entails
training of units or delivery of material in areas with limited or no access for programme staff due
to security issues. For PSP II, the MoD set expected outcome indicators in the PSED according
to the nature of the contribution within the framework of guidelines developed together with the
implementing partner, i.e., DCSD or the EU Commission/Expertise France.
As for the use of monitoring information, the IMSC was updated on the indicators and especially
of the implementation status, but it is not clear to what extent there was feedback in terms
of recommendations from IMSC to the programme management.
EQ 4.2. Are programming and financing procedures at the Fund level fit for
purpose?
The implementing partners found procedures flexible enough to allow them to adapt and
innovate. At the level of programme, the disbursements were made on the basis of partner
requests, which means that funding appeared to be disbursed even if not yet spent by partners.
This approach made it more difficult to detect underspending, as pointed out by the MTR.
Q 4.3. To what extent have internal and external knowledge exchange and
learning, communication and visibility been adequately promoted?
The PSP made it an important point to produce accurate knowledge on the Sahel crisis.
One of the objectives of PSP I was to have Well-researched and informed analyses of the political and
security situation in the region provided regularly; think tanks like ICG were supported (inside and
outside the Programme) for delivering those studies. DCAF, one of the partners, has strong
knowledge and research activities and started the support of the security sector reform with an
analysis of the sector in the three countries. Statistical sources and the Afrobarometer were used
by partners.
Internal knowledge exchange took place to a fair extent at the three levels: IMSC,
Programme Committee and implementing partners. The representatives of the Programme
Steering Committee (PSC) who participated in the IMSC found it useful to hear about the
experience of older regional programmes, notably the Horn of Africa programme. The
Programme Committee allowed some kind of information exchange, with other relevant
stakeholders added over time (Addis Ababa Embassy for the African Union (AU) support; Rabat
Embassy for its coverage of Mauritania, part of G5). At the level of implementing partners, the
SPSU organised periodical meetings to exchange information and good practices. This was
considered useful by implementing partners although, as already said, not many practical
collaborations were started this way.
External transfer of knowledge was more limited. The PSP had very limited visibility as such
in the media and in the eyes of authorities. The PSP did not develop an external communication
21
profile, a Facebook page or Twitter account for instance. In PSP II there was a communication
plan to be implemented by embassies, which was quite low profile.
22
Annex A: Selected case study engagements
and sampling criteria
Within each regional programme, the evaluation team selected a sample of engagements to
conduct a more detailed assessment of results, sustainability and questions around design,
implementation and monitoring.
The selection of engagements was based on a balanced assessment of the following criteria:
a) Programme Phases: For the larger programmes, the evaluation covers two funding periods
from approximately 2014–2017, and 2018–2021. The sampling should cover engagements
from both funding periods in each region, as well as some that have been continued from
the first to second period.
b) Budget size: Selection should include engagements with both larger budget allocations and
smaller budget allocations within each region.
c) WOG: The sample should cover engagements funded by the MFA and the MoD, and MoJ
staff contribution (e.g., engagements with Danish police advisors seconded).
d) Thematic Priority: Taking a point of departure in the thematic priorities outlined in the PSF
Guidelines, the sample should cover the ‘main’ thematic priorities in each region, as well as
some of the less common, more technical thematic priorities (e.g., anti-money laundering).
e) Type of implementing partners and modality: The sample should cover different types of
partnerships and modalities. Partners may range from Danish partners, government/official
partners, multilaterals, civil society partners to international/regional/ national partners.
Modalities include delegated cooperation, direct implementation, partner implementation,
pooled funds, and contracting of sub-contractors.
f) Successful/less successful interventions43: Based on the assessment of available midterm
reviews, successful and less successful interventions will be identified.
g) Accessibility for field work44: Primary data collection activities will take place in regions with
significant security threats and will not be possible in high-risk environments. In the Sahel
case study, no fieldwork location was accessible.
h) Regional/Country-level: The sample should include both country-level and regional
engagements (if existing) in each region. In the case of Sahel, only one engagement was of
national level, and was discarded for other reasons.
In the Sahel Case Study, the overall limited number of engagements allowed to include the almost
totality of them in the sample, which included the following ones.
23
Table A.1 Selected engagements for the Sahel Case Study
PSED Thematic PSF thematic Phases Amounts WOG Location Modality Partner
title objective in Sahel priority (in DKK
Programme million)
Trust building and PSP II - Thematic 3.Conflict II 8.9 No Liptako- Funding Search for
cooperation for stability programme B. Prevention and Gourma (Mali, Common
and security in border Improving stability conflict Resolution Niger, Burkina Ground
regions (focus area and security Faso)
Liptako-Gourma)
Prevention and PSP I – Component 3.Conflict I and II 8.0 No Liptako- Funding Centre for
resolution of conflicts : Contribute to Prevention and Gourma (Mali, Humanitarian
among border enhanced mediation conflict Resolution Niger, Burkina Dialogue
8.9
communities (2013- and conflict- Faso)
2017) Border resolution
management and
protection of
PSP II - Thematic
pastoralists and local
programme A.
border communities
Strengthening justice
(2018-2021)
and rule of law
Comprehensive security PSP I - Component 4. Security and I 1.0 No Burkina Faso, Funding (with DCAF/NDI
sector analysis (2013- 2: Contribute to Justice sector efforts 16.0 Mali, Niger contribution of
2017) Strengthened improved security Netherlands on
democratic control of phase I)
the security sector
PSP II - Thematic
(2018-2021)
programme B.
Improving stability
and security
Improving 5. Countering I and II 12.9 No Burkina Faso, Funding UNODC
Governments’ capacity PSP I - Component transnational, 23.0 Mali, Niger
to countering and 3: Violent organized crime
strengthened Extremism and
prevention-focused organized crime
justice response to countered
24
illegal trafficking,
transnational crime and PSP II - Thematic
violent extremism programme A.
(2013-2017); Improved Strengthening justice
regional cooperation in and rule of law
combatting organised
crime -UNODC’s
Response to the Sahel
Crisis (2018-2021)
FC-G5S human rights Thematic Security- and justice- II 26.1 Yes Sahel Region Funding to OHCHR;
and international programme B. sector efforts 22.5 African Peace Expertise
humanitarian law Improving stability Facility through France, France
compliance and security EU, TA and via the African
Military support to the Adviser Peace Facility &
FC-G5S and relevant MoD (Adviser)
national and regional
security, defence and
peace support capacities
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Annex B: List of Persons met
Mali
Kennet Goren Albret, Defence Attaché / Military Advisor, Sahel PSP II
Fadima Gologo, Programme Officer, SPSU
Youssouf Abdoulaye Barry, Programme officer, stabilisation and politics, RDE in Mali
Rolf Holmboe, Ambassador, RDE Mali.
Signe Schelde, First Secretary, RDE Mali.
Hervé Temporel, Regional director, Expertise France
Almoustapha Amadou, Project Manager, Médiation Agropastorale au Sahel, Centre for
Humanitarian Dialogue (HD)
Aliou Abdoulaye Traore, associate coordinator
Aminata Traore, assistant, HD
Moussa Tall, associate coordinator, HD
Tahirou Dounda, Acting Country Director, Search for Common Ground, Mali
Zoumana Diarra, Secretary General, National Commission for Human Rights, Mali.
Alexis Ndayizeye, Head of Mali Mission, DCAF
Willemijn van Lelyveld, First Secretary, Rule of Law, Bamako, Embassy of the Netherlands in
Mali
Julien M. Attakla-Ayinon, Coordinator, OHCHR Mali
Abdouramane Bakayoko, OHCHR Burkina Faso, and other OHCHR team members for other
countries in videoconference.
El Hadj Djitteye, Founder and Executive Director Association Timbuktu Center for Strategic
Studies on the Sahel, Mali
Burkina Faso/Niger
André Sonnichsen, Team leader governance/stability, RDE Burkina Faso and Niger
Tina Retz, First Secretary, RDE Burkina Faso and Niger.
Steen Sonne Andersen, Ambassador, RDE Burkina Faso and Niger.
Leif Kokholm, First Secretary, Niger, RDE Burkina Faso and Niger
Loic Bruckert, European Union Delegation to Burkina Faso
Julien Remy, European Union Delegation to Burkina Faso
Kevin Adomayakpor, Country Director Burkina Faso, NDI.
Valentin Wagee, Programme Manager, DCAF Burkina Faso
Sadou Sidibé, SSR Adviser, DCAF Burkina Faso
Abdoulhai Harouna, UNODC Burkina Faso
M. Songué – Secretary General, National Human Rights Commission, Burkina Faso
M. Kalifa Yemboado Rodrigues Namoano – Chair of the National Human Rights Commission,
Burkina Faso
Lawali Garba, SFCG, Burkina Faso.
Béatrice Odountan Abouya, Country Director, SFCG, Niger.
Cyprien Gangnon, UNDP, Burkina Faso.
Kajsa Salomonsson, Second Secretary, programme officer regional programmes, Swedish
Embassy in Burkina Faso
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Other/Regional
Jolie-Ruth Morand, SSR Adviser, DCAF, Geneva.
Cristina Iampieri, UNODC, Dakar
Nina Krotov Sand, Programme Manager – Governance & Security. Unit INTPA A3 Western
Africa, European Commission
Sophie Dagand, Programme Manager – Governance & Security. Unit INTPA A3 Western Africa,
European Commission
Sven Schneider, Foreign Office, responsible for the Liptako-Gourma stabilisation mechanism,
Germany.
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