Software as a Service (SaaS)
A Process to Compound Ridiculous Wealth
Tutorial 2 (July)
Evaluating SaaS businesses
Giving Credit
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Legacy vs SaaS
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SaaS
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It is going to get worse before it gets better
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It is going to get worse before it gets better
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It is going to get worse before it gets better
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It is going to get worse before it gets better
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 1: Rule of 40
Revenue growth rate
+
FCF margin
or
EBIT margin
or
Gross margin
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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Exercise Time
Find out the
Metric 1: Rule of 40
for Altigen
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Hands on: Find out the Rule of 40 for Altigen
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Hands on: Find out the Rule of 40 for Altigen
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 2: LTV / CAC = >3x
LTV = Lifetime Value
LTV=(ARPA x Gross Margin %) / (Churn Rate)
CAC = Customer Acquisition Cost
CAC = Sales and Marketing Expenses / New customers
added
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Exercise Time
Find out
Metric 2: LTV/CAC
for Altigen
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Hands on: Find out the LTV/CAC for Altigen
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Hands on: Find out the LTV/CAC for Altigen
Metric 2: LTV / CAC = >3x
LTV = Lifetime Value
LTV=(ARPA x Gross Margin %) / (Churn Rate)
(20.92*0.68*12)/0.045 = 3793
CAC = Customer Acquisition Cost
CAC = Sales and Marketing Expenses / New customers added
CAC = (2149)/(18799-13828) = 432.31
LTV/CAC = 3793/432.31 = 8.77
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 3: Churn Rate
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Customer Concentration Risk!
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 3: Churn Rate
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Exercise Time
Find out
Metric 3: Churn Rate
for Altigen
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Altigen Churn Rate
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Exercise Time
Find out
Metric 3:Churn Rate
for Twilio (NASDAQ:TWLO)
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Find out Churn Rate for Twilio (NASDAQ:TWLO)
Churn Rate = 100% - 97% = 3%
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 4:
Or Dollar Base Net Expansion Rate
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 4: Negative Churn Rate happens when upsells
in the period is larger than revenue quit in period
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Exercise Time
Find out
Metric 4: Negative Churn/Dollar Base Net Expansion Rate
for Twilio (NASDAQ:TWLO)
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Find out Negative Churn/Dollar Base Expansion Rate for TWLO
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 5:
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
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How do we know it will eventually work out?
Metric 5:
Time to recover CAC= CAC/ARPU*12
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Exercise Time
Find out
Metric 5: Time to recover CAC
for Altigen
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Find out Time to recover CAC for Altigen
LTV/CAC = 15.7
CAC = (LTV/15.7)
CAC = (3905/15.7) = 248.72
Time to recover CAC = CAC / (ARPU * 12)
Time to recover CAC = 248.72 / (20.92*12) = 0.99 years = 11.8 months
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Find out Time to recover CAC for Altigen
CAC = (2149)/(18799-13828) = 432.31
Time to recover CAC = CAC / (ARPU * 12)
Time to recover CAC = 432.31 / (20.92*12) = 1.72 years = 20.66 months
Conservative
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Summary
Criteria Altigen
1. Rule of 40 >40 45.5 ✅
2. LTV/CAC >3 15.7 ✅
8.77 ✅
3. Churn Rate <5% 4.5% ✅
4. Negative Churn Rate <0% - -
5. Time to Recover CAC <12 months 11.8 months ✅
20.66 months ❌
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End
Thank You