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Enviado HB Capital Cash-Flow Teoria y Aplicacion 2024

The document compares Free Cash Flow (FCF) and Capital Cash Flow (CCF) methods for valuing cash flows, detailing calculations for cost of capital, present value, and net present value (NPV) across multiple years. It includes assumptions such as risk premium, tax rate, and capital structure, and provides cash flow forecasts for a hypothetical company, LBO Inc. The analysis concludes with the enterprise and equity values based on varying growth rates and terminal values.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
14 views14 pages

Enviado HB Capital Cash-Flow Teoria y Aplicacion 2024

The document compares Free Cash Flow (FCF) and Capital Cash Flow (CCF) methods for valuing cash flows, detailing calculations for cost of capital, present value, and net present value (NPV) across multiple years. It includes assumptions such as risk premium, tax rate, and capital structure, and provides cash flow forecasts for a hypothetical company, LBO Inc. The analysis concludes with the enterprise and equity values based on varying growth rates and terminal values.

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mm15103
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© © All Rights Reserved
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Table A FCF v.

CCF—Comparison Between Free Cash Flow and Capital Cash Flow Methods

Assumptions
Asset Beta = 1 Risk premium = 8%
Risk free rate = 10% Tax rate = 33%
Debt beta = 0 Constant capital structure

Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3


Part 1: Cost of Capital Calculations

Percent debt 40% 40% 40% 40%


Cost of debt 10% 10% 10% 10%
After-tax cost of debt 6.70% 6.70% 6.70% 6.70%
Debt contribution (Note #1) 2.68% 2.68% 2.68% 2.68%

Percent equity 60% 60% 60% 60%


Equity beta (Note #2) 1.67% 1.67% 1.67% 1.67%
Cost of equity (Note #3) 23.3% 23.3% 23.3% 23.3%
Equity contribution (Note #4) 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0%

After-tax WACC (Note #5) 16.68% 16.68% 16.68% 16.68%


Pre-tax WACC (Note #6) = KU 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%
14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0%
Part 2: Valuing Free Cash Flows Using
WACC

Free cash flow -100.0 30.0 30.0 130.0


After-tax WACC 16.68% 16.68% 16.68%
Discount factor 1.000 0.857 0.735 0.630
Present value -100.0 25.7 22.0 81.8
Total NPV 29.6
Part 3: Valuing Capital Cash Flows Using
Cost of Assets

Step 1: Determining debt outstanding

Remaining project value (Note #7) Activo 129.6 121.2 111.4 0.0
Debt (Note #8) Deuda 51.8 48.5 44.6 0.0
D/A 40% 40% 40%
Step 2: Determine interest tax shields
5.18 4.85 4.46
Interest @10% 0.0 5.2 4.8 4.5
Interest tax shield (Note #9) 0.0 1.7 1.6 1.5

Step 3: Add interest tax shield to Free Cash


Flows

Free Cash Flow -100.0 30.0 30.0 130.0


Interest Tax Shield (Note #9) 0.0 1.7 1.6 1.5
Capital Cash Flow (Note #10) -100.0 31.7 31.6 131.5

Step 4: Discount Capital Cash Flows using


the expected asset return

Capital Cash Flow -100.0 31.7 31.6 131.5


Expected asset return (Note #11) 18.00% 18.00% 18.00%
Discount factor 1.000 0.847 0.718 0.609
Present Value -100.0 26.9 22.7 80.0
Total NPV 29.6

Note # 1 Debt contribution is the after-tax cost of debt times the percent debt.
Note #2 Equity beta equals the asset beta divided by the percent equity.
Note #3 Cost of equity is calculated using the CAPM as the risk-free rate plus the equity beta times the risk premium.
Note #4 Equity contribution is the cost of equity times the percent equity.
Note #5 After-tax WACC is the weighted average after-tax cost of debt and equity.
Note #6 Pre-tax WACC is the weighted average pre-tax cost of debt and equity.
Note #7 Remaining project value is the present value of the remaining cash flows.
Note #8 Debt is calculated by multiplying the remaining project value by the assumed leverage.
Note #9 Interest tax shield is the tax rate multiplied by the before-tax interest.
Note #10 Capital cash flow equals the free cash flow plus the interest tax shield.
Note #11 Expected asset return is calculated using the assumed asset beta in the CAPM with the assumed riskless debt rate and risk premium.
Exhibit 1 LBO Inc.

Part A: Cash Flow Forecasts

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6


Beginning bank debt @ 12% 50,000 27,640 22,527 15,955 6,959 0
Beginning subordinated debt @ 15% 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 35,056
Total de Deudas 90,000 67,640 62,527 55,955 46,959 35,056

EBIT 14,000 16,100 18,515 21,292 24,486 28,159


Interest 12,000 9,317 8,703 7,915 6,835 5,258
Pre-tax income 2,000 6,783 9,812 13,378 17,651 22,901
Tax 640 2,171 3,140 4,281 5,648 7,328
Net income 1,360 4,613 6,672 9,097 12,003 15,572

Noncash adjustments 1,000 500 -100 -100 -100 -100

After-tax proceeds from asset sales 20,000


Tiempo 1 2 3 4 5 6
Available cash flow 22,360 5,113 6,572 8,997 11,903 15,472
Interest 12,000 9,317 8,703 7,915 6,835 5,258

Capital cash flow 34,360 14,429 15,275 16,911 18,738 20,731

Discount factor (Note #1) 0.8475 0.7182 0.6086 0.5158 0.4371 0.3704
Present value 29,119 10,363 9,297 8,723 8,190 7,679
1 1 1 1 1 1
Part B: Valuation
Crecimimiento

0% 5% 10%
Present values:
Cash flows (years 1-6) 73,371 73,371 73,371
Terminal Value (Note #2) 42,663 62,025 105,591
Enterprise value 116,034 135,397 178,962

Less: debt 90,000 90,000 90,000

Equity value (Note #3) 26,034 45,397 128,962

Note #1 Assumes an asset beta of 1.0. The expected asset return is calculated assuming a 10% risk-free rate and an
8% risk premium

Note #2 Terminal Value is calculated as growing perpetuity of Year 6 Capital Cash Flow.
Note #3 This is the value of the post-LBO equity, which is often called the stub value.
Año 2
Total de Deudas
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
16,100 60,000
50,000
16,100 40,000
Tasa Impuestos 32.00% (5,152) 30,000
UODI 10,948 20,000
10,000
Partida Virtual 500 0
1 2 3 4 5

Total de Deudas
FCL 11,448
Intereses x Tasa 2,982
Impuestos
CCF 14,429

PV @ KU =18.00%

Crecimiento del
CAPM= KU 5% 5%
RF 10.00%
Beta Activo Bu 1 Valor Terminal
Premio de Riesgo 8.00%
FCL Y 6 20,731
CAPM=KU 18.00% FCL Y 7 21,768

VAL MARCHA
167,443
Y6

PV MARCHA 62,026
eudas

4 5 6

Deudas

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