Operations management
Operations management
Problem 2
Immediate
Activity Predecessor
Activity
A -
B A
C, D B
E C
F D
G E, F
Solution
A
1 2
A B
1 2 3
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4
C
B
2 3
C E
3 4 6
D F
3 5 6l
”
D F
3 5 6!
and
4
E
6
G 7
F
5
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Putting all the pieces together, we obtain the following diagram the
project network:
C 4
Start event E End event
A B
1 2 3 G
6 7
D 5 F
C E
3 4 6
and
D F
3 5 6l
”
We took nodes 6 and 6l as one and the same. Instead, we can retain
them as different nodes. Then, in order to provide connectivity to the
network, we join nodes 6l and 6 by a dummy activity. Then we arrive at
the following diagram for the project network:
E
Start event C 4
6
G
1 2 3 dummy
A B
activity
7
D
F
5 6l
!
End event
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Path In A Project
The path with the largest time is called the critical path and the
activities along this path are called the critical activities or bottleneck
activities. The activities are called critical because they cannot be delayed.
However, a non-critical activity may be delayed to a certain extent. Any
delay in a critical activity will delay the completion of the whole project.
However, a certain permissible delay in a non –critical activity will not
delay the completion of the whole project. It shall be noted that delay in a
non-critical activity beyond a limit would certainly delay the completion
the whole project. Sometimes, there may be several critical paths for a
project. A project manager shall pay special attention to critical activities.
Problem 1
Predecessor
Activity Duration (Weeks)
Activity
A - 3
B A 5
C A 7
D B 10
E C 5
F D,E 4
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Determine the critical path, the critical activities and the project
completion time.
Solution
First let us construct the network diagram for the given project. We
mark the time estimates along the arrows representing the activities. We
obtain the following diagram:
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are two such paths for the given project. They are
as follows:
Path I
A B D F
1 2 3 5 6
3 5 10 4
Path II
A C E F
1 2 4 5 6
3 7 5 4
Compare the times for the two paths. Maximum of {22,19} = 22.
We see that path I has the maximum time of 22 weeks. Therefore, path
I is the critical path. The critical activities are A, B, D and F. The project
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Problem 2
Find out the completion time and the critical activities for the
following project:
D
5
2 20 1
G 8
A
8 E H 11 K 6
B 6 8 10
1 3
10 16
14
1 1
I L
7 5
C
J 9
F 10 1
7
4 25
Solution
Path I
A D G K
1 2 5 8 10
8 20 8 6
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Path II
B E H K
1 3 6 8 10
10 16 11 6
Path III
B E I L
1 3 6 9 10
10 16 14 5
Path IV
C F J L
1 4 7 9 10
7 25 10 5
C F J L
1 4 7 9 10
7 25 10 5
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Draw the network diagram and determine the critical path for the
following project:
1- 4 3
2 -5 5
3 -6 7
3 -7 10
4 -7 4
5 -8 2
6 -8 5
7 -9 6
8 -9 4
Solution
D 5
2
5 1
H
2
A
5
1 B E 6
I 8
K
3
6 7 1
3 1
4 9
1
10 J
3 C F
6
G 7
4
4
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Solution
We assert that there are 4 paths, beginning with the start node of 1
and terminating at the end node of 9. They are as follows:
Path I
A D H K 9
1 2 5 8
5 5 2 4
Path II
B E I K 9
1 3 6 8
6 7 5 4
Path III
B F J
1 3 7 9
6 10 6
Path IV
C 4 5
1 4 7 9
3 4 6
Compare the times for the four paths. Maximum of {16, 22, 16, 13}
= 22. We see that the following path has the maximum time and so it is the
critical path:
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D E I K
1 3 6 8 9
6 7 5 4
Questions
IMMEDIATE
time estimate
Activity Predecessor
(weeks)
Activity
A - 4
B - 7
C - 3
D A 6
E B 4
F B 7
G C 6
H E 10
I D 3
J F, G 4
K H, I 2
Draw the project network diagram. Determine the critical path and the
project completion time.
****
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Measure Of Certainty
to ≤ t m ≤ t p
t p − to
i.e., The standard deviation = σ =
6
2
t p − to
and the variance = σ =
2
6
The certainty of the time estimate of an activity can be analysed with
the help of the variance. The greater the variance, the more uncertainty in
the time estimate of an activity.
Problem 1
Time Estimate
Expert
to tm tp
A 4 6 8
B 4 7 10
Solution
2
t −t
Variance ( σ ) in time estimates = p o
2
6
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2
8−4 4
In the case of expert A, the variance = =
6 9
2
10 − 4
As regards expert B, the variance = =1
6
Problem 2
Find out the time required to complete the following project and
the critical activities:
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
Predecessor
Activity time estimate time estimate time estimate
Activity
(to days) (tm days) (tp days)
A - 2 4 6
B A 3 6 9
C A 8 10 12
D B 9 12 15
E C 8 9 10
F D, E 16 21 26
G D, E 19 22 25
H F 2 5 8
I G 1 3 5
Solution
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A 2 16 6 24 4
B 3 24 9 36 6
C 8 40 12 60 10
D 9 48 15 72 12
E 8 36 10 54 9
F 16 84 26 126 21
G 19 88 25 132 22
H 2 20 8 30 5
I 1 12 5 18 3
3 F 6
B
12 21
A 6 5
1 2 5 I
4 8
10 E
22 3
9
4 7
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are four such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:
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Path I
A B D F H
1 2 3 5 6 8
4 6 12 21 5
Path II
A B D G I
1 2 3 5 7 8
4 6 12 6 6 3
Path III
A C E F H
1 2 4 5 6 8
4 10 3 9 21 5
7
Path IV
A C E G I
1 2 4 5 7 8
4 10 9 6 6 3
Problem 3
Find out the time, variance and standard deviation of the project
with the following time estimates in weeks:
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1-2 3 6 9
1-6 2 5 8
2-3 6 12 18
2-4 4 5 6
3-5 8 11 14
4-5 3 7 11
6-7 3 9 15
5-8 2 4 6
7-8 8 16 18
Solution
Optimistic
4 x Most Pessimistic
time to+ 4tm Time estimate
Activity likely time time estimate t + 4 tm + t p
stimate + tp te = o
estimate (tp) 6
(to)
1-2 3 24 9 36 6
1-6 2 20 8 30 5
2-3 6 48 18 72 12
2-4 4 20 6 30 5
3-5 8 44 14 66 11
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4-5 3 28 11 42 7
6-7 3 36 15 54 9
5-8 2 16 6 24 4
7-8 8 64 18 90 15
With the single time estimates of the activities, we get the following
network diagram for the project.
C 3 F
11
12
2 5
A G
6 5 7 4
4
1
8
B H
5
E 15
6
7
9
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping with the
end node. There are three such paths for the given project. They are as
follows:
Path I
A C F I
1 2 3 5 8
6 12 11 4
Path II
A D G I
1 2 4 5 8
6 5 3 7 4
Path III
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B E H
1 6 7 8
5 9 3 15
Pessimistic
Optimistic Most likely Standard
Critical time Range Variance 2
time estimate timeestimate deviation = t −t
Activity estimate (tp - to) t p − to σ = p o
2
(to) (tm) σ= 6
(tp) 6
A: 1 2 3 6 9 6 1 1
C: 2 3 6 12 18 12 2 4
F: 3 5 8 11 14 6 1 1
I: 5 8 2 4 6 4 2/3 4/9
Problem 4
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From the three time estimates , and , calculate for each activity.
The results are furnished in the following table:
Optimistic Pessimistic
4 x Most
time time to+ 4tm Time estimate
Activity likely time t + 4 tm + t p
estimate estimate + tp te = o
estimate 6
(to) (tp)
A 2 20 8 30 5
B 2 12 4 18 3
C 6 32 10 48 8
D 2 16 6 24 4
E 2 24 10 36 6
F 6 28 8 42 7
G 6 32 10 48 8
3
B
3 6
4
E
C 7
A 8 F G
1 2 D 6
5
5 4 8
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Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are three such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:
Path I
A B E G
1 2 3 5 6
5 3 4
6 8 8
Path II
A C F G
1 2 4 5 6
5 8 4 7 8 8
Path III
A D G
1 2 5 6
5 4 4 8
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A: 1 2 2 5 8 6 1 1
2 4
C: 2 4 6 8 10 4
3 9
F: 4 5 6 7 8 2 1 1
3 9
2 4
G: 5 6 6 8 10 4
3 9
30 − 28
So we get Z = = 1.414
1.414
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Slack Of An Event
Slack Of An Activity
Problem 1
Predecessor
Activity Duration (Weeks)
Activity
A - 12
B A 7
C A 11
D A 8
E A 6
F B 10
G C 9
H D, F 14
I E, G 13
J H, I 16
Determine the earliest and latest times, the total float for each
activity, the critical activities and the project completion time.
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Solution
3
F
B 10
7 5 H
D
8 14
A
1 2 7 8
12
E I
6 16
11
6
C G
9
4
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are four such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:
Path I
A B F H J
1 2 3 5 7 1
12 7 10 14 16
Path II
A D H J
1 2 5 14 7 16 8
12 8
Path III
A E I J
1 2 6 7 8
12 6 13 16
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Path IV
A C G I J
1 2 4 6 7 8
12 11 9 13 16
Compare the times for the four paths. Maximum of {51, 50, 47, 61} = 61.
We see that the maximum time of a path is 61 weeks.
Forward pass
1 0
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Using the above values, we obtain the Earliest Start Times of the
activities as follows:
B 12
C 12
D 12
E 12
F 19
G 23
H 29
I 32
J 45
Backward pass
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Using the above values, we obtain the Latest Finish Times of the
activities as follows:
J 61
I 45
H 45
G 32
F 31
E 32
D 31
C 23
B 21
A 12
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Latest
Earliest Earliest Latest Total Float = Latest
Duration
Activity Start Finish Start Finish Time - Earliest
(Weeks) Finish
Time Time Time Finish Time
Time
A 12 0 12 0 12 0
B 7 12 19 14 21 2
C 11 12 23 12 23 0
D 8 12 20 23 31 11
E 6 12 18 26 32 14
F 10 19 29 21 31 2
G 9 23 32 23 32 0
H 14 29 43 31 45 2
I 13 32 45 32 45 0
J 16 45 61 45 61 0
The activities with total float = 0 are A, C, G, I and J. They are the
critical activities.
Project completion time = 61 weeks.
Problem 2
Predecessor Duration
Activity
Activity (Weeks)
A - 15
B A 17
C A 21
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D B 19
E B 22
F C, D 18
G E, F 15
Calculate the earliest and latest times, the total float for each
activity and the project completion time.
Solution
3
B G
15
A 17 D 19
1 2 5 6
15
21 F
C 18
4
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are three such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:
Path I
A B E G
1 2 3 5 6
15 17 22 15
Path II
A B D F G
1 2 3 4 5 6
15 17 19 18 15
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Path III
A C F G
1 2 4 5 6
15 21 18 15
Compare the times for the three paths. Maximum of {69, 84, 69} = 84. We
see that the maximum time of a path is 84 weeks.
Forward pass
1 0
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A 0
B 15
C 15
D 32
E 32
F 51
G 69
Backward pass
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F 69
E 69
D 51
C 51
B 32
A 15
A 15 0 15 0 15 0
B 17 15 32 15 32 0
C 21 15 36 30 51 15
D 19 32 51 32 51 0
E 22 32 54 47 69 15
F 18 51 69 51 69 0
G 15 69 84 69 84 0
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The activities with total float = 0 are A, B, D, F and G. They are the
critical activities.
Project completion time = 84 weeks.
Problem 3
A - 8
B A 13
C A 9
D A 12
E B 14
F B 8
G D 7
H C, F, G 12
I C, F, G 9
J E, H 10
K I, J 7
Determine the earliest and latest times, the total float for each
activity, the critical activities, the slacks of the events and the project
completion time.
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Solution
E
3 6
14
B 8 H 10
13 F 12 J
A C I K 8
1 2 5 7
8 9 9 7
12 G
D 7
4
Path I
A B E J K
1 2 3 6 7 8
8 13 14 10 7
Path II
A B F H J K
1 2 3 5 6 7 8
8 13 8 12 10 7
Path III
A B F I K
1 2 3 5 7 8
8 3 8 9 7
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Path IV
A C H J K
1 2 5 6 7 8
8 9 12 5 10 7
Path V
A C I K
1 2 5 7 8
8 9 5 9 7 6
Path VI
A D G H J K
1 2 4 5 6 7 7 8
8 12 7 12 10
Path VII
A D G I K
1 2 4 5 7 8
8 12 7 9 7
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Forward pass
1 0
A 0
B 8
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C 8
D 8
E 21
F 21
G 20
H 29
I 29
J 41
K 51
Backward pass
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Min {Time for Node 3 - Time for Activity B, Time for Node 4 -
Time for Activity D,
2
= Min {21 - 13, 22 - 12, 29 - 9}
= Min {8, 10, 20} = 8
K 58
J 51
I 51
41
H
G 29
29
F
E 41
22
D
C 29
21
B
A 8
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A 8 0 8 0 8 0
B 13 8 21 8 21 0
C 9 8 17 20 29 12
D 12 8 20 10 22 2
E 14 21 35 27 41 6
F 8 21 29 21 29 0
G 7 20 27 22 29 2
H 12 29 41 29 41 0
I 9 29 38 42 51 13
J 10 41 51 41 51 0
K 7 51 58 51 58 0
The activities with total float = 0 are A, B, F, H, J and K. They are the
critical activities.
Project completion time = 58 weeks.
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Latest
Allowable
Event Earliest Expected Time Slack of
Time of
(Node) of Occurrence of Event the Event
Occurrence of
Event
1 0 0 0
2 8 8 0
3 21 21 0
4 20 22 2
5 29 29 0
6 41 41 0
7 51 51 0
8 58 58 0
Interpretation
Questions
1. Explain the terms: The earliest and latest times of the activities of a
project.
2. Explain the procedure to find the earliest expected time of an event.
3. Explain the procedure to find the latest allowable time of an event.
4. What is meant by the slack of an activity? How will you determine it?
5. Consider the project with the following details:
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