Soudeep Deb

Current Associate Professor and Chairperson Webpage: soudeepd.github.io

position Decision Sciences Area Phone: +91 80-26993387
Indian Institute of Management Bangalore, India. E-mail: [email protected]

Research Time series, Spatio-temporal modeling, Environmental data analysis, Clustering and classification,
Interests Nonparametric methods, Sports analytics, Applications of statistics in finance and other disciplines.

Experience Indian Institute of Management Bangalore, Bengaluru, KA, India. Mar 2020 - Present

• Chairperson, Decision Sciences Area. Apr 2024 - Present

• Associate Professor, Decision Sciences Area. Jul 2024 - Present
• Assistant Professor, Decision Sciences Area. Mar 2020 - Jul 2024

NBC Universal Media, LLC., New York, NY, USA. Sep 2018 - Feb 2020

• Senior Lead Data Scientist, Decision Sciences Division.

Education University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.

Ph.D., Statistics Aug 2018
• Thesis: Irregular spaced random field, Spatio-temporal data and Clustering of time series
• Advisory committee: Dr. Wei Biao Wu, Dr. Ruey S. Tsay, Dr. Michael L. Stein
Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, WB, India.
Master of Statistics (M. Stat.) May 2013
• First Division with Distinction, Specialization: Mathematical Statistics and Probability
• Thesis: Association analysis for identifying rare genetic variants, Advisor: Dr. Saurabh Ghosh

Bachelor of Statistics (B. Stat.) May 2011

• First Division with Distinction

Doctoral PhD thesis advisor/co-advisor:

students • Anchal Soni, Decision Sciences, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. Feb 2023
Thesis: Methods of analyzing structural breaks in multivariate time series: Applications to financial data.
• Siddharth Rawat, Decision Sciences, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. May 2023
Thesis: Spatio-temporal models in epidemiology and climate change.
• Kapil Gupta, Decision Sciences, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. (Exp) 2025
Thesis: Analyzing house price dynamics using novel spatio-temporal methods.
• Archi Roy, Dept of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Science Education & Research Pune. (Exp) 2025
Thesis: Nonparametric methods in stochastic regression models for time series data.
• Kunal Rai, Decision Sciences, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. (Exp) 2026
Thesis: Nonparametric methods and PINN in quantile regression for time series data.
• Chinmay Divekar, Decision Sciences, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. (Exp) 2026
Thesis: Novel methods for within-game analytics in sports.
Doctoral committee member:
• Sajad S Santhosh, Public Policy, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. (Exp) 2025
• M Mareeswaran, Finance & Accounting, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. (Exp) 2025
• Sabhya Rai, Economics, Indian Institute of Management Bangalore. (Exp) 2026

Books • (With D. Dey) Mathematical Techniques for Competitive Examinations. First edition in 2023, published
by Orient Blackswan Pvt Ltd. ISBN: 9393330107.
• (Under preparation) (With S. Das) Business Data Analytics: From Data to Decisions. Expected date of
publication is May 2025, to be published by Universities Press (India) Private Limited.

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Research India-Israel Joint Research Cooperation (IIJRC) Grant, 10th CFP-2023.
grants • From Department of Science & Technology, India, and Ministry of Innovation, Science & Technology, Israel.
• Co-PI: Prof. Itai Dattner, University of Haifa, Israel.
• Project: Hybrid-AI Quantile Regression Combining Nonparametric Statistical Methods and Physics-Informed
Neural Networks for Analysing Spatio-temporal Climate Data.
• Amount: INR 1.6 million for two years (2024 – 2026).
Research Challenge Grant from IIM Bangalore, India.
• Co-PI: Prof. Anand Deo, IIM Bangalore, India.
• Project: Estimating spatial extremes using EVT-based scaling.
• Amount: INR 1.5 million for 18 months (March 2025 to September 2026).
Research Travel Grant from London Mathematical Society, United Kingdom (UK).
• Offered under Scheme 5 ‘Collaborations with Developing Countries’ Grant.
• Co-PI: Prof. Rishideep Roy, University of Essex, UK.
• Amount: GBP 2200 for collaborative research visit to the UK (December 2024).
Research Seed Grant from IIM Bangalore, India.
• Project: Nonparametric methods of structural break detection in time series.
• Amount: INR 0.5 million for 18 months (July 2024 to December 2025).
Research Seed Grant from IIM Bangalore, India.
• Project: New techniques to analyze categorical and discrete time series data.
• Amount: INR 0.3 million for two years (August 2021 to December 2023).
Young Faculty Research Chair Grant from IIM Bangalore, India:
• Amount: INR 0.9 million for three years (March 2020 to February 2023)

Journal & • Deshmukh, S. S., Deb, S. (2025) A survey of statistical and machine learning methods of quantile regression
conference in time series and their suitability in predicting dengue outbreaks. Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data
publications Science. [publication]
• Deb, S., Jana, K. (2024) Nonparametric quantile regression for time series with replicated observations
and its application to climate data. Statistical Science, 39(3), 428-448. [publication]
• Deb, S., Roy, R., Das, S. (2024). Forecasting elections from partial information using a Bayesian model
for a multinomial sequence of data. Journal of Forecasting, 43(6), 1814-1834. [publication].
• Divekar, C., Deb, S., Roy, R. (2024) Real-time forecasting within soccer matches through a Bayesian lens.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, 187(2), 513–540. [publication]
• Chattopadhyay, A., Deb, S. (2024) A spatio-temporal model for binary data and its application in analyzing
the levels of COVID-19 spread. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 108(4), 823-851. [publication]
• Lakshmi M.V., Deb, S., Sen, R. (2024) Environmentally Responsible Index Tracking: Maintaining Performance
while Reducing Carbon Footprint of the Portfolio. Statistics and Applications (forthcoming).
• Gupta, K., Krishnamurthy, V., Deb, S. (2024) What elements of the opening set influence the outcome of
a tennis match? An in-depth analysis of Wimbledon data. IIMB Management Review. [publication]
• Roy, A., Deb, S., Chakarwarti, D. (2024) Impact of COVID-19 on public social life and mental health: A
statistical study of Google Trends data from the USA. J. Appl. Stat., 51(3), 581-605. [publication]
• Roy, A., Soni, A., Deb, S. (2023) A wavelet-based methodology to compare the impact of pandemic versus
Russia-Ukraine conflict on crude oil sector and its interconnectedness with other energy and non-energy
markets. Energy Economics, 124, 106830. [publication]
• Deb, S., Karmakar, S. (2023) A novel spatio-temporal clustering algorithm with applications on COVID-19
data from the United States. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 107810. [publication]
• Mareeswaran, M., Sen, S., Deb, S. (2023). New methods of structural break detection and an ensemble
approach to analyze exchange rate volatility of Indian rupee during COVID-19. Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, 187(1), 39-61. [publication]

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 • Deb, S. (2023). Analyzing airlines stock price volatility during COVID-19 pandemic through internet
search data. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 28(2), 1497-1513. [publication]
• Rawat, S., Deb, S. (2023). A spatio-temporal statistical model to analyze COVID-19 spread in the USA.
Journal of Applied Statistics, 50(11-12), 2310-2329. [publication]
• Deb, S., Majumdar, M. (2023). A quadratic trend-based time series method to analyze the early incidence
pattern of COVID-19. Biostatistics & Epidemiology, 7(1), e2076529. [publication]
• Majumdar, M., Banerjee, M., Sengupta, J., Deb, S., Jana, C. K., Roy, B. K. (2023) Prevalence and
spectrum of diabetic peripheral neuropathy and its correlation with insulin resistance – An experience from
eastern India. International Journal of Advanced Research, 11(06), 1085-1094. [publication]
• Deb, S., Deb, S. (2022). An ensemble method for early prediction of dengue outbreak. Journal of the
Royal Statistical Society Series A, 185(1), 84-101. [publication]
• Deb, S. (2022). A goal based index to analyze the competitive balance of a football league. Journal of
Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 18(3), 171-186. [publication]
• Nahata, S., Deb, S. (2021) A Machine Learning Approach to Analyze the Effect of Situational and Player-
Dependent Features on Converting Freekicks in Soccer. In Conference Proceedings 2021 Asia-Singapore
Conference on Sport Science (p. 19). [publication]
• Deb, S., Tsay, R. S. (2019). Spatio-temporal Models with Space-time Interaction and Their Applications
to Air Pollution Data. Statistica Sinica, 29, 1181-1207. [publication]
• Deb, S., Dey, D. (2019). Spatial Modeling of Shot Conversion in Soccer to Single out Goalscoring Ability.
Journal of Sports Analytics, 5(4), 281-297. [publication]
• Deb, S. (2019). VAR Model Based Clustering Method for Multivariate Time Series Data. Journal of
Mathematical Sciences, 237(6), 754-765. [publication]
• Prickett, K.C., Guiterrez, C., Deb, S. (2019). Family Firearm Ownership and Firearm-related Mortality
among Young Children: 1976-2016. Pediatrics, 143(2), e20181171. [publication]
• Chazin, H., Deb, S., Falk, J., Srinivasan, A. (2019). New Statistical Approaches to Intra-individual Isotopic
Analysis and Modelling of Birth Seasonality in Studies of Herd Animals. Archaeometry, 61(2), 478-493.
[publication] [R package]
• Deb, S., Pourahmadi, M., Wu, W. B. (2017). An Asymptotic Theory for Spectral Analysis of Random
Fields. Electronic Journal of Statistics, Vol. 11, No. 2, p. 4297-4322. [publication]
• Zechner, C., Deb, S., Koeppl, H. (2013). Marginal Dynamics of Stochastic Biochemical Networks in
Random Environments. In Control Conference (ECC), 2013 European, p. 4269-4274, IEEE. [publication]

Preprints & • Deb, S., Neves, C., Roy, S. (2024+) Nonparametric quantile regression for spatio-temporal processes.
submitted Under review. [preprint]
articles
• Roy, A., Podder, M., Deb, S. (2024+) Nonparametric method of structural break detection in stochastic
time series regression model. Under review. [preprint]
• Panja, M., Chakraborty, T., Biswas, A., Deb, S. (2024+) E-STGCN: Extreme Spatiotemporal Graph
Convolutional Networks for Air Quality Forecasting. Under review. [preprint]
• Deb, S., Das, S. (2024+). Optimal selection of starting lineup for a football team. Under review. [preprint]
• Gupta, K., Deb, S. (2024+) A divide-and-conquer approach for spatio-temporal analysis of large house
price data from Greater London. Under review. [preprint]
• Rawat, S., Durrant, A., Simpson, A., Nielson, G., Berrett, C, Deb, S. (2023+) A Bayesian approach
to identify changepoints in spatio-temporal ordered categorical data: An application to COVID-19 data.
Currently being prepared for submission. [preprint]
• Paul, M., Roy, R., Deb, S. (2022+). Effect of influence in voter models and its application in detecting
frauds in an election. Under major revision. [preprint]
• Bag, S., Gupta, K., Deb, S. (2022+). A review and recommendations on variable selection methods in
regression models for binary data. Under resubmission. [preprint]

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Teaching Course instructor, at Indian Institute of Management Bangalore:
• Advanced Statistics for Business (Core for BBA students) Winter, 2025
• Advanced Statistical Methods & Computing (Core for PhD students) Fall, 2024
• Multivariate Statistics (Core for PhD students) Spring, 2021 - 2024
• Sports Analytics (Elective for MBA students) Fall, 2023 - 2024
• Decision Sciences I (Core for MBA students) Fall, 2020 - 2024
• Statistical Inference (Core for PhD students) Winter, 2020
Executive Education Programme, at Indian Institute of Management Bangalore:
• Data Science & Artificial Intelligence (Programme Co-director) Feb 2025
• Predictive Analytics for Business Forecasting (Programme Director) Jan 2025
• Data Science & Artificial Intelligence (5 sessions) Sep 2024
• MDP for Food Corporation of India (8 sessions) Apr 2024
• Business Analytics and Intelligence (3 sessions) Fall, 2022 – 2024
Course instructor, at University of Chicago:
• Introductory Statistics, Chicago Academic Achievement Program (UG) Summer, 2015 & 2017
• Statistical Models and Methods I (UG) Winter, 2015

Consulting Smart City Mission, Ministry of Housing & Urban Affairs, India 2024
services • Topic: Improvement in quality of education through smart classrooms.
DBS Bank, Singapore 2023
• Topic: Value of data joint study.
Real Estate Research Initiative (IIMB-RERI), Bengaluru, India Since 2023
• Topic: Developing a commercial rental index through spatial modeling.
SportsKPI, Bengaluru, India 2022-23
• Topic: Valuation of a Kabaddi player and its use in building strategies.

Latest • Real-time forecasting in football matches. IIMA R&P Seminar Series, Ahmedabad, India. Feb 2025
seminars
• Nonparametric Regression of Spatio-temporal Data using Infinite-dimensional Covariates. IISA Conference
2024, Cochin, India. Dec 2024
• Structural breaks in the spatial network of real estate dynamics: A study of UK property transactions.
Essex Data Science Seminar Series, University of Essex, Colchester, UK. Dec 2024
• Structural breaks in the spatial network of real estate dynamics: A study of UK property transactions.
CMStatistics Conference 2024, London, UK. Dec 2024
• Nonparametric changepoint detection in time series data. COMPSTAT 2024, Giessen, Germany. Sep 2024
• A divide-and-conquer approach for spatio-temporal analysis of large house price data from Greater London.
EcoSta Conference 2024, Beijing, China. Jul 2024
• A workshop on ‘Data summarisation and Visual Storytelling using Statistics’, PES University Research
Workshop Series, Bengaluru, India. Jul 2024
• Real-time forecasting in sports. AI Frontiers Series, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (virtual). Jun 2024
• A workshop on Sports Analytics. Conference on Excellence in Research & Education, Indian Institute of
Management Indore, India. May 2024
• Introduction to Bayesian methods in Econometrics and Statistics. IIMK Skill-Building Series (virtual),
Kozhikode, India. Mar 2024
• Nonparametric estimation of shape-constrained time series regression model, RMS Annual Conference 2023,
Guwahati, India. Dec 2023
• Using t-SNE in analyzing multivariate time series data, EcoSta 2023, Tokyo, Japan. Aug 2023
• Nonparametric methods to deal with quantile regression problems in time series and spatio-temporal
settings. Symposium, National University of Singapore, Singapore. May 2023

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Honors At Indian Institute of Management Bangalore:
• Excellence in Teaching Award 2021-22, 2023-24
At University of Chicago:
• International House Ralph W. Nicholas Fellowship 2017-18
• Graduate Council Travel Fund Award 2017
• Runner-up for Department of Statistics Consulting Award 2016
• Nominated for Best Teaching Assistant in Physical Sciences Division Winter 2014
Earlier awards:
• Kishore Vaigyanik Protsahan Yojana scholarship, Indian Institute of Science 2007 to 2013
• Selected for International Mathematical Olympiad Training Camp, India 2007 & 2008

Professional Administrative roles, at Indian Institute of Management Bangalore:

Services • Chairperson, Decision Sciences Area. Apr 2024 - present
• Doctoral Program Coordinator, Decision Sciences Area. 2023-24
• Mentor in Pre-doctoral Programme, Decision Sciences Area. 2021 - 2024
Editorial Board member, for the following journal:
• Journal of Sports Analytics, Associate Editor. 2025 – present
• Scientific Reports, Associate Editor in the Climate Change track. 2024 – present
Session chairs, at the following conferences:
• IISA Conference, Cochin, India. Dec 2024
• EcoSta 2024, Beijing, China Jul 2024
• EcoSta 2023, Tokyo, Japan Aug 2023
• 14th and 15th CMStatistics, London, UK Dec, 2021 & 2022
Reviewer, for many journals including the following:
• Biometrics
• Electronic Journal of Statistics
• IIMB Management Review
• Journal of Multivariate Analysis
• Journal of Sports Analytics
• Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A and Series C
• Sankhya A and Sankhya B
• Scientific Reports
• Statistics and Probability Letters

Skills Technical strength:

• Proficient: R, MATLAB, LATEX, Microsoft Office, Google Suite
• Working knowledge: Python, SQL, C, C++
Languages:
• Bilingual: English, Bengali; Intermediate: Hindi; Basic: Portuguese.

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