0125 Mobile Economy Europe 2025 Web
0125 Mobile Economy Europe 2025 Web
Economy
Europe 2025
The GSMA is a global organisation unifying the mobile
ecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovation
foundational to positive business environments and
societal change. Our vision is to unlock the full power of
connectivity so that people, industry and society thrive.
Representing mobile operators and organisations across
the mobile ecosystem and adjacent industries, the GSMA
delivers for its members across three broad pillars:
Connectivity for Good, Industry Services and Solutions,
and Outreach. This activity includes advancing policy,
tackling today’s biggest societal challenges, underpinning
the technology and interoperability that make mobile
work, and providing the world’s largest platform to
convene the mobile ecosystem at the MWC and M360
series of events.
www.gsmaintelligence.com
Executive summary 2 / 46
Key trends shaping
the mobile ecosystem
Executive summary 3 / 46
Driving AI transformation responsibly Momentum builds behind aerial
European operators are leading the way in connectivity
generative AI (genAI) adoption, with a strong Terrestrial networks remain the primary form
emphasis on network optimisation, security and of connectivity, supported by the wide area
enhanced customer service. Mobile operators are coverage of wireless networks and the mass
catalysing genAI innovation through strategic production and adoption of mobile devices. In
partnerships, exemplified by Telefónica's recent years, however, technological advances
collaborations with technology partners, as well in various satellite and other non-terrestrial
as Deutsche Telekom's development of telecoms- networks (NTNs) have helped to overcome
specific large language models (LLMs) with the several limitations associated with aerial
Global Telco AI Alliance. To foster responsible connectivity. Recent developments suggest that
AI, operators are prioritising ethical AI practices European authorities are taking steps to keep
to ensure fairness, protect users and reduce up with their global peers in the development
inequalities. The EU’s AI Act sets regulatory and application of satellite connectivity, as
standards for responsible AI, while the GSMA's a complement to terrestrial-based mobile
Responsible AI Maturity Roadmap offers a connectivity services. Recent examples include
framework for ethical AI use. the award of a contract to the SpaceRISE
consortium to develop, deploy and operate the
IRIS2 constellation, as well as the emergence
of new players across the European satellite
ecosystem.
Executive summary 4 / 46
Policies for success
Addressing Europe’s digital infrastructure needs • Take a more long-term view on investment and
is an important first step towards resetting the innovation effects. The Commission needs to
regulatory framework for telecommunications initiate a review of the EU Merger Regulation,
and re-energising the European telecoms sector which has not been reviewed for 20 years, in
as an engine of competitiveness and prosperity. order to put more emphasis on the long-term
The benefits of increased investments in digital investment viewpoint.
infrastructure will not only be felt across the
• Establish a pro-investment approach to EU
telecoms and technology sectors but across every
spectrum policy, including the adoption of
other industry as well. Achieving this requires a
best practices to achieve a more predictable
bold new approach to realising the Commission’s
and harmonised approach to spectrum auction
digital single market ambitions, underpinned by
designs, licensing costs, the prolongation of
the following practical measures:
licences and the identification of future bands.
• Re-evaluate the existing regulatory framework
• Apply circular economy principles to network
that was conceived 20–30 years ago, and update
equipment and incorporate the EU taxonomy for
the policy objectives and principles to match
green investment in electronic communication
today’s market realities and challenges.
networks, based on robust metrics.
• Implement additional measures to ensure
fairness in the internet value chain by defining
an obligation on content and application
The benefits of increased
providers (CAPs) to negotiate with internet investments in digital
service providers (ISPs) on the terms and infrastructure will not only be
conditions for IP data transport services, thereby
making the negotiating parties subject to a felt across the telecoms and
dispute resolution process in the event that an technology sectors but across
agreement cannot be reached.
every other industry as well
Executive summary 5 / 46
The Mobile Economy Europe
Unique Mobile
mobile internet
subscribers users
2024
520m
88% penetration rate*
2024
471m
79% penetration rate*
2030
527m
89% penetration rate*
2030
494m
84% penetration rate*
CAGR
2024-2030 0.2% CAGR
2024-2030 0.8%
*Percentage of population *Percentage of population
connections
(excluding licensed cellular IoT)
795m
2024
63%
18%
2024
2030
134% penetration rate*
2030
816m 5G Percentage of connections
(excluding licensed cellular IoT)
30%
138% penetration rate*
2024
0.4%
80%
CAGR
2024-2030
2030
*Percentage of population
Smartphones Licensed
Percentage of connections
cellular
IoT connections
2024
83%
2030
91% 2024
322m
Operator
revenues and
2030
545m
investment
Mobile
ecosystem
2024
€163bn
Total revenues
contribution
to GDP
2030
€177bn
Total revenues
2023
€1.1tn
5.0% of GDP
€175bn
€1.2tn
Operator capex
for the period
2024–2030: 2030
Public Employment
funding
2023
2023
1.9m jobs
€120bn Directly supported by the
mobile ecosystem
1+5+6430K 10+90+K
2024
1% 5% 10%
86%
30% 90% 2030
88%
2024 2030 Smartphone adoption
2024
64%
86%
2030
2G 3G 4G 5G 94%
2+51+47K 6+94+K
2024
2% 6%
87%
49% 94% 2030
89%
2024 2030 Smartphone adoption
51%
2024
83%
2030
2G 3G 4G 5G 93%
1+1+7028K 14+86+K
2024
1% 1%
14% 89%
27% 2030
86%
90%
2024 2030 Smartphone adoption
2024
70% 80%
2030
2G 3G 4G 5G 90%
3+2+6728K 11+89+K
3% 2% 2024
11% 88%
28% 2030
89%
90%
2024 2030 Smartphone adoption
2024
67% 81%
2030
2G 3G 4G 5G 86%
1+53+46K 7+93+K
2024
1% 7%
88%
2030
46% 93%
90%
2024 2030 Smartphone adoption
53%
2024
86%
2030
2G 3G 4G 5G 91%
Executive summary 8 / 46
01
The mobile industry
in numbers
Almost 80% of By the end of 2024, 520 million people in
Europe (88% of the population) subscribed to a
Europe’s population
mobile service. Mobile internet adoption is also
widespread, reaching 79% of the population, which
subscribe to mobile
amounts to 471 million users. This represents an
increase of more than 150 million people over the
internet services
past decade. Growth during this period was largely
driven by the expansion of mobile broadband
networks, with the coverage gap in Europe now at
1% of the population.
Figure 1
Coverage gap
Europe: mobile internet connectivity in select markets, 2024 Usage gap
Percentage of population Connected
1% 1% 4%
12%
16% 17% 18% 18% 20% 19% 21%
22% 28%
35%
88%
84% 82% 82% 81% 80% 79% 79%
74% 72%
64%
Spain Italy UK Netherlands Belgium France Europe Germany Ukraine Poland Romania
will surpass 4G
pace. Moreover, with 2G and 3G networks already
accounting for less than 10% of mobile connections
adoption in Europe
in the region, legacy networks are being phased
out. By the end of Q3 2024, there had been 44
network sunsets in Europe – accounting for around
a third of network sunsets globally.1
Figure 2
Europe: mobile adoption by technology
Percentage of total connections
90%
80% 5G 80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
4G 18%
10%
3G 2%
0% 2G 0%
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
1. Network Sunsets, Q3 2024 Global trends, regional variations and outlook, GSMA Intelligence, November 2024
Europe continues to
over 200 million connections. Countries such as
Denmark, Finland, Germany, Norway, Switzerland
advanced regions
markets.
Figure 3
2025–2030 increase
5G adoption 2024
Percentage of total connections
5G connections
(2030)
US 94% 412m
invest heavily in
by the increasing adoption of smartphones
and growing consumption of high-bandwidth
network upgrades
applications such as video streaming.
amid rising data per mobile connection grew more than fourfold
in Europe, from 3.8 GB in 2019 to 15.3 GB in
Figure 4
Mobile data traffic per mobile connection
GB per month
US 42 98 2.3×
China 20 69 3.5×
Italy 22 62 2.8×
Spain 17 59 3.6×
France 18 57 3.2×
UK 14 56 4×
Germany 13 55 4.4×
Europe 15 49 3.2×
Global 16 48 3×
to gain another
will account for around a quarter of these, while
the UK, France, Italy and Sweden will each
cellular IoT
combination of connectivity options. This will help
ensure optimised performance across different
applications.
connections by Smart utilities will be a key driver of IoT
600
545
500
180
400
322
48
300
55
100
58
200 30
34 67
36
100 40
138
82
0
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
growth is expected
in percentage terms in most European markets.
Consequently, there is increased pressure on
single digits
remains a focus for the industry, with the launch
of the next iteration of 5G networks an important
underpinning for growth prospects.
Figure 6
Mobile revenue
Europe: mobile revenue and year-on-year growth
Annual growth
Billion
€200
€180 1.7%
1.6%
€160
1.4%
€140
1.2% 1.2%
€120 1.1%
€100 0.9%
€80
€60
€40
€20
€0
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
economic value to
from the productivity effects generated by the
use of mobile services across the economy, which
the European
reached €700 billion. The direct contribution by
the mobile industry ecosystem was also significant
at €230 billion.
economy in 2023 The mobile ecosystem comprises three
categories: mobile operators; infrastructure and
equipment providers; and content and services.
The infrastructure and equipment category
includes network equipment providers, device
manufacturers and IoT companies. Meanwhile,
the content and services category encompasses
content, mobile application and service providers,
distributors and retailers and mobile cloud
services.
Figure 7
Europe: total economic contribution of mobile, 2023
Billion, percentage of GDP
€700 €1,080
3.3%
Mobile ecosystem
5.0%
€130
€40 0.6%
€80
0.3%
€110
0.3%
0.5%
economic contribution
continued expansion of the mobile ecosystem
and verticals increasingly benefiting from the
€1.2 trillion
services. This underscores the connectivity
sector's role as a core enabler of Europe's
digital economy.
Figure 8
Europe: economic impact of mobile
Billion
€1,080 €1,200
2023 2030
Source: GSMA Intelligence
in Europe supported
around 2 million people in Europe in 2023. In
addition, economic activity in the ecosystem
jobs in 2023
total were directly or indirectly supported.
Figure 9
Europe: employment impact of the mobile industry, 2023
Jobs (million)
1.4
3.3
1.9
contribution of the
public sector, with €120 billion raised through
taxes. The largest contribution came from
mobile ecosystem
employment taxes and social security, which
generated €50 billion, followed by services VAT,
in Europe reached
sales taxes and excise duties at €40 billion.
Figure 10
Europe: fiscal contribution of the mobile ecosystem, 2023
Billion
€50
€10
€120
€20
€40
to the European
materialise between 2023 and 2028. Towards the
end of the decade, 5G’s economic benefits will
economy in 2030
level off as the technology achieves scale and
adoption begins to plateau.
Figure 11 Other
Europe: annual 5G contribution by industry Construction and real estate
Billion Finance
Information and communication
Services
Public administration
Manufacturing
€180
€160
13%
€140
6%
6%
€120
10%
€100
12%
€80
19%
€60
€40
34%
€20
€0
Figure 12
5G Connectivity Index structure and weightings: categories, pillars and
indicators
5G infrastructure 5G services
50% 50%
Video quality
20%
2. The 5G Connectivity Index webtool provides overall index scores as well as the underlying score for each indicator.
5G infrastructure
Pillar Indicator Description Source
Network 5G base stations Number of 5G base stations deployed per GSMA Intelligence
100,000 people
Experience Download speeds Median download speed for mobile users Ookla Speedtest
Intelligence
Upload speeds Median upload speed for mobile users Ookla Speedtest
Intelligence
Video quality Weighted sum of multiple video quality metrics Ookla Speedtest
Intelligence
5G services
Pillar Indicator Description Source
Adoption 5G subscriber 5G connections at the end of the period, expressed GSMA Intelligence
penetration as a percentage share of the total population
Market Data traffic per Monthly data traffic per connection GSMA Intelligence
development user
* The indicators for 5G coverage entail a combination of two additional sub-indicators: 5G population coverage (representing the proportion of the population cov-
ered by a 5G network, sourced from GSMA Intelligence) and 5G availability (reflecting the proportion of users on 5G-capable devices who spend the majority of their
time on 5G, sourced from Ookla Speedtest Intelligence).
** The indicators for 5G data affordability entail a combination of three additional sub-indicators: monthly affordability of the cheapest 20, 50 and 100 GB mobile 5G
data plan (initially expressed as a percentage of monthly GDP per capita, sourced from Tarifica).
Source: GSMA Intelligence
Figure 14 Americas
Asia Pacific
5G Connectivity Index results by market, Q3 2024 Europe
Scores out of 100 Middle East
Sub-Saharan Africa
Kuwait 67
UAE 64
Qatar 64
Finland 61
Hong Kong 59
Denmark 59
Norway 59
Singapore 58
US 57
South Korea 56
Switzerland 55
China 54
Australia 54
Saudi Arabia 51
Japan 51
Netherlands 50
Germany 50
Austria 49
Canada 47
Sweden 47
Bulgaria 47
France 47
UK 47
Italy 44
Spain 43
Greece 43
Israel 42
Czechia 42
Thailand 41
Malaysia 41
New Zealand 38
India 33
Chile 33
Brazil 31
Philippines 26
Mexico 24
South Africa 21
Indonesia 21
Nigeria 18
Figure 15
5G base stations
5G Connectivity Index: network, Q3 2024
5G coverage
Scores out of 100
5G SA
100
97 95
83
68 70
66 68
64
60 60
52
32
30 30 29
27
Note: The scores for the GCC states and Europe reflect an average of the countries from these regions included in the 5GI, not all countries.
Source: GSMA Intelligence
3. The network pillar consists of 5G base stations, 5G coverage and 5G standalone. See Figure 13 for more details.
Figure 16
Download speeds
5G Connectivity Index: experience, Q3 2024 Upload speeds
Scores out of 100 Latencies
81
77 77
69
65
59 59
52
50
48 48
35 36
31 30
28
18
16
Note: The scores for GCC states and Europe reflect an average of the countries from these regions included in the 5GI, not all countries.
Source: GSMA Intelligence
Figure 17
Monthly ARPU, by mobile connection
Mobile ARPU and mobile capex per capita, 2024 Mobile capex per capita
€105
€90
€86
€73
€49
€41
€32
€21
€18 €18
€11
€6
Figure 18 Rank 1
5G-Advanced: priority use cases Rank 2
Which 5G-Advanced use cases and applications are most important to your network
transformation priorities? (Top two choices)
Percentage of operators (globally)
RedCap IoT 6% 2%
FWA enhancements 5% 5%
Time-sensitive networking 3% 7%
5G RedCap is an important
enabler for mid-tier cellular
IoT applications
4. API families include anti-fraud, mobile connectivity and value-added services, fixed connectivity, cloud and edge, and payments.
Many of the early API launches in Europe have These two solutions illustrate the potential of
focused on fraud prevention and security, using network APIs to solve real-world problems.
SIM Swap and Number Verification. These However, APIs that function only on a single
represent easy wins, given the ever-present risks network offer less benefit to developers compared
from fraudsters and breaches for operators and to APIs that are available across multiple networks.
their customers. Other parts of the API library (e.g. This is why operators in several countries have
Quality on Demand) are also being assessed as attempted to coordinate the rollout of several
operators expand their rollouts of 5G SA and other GSMA Open Gateway APIs.
enabling technologies. Examples of commercial
In Spain, for example, Orange, Telefónica and
deployments include the following:
Vodafone have launched the SIM Swap and
• Deutsche Telekom’s ‘5G Live Video Production’: Number Verification APIs. Second-hand fashion
The 5G Live Video Production solution leverages e-commerce retailer Vinted is among the early
Deutsche Telekom’s 5G SA and network slicing adopters to have integrated the GSMA Open
capabilities, along with the Quality on Demand Gateway Number Verification API into its security
API, to ensure stable broadcasting for live framework. This enhances Vinted’s authentication
events. As a result, TV teams can transmit their protocols and streamlines its identification process.
live HD videos streams reliably, even without
a satellite connection. RTL Deutschland is one
36%
21%
18%
12% 12%
Widely deployed Aware and Piloting a few use Currently limited Completely
across multiple identifying initial cases but currently deployment across integrated Al
(but not all) deployment use not implemented a few business across all business
business areas cases areas areas
Figure 20
Mobile's impact on the SDGs in Europe
7. 2024 Mobile Industry Impact Report: Sustainable Development Goals, GSMA, 2024
8. Mobile Net Zero 2024, GSMA, 2024
4.1
Boosting Europe’s global
competitiveness
European operators’ ability to invest significantly Addressing Europe’s digital infrastructure needs
and sustainably in digital infrastructure is inhibited is an important first step towards resetting the
by a lack of scaling opportunities, a fragmented regulatory framework for telecommunications
telecoms market and a regulatory framework and re-energising the European telecoms sector
long in need of an overhaul, considering the as an engine of competitiveness and prosperity.
monumental technological and market shifts that The benefits of improved investment in digital
have manifested over the past decade. These infrastructure will not only be felt across the
industry challenges should be addressed by the telecoms and technology sectors but across every
European Commission early in its new mandate. other industry. To this end, Europe needs to act
The GSMA and its European operator members swiftly on measures to achieve a competitive,
strongly recommend that the Commission move secure and sustainable European single market
ahead with a legislative proposal – a Digital and future visions such as the provision of cross-
Networks Act. border services. This requires a bold new approach
underpinned by efforts to:
In September 2024, the European Commission
published Mario Draghi’s report on the future of • complete the digital single market
European competitiveness.14 The report highlights
• implement additional measures needed to ensure
the profound innovation and investment gap in
fairness in the internet value chain
digital infrastructure between Europe and its
global competitors. Today, for every 100,000 EU • take a more long-term view on investment and
citizens, there are around 100 5G mobile base innovation effects
stations, compared to 245 and nearly 600 5G
mobile base stations in China and South Korea, • establish a pro-investment approach to EU
respectively.15 In addition, 5G mid-band coverage, spectrum policy
which is ideal for bringing fast, low-latency • support sustainability efforts of mobile
connectivity to urban areas, is around 45% in operators.
Europe but 90% in North America and 95% in
China.16
18. White Paper - How to master Europe’s digital infrastructure needs?, European Commission, 2024
19. The Importance of 6 GHz to Mobile Evolution, GSMA, 2024
20. “GSMA hails groundbreaking spectrum decisions at WRC 23”, December 2023