Fiscal Federalism and State-Local Finance Series) Serdar Yilmaz and Farah Zahir - Intergovernmental Transfers in Federations
Fiscal Federalism and State-Local Finance Series) Serdar Yilmaz and Farah Zahir - Intergovernmental Transfers in Federations
Edited by
Serdar Yilmaz
Lead Public Sector Specialist, Governance Global Practice,
World Bank
Farah Zahir
Senior Economist, Governance Global Practice, World Bank
Published by
Edward Elgar Publishing Limited
The Lypiatts
15 Lansdown Road
Cheltenham
Glos GL50 2JA
UK
2
The architecture of intergovernmental transfers: principles and
practice in low- and middle-income countries 7
Roy W. Bahl Jr
3
Issues in intergovernmental fiscal transfers: public finance and
political economy considerations 21
Serdar Yilmaz and Farah Zahir
4
The practice of fiscal equalization: a political economy
clarification41
Bernard Dafflon and François Vaillancourt
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS IN
PART II
MATURE FEDERATIONS
5
The German model of addressing vertical and horizontal fiscal
imbalances64
Paul B. Spahn
6 The United States grant system 86
Howard A. Chernick
7
Federal finance arrangements in Canada: the challenges of
fiscal imbalance and natural resource rents 109
Marcelin Joanis and François Vaillancourt
8 Revenue and expenditure needs equalization: the Swiss answer 134
Bernard Dafflon
PART III
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS IN
EVOLVING FEDERATIONS
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS IN
PART IV
UNITARY FEDERATIONS
Index345
vii
Treasury. Jonathan has taught at the World Trade Institute’s Mile Masters
Programme in International Law and Economics and the Paris, Sciences
Po Institute. He has a Master’s in economics and management from
Columbia University, New York, a Bachelor’s in economics (Honours)
from the Australian National University and is a graduate of the Australian
Institute of Company Directors.
Bernard Dafflon was the Chief Economist at the Ministry of Local
Affairs in Fribourg, Germany (1977–91) and full-time Professor of Public
Economics at the University of Fribourg (1991–2013). He has worked as
an international consultant on decentralization policies and reforms in a
number of developed and developing countries. He is an expert on fiscal
federalism, local public finance and environmental policies.
Julian Folgar is an economist at the World Bank Group. Julian works on
various analytical projects including macro-fiscal areas, fiscal federalism
and debt sustainability. He received his undergraduate degree in econom-
ics from the Buenos Aires University (UBA), Argentina, and is about
to complete his Master’s degree in economics at UBA. He worked as a
consultant in macro-fiscal policy in the private sector, for the Congress
of Argentina, and for various international organizations (International
Labour Organization (ILO) and United Nations Economic Commission
for Latin America and Caribbean (CEPAL)). He also teaches public sector
economics at the UBA.
Marcelin Joanis holds a PhD in economics from the University of Toronto
and is currently a Full Professor of Economics at Polytechnique Montréal
and the Vice-President for Research of the Center for Interuniversity
Research and Analysis on Organizations (CIRANO), Canada. He also
serves as the Director of the Research Group on Globalization and
Management of Technology (GMT) at Polytechnique Montréal. A spe-
cialist in public economics, political economy and fiscal federalism, he
has published articles in, among others, Fiscal Studies, the Journal
of Development Economics, Public Choice, Economics and Politics and
Applied Economics, as well as several edited volumes and book chapters.
He has also worked as an economist at Finance Canada and Quebec’s
Commission on fiscal imbalance and as a Professor of Economics at the
Université de Sherbrooke.
Marco Larizza is a Senior Public Sector Specialist in the Governance
Global Practice at the World Bank. He is a contributing author of the
World Development Report 2017 ‘Governance and the Law’. His most
recent work focuses on transparency and anti-corruption initiatives in
Latin America and the Caribbean. Marco served as Visiting Fellow at the
xiii
Richard Bird
June 2019
xv
1.1 BACKGROUND
The last section of the book covers unitary federations: Kenya and
South Africa. In a federation sovereignty is shared between the centre
and the constituent units of the federation, whereas in a unitary country
The best transfer system is the one that achieves the policy objectives set
beforehand. The measurement of VFI is a scientific exercise; however,
addressing them is a political choice. This book presents resource materials
for researchers, practitioners, policymakers and students willing to under-
stand the choices made by different countries against the overarching prin-
ciples of needs, equity and efficiency for sharing of resources. The various
chapters capture empirical, theoretical and methodological contributions,
as well as case studies that illustrate important policy or methodological
lessons for future work.
Conceptual Issues
2.1 INTRODUCTION
2.2
NORMATIVE GUIDELINES AND THE
ARCHITECTURE OF INTERGOVERNMENTAL
TRANSFERS
Vertical sharing
Specified share of national Annual budgetary
Horizontal sharing or state government tax decision
Origin of collection A n.a.
(derivation)
Formula B E
Cost reimbursement C F
(matching)
Ad hoc D G
Notes:
For definitions of forms A–G, see text.
n.a. 5 not applicable.
Sources: Adapted from Bahl and Linn (1992) and Bahl and Bird (2018, p. 290).
In theory, the vertical fiscal imbalance is the difference between (a) the
amount that SNGs can raise from own-revenue sources if they exert a
‘normal’ revenue effort and (b) the amount they must spend to provide
a ‘minimum’ level of the government services that have been assigned to
them (Bahl and Bird, 2018, pp. 282–5). The gap for all subnational govern-
ment in the country is:
Shared Taxes
The shared tax approach is used in many low- and middle-income coun-
tries, but the specific practice varies widely in terms of which taxes are
shared and the size of the sharing rate. Indonesia shares 26 per cent of
all taxes with SNGs, the Philippines 40 per cent, Pakistan 57 per cent and
Mexico 20 per cent. In other countries, the sharing rate varies by tax. For
example, China shares 40 per cent of income taxes and 50 per cent of value
added taxes with provincial governments. Only 15 per cent of Kenya’s
revenues are mandated to be shared with SNGs.
The practice is similarly varied in the industrial countries. Australia
shares goods and services tax (GST) collections with SNGs, Germany
and Switzerland share 50 and 13 per cent of income taxes, respectively,
with states (lander and cantons) and Japan uses a complicated system of
revenue sharing with different sharing rates for several taxes. It is difficult
to find a ‘common’ practice (Kim et al., 2010).
The advantages of this approach in low- and middle-income countries
depend on whose glasses one is looking through, and on the specifics
of the tax sharing programme that is in place. SNGs as a class can ben-
efit from the shared tax approach, because it could give them access to a
broad-based and income-elastic tax base which their central government
or their constitution oftentimes denies them. The tax sharing approach
is transparent, usually stable enough over time to allow fiscal planning by
SNGs and can involve less ‘gaming’ of Congress to give them a larger share
than is the case for a discretionary allocation made by government in the
annual budget. To gain these benefits, however, SNGs must accept some of
the drawbacks to tax sharing, including vulnerability to changes in central
government tax policy. And, unless tax sharing rules are enshrined in the
constitution, they can be lowered by the central government.
There also are drawbacks to vertical sharing from the point of view
of the central government. In particular, budget management and fiscal
policy are made more difficult because SNGs are guaranteed a revenue
entitlement.
The other possibility for determining the vertical share is with discre-
tionary allocations made as part of the budget process. Under this
approach, the central government and/or the Congress can determine
that a particular expenditure programme, or all SNG expenditures, will
be funded by an intergovernmental transfer for the coming fiscal year
(or for multiple years). The discretionary budget approach is part of the
vertical sharing regime in most low- and middle-income countries. In
Kenya, for example, the vertical share for the major intergovernmental
transfer programme (‘equitable shares’) is determined as part of the
annual Division of Revenue Act. It is subject to a lower limit of 15 per
cent of total national revenues, and may be changed annually (Boex and
Smoke, Chapter 15). South Africa takes a similar approach in regulat-
ing transfers to subnational governments through the national budget
process.
A major advantage of the discretionary budget approach is that it allows
specific central programmes to be terminated when they are no longer
needed or are no longer meeting their objectives. Sometimes a sunset law is
imposed, requiring a thorough review of the programme as a requirement
for renewal.
Vertical shares that are established as discretionary budget allocations
raise a number of issues. Three are particularly important to note. First,
grant programmes tend to be owned, often by a line ministry, and so
they may have a champion with enough political clout to keep them
in play, even if their effectiveness is questionable. Or, if the champion
does not have significant influence, a grant programme might find itself
endangered, even if it is meeting its objectives. This raises the unfortunate
prospect of viable programmes being discontinued midstream for political
or administrative reasons (Shah, 2013). The South African system guards
against this problem by managing intergovernmental transfers with a
Mixed Models
Because countries are trying to do so many different things with their inter-
governmental transfer system, they often use both of these approaches to
vertical sharing. The tax sharing approach seems more suited for general
purpose aid for SNGs in decentralized countries, because it gives recipients
a more or less guaranteed base and tends toward untied grants. The annual
budget approach seems especially suited for conditional grants or special
purpose assistance, because these programmes can be more short-lived and
lend themselves better to earmarking for individual programmes.
Still, the practice varies widely as the following few examples illustrate.
Derivation
than poorer ones. This reinforces the disparities in the quality of public
services and infrastructure that already are better in many regions with a
stronger economic base. Paradoxically, countries that use the derivation
approach often adopt an equalization transfer to offset the advantages
given to the rich provinces. For example, Germany shares 50 per cent
of income taxes on a derivation basis, but mostly erases the advantage
of higher income states with a sharing of the VAT and a horizontal
sharing regime among the states that is equalizing (Spahn, Chapter 5).
Switzerland shares 13 per cent of federal income tax collections with
cantons on a derivation basis, but also has a significant equalization
programme (Dafflon, Chapter 8).
Formula Grants
The formula approach (Types B and E in Table 2.1) is probably the most
widely used method of horizontal sharing in low- and middle-income
countries. An appealing feature of a formula grant is that it offers the pos-
sibility of building equalization features into the distribution of transfers.
The richer subnational governments might be less enthusiastic about the
formula approach since they are home to most of the tax base and may
receive less of the transfer pie.
A formula can offer transparency, simplicity and objectivity. But these
advantages are not always achieved. Particularly in low- and middle-income
countries, data are limited and finding a transfer formula that will do the
job is often a stretch. The goal of simplicity is also hard to hold to, in part
because well-intentioned ‘social engineers’ often lobby to insert additional
variables into the formula to achieve some particular effect. Horizontal
transfer formulae can become complicated to a point where support for
them can be eroded. Coppel sees the Australian system as ‘fiendishly com-
plicated’ (Chapter 10), the Argentinean system has long been referred to as
a ‘labyrinth’ (Larizza and Folgar, Chapter 12) and fully understanding the
Swiss approach is no easy matter. Most horizontal distribution formulae
use indicators that reflect fiscal capacity and expenditure needs. The obvi-
ous proxy for fiscal capacity is a broad measure of the potential tax base
such as regional or local GDP, or better yet, bases of SNG taxes, but many
developing countries do not have good measures of either.
The expenditure needs focus is also common. Many countries have
landed on the goal of giving the formula ‘common sense elements’ that
the general population can identify with, for example, the higher cost of
providing public services in more remote Indonesian provinces, or the
special needs of Indian rural local governments with heavy concentrations
of poverty, or simply the belief that population size is a good indicator
of expenditure needs. In the end, the variable used to take account of the
needs-resources gap is rough justice at best.
While there are common elements to the formulae in low- and middle-
income countries, the approaches taken vary a great deal. Brazil’s intergov-
ernmental transfers are structured with different sharing rates for each tax,
and extensive earmarking. The long-term trend has been to move toward
a formula-based distribution of transfers (Wetzel and Viñuela, Chapter
11). Mexico’s unconditional transfers are distributed under eight different
heads, each with a different formula; and Ethiopia’s includes 14 indicators
of expenditure needs and fiscal capacity. Over 90 per cent of South Africa’s
transfers to provincial governments are allocated on a basis of population
size, health care needs and education sector needs (Savage, Chapter 16).
In the first six years of the operation of Kenya’s equitable shares grant,
Congress has prepared two horizontal distribution formulae. More than 80
per cent of the revenues are distributed according to population size, equal
shares and poverty (Boex and Smoke, Chapter 15).
There is also variation in the approach taken in the industrial countries
in this sample. Canada’s health and social transfers are allocated across
provinces on an equal per capita basis (Joanis and Vaillancourt, Chapter
7). The VAT transfer is distributed across states in Germany on a per
capita basis (Spahn, Chapter 5). The horizontal sharing formulae for the
equalization grants in Switzerland and Australia are structured to close
the gap between resources and needs. The Swiss revenue capacity equaliza-
tion fund is distributed by a representative tax approach, and the two
expenditure equalization components by formula (Dafflon, Chapter 8).
Ad hoc Transfers
2.5 EQUALIZATION
same effort to raise revenue from its own sources and operated at the same
level of efficiency (Searle, Chapter 9).
The US is the outlier in this group in that it has no general purpose
equalization grants. The approach to equalization is to subsidize SNG
provision of merit goods, using matching or block grants. Overall grant
distributions have moved toward favouring rich states because of their
higher Medicaid expenditures (Chernick, Chapter 6).
Evaluations of the impacts of the intergovernmental transfer system are
more common in industrial countries, in fact it is legally required in the
Swiss system (Dafflon, Chapter 8). There is a system in place to manage
and evaluate horizontal fiscal equalization in Australia, though it now may
involve the national treasury as well as the CGC.
The fiscal capacities of German and Australian states are significantly
levelled by vertical and horizontal transfers (Spahn, Chapter 5, and
Coppel, Chapter 10). Australia is the only OECD country that takes the
objective of fully eliminating disparities in fiscal capacity (Coppel, Chapter
10). In the Swiss system, seven cantons with taxable capacity above the
national average contribute to the equalization pool, and post-distribution,
all cantons are levelled at 85 per cent of the national average (Dafflon,
Chapter 8). The extent to which the expenditure needs formulae contribute
to equalization are less clear.
2.6
CONCLUSIONS: GUIDELINES FOR
STRUCTURING HORIZONTAL AND VERTICAL
SHARING
1.
The place to begin in designing (or reforming) an intergovernmental
transfer regime is with a policy outlining the objectives that the gov-
ernment wants to achieve. ‘How much vertical fiscal balance and how
much equalization is desired, what incentives will be imbedded in the
system, and how much autonomy will be released to the SNGs’ are the
NOTES
1. This chapter draws heavily from Bahl and Bird (2018), Chapter 7, where there is a more
in-depth and comprehensive discussion of this topic, and where more extensive referenc-
ing is provided.
2. This taxonomy of intergovernmental transfers was first developed in Bahl and Linn
(1992) and was enhanced and upgraded in Bahl and Bird (2018, p. 290).
3. For reviews on this, see Bahl and Bird (2018) and Mathur (2012). For a more positive view
about the effectiveness of second-best solutions, see Boex and Martinez-Vazquez (2007).
REFERENCES
Bahl, Roy and Richard Bird (2018) Fiscal Decentralization and Local Finance
in Developing Countries: Development from Below (Cheltenham, UK and
Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar Publishing).
Bahl, Roy and Johannes Linn (1992) Urban Public Finance in Developing Countries
(New York: Oxford University Press).
Bahl, Roy, Chor-Ching Goh and Baoyun Qiao (2014) Reforming the Public Finance
System to Fit a More Urbanized China (Beijing: China Financial and Economic
Publishing House).
Boex, Jameson and Jorge Martinez-Vazquez (2007) ‘Designing Intergovernmental
Equalization Transfers with Imperfect Data: Concepts, Practices and Lessons’ in
Jorge Martinez-Vazquez and Bob Searle (eds), Fiscal Equalization: Challenges
in the Design of Intergovernmental Transfers (New York: Springer), pp. 291–344.
Kim, Junghun, Jørgen Lotz and Niels Jorgen Mau (eds) (2010) General Grants
versus Earmarked Grants Theory and Practice: The Copenhagen Workshop 2009
(Albertslund: Korea Institute of Public Finance and Danish Ministry of Interior
and Health).
Mathur, Om Prakash (2012) ‘Intergovernmental Transfers in Local Government
Finance: Decentralization and Strengthening of Local Authorities’, Report
submitted to UN-Habitat, Nairobi.
Shah, Anwar (2013) ‘Grant Financing of Metropolitan Areas: A Review of
Principles and Worldwide Practices’ in Roy Bahl, Johannes Linn and Deborah
Wetzel (eds), Financing Metropolitan Governments in Developing Countries
(Cambridge, MA: Lincoln Institute of Land Policy), pp. 213–42.
3.1 INTRODUCTION
21
3.2
THE EVOLUTION OF THEORY IN FISCAL
FEDERALISM
should provide goods that are non-excludable, meaning those goods that
a non-paying individual cannot be prevented from enjoying – for example,
national defence. In terms of revenues, efficiency considerations suggest
that the most buoyant sources of taxes, that is, those based on income, can
be collected at the centre more easily and at lower economic costs than at
subnational level. And intergovernmental transfers are a prescription to
remedy the resulting vertical and horizontal imbalances after the assign-
ment of service delivery responsibilities and taxing powers to the levels of
government. In cases where the provision of local goods generates exter-
nalities, the centre handles the issue by providing subsidies or transfers to
internalize the benefits (Oates 1972). And, for reasons of intergenerational
equity, subnational governments should use borrowing for infrastructure
investments.
It is important to realize that these four components of an intergovern-
mental system are highly interdependent, and transfers are just one com-
ponent of the system. Therefore, the design of a transfer system cannot be
separated from the design and evolution of the broader intergovernmental
fiscal system. Of course, each of these components of the system must be
very well linked to broader fiscal policy and service delivery objectives.
The design of an intergovernmental system has come under intense ques-
tioning by the SGT. While accepting the basic premises of the traditional
public finance analysis in designing an intergovernmental system, the SGT
puts strong emphasis on giving own source revenue powers to subnational
governments.4 It underlines the importance of horizontal competition
between subnational governments for economic efficiency and argues for
refrainment of the central level from interfering in subnational taxing and
spending decisions. It regards central fiscal interventions as distortion-
ary policy instruments that inhibit the development of a competitive
and efficient intergovernmental system. According to the SGT analysis,
central interventions create incentive compatibility problems by inducing
subnational spending, amassing unsustainable deficits, and perpetuating
their dependence on the centre for more support (McKinnon and Nechyba
1997).5 In addition, the SGT literature warns about the dangers of soft
budget constraint,6 highlighting disincentives created by transfers for
subnational governments to pay attention to their expenditures and make
prudent fiscal decisions. The literature also warns about the so-called
common pool problem (Rodden 2003; Oates 2005; Rodden and Wibbels
2002) – the potential adverse incentives created by transfers.7 If the design
of a transfer system symbolizes fiscal dentistry,8 subnational governments
will have incentives for opportunistically shifting their overspending costs
and excessive borrowings to the centre. In that sense, transfers create a
moral hazard by insuring fiscally reckless behaviour. In fact, the literature
presents the Argentine and Brazilian fiscal crises of the 1980s and 1990s
as examples of fiscal recklessness (Rodden 2012). The SGT prescribes
market-based and rule-based institutional mechanisms that would create
hard budget constraint (Ter-Minassian 1997). Market-based institutional
mechanisms involve the establishment of an efficient market together
with an intergovernmental system in which subnational governments have
autonomous taxing and expenditure powers. Rule-based institutional
mechanisms are laws that prohibit deficits, severely limit borrowings,
provide for credible no-bailout and minimal intergovernmental transfers,
and allow for subnational bankruptcy (Burret and Feld 2014; McKinnon
and Nechyba 1997; Oates 2005; Skeel 2011; Ter-Minassian 1997).
3.3
THE PURPOSES OF INTERGOVERNMENTAL
TRANSFERS
1.
Closing the vertical gap, in other words to improve revenue adequacy;
2.
Addressing horizontal fiscal inequalities – interjurisdictional
redistribution;
3. Financing spatial spillovers;
4. Meeting national goals, objectives and priorities.
j51 k51
where VGi is the vertical gap in subnational government i. The first bracket
is revenue-raising ability of subnational government i. In the first bracket,
Bij is the tax base for revenue item j in i and tsj is the standard tax rate for
item j. The total number of revenue items is R (j 5 1 . . . R). The second
bracket represents the total costs of expenditure responsibilities of the
subnational government i. In the second bracket Eik denotes expenditure
item k in i and csk is the standard cost of expenditure item k. The total
number of expenditure items is Z (k 5 1 . . . Z).
Therefore, the total vertical gap in country A is equal to the sum vertical
gap across subnational governments:
VG A 5 a VG i(3.2)
n
i51
where VGA is the sum vertical gap in all subnational governments in country
A. In other words, the vertical gap amount is ‘total pool of funds to be
allocated to subnational governments . . .’ (Bahl and Wallace 2007: 205).
However, this notation of vertical gap in designing an intergovernmental
transfer system ‘is more easily conceptualized than it is measured . . .’ (Bahl
and Wallace 2007: 206). There are two major assumptions in this notation:
(i) subnational governments exert a normal level effort to collect revenues;
and (ii) subnational governments provide an acceptable level of services. It
is always difficult to define these concepts. If transfer revenues are directly
linked to the actual amount of revenues collected, subnational governments
have incentives to underperform in the collection. It is quite difficult to meas-
ure whether subnational governments make an acceptable level of effort to
exploit revenue bases available to them. More importantly, when subnational
governments become dependent on transfers, their incentive to exploit their
own revenue base weakens (Weingast 2009). On the expenditure side, the
definition of acceptable is subject to interpretation – acceptable to whom?
It is impossible to come up with an individual utility function to estimate an
aggregate level at the subnational level. As Bahl and Bird (2018: 284) suggest
‘since the public generally has little idea of the real tax price of local public
goods in any case, the demand for local government services is always likely to
outweigh the capacity (or willingness) at any level to finance them’.
There is only a handful of countries trying to estimate the vertical gap
according to the notation presented.13 Even then, these countries are
partially successful at using this approach. In many federations, the appli-
cation of the vertical gap measure concentrates only on the revenue side
which makes the total elimination of vertical imbalance a challenging task.
In Canada, for example, the system focuses only on the revenue-raising
ability of subnational governments.
Total elimination of vertical imbalance is an impossible task since some
degree of mismatch between expenditure needs and revenue capacity is
Affordability
In designing a transfer system to close the vertical gap, it is important to
recognize budget constraints and macroeconomic stability at the centre.
The intergovernmental transfer programmes that try to address expendi-
ture needs should particularly pay attention to budget constraints at the
central level. These programmes must also estimate the extent to which
expenditure needs can be covered by available resources (Bahl and Wallace
2007). Closing the vertical gap will ultimately be a bargain over what
subnational governments need and what the central government can afford
(Bahl and Wallace 2007). In Australia (Chapter 9), Searle notes, the size of
the Commonwealth’s wallet seems to have by far the greatest influence on
what is done and how it is done.
At first glance, addressing fiscal inequalities seems an easy task. Once the
extent of fiscal inequalities is measured, a decision needs to be made in
terms of how much of the interregional inequality needs to be eliminated.
Then an equalization formula should be designed to address the issue.
However, measuring fiscal capacity is not an easy task. To begin with, there
is a controversy surrounding its measure. The application of the fiscal
Australia is the only OECD country that seeks to fully eliminate disparities
in fiscal capacity for both revenue and expenditure between sub‑national
governments (Coppel, Chapter 10). It enables all states to provide the
average national level of services and mostly adjusts for material structural
disadvantages that are out of states’ control. The principle of fiscal
equalization is strongly supported. To achieve this goal, most governments
design equalization transfer systems focusing on either equalization of
the capacity of local governments to provide certain levels of services or
equalization of the performance of local governments. Bird and Smart
(2001) criticize the performance approach on the grounds that central
governments’ policy preferences are dominant and ‘there is clearly no
agreement on either the desirability or the effects of general intergovern-
mental transfers intended to achieve this goal’. They also point out the fact
that, if capacity issue is given little consideration, performance approach
awards local governments that do not try to raise their own revenues. If
fiscal capacity is measured accurately, which is not an easy task due to the
reasons mentioned earlier, intergovernmental transfers would create very
little incentives for local governments’ revenue-raising restraint.
Although the FGT sees equalization transfers as a necessary tool to
prevent relatively rich regions attracting more investments at the expense
of poorer regions, the SGT literature argues against full equalization.
According to the SGT literature, full equalization discourages subnational
governments from pursuing policies to promote economic development
to expand the tax base as it takes away the revenue gains from economic
growth (Weingast 2009). Weingast recommends bringing all subnational
fiscal capacity to a certain level rather than full equalization by using step
functions; so that subnational governments have ‘marginal incentives
to foster local economic prosperity’ by retaining a certain percentage of
revenue derived from their own tax base (Weingast 2009: 290).
3.4 CONCLUSION
Traditional public finance considerations are the raison d’être for inter-
governmental transfers. However, this chapter has argued that considering
political economy issues in designing intergovernmental transfers is equally
important to promote equal access to services for all citizens. Evidence
from the literature suggests that imperfections in political markets have
huge bearing on intergovernmental resource allocations. Boex and Smoke
note, in Chapter 15, Kenya’s path towards devolution has in some ways
been a ‘political’ success. The basic elements of the county government
systems have been defined and are being implemented. The extent to which
devolution has led to improved service delivery and governance outcomes,
however, is far less self-evident. Zahir (Chapter 13) further reiterates the
point that the attempt to use states as ‘laboratories for experimenting with
what programs work best’ had both political and economic ramifications
in India. In the last two decades in India there has been a general trend
towards coalition governments with a number of states and local repre-
sentatives now participating in politics at the centre. In addition, the 73rd
and the 74th Constitutional Amendments in 1992 had incentivized grass-
roots level politicians to rise above the petty politics of local and state level
and occupy a space at the centre. Poor regions tend to have less informed
citizens on public policies and they are less likely to participate in political
process. Given this evidence, it is important to come up with institutional
arrangements that secure broad-based representation in the sharing of
intergovernmental resources. For instance, Chernick in Chapter 6 points
out that the US grants system distributes large amounts of fiscal resources
to incentivize states and their localities to provide services to the poor and
enhance their capital stocks. While there is some modest fiscal equaliza-
tion, interstate and intrastate differences in spending for redistribution and
education, both between and within states, remain substantial.
The SGT literature suggests several remedies to address the political
economy imperfections in designing an intergovernmental system. First, it
suggests using market economy institutions to address some of the adverse
selection issues. For example, creating efficient credit markets will improve
subnational governments’ fiscal performance as credit market ratings have
a bearing on the cost of borrowing. Similarly, creating efficient land mar-
kets is an important disciplining factor on subnational finances through
local property values. Second, it suggests strengthening fiscal institutions
which have a bearing on subnational fiscal behaviour. The existence of a
stable and clear system of taxation, for example, creates the Wicksellian
connection between revenues and the cost of local services. Third, the SGT
literature suggests using constitutional or legislative restrictions to provide
constraints on fiscally irresponsible behaviour (see details, for example,
in Wetzel and Viñuela, Chapter 11; Larizza and Folgar, Chapter 12). For
instance, the existence of balanced-budget requirements and limitations on
borrowing as well as the existence of public bankruptcy laws can promote
fiscally prudent decision-making.
Finally, an analysis of intergovernmental transfer design must also
recognize the importance of institutional arrangements for managing the
system. There are two different institutional arrangements to minimize the
political influence: formula-based transfers and establishing independent
agencies to decide on the distribution of transfer resources. The evidence
NOTES
1. The term ‘transfers’ is often used to refer to a number of different kinds of public
finance arrangements, including grants, subsidies, tax sharing and cost-reimbursement.
In this chapter, we use all these terms interchangeably to refer to transfers of funds from
central government to subnational governments.
2. The direction of a transfer mechanism can encompass all levels of government, such as
central to provincial, provincial/state to local, directly central to local or even national to
supra national (like the EU).
3. We use the term ‘subnational’ to encompass all governments below the central level.
4. On the issue of own revenues, the FGT is concerned about tax distortions and ineffi-
ciencies introduced by decentralized revenue-raising. In addition, the FGT is also appre-
hensive about potential tax competition among subnational governments. Whereas
the SGT perceives tax competition as beneficial by reining in excessive spending by
subnational governments. Tax competition is a particularly relevant issue in federations
where subnational governments use broad-base taxes that overlap with federal taxes
because of harmonization of tax bases.
5. A case in point is the changes in borrowing by Spain’s Autonomous Communities (AC)
in 2015. When they got into financial distress during the recent Spanish financial crisis,
due to a high level of borrowing, the central government’s Autonomous Financing
Fund (FFA in Spanish) came to their rescue. For more on the issue, please see Caixa
Bank (2018).
6. The concept of soft budget constraint was initially coined by Kornai (1980; 1986) to
highlight perpetual bailing out of public enterprises with state funds. Loss-making
public enterprises were able to count on financial assistance from state coffers, an
expectation that defined the behaviour of their top management. Later, the concept was
applied to subnational governments (Kornai et al. 2003).
7. Rodden (2003: 697) describes the potential negative impact of transfer revenues as
‘breaking the link between taxes and benefits, mere expenditure decentralization might
turn the public sector’s resources into a common pool that competing local governments
will attempt to overfish’.
8. Bird (1993) defines fiscal dentistry as gap-filling, suggesting that subnational govern-
ments with larger deficits receive larger transfers.
9. Brennan and Buchanan have developed a body of theory where they present govern-
ment as a revenue-maximizing Leviathan, which can be constrained by a constitution.
This constitution places definite limits upon the tax base. They believe that a tax
constitution is required to restrict governments which have propensity to tax and spend.
10. Grossman (1994), for example, argues that the per capita amount of intergovernmental
transfers in the US is correlated with party similarity, size of state bureaucracy and size
of state Democratic Party majority, suggesting that the transfer decisions are politically
driven. Sorensen (2003) finds that lobbying activities of local governments have an
impact on the amount of intergovernmental transfers in Norway. Borck and Owings
(2003) show that in California proximity to the state capital is an important factor in
determining the amount of transfer resources going to counties. Feld and Schaltegger
(2005) find that in Switzerland fiscal referendums lead to lower levels of intergovern-
mental transfers suggesting that voters serve as a hard budget constraint. Sole-Olle and
Sorribas-Navarro (2008) show that partisan alignment has a sizeable positive effect
on the amount of transfer revenues coming to municipalities in Spain. Sorens (2016)
presents evidence from the United States that subnational spending financed by federal
dollars leads to higher subnational and overall government debt and spending.
11. Theoretical considerations suggest that transfer revenues exert an incentive effect
on the tax effort of subnational governments. Buettner (2006) tests these theoretical
predictions using a large panel data of German municipalities and his empirical findings
suggest that the volume of transfer revenues reduces tax effort.
12. Evidence from empirical studies provides a convincing case of the disincentive effects
of intergovernmental transfers on local tax effort in different countries. For the German
equalization transfers, Buttner (1999) and Baretti et al. (2002) report a similar negative
effect on local revenues. In the context of India, Naganathan and Sivagnanam (2000),
Rajaraman and Vasishtha (2000) and Panda (2009) present similar evidence. In the case
of China, Liu and Zhao (2011) provide considerable evidence of disincentive effects of
transfers on local tax revenue generation. For Ghana, Mogues and Benin (2012) find
that transfers have a depressing effect on local revenues. In an empirical analysis, Bravo
(2010) finds negative effects of intergovernmental grants on local revenues in Chilean
municipalities. Similarly, Canavire-Bacarreza and Espinoza (2010) show that conditional
transfers negatively affect property tax collection in the State of Sinaloa in Mexico.
13. In the 1980s, the United States Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Fiscal
Relations developed a methodology to incorporate the expenditure side of public
finances into the vertical gap concept (ACIR 1986; 1990a; 1990b). However, this
methodology was never applied to the estimation of actual federal transfers to states.
14. However, it is important to avoid eliminating differences in net fiscal benefits arising
from regional choices in the mix of public services (Boadway 2007). According to Sing
and Srinivasan (2006: 8), the concept of equalization is ‘eminently sensible if there is a
social consensus on what should be included in the set of services to be provided by the
government and at what level’.
15. A uniform state tax regime is, of course, immune against horizontal tax competition
among states in a legal sense. However, there could be incentives for the states to relax
their tax administration in an effort to attract and foster economic activities in their
jurisdiction. Such incentives are to be expected if the shortfall of revenue from lenient
tax administration is fully compensated through equalizing grants, which is true for a
number of states in Germany. Although there has been suspicion of leniency in some
instances, it is, of course, difficult to prove in practice. The redistribution effects follow-
ing the primary allocation of taxes will also induce lenient states (strategical reasons,
administrative inertia, weaker tax compliance where authorities are seen to be lenient)
to go on with their practice since they may make up 92 per cent of the difference through
equalization.
16. Tertiary education and transportation service provision are two good horizontal
spending externality examples. In both cases interjurisdictional spillovers could easily
generate disincentives for subnational governments to invest in the sector.
17. If the design of the transfer operates as an insurance mechanism over the business
cycle, then transfer revenues can reduce the procyclicality of subnational government
REFERENCES
Bird, R.M. (1993). ‘Threading the Fiscal Labyrinth: Some Issues in Fiscal
Decentralization’. National Tax Journal 46 (2): 207–27.
Bird, R.M. (2000). ‘Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations: Universal Principles, Local
Applications’. International Studies Program Working Paper 00-2. Andrew
Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, Atlanta.
Bird, R. and Smart, M. (2001). ‘Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfers: Some
Lessons from International Experience’. Paper prepared for Symposium on
Intergovernmental Transfers in Asian Countries: Issues and Practices, Asian Tax
and Public Policy Program, Hitosubashi University, Tokyo, Japan, February 2001.
Bird, R. and Smart, M. (2002). ‘Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfers: International
Lessons for Developing Countries’. World Development 30 (6): 899–912.
Boadway, R. (2007). ‘Grants in a Federal Economy: A Conceptual Perspective’.
In Robin Boadway and Anwar Shah (eds). Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfers
Principles and Practice. Washington DC: World Bank, pp. 55–74.
Borck, R. and Owings, S. (2003). ‘The Political Economy of Intergovernmental
Grants’. Regional Science and Urban Economics 33 (2): 139–56.
Bravo, J. (2010). ‘The Effects of Intergovernmental Grants on Local Revenue:
Evidence from Chile’. Documentos de Trabajo 393. Instituto de Economia.
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Accessed 17 February 2019 at https://
www.sociedadpoliticaspublicas.cl/archivos/BLOQUE1/Descentralizacion/El_efe
cto_de_las_transferencias_intergubernamentales_en_el_ingreso_local.pdf.
Brennan, G. and Buchanan, J.M. (1980). The Power to Tax: Analytical Foundations
of a Fiscal Constitution. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Buettner, T. (2006). ‘The Incentive Effect of Fiscal Equalization Transfers on Tax
Policy’. Journal of Public Economics 90 (3): 477–97.
Burret, H.T. and Feld, L.P. (2014). ‘A Note on Budget Rules and Fiscal Federalism’.
CESifo DICE Report: Journal for Institutional Comparisons 2 (1): 3–11.
Buttner, T. (1999). ‘Regional Stabilization by Fiscal Equalization? Theoretical
Considerations and Empirical Evidence from Germany’. ZEW Discussion Papers
No. 99-23. Accessed 17 February 2019 at ftp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp
2399.pdf.
Caixa Bank (2018). Monthly Report Economic and Financial Market Outlook
Number 422. Accessed 15 March 2019 at http://www.caixabankresearch.com/
en/2018-04-01-000000.
Canavire-Bacarreza, G. and Espinoza, N.G.Z. (2010). ‘Fiscal Transfers a Curse or
Blessing? Evidence of Their Effect on Tax Effort for Municipalities in Sinaloa,
Mexico’. Andrew Young School of Policy Studies Research Paper Series
Working Paper 10-30. Georgia State University, Atlanta.
Carega, M. and Weingast, B.R. (2003). ‘Fiscal Federalism, Good Governance
and Economic Growth in Mexico’. In Dani Rodrik (ed.). Search of Prosperity:
Analytic Narratives on Economic Growth. Princeton University Press: Princeton,
pp. 399–438.
Chernick, H. (2000). ‘Federal Grants and Social Welfare Spending: Do State
Responses Matter?’ National Tax Journal 53 (1): 143–52.
Feld, L.P. and Schaltegger, C.A. (2005). ‘Voters as a Hard Budget Constraint:
On the Determination of Intergovernmental Grants’. Public Choice 123 (1–2):
147–69.
Gramlich, E.M. (1977). ‘Intergovernmental Grants: A Review of the Empirical
Literature’. In W.E. Oates (ed.). The Political Economy of Fiscal Federalism.
Kentucky: Lexington Books, pp. 274–94.
4.1
INTRODUCTION: THE RATIONALE FOR
EQUALIZATION1
41
4.2
SOLIDARITY AND EQUALIZATION: A
SUMMARY OF THE LITERATURE
the poor region benefit after equalization from more public services than
what they could afford with their own resources, reducing maximization
of national output. Buchanan (1952) replies by arguing that equalization
reduces inefficient migration.
Buchanan and Goetz (1972) argue that since migrants do not take into
account that their movement increases the per capita fiscal price in their
region of origin, reduces it in their region of destination while perhaps
creating congestion in it, equalization internalizes social costs and is thus
desirable. Boadway and Flatters (1982) synthesize the arguments of effi-
ciency and equity in the debate on equalization. Since net fiscal residuals
in SNGs are not zero when the user-pay principle does not apply, there are
two possibilities for correcting this: adjustment for individuals through
central taxes (as proposed by Buchanan) or equalization between SNGs
with higher and lower net fiscal residuals.
Von Hagen (2000) analyses equalization as a type of insurance against
shocks to the economy of SNGs. Today’s rich SNGs in terms of resources
and with little or no needs can become poor tomorrow because of globali-
zation, changes in demand or technological obsolescence. Equalization
helps alleviate these shocks. Thus, a rich SNG may well want to contribute
to equalization, knowing that one day it may draw benefits from this
programme.
While these papers do not explicitly examine the link between resources
and needs equalization, it is clear that key dimensions of equalization have
not been agreed to among scholars. They can be summarized as follows:
under D and E result from local preferences and hence they need not be
compensated by any kind of equalization or transfer payment.
Table 4.1 establishes the fundamental distinction between disparities and
differences. Disparities A, B and C are outside the influence and the policy
choices of SNGs and should be equalized. Differences D and E depend on
local own decisions and should not be compensated. Table 4.1 also identi-
fies the possible origins of disparities; these can be used as indicators in the
4.4
FIRST- AND SECOND-GENERATION
EQUALIZATION
Source: Authors.
We can now turn to the key issues associated with the design of an equali-
zation system. With the second-generation equalization, both revenue
equalization and expenditure equalization must be considered. Three
issues must be addressed: (i) measuring disparities A, B, and C in Table 4.1
in order to construct the appropriate synthetic indicators; (ii) the choice
of the equalization formulas that cover all relevant situations from Table
4.2; and (iii) the importance (amount) and origin of the funds allocated to
equalization. These three issues must be addressed in a parallel fashion.
They are summarized in Table 4.3.
Measurement issues are the domain of experts, while who receives
and how much is allocated are political choices. Thus, in step one, using
technical advice on the most relevant (from an economic perspective)
taxes and tasks the final choice of revenue (tax) sources and the selection
of tasks included in equalization should be left to politicians, after their
characteristics and specificities have been clarified by experts. In step two,
the construction of the formula should be left to experts, but the opera-
tional choice of the appropriate formulas after simulation remains with
politicians since their equalization effects vary from one formula to the
other. Also, in step three, the importance and the institutional anchoring
of the funds is political: it represents the status and extent of solidarity
between SNGs.
Sources: Authors, drawing on Dafflon (2007, pp. 31 ss); Yilmaz et al. (2012, pp. 120–26).
4.6
ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS AND
DETERMINANTS OF EQUALIZATION OF
RESOURCES, NEEDS AND COSTS
This last section focuses on the interaction between the regional economic
characteristics and the determinants of equalization. A key point is that
SNGs with (tax) revenue capacity higher than average often will have
higher unit costs that they can self-finance6 – a situation that is ignored by
first-generation equalization.
As noted in Table 4.3, once equalizable disparities have been identified
the next step is the measurement of these disparities. One way of doing
this is to prepare a list of factors that can lead to differences in resources,
needs or unit costs between SNGs. This is done in Table 4.4, where we
examine one by one the impact of diverse characteristics; one by one since
some characteristics are mutually exclusive. Columns (a) and (b) present
how the relative position of SNGs with respect to each of 16 demographic,
economic, topographic and so on characteristics can have an impact on
its revenue base (column (c)), its needs for public services (d) and the unit
cost of those public services thus affected (e). Table 4.4 shows (combined
analysis of columns (a) and (e)) that the most common determinant of
higher unit costs is the cost of labour. Capitalization in the price of land of
regional (geographic) rents also plays a role.
The list of 16 elements in Table 4.4 was prepared by the authors draw-
ing on their past work in numerous countries and on their knowledge of
various transfer formulas.7 This list is fairly complete but most likely not
exhaustive since specific societal factors are present in every country. The
inferred impacts between the characteristics of SNGs and various equali-
zations result either from typical equalization formulas or from the use of
production and cost functions and supply and demand on input markets.
Thus, a higher labour productivity due to working in resource extractive
industries results in higher remuneration in the private labour market8 that
has a knock-on effect on the public labour market and thus public costs.
The exact impact depends on similarities and differences between the two
kinds of labour and substitution elasticities between labour and other
inputs in the production functions of private goods and services and of
publicly produced goods and services. Also, in general, a higher tax base
is linked to higher unit costs for a given SNG. This is a type (Table 4.2)
situation that first-generation equalization ignores.
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 54
Characteristics Relative position of SNGi Impact on fiscal Impact on needs per Impact on the unit cost of
varying between with respect to all SNGS potential per inhabitant inhabitant (d) public services (e)
SNGs (a) (b) (c)
Population:
1. Size and SNGi has a larger Economies of Higher demand for Reduction of the unit
density population than the agglomeration that can public services linked cost of services of a
average SNG increase productivity to density (police, fire public good type or with
and thus the tax base fighting, parking, green important scale economies
spaces)
2. Younger SNGi has a higher May reduce somewhat Needs are higher for Scale economies possible
54
population proportion of school-aged average earnings per school-related inputs (school infrastructure)
children in total population adult if some parents such as buildings
than in the average SNG withdraw temporarily and perhaps school
from labour force. Small transportation (depends
impact on population density)
3. Older SNGi has an older Variation in the tax Older population → Unit cost per user the same
population population than the base (pension rather higher specific needs for specific services (health)
average SNG than labour income), leisure, culture (651)
and in the tax treatment specialized care (801)
of income (age
exemption . . .); tax
base in SNGi perhaps
lower than average
16/12/2019 10:44
4. Sicker SNGi has a sicker Illness can result in Sicker population Unit cost per user the same
population population than the average lower productivity and will require more and for specific services (health)
SNG due to past industrial thus lower earnings perhaps specialized
activity, endemic diseases healthcare
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 55
or heredity
5. Schooling SNGi has a better schooled Since labour Better schooled If schooling level is higher
level labour force than the productivity increases population → less crime, → private wages are higher,
average SNG with schooling, the better health, less needs increasing the unit cost
tax potential (labour for some services. of public services (higher
income) is higher in But higher demand for wages in SNGi → higher
SNGi than the average cultural services cost per hour of input)
SNG
6. Migrant SNGi has a larger Human capital of Specific integration Unit costs of general public
composition proportion of its migrant workers may services (civics, services may be higher if
55
population born abroad be less productive for education) may be additional time is required
than the average SNG part of their work required to provide contextual
life leading to lower information
earnings
7. Linguistic Typical SNG is No impact except if Specific services for Four linguistic groups
composition homogeneous while SNGi returns to language minorities (linguistic in SNGi reduce scale
has four language groups skills varies competencies for economies if all languages
(say 40–30–20–10%) some services such as used, increasing unit cost
education, health, justice)
Geography and territory:
8. Area SNGi larger than average None Needs for more roads, If population is distributed
SNG transportation systems uniformly per km² in each
SNG, then some public
services cost more in SNGi
16/12/2019 10:44
Table 4.4 (continued)
Characteristics Relative position of SNGi Impact on fiscal Impact on needs per Impact on the unit cost of
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 56
varying between with respect to all SNGS potential per inhabitant inhabitant (d) public services (e)
SNGs (a) (b) (c)
9. Topography SNGi has a more rugged None More rugged terrain SNGi faces higher unit
terrain (hills, mountains) can create special costs than average for some
than the average SNG needs (twisting roads, public services (roads,
protection against tunnels)
avalanches)
10. Climate and/ SNGi is a nicer place to Land rent in SNGi Climate differences leads Services with land inputs
or natural live than the average SNG higher than in average to different needs: snow will be more expensive
attractivity (climate, beauty, water side, SNG removal/ protection
56
and so on) against tropical storm
11. Geographic SNGi has the sole/major Higher import/export Port and transport No impact on unit costs
position harbour of the country taxes do not impact infrastructures are except drop in transport
SNGi tax base but tax needed: centrally or SNG costs of imported inputs
potential higher due to provided? into public services due to
associated economic lower transport costs
activities (truck stops,
custom brokerages . . .)
Natural resources:
12. Quality of Soil in SNGi is more fertile Tax potential of Possible impact on Higher agricultural revenue
agricultural than in the average SNG farmers higher in SNGi sectoral government leads to capitalization in
soil interventions land prices; public services
with land input may cost
more
16/12/2019 10:44
13. Non- SNGi has more petroleum Tax potential, direct May require more If natural resources
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 57
renewable or mining assets and indirect, is higher infrastructures, need for increase private sector
natural environmental protection productivity and thus
resources wages, this could increase
present unit cost
Economic context:
14. Historical SNGi has head offices, Higher tax potential No impact No impact on unit cost
economic research centres or except if special tax except if high demand for
advantage philanthropic foundations regime office space leads to higher
linked to past economic rents paid in public sector
57
activity
15. Regulatory SNGi benefits from Higher tax potential No impact Possible impact on labour
economic a national protection fiscal if regulation unit cost
advantage in specific economic creates monopolistic
sectors such as finance or rents
communications
16. Strength of Unions in SNGi are more Wages are higher, Possible impact on Higher unit cost if impact
unions powerful than elsewhere profits lower; uncertain demand for services for of private sector wages on
impact on tax base workers public wages
(business avoids SNGi)
Source: Authors.
16/12/2019 10:44
58 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
4.7 CONCLUSION
NOTES
* Thanks to Guy Gilbert, Andrew Reschovsky, Enid Slack, Serdar Yilmaz and Farah Zahir
for their comments and suggestions on an earlier version of this chapter.
1. Dafflon and Vaillancourt (2003) were among the first economists to give a formal presen-
tation of equalization setting out the issues for operational purposes. This approach was
updated and further developed in Yilmaz et al. (2012). For a more complete presentation
on the equalization issues and a survey of the existing literature, see Dafflon (2007, 2012);
Dafflon and Mischler (2008).
2. For example, in The Oxford Handbook of State and Local Government Finance (Ebel
and Petersen, 2012), only 12 pages (Yilmaz, Vaillancourt, Dafflon) out of 982 pages
are devoted to the equalization issue. First contributions on the origin of disparities
and differences in SNGs’ public finance in an equalization perspective are noted in
Table 4.1.
3. Residents with the same high income pay the same federal income tax in rich or poor
SNGs. But since it is likely that more residents with high income live in rich SNGs (A in
Table 4.1), rich SNGs contribute more to the federal financing of equalization through
the federal current budget. Thus, vertical revenue equalization indirectly includes hori-
zontal effects.
4. In these two papers, the SNGs’ per capita entitlement in a revenue category is equal to
its per capita tax base deficiency in the category, relative to a per capita standard for
the category, multiplied by the calculated national average tax rate for the category.
Yet, according to Bahl (1972, footnote 2) ‘The term RTS in no way connotes any model
system selected on purely normative ground. The adjective “representative” is used here
instead of “average” only because of tradition’. In the normative model, the assessment
of the tax bases is identical for all SNGs, whereas the tax rates considered are not
calculated on the average SNGs’ tax effort but based on an identical tax rate schedule. In
a piggyback tax system for SNGs, the reference for measuring the tax disparities in the
individual SNG would be the per capita tax base standard and the tax rate schedule fixed
in the law, fully – 100 per cent – considered).
5. For more on this concept see Chernick and Reschovsky (2015).
6. Calculations by the authors for Canadian provinces using revenue capacity from
Courchene (2013, T1) and a cost index by Gusen (2012) show a 0.86 positive correlation.
Similarly, there is a 0.94 correlation between revenue capacity and wage indicators of
Australian States, using data from the Commonwealth Grants Commission (2015 –
Main Report Table 2, p. 5 for revenue capacity and Figure 6, p. 92 for wage costs). For
Switzerland, the correlation coefficients present the right sign, but are not significant
(chapter on Switzerland in this volume).
7. A tentative list is given in Bird and Vaillancourt (2007). For a detailed technical description
of certain variables in Table 4.4, see Dafflon and Mischler (2008) and Dafflon (2012). For
a practical detailed exposé of the three-steps method described in Table 4.3 and its compo-
nents in Table 4.4, see www.fr.ch/Scom/sommaire/perequation-financière-intercommunale.
8. Higher wages in extractive industries may reflect in part the risk of workplace accidents;
this is not accounted for in equalization calculations.
REFERENCES
ACIR (1962), ‘Measures of state and local fiscal capacity and tax effort’, The
Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, October, M-16, accessed
11 March 2019 at https://library.unt.edu/gpo/acir/Reports/information/M-16.pdf.
Ahmad, E. and J. Craig (1997), ‘Intergovernmental transfers’, in T. Ter-Minassian
(ed.), Fiscal Federalism in Theory and Practice, International Monetary Fund,
Washington, DC, pp. 73–107.
Australian Government, Commonwealth Grants Commission, ‘Fiscal Equalisation’,
accessed 12 September 2019 at https://www.cgc.gov.au/about-us/fiscal-equalisation.
Bahl, R.W. (1972), ‘A representative tax system approach to measuring tax effort
5.1
INSTITUTIONAL SETUP OF THE MODERN
GERMAN FEDERATION
64
the h
orizontal redistribution of resources among states according to the
Equalization Law (Finanzausgleich); and is completed through a number
of asymmetrical vertical grants by the federal government in favour of
some ‘needy states’ however defined. This interregional solidarity is
pushed to a point where the average command of public resources per
capita is now very close to the national average per capita.3
5.2
THE MAIN TRAITS OF THE GERMAN
FINANCIAL ARRANGEMENTS
67
Federal taxes
13%
VAT
31%
Share of EU
1%
Figure 5.1 The structure of assigned and shared taxes in Germany, 2017
16/12/2019 10:44
68 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
They reduce the (unweighted) standard deviation for own state revenues
per capita of 28.5 per cent before VAT to 7.2 per cent after VAT. Although
the population-based allocation of VAT has significant levelling effects,
this is officially not considered part of the Finanzausgleich in Germany
since the VAT shares represent own state revenue in a legal sense.
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 73
HH 0.5
0.9
–0.8
NW
–3.4
–0.8
SH –4
–0.8
NI –4.2
–0.9
RP
–4.5
–1.2
SL
STATES
–8.3
–1.2
ST –9.7
–1.2
BB
73
–9.8
–1.4
SN –11.4
–1.4
TH –11.7
–1.4
MV –12.5
After federal grants
–2.3 After fiscal equalization
HB –26.8
–2.5 Before fiscal equalization
BE –30.7
–40 –30 –20 –10 0 10 20 30
DEVIATION FROM AVERAGE IN PER CENT
Figure 5.2 Horizontal distribution effects of VAT allocations, of fiscal equalization and of federal supplementary grants
in 2017
16/12/2019 10:44
74 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
The figure shows that the equalization fund is ‘sponsored’ by three larger
Southern states (Bavaria, Baden-Württemberg and Hessen) and the city-state
of Hamburg. All other states benefit from the scheme at varying degrees.
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 75
59.0%
HESSEN 17.1%
23.4%
54.5%
NORDRHEIN-WESTFALEN 11.5%
17.7%
48.1%
NIEDERSACHSEN 4.9%
11.4%
44.7%
RHEINLAND-PFALZ 2.7%
8.9%
44.1% Property tax
SCHLESWIG-HOLSTEIN 2.0%
8.3%
42.9%
Corporate tax
BERLIN 3.0%
8.9% Wage tax
42.8%
SACHSEN 2.8%
8.7%
75
42.0%
BRANDEBURG 1.6%
7.7%
41.7%
THÜRINGEN 1.5%
7.6%
41.7%
SACHSEN-ANHALT 1.5%
7.6%
41.1%
MECKLENBURG-VORPOMMERN 0.3%
7.3%
41.0%
SAARLAND 0.8%
6.8%
40.2%
BREMEN 0.7%
6.6%
Figure 5.3 Marginal retention rates in per cent for selected taxes collected by a state
16/12/2019 10:44
76 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
per cent. Of course, there is little incentive to increase tax collections under
these circumstances.
The marginal retention rates are highest for the local property tax, but
even this tax, which is acclaimed to be an ideal local tax because of its
immobile tax base and hence full local incidence, exhibits severe ‘leakages’
in Germany. From additional property tax, municipalities retain only
between 70 and 40 per cent according to the state they are in. The rest is
‘taxed’ through equalization.
A further aspect of the system is related to potential moral hazard by
state authorities. A transfer system that takes actual revenue and expendi-
tures into account, such as the federal supplementary grants, favours irre-
sponsible budget behaviour. Subnational governments are almost invited
to carry budget deficits, since they can expect, through the principle of
intergovernmental solidarity, to receive compensating grants to a large
degree. Hence, a state can spend more than corresponds to its original
fiscal capacity, knowing, or confiding in, that the community of states or
the federal government will ultimately bail it out. Although it is difficult to
prove such behaviour in practice, it is true that the Finanzausgleich and the
federal grants soften any hard budget constraint that may exist at the state
level. This entails economic inefficiencies and waste of public resources.
So, the reform 2020 of the German financial constitution does not touch
upon the fundamentals of the system, but simplifies (VAT allocations),
extends (higher share of municipal taxes; federal supplementary grants)
and also reduces the scale of progressivity. Like after unification, agree-
ment among the states was once again reached by the federal government
tossing in additional own resources. However, the federal government also
acquired more constitutional powers than before.
The Constitution stipulates the ‘creation of equivalent living condi-
tions’ in Germany, and a comparable performance of tasks in the case
of different economic conditions among states. This is to be achieved by
vertical and horizontal equalization as discussed. However, the new rules
from 2020 onwards are unlikely to noticeably counteract the increas-
ing inequality in the distribution of general funds and total available
revenues.
The new financial equalization system also falls short in terms of transparency.
Many special regulations and new interdependencies between the Federal
Government and the Länder are creating new systemic dependencies. And it
can be assumed that the federal government will let its more powerful position
vis-à-vis the Länder be felt.12
Taxes
38% Trade tax
12% VAT share
2%
79
Local excises
Fees
and expense taxes
8%
5%
Property tax
5%
Other revenue
14%
16/12/2019 10:44
80 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
Table 5.3
The variation of tax rates (Hebesätze) among German
municipalities*
Note: * Excepting outliers. The tax rate is uniform and incorporated in the taxable base.
The Hebesatz (leverage ratio) allows the increase of that rate implicitly.
Sources: Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder (2017); own calculations.
own revenue. This is true in particular for the trade tax where municipali-
ties compete for investors through attractive rates.14
From the state share of the total revenue of joint taxes, a percentage to be deter-
mined by the state legislation shall flow to the municipalities and associations of
municipalities. Moreover, the state legislation determines whether and to what
extent the revenue of the state taxes accrues to the municipalities (associations
of municipalities).
The resulting ‘gap’ is not fully equalized. Equalization transfers may cover
between 50 and 90 per cent of the fiscal gap.
All federal states assume that the demand for public services does not
grow proportionally with the size of a municipality. Instead, larger cities
provide infrastructure and related services (including for the surrounding
area) that smaller cities do not have: public transport, schools, clinics,
museums, theatres – that grow disproportionately with the size of the
municipality. They also have greater responsibilities in social protection to
cope with: the unemployed and other transfer recipients such as migrants
are often concentrated in the cities, and facilities and services to cope
with their needs must be made available. Municipal financial equaliza-
tion, which is based on a per capita financial requirement, takes this into
account by giving greater weight to the population figures of larger cities
(Einwohnerveredelung).
Finally, some states also account for special needs (Sonderbedarfe)
such as culture, transportation of pupils, and so on, and for area size, in
particular for rural counties. In other Länder social burdens are taken into
account, for example, on the basis of the number of unemployed. Also, in
most Länder the needs-measurement figure is fictitious; it is not based on
actual financial needs, but determined in such a way that the Verbundmasse
provided for in the Land budget is actually exhausted by all the municipali-
ties of the respective type.
In the state of Hessen, for example, the municipal equalization fund con-
sists of about a quarter of the state resources from income tax, corporate
tax, VAT, motor vehicle tax, property transactions tax and the state share
of the municipal trade tax (Gewerbesteuer). Its size depends on an analysis
of financial needs in the past to establish vertical fiscal balance in a similar
vein as for federal-state relations. However, there are additional constraints
to be observed.
Table 5.4 Specific transfers from the Land Hessen to its municipalities
In Hessen, the State Court of Justice, with its ruling of 21 May 2013, has
specified two levels of financial resources to be observed for each munici-
pality: the ‘minimum financial envelope’ must be calculated in such a way
that the municipalities (i) can perform their compulsory tasks; and (ii) are
able to fulfil a minimum of voluntary tasks. This level of funding must be
ensured by the state irrespective of a municipality’s financial capacity. The
lynchpin of the resource distribution is, after all, the assumed financial
requirements of the municipalities. Its determination is often complex and
complicated, and is often at the centre of court disputes.
In addition to general revenue in the form of equalization payments,
municipalities may also receive transfers for specific municipal functions.
These are given for both recurrent and investment purposes. Examples of
these functions are given in Table 5.4.
In addition to these conventional instruments, many Länder have set
up their own programmes to support structurally indebted municipalities,
for which they have found imaginative names (e.g. ‘protective umbrella’ or
‘strengthening pact’). Finally, there are always support programmes and
special allocations outside regular municipal equalization, in particular the
co-financing of municipal projects.
There are a very limited number of programmes where the federation (via
the state) may co-finance local government activities indirectly. According
to article 104b of the Constitution the federation may grant financial aid
to the Länder for particularly significant investments by the Länder and
the municipalities (associations of municipalities) in order (i) to prevent
a disturbance of the macroeconomic equilibrium; (ii) to balance different
economic strengths; or (iii) to promote economic growth. However, it may
only provide such funding where it has legislative powers; all objects and
measures that fall within the competence of the state are not eligible for
funding.
However, the federal government can grant the states financial assis-
tance for nationally important investments by financially weak local
governments in the area of municipal education infrastructure (art. 104c).
Also, the area of urban renewal and development remains a mixed-funded
investment area, to which the federal government can provide financial
assistance to be specified in the budget. Previously, the federal government
had also responsibility for municipal transport financing (in part) and the
promotion of housing, yet these responsibilities have been transferred
to the states through a reform on federalism in 2006. The corresponding
federal grants continue, but will no longer be earmarked for a specific
purpose, and their use was consigned to the budgetary autonomy of the
states. The aim was to strengthen state autonomy more generally. However,
the states will pass on some of these resources to municipalities in the form
of co-financing or matching grants.
Local mass transportation is an area in which the federal government
had taken interest by supporting integrated local transport systems and
creating incentives for internalizing regional spillovers and fostering inter-
municipal cooperation. For this purpose, federal legislation had provided
financial aid to the states to improve the conditions for municipal mass
transportation (Gemeindeverkehrsfinanzierungsgesetz). However, this co-
financing was criticized as blurring political accountabilities and setting
wrong incentives. In 2007 co-financing between the federation and state
governments was hence terminated by the Law on Disentanglement
(Enflechtungsgesetz), except for some areas (such as regional economic
development) that are enumerated in articles 91a-c of the Constitution.
Yet co-financing local mass transportation through matching grants
remains a powerful instrument at the state level. Matching grants are prob-
ably the only financial instrument with positive incentives in Germany.
While this author has advocated for intergovernmental joint financing in
the past,16 it is doubtful whether this kind of incentivizing is appropriate
in all circumstances.
Where the matching share of the state is too high (as in the case of mass
transportation: 70 per cent of construction costs in Hessen), there is a
risk that projects are carried through only because of the grant, and for
little other reasons. This may be different where the share is to compensate
vertical spillover effects that are measurable.
Performance-based transfers among government do not exist in
Germany, which fully respects the sovereignty of states and the financial
autonomy of municipalities. Paternalistic financial instruments such as
grants based on performance indicators do not fit in such an environment.
It is difficult enough to conceive intergovernmental finances in a way to
keep the system reasonably incentive-neutral, for example to avoid implicit
penalties for making an extra effort in raising taxes through better admin-
istration and collection. Given the high degree of interstate redistribution
through equalization and the provisions that govern municipal finances
this modest goal remains unrealistic in Germany.
NOTES
1. Indeed, centralizing such principles is the rule, but uniform or analogous principles can
also be established through horizontal coordination among states. In Germany this
is achieved in conferences of state ministries and conforming treaties among govern-
ments. One prominent example is the cooperation in education and culture through the
Kultusministerkonferenz.
2. The concept was, however, influential on European legislation, which has the instru-
ment of ‘directives’. It requires member states to achieve a particular result without
dictating the means of achieving it.
3. More precisely: a mainly population-driven equalization yardstick.
4. The horizontal distribution of business taxes is not without problems, however. The
regional allocation of the corporate and the local business taxes adopt formulae to
count for firms with multiple regional activities (Zerlegungsgesetz). The formulae are
mainly based on wages (for the producers and distributors of energy: on capital). The
same is true for the local business tax (Gewerbesteuergesetz).
5. It should be noted, however, that the federal government was partially compensated by
higher federal taxes (in particular on mineral oil) and by a federal ‘solidarity’ surcharge
on the income tax.
6. State taxes are defined in paragraph 7(1) Finanzausgleichsgesetz (FAG).
7. A uniform state tax regime is, of course, immune against horizontal tax competition
among states in a legal sense. However, there could be incentives for the states to relax
their tax administration in an effort to attract and foster economic activities in their
jurisdiction. Such incentives are to be expected if the shortfall of revenue from lenient
tax administration is fully compensated through equalizing grants, which is true for a
number of states in Germany. Although there has been suspicion of leniency in some
instances, it is, of course, difficult to prove in practice. The redistribution effects follow-
ing the primary allocation of taxes will also induce lenient states (strategical reasons,
administrative inertia, weaker tax compliance where authorities are seen to be lenient)
to go on with their practice since they may make up 92 per cent of the difference through
equalization.
8. In Switzerland, the cantons also participate in a horizontal revenue equalization scheme
complementary to the vertical confederation-canton equalizing scheme.
9. The equalization yardstick also accounts for tax revenues of the state’s municipalities
(at 64 per cent). The weighting procedure for the population is ruled in paragraph 9(2)
FAG for the states, and in paragraph 9(3) FAG for local governments. For local taxes,
of which municipalities can vary the tax rate, an average national tax rate is used to
standardize revenue. The differential weights for city-states and larger municipalities
can be interpreted as accounting for some ‘agglomeration costs’ of larger jurisdictions.
The higher weighing of population (between 102 and 105 per cent) for local taxes of
the Eastern states Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Brandenburg and Sachsen-Anhalt is
motivated by their sparse population.
10. To ensure the sum of the adjustment amounts corresponds with the sum of the
adjustment payments, the adjustment amounts are either increased or decreased by a
corresponding percentage.
11. See Wissenschaftlicher Beirat (2015).
12. See Holler and Nürnberger (2017); own translation.
13. In particular, differences in municipal tax rates are evened out to ensure that high taxing
municipalities do not have to share their individual tax ‘effort’ with higher-level jurisdic-
tions (incentive neutrality).
14. It should be noted, however, that revenue from trade tax, which is also very sensitive to
the business cycle, is not the only decision parameter for local decision makers. Most
municipalities would value the location of firms probably more under the aspect of job
creation and job security.
15. There is hence no ‘brotherly’ horizontal equalization at the municipal (except for
Brandenburg and Schleswig-Holstein).
16. Spahn (2015).
REFERENCES
6.1
GENERAL FEATURES OF THE US GRANT
SYSTEM
A. Aggregate Amounts
Figure 6.1 shows the amount of grants, both as a share of the federal budget
and as a share of GDP, from 1960 to 2017. The grant percentage went from
7.6 per cent in 1960 to 15.5 per cent in 1980, fell back to 11 per cent in 1990,
rose to almost 17 per cent in 2011, and has remained at that level since 2011.
As a share of GDP, grants followed a similar pattern, rising in post-recessions
periods, and falling somewhat during recovery periods. In 2017 federal grants
equalled 3.5 per cent of GDP, greater than any year other than 2011.
86
20
Recession Years Highlighted ACA Medicaid Expansion Begins
15
Percentage
10
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
year
B. Grant Characteristics
Grants are just one component of the fiscal relationship between the fed-
eral government and subnational governments.8 Tax expenditures under
the federal income tax, equal to almost 20 per cent of federal grants, also
6.2
FISCAL EQUALIZATION UNDER THE
FEDERAL GRANTS SYSTEM
At the federal level, the US relies on categorical aid, typically with match-
ing requirements, to provide assistance to particular target populations
or areas.13 The most important categorical programme is the open-ended
matching grant for Medicaid. The federal government matches eligible state
expenditures using a formula known as the Federal Medical Assistance
Percentage (FMAP). The FMAP is inverse to a state’s per capita personal
income (as measured by the average of the three most recently available
years of data), relative to national per capita income, with lower and upper
bounds of 50 and 83 per cent. The formula is
(statepci) 2
FMAP 512 c d *0.45, 0.5 , FMAP , 0.8314 (6.1)
(natrlpci) 2
Evidence suggests that the price incentive under the matching grant has
been successful in inducing increased spending on healthcare for the poor
(Carlino and Inman, 2016). However, despite highly favourable matching
rates for low-income states, adequacy varies widely across states (Holahan,
2003).
While the Medicaid formula does not take direct account of differences
in need across states, to the extent that per capita income is negatively cor-
related with the percentage of the population eligible for services, the vari-
able matching rate goes some way towards addressing differential needs.
Fiscal bargaining between states and the federal government over the
effective matching rate has also been used, though unevenly, to compensate
for differential costs.15, 16
The income factor in the FMAP provides a measure of risk sharing as
states’ relative economic positions change over time. However, the lower
bound of 50 per cent mitigates the degree of fiscal equalization in the dis-
tribution of federal funds. Over time the distribution of federal Medicaid
funds has shifted towards the richer states, despite the favourable matching
rates enjoyed by poorer states, suggesting that for higher income states
income effects outweigh price effects. The lower bound on the matching
rate is crucial in this regard. If the relative income of states at the 50 per
cent lower bound increases, there is no additional price effect to offset
the increased demand for medical services for the poor that accompanies
increased fiscal resources. An enhanced FMAP (30 per cent above the
regular FMAP) is also used to distribute funds under the Children’s
Health Insurance Program (SCHIP), which provides capped funding for
health insurance for children who are not Medicaid-eligible but live in
low-income families.17
The Affordable Care Act (2010) represents the latest effort to expand
health services for low-income persons, providing coverage up to 138 per
cent of the Federal Poverty Line. Given the budgetary pressure on states
from rapid growth in traditional Medicaid spending, (almost) full federal
financing of the expansion was a necessary condition for the bill’s passage.
As of this writing, 36 states had accepted the expansion, with a number of
the 14 non-expansion states likely to do so in the near future.
With the exception of Medicaid, all major grant programmes are capped
in total amount, with distributions based on population and a variety of
other criteria. Highway funds are distributed based on population and
road miles, with minimum amounts for small states.18 Urban transporta-
tion funds are based on population and passenger miles. School subsidies,
community development, social services and child care block grants use
poverty counts. Capital programmes have high matching rates, but are
capped in amount. Minimum grant constraints and grandfathering of
prior levels of aid tend to push block grants and capped matching aid
towards equal per capita distributions across states.
Gordon et al. (2016) evaluate grant distributions using the fiscal gap
approach, defined as the difference between revenue capacity plus federal
grants, and expenditure need. States with the largest negative gaps are
Fiscal equalization, while not a primary feature of the federal grant system,
is important at the subnational level. Between 2012 and 2016 about 37 per
cent of local general revenue came from intergovernmental grants. Grants
from states make up almost 90 per cent of that aid, with the remainder
from the federal government.19
In 2016, 60 per cent of all state aid was for elementary and secondary
education, comprising 47 per cent of local education revenues (US Census
Bureau, 2016). Federal aid provided 8 per cent of school revenues. The
major trend in state aid in the US has been an increase in the state share
of education finance, and the incorporation of equalization criteria in
the distribution of aid to local schools.20 Before the 1970s, state aid was
typically distributed to local school districts on a per pupil basis. Because
property, the base for the main local revenue source, is unequally distrib-
uted, even aid distributed on a per pupil basis is equalizing as compared
to local financing. Evans et al. (1997) find that, under the impetus of a
number of court decisions, state aid for education became more equalizing
over time.21 The General Accounting Office (GAO, 1998) found an average
state equalization effort of 62 per cent in 1997, where 100 per cent would
imply that each school district could attain the statewide spending per
pupil with an average fiscal effort.22 Notably, equalization was increased
more by increasing the state share of total financing then by greater
targeting of state aid to poorer districts. However, the degree of equaliza-
tion differed substantially across states. Federal aid, though small relative
to total funding (7 per cent), was highly targeted to poor students, and
increased spending on poor students by 77 per cent. For a sample of 149
big US cities, Chernick and Reschovsky (2018) found that education aid
was by far the most equalizing of all categories of state aid, but the range
across states was substantial.23, 24
While state aid is equalizing, direct federal aid to cities is positively
correlated with local tax capacity (Chernick and Reschovsky, 2018).
This pattern does not appear to be due to differences in poverty rates,
but instead may reflect the greater ability of richer cities to negotiate the
administrative procedures for obtaining federal aid, and enhanced ability
to satisfy matching or MOE requirements (Chernick, 1979).25
0.36
Grant Shares Following Recession
0.34
grant shr state rev
0.32
0.30
0.28
0.26
1990 2000 2010 2020
year
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Survey of State Government Finances, various years.
s upplemental aid went to states and local governments. In 2003 and 2004
some $20B was allocated to states, half on a per capita basis, and half
in enhanced Medicaid funding. Responses in both periods have been
criticized as being both for being poorly targeted in terms of need, and
lacking in timeliness, with funds arriving after the recessions had already
ended (GAO, 2004).
Fiscal relief to state and local governments in the aftermath of the Great
Recession dwarfed any of the prior amounts post-World War II. The bulk
of the $300B in funds was earmarked for the two largest categories of
state and local spending, health and education, $90B for Medicaid, and
$100B for education. The remaining funds went for assistance to low-
income families ($18B), for unemployment compensation ($39B) and for
infrastructure spending ($58B).
In contrast to the timing problem of prior countercyclical fiscal assis-
tance programmes, in which funds typically arrived too late, fiscal relief
to states under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
(ARRA) was delivered on a relatively timely basis. However, the rapid
drawdown of ARRA funds to states after 2011 can be criticized as hap-
pening too fast. Not only was the drop in state tax revenue in the Great
Recession the sharpest since the Depression, but the recovery has also been
the slowest. In 2015, six years after the official end of the recession, fiscal
pressure on states and cities remained severe. For example, in large cities
the two most important sources of local government revenue, the property
tax and state aid, were only slightly higher in 2015 than they were in 2000
(Chernick and Reschovsky, 2018).26
In both the 2001 and 2007–09 recessions, enhanced Medicaid matching
rates were used as a vehicle for fiscal relief. In 2003, the Medicaid matching
rate (FMAP) was increased by 2.95 percentage points for five quarters.
From 2009 to 2011, the federal matching rate was increased by at least 6.2
percentage points for all states, with additional matching rate supplements
for high unemployment states, and a hold-harmless provision in matching
rate adjustments for states whose relative income had increased.27 Given
the size of the Medicaid programme, a temporary increase in the federal
matching rate has proved to be an efficacious way to increase federal sup-
port to states during recessions.
A uniform increase in the federal matching share makes the increase
in federal Medicaid payments proportional to the amount of prior state
spending. This approach sidesteps the difficult political issue of win-
ners and losers in the distribution of incremental assistance. In 2009,
the variation in matching rate enhancement based on differences in the
increase in unemployment was small relative to the uniform increase. As a
consequence, more than a third of relief payments went to the five states
In 2010, per capita federal grant amounts vary widely across states. High
grant states include some small population states – Montana, North and
South Dakota and Wyoming – high spending states in the northeast –
New York, Vermont and Maine – and very poor states – Mississippi and
Louisiana. The four lowest grant states were Virginia, Nevada, Colorado
and Utah. Florida and Texas also received a relatively small amount of aid
on a per capita basis. The basic patterns were similar in 2017 (Rockefeller
Institute, 2018).
Grants are only one component of the fiscal flows between central and
subnational governments. Another important component is direct federal
spending, particularly for national defence. Whether intentional or not, a
case can be made that the US substitutes military spending for equalizing
grants, using its exceptionally large national defence budget to redistribute
resources to the poorest regions of the country. In 1997, per capita defence
spending (prime contract awards plus compensation) was almost equal to
grants ($762 versus $870) (GAO, 1998). Comparing spending by the four
census regions, outlays for defence were equal to 4.5 per cent of income
in the South, compared to an average of 2.8 per cent in the others, while
per capita income in the South was 9 per cent lower than the rest of the
country.33, 34 This distribution reflects population-based rules, combined
with strong support for military spending in the South, and the success of
southern legislators in controlling key congressional committees (Carsey
and Rundquist, 1998). These results suggest that if defence spending were
included together with intergovernmental grants, the negative fiscal gaps
for poor states found by Gordon et al. are likely to be substantially reduced
or even eliminated.
An even broader perspective on fiscal flows is to include both taxes
paid to the federal government and federal expenditures, to arrive at a
‘balance of payments’ estimate for each state. A recent study finds that
the poorer the state, the larger the positive balance of payments (Schultz
and Cummings, 2019). The main explanatory factor is differential federal
income and payroll taxes by region.35
6.4
EFFECT OF GRANTS-IN-AID ON STATE AND
LOCAL EXPENDITURES
The fiscal impact of grants may range from full substitution of grant for
recipient dollars, to fully additive effects or even to stimulating state and local
spending. Fiscal impacts are likely to vary over time, by type of grant (match-
ing versus lump-sum), by the degree of conditionality (categorical versus
block grant) and by the extent to which any MOE requirements are binding.
At the macro level, Figure 6.3 shows federal grants and state and local
own revenues by year. Over most of the period from 1970 to 2017, both
own revenues and federal grants increased in tandem.36 During recession
periods, particularly the years following the 2007–09 recession, federal
grants increase as state–local revenues decline.37 The overall pattern of
grant supplementation reflects joint federal-state funding of Medicaid, the
largest and fastest growing federal grant.
2,000
2009–2011
1,500
Bars denote Recession Periods
2001
1,000
1990
500
0
1960 1980 2000 2020
year
An early paper by Gramlich and Galper (1973) found that state fiscal
responses to unrestricted aid were approximately equally divided between
spending increases, tax reductions and increases in state savings. Carlino
and Inman (2016) find that a dollar increase in federal aid through higher
federal matching rates leads to an additional 70 cents in spending for lower
income households, with the rest of the response going to tax relief and an
increase in state savings, at least partially funded by a reduction in other
state spending.38 By contrast, a dollar increase in project aid (largely for
infrastructure and education) is equally divided between increased spend-
ing and increased public sector savings.
The long-run average annual rate of growth in Medicaid spending is
striking, equal to 6.25 per cent per year from 1996 to 2019, and exceeding
the average rate of increase in state revenues (Rudowitz et al., 2018). The
increase is due to both increased enrolments and increased spending per
beneficiary, particularly for the aged and disabled.39 State dollars spent
on Medicaid have gone from 12 per cent of own-source revenues in 2000
to 17 per cent in 2012, and remained since at that level.40 The increase
in Medicaid’s share of state revenues has led to concern that Medicaid
growth is crowding out other state spending areas, particularly education
and other welfare spending.41
States’ fiscal incentives for redistribution changed when Aid to Families
with Dependent Children (AFDC) was converted to a block grant under
the welfare reform Act of 1996. Because the amount of aid is fixed, states
must bear the full cost of any increase in the welfare rolls, but realize the
full savings from a decline in the rolls. States were constrained in how much
they could reduce their own spending on cash assistance by MOE require-
ments, set in nominal dollars. The main state response to the Temporary
Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) block grant has been to freeze or
decrease cash assistance, by promoting a rapid reduction in the number of
people getting assistance. When it was created in 1996, the federal TANF
block grant was funded at $16.5B per year. It has remained at that nominal
level since. While the lifetime limits on welfare receipt have clearly played a
role, the decline in welfare spending suggests that the change from an open-
ended matching grant to a fixed block grant has had a powerful effect in
reducing overall spending on cash assistance to the poor, and in increasing
inequalities across states (Ayala et al., 2017).42
A widely discussed effect of grants-in-aid is the so-called flypaper
effect, under which the impact of a dollar of aid on recipient spending
greatly exceeds the impact of a comparable increase in resident income
(Inman, 2009). One explanation is that the fiscal terms on which the
grant is awarded may be misidentified. Administrative discretion in the
awarding of project grants may lead to greater amounts of aid awarded
following the 2007–09 recession, the increase in federal grants for capital
spending was not sufficient to offset the severe fiscal stress states and
localities faced from the declining economy. Between 2009 and 2013, state
and local capital outlays fell by 20 per cent (Fisher and Sullivan, 2016).46
Gramlich and Galper (1973) find that about half of what they term C
grants (categorical grants with closed-end matching) increase spending,
while the other half goes to tax relief. Fisher and Wassmer (2015) find
a low elasticity of state/local capital expenditures with respect to federal
grants, but a higher elasticity for stimulus funds following the Great
Recession. Estimates of the fiscal impact of highway grants range from full
displacement to actually stimulating spending from own resources. At the
aggregate level, the high shares of federal monies in water and transporta-
tion suggest that capital grants in these functional areas may be displacing
at least some state and local effort. Announcement effects, wherein the
prospect of award of discretionary capital grants leads states or cities to
defer projects, may also contribute to substitution.47 However, state and
local capital spending is sensitive to the business cycle, and augmented fed-
eral capital grants in periods of recession have clearly helped to maintain
capital spending, or to reduce the magnitude of cuts.
6.5 CONCLUSION
wide variation in coverage and benefits across states. Though rapid growth
in healthcare spending under Medicaid may lead to lower spending in
other functional areas, the welfare implications of this shift are ambiguous,
depending on programme effectiveness and the social value states assign to
public spending on different groups.
Education is primarily a local function in the US, though almost half
of all revenues come from state aid. The equalizing effect of state aid
has increased over time, bolstered by an increase in state dollars and
the incorporation of equalization criteria into state education formulae.
Nonetheless, wide disparities both across and within states persist.
Grants play an important role as countercyclical fiscal instruments,
increasing both in amount and in share of state revenues in times of reces-
sion and providing a buffer against reduced tax revenues and increased
expenditure needs. Fiscal relief to states following the 2007–09 recession,
through enhanced Medicaid matching rates and an increase in school aid,
dwarfed any of the prior efforts following World War II. Research suggests
that fiscal relief to states played an important role in maintaining services,
enhancing capital investment and stimulating state economies.
Overall grant distributions have moved away from equal per capita
towards favouring richer states, due to their higher Medicaid expenditures.
However, as a share of state revenue, federal grants favour states with high
concentrations of poverty and limited tax collections. Federal military
expenditures in the US, almost equal in magnitude to grants-in-aid, tend to
offset any tendency for grants to favour high-income states.
At the macro level, grants are roughly additive to own revenues, a direct
result of the open-ended matching requirement for Medicaid. However,
conversion from open-ended matching to fixed block grants for cash assis-
tance has been accompanied by a sharp drop in spending, and an increase
in interstate benefit differentials. The stimulus effect of other categorical
aid varies depending on the size of the grant and the degree of specificity.
The literature on substitution for capital grants is ambiguous, with results
ranging from full to very little substitution.
The US grants system distributes large amounts of fiscal resources to
incentivize states and their localities to provide services to the poor, and
enhance their capital stocks. While there is some modest fiscal equaliza-
tion, interstate and intrastate differences in spending for redistribution and
education, both between and within states, remain substantial. One lesson
is that federal attempts to induce spending on the poor must be accom-
panied by very strong financial carrots. Mandates alone are insufficient,
and untied funds are ineffective. Capital grants, though politically salient,
may in some cases lead to displacement of own state fiscal resources, sug-
gesting that enhanced federal spending on infrastructure must be carefully
NOTES
* I would like to thank William Fox, Richard Bird, Serdar Yilmaz and Farah Zahir for
helpful comments on earlier drafts.
1. In 2008, the last year before the great recession (2007–09), over 15 per cent of the federal
budget went for grants, which then comprised about 27 per cent of state and local own-
source revenues. Between 2009 and 2011 the amount and budget share of federal grants
were augmented by $216B of stimulus funds to state governments and local school
districts as part of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA). In
addition, beginning in 2014, the Affordable Care Act’s federally funded expansion of
eligibility for Medicaid, the programme of health insurance for low-income individuals.
2. Gordon (2018) provides a concise review of the US grants system, and considers
changes in distributional criteria to target the economic development of lagging regions.
3. Knight (2005) finds evidence for the ability of proposal committee members to increase
federal project grant allocations to their own congressional districts.
4. One such example was the 1974 Community Development Block Grant (CDBG), which
combined seven categorical grants into a single grant for community development.
5. Theory suggests that the greater the degree of specificity of grant earmarking, the
more likely is the grant to at least initially increase spending on that particular category.
However, over time the fiscal impact of narrow categorical grants may diminish, if
recipients are able to reduce spending in closely related categories of spending. Evidence
on the fiscal response of recipient governments to earmarking is discussed in Section
6.4.
6. See the discussion by Gillette (2004) on the role of categorical and block grants in
Sweden.
7. For example, spending was equal to $5.3B in 2017, but rose to $20B in 2018.
8. While most federal grants are funded from general revenues, one of the largest grant
programmes, for transportation, is funded by an earmarked tax on gasoline. The tax,
currently at a rate of 18.3 cents per gallon, is used to pay for highway construction and
mass transit projects.
9. Arguments for allowing SALT deductibility, in terms of reducing interstate tax competi-
tion, offsetting differential costs of the public sector and encouraging subnational tax
progressivity, are discussed in Chernick (2018).
10. Even more broadly, the federal government and the states must ultimately share the
same tax base, and are thus in potential competition for tax revenues (Chernick and
Tennant, 2010; Gordon and Cullen, 2012).
11. The ratio of per capita income of the five richest states to the five poorest states
increased from 1.44 to 1.64 between 1980 and 2016.
12. In theory, the equalization grant could actually be negative for states with positive fiscal
residuals, implying little or no net cost to the federal treasury. In this case, the grant
would represent a pure horizontal transfer. For political (and legal) reasons, negative
grants have never been used in the US.
13. The only such grant was general revenue sharing (GRS), enacted under President Nixon
in 1972, and ended completely under President Reagan in 1986. In 1978, GSR made up
about 9 per cent of total grants. The formula for distribution, which took into account
both state income and fiscal effort, and was reflective of the need to build a broad
coalition of support, meant that there was relatively little fiscal equalization under GRS
(Sawicky, 2001). This result is consistent with the primary rationale for GRS, which was
not to offset differences in fiscal conditions between states or localities, but to address
vertical fiscal imbalances between the federal government and the states (Heller and
Pechman, 1967).
14. In 2019, 14 states are at the lower bound, while the highest federal share (Mississippi) is
74 per cent. In 2000, 11 states were at the lower bound, while the highest federal share
was 76 per cent. While the poorest states have consistently received the highest federal
shares since the FMAP was first instituted in 1961, the identity of a number of states at
the lower bound has changed considerably.
15. Another factor in the expansion of Medicaid has been the maximization strategies
employed by states to increase Medicaid funding. Since the 1990s, the federal share of
Medicaid spending has grown more rapidly than the state share in certain states because
the federal government helps to finance extra hospital spending for states with high
levels of charity care. In the past, the Medicaid programme has allowed states to satisfy
the matching requirement for this type of spending with a variety of special financing
devices. These strategies have increased the overall Medicaid matching rate from 56 per
cent to almost 60 per cent. One may view this process as part of the ongoing bargaining
relationship between the federal government and the states, in which the states try to
extract additional federal financing as the price for expanding coverage or services. In
this interpretation, Medicaid maximization strategies are but one step in the historical
evolution of the financing of health insurance for low-income individuals (Ku and
Coughlin, 1992).
16. For example, Ohio was at 50 per cent in 1967, and is now at 63 per cent.
17. The programme has an MOE requirement for eligibility and spending, and an 88 per
cent federal matching rate. Because funding is capped globally and for most states, there
is typically no price reduction at the margin.
18. The federal matching rate is 80 per cent.
19. A portion of federal grants to states are ‘passed through’ to localities. Hence, the 5 per
cent figure for federal grants to local governments understates the total fiscal impact of
federal grants to local governments. It was not possible to get an overall estimate of the
amount of pass-through aid. For the city of New York, budget data suggest that such
aid is roughly equal to 5 per cent of total city revenues.
20. The equalization goal is typically reflected in aid programmes which make state funds a
function of the gap between own property tax base and the average base, multiplied by
the average property tax rate in the state. A number of states also include cost factors in
the formulae.
21. They found that in 1992 equalization criteria removed almost half of the inequality in
spending that would have occurred if aid were distributed on a per pupil basis.
22. To address cost differentials, the study uses a cost index for teachers in its calculations,
but ignores cost differentials due to differences in the demographic composition of the
student body. The resultant cost differences are quite important (Reschovsky, 1994).
23. The simple correlation between state aid and a representative tax system measure of city
fiscal capacity was negative (ρ 5 20.32), while other state aid was positively correlated
with city fiscal capacity (ρ 5 0.23).
24. Since 2000, both the negative correlation for state aid and the positive correlation for
other types of state aid have increased. For example, in 2014 state aid’s share of city
spending on education was 85 per cent or more for the ten highest share cities, compared
to less than 39 per cent for the ten lowest share cities. For the period 2000–14, the cor-
relation between state aid and city fiscal capacity, not taking account of differences in
expenditure need, was a negative 0.55 in Texas, 0.49 in New York, 0.28 in California, and
a positive 0.03 in Florida.
25. This interpretation is strengthened by the finding that direct federal aid to cities is
unusually stimulative, with an extra dollar of federal aid associated with more than an
extra dollar of total spending (Chernick, 2017).
26. The main reason for the sharp decline in property tax revenues was the decline in home
values that followed the bursting of the housing bubble in 2006 (Chernick et al., 2018).
27. The unemployment-based adjustment to the federal share was roughly half of the basic
adjustment, with larger states tending to receive greater increases than smaller states.
28. Holahan and Garett (2009) find a strong relationship between changes in unemploy-
ment and expansion in the Medicaid rolls. However, Chernick and Reimers (2019) find
only a very weak relationship between the increase in state unemployment rates from
2007 to 2010 and the overall increase in Medicaid spending. The same lack of a strong
relationship holds for the increase in the percentage of the population below 200 per
cent of the federal poverty line.
29. Carlino and Inman (2016) estimate that the 10 percentage point increase in the fed-
eral Medicaid matching share under the ARRA increased spending for poor families
by about $70 for each $100 of federal spending. The added federal price incentive led
to a reduction in other state spending, and an increase in government saving and tax
relief.
30. Given the dominant role of Medicaid in the federal grant system, and the fact that the
non-expansion states are on average poorer than the expansion states, the Supreme
Court’s decision to make Medicaid expansion optional has undoubtedly made the
federal grant system less equalizing than before. At the time of writing, 14 states have
declined to take the Medicaid expansion.
31. For the year 2009, I estimate an elasticity of taxes per capita with respect to personal
income of about 1.0.
32. High share states include Mississippi and Kentucky, low share states include Virginia
and Kansas, while middle share states include New York and California.
33. When one divides the US into nine census divisions, as opposed to four regions, high
defence spending is concentrated primarily in ‘Division 5’ (Delaware, the District of
Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North and South Carolina, Virginia and West
Virginia) as opposed to the other states in the South.
34. The distribution of defence spending can be addressed by regressing 1997 per capita
defence spending by state on region and state per capita income.
SPENDPC: Per capita amounts by State for Prime Contract Awards and Compensation,
Department of Defense.
All variables are significant at the 5 per cent level or higher.
The omitted region in the above regression is the South, indicating that, controlling
for income, average defence spending is almost $1,000 lower in the Northeast and the
Midwest than in the South. The fact that per capita income has a positive effect on
defence spending suggests that the concentration of defence spending in the South is not
due to lower wages in that region.
35. By region, southern states tend to have relatively large positive balances, while states in
the Northeast have the largest negative balances. The balance of payments results are
primarily a result of the interaction between regional income disparities and graduated
income taxation.
36. This visual picture is supported by regression analysis showing that for every dollar
increase in federal grants, state–local revenues increased by $2.
37. The decline in state–local receipts reflects the sharp drop in tax revenues from a decline
in state and local tax bases in the aftermath of a deep and prolonged recession, rather
than a choice to decrease tax rates on a stable base (Dadayan and Boyd, 2013).
38. These estimates translate into an elasticity of welfare spending with respect to the price
−0.43, within the range reported by Chernick (1998) for the AFDC programme.
39. The latter category now comprises two-thirds of all Medicaid spending.
40. Eight states spent more than 20 per cent of their own revenue on Medicaid, while five
states spent less than 10 per cent.
41. Kane et al. (2005) find that Medicaid crowds out higher education spending. In a
c omment, Inman (2005) argues that the instruments used by these authors are not valid,
and that Medicaid spending represents a choice by states. Baicker (2001) finds that
federal mandates to enhance Medicaid coverage have the effect of crowding out other
types of welfare expenditures.
42. The spending reduction effect has been more powerful than predicted from analyses of
the effect of variation in matching rates on welfare spending prior to TANF (Chernick,
1998).
43. Chernick and Reschovsky (2018) found that cities with higher fiscal capacity received
more direct federal aid.
44. Adjustments in staffing levels for non-government agencies than for government
employees are likely to be more rapid, as cities shift the risk underlying uncertain
resource flows to the non-profits.
45. Capping the amount of grant dollars to any one recipient allows a spreading of federal
resources among more recipients, thus increasing political support for the grant.
46. These cuts are similar to the patterns for large cities, where capital outlays declined by
19 per cent from their peak in 2009, the most of any category of city spending.
47. There has been some concern in the literature that federal funding of capital as opposed
to operating expenses can lead to inefficiencies. Cromwell (1989) finds that federal
capital grants for mass transportation have led to premature replacement of older buses
by newer ones. However, the degree of inefficiency is not particularly large.
REFERENCES
2019 at https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/medicaid-enrollment-spending
-growth-fy-2018-2019.
Sawicky, M. (2001). ‘An Ideal whose Time has Returned: Anti-Recession Fiscal
Assistance for State and Local Governments.’ Economic Policy Institute.
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Schultz, L. and M. Cummings (2019). ‘Giving or Getting? New York’s Balance of
Payments with the Federal Government – 2019 Report.’ Rockefeller Institute of
Government. Accessed February 13, 2019 at https://rockinst.org/wp-content/
uploads/2019/01/1-7-19b-Balance-of-Payments.pdf.
Schultze, C. (1974). ‘Sorting Out the Social Grant Programs: An Economist’s
Criteria.’ American Economic Review, 64 (2),181–9.
Tax Foundation (2019). ‘Which States Rely the Most on Federal Aid?’ Accessed
February 13, 2019 at https://taxfoundation.org/federal-aid-reliance-rankings/.
U.S. Census (2017). ‘Annual Survey of School System Finances.’ 2017 Public
Elementary-Secondary Education Finance Data, Table 1. Accessed February 15,
2019 at https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/school-finances/data/tables.
html.
U.S. Office of Management and Budget. ‘Federal Budget History.’ Accessed
January 16, 2019 at https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/historical-tables/.
Weingast, B., K. Shepsle and C. Johnsen (1981). ‘The Political Economy of
Benefits and Costs: A Neoclassical Approach to Distributive Politics.’ Journal of
Political Economy, 89 (4), 642–64.
Yilmaz, Y., S. Hoo, M. Nagowski, K. Rueben and R. Tannenwald (2006). ‘Fiscal
Disparities across States, FY 2002.’ Urban Institute and the New England Public
Policy Center at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Washington, DC.
INTRODUCTION
109
Two institutional features should also be noted. First, Canada has a bicam-
eral parliament but the appointed upper house (Senate) does not have the
role of representing the regions. Second, while English and French are the
official languages of Canada (Constitution Act of 1982), only 18 per cent
of Canadians know both languages.3 Francophones are concentrated in
Québec, creating two fairly distinct labour markets in Canada.4
We now turn to a description of the key fiscal federalism arrangements.
7.1.2
Assignment of Spending/Regulatory Responsibilities and Taxation
Powers
income, exemptions, deductions and so on), their own rates and collect
their own taxes. In practice:
7.1.3.1 Equalization
Equalization was introduced in 1957 to facilitate the reintroduction by
provinces of PIT, CIT and succession duties, levied by provinces before
World War II, but ‘rented out’ to the federal government to finance the war
effort. It is a Representative Tax System (RTS) formula with no needs or
cost indicators. The main aspects are as follows.
The envelope and the allocation criteria are specified in federal legisla-
tion. The equalization programme has been formally reviewed a few times
(Gilbert and Vaillancourt, 2007); the last time was in 2004–06 (Expert
Panel on Equalization and Territorial Formula Financing, 2006).
(7.1)
The sum of equalization rights for each of the sources gives the equaliza-
tion payment that province j is entitled to receive for a given year. Provinces
for which the formula yields a negative amount do not need to pay; they
simply do not receive any equalization, that is, Canada has a gross equali-
zation scheme.
The number of revenue sources included started at three in 1957 but
over time has increased to take into account all types of provincial revenues
(sales taxes, liquor revenues, gambling). Before 2007, equalization amounts
were calculated for each such source. Since then, five tax bases are used to
calculate equalization.
From 1957 until 1967, the fiscal capacity of the two richest provinces
(two out of Alberta, British Columbia and Ontario, varying over time) was
the standard except for 1962–63 (national average). In 1967, the standard
became the national average fiscal capacity. From 1982 to 2007, the stand-
ard was the average of five ‘representative provinces’ (Québec, Ontario,
Manitoba, Saskatchewan and British Columbia); in 2007, it reverted to
the national average.
Currently (2019), the total equalization payments are determined by the
following calculations:8
1.
Calculate the two-year lagged, three-year weighted average (50 per
cent weight for the nearest and 25 per cent for each of the two furthest)
of non-resource fiscal capacity;
2. Calculate the same for resource fiscal capacity;
3.
Calculate the equalization entitlements as the highest for each province
with either zero or 50 per cent resource revenue inclusion;
4.
Calculate the equalization of each province so that it does not exceed
the Fiscal Capacity Cap (FCC, discussed below); and
Adjust the payments to each province to account for an overall (total)
5.
cap or floor on the sum of payments to provinces.
1.
When equalization-receiving provinces represent less than 50 per
cent of the Canadian population, the FCC is determined by the total
post-equalization per capita fiscal capacity of the lowest non-receiving
province (usually Ontario); or
When equalization-receiving provinces represent more than 50 per cent
2.
of the Canadian population (which means Ontario is a receiving prov-
ince), the FCC is determined as the average total post-equalization per
capita fiscal capacity of all equalization-receiving provinces.
was noted by Nadeau (2014), predicted by Eisen et al. (2017) and well
described by Tombe (2018b). Thus, in 2018–19, about 10 per cent of
equalization payments are due to the adjustment payment. Ontario
receives this payment even if it is not entitled to equalization since its total
fiscal capacity would be below that of any equalization-receiving province
without them, an upward adjustment based on the FCC concept. For
2019–20, this adjustment payment is only 2 per cent of equalization as
Ontario no longer receives it. The federal minister of finance does not
need to justify exceeding the floor; Tombe (2018b) argues that ‘whether
equalization does or doesn’t have a floor is ultimately a policy question
for the government’. It is also a political question; all receiving provinces
were given more than they would have received otherwise and thus none
complained.
History and legal aspects The CHT and the CST were established in 2004
(Finance Canada, 2014). They replaced the Canada Health and Social
Transfer (CHST) established in 1996, when the Established Programs
Financing (EPF) and the Canada Assistance Plan (CAP) transfers were
merged. The EPF had been created in 1977 as a block grant, replacing three
separate cost-sharing federal transfers: (1) Post-Secondary Education; (2)
Hospital Insurance and Diagnostic Services; and (3) Medical Care. The
CAP financed welfare on a 50-50 cost sharing basis. The amount (base
and growth) of the CHT and CST, both financed out of general federal
revenues, is decided unilaterally by the federal government. It has been
subject to various changes overtime.
The CHT requires the Medicare plan of a province to satisfy the
criteria of the Canada Health Act, which are: Public administration;
Comprehensiveness; Universality; Portability; Accessibility; Prohibition
of extra-billing and of user charges. Madore (2003) presents in detail
their exact meaning. Not respecting the prohibition requirement results
in a reduction in federal transfers equal to the amount thus collected.12
Provinces otherwise have great leeway in the organization, delivery and
type of services provided (Health Canada, 2015).
Financing Before 2014 the CHT resulted in a cash transfer to each prov-
ince, calculated according to the level of the national per capita transfer
set at the federal level, provincial population, and the value of tax points
transferred to provinces in 1977. The use of transferred tax points in cal-
culating cash transfers appears unique to Canadian fiscal federalism. Tax
points in lieu of cash transfers, while first used in 1960, became important
1.
Setting the size of the overall CHT envelope. The envelope was last
reset in dollar terms in 2005;15 it was indexed at 6 per cent per year
from 2006–07 until 2017–18. Starting in 2017–18, the total CHT
envelope grows in line with a three-year moving average of nominal
GDP growth, with a minimum annual growth of 3 per cent.
2.
Allocating the envelope to each province. CHT is allocated on an equal
per capita basis across provinces.
1.
Setting the size of the overall CST envelope. The envelope was last
reset in dollar terms in 2009;16 it grows automatically by 3 per cent per
year.
2.
Allocating the envelope to each province. The CST is allocated on an
equal per capita basis across all provinces.
Table 7.1 presents the main financial indicators of relevance. It shows that:
Year Transfers to Transfers Direct Total federal Provincial Federal Equalization CHT CST
persons as to other 1 debt spending revenues transfers as % ($000 000) ($000 000) ($000 000)
% of federal governments spending ($000 000) ($000 000) of provincial
spending as % of as % of revenues
federal federal
spending spending
116
2014–15 27.0 22.3 50.7 282 896 377 941 18.0 16 669 32 113 12 582
2015–16 27.8 22.1 50.1 298 314 385 695 19.0 17 341 34 026 12 959
2016–17 29.1 22.0 48.9 312 452 399 542 20.0 17 880 36 068 13 348
2017–18 28.2 21.2 50.6 332 567 422 459 19.0 18 254 37 150 13 748
Source: Finance Canada, Fiscal Reference Tables 7, 8, 9, 11 and 31–32 (accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.fin.gc.ca/frt-trf/2018/frt-trf-18-
eng.asp and accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.fin.gc.ca/fedprov/mtp-eng.asp).
16/12/2019 10:44
Federal finance arrangements in Canada 117
7.2
FISCAL IMBALANCE AND THE EVOLUTION
OF CANADA’S FEDERAL-PROVINCIAL FISCAL
ARRANGEMENTS17
The last three decades have seen a series of changes to Canada’s main
federal-provincial transfers, some of which were highlighted in the previ-
ous sections. This section provides a critical overview of some of these
developments.
7.2.1 The Fiscal Imbalance Debate in the Late 1990s and Early 2000s
The fiscal imbalance between the government of Canada and the Québec
government and, more generally, between the federal government and the prov-
inces, stems essentially from three separate causes, namely imbalance between
spending and access to sources of revenue, the inadequacy of intergovernmental
transfers from the federal government to the provinces and the ‘federal spending
power’.
In 2004, the need was felt by both the federal government and the
provinces to rethink the equalization programme once more. Two reports
would eventually be produced, one by the Council of the Federation20 and
one by the federal department of Finance (the O’Brien taskforce).
The O’Brien report’s main recommendations, all pertaining to the
equalization programme, were:
While the O’Brien and Séguin reports agree on the ten-province stand-
ard, the 50 per cent inclusion rate for natural resource revenues in the
O’Brien report can be seen as violation of the integral respect of the RTS
defended by the Séguin report. Respecting the RTS integrally would treat
all revenue sources in the same way and include them all fully (100 per
cent) in equalization calculations. Yet, it represented a compromise with
those advocating their full exclusion on the basis that natural resources
are provincially owned according to the Constitution and thus yield
private revenues.21 However, since 2007, provinces now receive the highest
1.
Replacing the CHST by a transfer of tax points was not done; we now
have the CHT and the CST;22
2.
Replacing the five-province standard by the national average in equali-
zation calculations is done;
3.
Setting the total amount of equalization through the formula is not
done: floors and ceilings are in place;
4.
Full inclusion of natural resources is not in place, in part because of
the Atlantic Accords (see Box 7.1); and
5.
Unilateral changes in indicators can still be imposed by the federal
government.
7.3
NATURAL RESOURCES AND FISCAL
FEDERALISM IN CANADA: CONTEMPORARY
ISSUES
A first contentious issue has to do with the way in which the equalization
programme incorporates provincial revenues derived from various natural
revenues. Revenues are used for this tax base while taxable capacity is used
for the four other tax bases. Thus, there is a possibility of ‘dissipated rents’
for oil, natural gas and so on. However, the debate has focused on the
dissipated rents associated with hydroelectric production.
● To allow these two provinces to tax offshore resources as if they owned them
(the federal government is the lawful owner); and
● To maintain for a set period, in whole or in part, equalization payments even
if taxable capacity has increased.
(II) provided Nova Scotia with transitional protection, for a 10-year period begin-
ning in 1993–94, from reductions in equalization. A formula sheltered a declining
percentage of offshore revenues from equalization over a 10-year period. In 2004,
the government of Canada made payments to Nova Scotia to effectively reset the
start of the 1986 Accord payments.
(III) The two Accords provide:
● 100 per cent protection from equalization reductions resulting from the inclu-
sion of offshore revenues in the equalization programme for eight years
(from 2004–05 to 2011–12) as long as the province receives equalization;
● An upfront payment in 2005 of $2.0 billion to Newfoundland and $830 million
to Nova Scotia, made in 2005, to allow the province immediate flexibility to
address its unique fiscal challenges. This is a pre-payment in respect of the
new 100 per cent protection;
● In addition, this arrangement provides for a further eight-year extension if
the province receives equalization in 2010–11 or 2011–12 and its per
capita debt servicing charges have not become lower than that of at least
four other provinces;
● During the second eight-year period, if the province no longer qualifies for
equalization, it would receive transitional payments for two years: in the first
year, this payment would equal two-thirds of the offset payments and in the
second year one-third of the offset payments the province was entitled to the
last year it received equalization; and
● The province could requalify for offsets and transitional payments if it again
became eligible to receive equalization payments.
choices. What would prevent arguing that a province with a higher payoff
from gaming or lower markups from alcoholic beverages than other
provinces is subsidizing these purchases (dissipating potential revenues),
and therefore should see its taxable capacity adjusted upwards and its
equalization payments downwards?
Second, this would treat revenues derived from one natural resource dif-
ferently from all other resource revenues in the equalization formula, using
notional rather than real prices and revenues. The price to be used is not
always clearly stated by proponents of this approach, but Feehan (2014,
p. 18) argues that ‘the increased development of competitive wholesale
electricity markets in North America has resulted in prices that can serve
as indicators of the value of electricity [. . .]’. This would explicitly intro-
duce in the Canadian equalization formula American prices; we are not
aware of any national intergovernmental transfer formula, equalization or
other, which has as an explicit parameter a foreign value. If one examines
the pricing of provincial and foreign sales of electricity for the two largest
producers of hydroelectricity for 2015, one finds an average domestic price
per kilowatt of $0.064 for Québec and $0.094 for BC, while for exports one
finds $0.056 and $0.035. Thus, there is no dissipated rent when real prices
are used. One would also need to account for the fact that part of the
dissipated rent results in higher economic activity and higher consumption
of other goods and services that thus increase the tax base of dissipating
provinces.
7.3.2 Pipelines
1.
‘Northern Gateway’: a new pipeline in the North of BC was blocked
by the federal government in Fall 2016;
2.
‘Trans Mountain’ pipeline (TMP): an expansion of an existing pipeline
in the south of BC was approved by the federal government in Fall
2016; and
3.
‘Energy East’: a new pipeline to Québec refineries and New
Brunswick was dropped by Trans Canada Pipeline (TCP) in Fall
2017. This was linked to the acceptance by the Trump administra-
tion of the TCP Keystone project to ship to the US, reversing an
Obama administration decision but Québec politicians were also
strongly opposed.26
The TMP pipeline approval was, however, just a starting point since build-
ing it has not begun as of May 2019.27
The 2015–19 pipeline debate in Canada has thus seen:
7.4 CONCLUSION
This chapter has described key elements of the Canadian federation and
of its fiscal federalism arrangements, then focused on recent developments
related to natural resources. These developments reveal the political econ-
omy considerations that are at work in shaping the fiscal arrangements in
a country with important horizontal imbalances in resource endowments
across provinces.
Overall, the Canadian federal-provincial fiscal arrangements can be seen
as being the result of an ongoing trade-off between three oft-conflicting
objectives:
1.
Respecting the equalization programme’s constitutional principle;
2.
Ensuring the political acceptability of all transfer programmes; and
3.
Respecting the federal government’s budget constraint.
NOTES
* We thank the editors of this volume and Trevor Tombe for useful comments.
1. For more detail, see Finance Canada (2016a) and Finance Canada (2011).
2. Québec receives less cash transfer payments than other provinces as it occupies a
larger portion of the personal income tax field, under the ‘Québec abatement’ scheme.
Québec’s cash transfers are reduced dollar for dollar against the yield of these tax
points. This is worth about $4.5 billion for 2017 according to Finance Canada (2017).
For a general presentation of this, see Finance Canada (2016b).
3. Statistics Canada data: accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/
census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/hlt-fst/lang/Table.cfm?Lang=E&T=21&Geo=00.
4. Statistics Canada data (rounded numbers, mother tongue definition): accessed 19
September 2019 at https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/hlt-fst/
lang/Table.cfm?Lang=E&T=11&Geo=00.
5. CRA collects fees for ‘non harmonized measures’, that is provincial measures that differ
from the federal ones. In 2017, CRA collected $112 million in fees from provinces and
$113 billion of provincial tax revenues. Thus, fees account for 0.1 per cent of provincial
revenues collected by CRA (Canada Revenue Agency (2018), pp. 26 and 30).
6. The total amount in 2017–18 was $9 billion according to the Public Accounts of
Canada 2017–18 (Government of Canada (2018), Section 6). We subtract the Finance
Canada amount from the total of transfers to obtain this number.
7. Enacted as Schedule B to the Canada Act 1982, (U.K.) 1982, c. 11, which came into
force on 17 April 1982. This is the last legal intervention by the United Kingdom
Parliament in the constitutional history of Canada. The first one was in 1867 (30 & 31
Victoria, c. 3. (U.K.)).
8. Following Tombe (2018a), we disaggregate step 1 from Nadeau (2014).
9. Paragraph 3.4(5) Federal-Provincial Fiscal Arrangements Act (R.S.C., 1985, c. F-8).
10. Fiscal year is 1 April–31 March for the federal and provincial governments in
Canada.
11. Ibid., sections (7) and (8) respectively.
12. Totalling $47.5 million over the 1984–2018 period (Health Canada, 2019, p. 30).
13. In operational terms, this means that Québec residents calculate federal income tax
ayable like all other Canadians (same exemptions, deductions, rates and so on) but
p
reduce the amount of federal PIT to be paid by 16.5 per cent.
14. A historical perspective is found in Finances Québec (2017).
15. As follows: 24.1 (1) The Canada Health Transfer is to consist of a cash contribution
equal to $19 billion for the fiscal year beginning on 1 April 2005 (Federal-Provincial
Fiscal Arrangements Act (R.S.C., 1985, c. F-8), accessed 19 September 2019 at https://
laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/F-8/page-12.html#h-26).
16. Paragraph 24.4 (1) The Canada Social Transfer is to consist of a cash contribution
of $10.537 billion for the fiscal year beginning on 1 April 2008, and (2) the product
obtained by multiplying the cash contribution for the immediately preceding fiscal year
by 1.03, rounded to the nearest thousand, for each fiscal year beginning after 31 March
2009 (accessed 19 September 2019 at https://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/acts/F-8/page-13.
html#docCont).
17. This section and the conclusion are based on previously unpublished portions of the
working paper version of Joanis (2018), which appeared in the working paper series of
the School of Public Policy, University of Calgary (Joanis, 2014).
18. For more on the deficit-slaying 1995 budget, see Wobel (1995).
19. The Commission was presided over by Yves Séguin, who would go on to serve as
minister of finance in Jean Charest’s first (Liberal) cabinet. Though hardly an apolitical
exercise – it was commissioned by Bernard Landry’s Parti Québécois government – the
report was well received in provincial circles across the country and would be an impor-
tant building block of subsequent positions adopted by the Council of the Federation.
20. See http://www.canadaspremiers.ca/about/ (accessed 19 September 2019); this council
has no legal role in federal arrangements in Canada.
21. The O’Brien report reviewed a series of other arguments in favour of an intermediate
inclusion rate, including considerations related to the volatility of natural resource
revenues and to the disincentive effect of equalization’s ‘tax-back’ of revenues accruing
from the development of the natural resource industries.
22. While the recommendations of the Séguin Commission were not implemented as such,
the federal government reduced its GST rate from 7 per cent to 6 per cent then 5 per cent
in the 2007–08 period, Québec increased its Québec Sales Tax rate by these 2 percentage
points; it was the only province to occupy immediately this vacated tax room.
23. See Ontario Hydro (accessed 19 September 2019 at http://www.ontario-hydro.com/
electricity-rates-by-province) or Hydro-Québec (accessed 19 September 2019 at http://
www.hydroquebec.com/data/documents-donnees/pdf/comparison-electricity-prices.pdf).
24. Statistics Canada (2011).
25. Oil Pricing, accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.nrcan.gc.ca/energy/oil-
sands/18087; for a calculation of lost revenues, see Aliakbari and Stedman (2018).
26. Media source: Warren Mabee, ‘What really Sank the Energy East Pipeline?’, Canada’s
National Observer, accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.nationalobserver.com/
2017/10/20/analysis/what-really-sank-energy-east-pipeline.
27. The saga is detailed here: CBC, Timeline: Key Dates in the History of the Trans Mountain
Pipeline, accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/
timeline-key-dates-history-trans-mountain-pipeline-1.4849370.
28. Under the Canadian constitution, provincial powers include ‘92(10) Local Works and
Undertakings other than such as are of the following Classes: [. . .] other Works and
Undertakings [. . .] or extending beyond the Limits of the Province’.
29. See Surtees (2017) and Becklumb (2013).
30. Media source: CBC, Canada Will Meet Climate Targets despite Emissions Gap:
Environment Minister, accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/
emissions-gap-mckenna-2030-target-1.4563801.
31. Media source: Catherine McKenna, ‘Ontario Cancelling Cap and Trade akin to Pulling
out of Climate Framework’, accessed 19 September 2019 at https://www.cbc.ca/news/
politics/ontario-federal-government-cap-trade-1.4734182.
32. Media source: CBC, ‘Alberta Makes it Official: Bill Passed and Proclaimed to Kill
REFERENCES
Aliakbari, Elmira and Ashley Stedman (2018). ‘The Cost of Pipeline Constraints in
Canada’, Fraser Institute. Accessed 22 September 2019 at https://www.fraserinsti
tute.org/sites/default/files/cost-of-pipeline-constraints-in-canada.pdf.
Becklumb, Penny (2013). ‘Federal and Provincial Jurisdiction to Regulate Environ-
mental Issues’, background paper, Library of Parliament, Canada. Accessed
22 September 2019 at http://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2016/bdp-
lop/bp/YM32-2-2013-86-eng.pdf.
Canada Revenue Agency (2018). Departmental Results Report: Financial Statements,
2017–2018. Accessed 22 September 2019 at https://www.canada.ca/content/dam/
cra-arc/corp-info/aboutcra/dprtmntl-prfrmnc-rprts/2017-2018/2017-18-fnclstmnt
s-en.pdf.
Commission on Fiscal Imbalance (CFI) (2002). A New Division of Canada’s Financial
Resources, Final Report, Government of Quebec. Accessed 22 September 2019
at http://www.groupes.finances.gouv.qc.ca/desequilibrefiscal/en/pdf/rapport_final
_en.pdf.
Courchene, T.J. (2013). ‘Surplus Recycling and the Canadian Federation Addressing
Horizontal and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances’, Toronto Mowat Centre.
Desjardins, Étienne, Mélina Longpré and François Vaillancourt (2012). ‘The
Topsy-Turvy Sharing of the Gaming Tax Field in Canada, 1970–2010:
Provincial Payments, Federal Withdrawal’, CIRANO Scientific Series no. 2012-
s21. Accessed 22 September 2019 at https://www.cirano.qc.ca/files/publications/
2012s-21.pdf.
Dufour, Jean-Marie and François Vaillancourt (1982). ‘Provincial and Federal
Sales Taxes: Evidence of Their Effect and Prospect for Change’, in W.R. Thirsk
and J. Whalley (eds), Tax Policy Options in the 1980s, Toronto, Canadian Tax
APPENDIX
Table 7A.1
Key demographic and economic characteristics of Canadian
provinces, 2015–17
Area (km²) (1) 9 984 670 405 212 5 660 55 284 72 908 1 542 056
Population (‘000) 2016 (2) 35 152 520 143 924 747 8 164
Population density 2016 (3) 3.52 1.28 25.25 16.71 10.25 5.29
GDP ($000 000) 2017 (4) 2 137 528 33 074 6 652 42 715 36 088 417 173
GDP $ per capita 2017 (5) 60 809 63 639 46 548 46 248 48 304 51 097
Share of total area (%) (6) 100 4.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 15.4
Share of total (7) 100 1.5 0.4 2.6 2.1 23.2
population 2016 (%)
Share of total GDP (8) 100 1.5 0.3 2.0 1.7 19.5
2017 (%)
Share of total oil (9) 100 5.3 – – – –
production 2017 (%)
Provincial/territorial (10) – 7 079.00 1 897.00 11 528.00 9 492.00 111 470.00
government revenues
($000 000) 2017
Share of federal (11) – 23.0 37.3 34.1 33.5 20.4
transfers (grants) in
provincial/territorial
revenues (%) 2017
Median age 2012 (12) 40.0 44.2 42.6 43.4 43.4 41.5
Share of total (13) 100 9.1 0 0.2 0.7 51.5
hydroelectric
production 2017 (%)
Sources:
1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Canadian_provinces_and_territories_by_area#To
tal_area (accessed 19 September 2019).
2) Statistics Canada Population by broad age groups and sex, 2016 counts for both sexes,
Canada, provinces and territories, 2016 Census – 100 per cent Data.
3) (2)/(1).
4) Statistics Canada. CANSIM Table 36-10-0222-01 Gross domestic product, expenditure-
based, provincial and territorial, annual.
5) (4)/(2).
6), 7) and 8) Calculations using (1), (2) and (4) as inputs.
9) https://www.nrcan.gc.ca/energy/facts/crude-oil/20064 (accessed 19 September 2019).
10) and 11) Statistics Canada. CANSIM Table 10-10-0017-01 Canadian government
finance statistics for the provincial and territorial governments.
12) Text table 2.1 Population estimates, age distribution and median age as of 1 July 2012,
Canada, provinces and territories Statistics Canada https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pu
b/91-215-x/2012000/t583-eng.htm (accessed 19 September 2019).
13) Electric power, annual generation by class of producer Megawatt hours Annual
CANSIM Table: 25-10-0020-01.
1 076 395 647 797 651 036 661 848 944 735 482 443 1 346 106 2 093 190
13 448 1 278 1 098 4 067 4 648 36 42 36
12.49 1.97 1.69 6.15 4.92 0.07 0.03 0.02
825 805 71 019 79 513 331 937 282 204 2 895 4 856 2 846
61 405 55 555 72 393 81 614 60 714 80 708 116 214 79 188
10.8 6.5 6.5 6.6 9.5 .8 13.5 21.0
38.3 3.6 3.1 11.6 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
134
the following areas according to article 48a of the Constitution: the execu-
tion of criminal penalties and measures; compulsory school education;3
cantonal institutions of higher education (professional universities of
applied sciences and universities); cultural institutions of supra-regional
importance; solid waste management; waste water treatment; urban trans-
port; advanced medical science and specialist clinics; institutions for the
rehabilitation and care of invalids.
In the Constitution, fiscal democracy is organized around five princi-
ples (article 43a Cst.): subsidiarity, autonomy, horizontal cooperation,
initiative and referendum. The principle of subsidiarity applies to both
institutional and functional aspects of intergovernmental design. First,
unspecified powers belong to the cantons: their fiscal sovereignty can only
be limited by specific provision written in the Federal Constitution (article
42 Cst.). Yet, any change in the Constitution has to be accepted by the two
federal chambers of equal power and requires a double majority of voters
and cantons. Local or cantonal responsibilities can only be transferred
to a higher level government if they require standardization to respond
to major changes in behaviour or technology: for example, mobility of
persons or economic activities, new technologies in the production and
delivery of public services, or when horizontal cooperation is no longer
feasible. Healthcare is a good example of this centralization trend.
When the Confederation prepares a new law or changes in the existing
federal legislation, or initiates projects of substantial territorial impact,
the cantons, political parties and interest groups are invited to express
their views (article 147 Cst.). The same applies at the cantonal-communal
level. The cantons have organized themselves horizontally in powerful
‘Conferences of Cantonal Ministers’, one for each sector. The Conferences
act as strong negotiating partners. They participate in joint committees
for proposing new federal policies and act as a partner with the federal
government in promoting public policies decided at the federal level but
implemented in and through the cantons. In public finance issues and
fiscal equalization, the Conference of the Cantonal Ministers of Finance
(the CCMF) plays a dominant role as no legislation would be adopted at
the federal level without its prior consent.
At the federal level, initiative and referenda are also important tools
of participative democracy, extensively used in public finance issues. Any
100,000 persons eligible to vote may, within 18 months of the official
publication of their initiative, request a partial revision of the Federal
Constitution in specific terms. Any parliamentary member, political group
or permanent committee or any canton can submit an initiative to the
Federal Assembly. Referendum is mandatory for an amendment to the
Federal Constitution, the accession to supranational organizations, and
Quantitative measures of the Swiss public sector and social security are
summarized in Tables 8.1 to 8.3. Table 8.1 presents the tax revenues of
the three government levels (total I). The second part introduces the
social security system including the other compulsory insurances sourced
out to non-profit private companies (total II) or financial institutions
(pension funds, total III). In order to allow for international comparison,
the bottom part of the table gives the fiscal quotes of the three totals in
percentage of GDP.
Table 8.2 details the revenue sources for three levels of government. Year
2016 is fairly representative of the last decade (Dafflon, 2015a). Transfer
revenues received from other government levels are shown separately in
order to measure financial autonomy (own revenues). Direct taxation is
shared between the three tiers; in addition to their own direct taxes, the
cantons receive 17 per cent of the federal direct tax collected at the cantonal
level (Table 8.2: revenue sharing, 6 per cent of the total cantonal revenues).
Furthermore, 13 per cent of the federal direct tax is allocated to revenue
equalization. Value added tax (VAT), consumption and excise taxation are
exclusively federal taxes. User charges are cantonal in the health and educa-
tion sectors. User fees for environmental services (mandatory according to
the federal legislation) are levied by communes. Own revenues represent
100 per cent in the federal budget, 70 per cent on average for the cantons
and nearly 90 per cent for the communes. At the cantonal level, transfer
revenues from other levels of government are: 6 per cent revenue sharing
from federal taxes, 4 per cent from federal equalization, 13 per cent federal
subsidies and specific grants-in-aid, and 7 per cent are contributions of
communes for shared competencies; for the communes, less than 2 per cent
Table 8.1
Tax revenues and compulsory social contributions on wages,
selected years, in per cent GDP
Notes:
* Only the employers’ and employees’ contributions levied on wages. Social security: old age,
disability, unemployment, maternity, social and military services.
** Individual insurance premium in other compulsory insurances: illness, accident, family care.
*** Compulsory additional old age pension schemes. This represented 76 per cent of the
total insurance finances in 2016 (176 736 millions CHF). Subsidies from the public sector
(15 per cent) are not included. The remaining 9 per cent are the interests and dividends from
the insurances’ capital (reserves and compensation funds).
of their revenues come from revenue sharing, 3 per cent from equalization
at the cantonal level and 7 per cent from cantonal grants and subsidies.
The modest proportion of equalization in cantonal and communal
resources can be explained by the long-term results of their public
finance: almost no deficit since 2000 and low indebtedness in international
comparison (less than 30 per cent GDP) (Dafflon, 2015a). Despite signifi-
cant differences in inter-cantonal or intra-cantonal resource endowments,
neither the cantons nor the communes can count on financial equalization
for the long-term sustainability of their public finances. Above all, equali-
zation reflects a political recognition of solidarity between and within
subnational government tiers rather than bailing out non-performing
subnational governments.
Table 8.3 summarizes the functional distribution of public expenditures
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 138
Confederation Cantons Communes Confederation Cantons Communes
Million CHF In % of total revenue
Direct personal taxes 10 599 31 913 21 741 15.3 36.5 45.9
Direct corporate taxes 10 532 7 770 4 456 15.2 8.9 9.4
Other direct taxes 5 893 3 611 2 137 8.5 4.1 4.5
Consumption taxes, VAT 35 699 0 0 51.5 0 0
Other consumption taxes 1 218 2 300 104 1.8 2.6 0.2
Total I tax revenues 63 942 45 595 28 439 92.2 52.2 60.0
(as in Table 8.1)
User charges 1 676 7 278 8 285 2.4 8.3 17.5
138
Patent, concession 601 1 637 358 0.9 1.9 0.8
Financial revenues, interest 1 324 2 827 3 170 1.9 3.2 6.7
Other revenues 603 1 200 245 0.9 1.4 0.5
Extraordinary revenues 1 221 2 606 1 383 1.8 3.0 2.9
Total II non-tax own revenues 5 425 15 547 13 441 7.8 17.8 28.4
Revenue sharing 0 5 066 759 0 5.8 1.6
Equalization 0 3 556 1 522 0 4.1 3.2
Federal transfers (vertical) 0 11 585 3 232 0 13.3 6.8
Contributions of communes 0 5 977 0 0 6.8 0
Total III transfer revenues 0 26 183 5 512 0 30.0 11.6
Total I 1 II 1 III 69 367 87 324 47 391 100.0 100.0 100.0
Source: FFA, www.efv.admin.ch > documentation > statistique financière > Rapport > tous les fichiers; updated 6 September 2018, access date
25 March 2019.
16/12/2019 10:44
Table 8.3 Functional public expenditures, 2016, three government levels
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 139
Sub-functions Million CHF In % of total expenditures
Administration 6 079 4 413 5 051 9 5 11
Security, defence 5 820 7 897 3 070 9 9 6
Education 6 403 24 411 12 835 9 28 27
Compulsory education 17 9 476 12 418
Second level education, 768 5 770 343
Tertiary education 2 640 7 300 20
Research 2 970 1 351 2
Other 8 514 52
Culture, sports, leisure 518 1 799 3 380 1 2 7
139
Health 322 12 665 2 030 0 15 4
Hospital, homes for elderly 0 10 629 1 214
Outpatient medical care 0 726 515
R&D, other 322 1’310 301
Social security, social aid 22 694 18 841 9 109 34 22 19
Illness and accident 2 866 4 554 585
Disability 5 460 4 575 961
Old age and widowhood 11 808 2 921 1 458
Family and children 165 1 362 1 449
Unemployment 518 803 180
Social housing 69 112 68
Social aid and refugees 1 804 4 482 4 381
Others 4 32 27
Roads, traffic and telecom 9 209 6 123 4 472 14 7 9
16/12/2019 10:44
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 140
Table 8.3 (continued)
140
Tax administration 185 445 248
Equalization 3 246 1 530 369
Revenue sharing 4 212 759 0
Interest and cost of debt 1 512 902 1 211
Others 759 285 75
Total 67 495 86 083 47 735 100 100 100
Source: FFA, https//:www.efv.admin.ch > documentation > statistique financière > Rapport > tous les fichiers; updated 6 September 2018, access
date 25 March 2019.
16/12/2019 10:44
Revenue and expenditure needs equalization 141
at different government levels; 2016 serves as the reference year. The mili-
tary and civil defence are federal responsibilities; security and police forces
are cantonal; neighbourhood policing and market policing are communal.
Compulsory school education is a shared responsibility of the cantons
and communes, but education programmes and teachers’ training are
harmonized through an inter-cantonal agreement (see note 3). The can-
tons finance tertiary education (universities). The Confederation finances
the two federal polytechnic universities – in Lausanne and Zürich (92 per
cent), the Swiss National Science Foundation (100 per cent) and subsidizes
the cantonal universities (25 per cent). It also subsidizes student grants and
mobility within European universities. Expenditures in culture, sport and
leisure are communal responsibilities. Health is a cantonal responsibility.
Homes for the elderly are partly subsidized by communes; sickness and
disability insurances (not included in government expenditures – see Table
8.1) pay medical care; residents pay the accommodation from their pocket.
Social security is federal responsibility, whereas social aid and assistance
are shared between the cantons and their communes. Motorways, railway
traffic and telecom are federal responsibilities; roads are cantonal or com-
munal; urban traffic and public transportation are mainly inter-communal.
Environmental policies provide an interesting case of shared responsibili-
ties: the norms and policy objectives are set in federal laws; coordination
and planning are left to the cantons; implementation, investments and
current management are communal responsibilities. Environmental expen-
ditures for solid waste collection and treatment, wastewater and water
management are financed through local user charges. As for the govern-
ment function ‘finance and taxation’, the majority of spending at the
federal level is for the financial transfers to the cantons in revenue sharing
and for equalization. Categorical incentive grants are accounted in the
relevant functions, not under the finance heading.
Table 8.3 is informative about the links that could exist between the
relative importance of the various functions and the indicators used in
expenditure equalization to evaluate disparities in needs or costs. At the
cantonal level, expenditures in education, social security and aid, and
health are the three domains which require the most resources. In the case
of expenditure equalization, three socio-demographic indicators only (pov-
erty, old age and foreigners – Tables 8.5 and 8.8) refer to sub-functions in
Table 8.3 (homes for the elderly, social aid and refugees). The other health
and social security expenditures are not included: the reason is that their
main financial sources come from contributors outside of the government
sector. Government contributions (federal, cantonal and/or communal)
take the form of specific (conditional) grants-in-aids that benefit individu-
als or institutions and not the cantons as such. Education also is left out
8.3 EQUALIZATION
BOX 8.1
EQUALIZATION OF FINANCIAL RESOURCES AND
BURDENS (ARTICLE 135 CST.)
1.
The Confederation shall issue regulations on the equitable equalization of
financial resources and burdens between the Confederation and the cantons
as well as among the cantons.
2.
The equalization of financial resources and burdens is intended in particular
to:
a. reduce the differences in financial capacity among the cantons;
b. guarantee the cantons a minimum level of financial resources;
c. compensate for excessive financial burdens on individual cantons due to
geo-topographic or socio-demographic factors;
d. encourage inter-cantonal cooperation on burden equalization;
e. maintain the tax competitiveness of the cantons by national and interna-
tional comparison.
3.
The funds for the equalization of financial resources shall be provided by those
cantons with a higher level of resources and by the Confederation. The pay-
ments made by those cantons with a higher level of resources shall amount to
a minimum of two-thirds and a maximum of 80 per cent of the payments made
by the Confederation.
Source: https://www.admin.ch/opc/en/classified-compilation/19995395/index.html.
Confederation
cantons cantons in
cantons with geo- socio-
with high need of all other
low financial topographic demographic
financial transitory cantons
capacity variables variables
capacity adjustment
AG, AI, AR, BS, GE, NW, AI, AR, BE, BE, BS, GE, BE, FR, GL, AG, AI, AR,
BE, BL, FR, OW, SZ, ZG, FR, GL, GR, JU, SH, SO, JU, LU, NE BL, BS, GE,
GL, GR, JU, ZH JU, LU, NE, TI, VD, VS, GR, NW,
LU, NE, SG, NW, OW, ZH OW, SG, SH,
SH, SO, TG, SG, SZ, TG, SO, SZ, TG,
TI, UR, VD, TI, UR, VD, TI, UR, VD,
VS VS VS, ZG, ZH
Note: AG: Aargau; AI: Appenzell Innerrhoden; AR: Appenzell Ausserrhoden; BE: Bern;
BL: Basel-Landschaft; BS: Basel-Stadt; FR: Fribourg; GE: Genève; GL: Glarus; GR:
Graubünden; JU: Jura; LU: Luzern; NE: Neuchâtel; NW: Nidwalden; OW: Obwalden; SG:
Sankt-Gallen; SH: Schaffhausen; SO: Solothurn; SZ: Schwyz; TG: Thurgau; TI: Ticino;
UR: Uri; VD: Vaud; VS: Valais; ZG: Zug; ZH: Zürich.
Notes:
* Weights: fixed (arts 32 and 39).
** Calculation according to the principal component analysis (arts 35 and 37).
amount fixed in 2008 was 430 million CHF, which was financed by the
Confederation (287 million CHF) and the cantons (143 million CHF). It
has been reduced by 5 per cent each year since 2016. In 2018, the contribu-
tions were reduced to 297 million CHF, indicated by Table 8.7.
According to the equalization law (article 18), the federal government must
evaluate the performance of the equalization system and its effect on the
reduction of disparities between the cantons every four years. The federal
legislation describes, in detail, the objectives, items and instruments of this
evaluation.8 Three reports have been published for the periods of 2008–11,
2012–15 and 2016–19. The main conclusions of the third report (Federal
Council, 2018a) are discussed below.
Since 2014, the revenue equalization component has achieved better results
than the targeted objective for each canton which aims to attain a tax
potential that corresponds to the minimal threshold of 85 per cent of the
national average after equalization (Federal Council, 2014: 9). Cantons
contributing to the revenue equalization scheme soon claimed that the 85
per cent initial target should be respected and their contribution reduced
in consequence. After lengthy and contentious debates at the federal level
and between the cantons, the federal government proposed that, from
2022, the revenue equalization legal target be increased from 85 to 86.5 per
cent. This is intended to fortify solidarity between the cantons9 – which
in fact disregards the claim of some contributing cantons maintaining
the 85 per cent target. However, this new target will, de facto, lead to a
reduction of the revenue equalization fund, because, in 2018, the lowest
index of financial capacity was 88.3 per cent in three cantons (Jura, Uri
and Valais – see Table 8.4). The reduction is estimated at 280 million CHF,
which corresponds to 6.8 per cent of the 2018 endowment to the fund
(Confederation and cantons).
The difference of 280 million CHF will not be returned to the cantons or
saved by the Confederation. According to the federal government, half
the amount should be used to increase the socio-demographic expenditure
needs equalization (80 million CHF in 2021, 140 million each year there-
after). The other half should serve, for a transitory period of five years, to
increase revenue equalization for the cantons with an index of financial
capacity below 100 points.11 After this period of time, this amount will
serve to reduce the contributions of the cantons with a capacity index
higher than 100. The Conference of the Cantons and the Council of States
adopted this proposal in December 2018. The finance commission of the
Source: Author, Table 8.5 and FFA, www.efv.admin.ch > documentation > statistique
financière > Rapport > tous les fichiers; updated on 6 September 2018, access date 25
March 2019.
NOTES
* Thanks to Alain Schönenberger, Paul Bernd Span, Serdar Yilmaz and two anonymous
peer reviewers for their comments and suggestions on an earlier version of this chapter.
1. Communes are local government units, the lowest political tier. There were 3021 com-
munes in 1990, 2899 in 2000 (-122), 2596 in 2010 (-303) and 2212 in 2019 (-384). The
number of communes per canton varies between three in the cantons of Glarus, which
has 40,000 inhabitants, and Basel-Stadt with 194,000 inhabitants, to 346 communes in
the canton of Bern which has more than 1 million population. In several cantons, the
merger of communes is a fundamental territorial reform that has accelerated since the
early 2000s and will continue. See Dafflon (2013).
2. The cantonal resident population varies from 1.5 million in canton Zürich to 16,000 in
Appenzell Innerrhoden. The average size of population per commune is 3669 inhabit-
ants nationwide; it varies between 13,861 in Jura and 64,847 in Basel-Stadt as of 19
December 2018. Source: Federal Statistical Office, accessed 25 March 2019 at https://
www.agvchapp.bfs.admin.ch/fr/state/query.
3. Regarding compulsory school education (from the age of 4 to 15) the cantons must agree
(harmonize) the following issues: the school entry age, compulsory school attendance,
duration and objectives of education levels, the transition from one level to another, rec-
ognition of qualifications, harmonization of school programmes, teachers’ qualification.
Where harmonization of school education is not achieved by horizontal coordination,
the Confederation (i.e. central government) shall issue regulations to achieve such
harmonization (art. 62 al. 4 Cst.). The cantons’ answer to this c onstitutional rule on
harmonization was the ‘concordat HarmoS’, decided by the Conference of the Cantonal
Ministers of Education on 14 June 2007 (accessed 25 March 2019 at http://www.edk.
ch-. domaines d’activité -. HarmoS, only in French or German).
4. It was rejected by Nidwalden, Schwyz and Zug – three of the seven contributing cantons.
5. It is interesting to note that the federal parliament adopted on 3 October 2003 the law
on fiscal equalization and the reassignment of functions between the Confederation and
the cantons on equalization before the popular vote on the constitutional amendment
(28 November 2004). The reason is that cantons and voters wanted to know the con-
tours of the new equalization policy, which was to replace the one introduced in 1959.
The 2003 federal law was subject to facultative referendum, which never took place. In
2004, the voter turnout for the constitutional amendment was 40 per cent.
6. The history of the Federal Direct Tax (FDT) sharing with the cantons can be summa-
rized as follows. Since 1934, the cantons received a share of the FDT in compensation
that the Confederation was allowed to tax income and profit in order to finance the
national defence. In 1940, the cantonal share was fixed at 30 per cent of the federal tax
yield for each canton according to the tax revenues collected in the canton. In 1959, with
the introduction of the first equalization scheme, the cantons agreed that one-sixth of
this share (5 per cent) be allocated to revenue equalization. It went up to 7.5 per cent
in 1980 and 13 per cent from 1992 to 2007 (each canton still received 17 per cent of the
FDT revenues collected within the canton).
7. We do not discuss here the pros and cons about whether expenditure needs/costs
equalization should be vertical only. The theoretical debate is still on; however, the
trend in theory and practice is to view vertical transfers as preferable for equalizing
costs and needs; and to view horizontal ‘Robin Hood’ solidarity as unsuitable for this
purpose (Lotz, 1997; Dafflon, 2007). Färber and Otter (2003) collected information on
equalization systems at the local level in Austria, Flanders (Belgium), Denmark, France,
Germany, Italy, Russia, Spain, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Needs/costs
equalization, if it exists, is nowhere horizontal.
8. Ordonnance sur la péréquation financière et la compensation des charges (OPFCC) du
7 novembre 2007.
9. Proposition of the Conference of the Cantons in Message concernant la modification
de la loi fédérale sur la péréquation financière et la compensation des charges du 28
septembre 2018, accessed 25 March 2019 at https://www.admin.ch/opc/fr/federal-ga
zette/2018/6607.pdf, pages 6616–17.
10. Federal Parliament, accessed 14 April 2019 at https://www.parlament.ch/fr/ratsbetrieb/
suche-curia-vista/geschaeft?AffairId=20180075.
11. The cantons with an index of financial capacity lower than 100 (national average) would
receive 80 million in 2021, 200 million in 2022, 160 million in 2023, 120 million in 2024
and 80 million in 2025. The amount varies for years 2002 to 2024 in order to compensate
for the reform of the business taxation (see note 9 above). The distribution will be made
on the basis of the resident population of the canton and not according to the revenue
equalization formula. As a result, the cantons with the lowest capacity indices will
receive much less than they would with the formula.
12. In the 2016–19 Report (Federal Council, 2018a: 39 and 80 – our translation): ‘This is
not surprising when one knows that in the past years, the two determinants related to
altitude needed not be up-dated . . . whereas the indicator of remoteness registered only
minor changes . . . These indicators are structural and stable and will not vary in the
near future’.
13. Federal Parliament, accessed 14 April 2019 at https://www.parlament.ch/fr/ratsbetrieb/
suche-curia-vista/geschaeft?AffairId=20180075.
14. Recommendation of the Finance commission of the National Council, 7 March 2019:
‘large majority’ for the non-inclusion of revenues from water concession; 10 votes for and
14 against taking into account the yields of cantonal participations in public enterprises,
cantonal banks and similar institutions. Federal Parliament, accessed 14 April 2019 at
https://www.parlament.ch/fr/ratsbetrieb/suche-curia-vista/geschaeft?AffairId=20180075.
REFERENCES
Frey, R.L., 1996, Stadt: Lebens- und Wirtschaftsraum. Eine ökonomische Analyse,
Vdf, Hochschulverlag AG an der ETH Zürich.
Frey, R.L., 2001, ‘Analyse de l’objectif et de l’efficacité de la nouvelle péréquation
financière’, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Zentrum WWZ der Universität Basel.
Frey, R.L., B. Dafflon, C. Jeanrenaud and A. Meier, 1994, Le péréquation financière
entre la Confédération et les cantons. Expertise relative aux aides financières et
indemnités de la Confédération en faveur des cantons, Berne, Administration
fédérale des finances et Conférence des Directeurs cantonaux des finances.
Lago-Peñas, S. and J. Martinez-Vazquez, eds, 2013, The Challenge of Local
Government Size: Theoretical Perspectives, International Experience and Policy
Reform, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA,
USA.
Lotz, J.R., 1997, ‘Denmark and Other Scandinavian Countries: Equalization and
Grants’, in Ahmad, op. cit., pp. 184–212.
Pola, G., ed., 2015, Principles and Practices of Fiscal Autonomy, Experiences,
Debates and Prospects, Federalism Studies, Ashgate, Farnham UK and
Burlington USA, and Éupolis Lombardia.
Rühli, L., M. Frey and R.L. Frey, 2013, Irrgarten Finanzausgleich: Wege zu mehr
Effizienz bei der interkommunalen Solidarität, Avenir Suisse, Zürich.
APPENDIX
250.0
240.0 before
230.0 after
220.0
210.0
200.0
190.0
180.0
170.0
160.0
150.0
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
Zoug
Schwyz
Nidwald
Bâle-Ville
Genève
Zurich
Obwald
Vaud
Tessin
Bâle-Campagne
Neuchâtel
Schaffhouse
Lucerne
Appenzell Rh.-Ext.
Argovie
Appenzell Rh.-Int.
Grisons
Fribourg
St-Gall
Thurgovie
Berne
Soleure
Glaris
Uri
Valais
Jura
Sources: Authors, Table 8.4; Federal Council (2018: 71).
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 162
Vertical Horizontal Total Ratio H/V Growth rate Payment Ratio EN/R Growth rate
(%) 1 (%) 2 (%)
op. ref. FP op. ref. CPI
2008 1 798 569 1 258 998 3 057 567 70 682 216 22
2009 1 861 854 1 315 027 3 176 881 71 3.9 3.5 702 000 22 2.9 20.5
2010 1 961 872 1 406 130 3 368 002 72 6.0 5.3 694 980 21 21.0 0.7
2011 2 100 592 1 532 643 3 633 235 73 7.9 7.2 704 710 19 1.4 0.2
2012 2 131 868 1 461 057 3 592 925 69 21.1 22.4 737 624 21
2013 2 196 465 1 500 219 3 696 684 68 2.9 3.0 730 248 20 21.0 20.2
2014 2 220 010 1 507 952 3 727 962 68 0.8 1.1 725 866 19 20.6 0.0
162
2015 2 273 025 1 552 285 3 825 310 68 2.6 2.4 725 866 19 0.0 21.2
2016 2 300 683 1 752 308 4 052 991 76 6.0 5.5 717 881 18
2017 2 350 133 1 598 592 3 948 725 68 22.6 2.1 715 010 18 20.4 0.5
2018 2 423 359 1 650 709 4 074 068 68 3.2 3.1 718 870 18 0.5 1.0
Notes:
Growth rate 1: op.: effective rate of growth of the total amount of revenue equalization/ref. FP: according to art. 6 of the 2003 federal law, the
effective growth rate of the federal vertical amount corresponds to the rate of growth of the fiscal potential (FP) of the cantons mentioned in this
column. The op. growth rate for the total amount is lower because the ratio horizontal/vertical equalization is decreasing. In the future, it will be
fixed at 66 2/3 per cent.
Growth rate 2: according to art. 9 of the 2003 law, the amount of expenditure needs equalization is fixed by the federal parliament on the first year
of each four-year period. The annual growth rates thereafter for the second, third and fourth years of the period correspond to the annual increase
in the consumers’ price index (CPI). From comparison between the column op. and ref. CPI, this is not quite respected in practice.
16/12/2019 10:44
9.
Intergovernmental fiscal relations in
Australia
Bob Searle
9.1
THE STRUCTURE OF GOVERNMENT IN
AUSTRALIA
163
chapter will show the extent to which the Commonwealth has used Section
96 to widen its influence on public services.
250
Payments for
specific purpose or
Other expenses
Cwealth PSPs
200
payments
Welfare 43%
GST
Police and justice
150
Transport and
$ billion
100
Health State own State taxes
source
revenue
50 57% Sales of goods and
Education services
Other revenue
0
State expenses by function State revenue by source
federalism would give much more power to the states and the issues men-
tioned here would be resolved by both tiers of government and individual
grants would be designed within agreed parameters. We will see later that
there is capacity within inter-government agreements to undertake reform
in these areas, but it has not been used.
9.3
OVERCOMING THE VERTICAL FISCAL
IMBALANCE
9.4
THE COMMONWEALTH’S TIED GRANTS
SYSTEM
Commonwealth Government
Including
Local government
($1.6 bn)
Figure 9.2 Size and structure of payments made to overcome VFI: 2018–19
There are only two National SPPs. The first is based on an agreement with
the states and seeks to develop a vocational education and training system
to improve service quality and greater transparency for students, employ-
ers and governments; and encourage greater efficiency. The pool of funds
is varied each year by reference to a wage cost index and is distributed
among the states based on their populations.
The second relates to the recently created National Disability Insurance
Scheme (NDIS) under which the states have agreed to progressively hand
responsibility for helping people with disabilities, and their carers, to the
Commonwealth’s National Disability Insurance Agency. This scheme is
still being rolled out and, when it reaches full state coverage in 2019–20, the
funding now flowing to the NDIS will become a Commonwealth budget-
funded activity: another change to the distribution of mandates without
change to the Constitution.
National Partnership payments to the states are the key vehicle used
to facilitate Commonwealth-initiated reforms in the delivery of state
services. To the extent possible, the Commonwealth aligns payments under
National Partnerships with the achievement of milestones and makes
the transfer of funds after the states have achieved the goals specified in
relevant agreements. However, this does not place very stringent condi-
tions on the states and the SPPs do not seem to create real incentives for
states to change either service delivery or economic efficiency. As a result,
there must be some doubt about the extent to which central government
objectives are being met.
Numerically, these are the most common SPPs and are typically entered
into for a fixed period. There were at least 85 National Partnership
Programs funded in 2018–19, ranging from $3.7 bn for states’ roads infra-
structure to $200 000 for the development of a national fire danger rating
and communication system.
The Quality Schools Program provides funding for all government and
non-government schools. It covers both recurrent and capital funding and
is aimed at influencing all aspects of school education. The growth rate
of the Quality Education payments pool relies on agreements between the
Commonwealth and the states.
SPPs are used only to influence service delivery: there is no attempt to use
them to increase or change the pattern of state revenue. The proliferation
of SPPs has been driven largely by a desire of federal governments to be
involved in areas of state responsibility for assumed political benefits. This
has greatly blurred governments’ responsibilities in the eyes of the public
and reform is needed to clarify mandates and reduce VFI to improve the
link between revenue-raising powers and expenditure responsibilities. The
conditions attached to SPPs do not often include efficiency objectives and
are not sufficiently linked to the benchmarking Report on Government
Services produced by the Productivity Commission and discussed else-
where in this volume.
The categorization of SPPs is a hangover from a simplification attempted
in 2009, under which there was to be only five SPPs, each distributed on an
equal per capita (EPC) basis, plus a small number of national payments.
This proposal, put forward by the Commonwealth and agreed to by the
states, was not proceeded with because Commonwealth sectoral ministers
and their departments would not relinquish their roles in the distribution
of funds for sectoral functions. The proposal to distribute the SPPs as
EPC grants was aimed, at least in part, at overcoming the duplication of
needs assessments by the functional Commonwealth departments and the
Commonwealth Grants Commission, an issue discussed in more detail later.
How the size of an individual SPP varies between years is determined
either by agreement with the states, by reference to population, by
9.5
COMMONWEALTH PAYMENTS FOR LOCAL
GOVERNMENT
Untied Funding
Tied Funding
There are only two SPPs that the Commonwealth classifies as being for
local government: one for local roads and one for drought relief in rural
areas. The local roads funding is for construction and maintenance projects
and is split between the states on the same basis as the roads component
of the untied funding discussed above. The distributions within states are
determined by the State Grants Commissions and the decisions on projects
to be funded are made by individual councils. Not all local councils receive
funding from this source.
The funds for drought relief provide employment for people whose
work opportunities have been affected by drought. Funding is provided to
drought-declared areas and the distribution of funds is based on assessed
need.
The states have always argued that they have no fiscal capacity to give large
grants to local councils. Available data for 2014–15 indicates that the total
state financial support to local government was about $3.4 bn, with nearly
half of that being in Queensland. Nearly half of the total state assistance
to local government in Australia is for local roads funding.
There is no detail available at the central level on how the states distrib-
ute their grant funds for local roads but it is probable that the relative needs
determined by the State Grants Commissions are applied.
9.7
CONCLUSIONS ON VERTICAL FISCAL
IMBALANCE AND TIED GRANTS
9.8
UNTIED GRANTS, HORIZONTAL FISCAL
EQUALIZATION AND THE COMMONWEALTH
GRANTS COMMISSION
Change had been made deliberately difficult and, at that time, politicians
from all governments considered that the GST had such growth potential
that the rate of tax would probably never need changing. There was con-
siderable discussion on the breadth of the tax base and it was agreed that
it should not apply to foodstuff and essential services like education and
health. Changes to the tax base were made subject to the same rigorous
requirements as those applied to the tax rate.
Since 2000, there have been minor changes to the tax base but no
change to the tax rate. Individual states, politicians and commentators
have frequently argued for increases in the tax rate but there has never
been any move to test whether all states, the federal government and the
Commonwealth Parliament would support an increase.
The distribution of untied grants to the states is managed by the
Commonwealth Grants Commission (CGC). The Commission does not
have constitutional status but has existed since 1933. It was established
to give stability to the processes through which the Commonwealth was
providing untied funds to the states and as a result of a move by Western
Australia to secede from the Australian Federation.
The principle of HFE was expounded for the first time when the CGC
proposed, in its third report (1936), that:
special grants are justified when a State, through financial stress from any cause,
is unable efficiently to discharge its function . . . and should be determined by
the amount of help found necessary to make it possible for that State, by reason-
able effort, to function at a standard not appreciably below that of other States.6
The process would ensure the level of states’ services were not ‘appreciably’
different. It would not ensure they could be the same.
This application of ‘not appreciably different’ remained in place until
the 1980s when the CGC decided to avoid the judgement element involved
in deciding what was appreciably different by incorporating all drivers
of differences in fiscal capacity into its assessments. Judgement was still
necessary in many of the assessments, but the overarching judgement of
what appreciable meant had been avoided.
The states were complicit in this development. Their submissions to
CGC inquiries had argued about the detail in the calculation of assess-
ments rather than a judgement of an appreciable difference in overall
capacities. They each argued for the assessment of influences that were
beneficial to their position relative to others. They argued for more and
more elements to the algorithm. Many of these were accepted and the
Commission’s ‘black box’ grew in complexity.
Should enable each state to provide the average standard of State-type services,
assuming it does so at an average level of operational efficiency and makes the
average effort to raise revenue from its own sources.
It was this definition of HFE and its method of application that were
implicitly accepted by all parties when they signed the Intergovernmental
Agreement on the Reform of Commonwealth-State Financial Relations in
1999. It remained operational until 2010 but, by that time, suggestions
were being made for a less comprehensive interpretation of equalization.
In 2010, the Commission accepted some of the suggestions for simplifi-
cation and redefined the equalization objective as:
State governments should receive funding . . . such that, after allowing for
material factors affecting revenues and expenditures, each would have the
fiscal capacity to provide services and the associated infrastructure at the same
standard, if each made the same effort to raise revenue from its own sources and
operated at the same level of efficiency.7
1.
The funding for Western Australia in each of the eight years after
2018–19 will be subject to a floor but other states will be subject to the
CGC’s HFE principles, although none of those states will be worse off
because of the change.
2.
The Commonwealth will provide an extra $6.7 bn in untied grants over
the eight years to achieve the ‘no worse off’ position.
3.
After 2026–27, any funding needed to get Western Australia up to the
minimum to which it is guaranteed will be at the expense of the other
states.
Papua extra funding but makes it clear that this is to maintain national
cohesion and because of the wealth those provinces contribute to the
national economy. Similarly, it is not unknown for nations to leave some of
the revenue derived from minerals in the province of origin, as in Canada
for example, but this is usually accompanied by a statement giving this as
the reason for the pattern of funds distribution.
One benefit in these developments is that the Commonwealth
Government has, for the first time, decided what it wants to achieve
through the HFE system, and what price it is prepared to pay to achieve
that objective. For 85 years, it has let the CGC, often in consultation with
the states, decide what HFE meant and how it was to be implemented.
This led to grant recipients focusing on the numerical calculation of their
positions rather than the wider question of the ‘acceptable’ degree of
equalization. Particularly since 2000 when untied grants ceased to have
any impact on its budget, the Commonwealth had shown relatively little
interest in either the size of the GST pool or the way it was distributed.
These were matters for the states.
Although the government’s solution to Western Australia’s complaints
of inequalities in the GST distribution is different from that proposed by
the Productivity Commission, that Commission is undoubtedly correct in
having recommended that:
G 5 E 2 R 2 O (9.1)
where:
G is a state’s requirement for untied assistance;
E is the expenses it would incur if it provided average levels of services at
average levels of efficiency;
R is the revenue it would raise if it applied average tax policies to its
revenue bases; and
O is its revenue from SPPs that relate to functions in the assessment
budget.
In Australia, there has never been any serious thought given to whether or not
HFE should be limited by excluding either side of states’ budgets. The 1936
definition included both revenue capacity and service delivery in its formula-
tion and that has continued to be accepted. The question remains, however,
about how to define the revenue sources and services that are to be assessed.
After the late 1970s, the way the CGC defined the revenue sources
and services it assessed changed as the quest for precision changed. The
definition of individual services got more specific as the assessment detail
increased. The number of separate services assessed in 1978 was 19, but
this slowly increased to 41 before being reduced to 14 in 2010. On the
revenue side, the 1978 assessments identified 16 different revenue sources.
This number rose to 21 but was reduced to 7 in 2010.
The 2010 changes made the assessments more manageable and, possibly,
more understandable. If the assessment category did not influence any
state’s grant by at least $100 per capita, it was subsumed elsewhere in the
assessment budget or assessed separately but by the EPC method, thus
ensuring it had no impact on the funding distribution.
On the question of revenue capacity, the issue of categorization has been
most obvious in the area of mining where the geographic distribution of
resources can result in an individual state dominating the average revenue
effort if different minerals are each assessed separately. On the other hand,
royalty rates and the measurement of revenue bases vary greatly between
minerals, which creates difficulties for an overall assessment of states’ rev-
enue capacity from minerals. The categorization of mining revenue sources
and the assessment of capacity in mining has been a perennial issue in
Australia, as elsewhere. Over the years, several approaches have been taken
but none has been found to be satisfactory in the long term. The recent
Productivity Commission report concluded that there was no obvious
approach that would mitigate the problem of policy non-neutrality that
besets the mining assessment.
The Australian system has also seen large shifts in the level of detail within
the assessment of individual services. In this regard, the changes towards
In 1981,14 the CGC considered the frequency with which the basis of its
assessments should be reviewed and whether or not the calculations should
be updated between reviews. With the agreement of the states, it concluded
1999 Assessments
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 179
Socio- Urbanization Administrative Input Dispersion Service Isolation Cross- National Other
demographic scale costs delivery border capital
composition scale
Education
Pre-schools * * * * * *
Government primary educ * * * * * * * *
Non-government primary * * *
educ
Government secondary educ * * * * * * * * * *
179
Non-government secondary * * * *
educ
Vocational education and * * * * * * *
training
Higher educ
Transport of rural school * *
children
2010 Assessments
Indigenous Socio- Age Non-state Wage costs Regional Service Cross-
status economic sector costs delivery border
Status scale
Schools education * * * * * * *
Post-secondary education * * * * * *
16/12/2019 10:44
180 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
HFE has been in place in Australia since the late 1970s but the detail
in the calculations has changed over time. It is only in 2018 that the
Commonwealth Government seems to be taking an active role in specify-
ing what the HFE objective is. This development is well overdue and must
be beneficial to the Australian equalization system.
In terms of the calculation of states’ relative funding needs, the CGC
initially let the states drive the process. More recently, it has taken a more
proactive role and has set limits to the impact of individual factors when
deciding whether or not to include them in the calculations. Correctly, it
has argued that neither process can be shown to give a better result than
the other.
Many of the changes made over the last decade have been claimed to
make the process simpler and more easily understood. No doubt it is a
simpler calculation but whether it has improved understanding is not clear.
9.10
THE INTERFACE BETWEEN TIED AND
UNTIED GRANTS
As mentioned earlier, the Commonwealth attempted, in 2009, to get all
SPPs distributed on an EPC basis. Inter alia, this was because the present
arrangements result in sectoral departments determining a needs-based
distribution of SPPs and then the CGC effectively doing it again when
it assesses relative needs for state services. This arises because the CGC
includes the services funded by the SPPs within its assessments, then
reduces each state’s need for untied funding by the value of the SPPs
received to fund those services.
The CGC’s process is consistent with the principle of HFE and is
accepted as such by the state treasuries, but it does result in some conflict
between HFE and other intergovernmental fiscal relations policies. It has
been criticized at both the federal and state level: the claim being that
agreed SPP distributions are overridden.
This principle of inclusion to treat SPPs was developed by the CGC in
the 1970s, without federal government guidance. By accepting CGC find-
ings since then, the government has implicitly accepted the Commission’s
position. On some occasions, the CGC has been given instructions not to
use inclusion for specified payments and to keep those state receipts and
the services they fund outside the assessments. Prior to the recent propos-
als on the level of HFE grants for Western Australia, the treatment of SPPs
was the only aspect of HFE methodology on which the CGC had been
given instruction.
9.11
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR
INTERGOVERNMENTAL FISCAL RELATIONS16
9.12
THE INTERGOVERNMENTAL AGREEMENT
ON FEDERAL FINANCIAL RELATIONS
The IGAFFR came into effect in January 2009 and was ‘designed to be a
living document, with detailed arrangements set out in schedules that can
be updated as necessary, with the agreement of COAG’. It holds details
of things the parties have agreed to and a series of general aspirational
statements. It gives no idea of long-term intentions on the level of VFI, the
degree of autonomy to be available to the states, or what is meant by HFE.
New policy proposals by the Commonwealth, like the recent GST redis-
tribution in favour of Western Australia, are announced before they have
been discussed with the states. If that proposal is accepted, the agreement
will, presumably, be changed.
When first agreed to, the IGAFFR was given much publicity in the
Commonwealth’s annual Budget Papers, but now it is mentioned only in
passing, or not at all.
In the 2016–17 Budget Paper No. 3, for example, we learnt that:
At the COAG meeting in April 2016, the Commonwealth and states agreed to
work together to develop options to share personal income tax revenue raised
and collected by the Commonwealth in exchange for reducing Commonwealth
payments for specific purposes.
This is a worthy aspiration, but there was no mention of the IGAFFR and
we have had no information since on what progress, if any, has been made.
9.13 CONCLUSION
NOTES
1. The term states covers the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory
unless otherwise indicated.
MAJOR REFERENCES
10.1 INTRODUCTION
185
6.0
5.0 NT
4.0
2.0
TAS
1.5
SA
ACT
1.0 QLD
NSW VIC
NT WA
0.5 becomes ACT
part of becomes GST
HFE part of HFE introduced Mining boom
system
0.0
2
8
–8
–8
–9
–9
–9
–0
–0
–1
–1
–1
81
85
89
93
97
01
05
09
13
17
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
NT: Northern Territory QLD: Queensland
TAS: Tasmania VIC: Victoria
SA: South Australia NSW: New South Wales
ACT: Australian Capital Territory WA: Western Australia
Figure 10.1 The widening disparity in state per capita GST relativities
We thank you for the offer of the cow, but we can’t milk, and so we answer
now – we answer with a loud resounding chorus: please keep the cow and do the
milking for us. (Garran, 1958, p.208)
State governments should receive funding from the pool of goods and services
tax revenue such that, after allowing for material factors affecting revenues and
expenditures, each would have the fiscal capacity to provide services and the
associated infrastructure at the same standard, if each made the same effort to
raise revenue from its own sources and operated at the same level of efficiency.
(CGC, 2010, p.34)
Remainder as EPC
Size of the equalization
Task = +
Fiscal capacity per capita
St te 1
St te 2
St te 3
St te 4
St te 5
e6
St te 1
St te 2
St te 3
St te 4
St te 5
e6
St te 1
St te 2
St te 3
St te 4
St te 5
e6
St te 1
St te 2
St te 3
St te 4
St te 5
e6
at
at
at
at
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
St
St
St
St
Initial fiscal 1. Bring states to 2. Bring all states to 3. Redistribute
capacity average the strongest
1.
States with relatively low fiscal capacities are raised to the average
(pre-GST) fiscal capacity of all states;
2.
all states are then raised to the capacity of the fiscally strongest state;
3.
any remaining revenue from the GST pool is distributed to all states on
an equal per capita (EPC) basis.
After these equalization steps, all states are provided with the fiscal
capacity to provide the national average level of services. Due to the VFI
between the state and Commonwealth governments, even the fiscally
strongest state requires an EPC component ‘top up’ (step three) to be able
to provide the average level of services.
The size of the equalization task – that is, the share of the GST pool
not distributed on a per capita basis to achieve equalization – peaked in
2016–17 at 12–13 per cent (Figure 10.3). The increase in the equalization
10 7
6
8
$ billion
5
6 4
4 3
2
2
1
0 0
2000–01 2005–06 2010–11 2015–16
Redistribution amount (RHS) Redistribution share of GST pool (LHS)
Figure 10.3 Share of GST pool not distributed on a per capita basis
task reflects the increased disparity in the fiscal capacities of the states over
the past two decades (as also revealed in the unprecedented dispersion in
GST relativities).
Western Australia emerged as the fiscally strongest state about a decade
ago, and is expected to remain so for some years to come. This reflects the
mining boom and increased mineral production in the resource rich state.
Typically, the fiscally strongest state has been less of an outlier and one of
the two largest state economies, New South Wales (NSW) or Victoria. In
contrast, the small state economies, such as South Australia and Tasmania,
have consistently been assessed with a below average fiscal capacity.
The key factors affecting the redistribution of the GST are mining,
remoteness and regional costs and indigenous status. Moreover, it is
changes in these factors, rather than in the HFE methodology that mostly
account for the shifts between states’ fiscal capacities over time.
In practice the CGC does not achieve perfect equalization. This is largely
due to conceptual considerations and data limitations needed to apply
the methodology. For example, not all activities are differentially assessed
because they cannot be reliably measured or have an immaterial impact
and are either discounted or assessed on an EPC basis. In 2016–17,
nearly 40 per cent of revenues and about 20 per cent of expenditures were
assessed on an EPC basis, or near EPC basis. Even still, Australia is recog-
nized internationally as unique in almost completely eliminating disparities
in fiscal capacity between states (OECD, 2013).
The Commonwealth is also a major provider of revenue to the states
through other channels than the GST distribution. They include Specific
Purpose Payments (SPPs) and National Partnership Payments (NPPs).
These payments are taken into account by the CGC in state fiscal capacity
assessments, either as part of state revenue, or as an offsetting reduction in
state expenditure needs.
Some payments, however, are excluded from fiscal capacity assess-
ments. The Treasurer, for example, can direct the CGC to ‘quarantine’ a
Commonwealth payment that supports a project with national or cross-
state benefits, such as national infrastructure. The Treasurer also has the
power to target particular needs or shortfalls of individual states that may
not be recognized in the CGC’s analysis. For example, controversy about
Western Australia’s low relativity following the mining investment boom
led to the state receiving quarantined funds for infrastructure.
Quarantined payments made to a state raise that state’s ‘effective
relativity’, enabling it to receive additional Commonwealth funds without
the consequence of a reduction in its relativity as calculated by the CGC.
The ability of the Commonwealth Treasurer to quarantine payments from
HFE reduces transparency and accountability for the delivery of govern-
ment services (discussed further in section 10.4) and adds an element of
unpredictability to Australia’s HFE system. In practice, only about 5 per
cent of Commonwealth payments are quarantined by the Treasurer.5
The CGC also has the discretion to discount payments by up to 50 per
cent from their fiscal capacity assessments. This is done in accordance with
the principles of HFE and is usually reserved for when the CGC is not
confident of the accuracy of their assessment.
Once all these payments are taken into account, the overall degree of
fiscal disparity between the states narrows. Nonetheless, the heavy lifting
with the redistribution is done by the GST distribution. Once it is factored
in, the revenue disparities in most states fall to near negligible differences
(Figure 10.4). The one exception is the Northern Territory, which raises
close to the average own source revenue per capita, but after the GST
distribution its revenue per capita is about 135 per cent higher than the
average. This is because the Australian system also takes expenditure needs
into account and the Northern Territory has both higher use and costs
of government service delivery, due mostly to its remoteness and large
indigenous population.
TAS
SA
VIC
NT
QLD
NSW
The CGC’s methods for calculating GST shares to the states are intended
to be policy neutral – that is, GST shares should reflect structural dif-
ferences across states and should not be affected by an individual state’s
policy decisions, including the mixture of revenue sources that it chooses
to use. But because average state policy is determined by what states col-
lectively do, there is some tension with the principle of policy neutrality.
The tension between what states do and policy neutrality is inherent to
any system of HFE, in that any increase in a state’s fiscal capacity relative
to others will see it receive less in equalization payments. There is also a
The direction and size of these effects is not straightforward and depends
on where the state sits relative to the average. In general, where a state
changes its tax rate, the subsequent effect on the GST distribution will be
small. It will be larger for the larger states, as they have a bigger impact
on the national average tax rate. In the event of a state increasing one tax
rate and reducing another (for example, to make a reform revenue neutral),
there would be two average-rate effects to take into account.
A general measure of the effect of changes to revenue-raising effort on
GST payments can be calculated by examining the change in GST pay-
ments due to raising an extra $100 in revenue by a tax rate increase in any
state. Table 10.1 presents this measure for selected revenue assessments.
For most tax categories the estimates are less than 5 cents per dollar
change in own source revenue, and the median effect is close to 1 cent. The
main exception is iron ore royalties (discussed below), for which Western
Australia (WA) has a very large share of the revenue base. A $100 increase
in WA iron ore royalties raised by a higher royalty rate in WA would result
in an $87.9 decline in its GST distribution. Other states would benefit,
especially the large population states of NSW and Victoria (Table 10.1).
In contrast, policy changes that affect the tax base can have a sig-
nificant effect on the GST distribution. This is because changes to the
base mean changes to assessed revenue-raising capacity (vis‑à‑vis other
states). For example, if a state like Victoria (with 25 per cent of Australia’s
Note: * Figures indicate the change in each state’s GST payments, in dollars, for a $100
increase in revenue raised by a tax‑rate increase in any state (the amount by which that
state’s tax rate needs to increase to raise the $100 in revenue will depend on the state),
assuming no change in the size of tax bases.
opulation), expanded its tax base and therefore increased tax revenue by
p
$100, it would see $75 ($100 less its population share) of the additional
revenue redistributed to other states.
Taken together, there is little doubt that state tax reform disincentives
exist in principle. Whether such effects actually influence policy decisions
is harder to discern; decisions not to pursue reforms are impossible to
directly observe. Not surprisingly, there is widespread disagreement on the
occurrence and magnitude of disincentive effects and conclusive evidence
is scarce. Against this background and to illustrate how tax reforms can
influence a state’s GST payment, the Commission considered several
stylized reform ‘cameos’.6
The cameos rest upon simple assumptions and share a number of
limitations. They assume that a state can fully offset its revenue or balance
its spending in the same year the reform is implemented. The analysis
does not consider the transition path for reform or any indirect effects
that might occur as a result of the policy change. Nor does it factor in any
long-term impact of the policy change in the state or how other states may
respond. Furthermore, the impact of the reform on a state tax base (the
elasticity effect) is by assumption only. Notwithstanding these simplifying
assumptions, the cameos remain useful for illustrative purposes.
The first cameo involves a state halving its average rate of stamp duty on
property and replacing the lost revenue with a new broad-based tax on all
residential land. While the direct impact is revenue neutral, the net effect
is a reduction in GST payments for any state that undertakes this reform
unilaterally. This is because the reforming state would be assessed as having
a stronger capacity to raise revenue from stamp duty because of the growth
in its assessed tax base, even though the reform would mean that it actually
now raises less revenue. Moreover, the land tax reform would also cause the
larger states to lose GST payments as they are assessed to have a stronger
capacity to raise revenue from land taxes.
The impacts on the GST distribution are much smaller in the case where all
states pursue the tax switch reform in parallel, as the national average stamp
duty rate would also fall by half (bringing down assessed revenue in all states).
Because no state would be a big outlier from average policy after multilateral
reform, some states would see a modest gain in GST payments, whereas
others would experience a reduction (depending on where each state stands
in relation to the average for each tax base). Hence, there can be a distinct
first-mover disadvantage among states intent on pursuing tax policy reform.
A second cameo illustrates what would happen if a state abolished
its insurance taxes. Every state would lose GST revenue from unilateral
reform of this kind because their tax base has increased (due to increased
demand for insurance) and because they are still assessed as having the
capacity to raise revenue through insurance taxes. However, the GST
impacts are small due to the small size of the insurance tax base (just over
$5 billion nationally in 2016–17). If all states were to multilaterally abolish
their insurance taxes the effect would be the same as if insurance taxes
were removed from the HFE methodology.
In summary, most state tax reforms would likely have limited impacts on
the GST distribution. However, despite the CGC’s aspiration and endeav-
our, Australia’s HFE system is not policy neutral. There are circumstances
where the effects of tax policy reform on the share of GST revenue flowing
to each state can be material – such as for a state undertaking large scale
tax reform – and act as a significant disincentive for states to implement
efficient tax policy. These incentives are exacerbated where the state is a
first mover on reform or where there is uncertainty about how significant
tax changes will be assessed by the CGC.
●● the size of the total GST pool – Australia’s national GST collection
determines the total amount of funding to be distributed to states.
Growth in the GST pool has ranged from 14 per cent in 2002–03
down to −3 per cent in 2008–09. In many years, changes in the size
of the pool have contributed more to changes in most states’ GST
payments than changes to populations and relativities combined.
●● revisions to data and the CGC’s methodology – because the data
used by the CGC are often revised following initial release, annual
relativities for an assessment year can vary materially across updates,
particularly given adjustments to states’ population shares. These
effects can be compounded by changes in the CGC’s methodology,
which is reviewed every five years.
●● judgements regarding the exclusion of Commonwealth payments –
both the Commonwealth Treasurer and the CGC have the ability to
determine whether specific Commonwealth payments are excluded
from the calculation of states’ relativities. These determinations are
unpredictable and can have significant impacts on state budgets,
particularly for smaller states (Brumby et al., 2012, p.70).
10.4
UNTIED GRANTS, ACCOUNTABILITY AND
BENCHMARKING
Ultimately, states are accountable to their electorates for how they use
HFE funds, not to the Commonwealth government. This is the basis for
why the distribution of GST funds from the Commonwealth to the states is
not tied, and for the more general move away from strict controls over how
60 40
35
50
30
40
25
30 20
15
20
10
10
5
0 0
Interest Other Sales of Non-GST State GST
income revenue goods grants taxation payments
and services revenue
Average coefficient of variation, weighted by population (LHS)
Average proportion of state revenue, weighted by population (RHS)
Notes:
a The coefficient of variation is a measure of dispersion, showing the degree to which
values are spread above and below the mean, relative to the size of the mean itself. It takes
into account both positive and negative changes and is calculated by dividing the standard
deviation by the mean.
b Royalty income is included in ‘other revenue’. ‘State taxation revenue’ includes stamp/
transfer duty, land tax, insurance tax and vehicle licensing charges. ‘Current grants and
subsidies’ presented in the ABS Government Finance Statistics have been disaggregated into
‘Non-GST grants’ and ‘GST payments’.
BOX 10.1
EXPERIENCE WITH INTERGOVERNMENTAL
BENCHMARKING IN AUSTRALIA
role, accountability for how governments fulfil their roles and responsibili-
ties will inevitably remain blurred, given the high level of VFI in Australia.
10.5 SUMMING-UP
●● the system is not policy neutral: while most state tax reforms and
changes in state service delivery policies would have limited impacts
on the GST distribution, there are circumstances where distortions
are particularly pronounced for major tax reform exercises. These
disincentives are exacerbated where the state is a first mover on
reform or where there is uncertainty about how significant tax
changes will be assessed by the CGC. There is also a large potential
for HFE to discourage efficient taxation and extraction of some
mineral and energy resources. States that increase mineral produc-
tion or royalty rates will lose much of the additional revenue to
equalization due to the dominance of select minerals in particular
states.
●● too little weight is afforded to the importance of fairly rewarding
effort: because the system does not systematically provide for states
to retain a reasonable share of the fiscal dividends of their policy
NOTES
1. A state’s tax share relativity is the ratio of a state’s per capita GST allocation to the
national average per capita GST distributed for a given year.
2. This chapter draws on the Australian Productivity Commission’s final report Horizontal
Fiscal Equalization, which can be downloaded from: https://www.pc.gov.au/inquiries/
completed/horizontal-fiscal-equalisation/report. The CGC also conducts an in-depth
Methodology Review every five years. The next review is underway and will be released in
2020.
3. VFI refers to the situation where the Commonwealth raises more revenue than it requires
for its own direct expenditure responsibilities, whereas states raise less revenue than they
require for their expenditure responsibilities.
4. For a more detailed exposition of Federal State Financial arrangements in Australia and
how HFE is implemented in Australia see Chapter 9 in this volume.
5. For a more detailed discussion of quarantined payments, see Appendix B of the
Productivity Commission’s final report on Horizontal Fiscal Equalization.
6. For a detailed and fuller discussion on the cameo analysis, including the caveats and
assumptions used, readers are referred to the Productivity Commission’s final report (PC,
2018, Appendix C).
7. Equalization will nevertheless respond over the longer term to structural change in states’
fiscal capacities. In contrast, no state can escape the fiscal consequences of a collective
downturn in the economy’s fiscal position; HFE would not be able to offset all states’
declines in their other revenues (non-GST).
8. For a more detailed exposition on the rationale and approaches to benchmarking in
federations, see PC and Forum of Federations (2012).
REFERENCES
Brumby, J., Carter, B. and Greiner, N. (2012). GST Distribution Review, Final
Report, Australian Government, Canberra.
CGC (Commonwealth Grants Commission) (2010). Volume 1: Main Report,
Report on GST Revenue Sharing Relativities: 2010 Review, Canberra.
Ergas, H. and Pincus, J. (2011). ‘Reflections on fiscal equalisation in Australia:
Submission to the GST Distribution Review’, Issues Paper, Canberra.
Garran, R. (1958). Prosper the Commonwealth, Angus and Robertson, Sydney.
Koutsogeorgopulou, V. and Tuske, A. (2015). Federal-State Relations in Australia,
OECD Working Paper, No. 1198, Paris.
OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) (2013).
Fiscal Federalism 2014: Making Decentralisation Work, Paris.
PC (2018). Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation, Report no. 88, Canberra.
PC and Forum of Federations (2012). Benchmarking in Federal Systems, Roundtable
proceedings, Melbourne, 19–20 December 2010, eds A. Fenna and F. Knüpling,
Canberra.
Petchey, J.D. (2018). ‘Inter-regional transfers and the induced under-taxation of
economic rents’, Regional Studies, 52 (2), 1–11.
Pincus, J. (2011). ‘Examining horizontal fiscal equalisation in Australia’, Research
Paper No. 2011-25, University of Adelaide School of Economics, Adelaide.
Productivity Commission (PC) (2014). Natural Disaster Funding Arrangements,
Report no. 74, Canberra.
11.1 INTRODUCTION
204
that meet performance targets in basic education and water. Rio de Janeiro
has similarly implemented transfers to municipal hospitals that seek to
encourage better service provision and improve economies of scale and
inter-municipal cooperation.
Brazil’s variety of experiences with different types of transfers at the
subnational level provide interesting lessons and ideas for other countries.
The approaches used suggest a mechanism to align subnational actions
with goals. They also help strengthen accountability and a focus on out-
comes that could be relevant for other federal systems.
11.2
EVOLUTION AND SPECIAL FEATURES OF
BRAZIL’S FEDERAL SYSTEM
Over the decades, Brazil has undergone several cycles of centralization and
decentralization. The choice of a federal design can be traced to the need
to mitigate centrifugal forces and threats to territorial integrity that have
been present since colonial times. Alternating civil and military govern-
ments changed the distribution of authority across levels of government
but states have always played a strong role, being initially responsible
for the provision of all basic services and collecting their own revenues.
State-based politics and elites continue to be influential in determining
intergovernmental policies.
Democratization after the last military dictatorship led to the introduc-
tion of a high degree of decentralization. The 1988 Constitution made
the 27 states, including the Federal District, and 5,560 municipalities2
equal members of the Union with relative financial independence and
significant service delivery responsibilities. The devolution process also
led to a marked ‘municipalization’. The devolution of resources and
responsibilities to subnational governments was less the result of a clear
decentralization plan but instead was driven by political pressure and a
strong reaction to the military regime. The assignment of revenues was
not accompanied by a clear distribution of the responsibilities for public
service provision across levels of government or matching of needs with
revenue sources (Rezende 1995).
Fiscal decentralization was most extensive in the 1990s with the
full implementation of revenue and expenditure assignment changes
introduced by the new Constitution. By 1995, states and municipalities
accounted for 45 per cent of public expenditure and 42 per cent of revenue.
This implied a 30 per cent increase from the level observed a decade before.
Until the early 2000s, the fiscal behaviour and indebtedness of state and
municipal governments in Brazil were a major source of macroeconomic
100% 5.8%
21.1%
80% 25.3%
26.6%
60% Federal
States
40% Municipalities
68.9%
52.4%
20%
0%
Tax Collection Available Revenues
Note: The figure for the Federal Government includes social contributions.
Personal
Property Transaction Business Miscellaneous
Income
IPI
CIDE
State IPVA IRPJ IRPF
ICMS
ITCMD
IPTU ISS
ITR ITBI
Municipal IRPJ IRPF
IPI
IPVA
CIDE
ICMS
Note: Vertical lines represent sharing of taxes between different levels of government.
Social Integration Program or Programa de Integração Social (PIS), Personal Contribution
to Social Security or Personal Contribuição Social para o Financiamento da Seguridade
Social (COFINS), Social Tax on Net Profits or Contribuição Social sobre o Lucro Líquido
(CSLL), and Imposto sobre Operações de Crédito (IOF).
Federal
• 21.5% of IPI and IR - FPE
• 7.5% of IPI, to exporter states (FPEX)
• 21.75% of CID • 23.5% of IPI and IR - FPE
• 30% of IOF-ouro • 2.5% of IPI, to municipalities in
• 60% of Salario Educaçāo exporter states (FPEX)
• 3% of IPI and IR to Regional Funds • 50% of ITR
(FNO, FNE, FCO) • 70% of IOF-ouro
• 40–50% of Royalties • 7.25% of CID
• 30–40% of Royalties
States
• 25% ICMS
• 50% IPVA
Municipalities
Source: Blanco et al. (2007); Araujo and Barroso (2014); Secretária do Tesouro Nacional.
The assignment of ICMS to the states has led to a complex system that
has lent itself to a harmful competition through exemptions to attract
investors – the so-called ‘fiscal wars’. The efficiency of tax administration
at the state and municipal level remains generally low, whereas compliance
costs to taxpayers continue to be very significant.
On the expenditure side, assignments and responsibilities are much more
blurred, especially in certain areas, such as health and education, where each
level of government has some responsibilities. In recent years, overall general
government expenditure as a share of GDP has hovered around 38 per cent
in Brazil. About 53 per cent of current spending is by states and municipali-
ties, and they also account for about 68 per cent of personnel expenditure.
States and municipalities are responsible for the provision of services,
including education, health, sanitation and security (see Figures 11.4 and
11.5). They also play a considerable role in the implementation and financ-
ing of programmes that complement federal social protection programmes.
Sanitation
Transport
2%
Urbanization 4%
Education
5%
19%
Legislative and
Administration
10%
Social Security
Special
and Assistance
charges
13%
16%
Other
15%
Health
16%
Sanitation
Transport
3%
3%
Urbanization Education
12% 25%
Legislative and
Administration
14%
Special
charges
4%
Social Security
and Assistance
9%
Other
7% Health
23%
Devolutionary
IPVA 0.2 0.2
ITR 0.001 0.001
IPI – FPEX 0.1 0.1
ICMS – Exp 0.1 0.1
Compen.
Royalties 0.5 0.3 0.2
Matching FUNDEF/ 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.6
FUNDEB
Earmarked
(Education)
SUS (Health) 1.0 0.4 0.6
Non-matching Voluntary Grants 0.4 0.2 0.2
CIDE (Transport) 0.1 0.1 0.0
Other
Source: Updated from Blanco et al. (2008); calculations based on Secretária do Tesouro
Nacional data.
The FPM distribution rules are more equalizing for capital cities than
for small municipalities. State capitals receive 10 per cent of the FPM
resources, while non-capital municipalities receive 86.4 per cent. The
remaining 3.6 per cent is distributed among the most populous municipali-
ties. The allocation to state capitals is determined using population and per
capita income. However, the allocation to non-capital municipalities is
determined exclusively on the basis of population. A minimum allocation
is given according to population ranges. The minimum allocation strongly
favours small municipalities regardless of their per capita income, which
weakens equalization objectives and encourages municipalities to split.
The FPM benefits very small municipalities. Per capita FPM transfers to
municipalities with fewer than 5,000 inhabitants are five times greater than
those to municipalities with more than 50,000 inhabitants.
The system also includes regional development funds that seek to reduce
economic disparities. The 1988 Constitution established that 3 per cent of
the income and product taxes would finance three regional development
funds for the development of Centre-West, Northeast and North (Fundo
do Financiamento do Centro Oeste or FCO, Fundo do Financiamento
do Nordeste or FNE and Fundo de Financiamento do Norte or FNO).
However, there is limited evidence that these funds have been effective in
achieving their goals.
Earmarked transfers have become increasingly important over the
last two decades. Most of them are matching grants for the health and
education sectors, such as the National Health System (SUS) and National
Fund for the Development of Education (FUNDEF/FUNDEB) and are
distributed according to the number of beneficiaries to ensure a minimal
level of spending (Table 11.1). These funds are financed by the Federal
Government, states and municipalities. Non-matching grants account
for 0.5 per cent of GDP, comprising mainly voluntary grants that are
executed through agreements between the Federal Government and states
and municipalities. In general, these agreements are part of federal pro-
grammes delegated to lower levels of government, while CIDE is directed
to road transportation sector investments.
The FUNDEF/FUNDEB4 programme provides matching transfers
to subsidize education expenditures by lower levels of government. The
Federal Government defines regional minimum levels of expenditures
per student, which vary according to region, grade and location (urban/
rural). State governments and municipalities contribute 20 per cent of their
current revenues to a common pool, which is then distributed according
to the number of students in the respective state and municipality and the
minimum level of expenditures specified by the Federal Government. If
the resources of the pool are not enough to cover the minimum expendi-
ture per student, the Federal Government makes up the difference. While
the federal contributions can be considered equalizing, the minimum
level of expenditures specified by the Federal Government is quite low
and regional disparities in expenditure per capita still persist. The more
developed South and Southeast regions have a considerably higher level of
education expenditure per student than the other regions given the much
larger size of their tax base.
The national health system (Unified Health System or SUS) has promoted
convergence in health per capita expenditures and better coverage of basic
care. SUS is also managed and executed by all three levels of government.
11.4
EXPERIMENTING WITH PERFORMANCE
GRANTS AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL: BOLSA
FAMÍLIA
11.5
STATES’ PERFORMANCE GRANTS AND
SUBNATIONAL INNOVATION
As noted above, states have discretion over the formula they use to allocate
a quarter of the state VAT that they transfer to municipalities. This is a
non-trivial amount given that the 1988 Constitution increased the share
allocated from states to municipalities to 25 per cent of the state ICMS.
Several states have experimented since with introducing performance
criteria. Some states have more recently changed their laws to condition
the distribution of the quarter of the state ICMS on performance indica-
tors as an incentive for better governance. The Federal Government is also
considering introducing performance criteria in the conditional transfers
that finance the adoption of full-time secondary education (escolas de
tempo integral).
Ceará
markedly over the past two decades, and there has also been significant
progress in the quality of service provision.
Building on earlier reforms, Ceará introduced numerous results-based
elements in the state management in the 2000s, including the adoption
of a strategic plan. The 2003 Strategic Plan sought to improve fiscal
space and modernize the state’s management practices, and focused on
four programmes: Working Ceará (Ceará Empreendedor); Ceará for a
Better Life (Ceará Vida Melhor); Integrated Ceará (Ceará Integração);
and Ceará at the Service of Citizenry (Ceará a Serviço do Cidadão). A
system of detailed indicators was developed to facilitate monitoring and
programme evaluation and a Committee for Results-based Management
and Fiscal Administration (Comitê de Gestão por Resultados e Gestão
Fiscal) was established to oversee the implementation of the state’s results
management model. The introduction in 2007 of an integrated Priority
Actions and Projects Monitoring system (Monitoramento de Ações e
Projetos Prioritários) strengthened the capacity of the state to monitor
strategic programmes.
Results criteria for allocating the ICMS share was introduced in 2007
in line with the new strategy and results-based management model. Since
1996, the state had used a formula to distribute a quarter of the shared
ICMS to close municipalities’ financing gaps in the education sector in
the following manner: (1) 5 per cent according to the ratio between the
municipality’s and the state’s population; (2) 12.5 per cent by the relation-
ship between the sum of municipal expenditure on the maintenance and
development of education and the municipal revenue from taxes and
constitutional federal and state transfers; and (3) 7.5 per cent equally
distributed among all municipalities. The additional resources did not,
however, result in improvements in key indicators of the quality of spend-
ing such as reductions in school evasion, improved grades in standardized
tests and reductions in age-grade distortion. The state then revised the
formula to distribute resources according to measures of the improve-
ments achieved in the quality of education, health and environmental
services. The discretionary portion is distributed as a weighted average of
indicators of performance in the areas of education (72 per cent), health
(20 per cent) and environment (8 per cent). In education, for example, the
formula rewards municipalities that improve enrolment, reduce repetition
rates and improve learning outcomes.
While there were many contributing factors, this approach had a positive
impact on student proficiency in the municipal education system and in
learning outcomes in the standardized Portuguese and mathematics tests.
Evaluations (Brandão 2014; Petterini and Irffi 2013) show statistically sig-
nificant positive results on enrolment and learning outcomes (Portuguese
Rio de Janeiro
Under the Brazilian health system, states are primarily responsible for
providing tertiary (hospital-level) healthcare but not all healthcare facilities
are run by states. Basic primary healthcare is the responsibility of munici-
pal governments. There are also hospitals owned by municipalities and
philanthropic organizations. To address dismal results in the health sector,
the State of Rio de Janeiro introduced performance grants in the late
2000s to complement other transfers to municipalities. Interventions were
guided by a new policy and strategic plan and involved the establishment
of monitoring of results and the training and recruitment of new staff.
Only hospitals located in municipalities with fewer than 110,000 resi-
dents were eligible. Rural municipalities without hospitals were also eligible
to receive grants, provided they referred patients to hospitals located in
other municipalities that belong to the programme.6
The Programme of Assistance to Hospitals of the Interior (Programa
de Apoio aos Hospitais do Interior Municipal – PAHI) grant consisted
of two parts: (1) a fixed component that was scaled according to the size
and characteristics of the hospital; and (2) a variable component based
on performance benchmarks. The state also implemented a monitoring
system (Sistema de Gestão de Metas e Indicadores de Saude or SIGMIS).
The conditional part of the grant included several performance targets
related to hospital management and the provision of services to patients
from other municipalities. Improvements in the hygiene standards and
disease management in municipal hospitals, as well as an increase in the
number of patients that had access to hospitals in nearby municipalities
and the number of intensive care beds available, were seen to be achieved
through the PAHI programme.
The Programme for Rural Hospitals provided results-based transfers
to municipalities to incentivize a greater quality of service delivery and
incentivize service provision across municipality boundaries to increase
economies of scale. The programme started as a pilot and was quickly
adopted by all municipalities.
For all its complexities, the system of transfers in Brazil has been resil-
ient in the face of major internal and external shocks and has allowed one
of the world’s largest federations to continue to adapt and adjust.
NOTES
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Ames, Barry (2009). The Deadlock of Democracy in Brazil. Ann Arbor: University
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Araujo, Jorge Thompson and Rafael Chelles Barroso (2014). ‘Another attempt to
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Blanco, Fernando, Rogério Miranda, Anderson Silva, William Baghdassarian,
Marco Bonomo, Carlos Eugenio da Costa and José Guilherme Reis (2007).
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Brandão, Julia (2014). O rateio de ICMS por desempenho de municípios no Ceará e
seu impacto em indicadores do sistema de avaliação da educação. Rio de Janeiro:
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Hagopian, Frances (1996). Traditional Politics and Regime Change in Brazil.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Melo, Marcus A. and Carlos Pereira (2015). ‘The Political Economy of Public
Investment’. Background paper for the Brazil Systematic Country Diagnostic.
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Challenges in Public Investment Management’. Background paper. Washington,
DC: World Bank.
OECD (2017). Brazil Regional Profile. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/regional/
regional-policy/profile-Brazil.pdf, Accessed March, 2019.
Petterini, Francisco Carlo, and Guilherme Diniz Irffi (2013). ‘Evaluating the
Impact of a Change in the ICMS Tax Law in the State of Ceará in Municipal
Education and Health Indicators’. Economia 14 (3–4): 171–84.
Rezende, Fernando (1995). ‘Federalismo Fiscal no Brasil’. Revista de Economia
Política 15 (3): 5–17.
Rodden, Jonathan (2015). ‘The Political Economy of Reform in the Brazilian
Federation’. Background paper for the World Bank Systematic Country
Diagnostic. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Samuels, David (2002). ‘Pork Barreling is Not Credit-Claiming or Advertising:
Campaign Finance and the Sources of the Personal Vote in Brazil’. The Journal
of Politics 64 (3): 845–63.
Samuels, David (2003). Ambition, Federalism, and Legislative Politics in Brazil.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Samuels, David and Fernando L. Abrucio (2000). ‘Federalism and Democratic
Transition: The “New” Politics of the Governors in Brazil’. Publius 30 (2): 43–62.
Secretária do Tesouro Nacional (2019). ‘Boletim de Finanças dos Entes
Subnacionais’. Brasília.
World Bank (2008). ‘Brazil: Topics in Fiscal Federalism’. Report. Washington, DC:
World Bank.
12.1
STRUCTURAL AND INSTITUTIONAL
FEATURES OF THE ARGENTINE
FEDERATION1
224
10
OECD Countries
Latin America
Regional Disparities (ratio regional max/min GDP pc)
9 Mexico
Peru
8
Argentina 2017
7 Colombia
Brasil
6 Chile
Argentina 1970
5
4
Portugal Czech Republic
3 Uruguay United Kingdom Germany
Ireland Italy Belgium
Hungary Poland
France United States
2 Greece Netherlands Austria
Spain Sweden
Slovak Republic Norway Finland
1 Israel
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Fiscal Decentralization (% sub-national governments’ spending)
Note: The two data points for Argentina illustrate how the structural features of the
country’s federal system have become more pronounced over time. This is the combined
effect of policy interventions decentralizing responsibilities to provinces and constitutional
reforms creating new provinces, which in turn increased territorial disparities.
Sources: Authors’ own elaboration using data from Ministry of Treasury (Argentina),
OECD database and Cetrángolo and Goldschmit (2012).
9
25
8
5 15
4
10
3
2
5
1
0 0
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Authors’ own elaboration based on data from the Ministry of Treasury.
12.2
HISTORY AND EVOLUTION OF ARGENTINA’S
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFER SYSTEM
The National Pension System (NPS) has been at the centre of the federalism
discussions in Argentina during the past 30 years. Argentina established a con-
tributory social security scheme, within which the public pay-as-you-go NPS was
the key pillar. The NPS covered most private sector employees, as well as federal
government civil servants. Since the early 1980s, the system started to run deficits
in a context of significant macroeconomic instability (ILO 2011).
A major reform to the NPS was passed during the 1990s, which generated
significant fiscal costs for the federal government. The policy reform was centred
around the creation of an individual voluntary private insurance pillar in the system.
Thus, while the public sector would continue to finance current pensioners, it would
stop receiving part of the contributions from active workers that decided to contrib-
ute to an individual capitalization account, managed by private insurance compa-
nies. Shifting from a unique pay-as-you-go public scheme to a mixed one was
expected to have large fiscal costs during the transition period (Cetrángolo and
Grushka 2004).
The need to cover the financial costs of the pension reform led to policy changes
in the intergovernmental transfer system, reducing transfers to the provinces. As
a first step, in 1992 the federal government applied a special deduction of 11 and
20 per cent to value added and income taxes, respectively, to finance the NPS.9
Later, provinces and federal government agreed to impose a 15 per cent deduction
to the common pool of funds to be shared between levels of government (‘masa
coparticipable’), to finance the NPS.10 One year later, to partially compensate the
fiscal costs for the provinces, the federal government agreed to absorb the provin-
cial pension systems (for provincial public servants) of those jurisdictions that
voluntarily decided to transfer them. Almost half of the provinces – 11 out of 24 –
signed the agreement to transfer their pensions system to the federal government
(Apella 2014).
In 2008, Argentina eliminated the private pillar of the NPS going back to a
unique pay-as-you-go public scheme. After this (re-)nationalization of the pension
system, provinces took legal actions against the federal government to stop special
deductions from the shared federal taxes to finance the NPS. By 2010, the prov-
inces’ share of those special deductions intended to finance the NPS (11 per cent
of value added tax (VAT), 20 per cent of income tax, 15 per cent of cumulative
funds to be shared), reached close to 2 per cent of GDP per year, on average. In
October 2015 the Supreme Court ruled in favour of three provinces (setting a
precedent), ordering the federal government to stop deducting the 15 per cent of
the shared funds (masa coparticipable). At the end of her mandate, former
President Cristina Kirchner issued a decree expanding the Supreme Court ruling
to all 24 provinces, for a significant fiscal cost to the upcoming federal administra-
tion. The decree was rescinded by President Macri in early 2016, reaching an
agreement with the provinces to gradually eliminate – over a 5-year period – the
special deductions.11
system with large vertical fiscal gaps. During the 1940s–70s, both dem-
ocratic and military governments tended to centralize administrative
responsibilities. However, starting from the late 1970s Argentina expe-
rienced a strong decentralization of responsibilities from the federal
government to the provinces in social sectors such as education and health,
without the corresponding devolution of revenue sources, to stabilize the
federal budget in the context of a significant fiscal crisis (Cetrángolo and
Gatto 2002).12 Since these decentralization reforms were motivated by
macro-fiscal considerations and emergency needs rather than by a strategic
vision on the devolution of administrative responsibilities to subnational
governments, they ended up with sub-optimal outcomes which impacted
the provision of basic public services (Becerra et al. 2003; Steinberg et al.
2011).
Following these decentralization efforts, provinces have become respon-
sible for a growing share of total spending over the past 50 years. However,
their revenue patterns have not substantially changed. In 2016, for exam-
ple, provinces collected only a small fraction of the revenues, up to about
20 per cent of the overall tax burden (including municipal revenues). In
2017, federal transfers from a common pool of national taxes, on average,
accounted for 46 per cent of total provincial revenues, reaching close
to 60 per cent – if non-automatic transfers are included. There is also a
large variation in the degree of fiscal dependency across provinces. There
are areas such as the City of Buenos Aires, which finances over 75 per
cent of its budget with own taxes, while less developed provinces (such
as Formosa, la Rioja, Catamarca, Corrientes, Santiago del Estero, Jujuy
and Chaco) receive between 80 and 90 per cent of their total revenue from
federal transfers (Figure 12.3).
Local taxes on average only cover a small share of the provincial budg-
ets. Provinces have the power to set their own tax rates,13 and concentrate
their tax collection effort in sales tax (Ingresos Brutos), a cascade tax with
strong distortive properties, which represents on average more than 72
per cent of own provincial tax revenue.14 In Santa Cruz, Misiones and
Neuquen, sales tax represents close to 90 per cent of provincial tax collec-
tion, while in Entre Rios and La Pampa it is around 60 per cent. To a lesser
extent, provinces also rely on property tax, automobile tax and stamp
duties. The most important federal taxes (VAT, income tax, trade taxes,
and so on) are collected at the central level.
Provincial budgets are dominated by recurrent expenditures for basic
public services, leaving a small fiscal space for capital investments/
infrastructure spending. As Figure 12.4 shows, subnational governments
are mostly in charge of the provision of basic education, health, security
and urban services, while the federal government spends mainly on
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 230
Buenos Aires
Chubut
Mendoza
Santa Cruz
Tierra del Fuego
Córdoba
La Pampa
Río Negro
Santa Fe
Entre Ríos
Tucumán
San Juan
230
Misiones
Salta
San Luis
Catamarca
Corrientes
Chaco
Jujuy
Sgo del Estero
La Rioja
Formosa
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Source: Authors’ own elaboration based on data from the Ministry of Treasury.
16/12/2019 10:44
Intergovernmental fiscal transfer system in Argentina 231
100% 0% 1%
3% 5%
17% 12%
90% 18%
20%
80%
50%
70%
60% 72%
50% 63%
88%
40% 82%
75%
35%
30%
20%
25% 21%
10% 15%
0%
Education Health Pensions Debt Economic Urban
Service Services Services
Source: Authors’ own elaboration based on data from the Ministry of Treasury.
ensions and healthcare for the elderly, debt services and, to a lesser
p
extent, on public universities. On average, provinces spend 50 per cent of
their budgets to cover the public sector wage bill. Moreover, when added
transfers to municipalities (automatic, and mainly used to pay municipal
wages), transfers to private educational institutions (subsidy to teachers’
salaries) and pension benefits, more than 75 per cent of provincial budgets
are accounted for by wage expenditure and/or social benefits. Similarly,
when sorting public expenditure by its functions, education, public admin-
istration, security and health services are responsible on average for more
than 70 per cent of provincial budgets.
While on average capital expenditure allocations are low, comparison
across provinces reveals interesting differences. Buenos Aires City, Santiago
del Estero, San Luis, Cordoba and San Juan spend more than 20 per cent
of their budgetary resources on capital expenditure. Whereas, half of the
24 provinces do not get to spend more than 8 per cent. Moreover, if those
spending are measured in per capita terms, differences spike, reflecting a
serious divergence in social equity. For instance, San Luis, the province that
spends the most in public investment per capita, devotes nine times more
than the Province of Buenos Aires.
12.3
HOW POLITICS INFLUENCE POLICIES:
UNDERSTANDING THE POLITICAL
ECONOMY OF FISCAL FEDERALISM IN
ARGENTINA
The ‘rules of the political game’ play an important role in accounting for
the observed features of the Argentine fiscal federalism, and its historical
evolution over time. Argentina’s tax allocation and spending authorities
and its system of intergovernmental transfers do not correspond to equity
or efficiency economic criteria, and often provide perverse incentives and
obstacles for sound economic policies (Tommasi et al. 2001; Spiller and
Tommasi 2008). From a political economy perspective, some of these
features of Argentina’s fiscal federalism can be better understood as the
outcome of the ‘rules of the political game’. Indeed, the policy decisions
to centralize or decentralize revenues and functions were not the result of
planned policy decisions grounded in equity and efficiency considerations,
rather an outcome of macro-fiscal crisis at the federal level (as discussed
above), as well as a by-product of the power relationship between national
politicians and provincial governors (Eaton and Dickovick 2004; González
2013).
The history and evolution of co-participation law illustrates this point.
After the revenue sharing rule was introduced in 1935, powerful military
and civilian governments between the 1930s and 1950s were able to modify
the provisions of the law to reduce provincial shares and further centralize
functions and revenues (Pírez 1986). This changed in the early 1960s,
when governors mobilized and took advantage of weak presidencies to
push for larger transfers to provinces. A centralizing tendency emerged
again under the military rule starting in 1966, when governors and mayors
became military appointees and their weakened status facilitated the
military junta’s efforts to substantially cut federal transfers and further
centralize revenue and tax authority. It was only towards the end of the
Lanusse military rule (1973) that resources were decentralized again.
Interestingly, this reform was driven by the military’s effort to limit the
power of the new democratically elected president – as they were expecting
Peronist to win – and strengthen the role of conservative provinces in the
interior (González 2013: 11–13). These revenue decentralizing trends were
again reversed after the 1976 military coup, when the new military junta
45 Vertical Imbalance
Provinces' share on overall spending
40
35
30
and revenue
25
20 42.1
32.6 33.4
15
10 21.4
0
Revenue Expenditure Revenue Expenditure
1970 2015
Source: Authors’ own elaboration based on data from the Ministry of Treasury.
This is in part explained by the fact that the allocation of tax authority
and administrative functions/spending responsibilities – and the intergov-
ernmental transfer system underpinning both – do not correspond to any
economic criteria; nor does it reflect efficiency considerations. It is instead
largely driven by historical legacies, fiscal emergencies at the federal level
and the complex power relationships between the president and governors
across provinces. Moreover, both the composition and the magnitude of
the federal transfers has increased over time (see Figure 12.3), contributing
to what observers define as ‘federal fiscal labyrinth’ (Tommasi et al. 2001)
or ‘hybrid federation’ (González 2015a). Such complex networks of fiscal
federal relationships in Argentina create perverse incentives and multiple
obstacles to sound economic policies. The rest of the chapter will analyse
the effect of the intergovernmental fiscal transfer system in terms of
horizontal and vertical imbalances.
12.4
CURRENT INTERGOVERNMENTAL FISCAL
TRANSFER SYSTEM IN ARGENTINA: AN
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS20
The following sections of this chapter aim to empirically assess the extent
to which the Argentine transfer system effectively addresses the vertical
objective of income return (correcting vertical imbalances) as well as the
horizontal redistribution of income (correcting horizontal imbalances). As
illustrated in the previous section, the Argentine case concentrates the bulk
of its transfer system around the revenue sharing agreement (CFI plus
Special Laws), with the implication that two separate objectives usually
associated with intergovernmental fiscal transfer systems – namely, closing
the vertical fiscal gap (revenue sharing) and reducing the horizontal fiscal
gap – are mixed in the same instrument. In addition, given the substantial
lack of transparency in the management of resources at the provincial
level, it appears difficult to assess clearly to what extent some of the
transfers that are considered conditional are in fact obliging the recipient
governments to use the resources in a binding manner.
How Does the Argentine Transfer System Address the Vertical Imbalances
by Appropriate Parameters?
35
Share of Automatic Transfers to Provinces
Contribution to GDP
30
25
20
15
10
0
BUENOS AIRES
CABA
SANTA FE
CÓRDOBA
MENDOZA
NEUQUÉN
ENTRE RÍOS
CHUBUT
TUCUMÁN
SANTA CRUZ
SALTA
CHACO
RÍO NEGRO
MISIONES
SGO DEL ESTERO
CORRIENTES
SAN JUAN
JUJUY
SAN LUIS
TIERRA DEL FUEGO
LA PAMPA
CATAMARCA
FORMOSA
LA RIOJA
Source: Authors’ own elaborations based on data from Ministry of Treasury.
After reaching agreements with governors from 22 provinces (excluding San Luis
and La Pampa), in December 2017 the Congress passed a new Fiscal Pact (Law
27.429) to improve efficiency in subnational public finances and equity in intergov-
ernmental transfers.21 The agreement addresses part of the long-lasting fiscal
disputes between different levels of government in Argentina. Among the most
relevant topics of the agreement are the following:
Together with the Fiscal Pact, 22 provinces and the federal government agreed
on changes in the Fiscal Responsibility Law (FRL; Law 27.428), by putting in
place new fiscal rules. Containing the real growth of current spending and public
employment are at the core of these changes. Accordingly, recurrent primary
spending is set to increase below average inflation. Similarly, the annual change
in public employment cannot exceed demographic growth. Moreover, interest
payments cannot represent more than 15 per cent of recurrent net revenues
(excluding automatic transfers to municipalities). These fiscal rules are expected
to create more space to run countercyclical fiscal policy and/or increase public
investment in infrastructure. In addition, the FRL also incorporates institutional
requirements regarding transparency, accountability and forward fiscal planning,
among others.
reforms under the Fiscal Pacts (see Box 12.2), the share of resources that
each province receives from the common pool changed. Specifically, the
share that PBA receives is now higher (from 18 to 20 per cent), reducing
its vertical gap, while the rest of the provinces now receive a marginally
smaller share of the total.
12.5
CONCLUSIONS: PRINCIPLES AND
GUIDELINES TO REFORM THE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFER SYSTEM
80
Per Capita Transfers (ARS thous)
Catamarca
70 La Rioja Formosa
La Pampa
60 Santa Cruz
San Juan Chaco
San Luis
50 Santiago del
Jujuy
Estero
Entre Ríos
40 Río Negro Corrientes
Santa Fe Neuquén Misiones Salta
30 Córdoba Chubut Tucumán
CABA Mendoza
20
Buenos Aires
10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% NBI 2010
60 Catamarca
Formosa
50 La Pampa
La Rioja
San Luis
Santiago del
Santa Cruz San Juan
40 Estero
Chaco
Entre Ríos Jujuy
30 Río Negro Corrientes
Santa Fe Tucumán
Córdoba Neuquén Salta
Misiones
20 Chubut
CABA
Mendoza
10 Buenos Aires
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% NBI 2010
16 y = 171.92x + 3387.5
R2 = 0.1044
14
La Rioja
Per Capita Transfers (ARS thous)
10 Jujuy
8 Catamarca
Formosa
Entre Ríos San Juan Misiones Chaco
La Pampa Neuquén
6 Salta
Santa Cruz
Santa Fe Mendoza Santiago del
4 CABA
Chubut Corrientes Estero
Córdoba Río Negro Tucumán
2 Buenos Aires
San Luis
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% NBI 2010
12
y = 222.49x + 3909.25
R2 = 0.3727
Tierra del Fuego Formosa
10 Catamarca
Santiago del
Per Capita Transfers (ARS thous)
La Rioja Estero
Santa Cruz Chaco
San Juan
8 Corrientes
La Pampa
Chubut Misiones
Neuquén Salta
Jujuy
San Luis Río Negro
Tucumán
6 Entre Ríos
Mendoza
Córdoba
Santa Fe
4
Buenos Aires
CABA
2
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% NBI 2010
1.
Rethinking the size of the funds to be distributed, that is, the degree to
which the transfers are expected to close the aggregate vertical imbal-
ance, with a focus on improving efficiency and equity in the provision of
basic services, while defining a pension system that is fiscally sustainable
in the long run. As discussed in the chapter, the provinces received only
partial financing compensation to cover decentralized spending respon-
sibilities, leading to poor outcomes, more budget rigidity and crowding
out of provincial public investment in infrastructure, given the narrow
fiscal space. Given such deficiencies in the design of decentralized spend-
ing responsibilities in public health and basic, primary and secondary
public education, Argentina needs to rethink its aggregate approach
towards the provision of these services. A comprehensive discussion
on the way Argentina wants to ensure its basic service delivery, ideally
pointing to close horizontal gaps, needs to be a top priority while dis-
cussing any reform to the fiscal federalism. Furthermore, if the long-run
sustainability of the NPS is not defined (which may include structural
reform discussions), the door is open to future conflicts between levels
of government to fight for additional resources to postpone reforms.
Both discussions will largely determine the size of the vertical imbalance
that the intergovernmental transfer system will aim to close.
2.
Providing the system with a priority redistributive bias to correct the
deep territorial inequalities in Argentina. An ideal federal scheme
should aim to promote fiscal autonomy of all subnational members
of the federation. However, the difference in income levels across
provinces in Argentina is higher than many other federal countries,
making it very difficult to provide similar levels of public services
across provinces without assistance from central government. A redis-
tributive bias in the fiscal transfer system would therefore take into
account the differences in fiscal capacity and spending needs across
provinces, helping to achieve a more equitable system where citizens
can have access to similar standards of public services, regardless of
the provinces where they reside.
3.
Improving the transparency and reducing the complexity of the
system, adopting a ‘one objective/one instrument’ approach, in line
with international best practice. Argentina’s intergovernmental trans-
fer scheme stands out by being an extremely complex system, com-
monly referred to as a labyrinth. And despite having different pillars of
transfers (CFI, Special Laws and Non-automatic Transfers), the truth
is that neither of them follows a specific mandate, resulting in very
poor outcomes. Accordingly, reducing its complexity by unifying the
different transfers as much as possible will help improve the way the
system works, making it more transparent and coherent. In addition,
NOTES
1. This section is based on World Bank (2018a), which provides further elaboration of
the macro-fiscal challenges connected with the unequal structure of the Argentinian
federation.
2. When the constitution was signed in 1853, the Argentinian federation comprised 14
provinces. During subsequent administrative reforms in the 1950s and the 1990s, new
provinces were created, including Santa Cruz, Chubut, Formosa, Neuquen, Rio Negro,
Misiones, Chaco, La Pampa, CABA and Tierra del Fuego (Cetrángolo and Jiménez
2003).
3. The ‘shared’ responsibilities are not explicitly defined in the Constitution nor in
subsequent regulations. They are a result of informal arrangements which may also vary
across provinces.
4. ‘Automatic’ refers to tax revenues which are centrally collected by Administracion
Federal de Ingresos Publicos (AFIP) and transferred back to the provinces, according
to the percentage share as defined either in the CFI or through Special Laws. As such,
they are not part of the federal budget. ‘Non-automatic’ refers to budgetary transfers
and includes both discretionary transfers and programme-based and sectoral transfers.
5. See Porto (2003).
6. The Congress passed three laws: unification of excise taxes (12.139); sales tax (12.143)
and extension of a profit tax (12.147).
7. The dictatorship in power from 1966 to 1973, the so-called ‘Argentine Revolution’,
had three military presidents: Ongania (1966–70), Levingston (1970–71) and Lanusse
(1971–73).
8. For a review of the historical stages of the Coparticipacion in Argentina, see Cetrángolo
(2003), Porto (2003).
9. See Decree 879/92 and Law 23.966 for the income tax and VAT deductions, respectively.
10. See Law 24.130, also known as ‘Pacto Fiscal 1’.
11. See ‘Acuerdo Nacion-Provincias para el Nuevo Federalismo’: accessed 24 October 2019 at
https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/subsecretaria-de-relaciones-con-provincias/acue
rdo-nacion-provincias.
12. The first decentralization process started in 1978. Laws 21.809 and 21.810 transferred
initial and primary public education, while Law 21.883 transferred 65 national hospitals
to the provinces. Later, in 1991, Law 24.061 continued to delegate federal responsi-
bilities to the provinces for hospitals and education institutions. For further details, see
Cetrángolo and Gatto (2002).
13. Most recently (December 2017), the Fiscal Pact included the commitment for the
participating provinces (22 out of 24) to set homogenous sales tax (Ingresos Brutos)
rates – by economic sectors – as well as gradually reduce (over a 5-year period) rates
for primary activities, following a precise schedule included in the Fiscal Responsibility
Law.
14. This calculation does not include royalties.
15. Due to the closed-list proportional electoral system, governors control the candidate
selection process and the nominations for congressional elections, to the point that
political careers of individual politicians are often structured and decided at the
provincial level. Consequently, ‘president need to negotiate not only electoral but also
legislative support with governors’ (González and Mamone 2015: 55). Moreover, given
that local party bosses have the incentives to remove individual legislators from high-
visibility positions, individual politicians have little incentives to build a long career in
Congress, invest in policymaking capabilities and acquire specific expertise (Jones et al.
2004; Jones and Hwang 2005).
16. For example, with a population of 12.6 million, Buenos Aires province is granted three
senators, the same number received by Tierra del Fuego, with a population of 59,000.
Thus, one vote in Tierra del Fuego is worth 214 votes in Buenos Aires.
17. Argentina has a bicameral Congress composed of the Senate (where each one of the 24
provinces has three senators) and the Chamber of Deputies, where each province has a
number of deputies proportional to its population, with a maximum of five deputies for
each province.
18. From the perspective of the president, it is in the peripheral provinces where votes can
be obtained at the lowest price possible. From the perspective of the governor, the flow
of income from the national government helps to secure resources to sustain the provi-
sion of jobs in the provincial bureaucracy and social welfare programmes. Moreover,
investing in less developed provinces is more attractive for presidents because governors
from these provinces tend to be weaker political challengers than governors from more
developed districts (González 2015a: 2).
19. See Tommasi et al. (2001) for a comparison of Argentine fiscal federalism to other
federations.
20. The analysis and data presented in this section draws upon the World Bank (2018b).
21. Dated 21 December 2017, published in the Official Gazette No.33782 of 2 January
2018. The two provinces that did not sign the agreement do not have to comply with
its commitments under the Fiscal Pact and the Fiscal Responsibility Law, but will not
receive its benefits either (authorization to issue debt, worst credit rating, and so on).
22. Multivariate regression tables are available from the authors upon request.
REFERENCES
13.1 INTRODUCTION
248
provided constitutional sanctity to the rural and urban local bodies as the
third sphere of local self-governance in India. The centre-state relation-
ships in the pre-1992 period rested on principles largely defined under the
colonial rule of centralized governance. As a result, there was a strong
bias towards a unitary framework in the Constitution. Under the Indian
Constitution, many high-yielding taxes (productive taxes) are assigned
to the centre due to reasons provided in the Union List that the centre
is responsible for macroeconomic stabilization and redistribution. These
include the corporate and personal income taxes, customs duties, and
certain excise taxes (excluding those on alcoholic liquors, opium and other
narcotics). State governments are authorized to impose a limited Value
Added Tax (VAT) (and now Goods and Services Tax (GST)) as well as a
small tax on agricultural income. Local governments’ taxing powers are
largely confined to taxes on property.
The core arrangements with regard to the sharing of resources
and responsibilities are built into the Indian Constitution itself. The
Constitution defines the exclusive powers of the centre2 in the Union
List; exclusive powers of the states are specified in the state list (includ-
ing public order, police, public health, agriculture and others); and
those falling under the joint jurisdiction of both levels are placed in the
concurrent list (with the Union vested with overriding powers in subject
matters). This stands in sharp contrast to Canada, where the federal fiscal
relationships have evolved through a non-constitutional process, except
for the equalization transfers, which have a constitutional status. Most
arrangements derive from a series of negotiations between the two tiers of
government. Also, in countries like the United States (US) and Canada,
states have access to all broad tax bases including Sales Tax, while in
Australia the constitution postulates central government exclusive powers
to impose customs and excise duties and the judiciary have interpreted
this to include Sales Tax too.
The key institutional arrangement that guides the sharing of resources
between the various levels of government in India is entrusted to the
Finance Commission (FC). In addition, resource transfers also take
place through the Planning Commission3 and other central ministries.
Other institutions of importance in India are the National Development
Council and the Inter-State council. These institutions are comparable
with the Premiers’ or First Ministers’ Conference in Canada. In Australia,
the determination of the vertical share of resources to be transferred to
the states is not in the hands of the Commonwealth Grants Commission.
It gets determined automatically by the amount of revenues collected
under the GST supplemented by the special purpose grants that are in the
hands of the Commonwealth government. In India, the FC determines
a large part of the transfers in the form of tax devolution under a global
sharing arrangement (the divisible pool) and grants, requiring it to deter-
mine a significant part of the volume of the vertical transfers. The FC
transfers are supplemented by the Planning Commission4 grants and other
discretionary grants determined by the central government. The FC award
remains valid for a five-year period.
Since 1951, there have been 14 such Finance Commissions in India, the
Fifteenth Finance Commission (15th FC) was constituted in November
2017. The terms of reference (TOR)5 of the 15th FC is to make the recom-
mendations for the following:
●● the distribution between the Union and the States of the net
proceeds of taxes which are to be, or may be, divided between them
under Chapter I, Part XII of the Constitution and the allocation
between the states of the respective shares of such proceeds;
●● the principles which should govern the grants-in-aid of the revenues
of the states out of the Consolidated Fund of India and the sums to
be paid to the states by way of grants-in-aid of their revenues under
Article 275 of the Constitution for purposes other than those speci-
fied in the provisos to clause (1) of that Article; and
●● the measures needed to augment the Consolidated Fund of a State
to supplement the resources of the Panchayats and municipalities in
the state on the basis of the recommendations made by the FC of
the State.
Over the years the core mandate of the Commission has remained
unchanged, though it has been given the additional responsibility of exam-
ining various issues depending on the challenges faced by Indian public
finances from time to time. For instance, the Twelfth Finance Commission
(TwFC or 12th FC) evaluated the fiscal position of states and offered relief
to those that enacted their Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management
(FRBM) laws. The Thirteenth (13th) and the Fourteenth (14th) FC
assessed the impact of GST on the economy. The 13th FC also incentiv-
ized states to increase forest cover by providing additional grants. In this
milieu, even the Fifteenth Finance Commission has been given some
additional responsibilities such as to: (i) review the impact of the 14th FC
recommendations on the fiscal position of the centre; (ii) review the debt
level of the centre and states, and recommend a roadmap; (iii) study the
impact of GST on the economy; and (iv) recommend performance-based
13.2
MARKET PRESERVING FEDERALISM,
ECONOMIC REFORMS AND EVOLVING ROLE
OF FINANCE COMMISSIONS
The environment within which the states in India operated had undergone
two phases of significant change: first, over the 1970s and 1980s with the
growth of regional political parties; and second, after 1991 with the central
government’s liberalization of the trade and investment regime. These
developments had allowed as well as required of the states a larger role in
determining their development paths and in attracting private investment
(Wes, 2007).
The growth experience of the 1990s showed that developed Indian
states with broad industrial bases and developed market institutions
and infrastructure had performed much better than those without them.
However, it was necessary to be mindful and not penalize those states
that performed more efficiently in the delivery of services or raised more
revenues relative to their tax bases. As a result, the situation demanded
that the intergovernmental transfer system ought to respond to the shifts
in economic policymaking. Post economic reforms, it became important
for FCs in India to establish a fine balance between equity and efficiency,
a system where fiscal disadvantage is taken care of, but fiscal imprudence
is effectively discouraged (Rangarajan, 2006). The fundamental change in
economic policy required both the central and the state governments to
face global competition and the market forces together in a coordinated
manner in the spirit of cooperative federalism.
The period following the economic reforms in India can be regarded as
a phase of ‘market preserving federalism’. The ‘ex ante’ policy framework
post 1991 was embedded in gradualism and careful articulation of eco-
nomic objectives, implying a clear definition of the goal and a deliberate
choice of extending the time taken to reach it, in order to ease the pain of
transition. The goals were often indicated only as a broad direction, with
the precise end point and the pace of transition left unstated to minimize
opposition – and possibly also to allow room to retreat if necessary. This
reduced politically divisive controversy, and enabled a consensus of sorts
to evolve, but it also meant that the consensus at each point represented
a compromise, with many interested groups joining only because they
believed that reforms would not go ‘too far’ (Ahluwalia, 2002a). The result
was a process of change, the emergence of an ex post policy framework,
that was not so much gradualist but fitful and opportunistic. In a nutshell,
the phase of market preserving federalism in India made the task of the
subsequent FCs more challenging. Despite the challenges, the contribu-
tion of later Commissions in rebalancing the centre-state relationships
in the context of liberalization of the Indian economy was significant as
explained in the following sections of the chapter.
13.3
VERTICAL AND HORIZONTAL IMBALANCES
IN THE LAST 25 YEARS
(i) Phase I: First (1952–57) to the Seventh (1979–84) FCs relied on dis-
tribution criteria which was distinct for income tax and union excise
duties, income tax sharing was mandatory while there was in-sharing
of union excise duty at the discretion of the centre;
(ii) Phase II: Eighth (1984–89) to the Tenth (1995–2000) FCs before the
implementation of the alternative scheme of devolution of central
taxes. Two noticeable changes during this phase were a move towards
unifying the formulae for the inter se distribution of both income
and union excise duties and secondly a portion of the union excise
duties was kept aside for distribution according to ‘assessed deficits’;
(iii) Phase III: Eleventh (2000–05) FC onwards, and a phase of full
convergence. This led to replacing four distinct sets of shares: (i)
portions of income tax and union excise duties subject to common
criteria; (ii) a portion of devolution against assessed deficits; (iii)
additional excise duties in lieu of sales tax on cotton, sugar and
tobacco; (iv) the grants in lieu of tax on railway passenger fares, by
only one set of shares under the global sharing agreement.
From the 11th to the most recent 14th FC, the overriding criteria under
the global sharing agreement was based on four factors: (i) vertical
transfers; (ii) equity; (iii) incentives for efficiency; (iv) cost disadvantages.
Another salient feature of the full convergence phase was that the
11th, 12th and 13th FCs were headed by economists with experience
in policymaking and the 14th was chaired by an administrator and a
distinguished economist. These appointments reflected the political
consensus in favour of economic reforms and acceptability of the
growing importance of partnership between the centre and the states on
economic development.
Years P1 P2 C1 C2 Years P1 P2 C1 C2
Tenth FC: States in Crisis, Severe Resource Constraints Eleventh FC: Significant Fiscal Correction at the State Level
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 255
1995–96 50.4 19.5 36.9 42.1 2000–01 57.0 27.7 38.4 43.7
1996–97 54.4 20.4 34.7 39.6 2001–02 57.2 27.2 41.8 46.9
1997–98 54.7 21.3 35.7 41.8 2002–03 55.5 27.2 36.8 41.6
1998–99 57.5 30.3 40.4 45.1 2003–04 56.5 28.1 26.4 30.0
1999–2000 58.4 31.3 37.4 41.7 2004–05 54.9 22.6 24.3 27.6
Twelfth FC: Fiscal Consolidation both at the Centre and States Thirteenth FC: Constrained Fiscal Space for Inclusive Growth
2005–06 52.1 16.8 29.9 33.6 2010–11 51.6 14.5 34.0 39.2
2006–07 49.8 12.9 23.2 26.6 2011–12 50.2 13.7 41.6 48.3
255
2007–08 51.4 11.4 22.9 26.3 2012–13 46.9 13.7 37.3 42.8
2008–09 54.4 16.3 38.6 45.0 2013–14 48.2 15.6 34.5 39.5
2009–10 54.9 20.4 44.1 51.2 2014–15 51.9 16.9 33.6 42.1
Memo: Memo:
1990–91 57.9 22.8 40.9 52.4 2015–16 (RE) 56.7 20.2 33.2 40.4
Notes:
P1 is defined as states’ expenditure minus own revenues divided by states expenditure.
P2 is defined as ratio of states’ expenditure minus own revenues plus central transfers divided by states’ expenditure.
C1 is defined as centre’s expenditure inclusive of transfers minus centre’s gross revenue receipts divided by centre’s expenditure inclusive of transfers.
C2 is defined as centre’s expenditure net of transfers minus centre’s revenue net of transfers divided by centre’s expenditure net of transfers.
Expenditures are net of recoveries. Central expenditure and revenues net of transfers are derived by deducting grants as tax devolution is already
deducted in expenditure and revenue data.
RE refers to Revised Estimates.
Source: Indian Public Finance Statistics, 2016/17 and previous issues, Ministry of Finance, Government of India (GoI).
16/12/2019 10:44
256 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
The adoption of the 80th Amendment Act, 2000 brought all central
taxes and duties (except those referred to in Articles 268 and 269, and the
surcharges and cesses) in the divisible pool to be shared between centre and
the states. The 11th FC fixed the share of states in the net proceeds of all
central taxes at 28 per cent for each of the five years starting from 2000/01
until 2004/05. It further recommended that 1.5 per cent of all shareable
union taxes and duties be allocated to the states separately, thus totalling
29.5 per cent of the net proceeds of all union taxes and duties. The recom-
mendations of the 11th and the 12th FCs covered the periods 2000–05 and
2005–10 respectively. In light of the economic reforms pursued since 1991,
the TOR of the two Commissions were expanded. They were additionally
asked to review the state of the finances of the centre and states and sug-
gest ways and means by which the government, collectively and separately,
may bring about a restructuring of the public finances so as to restore
budgetary balance and maintain macroeconomic stability.
Ravishankar et al. (2008) highlighted that the fiscal improvement
during 2000–06 was a result of three underlying factors, namely: (i) fiscal
correction efforts by the majority of states due to the 11th FC; (ii) a rise
in the share of central resources, especially to the poorer states, resulting
from the awards of the 11th and 12th FCs; and (iii) the acceleration of
economic growth in India since 2003/04. The fiscal deficit of all states
taken together declined from 4.7 per cent of GDP in 1999/00 to 3.2 per
cent in 2005/06. States’ deficit on current account (revenue deficit) for the
same period declined from 2.7 per cent of GDP to 0.5 per cent of GDP. A
close examination of the state specific performance revealed that poorer
and fiscally more dependent states had, in general, achieved stronger fiscal
correction than the high-income states. However, fiscal performance by
Indian states during 2000–06 had to be seen in the context of the historical
backdrop of the 1990s, a decade characterized by serious deterioration in
the fiscal position of all states that culminated in a fiscal crisis towards the
end of the 1990s.
Many states approached the 12th FC to increase the state’s share of cen-
tral taxes in the divisible pool from 29.5 per cent to at least 33 per cent. The
need for ramping up infrastructure spending was severely felt by the states
for ensuring access as well as improving provision of services to a large and
growing population base. In a more globalized and competitive environ-
ment, the importance of good infrastructure could not be ignored. Several
studies analysing India’s growth prospects identify infrastructure as among
the most important constraints to future rapid growth (Ahluwalia, 1998;
Krueger and Chinoy, 2002; World Bank, 2006). Thus, the TORs of the
12th FC were framed in a manner so that the Commission could provide a
way forward in finding a solution to the infrastructure gap story.
The 12th FC did not accede to the request of the states and instead
argued that grants provided a more effective mechanism for meeting the
equalization objective and increased the states’ share in central taxes by
only one percentage point to 30.5 per cent compared to the 11th FC.
However, the 12th FC made some path-breaking recommendations in
terms of strengthening the macroeconomic framework of the country
requesting the states to enact Fiscal Responsibility Legislations (FRLs),
6 6
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 259
4 4
2 2
0 0
–2 –2
Per cent
Per cent
–4 –4
–6 r–g = 0 –6 r–g > 0
–8 –8
05/06
259
–10 –10
86/87 88/89 90/91 92/93 94/95 96/97 98/99 00/01 02/03 86/87 88/89 90/91 92/93 94/95 96/97 98/99 00/01 02/03 04/05
Debt impact of (r–g) Primary deficit r–g Debt impact of (r–g) Primary deficit r–g
a) b)
Note: The debt dynamics at the central government level deteriorated after the mid-1990s. After 1997/98, primary deficits reversed course and
started rising, while real interest rates converged to and then exceeded growth rates between 2000/01 and 2002/03. This then changed with the
pick-up in the growth after 2003/04. All this was possible through conscious policy and careful calibration of economic policy from time to time.
The role of the FCs in stabilizing the policies every five years through its additional mandates has been crucial.
Sources: a) Pinto and Zahir (2004a) for Figure 13.1a; b) Pinto et al. (2006) for Figure 13.1b. Data collected from Handbook of Statistics, Reserve
Bank of India, various budget documents, Ministry of Finance (GoI), author’s estimates.
16/12/2019 10:44
260 Intergovernmental transfers in federations
surplus by 2013/14; (iii) the fiscal deficit to be reduced to 3 per cent of the
GDP by 2014/15; (iv) a target of 68 per cent of GDP for the combined debt
of the centre and states; (v) FRBM Act, 2003 to be amended to appropri-
ately reflect the nature of shocks which shall require targets relaxation; (vi)
both centre and states should conclude a ‘Grand Bargain’ to implement
the model GST; (vii) urged to reduce the number of Centrally Sponsored
Schemes (CSS); and (viii) states to address the problem of losses in the
power sector in a time-bound manner.
Chakraborty (2010), however, pointed out that the 13th FC’s recom-
mendation to increase the vertical share of tax devolution to states will
help, but its horizontal distribution formula leaves much to be desired.
The reason being: (i) its design is such that two of the four key indicators
are in conflict7 with each other; (ii) the Commission’s revised road map
for fiscal consolidation at the centre and the states, which recommends
state specific, year-wise, fiscal adjustment paths, not only limits the fiscal
manoeuvrability of states but also impinges on their fiscal autonomy. He
further concluded that the 13th FC has taken a narrow technocratic view
which emphasizes deficit fundamentalism.
In overall terms, the FCs in the full convergence phase played a crucial
role in balancing the centre-state relationship through a combination of
durable and meaningful reforms aimed at providing a strategic road map
that responded to the macroeconomic challenges faced by the centre and
state governments from time to time.
For ensuring horizontal equity various FCs used different criteria with
relative weights, in particular, the horizontal criteria were simplified after
the 10th FC. The 11th and 12th FCs were more inclined towards using a
unified formula for horizontal devolution. For determining the criteria and
the relative weights two basic principles of equity and fiscal efficiency were
emphasized by both Commissions. Equity implied, as a result of revenue
sharing, the resource deficiencies across the states are evened out. The 11th
FC was of the opinion that continuing with resource deficiency can create
perverse incentives or it can manifest a vested interest in maintaining a
status quo. It thus emphasized including a criterion for rewarding fiscal
efficiency.
Population has been a stable variable Commission after Commission for
determining the share of states in tax devolution – only the weights have
changed from time to time (Table 13.2). Area as a criterion was introduced
by the 10th FC and it served more as a proxy for cost of providing services.
For instance, states with large area and low population density had to incur
Notes:
a While computing the distance-based shares the 9th and the 10th FCs followed the practice
of measuring the distance of the per capita income of state from that of the highest per
capita income state. The 11th FC, however, changed this from a single high-income state
to an average of three high-income states (Punjab, Goa and Maharashtra) as a benchmark
from which distances were to be measured. The 12th more or less conformed to the 11th
FC practice. The 13th FC changed the estimation criteria (measured fiscal capacity in
terms of per capita taxable capacity), whereas the 14th FC reverted to the earlier method
of measuring fiscal capacity as the distance of actual per capita income of a state from the
state with the highest per capita income.
b Includes revenue deficit grants of 7.5 per cent.
c Of this, 1.5 per cent is on account of additional excise duties in lieu of sales tax on sugar,
Grants-in-Aid
While the distribution of tax proceeds between the centre and states have
dominated the popular debates and discussions around the FCs in India,
13.4
LABORATORY FEDERALISM, 14TH FC: AN
ABERRATION OR A PERMANENT CHANGE?
The impact of some of the changes will unfold over time and it would
be premature to draw any conclusions in haste. However, what one can
convincingly examine is the impact of the changes due to the 14th FC as
the data for at least the first four years of the award are now available at
the aggregate level.
Laboratory Federalism
100%
80%
Tax Devolution
60% Non-Plan Grants
Plan Grants
40%
20%
0%
13th FC 14th FC
Source: Central Government Budget Documents (various issues), Ministry of Finance, GoI.
2019/20 is the terminal year of the 14th FC, a review of the entire period
(2015/16 to 2019/20) may help to provide some answers. A comparison with
the 13th FC indicates clear trends towards untied transfers (Figure 13.2).
While there was a 1-percentage-point increase on average in tax devolu-
tion to GDP under the 14th FC period, there was a 0.9-percentage-point
decline in plan grants to GDP, a 0.1-percentage-point increase in non-plan
grants to GDP during the same period. As a result, the total transfers as
a percentage of GDP increased by 0.1 percentage points compared to the
13th FC period. The major change is that the share of FC transfers has
substantially gone up during the 14th FC period (74 per cent) compared to
the 13th FC period (56 per cent).
Tied transfers (includes CSS and others) are now only a quarter of
the total transfers compared to 44 per cent during the 13th FC period
(Table 13.3). The changes so far indicated will in the medium term bring a
qualitative change in spending both at the centre and states. While the centre
would find its fiscal space less constraining since a large part of the trans-
fers to the states will be linked to the divisible pool which is formula driven,
it will render greater predictability and transparency in resource transfers.
Chelliah et al. (1992) had remarked that a time would come when transfers
would impart greater autonomy to states through the FC and the Planning
Commission would only lay down broad contours of development policy.
Two decades later, the 14th FC did find itself recommending and assessing
the entire revenue account of the centre for transfer of resources.
However, there is some dissatisfaction among the states over plan
transfers which have been discontinued, in particular, the formula driven
Notes:
a The Budget 2015/16 had delinked eight centrally sponsored schemes from central support.
The 14th FC had identified 30 centrally sponsored schemes to be delinked from central
support but all have not yet been delinked considering the national priorities and legal
obligations. Until 2014, specific purpose grants did not pass through the states’ budget,
instead the money was directly transferred from the central government budget to the
accounts of the societies or the implementing agencies.
b Refers to normal central assistance (NCA) and discretionary grants (CSS and others)
provided by the Planning Commission until it was discontinued in 2014. NCA remained
a predominant channel of central plan assistance to states, however, over time with
proliferation of CSS there has been a significant reduction in the formula-based NCA (from
34.6 per cent in 10th Plan to 9.6 per cent in 2014/15 as a share of total central assistance).
Part of NCA and other grants are now subsumed in tax devolution from the 14th FC
onwards.
c The sharing pattern of the CSS has undergone a change and is now 60:40 compared
to 80:20, with states’ contribution being increased to 40 per cent with the objective of
imparting greater responsibility and accountability to the states both in design and
implementation.
and surcharges, but the central government introduced some new cesses to
make up for the cesses subsumed under GST.
A comparison of the 2015/16 budget fiscal outcomes with the recent
2019/20 budget indicate fiscal consolidation at the centre has paused
(Figure 13.3a–b). The central government has recalibrated the FRBM
targets to reach a fiscal deficit of 3 per cent of GDP in 2021/22 instead of
2017/18 as envisaged at the time of the budget 2015/16. In addition, the
resolve of the centre to make the effective revenue deficit (which excludes
grants for capital creation) zero by 2017/18 has been stretched to 2021/22.
A pause in fiscal consolidation and relaxation in targets to adjust for the
transitional impact of GST in the interim make the task of the 15th FC dif-
ficult as it would need to emphasize adherence to FRBM targets and fiscal
consolidation in order to restore the confidence in the Indian economy.
The 15th FC will have to recast the fiscal consolidation path through tough
fiscal discipline rules (based on fiscal deficit and debt targets), particularly
for the central government. Furthermore, it should also review rational
ways of handling significant non-tax revenues from natural resources on
the surface (such as water), underground (such as coal) and in space (such
as spectrum).
Reddy and Reddy (2019) note that the TOR of 15th FC seem to not just
reverse some of the recommendations of the previous Commission but give
greater discretion than ever before to the Union (centre) government. The
outcomes of this are unclear. There are several reasons which the authors
have cited: (i) there has been some politicization of the TOR since the FC
has been asked to use 2011 population instead of 1971 population figures
in their estimation of the horizontal distribution; (ii) discontinuation of
the revenue deficit grant has constitutional ramifications; (iii) the central
government is granting access to borrowings to states with discretionary
conditionalities despite rules governing the fiscal deficits. The concern
is that the vertical and horizontal distribution that was so far confined
to revenues and expenditures is now being extended to public debt; (iv)
the one-nation-one-tax through GST is associated with erosion of fiscal
autonomy of states because the Sales Tax/VAT which is being transformed
into GST was the only broad-based tax with the states; (vi) a growing sense
among states that cooperative and competitive federalism is being replaced
with coercive federalism since many a time central government officials are
deployed for village outreach programmes to evaluate the working of the
schemes funded by the centre.
In this context, the 14th FC recommendations may appear to be
circumstantial or an accidental aberration. This, however, is not true.
In the history of Indian fiscal federalism, the 14th FC became the first
Commission which brought a structural change in the configuration of
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 270
Commission Award Deficit (% GDP)
6.0 Deficit/GDP (%) 3.0 6.0 3.0
(ex ante projections)
5.0 2.5 5.0 2.5
FRBM Target, FD/GDP = 3%
4.0 2.0 4.0 2.0
270
Revenue Deficit/GDP Capital Expenditure/GDP Revenue Deficit/GDP Capital Expenditure/GDP
Fiscal Deficit/GDP Effective Revenue Deficit/GDP Fiscal Deficit/GDP Effective Revenue Deficit/GDP
Notes: The FRBM Act was amended twice, 2012 and 2015, to take into account the change in macroeconomic circumstances in the country.
The Act was amended for the third time in 2018 based on the recommendations of the FRBM Committee which submitted its report in January
2017. Following the implementation of the GST in 2017, the fiscal deficit to GDP target in 2017/18 was recalibrated to 3.5 per cent in order to
accommodate the transitional impact of GST on the economy. The Budget 2019/20 is a Vote on Account and not a full budget of the government
due to election. Revenue Deficit refers to current deficit and effective revenue deficit excludes grants for capital creation from the current deficit. BE
refers to Budget Estimate.
Source: Budget 2019/20, 2015/16 and some previous issues, Ministry of Finance, GoI.
Figure 13.3 Trends in key deficit indicators and FRBM targets as per central government budget, 2015/16 and 2019/20
16/12/2019 10:44
Evolving role of the Finance Commissions in India 271
13.5 CONCLUSION
In sum, this chapter traces the history of the FCs in India over the last 25
years in shaping the intergovernmental transfer system in India. The India
case presents an interesting transition from a market preserving federalism
towards laboratory federalism in the light of the recommendations made
by the 14th FC. The Indian federal structure is in search of a narrative,
in which the third tier can play an important role along with the states
(second tier) in strengthening objective and accountable subnational
governments (states and local governments together). In policy terms,
the biggest reform undertaken in the 2015/16 central government budget
was the acceptance of the bold recommendations of the 14th FC by the
government. The recommendations of the 14th FC reiterated building a
trust-based approach between the centre and the subnational governments
going forward. There was a conscious move to gradually shift public
expenditure policy decisively and firmly to the jurisdiction of the state
governments. This, along with the ongoing trend in decentralization of
fiscal policy, including the taxation policy through the implementation of
the GST, have altered the design of fiscal federalism in India.
NOTES
* The author is grateful for comments from Dr D.K. Srivastav (Advisory Council Member,
Fifteenth Finance Commission of India), Professor Roy Bahl (Regents Professor
Emeritus and Dean Emeritus, Georgia State University, USA) and Serdar Yilmaz (Lead
Public Sector Specialist, Governance Global Practice, The World Bank, Washington DC,
USA).
1. They are also called Panchayat Raj Institutions (PRIs); the third tier in India is divided
into urban and rural local bodies. The rural local bodies are multi-tiered comprising of
district, block and village, while urban local bodies are single tiered.
2. According to the Constitution, India is referred to as a union of states and union ter-
ritories. In the chapter, Union is interchangeably used and refers to federal or central
government.
3. A policy think tank of the Government of India (GoI), NITI Aayog (National Institution
for Transforming India Aayog), has replaced the Planning Commission in 2015 which
will provide strategic and technical advice to the centre and state governments.
4. While the FC role was confined to the examination of the non-plan revenue account of
the states’ budget, the Planning Commission assessed the overall requirements (in terms
of transfers to states) on the plan side until 2014 until it was discontinued.
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Despite the significant policy reforms in recent years, the challenges facing
India’s decentralized system of finance run wide and deep.1 There is still
a significant vertical imbalance between the Union government and the
states. Currently, states have most of the responsibility for providing social
services while the Union government has the monopoly on most broad-
based taxes other than goods and services tax (GST). Second, transfers
continue to mix the objectives of tax devolution and equalization. Thus, it
is not clear for the Union government what is really being achieved, which
is accompanied by considerable unhappiness and frustration among other
stakeholders. Third, considerable economic and fiscal disparities across
the states remain; the disparity in spending per capita was almost tenfold
in 2015. The ineffectiveness of the transfer system is at least partially to
blame. And fourth, even though there has been significant simplification
of Central Sponsored Schemes (CSS), the effectiveness and efficiency of
those transfers still appear to be woefully lacking.
With that background, the 15th Finance Commission (FC) was con-
stituted in November 2017 and scheduled to deliver its recommendations
by October 2019. Its terms of references (TOR) are in many ways conven-
tional, but there is a significant departure (see details in Chapter 13). The
FC is mandated to use population data from 2011 in its recommendations,
instead of the population figures from the 1971 census used by all previous
FCs. This will imply significant shifts of resources from states in the south,
which experienced moderate population growth to northern poorer states
which have experienced faster rates of population growth over the past
four decades.
The chapter explores possible options for the reform of India’s trans-
fer system. To do that, the chapter takes a cross-country view of the
275
14.2
EMERGING INTERNATIONAL TRENDS IN
TRANSFER DESIGN RELEVANT TO INDIA
Issue 2: India could follow the international trend of fixing in the law the
sharing rate for the divisible pool in order to bring more stability and predict-
ability, and more importantly, to harden the states’ budget constraint.
After the rise in the sharing rate of the divisible pool to 42 per cent by the
14th FC there have been calls to fix the sharing rate in the law (or even the
Constitution) and scale down the work of the FCs only to the distribution
of funds among the states.4
There are certainly examples of countries in the international practice
that fix the size of the divisible pool in the law. For example, Australia
exclusively assigns to the pool of equalization transfers 100 per cent of
the collected value added tax (VAT) revenues. Other countries that use
a defined sharing rate of the revenue pool include Canada, Germany,
Switzerland, Russia and most of the Nordic European countries. There
are two main types of arguments in favour of this policy: the increased
stability and predictability of state revenues, and the elimination of an
implicit soft budget constraint for the states – they can fight for higher
revenue shares and do lower own tax effort. This would appear to have
been an overlooked important issue in the system. Probably the second
argument is the most meaningful in India’s context.5 There are, on the
other hand, arguments for the need of central flexibility in determining the
pool of funds, such as macroeconomic fiscal stabilization policies. Over
time, the type of argument has lost strength, as central governments have
been increasingly seen as the ablest to absorb cyclical risks.
A closer look at the incentives argument may be warranted. The states’
share in the divisible pool, fixed for 5 years by each FC, is a common lob-
bying target, with the states regularly asking for increases and historically
getting them. This is easier for the states, but not more efficient, than
increasing their own tax effort – and thus they become more accountable
to their constituencies. The components and trappings of a soft budget
constraint (increases in expenditures are met with subsequent additional
transfers) are all in place.
Different FCs have argued the need for discretion in setting the devolu-
tion share to reflect the expenditure needs of the Union and state govern-
ments. However, they have done a rudimentary, at best, job in measuring
expenditure needs. On the states’ side, incentives have been clearly set
to underestimate their tax revenue potential and overstate their needs.
The reality has been a bargaining game played for decades. The result
is a historical pattern of consistent increases in tax devolution shares6
overwhelming evidence that increased transfers have reduced states’ tax
revenue collection efforts.7 Finally, questions of incentives have weighed
heavily in the past reform of the tax devolution system in India with the
80th constitutional amendment. The 10th FC redefined the composition
of the divisible pool of funds in 1996, following the Chelliah Committee
recommendations in 1991, to remove the then-existing perverse incentives
for the Union to neglect the collection of sharable taxes.8
Issue 3: Tax devolution and redistribution are two very different objectives of
transfer pursued in many countries using separate instruments. India could
follow this international trend in the implementation of its tax sharing with
state governments.
International Trends and State of the Art across Countries in the Design of
Equalization Grants
The state of the art in the design of equalization transfers in the inter-
national practice is the fiscal gap approach, defined as the difference
Even though the current weighted index approach used in India could
be improved, it must be clear that these improvements would only help
ameliorate a substandard methodology, in which the choice of variables to
be included in the weighted index formula are still rather arbitrary, as are
the relative weights attached to each one of those variables.
First, for fiscal capacity there are alternatives to the criterion of ‘devia-
tions from the highest per capita income’. One used in countries like Brazil
and Argentina, which also use a weighted index formula, is the inverse of
the state per capita income. On the set of criteria approximating expendi-
ture need, the case for using forest ground cover as a proxy for expenditure
need is weak – and highly unusual in the international practice. This objec-
tive would be better pursued with a conditional performance-based grant.
The most critical aspect would be to approximate some expenditure needs
that now go unmeasured, such as those due to the different composition of
the population (more young people in need of education and more elderly
in need of assistance), the incidence of poverty, the presence of unsatisfied
basic needs (water, sanitation, and so on), and regional differences in the
costs of service provision due to mountainous terrain or remoteness.
Within the fiscal gap methodology, there are some countries which only
equalize differences in fiscal capacity per capita and ignore potential differ-
ences in expenditure needs, as for example is the case of Canada. On the
other hand, there are a number of countries that go a step beyond and use
a fiscal capacity per adjusted (for expenditure needs) population approach,
as in the cases of Germany, Poland and Spain. This methodology requires
the estimation of fiscal capacity for which the different approaches
discussed under the previous issue could be utilized and, second, the esti-
mation of expenditure needs, but in a simplified way. The basic intuition
is that the adjusted population in a state will exceed its actual population
when its expenditure needs are above the average expenditure needs of all
the states, while the adjusted population would be smaller when the state’s
expenditure needs are below the average. Those simplified expenditure
needs may be measured via a weighted index, as discussed above. The
adjusted population for each state can be obtained by multiplying the value
of the weighted index for the state by the total population of the states –
that is, the national population. The ratio of adjusted population to actual
population in the state denotes whether fiscal capacity per adjusted popu-
lation will go up or down and therefore whether the state will be eligible for
more or less equalization funds.21
Issue 6: India should follow the international trend towards further consolida-
tion of specific grants into block grants. However, there is no absolute domi-
nance of block grants; specific purpose grants (with ex ante conditionality
or ex post performance-oriented conditionality) may be what are needed
depending on the objectives of the Union government.
Over the past several decades there has been an international trend towards
the simplification of transfer systems in order to provide subnational
governments with more autonomy in the use of transferred funds. In
fact, this general trend can be decomposed into sub-trends both working
in the same direction of providing greater subnational authority: first an
increase in the share of unconditional grants over conditional grants, and
second, within conditional grants, an increase in general purpose block
grants with a decrease in specific purpose conditional grants. For several
decades before, the experience of many countries had been to see their
transfer systems grow into a jungle-like mix of specific purpose grants,
many of them too small, costly to administer and often times overlapping
in targeted roles with contradictory objectives.
Beyond seeking greater autonomy for subnational governments, other
reasons the general trend is avoiding include high administration and
monitoring costs and not taking over subnational competencies.
Departing from a similar scenario of a multiplicity of earmarked
specific grants, India has experienced in recent years a drastic simplifica-
tion of federal government specific grant schemes. As previously noted,
the 14th FC increased the states’ share in the divisible pool of Union tax
revenues to the highest level on record of 42 per cent, with general purpose
unconditional transfers representing over two-thirds of the total transfers.
In addition, there has been a considerable reduction in the number of
specific purpose grants, including the CSS from 147 in 2012 to 66 in 2013
(Rao 2017). Further simplification took place in 2014, when a committee
of chief ministers of the states appointed by the Union government elimi-
nated the pass-through transfers and reduced the CSS to 28.
But, there is still room for further simplification. There are still 73 Union
transfers – 28 CSS plus 45 other Union schemes – competing for funds.
With total funding representing less than 2 per cent of GDP, it is hard to
see how so many transfers can have a significant impact on final public
service outcomes, and especially of services that are the exclusive respon-
sibility of the states. Many of the CSS are still seen as a backdoor for the
intervention and micromanagement of states’ exclusive responsibilities,
overburdening state administrations and diluting their priorities (Mathur
and Safdar 2018).22 A smaller number of Union CSS and other grants
should concentrate on service areas that present significant interstate
externalities and on service areas that can be considered highly meritorious
(Rao 2017).
The international experience offers a rich body of practice that can
inform further reforms of the conditional grant system in India.23
One of the essences of conditional transfers is that more often than not
they become a source of conflict between central and subnational govern-
ments because of the different priorities given to particular expenditures.
The resolution of that conflict often entails the use of conditional matching
grants – as is the case with most CSS in India – which allows central gov-
ernments to impose their priorities while subnational governments are free
to exercise their own budget decisions. Conditional grants – whether block
or specific – typically are best implemented (when feasible) on a ‘capitation
basis’ (i.e., per student and per inhabitant), with this basis appropriately
modified for costs or needs differences.24 Using fewer conditions and
making those transfers block grants generally has the added advantage of
allowing subnational authorities to exercise budgetary autonomy in terms
of setting some spending priorities and selecting the most efficient method
of service delivery. However, this is not to say that block grants are always
a superior instrument compared to specific purpose grants. In fact, there
are legitimate central government objectives that can be significantly better
pursued by means of specific purpose grants – for example, the vaccination
of children to eradicate encephalitis – than by block grants.
In recent years, many countries have transitioned from long lists of
earmarked grants to simplify much shorter portfolios of conditional block
grants.25 However, this transition has not been permanent, and in many
cases it experienced reversals. One of the reasons for the reversal to specific
purpose grants from block grants is associated with the political economy
of grant making, in what Borge (2009) calls the ‘blame game’ between the
central and subnational governments in Norway. The former were blamed
for providing insufficient funding, while the latter were blamed for the
wrong spending priorities and low tax effort. This led central authorities
to revert to using specific grants instead of block grants. It has been also
the case that the introduction of block grants has been accompanied by
an increase in regulations by the central governments.26 What we have
learned is that there are both advantages and disadvantages to using both
types of conditional grants, and there is no intrinsic superiority of one
type of grant over the other in all relevant dimensions. Administrative
capacity at the subnational level, degree of institutional fiscal autonomy
and the extent of horizontal accountability can differ considerably across
countries. Significant deficiencies in those areas may call for more reliance
on specific grants.
Even though specific grants tend to be costlier to administer, less
respectful of subnational autonomy, less predictable budget-wise, and
more subject to rent seeking and clientelism threats, they may work better
where the central government has incomplete information on costs and
expenditure need differences. They can also contribute to intergovern-
mental cooperation and be more conducive to developing more horizontal
accountability given the higher visibility of the expenditure-revenue link,
and be less prone to soft budget problems and lack of effective cost con-
tainment (Smart and Bird 2009; Lotz 2009; Kim 2009b).
The most recent advances in public budget management call for the integra-
tion of all expenditure categories in the same budget – that is, not to have
a separate capital budget – so that all budget priorities can be compared,
and overall efficient decisions can be made on the allocation of scarce fiscal
resources. However, when it comes to supporting subnational governments
with their capital expenditure needs, it is generally necessary to count on
separate instruments. In particular, the international practice is not to mix
capital expenditure need support with the equalization transfers – which
only consider expenditure needs arising for recurrent obligations and fiscal
Issue 8: India could follow the international trend towards further use of
performance-based grants and increased accountability of programmes/
schemes.
14.3 CONCLUSION
NOTES
* I am grateful to Pedro Arizti, Aurelien Kruse and Farah Zahir for comments, and to
Krishanu Karmakar and Indira Rajaraman for useful insights.
1. See Rao (2017) and Forum of Free Enterprise (2018).
2. The 6 per cent Central GST is further devolved to states as part of their overall share of
42 per cent of central tax revenues in the divisible pool. In addition, there is a further
5-year guarantee of a top-up by the Union government to ensure state revenues increase
by 14 per cent.
3. A potential problem with concurrent tax bases is the presence of vertical externalities.
4. See, for example, Sivagnanam and Naganathan (2000). Of course, this is a totally differ-
ent issue from what the actual sharing rate should be.
5. Rajaraman (2017) concludes that there has been stability and predictability of Union
transfers over a long period of time. In the international practice, predictability is
increased by using a 1- or 2-year lag for defining the pool of funds.
6. This has been offset at times by decreases in other Union transfers, as with the 14th FC
(Rajaraman 2017). See details in Chapter 13.
7. Chelliah (1981), Rao (1981), and Sivagnanam and Naganathan (2000).
8. As noted in Chapter 13, currently, the divisible pool still excludes cess and surcharges
because those funds are already committed to specific expenditure needs of the Union
government. States have continued to complain about that since cess revenues have
practically doubled in the last 15 years, representing now close to 15 per cent of all Union
revenues.
9. See, for example, Rangarajan and Srivastava (2018) and Rao (2017).
10. As presented by Rao (2017), in 2014–15, an increase of 1 per cent in the state per capita
income represented an increase of 0.65 per cent in total expenditures per capita.
11. The Finance Commission makes other transfers including the ‘revenue deficit grants’,
grants to local bodies, grants for disaster management, sector-specific grants and state-
specific grants. Despite its rather misleading name – making it sound like a gap filling
grant between actual expenditure and revenues – the most relevant to equalization is the
revenue deficit grant, which is a top-up transfer redistribution for states that show sig-
nificant differences between estimated (normed) expenditure and revenue projections.
12. There is also an element of bargaining since the FC solicits from the states their
projected revenues and expenditure needs.
13. Other variables used by former Finance Commissions reflected population composi-
tion, infrastructure, tax effort and fiscal discipline (Rao 2017).
14. We also need to add that the 14th FC in so doing was reacting to its TOR which require
addressing environmental concerns in the devolution formula.
15. This may impact higher income states. For example, Kerala would appear to have higher
health expenditure needs due to its ageing population.
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15.1 INTRODUCTION
Kenya has a long and diverse history of local governance, both traditional
forms used by its varied ethnic groups and the British structures set up
during the colonial period.1 The formal local government system was
originally designed to serve the interests of British settlers, but the jurisdic-
tions were relatively autonomous and well resourced. The basic system was
maintained when Kenya gained independence in 1963. Deconcentrated
administration that reported to the national government was also set up
during the colonial period and played an important role in managing
national policies and resources.
From early independence negotiations, there were debates about how
to organize the public sector in the ethnically fragmented country. Some
groups – particularly ethnic minorities who feared domination and
marginalization – desired a federal (‘Majimbo’ in Swahili) state rooted
in (ethnically identified) regions. Others – led by the largest ethnic
group – promoted a centralized unitary system framed as better serving
nation building. A fleeting victory for Majimboism at independence led
to the creation of a federal system in the 1963 constitution, but it was
soon displaced by centralist forces who took power in the first national
election. Kenya became a unitary state under the 1969 constitutional
reform.
Post-independence local governments were gradually weakened under
the banner of promoting ‘national unity’, while the deconcentrated system
of provincial and district administration increasingly played a larger role in
managing public functions. Kenyan local governments, however, continued
to be governed by elected councils with devolved (if limited) responsibility
296
for local revenues and services, with only very limited intergovernmental
fiscal transfers being provided for decades after independence. When the
economy began to experience challenges at a number of points in the 1980s
and 1990s and concerns about inequities intensified, broad dissatisfaction
with all levels of government gradually emerged. This resurfaced some
of the governance controversies and ethnic rivalries of the independence
period, and severe violence broke out during the 2007 elections. Attempts
to deal with the aftermath of this violence and its underlying causes
generated momentum to rethink national governance. After a few years
of debates and public consultations, a new constitution was adopted by
popular referendum in 2010. One of its major provisions was a funda-
mental restructuring of the intergovernmental system, with significant
devolution to a single tier of subnational government at the county level
that essentially replaced the previous variety of subnational entities.
This chapter describes and assesses the intergovernmental transfer
system adopted under the 2010 constitution. The next section provides
a brief history of subnational government and intergovernmental fiscal
relations prior to 2010 to help explain the motivations behind the new
system and the context in which it is being built. The third section outlines
the new county government system prescribed in the 2010 constitution
and offers a sense of its implementation to date, both accomplishments
and challenges. The fourth section explains the main unconditional
transfer – the equitable sharing of national revenues – and reviews its
history, what is known about its effects, its positive features and potentially
desirable reforms. This is followed by a review of the legal basis and role
of conditional transfers, their use to date and ideas about improving them.
We conclude by offering suggestions for priority reforms and a brief
assessment of political economy realities that may provide opportunities
for and impose constraints on further reform.
15.2
A BRIEF HISTORY OF INTERGOVERNMENTAL
FISCAL RELATIONS IN KENYA
The relative fiscal importance of local governments before the 2010 devo-
lution reforms was modest, generally accounting for less than 6 per cent of
total public expenditures and less than 5 per cent of total public revenues
(deconcentrated provincial and district administrations were incorporated
under the national budget). Local governments had (primarily permissive
rather than mandatory) legal authority for a number of public services,
including local roads, water schemes, sanitation services, and pre-primary
education, among others. They also provided other services important for
local economic development, such as markets, slaughter houses, livestock
auction yards and bus parks. The original colonial-era municipalities had
enhanced functions, including health services, which were elsewhere man-
aged by the deconcentrated administration. Exact functions in practice
depended on a mix of national decisions, local capacity and resources, and
rural versus urban location, among other factors, and delivery of some
devolved functions, such as roads and water, was later reorganized in ways
that bypassed or limited the local government role.
On the revenue side, Kenyan local governments relied heavily on
property rates, and from the late 1980s the local authority service charge
(LASC), a complex and unpopular own source revenue (the only new local
revenue source created after independence) that was later abolished. Local
governments also had access to various local fees, licences and a range
of other mostly modest revenues that varied in importance across highly
diverse jurisdictions.
Also consequential for local government fiscal performance was the
development planning and financial management system. Kenya had a
bifurcated system of subnational planning and budgeting that reflected
the dichotomy between the deconcentrated provincial-district system and
the semi-autonomous elected local authority system.4 Territorial spatial
land-use plans were produced on an ad hoc basis by the central govern-
ment. At all levels, there was only a weak linkage of development plans
to the annual budgeting process (the national budget for provinces and
districts, and the local budgets for local government councils) and local
accountability.
15.3
DEVOLUTION AND THE 2010 CONSTITUTION:
INSTITUTIONAL STRUCTURES,
FUNCTIONS, OWN SOURCE REVENUES AND
INTERGOVERNMENTAL TRANSFERS
county majority and are expected to nominate a cabinet from outside the
county assembly. The county assemblies are comprised predominantly of
representatives from single member constituencies, with some additional
members representing women and marginalized groups selected from
party lists. There are strong provisions in the constitution to ensure an
important role for civic engagement.
The devolved governance framework was effectively operationalized
by the election of county governors and county assemblies in March
2013. Since then, county governments have been working to take on the
important political, administration and fiscal powers assigned to them in
the constitution and have started providing essential public services. As the
government level closest to the people, the introduction of county govern-
ments has fundamentally reshaped the public sector and the relationship
between people and the public sector in Kenya.
a. Agriculture;
b. County health services (including county health facilities, as well as
functions such as cemeteries and solid waste management);
c. Control of air pollution, noise pollution, other public nuisances and
outdoor advertising;
d. Cultural activities, public entertainment and public amenities;
e. County transport, including county roads;
f. Animal control and welfare;
g. Trade development and regulation;
h. County planning and development;
i. Pre-primary education, village polytechnics, homecraft centres and
childcare facilities;
j. Implementation of specific national government policies on natural
resources and environmental conservation;
k. County public works and services (including water and sanitation
services);
l. Fire-fighting services and disaster management;
m. Control of drugs and pornography;
n. Ensuring and coordinating the participation of communities in
governance at the local level.
Five years into the devolution process under the new quasi-federal
constitution, Kenya’s path towards devolution has largely been an initial
‘political’ success: county governments were established, they prepare
annual plans and budgets, control their own public servants and operate
service-delivery facilities. The central dominance over political power
has been reduced, and a more politically competitive political system
was introduced. Power and resources are generally perceived to be more
equitably distributed across Kenya under the new system, both geographi-
cally as well as across the country’s main ethnic groups. Public support
for the new devolved system appears to be strong, as county governors
and assemblies – being closer to the people – are widely perceived to
have legitimate power and authority (e.g. IPSOS 2016). The extent to
which devolution has led to more accountable governance and improved
service delivery, however, is far less self-evident and much less well broadly
documented.18 As such, perhaps the most important challenge facing the
intergovernmental fiscal transfer system in Kenya is the need to ensure
that fiscal devolution achieves improved service-delivery outcomes and
responsiveness to citizens.
15.4
EQUITABLE SHARING OF NATIONAL
REVENUES19
Article 202 of the Kenyan constitution states that revenue raised nationally
should be shared equitably among the national and county governments.
Article 203 indicates that the equitable (vertical and horizontal) distribu-
tion of these revenues shall take account of the following factors:
Table 15.1
Financing of county government functions (in KShs. million)
In line with its constitutional and legal mandate, the CRA has prepared
over the last six financial years two bases that have guided the sharing of
revenues among the 47 county governments from 2013 forward. A sum-
mary of these two horizontal allocation formulas is provided in Table 15.2.
Although there are slight differences between the formulas that were
applied, the variations in the horizontal distribution were quite minor.
Table 15.2
The horizontal allocation of the counties’ equitable share: first
and second basis
The rationale behind the mix of factors included in the allocation formulas
or horizontal ‘bases’ for equitable sharing was transparently documented
by the CRA (CRA 2012; 2014). In contrast to the vertical allocation of the
counties’ equitable share, the horizontal allocation is only (very) loosely
driven by the functions and expenditure responsibilities assigned to the
county level. Although the formula provides a small window (2 per cent)
to stimulate revenue performance, it does not include any measures of
county budget performance or service-delivery performance. In fact, the
horizontal allocation formula almost completely loses the link between the
allocation of funds and the functional responsibilities of counties.
Although there was considerable discussion of the importance of this
link and debate about if and how to incorporate it, the data required to
operationalize a more ‘functional’ allocation formula did not exist. In
addition, there were further challenges created by the fact that the new
counties were an amalgamation of a set of subnational jurisdictions
that were managed under the different planning and budgeting systems
outlined earlier.
The relative simplicity of the first and second bases was not necessarily
merely a technical matter. As Kenya began to implement the 2010 constitu-
tion, there were serious concerns raised by some who sought to ensure a
more federal-like public sector structure (hailing back to the period of
Majimboism in the 1963 constitution) that a more detailed, functionally
linked allocation formula could serve as a pretext for the national govern-
ment to continue the top-down micromanagement and control entrenched
in the system since independence. Instead of a technically precise formula,
a.
Given its importance in county finances, the vertical allocation of the
equitable share does not appear adequate to fund county functional
mandates. While the equitable share (as highlighted in Table 15.1)
might be more or less sufficient to finance the recurrent costs of
service delivery, these resources are inadequate to simultaneously
fund recurrent costs and to fill the infrastructure gap in previously
disadvantaged (and even other) county governments.
b.
The horizontal allocation formula only provides a weak link between
the distribution of revenues among counties (finances) and the pattern
of expenditure needs (based on county functions).
While the horizontal allocation formula aims to be redistributive to
c.
historically disadvantaged counties, it may underfund the produc-
tive areas of the country and send resources to counties that do not
have the capacity to effectively absorb them. It is unclear whether
the current allocation formula strikes an adequate balance between
redistribution and growth.
While the CRA provides recommendations on the vertical and hori-
d.
zontal allocation of resources (thus providing a space for evidence-
based advice), the ultimate decision on equitable sharing – by
Parliament – seems to be made on basic political considerations.
transfers, with both some positive steps and some areas of concern
evident.
There has been little attempt to document the effects of conditional grants
in Kenya, including any impact that they have had on service delivery and
infrastructure development. In order to properly assess the effectiveness
of the system, it is important to answer a more fundamental question:
what are conditional grants supposed to fund vis-à-vis activities from
the equitable share and own source revenues? This question cannot be
meaningfully answered without clearer guidance on the functions (and/or
level of services) counties are expected to fund from their equitable share.
After all, most constitutional mandates of county governments are actu-
ally concurrent responsibilities, so counties would be expected to spend a
considerable share of their unconditional resources on concurrent service
functions, even if the central government does not provide conditional
grants.
That being said, it should be noted that many – if not all – current con-
ditional grants are targeted at county-level functions for which the national
government has a legitimate interest in ensuring adequate service provi-
sion. The current list, however, seems somewhat arbitrary, raising concerns
as to whether the conditional grant system achieves (or even has) intended
policy objectives. At present, it seems that conditional transfers may be
used excessively in some sectors and not enough in others: for instance, the
health sector relies extensively on conditional grants to encourage better
health services, while other key sectors, such as agriculture or water and
sanitation, do not use them.
Another expressed concern is the legitimacy of using conditional grants
at all. County governors have argued that functions that fall within their
mandate should be funded through unconditional equitable sharing, rather
than through conditional grants. Given that many of the powers and func-
tions assigned to county government are concurrent in nature, however,
the national government does have a valid policy interest in targeted
funding towards specific sectors and functions. Indeed, a cursory review
Five years into the devolution process under the 2010 constitution, there
is a sense that Kenya’s path towards devolution has in some ways been a
‘political’ success. The basic elements of the county government systems
have been defined and are being implemented. The focal element of
this chapter, the intergovernmental fiscal transfer system, is firmly in
place, providing a reasonably sound framework for intergovernmental
funding and ensuring a degree of vertical balance in the division of
power and resources between the national government and county
governments.
The extent to which devolution has led to improved service-delivery
and governance outcomes, however, is far less self-evident. An important
challenge in converting fiscal devolution into improved outcomes is to
ensure the development and use of an appropriate intergovernmental fiscal
framework. The CRA – together with other stakeholders – is seeking to
address this challenge in a number of ways:
Ensuring that the Third Basis adheres to the mantra that ‘finance should
follow function’ also highlights an emerging vertical fiscal imbalance – if
the equitable share resources were divided among the various functional
mandates assigned to the county level as part of the allocation formula, it
would become increasingly clear that the current vertical share allocated
to the county level is not adequate to fund the services the counties are
expected to provide.
Although determining the vertical fiscal balance is ultimately a national
political decision, the CRA is positioning itself to make an evidence-
based argument that there is need to increase the share of nationally
raised revenues that is transferred to the county level, particularly if
this increase can be linked more effectively to expected improvements in
county services.
As already noted above, if the CRA opts to move the Third Basis of
equitable sharing in the direction of a function-based allocation formula, it
would be appropriate for relevant stakeholders – the CRA and the relevant
sectoral ministries – to determine an affordable, realistic level of public
services that each county should be able to attain with the equitable share
resources provided to it. Beyond helping guide the vertical allocation of
resources between the national and county levels, this analysis would also
provide an important point of departure for determining which services
could be productively funded from conditional grants.
Although Kenya started with a largely unconditional transfer system,
it may be appropriate to use conditional transfers more significantly and
strategically, including more use of performance-based transfers, which
development partners are already experimenting with. A number of coun-
tries, such as Indonesia, South Africa and Uganda, moved towards greater
conditionality over time. This approach, however, can have both positive
and negative effects, so it is important to conduct the analyses necessary to
use conditional transfers constructively if they are to be a more important
fiscal instrument in Kenya.
One of the ‘victims’ of the 2010 constitution was at the local government
level, as urban local governments – which had existed since before inde-
pendence and some of which played a valuable role in local governance
and service delivery – were abolished in favour of the new county govern-
ments. Prior to 2017, few counties had moved to establish urban boards
provided for in the legal framework, and local political economy pressures
kept many governors from encouraging urban development (Boex et al.
to borrow under the 2010 constitution, but they need central govern-
ment permission and guarantees, a provision that can create problematic
behaviour. Working on how to offer county governments options to secure
and responsibly manage development finance in the future is an essential
consideration in developing the evolving intergovernmental fiscal system.
and functions to the new county entities has been substantial and dra-
matic. Mistakes have been made by most accounts, but Kenya’s devolution
has been bold and transformative.
The intergovernmental transfer system, which is substantial and pri-
marily unconditional, has been a cornerstone of the devolution. This
chapter has outlined key positive features and major challenges of the
transfer system, as well as some of the ongoing debates and possible
options for improving the system and other interrelated elements of fiscal
decentralization. More work needs to be done on the technical side and is
already in process. At the same time, the political economy dynamics that
have shaped Kenya’s history as an independent country are not going to
go away. They will continue to evolve and influence the debates over the
nature, mix and allocation of equitable revenue sharing.
NOTES
1. See Hicks (1961), Mueller (1984), Smoke (1993, 1994, 2003, 2008), Steffensen et al.
(2004), Branch and Cheeseman (2006), Government of Kenya Task Force on Devolved
Government (2011), Smoke and Whimp (2011) and World Bank (2012) for details on
the evolution of Kenya’s public sector and local government system.
2. This section is largely drawn from background readings provided in the previous note.
3. The most important intergovernmental policy on this front was District Focus for Rural
Development (DFRD), which significantly strengthened the deconcentrated provincial
and district administration under the Office of the President and further undermined
the relationship between local governments and their constituents.
4. See Cohen and Peterson (1999), Republic of Kenya (2005) and Romeo and Smoke (2016).
5. See Smoke (2003) and Steffensen et al. (2004) for a summary of evolving conditions and
Kenyan reforms in the late 1990s and early 2000s and the KLGRP.
6. Devas and Kelly (2001) provide details on business licensing harmonization reform.
7. Local Authority Transfer Fund Law, Government of Kenya, Law No. 8 of 1998.
8. For discussions of civil society in Kenya, see Orvis (2003), Nyamu-Musembi and
Musyoki (2004), World Bank (2012) and Munene and Thakhathi (2017).
9. Constituency Development Fund Act, Government of Kenya Law No. 10 of 2003.
10. For example, a percentage of funding for rural roads earmarked through the Road
Maintenance Levy Fund was allocated by constituency. Funding under an economic
stimulus package responding to the 2008 global economic crisis was also allocated by
constituency.
11. See Kramon and Posner (2011), Barkan (2016), Cornell and D’Arcy (2016).
12. See, for example, Cheeseman (2016).
13. The exchange rate currently fluctuates around KShs. 100 per US dollar.
14. Schedule 4 of the constitution also assigns county governments the responsibility for
trade development and regulation, which has been interpreted as providing a constitu-
tional basis for Single Business Permit collection to transition from local authorities to
county governments (World Bank 2012: 76).
15. Kenya’s constitution also introduced an Equalization Fund to provide basic services to
marginalized areas. This Fund receives 0.5 per cent of all national revenue. However,
rather than being transferred to marginalized county governments, the constitution
determines that spending from this Fund is directed by the national government (with
the option to disburse resources in the form of conditional grants).
16. The lower bound was a compromise between those who did not want to specify any
minimum and those who wanted to have a much higher minimum. The positive effect of
this lower bound is to ensure that national government would be unable to hollow out
the constitutional mandate of county governments by underfunding them to the point
that they would no longer be a meaningful political and institutional actor.
17. In dividing responsibilities between the CRA, National Treasury and the Senate, the
process seeks to ensure that the national government honours its constitutional obliga-
tions with regard to the vertical sharing of revenues.
18. See, for example, Khaunya et al. (2015), Cornell and D’Arcy (2016), D’Arcy and Cornell
(2016), Cannon and Ali (2018).
19. This analysis of Kenyan transfers in this chapter draws on Boex and Smoke (2018a and
2018b).
REFERENCES
1. INTRODUCTION
323
2. BACKGROUND
a) Country Context
No two countries are alike, and South Africa differs from others in many
respects. South Africa has a population of 55.7 million people (2016), with
Gauteng (the largest province) having a population of 13.4 million in 2016.
The South African population is young and urbanizing, with an economy
that is not growing fast enough to keep pace with the demands of demo-
graphic and economic change. South Africa is, however, a significantly
urbanized country with a relatively slow urbanization rate in comparison
to many other developing countries.
3.7 10
12 1.9 4.4
2.7 1.6
1.9 1.8 1.9 8
1.9 3.7
8 1.6
6
2.7
10.6 10.2 11.0
9.5 9.3 9.2
Rands thousands
4 8.8 2.4
7.0 7.7 4
Rands thousands
2.4 6.8
5.7
0 2 4.3
3.3
328
2.5
Gauteng
Limpopo
Metro Secondary Large Small Rural
Free State
North West
(8) cities towns towns municipalities
Mpumalanga
Eastern Cape
(19) (26) (99) (61)
Western Cape
KwaZulu-Natal
Northern Cape
Average equitable share per capita Average equitable share per household
Average conditional grant per capita Average conditional grant per household
16/12/2019 10:44
Reforming vertical programmes: South African local government 329
The division of revenue process The process leading to the annual division
of revenue between spheres of government is procedurally elaborate. It is
initiated with recommendations from Parliament, those of the constitu-
tionally independent Financial and Fiscal Commission, and a ‘mandate
paper’ from the executive on developmental and fiscal priorities. An
extensive set of technical meetings between the National Treasury, national
sector departments, functional groupings of departments and intergovern-
mental technical committees results in technical budget proposals being
forwarded to a legislated political process of consultation. This includes
the Budget Council, consisting of the Minister of Finance and his or her
provincial counterparts, and the Budget Forum, consisting of the Budget
Council and representatives of local government. The recommendations
of these fora are forwarded to the Ministers Committee on the Budget
and then to an extended cabinet meeting, including Premiers of all nine
provinces.
This process produces a Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement in
October of each year that is subject to parliamentary hearings and recom-
mendations, adjustment and subsequently the tabling of the Medium-
Term Expenditure Framework (or main budget, including the Division
of Revenue Bill) in February of each year. It is important to note that the
division of revenue appropriations do not include own revenue raised by
subnational governments, which are significant for the local government
sphere. If these are included, local government accounts for about a
quarter of the total revenues raised by the three spheres of government.
3.
CONSTRUCTING THE LOCAL GOVERNMENT
FISCAL FRAMEWORK
Although little detailed data existed at the time, it was generally under-
stood that, at the dawn of democracy in 1994, South Africa faced massive,
racially based backlogs in access to basic services (see Figure 16.2 for
the historical evolution of the percentage of households with access to
basic services). This crisis was deepened by both a deep recession that
weakened public finances, as well as the racially based distribution of
available resources. Public policy priorities in this period were focussed
predominantly on efforts to universalize access to basic services across the
country, while simultaneously restructuring service delivery arrangements
– particularly at subnational level. Thus, basic services investment pro-
grammes were driven centrally by national sector departments (for water,
electricity, and so on), while deep institutional reforms were introduced in
local government in particular. This legislatively driven local government
100
90
80
70
60
50
4. PHASES OF REFORM
2013 MTEF: Indirectgrants grow 2010 FIFA World Cup Stadiums Development Grant
YILMAZ_9781789900842_t.indd 334
and proliferation continues Integrated Sustainable Rural Development
40,000
Urban Transport Fund
Sport and Recreation Facilities
35,000 2011: USDG (for metros)
breaks off from MIG Local Economic Development Fund
Community Based Public Works Programme
30,000
Water Services Project
2007 to 2010: World Cup
grant anomaly but growth Consolidated Municipal Infrastructure Programme (CMIP)
25,000 elsewhere too
Rural Roads Asset Management Grant
Integrated Cities Development Grant
20,000
USDG Rural Households Infrastructure Grant (Direct transfer)
Rural Households Infrastructure Grant (Indirect transfer)
15,000 2004: Consolidation of
334
Neighbourhood Development Partnership Grant (NDPG)
local government grants
Integrated National Electrification Programme (INEP) –
municipalities
10,000
Municipal Water Infrastructure Grant (MWIG)
Integrated National Electrification Programme (INEP) –
5000
16/12/2019 10:44
Reforming vertical programmes: South African local government 335
Differentiation
The foundation for a greater recognition of the significant contextual vari-
ations between urban and rural local governments was introduced with the
reform of municipal financial management legislation that was introduced
in 2003. It had long been understood that there were marked variations in
the demographic trajectories, economies, service delivery requirements and
development pressures, institutional and fiscal capabilities and fiscal risks
associated with larger urban municipalities and their rural counterparts.
However, the initial reforms to the regulatory and fiscal framework largely
treated all municipalities alike (although the two-tier structure of district
and local municipalities was dispensed with in the largest metropolitan
areas).
The Municipal Financial Management Act (2003) built extensively
on new Public Management-style reforms to modernize public financial
management, but also introduced key elements of the capital financing
framework for municipalities. Importantly, this included an emphasis on
market-based borrowing for infrastructure investment by creditworthy
municipalities, without any central government guarantees. In order to
provide a framework to deal effectively with municipal fiscal distress that
might lead to debt default, a specific regime for interventions was also
introduced. The National Treasury also took direct responsibility for the
oversight of the largest municipalities that presented the greatest national
fiscal risks and opportunities, while delegating the remainder for oversight
by Provincial Treasuries.
As early as 2007, it became clear that the Department of Provincial
and Local Government would not administer the MIG in conformity
with the finally agreed proposals. In particular, it failed to establish a
special purpose vehicle for programme administration (relying instead on
a joint committee to oversee allocations) and introduced complex project
registration mechanisms before municipalities could proceed with project
implementation. While the latter was notionally intended to facilitate the
tracking of investments it had the effect of requiring central government
approval of individual investments. This led to growing concern from
larger, more urban municipalities that the MIG was constraining their
ability to respond to urbanization in a timely and integrated manner.
In response, the National Treasury commissioned research on the
efficacy of municipal infrastructure investment programmes which found
that:
South Africa won the bid to host the 2010 FIFA World Cup and
initiated a large-scale programme to build or refurbish football stadia and
associated public transport infrastructure in host cities across the country.
This programme was funded through two specific-purpose grants, for
stadia and public transport networks respectively. It was the latter, which
favoured the construction of Bus Rapid Transit Systems, that was to have a
more lasting effect on the fiscal system. Thus, countervailing pressures had
emerged to consolidate and decentralize funding to municipalities, while
simultaneously to expand specific-purpose transfers to support national
priority investments.
The initial fiscal response to this was to remove metropolitan municipali-
ties from the MIG programme to release them from the need for detailed
compliance with grant registration requirements. This initially took the
form of a new grant called the MIG-2. This was later converted into the
Urban Settlements Development Grant (USDG), with its administration
moved to the Department of Human Settlements, and the consolidation
of a portion of existing housing subsidies for metros into the grant.
The USDG was a significant advance over previous funding arrange-
ments, not only in the greater discretion granted to metros in investment
selection, but also in a much closer link to the investment planning process
Towards performance
By 2012, the tensions in the fiscal system, particularly for large urban
municipalities, remained unresolved. One the one hand, the USDG had
consolidated and decentralized a significant portion of grant finance
for infrastructure investment, while funding for housing top structures
(housing subsidies) and public transport investment remained centralized,
project driven and fragmented. Moreover, there was growing evidence
that the growth of the municipal borrowing market was stagnating with
municipalities becoming increasingly reliant on grants as their primary
source of capital finance.
A review of infrastructure grant arrangements confirmed the original
basic principles of the intergovernmental fiscal framework, emphasizing
the need to respect constitutional mandates, provide stable and predict-
able financing, encourage transparency, simplicity and accountability,
integrated funding sources, differentiation between jurisdictions, and
be focussed on supporting inclusive growth and poverty reduction. The
National Treasury committed to a grant reform programme that would:
5.
RESULTS OF REFORMS TO THE LOCAL
GOVERNMENT FISCAL FRAMEWORK
a) Grants have seldom been reformed for their own sake. Periods of rapid
change have been as part of a broader reform to the intergovernmen-
tal system, whether through the restructuring of the local government
system, or the introduction of a broader differentiated approach to
metropolitan municipalities, focussed on improved integrated plan-
ning and delivery.
b) Reforms have not been linear. While the National Treasury has
maintained a consistent approach to the management of the inter-
governmental fiscal system and the role of grants within it, there have
always been countervailing pressures and perspectives and pressures
that have disrupted or contested the reform trajectory. Some of these
pressures have been rooted in legitimate concerns about the capacity
6. CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES
There are a number of cross-cutting issues that are evident from this brief
review of the intergovernmental fiscal system and its reform in South
Africa:
REFERENCES
345
Kenya 5, 10, 12, 17, 33–4, 296–322 Public Financial Management Act
Commission on Revenue Allocation (2012) (PFM Act) 303
(CRA) 304–5, 309, 310, 316 strengthening the institutional
conditional grants 311, 313, 314, framework and cooperation
316 mechanisms 318
horizontal allocation of equitable urban development 314, 316–17
share 307, 308, 315 Kenya Local Government Reform
conditional transfers 310–14, 316 Program (KLGRP) 299
constitutional, legal and policy Kenya Urban Support Program
context 311–14 (KUSP) 317
effects 313–14 Knight, B. 99
evolution in practice 312–13
strengthening 314, 316 laboratory federalism 34, 264–5
Constituency Development Fund labour, cost of 53
(CDF) 300 Ladd, H.F. 45
Constitution of 2010 297, 301–5, land tax reform 193–4
306, 311 local preferences 45–7
County Allocation of Revenue Act low- and middle-income countries 2,
(2017) 312 7–20
devolution 301–5, 318–19 lump-sum grants 88
assignment of functional
responsibilities 302–3 macroeconomic stabilization, see
intergovernmental fiscal stabilization
arrangements 304–5 maintenance-of-effort (MOE)
own source revenues 303–4, requirements 88, 95
317–18 malapportionment 207, 222
structure of the Manitoba 124, 125
intergovernmental transfer marginal retention rates 74–6
system 304 market-based institutional
Division of Revenue Act (DORA) mechanisms 24
305 market preserving federalism 251–3
equitable sharing, see equitable Martinez-Vazquez, J. 42
share/sharing matching grants 9, 15
future prospects 314–18 Brazil 214, 215–16
history of intergovernmental fiscal Germany 83–4
relations 297–300 India 285
local government reforms US 88, 90–91, 93
299–300 matching requirements 288
post-independence system 298–9 materiality test 174
independence 296 mature federations 2–3; see also
local authority service charge Australia; Canada; Germany;
(LASC) 299–300 Switzerland; United States
Local Authority Transfer Fund (US)
(LATF) 300 Medicaid 89, 90–91, 96, 97, 100–101,
National Urban Development 103, 104–5
Policy (NUDP) 317 countercyclical fiscal relief 94–5
Office of the Controller of Budget growth in spending on 98, 103
(OCOB) 305 Mexico 10, 15, 26, 216
own source revenues and borrowing migration 43–4
303–4, 314, 317–18 mineral resources 192, 193, 194–5