EXAMEN
EXAMEN
5 10 15
1968 120 78 72
1969 120.87 96.19 88.15
1970 63.6 61.8 61.2
1971 138.96 121.3 110.96
1972 120 80 66.67
1973 63.6 61.8 61.2
1974 120 102.86 90.91
1975 120 120 120
1976 42 28.8 24.4
1977 60 60 52
1978 120 90 80
M T 5
1 12.00 138.96
2 6.00 120.87
3 4.00 120
4 3.00 120
5 2.40 120
6 2.00 120
7 1.71 120
8 1.50 63.6
9 1.33 63.6
10 1.20 60
11 1.09 42
logaridmo
10 15 0.698970 1.000000 1.176091 X2 X1 Y
121.3 110.96 2.142890 2.083861 2.045166 0.698970 1.079181 2.14289
96.19 88.15 2.082319 1.983130 1.945222 0.698970 0.778151 2.082319
78 72 2.079181 1.892095 1.857332 0.698970 0.602060 2.079181
80 66.67 2.079181 1.903090 1.823930 0.698970 0.477121 2.079181
102.86 90.91 2.079181 2.012247 1.958612 0.698970 0.380211 2.079181
120 120 2.079181 2.079181 2.079181 0.698970 0.301030 2.079181
90 80 2.079181 1.954243 1.903090 0.698970 0.234083 2.079181
61.8 61.2 1.803457 1.790988 1.786751 0.698970 0.176091 1.803457
61.8 61.2 1.803457 1.790988 1.786751 0.698970 0.124939 1.803457
60 52 1.778151 1.778151 1.716003 0.698970 0.079181 1.778151
28.8 24.4 1.623249 1.459392 1.387390 0.698970 0.037789 1.623249
1.000000 1.079181 2.083861
1.000000 0.778151 1.983130
1.000000 0.602060 1.892095
1.000000 0.477121 1.903090
1.000000 0.380211 2.012247
1.000000 0.301030 2.079181
1.000000 0.234083 1.954243
1.000000 0.176091 1.790988
1.000000 0.124939 1.790988
1.000000 0.079181 1.778151
1.000000 0.037789 1.459392
1.176091 1.079181 2.045166
1.176091 0.778151 1.945222
1.176091 0.602060 1.857332
1.176091 0.477121 1.823930
1.176091 0.380211 1.958612
1.176091 0.301030 2.079181
1.176091 0.234083 1.903090
1.176091 0.176091 1.786751
1.176091 0.124939 1.786751
1.176091 0.079181 1.716003
1.176091 0.037789 1.387390
X2= X1= Y=
31.625674 12.809514 62.646226
a0 a1 a2
33.00000 12.80951 31.62567
12.80951 8.11369 12.27605
31.62567 12.27605 31.58925
MATRIS INVERSA
0.79542701 -0.12356281 -0.74832593
-0.12356281 0.31832375 4.28154E-16
-0.74832593 4.28154E-16 0.7808452
X1*Y X2*Y X1^2 X2^2 X1*X2
2.312566 1.497816 1.164632 0.488559 0.754315
1.620359 1.455478 0.605519 0.488559 0.543904
1.251792 1.453285 0.362476 0.488559 0.420822
0.992022 1.453285 0.227645 0.488559 0.333493
0.790528 1.453285 0.144561 0.488559 0.265756
0.625896 1.453285 0.090619 0.488559 0.210411
0.486701 1.453285 0.054795 0.488559 0.163617
0.317573 1.260562 0.031008 0.488559 0.123083
0.225322 1.260562 0.015610 0.488559 0.087328
0.140796 1.242874 0.006270 0.488559 0.055345
0.061340 1.134603 0.001428 0.488559 0.026413
2.248863 2.083861 1.164632 1.000000 1.079181
1.543175 1.983130 0.605519 1.000000 0.778151
1.139154 1.892095 0.362476 1.000000 0.602060
0.908005 1.903090 0.227645 1.000000 0.477121
0.765079 2.012247 0.144561 1.000000 0.380211
0.625896 2.079181 0.090619 1.000000 0.301030
0.457455 1.954243 0.054795 1.000000 0.234083
0.315377 1.790988 0.031008 1.000000 0.176091
0.223764 1.790988 0.015610 1.000000 0.124939
0.140796 1.778151 0.006270 1.000000 0.079181
0.055148 1.459392 0.001428 1.000000 0.037789
2.207105 2.405302 1.164632 1.383191 1.269216
1.513677 2.287759 0.605519 1.383191 0.915177
1.118226 2.184393 0.362476 1.383191 0.708077
0.870236 2.145109 0.227645 1.383191 0.561138
0.744686 2.303506 0.144561 1.383191 0.447163
0.625896 2.445307 0.090619 1.383191 0.354039
0.445481 2.238207 0.054795 1.383191 0.275303
0.314631 2.101383 0.031008 1.383191 0.207099
0.223234 2.101383 0.015610 1.383191 0.146939
0.135875 2.018177 0.006270 1.383191 0.093124
0.052427 1.631697 0.001428 1.383191 0.044443
X1*Y X2*Y X1^2 X2^2 X1*X2
25.499085 59.707911 8.113688 31.589247 12.276046
resultados
= 62.64623 a0 1.99878
= 25.49908 a1 0.37622
= 59.70791 a2 -0.25716
k 99.72044
m 0.376221
= #NAME? n 0.257160
= #NAME?
= #NAME?
T gumbel T-1
M 50 10 XD RECM
1 12.00 121.3 138.33 0.01971 160.00
2 6.00 96.19 116.84 0.04609 140.00
3 4.00 78 103.59 0.10765
4 3.00 80 93.62 0.02900 120.00 f(x) = − 8.74056626
R² = 0.96696248124
5 2.40 102.86 85.35 0.02897
100.00
6 2.00 120 78.05 0.12223
7 1.71 90 71.26 0.04335 80.00
8 1.50 61.8 64.67 0.00215
60.00
9 1.33 61.8 57.91 0.00396
10 1.20 60 50.46 0.02530 40.00
∑
11 1.09 28.8 40.96 0.17816
20.00
901.03583
RECM= 6709.63280 0.00
0 2 4
interpolacion 𝜇_𝑦 𝜎𝑦
interpolacion
10 0.4952 10 0.9496
15 0.5128 15 1.0206
11 0.4987 11 0.9638
x= 81.89
𝜎𝑦=
s= 28.00
𝜇_𝑦
0.9638
0.4987
=
0.03442326
67.3984874
LOG PEARSON
140.00
T LOG PEARSON
M 50 10 XD RECM
120.00
1 12.00 121.3 120.46 81.692168
2 6.00 96.19 110.95 305.957632 100.00
f(x) = − 0.07
3 4.00 78 103.28 616.055144 R² = 0.00037
80.00
60.00
40.00
120.00
100.00
f(x) = − 0.07
R² = 0.00037
4 3.00 80 96.40 969.224519 80.00
5 2.40 102.86 89.87 1328.225003
60.00
6 2.00 120 81.89 1595.497820
7 1.71 90 89.85 2643.216852 40.00
8 1.50 61.8 96.32 3995.878916
9 1.33 61.8 103.08 5823.198539 20.00
10 1.20 60 110.49 8295.042318
∑
11 1.09 28.8 119.38 11757.516037 -
0 2
1121.96603
RECM= 10403.37
T P hp log hp w Z K
12.00 0.08 121.30 2.08386 2.22930781 1.38323260 -0.21786061
6.00 0.17 96.19 1.98313 1.89301847 0.96736313 -0.21786061
4.00 0.25 78.00 1.89209 1.66510922 0.67418914 -0.21786061
3.00 0.33 80.00 1.90309 1.48230381 0.43029176 -0.21786061
2.40 0.42 102.86 2.01225 1.32322994 0.21004572 -0.21786061
1.92 0.52 120.00 2.07918 1.21158506 -0.05002028 -0.21786061
1.71 0.58 90.00 1.95424 1.03826442 0.20944824 -0.21786061
1.50 0.67 61.80 1.79099 0.90051664 0.42761768 -0.21786061
1.33 0.75 61.80 1.79099 0.75852762 0.66681313 -0.21786061
1.20 0.83 60.00 1.77815 0.60385687 0.94904436 -0.21786061
1.09 0.92 28.80 1.45939 0.41716035 1.33188765 -0.21786061
media 1.884306
s 0.17845859
y -1.30716367
sherman
T sherman
M 50 10 XD
195.52 0.37436 250.00
1 12.00 121.3
2 6.00 96.19 151.29 0.32810
3 4.00 78 130.21 0.44807 200.00
4 3.00 80 117.06 0.21465
5 2.40 102.86 107.79 0.00229
150.00 f(x) = − 9.47
6 2.00 120 100.76 0.02572 R² = 0.8096
7 1.71 90 95.17 0.00330
8 1.50 61.8 90.58 0.21690 100.00
9 1.33 61.8 86.72 0.16259
10 1.20 60 83.40 0.15215
50.00
0.00
0 2
100.00
50.00
∑
11 1.09 28.8 80.51 3.22424
1239.01302
RECM= 12,687.22 0.00
0 2
Chart Title
220
200
180
160
SERIE
140 sherman
120 gumbel T-1
100 LOG PEARSON
80
60
40
20
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13
60.00 GUMBEL
40.00
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
100.00
f(x) = − 0.0728061472384468 x + 102.433749154919
R² = 0.000373551823382057
80.00
60.00
40.00
120.00
100.00
f(x) = − 0.0728061472384468 x + 102.433749154919
R² = 0.000373551823382057
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
-
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Kt Yt Xt
1.10131154 2.08084453 120.46
0.90116572 2.04512679 110.95
0.72687961 2.01402394 103.28
0.55899803 1.98406403 96.40
0.38830845 1.95360300 89.87
0.16200328 1.91321690 81.89
0.38781980 1.95351580 89.85
0.55703654 1.98371398 96.32
0.72211563 2.01317376 103.08
0.89111407 2.04333299 110.49
1.07939433 2.07693322 119.38
250.00 sherman
200.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
100.00
50.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
SERIE
sherman
gumbel T-1
LOG PEARSON