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The document outlines the development of a network diagram for project activities, detailing immediate predecessors and the relationships among activities. It explains the concepts of critical path and critical activities, emphasizing their importance in project management, and provides examples of calculating project completion time. Additionally, it introduces the Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) for estimating activity times probabilistically.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
4 views

Reference-Material-3

The document outlines the development of a network diagram for project activities, detailing immediate predecessors and the relationships among activities. It explains the concepts of critical path and critical activities, emphasizing their importance in project management, and provides examples of calculating project completion time. Additionally, it introduces the Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) for estimating activity times probabilistically.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Problem 2

Develop a network diagram for the project specified below:

Immediate
Activity Predecessor
Activity
A -

B A

C, D B

E C

F D

G E, F

Solution

Activity A has no predecessor activity. i.e., It is the first activity. Let


us suppose that activity A takes the project from event 1 to event 2. Then
we have the following representation for A:

A
1 2

For activity B, the predecessor activity is A. Let us suppose that B


joins nodes 2 and 3. Thus we get

A B
1 2 3

Activities C and D have B as the predecessor activity. Therefore we


obtain the following:

247
4
C
B
2 3

Activity E has D as the predecessor activity. So we get

C E
3 4 6

Activity F has D as the predecessor activity. So we get

D F
3 5 6l

Activity G has E and F as predecessor activities. This is possible


only if nodes 6 and 6l are one and the same. So, rename node 6l as node 6.
Then we get

D F
3 5 6!

and

4
E

6
G 7
F
5

248
G is the last activity.

Putting all the pieces together, we obtain the following diagram the
project network:

C 4
Start event E End event
A B
1 2 3 G
6 7

D 5 F

The diagram is validated by referring to the given data.

Note: An important point may be observed for the above diagram.


Consider the following parts in the diagram

C E
3 4 6

and

D F
3 5 6l

We took nodes 6 and 6l as one and the same. Instead, we can retain
them as different nodes. Then, in order to provide connectivity to the
network, we join nodes 6l and 6 by a dummy activity. Then we arrive at
the following diagram for the project network:

E
Start event C 4
6
G
1 2 3 dummy
A B
activity
7
D
F
5 6l
!
End event

249
Questions

1. Explain the terms: event, predecessor event, successor event, activity,


dummy activity, network.
2. Construct the network diagram for the following project:

Immediate
Activity Predecessor
Activity
A -
B -
C A
D B

E A

F C, D

G E
H E
I F, G
J H, I

****

250
Lesson 4 - Critical Path Method (CPM)

Lesson Outline

ӹӹ The concepts of critical path and critical activities


ӹӹ Location of the critical path
ӹӹ Evaluation of the project completion time

Learning Objectives

After reading this lesson you should be able to

ӹӹ understand the definitions of critical path and critical activities


ӹӹ identify critical path and critical activities
ӹӹ determine the project completion time

Introduction

The critical path method (CPM) aims at the determination of the


time to complete a project and the important activities on which a manager
shall focus attention.

Assumption For Cpm

In CPM, it is assumed that precise time estimate is available for


each activity.

Project Completion Time

From the start event to the end event, the time required to complete
all the activities of the project in the specified sequence is known as the
project completion time.

251
Path In A Project

A continuous sequence, consisting of nodes and activities


alternatively, beginning with the start event and stopping at the end event
of a network is called a path in the network.

Critical Path And Crtical Activities

Consider all the paths in a project, beginning with the start


event and stopping at the end event. For each path, calculate the time of
execution, by adding the time for the individual activities in that path.

The path with the largest time is called the critical path and the
activities along this path are called the critical activities or bottleneck
activities. The activities are called critical because they cannot be delayed.
However, a non-critical activity may be delayed to a certain extent. Any
delay in a critical activity will delay the completion of the whole project.
However, a certain permissible delay in a non –critical activity will not
delay the completion of the whole project. It shall be noted that delay in a
non-critical activity beyond a limit would certainly delay the completion
the whole project. Sometimes, there may be several critical paths for a
project. A project manager shall pay special attention to critical activities.

Problem 1

The following details are available regarding a project:

Predecessor
Activity Duration (Weeks)
Activity
A - 3

B A 5

C A 7

D B 10

E C 5

F D,E 4

252
Determine the critical path, the critical activities and the project
completion time.

Solution

First let us construct the network diagram for the given project. We
mark the time estimates along the arrows representing the activities. We
obtain the following diagram:

Start event B 3 D End event


5 10
A
1 2
3 F
5 6
C 4
7 E
5
4

Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are two such paths for the given project. They are
as follows:

Path I

A B D F
1 2 3 5 6
3 5 10 4

with a time of 3 + 5 + 10 + 4 = 22 weeks.

Path II

A C E F
1 2 4 5 6
3 7 5 4

with a time of 3 + 7 + 5 + 4 = 19 weeks.

Compare the times for the two paths. Maximum of {22,19} = 22.
We see that path I has the maximum time of 22 weeks. Therefore, path
I is the critical path. The critical activities are A, B, D and F. The project

253
completion time is 22 weeks.
We notice that C and E are non- critical activities.
Time for path I - Time for path II = 22- 19 = 3 weeks.

Therefore, together the non- critical activities can be delayed upto


a maximum of 3 weeks, without delaying the completion of the whole
project.

Problem 2

Find out the completion time and the critical activities for the
following project:
D
5
2 20 1

G 8
A
8 E H 11 K 6
B 6 8 10
1 3
10 16
14
1 1

I L
7 5
C
J 9
F 10 1

7
4 25

Solution

In all, we identify 4 paths, beginning with the start node of 1 and


terminating at the end node of 10. They are as follows:

Path I

A D G K
1 2 5 8 10
8 20 8 6

Time for the path = 8 + 20 + 8 + 6 = 42 units of time.

254
Path II

B E H K
1 3 6 8 10
10 16 11 6

Time for the path = 10 + 16 + 11 + 6 = 43 units of time.

Path III

B E I L
1 3 6 9 10
10 16 14 5

Time for the path = 10 + 16 + 14 + 5 = 45 units of time.

Path IV

C F J L
1 4 7 9 10
7 25 10 5

Time for the path = 7 + 25 + 10 + 5 = 47 units of time.

Compare the times for the four paths. Maximum of {42,


43, 45, 47} = 47. We see that the following path has the maximum
time and so it is the critical path:

C F J L
1 4 7 9 10
7 25 10 5

The critical activities are C, F, J and L. The non-critical activities


are A, B, D, E, G, H, I and K. The project completion time is 47
units of time.
Problem 3

255
Draw the network diagram and determine the critical path for the
following project:

Activity Time estimate (Weeks)


1- 2 5
1- 3 6

1- 4 3

2 -5 5
3 -6 7

3 -7 10

4 -7 4

5 -8 2

6 -8 5
7 -9 6
8 -9 4

Solution

We have the following network diagram for the project:

D 5
2
5 1
H
2
A
5
1 B E 6
I 8
K
3
6 7 1
3 1
4 9
1

10 J
3 C F
6
G 7
4
4

256
Solution

We assert that there are 4 paths, beginning with the start node of 1
and terminating at the end node of 9. They are as follows:

Path I

A D H K 9
1 2 5 8
5 5 2 4

Time for the path = 5 + 5 + 2 + 4 = 16 weeks.

Path II

B E I K 9
1 3 6 8
6 7 5 4

Time for the path = 6 + 7 + 5 + 4 = 22 weeks.

Path III

B F J
1 3 7 9
6 10 6

Time for the path = 6 + 10 + 6 = 16 weeks.

Path IV

C 4 5
1 4 7 9
3 4 6

Time for the path = 3 + 4 + 6 = 13 weeks.

Compare the times for the four paths. Maximum of {16, 22, 16, 13}
= 22. We see that the following path has the maximum time and so it is the
critical path:

257
D E I K
1 3 6 8 9
6 7 5 4

The critical activities are B, E, I and K. The non-critical activities are A, C,


D, F, G, H and J. The project completion time is 22 weeks.

Questions

1. Explain the terms: critical path, critical activities.


2. The following are the time estimates and the precedence relationships
of the activities in a project network:

IMMEDIATE
time estimate
Activity Predecessor
(weeks)
Activity
A - 4

B - 7

C - 3

D A 6

E B 4

F B 7

G C 6

H E 10

I D 3

J F, G 4

K H, I 2

Draw the project network diagram. Determine the critical path and the
project completion time.

****

258
Lesson 5 - Pert

Lesson Outline

ӹӹ The Concept Of Pert


ӹӹ Estimates Of The Time Of An Activity
ӹӹ Determination Of Critical Path
ӹӹ Probability Estimates
ӹӹ Normal Probability Distribution Table

Learning Objectives

After reading this lesson you should be able to

ӹӹ Understand the importance of PERT


ӹӹ Locate the critical path
ӹӹ Determine the project completion time
ӹӹ Find out the probability of completion of a project before a
stipulated time
ӹӹ Use the normal probability distribution table

Introduction

Programme Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) is a tool that


would help a project manager in project planning and control. It would
enable him in continuously monitoring a project and taking corrective
measures wherever necessary. This technique involves statistical methods.

Assumptions for Pert

Note that in CPM, the assumption is that precise time estimate is


available for each activity in a project. However, one finds most of the
times that this is not practically possible.

259
In PERT, we assume that it is not possible to have precise time
estimate for each activity and instead, probabilistic estimates of time
alone are possible. A multiple time estimate approach is followed here. In
probabilistic time estimate, the following 3 types of estimate are possible:

Pessimistic time estimate ( t p )


Optimistic time estimate ( to )
Most likely time estimate ( tm )

The optimistic estimate of time is based on the assumption that


an activity will not involve any difficulty during execution and it can be
completed within a short period. On the other hand, a pessimistic estimate
is made on the assumption that there would be unexpected problems
during the execution of an activity and hence it would consume more
time. The most likely time estimate is made in between the optimistic and
the pessimistic estimates of time. Thus the three estimates of time have the
relationship
to ≤ t m ≤ t p

Practically speaking, neither the pessimistic nor the optimistic


estimate may hold in reality and it is the most likely time estimate that is
expected to prevail in almost all cases. Therefore, it is preferable to give
more weight to the most likely time estimate.

We give a weight of 4 to most likely time estimate and a weight of 1


each to the pessimistic and optimistic time estimates. We arrive at a time
estimate ( te ) as the weighted average of these estimates as follows:

to + 4 t m + t p
te =
6

Since we have taken 6 units ( 1 for t p , 4 for tm and 1 for to ), we


divide the sum by 6. With this time estimate, we can determine the project
completion time as applicable for CPM.

Since PERT involves the average of three estimates of time for each
activity, this method is very practical and the results from PERT will be
have a reasonable amount of reliability.

260
Measure Of Certainty

The 3 estimates of time are such that

to ≤ t m ≤ t p

Therefore the range for the time estimate is t p − to .

The time taken by an activity in a project network follows


a distribution with a standard deviation of one sixth of the range,
approximately.

t p − to
i.e., The standard deviation = σ =
6
2
 t p − to 
and the variance = σ = 
2

 6 
The certainty of the time estimate of an activity can be analysed with
the help of the variance. The greater the variance, the more uncertainty in
the time estimate of an activity.

Problem 1

Two experts A and B examined an activity and arrived at the


following time estimates.

Time Estimate
Expert
to tm tp

A 4 6 8

B 4 7 10

Determine which expert is more certain about his estimates of


time:

Solution
2
 t −t 
Variance ( σ ) in time estimates =  p o 
2

 6 

261
2
8−4 4
In the case of expert A, the variance =   =
 6  9
2
 10 − 4 
As regards expert B, the variance =   =1
 6 

So, the variance is less in the case of A. Hence, it is concluded that


the expert A is more certain about his estimates of time.

Determination of Project Completion Time in PERT

Problem 2

Find out the time required to complete the following project and
the critical activities:
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
Predecessor
Activity time estimate time estimate time estimate
Activity
(to days) (tm days) (tp days)

A - 2 4 6

B A 3 6 9

C A 8 10 12

D B 9 12 15

E C 8 9 10

F D, E 16 21 26

G D, E 19 22 25

H F 2 5 8

I G 1 3 5

Solution

From the three time estimates t p , tm and to , calculate te for each


activity. We obtain the following table:

262
Optimistic 4 x Most Pessimistic Time estimate
to+ 4tm
Activity time likely time time
+ tp to + 4 t m + t p
estimate (to) estimate estimate (tp) te =
6

A 2 16 6 24 4

B 3 24 9 36 6

C 8 40 12 60 10

D 9 48 15 72 12

E 8 36 10 54 9

F 16 84 26 126 21

G 19 88 25 132 22

H 2 20 8 30 5

I 1 12 5 18 3

Using the single time estimates of the activities, we get the


following network diagram for the project.

3 F 6
B
12 21
A 6 5
1 2 5 I
4 8
10 E
22 3
9
4 7

Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are four such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:

263
Path I

A B D F H
1 2 3 5 6 8
4 6 12 21 5

Time for the path: 4+6+12+21+5 = 48 days.

Path II

A B D G I
1 2 3 5 7 8
4 6 12 6 6 3

Time for the path: 4+6+12+ 6+3 = 31 days.

Path III
A C E F H
1 2 4 5 6 8
4 10 3 9 21 5
7

Time for the path: 4+10+9+ 21+5 = 49 days.

Path IV
A C E G I
1 2 4 5 7 8
4 10 9 6 6 3

Time for the path: 4+10+9+ 6+3 = 32 days.


Compare the times for the four paths.
Maximum of {48, 31, 49, 32} = 49.
We see that Path III has the maximum time.
Therefore the critical path is Path III. i.e., 1 2 4 5 6 8.
The critical activities are A, C, E, F and H.
The non-critical activities are B, D, G and I.
Project time (Also called project length) = 49 days.

Problem 3

Find out the time, variance and standard deviation of the project
with the following time estimates in weeks:

264
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
Activity time estimate time estimate time estimate
(to) (tm) (tp)

1-2 3 6 9

1-6 2 5 8

2-3 6 12 18

2-4 4 5 6

3-5 8 11 14

4-5 3 7 11

6-7 3 9 15

5-8 2 4 6

7-8 8 16 18

Solution

From the three time estimates t p , tm and to , calculate te for each


activity. We obtain the following table:

Optimistic
4 x Most Pessimistic
time to+ 4tm Time estimate
Activity likely time time estimate t + 4 tm + t p
stimate + tp te = o
estimate (tp) 6
(to)

1-2 3 24 9 36 6

1-6 2 20 8 30 5

2-3 6 48 18 72 12

2-4 4 20 6 30 5

3-5 8 44 14 66 11

265
4-5 3 28 11 42 7

6-7 3 36 15 54 9

5-8 2 16 6 24 4

7-8 8 64 18 90 15

With the single time estimates of the activities, we get the following
network diagram for the project.

C 3 F
11
12
2 5
A G
6 5 7 4
4
1
8
B H
5
E 15
6
7
9
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping with the
end node. There are three such paths for the given project. They are as
follows:

Path I

A C F I
1 2 3 5 8
6 12 11 4

Time for the path: 6+12+11+4 = 33 weeks.

Path II

A D G I
1 2 4 5 8
6 5 3 7 4

Time for the path: 6+5+7+ 4= 22 weeks.

Path III

266
B E H
1 6 7 8
5 9 3 15

Time for the path: 5+9+15 = 29 weeks.


Compare the times for the three paths.
Maximum of {33, 22, 29} = 33.
It is noticed that Path I has the maximum time.
Therefore the critical path is Path I. i.e., 1 2 3 5 8
The critical activities are A, C, F and I.
The non-critical activities are B, D, G and H.
Project time = 33 weeks.

Calculation of Standard Deviation and Variance for the Critical


Activities:

Pessimistic
Optimistic Most likely Standard
Critical time Range Variance 2
time estimate timeestimate deviation =  t −t 
Activity estimate (tp - to) t p − to σ 2 =  p o 
(to) (tm) σ=  6 
(tp) 6

A: 1 2 3 6 9 6 1 1

C: 2 3 6 12 18 12 2 4

F: 3 5 8 11 14 6 1 1

I: 5 8 2 4 6 4 2/3 4/9

Variance of project time (Also called Variance of project length) =


Sum of the variances for the critical activities = 1+4+1+ 4/9 = 58/9 Weeks.
Standard deviation of project time = √Variance = √58/9 = 2.54 weeks.

Problem 4

A project consists of seven activities with the following time


estimates. Find the probability that the project will be completed in 30
weeks or less.

267
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
Predecessor
Activity time estimate time estimate time estimate
Activity
(to days) (tm days) (tp days)
A - 2 5 8
B A 2 3 4
C A 6 8 10
D A 2 4 6
E B 2 6 10
F C 6 7 8
G D, E, F 6 8 10
Solution

From the three time estimates , and , calculate for each activity.
The results are furnished in the following table:

Optimistic Pessimistic
4 x Most
time time to+ 4tm Time estimate
Activity likely time t + 4 tm + t p
estimate estimate + tp te = o
estimate 6
(to) (tp)

A 2 20 8 30 5
B 2 12 4 18 3
C 6 32 10 48 8
D 2 16 6 24 4
E 2 24 10 36 6
F 6 28 8 42 7
G 6 32 10 48 8

With the single time estimates of the activities, the following


network diagram is constructed for the project.

3
B
3 6
4
E
C 7
A 8 F G
1 2 D 6
5
5 4 8

268
Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are three such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:

Path I

A B E G
1 2 3 5 6
5 3 4
6 8 8

Time for the path: 5+3+6+8 = 22 weeks.

Path II

A C F G
1 2 4 5 6
5 8 4 7 8 8

Time for the path: 5+8+7+ 8 = 28 weeks.

Path III

A D G
1 2 5 6
5 4 4 8

Time for the path: 5+4+8 = 17 weeks.

Compare the times for the three paths.


Maximum of {22, 28, 17} = 28.
It is noticed that Path II has the maximum time.
Therefore the critical path is Path II. i.e., 1 2 4 5 6.
The critical activities are A, C, F and G.
The non-critical activities are B, D and E.
Project time = 28 weeks.

Calculation of Standard Deviation and Variance for the


Critical Activities:

269
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic Standard
Variance
Critical time time time Range deviation =
2
Activity estimate estimate estimate (tp -to)  t −t 
t p − to σ = p o 
2

(to) (tm) (tp) σ=  6 


6

A: 1 2 2 5 8 6 1 1

2 4
C: 2 4 6 8 10 4
3 9

F: 4 5 6 7 8 2 1 1
3 9

2 4
G: 5 6 6 8 10 4
3 9

Standard deviation of the critical path = √2 = 1.414

The standard normal variate is given by the formula

Given value of t − Expected value of t in the critical path


Z=
SD for the critical path

30 − 28
So we get Z = = 1.414
1.414

We refer to the Normal Probability Distribution Table.


Corresponding to Z = 1.414, we obtain the value of 0.4207
We get 0.5 + 0.4207 = 0. 9207

Therefore the required probability is 0.92


i.e., There is 92% chance that the project will be completed before 30 weeks.
In other words, the chance that it will be delayed beyond 30 weeks is 8%

270
Questions

1. Explain how time of an activity is estimated in PERT.


2. Explain the measure of certainty in PERT.
3. The estimates of time in weeks of the activities of a project are as
follows:

Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic


Predecessor
Activity estimate of estimate of estimate of
Activity
time time time

A - 2 4 6

B A 8 11 20

C A 10 15 20

D B 12 18 24

E C 8 13 24

F C 4 7 16

G D,F 14 18 28

H E 10 12 14

I G,H 7 10 19

Determine the critical activities and the project completion time.

4. Draw the network diagram for the following project. Determine the
time, variance and standard deviation of the project.:

271
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
Predecessor
Activity estimate of estimate of estimate of
Activity
time time time

A - 12 14 22

B - 16 17 24

C A 14 15 16

D A 13 18 23

E B 16 18 20

F D,E 13 14 21

G C,F 6 8 10

5. Consider the following project with the estimates of time in weeks:

Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic


Predecessor
Activity estimate of estimate of estimate of
Activity
time time time

A - 2 4 6

B - 3 5 7

C A 5 6 13

D A 4 8 12

E B,C 5 6 13

F D,E 6 8 14

Find the probability that the project will be completed in 27 weeks.

272
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION TABLE

Area Under Standard Normal Distribution

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 0.0000 0.0040 0.0080 0.0120 0.0160 0.0199 0.0239 0.0279 0.0319 0.0359

0.1 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0.0714 0.0753

0.2 0.0793 0.0832 0.0871 0.0910 0.0948 0.0987 0.1026 0.1064 0.1103 0.1141

0.3 0.1179 0.1217 0.1255 0.1293 0.1331 0.1368 0.1406 0.1443 0.1480 0.1517
0.4 0.1554 0.1591 0.1628 0.1664 0.1700 0.1736 0.1772 0.1808 0.1844 0.1879
0.5 0.1915 0.1950 0.1985 0.2019 0.2054 0.2088 0.2123 0.2157 0.2190 0.2224
0.6 0.2257 0.2291 0.2324 0.2357 0.2389 0.2422 0.2454 0.2486 0.2517 0.2549

0.7 0.2580 0.2611 0.2642 0.2673 0.2704 0.2734 0.2764 0.2794 0.2823 0.2852

0.8 0.2881 0.2910 0.2939 0.2967 0.2995 0.3023 0.3051 0.3078 0.3106 0.3133
0.9 0.3159 0.3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.3289 0.3315 0.3340 0.3365 0.3389
1.0 0.3413 0.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.3508 0.3531 0.3554 0.3577 0.3599 0.3621
1.1 0.3643 0.3665 0.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.3770 0.3790 0.3810 0.3830
1.2 0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.3980 0.3997 0.4015
1.3 0.4032 0.4049 0.4066 0.4082 0.4099 0.4115 0.4131 0.4147 0.4162 0.4177

1.4 0.4192 0.4207 0.4222 0.4236 0.4251 0.4265 0.4279 0.4292 0.4306 0.4319

1.5 0.4332 0.4345 0.4357 0.4370 0.4382 0.4394 0.4406 0.4418 0.4429 0.4441

1.6 0.4452 0.4463 0.4474 0.4484 0.4495 0.4505 0.4515 0.4525 0.4535 0.4545

1.7 0.4554 0.4564 0.4573 0.4582 0.4591 0.4599 0.4608 0.4616 0.4625 0.4633

1.8 0.4641 0.4649 0.4656 0.4664 0.4671 0.4678 0.4686 0.4693 0.4699 0.4706

1.9 0.4713 0.4719 0.4726 0.4732 0.4738 0.4744 0.4750 0.4756 0.4761 0.4767

2.0 0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.4812 0.4817

273
2.1 0.4821 0.4826 0.4830 0.4834 0.4838 0.4842 0.4846 0.4850 0.4854 0.4857

2.2 0.4861 0.4864 0.4868 0.4871 0.4875 0.4878 0.4881 0.4884 0.4887 0.4890

2.3 0.4893 0.4896 0.4898 0.4901 0.4904 0.4906 0.4909 0.4911 0.4913 0.4916

2.4 0.4918 0.4920 0.4922 0.4925 0.4927 0.4929 0.4931 0.4932 0.4934 0.4936

2.5 0.4938 0.4940 0.4941 0.4943 0.4945 0.4946 0.4948 0.4949 0.4951 0.4952

2.6 0.4953 0.4955 0.4956 0.4957 0.4959 0.4960 0.4961 0.4962 0.4963 0.4964

2.7 0.4965 0.4966 0.4967 0.4968 0.4969 0.4970 0.4971 0.4972 0.4973 0.4974

2.8 0.4974 0.4975 0.4976 0.4977 0.4977 0.4978 0.4979 0.4979 0.4980 0.4981

2.9 0.4981 0.4982 0.4982 0.4983 0.4984 0.4984 0.4985 0.4985 0.4986 0.4986

3.0 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.4990 0.4990

****

274
Lesson 6 - Earliest And Latest Times

Lesson Outline

ӹӹ The Concepts Of Earliest And Latest Times


ӹӹ The Concept Of Slack
ӹӹ Numerical Problems

Learning Objectives

ӹӹ After reading this lesson you should be able to


ӹӹ Understand the concepts of earliest and latest times
ӹӹ Understand the concept of slack
ӹӹ Calculate the earliest and latest times
ӹӹ Find out the slacks
ӹӹ Identify the critical activities
ӹӹ Carry out numerical problems

Introduction

A project manager has the responsibility to see that a project is


completed by the stipulated date, without delay. Attention is focused on
this aspect in what follows.

Key concepts

Certain key concepts are introduced below.

Earliest Times Of An Activity

We can consider (i) Earliest Start Time of an activity and (ii) Earliest
Finish Time of an activity.

275
Earliest Start Time of an activity is the earliest possible time of
starting that activity on the condition that all the other activities preceding
to it were began at the earliest possible times.

Earliest Finish Time of an activity is the earliest possible time of


completing that activity. It is given by the formula.

The Earliest Finish Time of an activity = The Earliest Start Time of


the activity + The estimated duration to carry out that activity.

LATEST TIMES OF AN ACTIVITY

We can consider (i) Latest Finish Time of an activity and (ii) Latest
Start Time of an activity.

Latest Finish Time of an activity is the latest possible time of


completing that activity on the condition that all the other activities
succeeding it are carried out as per the plan of the management and
without delaying the project beyond the stipulated time.

Latest Start Time of an activity is the latest possible time of


beginning that activity. It is given by the formula

Latest Start Time of an activity = The Latest Finish Time of the


activity - The estimated duration to carry out that activity.

TOTAL FLOAT OF AN ACTIVITY

Float seeks to measure how much delay is acceptable. It sets up a


control limit for delay.

The total float of an activity is the time by which that activity can
be delayed without delaying the whole project. It is given by the formula

Total Float of an Activity = Latest Finish Time of the activity -


Earliest Finish Time of that activity.

It is also given by the formula


Total Float of an Activity = Latest Start Time of the activity - Earliest

276
Start Time of that activity.

Since a delay in a critical activity will delay the execution of the


whole project, the total float of a critical activity must be zero.

EXPECTED TIMES OF AN EVENT

An event occurs at a point of time. We can consider (i) Earliest


Expected Time of Occurrence of an event and (ii) Latest Allowable Time
of Occurrence an event.

The Earliest Expected Time of Occurrence of an event is the earliest


possible time of expecting that event to happen on the condition that all
the preceding activities have been completed.

The Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of an event is the latest


possible time of expecting that event to happen without delaying the
project beyond the stipulated time.

Procudure To Find The Earliest Expected Time Of An Event

Step 1
Take the Earliest Expected Time of Occurrence of the Start Event
as zero.

Step 2
For an event other than the Start Event, find out all paths in the
network which connect the Start node with the node representing the
event under consideration.

Step 3
In the “Forward Pass” (i.e., movement in the network from left to
right), find out the sum of the time durations of the activities in each path
identified in Step 2.

Step 4.
The path with the longest time in Step 3 gives the Earliest Expected
Time of Occurrence of the event
Working Rule for finding the earliest expected time of an event:

277
For an event under consideration, locate all the predecessor events
and identify their earliest expected times. With the earliest expected time
of each event, add the time duration of the activity connecting that event
to the event under consideration. The maximum among all these values
gives the Earliest Expected Time of Occurrence of the event.

Procudure To Find The Latest Allowable Time Of An Event

We consider the “Backward Pass” (i.e., movement in the network


from right to left).

The latest allowable time of occurrence of the End Node must be


the time of completion of the project. Therefore it shall be equal to the
time of the critical path of the project.

Step 1
Identify the latest allowable time of occurrence of the End Node.

Step 2
For an event other than the End Event, find out all paths in the
network which connect the End node with the node representing the event
under consideration.

Step 3
In the “Backward Pass” (i.e., movement in the network from right
to left), subtract the time durations of the activities along each such path.

Step 4
The Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of the event is determined
by the path with the longest time in Step 3. In other words, the smallest
value of time obtained in Step 3 gives the Latest Allowable Time of
Occurrence of the event.

Working Rule for finding the latest allowable time of an event:

For an event under consideration, locate all the successor events


and identify their latest allowable times. From the latest allowable time of
each successor event, subtract the time duration of the activity that begins
with the event under consideration. The minimum among all these values

278
gives the Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of the event.

Slack Of An Event

The allowable time gap for the occurrence of an event is known as


the slack of that event. It is given by the formula

Slack of an event = Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of the event -


Earliest Expected Time of Occurrence of that event.

Slack Of An Activity

The slack of an activity is the float of the activity.

Problem 1

The following details are available regarding a project:

Predecessor
Activity Duration (Weeks)
Activity
A - 12
B A 7
C A 11
D A 8
E A 6
F B 10
G C 9
H D, F 14
I E, G 13
J H, I 16

Determine the earliest and latest times, the total float for each
activity, the critical activities and the project completion time.

279
Solution

With the given data, we construct the following network diagram


for the project.

3
F
B 10
7 5 H
D
8 14
A
1 2 7 8
12
E I
6 16
11
6
C G
9
4

Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are four such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:

Path I

A B F H J
1 2 3 5 7 1
12 7 10 14 16

Time of the path = 12 + 7 + 10 + 14 + 16 = 59 weeks.

Path II

A D H J
1 2 5 14 7 16 8
12 8

Time of the path = 12 + 8 + 14 + 16 = 50 weeks.

Path III
A E I J
1 2 6 7 8
12 6 13 16

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Time of the path = 12 + 6 + 13 + 16 = 47 weeks.

Path IV

A C G I J
1 2 4 6 7 8
12 11 9 13 16

Time of the path = 12 + 11 + 9 + 13 + 16 = 61 weeks.

Compare the times for the four paths. Maximum of {51, 50, 47, 61} = 61.
We see that the maximum time of a path is 61 weeks.

Forward pass

Calculation of Earliest Expected Time of Occurrence of Events

Node Earliest Time of Occurrence of Node

1 0

2 Time for Node 1 + Time for Activity A = 0 + 12 = 12

3 Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity B = 12 + 7 = 19

4 Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity C = 12 + 11 = 23

Max {Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity D,


5
Time for Node 3 + Time for Activity F}
= Max {12 + 8, 19 + 10} = Max {20, 29} = 29

Max {Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity E,


6
Time for Node 4 + Time for Activity G}
= Max {12 + 6, 23 + 9} = Max {18, 32} = 32

Max {Time for Node 5 + Time for Activity H,


7
Time for Node 6 + Time for Activity I}
= Max {29 + 14, 32 + 13} = Max {43, 45} = 45

8 Time for Node 7 + Time for Activity J = 45 + 16 = 61

281
Using the above values, we obtain the Earliest Start Times of the
activities as follows:

Earliest Start Time


Activity
(Weeks)
A 0

B 12

C 12

D 12

E 12

F 19

G 23

H 29

I 32

J 45

Backward pass

Calculation of Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of Events

Node Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of Node

8 Maximum time of a path in the network = 61

7 Time for Node 8 - Time for Activity J = 61 -16 = 45

6 Time for Node 7 - Time for Activity I = 45 -13 = 32

5 Time for Node 7 - Time for Activity H = 45 -14 = 31

4 Time for Node 6 - Time for Activity G = 32 - 9 = 23

3 Time for Node 5 - Time for Activity F = 31- 10 = 21

282
Min {Time for Node 3 - Time for Activity B,
Time for Node 4 - Time for Activity C,
Time for Node 5 - Time for Activity D,
2
Time for Node 6 - Time for Activity E}
= Min {21 - 7, 23 - 11, 31 - 8, 32 - 6}
= Min {14, 12, 23, 26} = 12

1 Time for Node 2 - Time for Activity A = 12- 12 = 0

Using the above values, we obtain the Latest Finish Times of the
activities as follows:

Latest Finish Time


Activity
(Weeks)

J 61

I 45

H 45

G 32

F 31

E 32

D 31

C 23

B 21

A 12

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Calculation of Total Float for each activity:

Latest
Earliest Earliest Latest Total Float = Latest
Duration
Activity Start Finish Start Finish Time - Earliest
(Weeks) Finish
Time Time Time Finish Time
Time
A 12 0 12 0 12 0

B 7 12 19 14 21 2

C 11 12 23 12 23 0

D 8 12 20 23 31 11

E 6 12 18 26 32 14

F 10 19 29 21 31 2

G 9 23 32 23 32 0

H 14 29 43 31 45 2

I 13 32 45 32 45 0

J 16 45 61 45 61 0

The activities with total float = 0 are A, C, G, I and J. They are the
critical activities.
Project completion time = 61 weeks.

Problem 2

The following are the details of the activities in a project:

Predecessor Duration
Activity
Activity (Weeks)

A - 15

B A 17

C A 21

284
D B 19

E B 22

F C, D 18

G E, F 15

Calculate the earliest and latest times, the total float for each
activity and the project completion time.

Solution

The following network diagram is obtained for the given project.

3
B G
15
A 17 D 19
1 2 5 6
15
21 F
C 18
4

Consider the paths, beginning with the start node and stopping
with the end node. There are three such paths for the given project. They
are as follows:

Path I

A B E G
1 2 3 5 6
15 17 22 15

Time of the path = 15 + 17 + 22 + 15 = 69 weeks.

Path II

A B D F G
1 2 3 4 5 6
15 17 19 18 15

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Time of the path = 15 + 17 + 19 + 18 + 15 = 84 weeks.

Path III

A C F G
1 2 4 5 6
15 21 18 15

Time of the path = 15 + 21 + 18 + 15 = 69 weeks.

Compare the times for the three paths. Maximum of {69, 84, 69} = 84. We
see that the maximum time of a path is 84 weeks.

Forward pass

Calculation of Earliest Time of Occurrence of Events

Node Earliest Time of Occurrence of Node

1 0

2 Time for Node 1 + Time for Activity A = 0 + 15 = 15

3 Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity B = 15 + 17 = 32

Max {Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity C,


4 Time for Node 3 + Time for Activity D}
= Max {15 + 21, 32 + 19} = Max {36, 51} = 51

Max {Time for Node 3 + Time for Activity E,


5 Time for Node 4 + Time for Activity F}
= Max {32 + 22, 51 + 18} = Max {54, 69} = 69

6 Time for Node 5 + Time for Activity G = 69 + 15 = 84

286
Calculation of Earliest Time for Activities

Earliest Start Time


Activity
(Weeks)

A 0

B 15

C 15

D 32

E 32

F 51

G 69

Backward pass

Calculation of the Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of Events

Node Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of Node

6 Maximum time of a path in the network = 84

5 Time for Node 6 - Time for Activity G = 84 -15 = 69

4 Time for Node 5 - Time for Activity F = 69 - 18 = 51

Min {Time for Node 4 - Time for Activity D,


3 Time for Node 5 - Time for Activity E}
= Min {51 - 19, 69 - 22} = Min {32, 47} = 32

Min {Time for Node 3 - Time for Activity B,


2 Time for Node 4 - Time for Activity C}
= Min {32 - 17, 51 - 21} = Min {15, 30} = 15

1 Time for Node 2 - Time for Activity A = 15 - 15 = 0

287
Calculation of the Latest Finish Times of the activities

Latest Finish Time


Activity
(Weeks)
G 84

F 69

E 69

D 51
C 51

B 32

A 15

Calculation of Total Float for each activity:

Earliest Earliest Latest Latest Total Float = Latest


Duration
Activity Start Finish Start Finish Finish Time - Earliest
(Weeks)
Time Time Time Time Finish Time

A 15 0 15 0 15 0

B 17 15 32 15 32 0

C 21 15 36 30 51 15

D 19 32 51 32 51 0

E 22 32 54 47 69 15

F 18 51 69 51 69 0

G 15 69 84 69 84 0

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The activities with total float = 0 are A, B, D, F and G. They are the
critical activities.
Project completion time = 84 weeks.

Problem 3

Consider a project with the following details:

Name of Predecessor Duration


Activity Activity (Weeks)

A - 8

B A 13

C A 9

D A 12

E B 14

F B 8

G D 7

H C, F, G 12

I C, F, G 9

J E, H 10

K I, J 7

Determine the earliest and latest times, the total float for each
activity, the critical activities, the slacks of the events and the project
completion time.

289
Solution

The following network diagram is got for the given project:

E
3 6
14
B 8 H 10
13 F 12 J

A C I K 8
1 2 5 7
8 9 9 7
12 G
D 7
4

Path I

A B E J K
1 2 3 6 7 8
8 13 14 10 7

Time of the path = 8 + 13 + 14 + 10 + 7 = 52 weeks.

Path II

A B F H J K
1 2 3 5 6 7 8
8 13 8 12 10 7

Time of the path = 8 + 13 + 8 + 12 + 10 + 7 = 58 weeks.

Path III

A B F I K
1 2 3 5 7 8
8 3 8 9 7

Time of the path = 8 + 13 + 8 + 9 + 7 = 45 weeks.

290
Path IV

A C H J K
1 2 5 6 7 8
8 9 12 5 10 7

Time of the path = 8 + 9 + 12 + 10 + 7 = 46 weeks.

Path V

A C I K
1 2 5 7 8
8 9 5 9 7 6

Time of the path = 8 + 9 + 9 + 7 = 33 weeks.

Path VI

A D G H J K
1 2 4 5 6 7 7 8
8 12 7 12 10

Time of the path = 8 + 12 + 7 + 12 + 10 + 7 = 56 weeks.

Path VII

A D G I K
1 2 4 5 7 8
8 12 7 9 7

Time of the path = 8 + 12 + 7 + 9 + 7 = 43 weeks.


Compare the times for the three paths. Maximum of {52, 58, 45, 46, 33, 56,
43} = 58.
We see that the maximum time of a path is 58 weeks.

291
Forward pass

Calculation of Earliest Time of Occurrence of Events

Node Earliest Time of Occurrence of Node

1 0

2 Time for Node 1 + Time for Activity A = 0 + 8 = 8

3 Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity B = 8 + 13 = 21

4 Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity D = 8+ 12 = 20

Max {Time for Node 2 + Time for Activity C,


Time for Node 3 + Time for Activity F,
5
Time for Node 4 + Time for Activity G}
= Max { 8 + 9, 21 + 8 , 20 + 7 } = Max {17, 29, 27} = 29

Max {Time for Node 3 + Time for Activity E,


6 Time for Node 5 + Time for Activity H}
= Max {21 + 14 , 29 + 12} = Max {35, 41} = 41

Max {Time for Node 5 + Time for Activity I,


7 Time for Node 6 + Time for Activity J}
= Max {29 + 9, 41 + 10} = Max {38, 51} = 51

8 Time for Node 7 + Time for Activity J = 51+ 7 = 58

Earliest Start Times of the activities

Earliest Start Time


Activity
(Weeks)

A 0

B 8

292
C 8

D 8

E 21

F 21

G 20

H 29

I 29

J 41

K 51

Backward pass

Calculation of Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of Events

Node Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of Node

8 Maximum time of a path in the network = 58

7 Time for Node 8 - Time for Activity K = 58 -7 = 51

6 Time for Node 7 - Time for Activity J = 51 -10 = 41

Min {Time for Node 6 - Time for Activity H,


5 Time for Node 7 - Time for Activity I}
= Min {41 - 12, 51 - 9} = Min {29, 42} = 29

4 Time for Node 5 - Time for Activity G = 29 - 7 = 22

Min {Time for Node 5 - Time for Activity F,


3 Time for Node 6 - Time for Activity E}
= Min {29 - 8, 41 - 14} = Min {21, 27} = 21

293
Min {Time for Node 3 - Time for Activity B, Time for Node 4 -
Time for Activity D,
2
= Min {21 - 13, 22 - 12, 29 - 9}
= Min {8, 10, 20} = 8

1 Time for Node 2 - Time for Activity A = 8 - 8 = 0

Latest Finish Times of the activities

Latest Finish Time


Activity
(Weeks)

K 58

J 51

I 51

41
H

G 29

29
F

E 41

22
D

C 29

21
B

A 8

Calculation of Total Float for each activity:

294
Earliest Earliest Latest Latest Total Float = Latest
Duration
Activity Start Finish Start Finish Finish Time - Earliest
(Weeks)
Time Time Time Time Finish Time

A 8 0 8 0 8 0

B 13 8 21 8 21 0

C 9 8 17 20 29 12

D 12 8 20 10 22 2

E 14 21 35 27 41 6

F 8 21 29 21 29 0

G 7 20 27 22 29 2

H 12 29 41 29 41 0

I 9 29 38 42 51 13

J 10 41 51 41 51 0

K 7 51 58 51 58 0

The activities with total float = 0 are A, B, F, H, J and K. They are the
critical activities.
Project completion time = 58 weeks.

Calculation of slacks of the events

Slack of an event = Latest Allowable Time of Occurrence of the


event - Earliest Expected Time of Occurrence of that event.

295
Latest
Allowable
Event Earliest Expected Time Slack of
Time of
(Node) of Occurrence of Event the Event
Occurrence of
Event

1 0 0 0

2 8 8 0

3 21 21 0

4 20 22 2

5 29 29 0

6 41 41 0

7 51 51 0

8 58 58 0

Interpretation

On the basis of the slacks of the events, it is concluded that the


occurrence of event 4 may be delayed upto a maximum period of 2 weeks
while no other event cannot be delayed.

Questions

1. Explain the terms: The earliest and latest times of the activities of a
project.
2. Explain the procedure to find the earliest expected time of an event.
3. Explain the procedure to find the latest allowable time of an event.
4. What is meant by the slack of an activity? How will you determine it?
5. Consider the project with the following details:

296
activity Duration
(weeks)

1 2 1

2 3 3

2 4 7

3 4 5

3 5 8

4 5 4

5 6 1

Determine the earliest and the latest times of the activities. Calculate
the total float for each activity and the slacks of the events.

****

297
Lesson 7 - Crashing Of A Project

Lesson Outline

ӹӹ The Idea Of Crashing Of A Project


ӹӹ The Criterion Of Selection Of An Activity For Crashing
ӹӹ Numerical Problems

Learning Objectives

After reading this lesson you should be able to

ӹӹ understand the concept of crashing of a project


ӹӹ choose an activity for crashing
ӹӹ work out numerical problems

The Meaning Of Crashing

The process of shortening the time to complete a project is called


crashing and is usually achieved by putting into service additional labour
or machines to one activity or more activities. Crashing involves more
costs. A project manager would like to speed up a project by spending as
minimum extra cost as possible. Project crashing seeks to minimize the
extra cost for completion of a project before the stipulated time.

Steps In Project Crashing

Assumption: It is assumed that there is a linear relationship between time


and cost.

Let us consider project crashing by the critical path method. The


following four-step procedure is adopted.

298
Step 1
Find the critical path with the normal times and normal costs for
the activities and identify the critical activities.

Step 2
Find out the crash cost per unit time for each activity in the network.
This is calculated by means of the following formula.

Crash cos t Crash cos t − Normal cos t


=
Time period Normal time − Crash time

Activity Cost

Crash Cost
Crash time & Cost

Normal Cost
Normal time & Cost

Activity Time
Crash Time Normal Time

Step 3
Select an activity for crashing. The criteria for the selection is as
follows:

Select the activity on the critical path with the smallest crash cost
per unit time. Crash this activity to the maximum units of time as may be
permissible by the given data.

Crashing an activity requires extra amount to be spent. However,


even if the company is prepared to spend extra money, the activity time
cannot be reduced beyond a certain limit in view of several other factors.

299
In step 1, we have to note that reducing the time of on activity along the
critical path alone will reduce the completion time of a project. Because of
this reason, we select an activity along the critical path for crashing.
In step 3, we have to consider the following question:

If we want to reduce the project completion time by one unit, which


critical activity will involve the least additional cost?

On the basis of the least additional cost, a critical activity is chosen


for crashing. If there is a tie between two critical activities, the tie can be
resolved arbitrarily.

Step 4
After crashing an activity, find out which is the critical path with
the changed conditions. Sometimes, a reduction in the time of an activity
in the critical path may cause a non-critical path to become critical. If the
critical path with which we started is still the longest path, then go to Step
3. Otherwise, determine the new critical path and then go to Step 3.

Problem 1
A project has activities with the following normal and crash times
and cost: .
Normal Crash Normal Crash
Predecessor
Activity Time Time Cost Cost
Activity
(Weeks) (Weeks) (Rs.) (Rs.)

A - 4 3 8,000 9,000

B A 5 3 16,000 20,000

C A 4 3 12,000 13,000

D B 6 5 34,000 35,000

E C 6 4 42,000 44,000

F D 5 4 16,000 16,500

G E 7 4 66,000 72,000

H G 4 3 2,000 5,000

300
Determine a crashing scheme for the above project so that the total
project time is reduced by 3 weeks.

Solution

We have the following network diagram for the given project with
normal costs:

E G
3 5 7
C 6 7 H
4 4 3
4 4
A
1 2
4 8
5 F 5
B D
4 6 5
6 4

Beginning from the Start Node and terminating with the End Node, there
are two paths for the network as detailed below:

Path I

A B D F
1 2 5 7 8
4 5 6 5

The time for the path = 4 + 5 + 6 + 5 = 20 weeks.

Path II

A B D F F
1 2 3 5 7 8
4 5 6 5 5

The time for the path = 4 + 4 + 6 + 7 + 4 = 25 weeks.


Maximum of {20, 25} = 25.

Therefore Path II is the critical path and the critical activities are A,
C, E, G and H. The non-critical activities are B, D and F.

301
Given that the normal time of activity A is 4 weeks while its crash
time is 3 weeks. Hence the time of this activity can be reduced by one
week if the management is prepared to spend an additional amount.
However, the time cannot be reduced by more than one week even if the
management may be prepared to spend more money. The normal cost of
this activity is Rs. 8,000 whereas the crash cost is Rs. 9,000. From this, we
see that crashing of activity A by one week will cost the management an
extra amount of Rs. 1,000. In a similar fashion, we can work out the crash
cost per unit time for the other activities also. The results are provided in
the following table.

Crash
Crash Normal
Cost
Normal Crash Normal Crash cost - Time -
Activity per
Time Time Cost Cost Normal Crash
unit
Cost Time
time

A 4 3 8,000 9,000 1,000 1 1,000

B 5 3 16,000 20,000 4,000 2 2,000

C 4 3 12,000 13,000 1,000 1 1,000

D 6 5 34,000 35,000 1,000 1 1,000

E 6 4 42,000 44,000 2,000 2 1,000

F 5 4 16,000 16,500 500 1 500

G 7 4 66,000 72,000 6,000 1 6,000

H 4 3 2,000 5,000 3,000 1 3,000

A non-critical activity can be delayed without delaying the


execution of the whole project. But, if a critical activity is delayed, it will
delay the whole project. Because of this reason, we have to select a critical
activity for crashing. Here we have to choose one of the activities A, C, E,
G and H The crash cost per unit time works out as follows:

302
Rs. 1,000 for A; Rs. 1,000 for C; Rs. 1,000 for E; Rs. 6,000 for G; Rs. 3,000
for H.

The maximum among them is Rs. 1,000. So we have to choose an


activity with Rs.1,000 as the crash cost per unit time. However, there
is a tie among A, C and E. The tie can be resolved arbitrarily. Let us select
A for crashing. We reduce the time of A by one week by spending an extra
amount of Rs. 1,000.

After this step, we have the following network with the revised
times for the activities:

E 5 G
3 7
C 4 6 4 7 3 H
4 4
A 2
1
3 8
5 F 5
B D
4 6 5
6
4

The revised time for Path I = 3 + 5 + 6 + 5 = 19 weeks.


The time for Path II = 3 + 4 + 6 + 7 + 4 = 24 weeks.
Maximum of {19, 24} = 24.

Therefore Path II is the critical path and the critical activities are
A, C, E, G and H. However, the time for A cannot be reduced further.
Therefore, we have to consider C, E, G and H for crashing. Among them,
C and E have the least crash cost per unit time. The tie between C and E
can be resolved arbitrarily. Suppose we reduce the time of C by one week
with an extra cost of Rs. 1,000.
After this step, we have the following network with the revised times for
the activities:
E G
3 5 7
C 6 4 7 H
4 3
3 4
A
1 2
3 8
5 F 5
B D
4 6 5
6
4

303
The time for Path I = 3 + 5 + 6 + 5 = 19 weeks.
The time for Path II = 3 + 3 + 6 + 7 + 4 = 23 weeks.
Maximum of {19, 23} = 23.

Therefore Path II is the critical path and the critical activities are
A, C, E, G and H. Now the time for A or C cannot be reduced further.
Therefore, we have to consider E, G and H for crashing. Among them, E
has the least crash cost per unit time. Hence we reduce the time of E by one
week with an extra cost of Rs. 1,000.

By the given condition, we have to reduce the project time by 3


weeks. Since this has been accomplished, we stop with this step.

Result: We have arrived at the following crashing scheme for the given
project:

Reduce the time of A, C and E by one week each.


Project time after crashing is 22 weeks.
Extra amount required = 1,000 + 1,000 + 1,000 = Rs. 3,000.

Problem 2

The management of a company is interested in crashing of the


following project by spending an additional amount not exceeding Rs.
2,000. Suggest how this can be accomplished.

Normal Crash Normal Crash


Predecessor
Activity Time Time Cost Cost
Activity
(Weeks) (Weeks) (Rs.) (Rs.)

A - 7 6 15,000 18,000

B A 12 9 11,000 14,000

C A 22 21 18,500 19,000

D B 11 10 8,000 9,000

E C, D 6 5 4,000 4,500

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Solution

We have the following network diagram for the given project with
normal costs:

3 D
B
12 11
A C E
1 2 4 5
7 22 6

There are two paths for this project as detailed below:

Path I

A B D E
1 2 3 4 5
7 12 11 6

The time for the path = 7 + 12 + 11 + 6 = 36 weeks.

Path II

A C E
1 2 4 5
7 22 6

The time for the path = 7 + 22 + 6 = 35 weeks.

Maximum of {36, 35} = 36.

Therefore Path I is the critical path and the critical activities are A,
B, D and E. The non-critical activity is C.

The crash cost per unit time for the activities in the project are provided
in the following table.

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Crash Crash
Normal
cost - Cost
Normal Crash Normal Crash Time -
Activity Normal per
Time Cost Cost Crash
Cost unit
Time
time

A 7 6 15,000 18,000 3,000 1 3,000

B 12 9 11,000 14,000 3,000 3 1,000

C 22 21 18,500 19,000 500 1 500

D 11 10 8,000 9,000 1,000 1 1,000

E 6 5 4,000 4,500 500 1 500

We have to choose one of the activities A, B, D and E for crashing.


The crash cost per unit time is as follows:

Rs. 3,000 for A; Rs. 1,000 for B; Rs. 1,000 for D; Rs. 500 for E.

The least among them is Rs. 500. So we have to choose the activity
E for crashing. We reduce the time of E by one week by spending an extra
amount of Rs. 500.

After this step, we have the following network with the revised
times for the activities:

3 D
B
12 11
A C E
1 2 4 5
7 22 5

The revised time for Path I = 7 + 12 + 11 + 5 = 35 weeks.


The time for Path II = 7 + 22 + 5 = 34 weeks.
Maximum of {35, 34} = 35.

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Therefore Path I is the critical path and the critical activities are A,
B, D and E. The non-critical activity is C.

The time of E cannot be reduced further. So we cannot select it


for crashing. Next B and have the smallest crash cost per unit time. Let us
select B for crashing. Let us reduce the time of E by one week at an extra
cost of Rs. 1,000.

After this step, we have the following network with the revised times for
the activities:

3
D
B
11 11
A C E
1 2 4 5
7 22 5

The revised time for Path I = 7 + 11 + 11 + 5 = 34 weeks.


The time for Path II = 7 + 22 + 5 = 34 weeks.
Maximum of {34, 34} = 34.

Since both paths have equal times, both are critical paths. So, we
can choose an activity for crashing from either of them depending on the
least crash cost per unit time. In path I, the activities are A, B, D and E. In
path II, the activities are A, C and E.

The crash cost per unit time is the least for activity C. So we select
C for crashing. Reduce the time of C by one week at an extra cost of Rs.
500.

By the given condition, the extra amount cannot exceed Rs. 2,000.
Since this state has been met, we stop with this step.

Result: The following crashing scheme is suggested for the given project:
Reduce the time of E, B and C by one week each.
Project time after crashing is 33 weeks.
Extra amount required = 500 + 1,000 + 500 = Rs. 2,000.

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Problem 3

The manager of a company wants to apply crashing for the following


project by spending an additional amount not exceeding Rs. 2,000. Offer
your suggestion to the manager.

Normal Crash Normal Crash


Predecessor
Activity Time Time Cost Cost
Activity
(Weeks) (Weeks) (Rs.) (Rs.)

A - 20 19 8,000 10,000

B - 15 14 16,000 19,000

C A 22 20 13,000 14,000

D A 17 15 7,500 9,000

E B 19 18 4,000 5,000

F C 28 27 3,000 4,000

G D, E 25 24 12,000 13,000

Solution

We have the following network diagram for the given project with
normal costs:

C
3 5
A 22 F
1 20 D 28

B 17 7
G
15
2
E 4 25
19

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There are three paths for this project as detailed below:

Path I

A C F
1 2 4 6
20 22 28

The time for the path = 20 + 22 + 28= 70 weeks.

Path II

A D G
1 2 5 6
20 17 25

The time for the path = 20 + 17 + 25= 62 weeks.

Path III

B E G
1 3 5 6
15 19 25

The time for the path = 15+19 +25 = 69 weeks.


Maximum of {70, 62, 69} = 70.

Therefore Path I is the critical path and the critical activities are A,
C and F. The non-critical activities are B, D, E and G.

The crash cost per unit time for the activities in the project are
provided in the following table

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Activity Normal Crash Normal Crash Crash Normal Crash
Time Time Cost Cost cost - Time - Cost
Normal Crash per
Cost Time unit
time

A 20 19 8,000 10,000 2,000 1 2,000

B 15 14 16,000 19,000 3,000 1 3,000

C 22 20 13,000 14,000 1,000 2 500

D 17 15 7,500 9,000 1,500 2 750

E 19 18 4,000 5,000 1,000 1 1,000

F 28 27 3,000 4,000 1,000 1 1,000

G 25 24 12,000 13,000 1,000 1 1,000

We have to choose one of the activities A, C and F for crashing. The


crash cost per unit time is as follows:

Rs. 2,000 for A; Rs. 500 for C; Rs. 1,000 for F.

The least among them is Rs. 500. So we have to choose the activity
C for crashing. We reduce the time of C by one week by spending an extra
amount of Rs. 500.

After this step, we have the following network with the revised times for
the activities:

3 C 5
A F
21
20 D 28
1

B 17 7
G
15
2 E 4 25
19

310
The revised time for Path I = 20 + 21 + 28= 69 weeks.
The time for Path II = 20 + 17 + 25= 62 weeks.
The time for Path III = 15+19 +25 = 69 weeks.
Maximum of {69, 62, 69} = 69.

Since paths I and III have equal times, both are critical paths. So,
we can choose an activity for crashing from either of them depending on
the least crash cost per unit time.

In path I, the activities are A, C and F. In path III, the activities are
B, E and G.

The crash cost per unit time is the least for activity C. So we select
C for crashing. Reduce the time of C by one week at an extra cost of Rs.
500.

After this step, we have the following network with the revised times for
the activities:

3 C 5
A F
20
20
1 D 28

B 17 7
G
15 E
2 4
25
19

The revised time for Path I = 20 + 20 + 28= 68 weeks.


The time for Path II = 20 + 17 + 25= 62 weeks.
The time for Path III = 15+19 +25 = 69 weeks.
Maximum of {68, 62, 69} = 69.

Therefore path III is the critical activities. Hence we have to select


an activity from Path III for crashing. We see that the crash cost per unit
time is as follows:

Rs. 3,000 for B; Rs. 1,000 for E; Rs. 1,000 for G.

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The least among them is Rs. 1,000. So we can select either E or G
for crashing. Let us select E for crashing. We reduce the time of E by one
week by spending an extra amount of Rs. 1,000.

By the given condition, the extra amount cannot exceed Rs. 2,000.
Since this condition has been reached, we stop with this step.

Result: The following crashing scheme is suggested for the given project:
Reduce the time of C by 2 weeks and that of E by one week.

Project time after crashing is 67 weeks.


Extra amount required = 2 x 500 + 1,000 = Rs. 2,000.

Questions

1. Explain the concept of crashing of a project.


2. Explain the criterion for selection of an activity for crashing.

****

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