Annual Residential Report 2022 - PropEquity Research Update
Annual Residential Report 2022 - PropEquity Research Update
Outlook 2022
India’s Residential Market
CY’22 (January ‘22 to December ‘22)
Data Filters:
• Data Includes Apartments, Independent Floors and Villas/ Row Houses © 2023 P.E. Analytics Limited. All Rights Reserved.
• Excluding Construction on Hold and Sales on Hold Information contained herein, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable by PropEquity.
• Excluding Lottery Projects While we do not doubt its accuracy, we make no warranty or representation about it.
Table of Contents
Key Aspects covered in the report
01.
Key Overview
02.
Pan-India
03.
City-Level Analysis
04.
About Us
Real-Estate Trends & Trends
Cites Coverage Tier 01 vs. Tier 02 Cities Supply-Absorption Dynamics Foreword
Overview of 2022 Market Share of Tier 02 Cities Pricing Trends About PropEquity-Research and Consulting
Pareto Distribution in Real-Estate Segment Wise Distribution Authors
Tier 01: Market Indicators (Affordable-Mid-Luxury) Contact Us
City Level Ranking Top Developers in CY’22
(basis key market indicators)
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 2
City Coverage
Tier 01 & Tier 02 Cities considered for the report
Tier-1 Cities
Tier-2 Cities
30
Agra, Ahmedabad, Amritsar, Bhiwadi, Bhopal, Bhubaneshwar,
Chandigarh, Coimbatore, Dehradun, Gandhi Nagar, Goa, Guntur,
Indore, Jaipur, Kochi, Lucknow, Ludhiana, Mangalore, Mohali,
Tier-II Mysore, Nagpur, Nashik, Panipat, Raipur, Sonepat, Surat,
Cities Trivandrum, Vadodara, Vijayawada, Visakhapatnam,
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 3
Stronger consumer sentiments in
Overview CY 2022
of 2022 The calendar year of 2022 has recorded maximum
sales since the last 8 years, with total absorption
lower repo rates of 4% in the first half of 2022,
increasing the borrowing and lending capacity of
increased at 28% on Y-o-Y basis. These sales were commercial lenders because of lowered cost of
a result of multiple factors such as lower home credit, and the increase of liquidity in the financial
loan interest rates (around 6-7%) in leading banks, system.
Major activities influencing real-estate in India increased confidence of consumers on hard assets
compared to volatile assets post-COVID and
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 4
Pan-India Trends
Tier 01 Vs. Tier 02 Cities
Pareto-distribution
Supply-Absorption Dynamics in CY’22 Market Share of Absorbed Value (in %) in Real-Estate?
Tier 02 Tier 01 ~20%
500 Tier-02 Cities
90 100%
450 80 90%
4,53,414
The market share of
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 5
Tier-I : Overview CY’22 (January ‘22 to December ‘22)
New Launch Total Absorption Inventory Overhang (in months) New Launches 3,03,619 2,46,310 3,23,683 3,71,282 15%
500 35
32
450
30 COVID Year Total Absorption 3,26,791 2,77,663 3,54,121 4,53,414 28%
28 30
400
25 25 Unsold Stock 6,10,630 5,79,279 5,48,839 4,66,125 -15%
Units (in thousands)
25
300 19 20
250
15
200 12
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 6
Tier-I : Trends
City-wise Ranking basis key market indicators
81,549
68,949
64,683
New Launches in
City-wise Trends in CY’22
46,900
43,079
Number Of Units
Absorption Vs. Weighted Average Price (Absorbed) in CY ‘22
21,072
15,868
15,299
8,432
CY’22
25000
~20%
of total absorbed units
New Delhi
Thane Pune Hyderabad Mumbai Bengaluru Navi Chennai Delhi-NCR Kolkata
Mumbai
Mumbai
94,964
20000
90,853
Weighted Average Price (Absorption)
Total Absorption in
63,953
59,197
15000
51,390
~80%
Number Of Units
Gurugram
of total absorbed units in CY ‘22 are
32,789
27,508
witnessed in top 5 cities
17,921
14,839
10000
CY’22
Noida
Navi Mumbai Hyderabad
Chennai Bengaluru Thane
Kolkata Pune
Faridabad
5000 Pune Thane Hyderabad Bengaluru Mumbai Delhi-NCR Navi Chennai Kolkata
Greater Noida Mumbai
Ghaziabad
16
Inventory Overhang as
15
0
14
14
Inventory Overhang (in months)
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000
13
13
12
Absorption (in units)
of December ‘22
10
Observing the city wise absorption vs. absorption New Delhi and Mumbai have the highest
8
price graph, it is noted that the majority of weighted average price (absorption) of 20,974 and
absorption in Tier-1 cities (about 80%) is seen in 19,112 INR/Sft respectively. This is due to the
top five cities with Pune and Thane having the launch of limited stock of luxury projects in New
maximum share (21% and 20% respectively), Delhi and the large variety of mid-ranged
followed by Hyderabad (14%), Bengaluru (13%) properties absorbed in Mumbai city in CY’22.
and Mumbai (11%). Pune Bengaluru Navi Thane Chennai Mumbai Kolkata Delhi-NCR Hyderabad
Mumbai
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 7
Pune Avg. Launch Price
5,749
Avg. Absorption Price
5,475
The weighted average price (absorption) have
increased slightly by 4% when compared to last
year.
The city of Pune in CY’22 has seen the highest residential real-estate activity in the last five years in terms
of supply and absorption. Pune has always led as an affordable to mid-segment dominated market.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 70%
M 15% Mid
L 15%
Luxury Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
69,149 94,964 08
(in months) Affordable
VTP Realty (VTP Group) 4,428 4.65 3,599 5,423 2,965
6,534
Avg. Absorption Price
6,363
The weighted average price (absorption) have
increased slightly by 4% when compared to last
quarter.
MMR has witnessed the highest residential launches in CY’22. The contribution of Thane is 54% towards
the new supply in MMR. Majority of Thane has been an affordable to mid-segment market.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 84%
M 8% Mid
L 9%
Luxury Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
81,549 90,853
46% 35%
13
(in months)
Lodha Group 6,037 6.64 6,696 7,336 3,963
6,949
Avg. Absorption Price
6,883
The weighted average price (absorption) have
witnessed a growth by 10% on Y-o-Y basis.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 33%
M 22% Mid
L 45% Luxury
Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
66,683 63,953
8% 33%
16
(in months)
Aparna Const. & Estates 4,789 7.48 4,685 7726 6,445
6,463
Avg. Absorption Price
6,400
The weighted average price (absorption) have
witnessed a growth by 6% on Y-o-Y basis.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 52%
M 18% Mid
L 29% Luxury
Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
44,079 59,197
50% 35%
10
(in months)
Prestige Group 6,981 11.80 4,664 6,829 6,603
Y-o-Y Y-o-Y
Affordable Brigade Group 3,134 5.30 2,704 5,932 2,161
A 56%
Mid
In CY’22, Bengaluru had witnessed 50% increase in new launches M 18%
Godrej Properties 2,656 4.49 3,117 6,296 1,656
L 25%
compared to CY’21. Whereas, absorption outweighs new launches by Luxury
34%, resulting in the decline of overhang to an all time low of 10 D S Max Properties 1,593 2.69 964 3,500 644
months. With investments made under the Bengaluru Mission 2022 to
Sobha Limited 1,456 2.46 1,734 8,113 1,634
improve public infrastructure, supply is expected increase further.
17,922
Avg. Absorption Price
19,092
The weighted average price (absorption) have
marginally increased by 2% as compared to last year.
Mumbai has witnessed the highest residential real-estate activity in CY’22 compared to the last five years.
The demand has outweighed new launches in the last five years.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 28%
M 45% Mid
L 26%
Luxury Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
46,900 51,390
26% 37%
14
(in months) Affordable
Runwal Group 2,014 3.91 1,885 15,906 3,245
< 1 Cr 1 to 2 Cr > 2 Cr
Real Estate Outlook | India's Residential Market in 2022 (Jan ‘22-Dec ‘22) Page 12
Affordable Mid Luxury
Navi Mumbai Avg. Launch Price
7,147
Avg. Absorption Price
6,739
The weighted average price (absorption) have
increased slightly by 8% when compared to last
year.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 74%
M 9% Mid
L 16%
Luxury Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
21,072 27,508
51% 32%
12
(in months) Affordable
Arihant Superstructures
Paradise Group Builders &
1,486 5.40 933 5,940 816
10,958
Avg. Absorption Price
9,512
The weighted average price (absorption) have
witnessed a significant increase of 33% on Y-o-Y basis.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 17%
M 13% Mid
L 70% Luxury
Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
15,699 32,789
28% 19%
15
(in months)
Signature Global (Gurugram) 1,911 5.83 3,936 6984 1,495
6,381
Avg. Absorption Price
6,816
The weighted average price (absorption) have
witnessed a growth by 16% on Y-o-Y basis.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 72%
M 9% Mid
L 19% Luxury
Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
15,868 17,921
27% 7%
13
(in months)
Alliance Group 1,704 9.44 3,119 5,183 709
Y-o-Y Y-o-Y
Affordable Casagrand Builder 1,391 7.71 2,277 5,870 1,381
A 64%
M 13% Mid
Shriram Properties 684 3.79 477 5,089 405
Chennai has witnessed an increase of 27% in new launches on L 23%
Luxury
Y-o-Y basis. It is one of the few cities which has not witnessed a Baashyaam Constructions 595 3.30 240 11,297 1,149
significant increase in supply and absorption post-COVID,
compared to other tier-1 cities. TVS Emerald Haven Realty 557 3.09 152 6,677 508
6,071
Avg. Absorption Price
5,864
The weighted average price (absorption) have
witnessed a significant increase of 13% on Y-o-Y basis.
Supply-Absorption Dynamics (CY’18 to CY’22) Segment-Wise Share in CY’22 Weighted Average Price Trend (CY’18 to CY’22)
Affordable
A 70%
Mid
M 13%
L 16% Luxury
Top Developers in CY’22 (basis Absorption)
Absorption Market New Launches Wt. Avg. Price Est. Sales Value
New launches Total Absorption Inventory Overhang Basis Absorption (in units) Developers
(in units) Share (in %) (in units) (Absorbed) (in Crores)
8,683 14,839
8% 5%
15
(in months)
Merlin Group 1,206 8.07 2,641 6701 750
Y-o-Y Y-o-Y
Affordable Godrej Properties 795 5.32 939 5033 415
A 79%
M 7% Mid
In Kolkata, the supply and absorption in CY’22 are the lowest Srijan Realty 698 4.67 63 5105 526
L 14%
compared to other Tier-1 cities. It has witnessed a 8% decline in Luxury
new launches on Y-o-Y basis. The total absorption being almost PS Group 661 4.42 629 9070 1,028
1.7x times the new launches in CY’22, the inventory overhang has
Shriram Properties 610 4.08 - 3807 178
dropped significantly to an all-time low of 15 months.
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