140-Full Paper-3099-1-10-20210731
140-Full Paper-3099-1-10-20210731
RESEARCH PAPER
1 Assistant Professor in Economics, Faculty of Arts and Social Studies, St. Xavier’s
University, Action Area III, Newtown, Kolkata, West Bengal – 700160;
[email protected], [email protected]
2 Bangabandhu Chair Professor, Asian Institute of Technology, 58M009 Paholyothin
Highway Rd, Khlong Nueng, Khlong Luang District, Pathum Thani-12120, Thailand; and
Professor of Economics (on lien) and Founder Advisor - Global Change Programme,
Jadavpur University, 118 Raja S.C. Mallik Road, Jadavpur, Kolkata, West Bengal-
700032; [email protected], [email protected].
Copyright © Chakravarty and Roy 2021. Released under Creative Commons Attribution-
NonCommercial 4.0 International licence (CC BY-NC 4.0) by the author.
Published by Indian Society for Ecological Economics (INSEE), c/o Institute of Economic
Growth, University Enclave, North Campus, Delhi 110007.
ISSN: 2581-6152 (print); 2581-6101 (web).
DOI: https://doi.org/10.37773/ees.v4i2.140
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [66]
access to electricity will increase the energy demand manifold and satisfy the
growing and largely unmet demand for energy.
Keywords: Modern Energy Services; Energy-efficient Appliances; Frontier
Rebound Effect; Rural Household; Solar Microgrid.
1. INTRODUCTION
The Indian government has implemented several initiatives to promote and
accelerate the scaling up of rural electrification and efficient appliances use
through new institutional arrangements and policy support. Solar
microgrids are considered an alternative service delivery model to grid
electricity in remote villages that either do not have grid connectivity
(Thirumurthy et al. 2012; World Bank 2008) or where it is neither feasible
nor cost-effective. While on an average grid electricity is less expensive than
off-grid options, the levelised cost per kWh of grid extension rises steeply
beyond a certain distance from the central facility (World Bank 2010;
Bruckner et al. 2014). Therefore, microgrids are seen as a cost-effective
solution for rural electrification in India (Venkataraman and Marnay 2008).
It is important to scrutinize past experiments for lessons that may help us
better understand which policy interventions will aid the speedy
advancement of such initiatives and boost the demand for such electricity
among rural households. This can help us assess the microgrid capacity
required and how quickly supporting infrastructure needs to be built. The
first mention of solar microgrids at the policy level in India can be found in
the Decentralised Distributed Generation (DDG) scheme proposed by the
Ministry of Power as part of the Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran
Yojana (RGGVY), 2005. This programme’s goal was to electrify villages
where grid connectivity is neither feasible nor cost-effective and to
supplement power provision in areas where the grid supply is available for
less than six hours a day. In 2014, rural electrification gained momentum
with Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY) and the
Integrated Power Development Scheme (IPDS), which emphasized solar
energy and introduced a smart metering system to enhance end-user access.
In addition, the Indian government also designed a policy instrument for
subsidy allocations to encourage private investors to enter the electric
services market through private microgrid systems in rural areas. A
microgrid is an integrated, local system that generates electricity and
transmits it to end-users (residential and commercial users) within a limited
geographical region. A microgrid operating on renewables like biomass,
wind, and solar photovoltaic (PV) technology can help increase power
quality, reliability, efficiency, and sustainability (Kaundinya et al. 2009). The
[67] Debalina Chakravarty and Joyashree Roy
illumination services (Jenkins et al. 2011; Saunders 2013). The literature also
shows, through empirical studies, that when one energy service becomes
cheaper and more easily available, consumers devise new and innovative
ways to use that energy (Saunders and Tsao 2012), which leads to an
increase in the total energy demand. This is an extreme case of the rebound
effect caused by the increased availability of opportunities for energy
consumption and discovery of unforeseen opportunities for substitution.
This increased consumption can have a significant impact on economic
activities. This phenomenon is often seen in developing countries with
constrained energy access and a lot of unmet demand (Roy 2000;
Chakravarty et al. 2013). The presence of such an effect indicates that unmet
demand falls faster with an increase in the social well-being of the
beneficiary (Saunders 2013; Freeman 2018).
This case study explores solar microgrids as an alternative electricity service
provision system in human settlements with high unmet demand. The study
also examines the role of energy-efficient appliances in such environments.
The case study was based on the village Lakshmipura-Jharla in India, where
a single solar microgrid system was set up by a private investor. The details
of the study are covered in Section 2. Section 3 discusses the estimated
frontier rebound effect based on the available data. Section 4 presents a
discussion of the results, and Section 5 provides concluding remarks.
2. THE CASE STUDY SITE
The first commercial-scale solar microgrid (and energy-efficient appliances
programme) was set up in 2012–2013 as a private–public partnership (PPP).
Gram Power (a private solar microgrid company based in India) set up its
pilot project in the village Lakshmipura-Jharla in the Tonk district of
Rajasthan, which was unconnected to the grid. High levels of solar
irradiance3 made it an apt location for the project, and in March 2012, a
microgrid with a capacity of 2kW was set up. One of the authors visited the
village in July 2013. The study site is located 1 km from the relatively well-
connected village of Khareda, which, in turn, is located 150 km from
Rajasthan’s capital city, Jaipur.
In 2003–2004, a start-up introduced the ‘jugnu’ system, wherein individual
solar lanterns were distributed to village households at the subsidized price
of ₹7,000 ($111)4 per unit. However, these lanterns could only provide four
3 Solarirradiance is a measure of the solar radiation (power per unit area on the earth’s
surface) produced by the sun in the form of electromagnetic radiation (IPCC 2007).
4All conversion in this study is calculated using the exchange rate: USD 1 = INR 63 (average
hours of light a day, leading to high unmet demand. Then, in 2012, a private
company set up a solar microgrid in the village and provided households
with smart meters that allowed them to access 24x7 uninterrupted
electricity supply. They also provided households with two energy-efficient
14 W or 16 W compact fluorescent lamp (CFL) bulbs. At the time, the cost
of a bulb was around ₹70 when bought in bulk. The bulbs were distributed
at a subsidized price of ₹15 per bulb as per the Bachat Lamp Yojana (2012)
to microgrid-connected households. The private company installed and
operated the microgrid in collaboration with the state renewable energy
board under the Ministry of Power and the Development Impact Lab
(DIL), University of California, Berkeley, USA, provided scientific
knowledge. Private investors provided 80% of the total cost of installation
in return for import duty exemption for certain components in the system.
The remaining 20% was contributed by the Indian government under the
Jawaharlal National Solar Mission (2010). The objective of the PPP model
was to leverage private investment to expand the supply capacity and meet
new energy demand through renewable sources such as solar (World Bank
2008; GEA 2012; Alliance for Rural Electrification 2011; UNEP 2017)
(Table 1).
Unlike solar lantern systems that are meant for use within the home,
microgrids provide uninterrupted power service 24x7 at a community level.
The latter provides flexibility to end-users in their choice of appliances and
has better social, environmental, and economic benefits compared to
lanterns while reducing costs by utilizing economies of scale (Table 1).
Despite these well-established benefits, there exist some practical barriers to
solar microgrids—for example, the poor availability of skilled technicians,
lack of timely maintenance and monitoring, etc. (Fowlie et al. 2018). In our
case study, we found that the private partner was committed to overcoming
these known barriers.
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [70]
Here,
(*)
[73] Debalina Chakravarty and Joyashree Roy
Data were collected from users who owned domestic solar lantern systems.
The solar microgrid expenditure and energy consumption data were directly
collected from the energy meters and payment receipts. The number of
households and the names of the heads of households were first collected
from the village panchayat office; then, every alternate house from the
village was selected for the survey. If the selected house was vacant, or its
members were unavailable or unwilling to participate in the survey, the next
house was selected. Each household was given the option of exiting the
survey at any time to minimize bias and erroneous responses. In conducting
the survey, standard survey ethics were followed. Consent was taken from
each of the stakeholders (the educational institute based in the US, private
start-up, households) before the purpose of the study was explained.6
A key aspect of the survey was collecting data on the energy service demand
pattern of households before and after they had access to the solar
microgrid and efficient lamps, and how these corresponded to their energy
bills. Both types of information were collected through direct interviews
based on a pre-formatted, tested, and piloted questionnaire. Since the
appliance usage patterns of households influence electricity demand, the
technical specifications of the appliances were very important in this study.
Therefore, the questionnaire7 also collected information about the types of
appliances used in households, the number of appliances, their
specifications, wattage consumption, usage time in both summer and
winter, whether they were energy-efficient or not, and their initial cost.
Apart from this, the questionnaire also had qualitative questions on how
households perceived the impact of electrification.
Where, t is the operating time period/lifetime of the equipment and is considered as 10 years
for this calculation, and i, is the rate of interest and is assumed to be 8% for the present
calculations, given the then prevailing market interest rate for long-term deposits in India.
However, we also use a 3% rate (savings bank interest rate prevailing in 2013) to arrive at a
range rather than a single number.
6We declared that all data and information were to be used for academic purposes (PhD
thesis of the first author and any academic publication out of it) with due acknowledgment
to the funding sources and that no information would be shared for commercial purposes.
7 The questionnaire is provided in the Appendix.
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [74]
Before getting access to the solar microgrid, most households had just one
or two solar lamps from the 2003–04 programme. They had been using
these appliances for nine to ten years. A few of them needed replacement
appliances (14%). During the survey, we observed that the solar microgrid
company had provided all village households with new microgrid
connections with two 6 W compact fluorescent lamps (CFL) worth $28.57
(₹1,800) free of cost. If a household used a 6 W CFL for one hour, it cost
$0.0024 (₹0.15) under the solar microgrid scheme. Similarly, if they used a
40 W fan for one hour, it cost $0.059 (₹0.37). So, a household paid $0.40
(₹25) per unit (kWh) of solar microgrid electricity.
This amount is nearer the electricity rate in the US ($0.48/unit or ₹30/unit
in March 2013) and is much higher than the cost of India’s grid-connected
electricity ($0.13/unit ₹8/unit in March 2013, on average). It is worth
mentioning that the price of grid-connected electricity in India in 2013
included a subsidy of 20–50% at the consumer end. The installation cost of
a solar microgrid system is two-and-a-half times higher than setting up a
connection to the centralized grid electricity supply system (CEA 2012). In
the case of energy-efficient appliances, the capital cost or initial purchase
cost is also a significant catalyst for energy consumption. However, energy-
efficient technologies have a higher initial cost that acts as a barrier to faster
adoption, especially in developing countries (Fowlie et al. 2018; GEA 2012;
Toman 2003; Bruckner et al. 2014). Therefore, the estimation process needs
to consider the fixed capital cost and variable costs and calculate the
annualized cost for each type of equipment for energy access.
In a supply-constrained scenario, comparing the costs of two competing
systems (domestic solar lantern systems and microgrid connectivity
systems) generates interesting results. The annualized cost per unit (kWh) of
electricity from a community-scale solar microgrid is still much lower than
the cost of the electricity generated from the solar home lantern system
(Table 4). This is due to the up-front cost of the individual solar panel for
the domestic lantern system. So individual households with access to
community-scale solar microgrids benefit from economies of scale and get
electricity at a cheaper price when compared with the domestic lantern
system. In monetary terms, our estimates show that individual households
can save approximately $0.21 (₹13) on one unit (kWh) of energy if they
switch from individual PV-based systems to microgrid systems. Annually
one household can save around $142 (₹8,946) by using the solar microgrid.
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [78]
use have also increased. People are less afraid of insect attacks at night;
public places feel more secure; women can cook food even after sundown,
which gives them flexibility when it comes to other chores and has allowed
them to do more productive work; students have more time to study as
they can study at night too. In the village we studied, the basic need was
illumination as the village layout was open enough for there to be natural
ventilation. Demand for household appliances for food preparation went
up when a new appliance—the buttermilk machine—was purchased by
some of the households. The uptake rate was as high as 77%, signifying that
what was once accomplished using women’s physical labour was now being
done by modern electric appliances.
Table 5: The Perceived Impact of 24x7 Electricity
Perceived impact of Yes No Don't know
efficient (% of (% of (% of
electrification responses) responses) responses)
Indoor environment 100% 0% 0%
becomes less smoky
Increase in demand 100% 0% 0%
for lighting/cooling
Increase in study time 100% 0% 0%
for children
More time allocation 100% 0% 0%
for daily primary jobs
like cultivation
Better livelihood 100% 0% 0%
practices with
electricity
Others 90% mentioned other benefits such as increased
access to entertainment services via television and
radio, less fear of insect attacks at night, and flexible
cooking times
Source: Estimates based on household sample survey data
4.4 Avoided Direct Emission
The total demand for energy in the village was 2 kWh per day, as
determined by the maximum capacity of the system. If this same amount of
energy had been generated by a centralized, thermal electricity grid, 3.56 kg
of CO2 would have been produced per day (1,299 kg of CO2 per year),
assuming an emissions factor of 0.89 tons of CO2 for every megawatt-hour
of electricity (CEA 2012). The solar microgrid system in our case study
helped to avoid 3.56 kg of direct CO2 emissions per day. However, when
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [80]
considering these avoided emissions, one needs to keep in mind the costs
involved. From the generation company’s perspective, avoiding the 3.56 kg
of CO2 caused an additional 54% generation cost compared to the
centralized grid-connected power supply system in India. This was
estimated based on CEA data from 2012 about the cost of power projects
per megawatt.
4.5 Changes in Electricity Service Demand
A key aim of the survey was to understand the energy service demand
patterns of households before and after they got access to the solar
microgrid. The annualized per unit cost of electricity from the solar
microgrid was found to be 32% lower than in the case of the solar lantern
system. The annualized unit cost of electricity services was used to estimate
the percentage change in the price of energy services at the household level.
Corresponding changes in the demand for illumination services and all-
encompassing electricity services have been estimated in Table 6.
Table 6: Estimated Frontier Rebound Effect
Energy services (At 8% (At 5% Implication of
discount discount estimated rebound
rate) rate) effect
For illumination services 151% 165% Presence of the
frontier effect
For all the available 192% 199% Presence of the
energy services frontier effect
The rebound estimates clearly show that the percentage change in the
demand for energy services with respect to the price of those services was
more than 100%. Thus, a 1% decrease in prices will result in a 1.51–1.65%
increase in the demand for illumination services and a 1.92–1.99% increase
for all other available energy services. This is because consumers earlier had
unmet energy demands because of the constraints of only four hours of
access to electricity. After the solar microgrid was set up, they had
uninterrupted supply of electricity throughout the day. However, it must be
noted that there is an upper limit to the amount of electricity that the
community can draw from the microgrid system, i.e., based on its initial
capacity on installation. Frontier estimates can be higher than the estimated
values when supply is unlimited. The literature suggests that with the
introduction of efficient appliances, the energy demand will increase
manifold to satisfy unmet demand.
[81] Debalina Chakravarty and Joyashree Roy
The frontier rebound effect arose in this case study because households
increased their direct energy consumption. Their newfound access to
affordable electricity allowed them to adopt new appliances (fans, radios,
televisions, cell phones, and kitchen appliances) that led to these
communities, who had no previous access to modern energy, to demand
new energy services that can be considered welfare-enhancing (Saunder,
2013; Jenkins et al. 2011). Therefore, the study’s estimate is conceptually
equivalent to the frontier rebound estimate suggested by other literature
(Jenkins et al. 2011; Saunders 2013; Saunders and Tsao 2012; Tsao et
al. 2010; Sorrell 2007, 2009). A rebound case study in rural India (Roy 2000)
estimated a partial rebound effect at about 50% for illumination services
after introducing only solar lanterns. That was lower than this study’s
estimated rebound magnitude. For some households, Roy (2000) observed
that the rebound effect was about 200% for both lighting and cooking
services, which are quite close to the rebound estimates of this study. In
another study by Burgess et al. (2019), the researchers found high price
responsiveness for diesel, off-grid, and microgrid solar in the state of Bihar,
India. Such high demand elasticities are striking when compared to those in
developed countries where saturated demand levels and high-income levels
mean that the demand curve is expected to be almost vertical. Thus, only
extensive changes in price can induce changes in demand in those
countries.
In our study, we found that 23% (or 5 out of 22) of the households had not
taken a solar microgrid electricity connection because they found the costs
prohibitive. These households were using the solar lantern system with a
battery that let them run at least one light bulb at night; however they found
the 24x7 electricity service too expensive. However, it is likely that these
households will eventually switch services, either after the lifetime of their
current equipment or when their incomes improve. Households that cannot
afford the switch can be offered support through new policies that, for
example, buy back older solar panels and lighting systems. How such
policies can be operationalized, or what other alternative institutional or
policy arrangements can be made, are research questions for the future.
5. CONCLUSION
The case study shows that electrification via solar microgrids offers rural
households in India social, economic, and environmental benefits. Solar
microgrid systems combined with energy-efficient end-use appliances result
in a quick reduction in the demand gap. Lessons learned from the case
study are relevant at the policy level as well. In contrast to newly emerging
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [82]
research (Lee et al., 2020; Burgess et al., 2019), this study clearly shows that
poor rural households in India value round-the-clock access to electricity
service. It reduces the drudgery of physical labour and provides flexibility in
how time can be productively utilized, especially for women. Therefore,
access to electricity, from a class and gender perspective, can be considered
essential in terms of a decent standard of living and the Sustainable
Development Goals (Hayward and Roy 2019; Rao and Min 2018). The
study found that solar microgrids offered many additional benefits to a
remote village: increased security in public places at night, access to
entertainment services, pest reduction, and more time for students to study.
In the village we studied, households consumed very little electricity
(around 0.2 kWh per day) compared to an average household in India (12
kWh per day). This can be seen as an indicator of the electricity demand
gap, where there is scope for accelerated provision of access to electricity.
The frontier rebound effect of illumination services is estimated to be more
than 100%, which implies that a 100% increase in energy efficiency will
increase the demand for energy services by more than 100% because of the
shift in consumption. This signifies an improvement in end-user utility and
thus the well-being of low-income households. This result is consistent with
existing literature that postulates that the introduction of energy-efficient
supplies will increase demand manifold. In the context of energy-access-
equity-driven climate policy, where the goal is to reduce energy poverty and
unmet energy demand, the frontier rebound effect can indicate whether the
implementation of energy-efficiency policies affect the rate at which unmet
demand is reduced.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The authors acknowledge the active cooperation of the CEO of the private
microgrid power producer and distributor in India. We are thankful to Mr
Suman Dutta from Global Change Programme of Jadavpur University
(GCP-JU) for his support in collecting data and Dr Shyamashree Dasgupta
for her valuable comments on an earlier version of this article. The authors
also acknowledge the financial support from GCP-JU for the field study.
Debalina Chakravarty acknowledges the introduction to the private
microgrid power producer and distributor in India and is grateful for the
short-term fellowship grants from the Development Impact Lab (DIL),
University of California, Berkeley, USA, and to the West Bengal State
Government Doctoral Fellowship Programme, India, at the Department of
Economics, Jadavpur University. Joyashree Roy acknowledges funding
under the EDIT-AIT project. EDIT-AIT project at the Asian Institute of
[83] Debalina Chakravarty and Joyashree Roy
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[87] Debalina Chakravarty and Joyashree Roy
Appendix
Questionnaire for Rural Household Units
Usage pattern of lighting and space cooling in India’s rural household sector
________________________________________________________________
-------------------------------------------------------
We assure you that your personal information will be kept confidential and your
responses will be used purely for academic purposes. We shall be thankful to you
for your completing the questionnaire and helping us in our research study.
With regards,
A. Personal Details
1. Age of the respondent:
2. Highest level of education attained by any family member:10
3. Are you one of the earning members of the family? Yes/ No
4. How many earning members are there in your family?
5. What is the composition of your family (mention numbers)?
10(a) < class 10 (b) class 10–12 (c) above 12 but not graduate (d) graduate (e) post-graduate
and above
Ecology, Economy and Society–the INSEE Journal [90]
Adult Children
Male
Female
Lighting
Space cooling
11 (1) Cultivator, (2) main worker (< 6 months), (3) marginal worker, (4) agricultural
labourer, (5) household industry worker, (6) other worker.
12 (1) Grass/thatch/bamboo, (2) wood, (3) mud/unburnt brick, (4) plastic/polythene, (5)
burnt brick, (6) stone, (7) GI metal/asbestos sheets, (8) concrete, (9) any other.
13 (1) Grass/thatch/bamboo, wood, mud, etc, (2) plastic/polythene, (3) tiles (handmade
tiles/machine-made tiles) (4) burnt brick, (5) stone, (6) G.I. metal/asbestos sheets, (7)
concrete, (8) any other.
14 (1) Coal, (2) coke, (3) electricity, (4) kerosene, (5) solar, (6) LPG, (7) petrol, (8) diesel, (9)
Lighting
Space cooling
15 (1) Coal, (2) coke, (3) electricity, (4) kerosene, (5) solar, (6) LPG, (7) petrol, (8) diesel, (9)
wood fuel, (10) dung cakes, (11) others
16 Investigators are requested to fill the questions of this section himself/herself from the
CFL
(retrofit/non
retrofit)
(mention W-
5/7/9/11/23)
Total
Space Ceiling fan
cooling (32", 48", 52")
AC (0.75, 1,
1.5, 2 ton)
Total
Other
(Specify)
[93] Debalina Chakravarty and Joyashree Roy