Flood Risk Management Contributions in Localized Areas. Case Study: Tunja, Colombia
Flood Risk Management Contributions in Localized Areas. Case Study: Tunja, Colombia
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DOI: 10.24850/j-tyca-2021-04-09
Articles
Laura Gil-Alvarado 2
Abstract
Resumen
Received: 01/07/2019
Accepted: 15/09/2020
Introduction
In the global context, people are choosing to settle in urban areas. Cities
are currently considered as the engines of economic growth. People who
migrate from rural to urban centers, pursue a higher standard of living.
However, it must not be ignored the need to address climate change with
risk management help and promotion. Cities that tend to grow
significantly over years may bring increases in the regional economy, but
they can also generate dangers if they are not planned and developed
properly, in accordance with the environment that surrounds them.
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Literature review
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is the one caused by the floods, which have their origin in the inadequate
management of surface run-off, in recent years it has been forced to raise
in-depth discussion, wherefrom public policies and technical solutions, it
provides the necessary tools to deal with these types of situations in a
correct way.
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Hydrodynamic modeling
Models that have been used in nations with excessive urban growth,
allow confronting parameters of surface runoff and normal routing of the
flow-through natural water channels that cross cities. Models that
evaluate the main data that influence the behavior of flood risk warning
systems have been proposed to prevent loss of human lives and
deterioration of people's material goods (Chen, Zhou, Zhang, Du, & Zhou,
2015).
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The devastating results that have been caused by floods have managed
to generate an impact on both environment and society. In various parts
of the world, tools for early warning have been studied since the frequent
flood events. The need is observed in the timely response capacity that
the affected localities can have. Some studies propose a flood index based
on satellite data that identify areas that give rise to runoff and that
contribute greatly to the production of flooding of the basin. The
preliminary conclusions of the studies indicate that spatial distribution of
areas that probably cause runoff, show the most prone flooding sites
(Koriche & Rientjes, 2016).
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It is clarified that the results obtained from each stage will be named
here, but they remain in the development of the definitive book of this
investigation. In this article, the most relevant approaches obtained will
be highlighted.
Location
Tunja is the capital of the Boyacá department, located two hours from
Bogotá, Colombia. The quality of urban space produced to the north of
Tunja does not reach great levels, because despite locating in areas of
high strata, studies focused on the lines of urban’ design and
transformations, reach to show that configuration of these sectors do not
guarantee the adequate appearance of public spaces, nor their
articulation with the system of facilities, nor their transition between built
and natural means, nor with adequate access and communication routes
with the rest of urban sectors. Normally, it is shown that the city
configuration process, is under the regulation that focuses on determining
occupancy rates of each property and does not show a consistent image
with the needs of Urban Development that are currently indicated in
studies at national and international levels (Chocontá-Martínez, 2017). In
Figure 2 it is shown the city location.
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Three main areas are shown, (I) Rural area, (II) Urban Expansion
area, and (III) Urban area. The flood footprint during the "La Niña"
phenomenon is also shown at the right of Figure 2 which corresponds to
the prioritized urban area to study for its continuous growth and current
development. Bearing in mind that the main neighborhoods affected by
floods have been located, five of them were selected to study vulnerability
from a social perspective (Las Quintas + José de Las Flores, 15 de Mayo,
Santa Inés, Pozo Donato and Mesopotamia).
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• The first point is located on the Jordán Alto River stretch, which
crosses between the Mesopotamia neighborhood and the Santa Inés
neighborhood. According to the transversal profile, it is observed that the
level of Mesopotamia is much lower than that adjacent to the area of
Remansos de Santa Inés, which generates flood threats to the first
neighborhood with water drafts up to 1.3 m and speeds of 0.8 m/s.
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• The second point of interest for this study is located between the
Avenida Norte and Santa Inés neighborhood, which has a lower height
towards the slope of the avenue, in front of the Pedagogical and
Technological University of Colombia (UPTC), what can be affected with
dimensions of 0.5 m and speeds of 0.5 m/s.
• The third point observed in the study was the one that generates
a 90° turn in the Jordán River, at the height of Santa Inés Shopping
Centre. This may affect the area of Santa Inés and Quince de Mayo, with
flood levels and speeds similar to those mentioned in the previous point.
• Finally, the fifth point refers to the sector of the Jordán Bajo River
(after its union with the La Vega River), at the height of Las Quintas,
where an overflow to the east can occur, with water sheet elevations up
to 1.5 m above the ground. This flood of the area would have the ability
to reach University Avenue and the areas that are currently in process of
urban development.
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Sample
Through the development of this section, constant use was made of the
Generic Statistical Business Process Model (GSBPM v 5.1), where
suggestions are presented to apply statistical models in various case
studies. The structure presented by this model is defined by eight stages
of development that are shown in Figure 4. The model is designed to be
used in describing and evaluating the quality of processes based on
surveys, censuses, administrative records, and other non-statistical or
mixed sources (UNECE, 2019) Due to its extensive applicability, updating
and wide adaptation condition according to each case study, this model
was selected to be used in this investigation.
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Las Quintas +
571 92 % 60 65
José de las Flores
Pozo Donato 50 8% 5 10
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Santa Inés + 15
739 57 % 39 43
Mayo
Santa Inés +
564 43 % 30 32
Mesopotamia
Results
It was observed that the 150 surveys carried out, represent 519 people
living in dwellings of sectors under study. On average there are 4
inhabitants per household and women represent a greater number. The
sectors mostly have people over 45 years, followed by young people
between 18 and 25 who are mostly university students. The inhabitants
of studied sectors have jobs —whether independent or employees— and
most have reached the development of university studies.
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Threat assessment
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It was obtained that the threat in which they are found is high. This
corroborates the studies carried out on the municipality of Tunja, in which
the maps show these communities with a high flood threat. Likewise, the
faults that are generated in the sewage system can be added to it, which
causes overflows to be recurrent in rainy periods.
Vulnerability assessment
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Risk assessment
To make the risk calculation presented in the chosen sectors, the double-
entry matrix is used, of Threat and Vulnerability as shown in Table 4. Both
results obtained previously are interrelated. The intersection of both
estimates the expected risk level. This information is very important to
adopt measures that can facilitate risk reduction and disaster
management processes.
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Threat Risk
Vulnerability
Proposals
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Some action proposals that when promoted, can reduce the existing
vulnerabilities in flood threat sectors are presented. Taking into account
that the characteristics of the study area correspond to sectors of rapid
urbanization, low slope, and high risk of flooding, due to its proximity to
water bodies and aquifer recharge areas, a series of strategies were
proposed for proper planning and flood risk control. Below are the most
relevant structural measures to be taken into account in these cases.
SUDS
SUDS seek to work in different scenarios of the public space that by their
vocation, can intervene efficiently. Although it is true that SUDS
implementation strategies have been developed in some Colombian cities,
as it is not a public policy, progress in their implementation is still little
studied (Martínez-Candelo, 2014). Among the most used, it can be
highlighted roofs, facades, and green ditches, which are based on the city
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natural systems, not designed for that purpose but efficient, such as
parks, sardine, separators, among others. However, in many cases , the
percentage of the impermeable surface area is still much higher,
compared to the desirable filtering surface for cities with these problems
(Hoang & Fenner, 2016).
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FEWS
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This measure can increase the security level for the Tunja's urban
area inhabitants, who are located on riverbanks, and efficiently plan their
action steps. For the FEWS implementation project, this proposed
methodology can be followed:
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Discussion
During the development of this research work, the idea that risk is socially
constructed due to multi-causal phenomena was maintained. This implies
that several factors that take place in the same territory, make the
disaster materialize. In this final section, the fulfi llment of the established
objectives, the initial research questions raised will be reviewed and some
final comments will be pointed out.
evaluation of the Flood Risk, based on various variables. The flood threat
turned out to be high for these sectors, which in combination with their
Medium vulnerability, generated a High risk.
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application works, being able to obtain great benefits for the inhabitants
of the threatened sectors and their governments.
With this project, the aim is for official entities to take as a basis the
information presented, to project socializations, workshops , and other
strategies to create a preventable and resilient community in the fa ce of
existing local threats; increase knowledge of risk management issues in
Tunja city, according to their threats. In addition, it was ensured that
inhabitants who were interviewed during the development of this project,
could become more aware about their flood vulnerability and the need to
expand their knowledge on the subject, bearing in mind that they will
generate their own benefit.
Conclusions
Through the present study, it was possible to determine high risk for the
studied areas, where the implementation of unstructured proposals is
required, such as education and taking legal and governmental measures
against risk, as well as the construction of structural solutions, such as
gabions, SUDS and FEWS. This, taking into account that the inhabit ants
exposed downstream of the water bodies would benefit.
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References
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