AI Agents Knocking at The Door - Morgan Stanley
AI Agents Knocking at The Door - Morgan Stanley
Sanjit K Singh
Equity Analyst
Equity Analyst
[email protected] +1 212 761-4149
The growing power of deep reasoning models pave the way for Brian Nowak, CFA
Equity Analyst
a new wave of Agentic AI applications able to automate [email protected] +1 212 761-3365
broadening business functions, unlocking tremendous value. The Josh Baer, CFA
Equity Analyst
customer journey to Agentic AI will take time and software [email protected] +1 212 761-4223
players will have to evolve business + pricing models to thrive Elizabeth Porter, CFA
Equity Analyst
[email protected] +1 212 761-3632
Over decades software was developed based on the assumption that humans [email protected] +1 212 761-1686
play the central role in executing tasks, workflows and business processes. Oscar R Saavedra
Research Associate
[email protected] +1 212 761-0827
Agentic computing removes this assumption, replacing it with the idea that
Agents increasingly become the entity executing tasks and making decisions
However, the transition to agentic will come with change – redefining how apps
Software
are architected and requiring new business and pricing models North America
Industry View Attractive
Software companies well positioned to benefit include: AMZN, CRM, CYBR,
GOOG, HUBS, MSFT, NET, NOW, OKTA, OS, PLTR, SAIL, SNOW, & TEAM
For Deep Dive in the Agentic Computing Opportunity Please see our Agents
Knocking on the Door Presentation attached to this report
Bringing Agency to Software. Over the last several decades, software has been
developed based on the assumption that humans play the central role in executing
tasks, workflows and processes. The expanding capabilities of Agentic AI removes
this long-held assumption, replacing it with a framework where AI Agents
increasingly become the entity executing tasks and making decisions. The coalescing
forces driving this shift – the increasing power of deep reasoning models, the ability
to have a semantic understanding of data and the declining price of intelligence –
create a substantial opportunity for enterprises to automate entire business
functions and processes, unlocking enormous value via digital labor replacement.
However, investors should view the march towards agentic computing in the
enterprise as an evolutionary journey rather than a revolutionary sprint. The
inherently indeterminate nature of foundational models, a proliferation of
application and data silos built up over decades, persistent challenges with data
quality, an ever-growing list of security concerns and a lack of standardization with
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with
respect to governance models and application frameworks present significant companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result,
obstacles to deploying Agentic AI applications – challenges the industry will have to investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of
interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley
solve over time. Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley
Research as only a single factor in making their investment
Bracing for Change. Taking in proper historical context, Agentic computing decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures,
represents the next progression of a long-standing evolution towards greater
refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this
abstraction in software. At a basic level, an AI Agent is a software program defined report.
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by key attributes including the ability to: 1) understand and interact with its
environment (receive inputs), 2) collect and connect to data, 3) take action
autonomously without using pre-determined rules and 4) learn from its experience
over time. Like past waves, the transition towards AI Agents will unleash greater
automation, productivity and efficiency, but also force the software industry to
redefine how applications are built and architected, as well as evolve business
models including instituting new approaches to pricing.
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For example, Salesforce's Agentforce agents can reconcile a 100-page invoice against
internal systems with human-like reasoning. This represents a substantial leap from
the lower levels of rule-based automation/robotic process automation (RPA) (level
0), basic AI-enhanced process automation (level 1), and task-specific AI assistants/
copilots (level 2). However, the state of the market remains below level 4
capabilities – systems that can self-improve and modify their own instructions, and
well below level 5 capabilities – fully autonomous AGI-type systems that are
capable of independent reasoning and creativity without oversight. This progression
indicates that while we have made significant progress in autonomous planning and
execution capabilities, human oversight is still necessary in most cases.
Exhibit 2: Length of Tasks That Generalist Frontier Model Agents Can Complete
Autonomously Has Been Doubling Approx. Every 7 Months for the Last 6 Years
Source: Model Evaluation & Threat Research (METR) “Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks”
How Big is the Opportunity? We evaluate the addressable opportunity for agentic
computing across three distinct lenses that reflect varying degrees of market
penetration and technological maturity. A narrow view, focused on AI-powered
automation, represents a $6 billion opportunity today with projected growth to $20
billion by 2028. A wider lens encompassing the broader process automation market
represents a $52 billion opportunity today with projected growth to $102 billion by
2028. An expansive view of the opportunity sees Agentic AI applications penetrating
the entirety of the application software market over time, which represented a $637
billion opportunity today.
Where Will Value Accrue Across the Stack? Looking across the different categories
of the Agentic AI ecosystem, we see the highest value capture potential in the
following areas.
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• Agent Beneficiaries are vendors where we have conviction that they can
either a) directly monetize AI Agents/Agentic architectures today or in the
near future such that it becomes a meaningful contributor to growth or b)
see their core business benefit materially from agentic adoption
• Agent Contenders are vendors that are in the right categories to see benefit
but require a high degree of execution and market maturity that is not yet
evident
• Wildcards are vendors where there is debate on whether agentic adoption
results in a tailwind to growth or proves disruptive to the core business
Based on our assessment of strategic positioning, product roadmaps and the ability
to execute to the opportunity, we highlight the following public companies as Agent
Beneficiaries.
AI infrastructure
Cybersecurity
SaaS Platforms
Data Infrastructure
Workflow automation
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In the activity-based segment, companies like Cognition Labs and Harvey AI have
adopted an "employee replacement" type model charging a fixed price per agent.
Microsoft, OpenAI, and Anthropic utilize a "consumption model" with variable
pricing based on agent actions/tokens. In the outcome-based segment, Salesforce
and Artisan implement a "process automation model" charging on a per completed
workflow basis (e.g., an Agentforce conversation regardless of successful outcome).
Zendesk and Sierra employ a "results-based model" where customers only pay if the
desired outcome was achieved. Meanwhile, vendors like Atlassian, SerivceNow and
HubSpot are taking a hybrid approach by embedding agent capabilities within higher
subscription tiers – with usage limits and ability to overconsume with additional pay.
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Sanjit Singh
[email protected]
(415) 576-2060
Keith Weiss
[email protected]
(212) 761-4149
Oscar Saavedra
[email protected]
(212) 761-0827
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest
that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
For analyst certification and other important disclosures, refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this report.
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Executive Summary
Executive Summary
• Bringing Agency to Software: Over the last several decades software has been developed based on the
What’s the Big presumption that humans play the central role in executing tasks, workflows and processes. The adoption of
Idea? AI Agents and Agentic Architectures means more and more of the software development effort will utilize a
framework where AI agents will be the entity executing tasks and making decisions.
• Bracing for Change: AI agents represent the next phase of a long-standing evolution in software towards
greater abstraction of the tools used to automate business and consumer processes. Like past waves, the
Implications transition towards AI Agents will result in greater automation, productivity and efficiency, but also force the
software industry to evolve business models and institute new approaches to pricing.
• A narrow view on the Agentic AI market points to a $6 billion opportunity today, expected to reach $20 billion
by 2028
Opportunity
• An expansive view on the Agentic AI market points to a $52 billion opportunity today, expected to reach $102
billion by 2028.
• Indeterminate Nature of the Models: Accuracy and hallucinations are still a problem
• Lack of adequate security guardrails to ensure proprietary data or IP is not exfiltrated by bad actors
Risks • Lack of agreement on standard, protocols and frameworks to build multi-agent applications
• Lack semantic understanding of enterprise’s business data from one organization to the next
• Limited reasoning capabilities to navigate complex business processes
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What is an AI Agent?
What is an An AI Agent is a system (software program) that understands and interact with its environment (receive inputs), collect data, make
AI Agent decisions, executes tasks and meet specified goals without using pre-determined rules.
Autonomous AI Agents are systems that leverage large language models (LLMs) to plan and execute a task or process without a
Autonomous high degree of human interaction. These agents distinguish themselves from standard GenAI chatbots by combining tools (i.e.,
databases, websites, APIs, and even other agents) with memory of past interactions to chain multiple thoughts and actions
AI Agent together, enabling them to autonomously work toward defined objectives while drawing on both external information and learned
experiences to produce relevant outputs.
Agentic Architecture generally refers to the idea of bringing together multiple engines for understanding queries/requests,
Agentic evaluating strategies for solving problems, accessing necessary data and executing the planned actions. Under this architecture, a
large language model (LLM) typically serves as a reasoning engine, connected to tools and memory. Tools help connect the
Architecture LLM to other sources of data or computation and can be used to take actions (run code, modify files, etc.). Memory (short or long
term) helps the agent remember previous interactions with either humans, other agents, or tools.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research, www.simform.com
Expansive Broad Expansion of Application Functionality: An expansive view on the Agentic AI market points to a
View $52 billion opportunity today, expected to reach $102 billion by 2028.
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Source: IDC Worldwide Intelligent Process Automation Software Forecast
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Memory
Long-term Memory
Short-term Memory
AI Agent
Tools Planning
Code Interpreter LLMs Chain of Thought
Calculator
Reflexion
Web Search
Self-critique
APIs
Open AI Llama Claude Deep Seek Subgoal Decomposition
Data Sources
Action
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Source: Lilian Weng’s Lil’Log (https://lilianweng.github.io/)
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Tools
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Part I
Key Debates
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• IDC definition of AI-powered automation includes agentic automation, intelligent document processing (IDO), business process-
specific specialized models, and predictive analytics
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Source: IDC Worldwide Intelligent Process Automation Software Forecast
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Source: IDC Software Tracker Forecast
Tools
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Debate #3: Which Public Companies Are Positioned to Capture the Opportunity?
Software vendors best positioned to benefit based on a) ability to monetize AI Agents/Agentic
Bottom Line
architecture or b) core business benefitting from enterprise adoption
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• In our 1Q25 CIO Survey, CIO’s indicated Microsoft as the top vendor expected to be used for Agentic AI strategies
• Microsoft’s focus and expertise on security and data privacy create critical trust within vast existing customer installed
base to develop and deploy agents responsibly
• Microsoft’s ubiquitous productivity & business apps allow for deep integrations w/ Enterprise workflows and data; its
Microsoft strong developer ecosystem and platform offerings provide a natural adoption path of Microsoft’s Agentic AI products
• Microsoft benefits from its comprehensive AI portfolio and its breadth of Agent specific offerings, including: GitHub
Copilot’s asynchronous coding agent; Azure AI Foundry Agent Service, Microsoft 365 Copilot Studio / Agent Build,
Agents for Microsoft Teams, M365 Agents toolkit for Visual Studio, M365 Agents SDK, Data Agents in Microsoft Fabric,
SRE agents (among others)
• AMZN continues to be the share leader within the public cloud market, with the largest base of customers to cross sell
GenAI capabilities into. AWS has already generated multiple billions of dollars in AI revenue.
Amazon • In our 1Q25 CIO Survey, Amazon ranked as the second largest gainer of incremental share of both overall IT budgets
and GenAI workloads.
AWS
• AMZN offers Amazon Q to businesses, integrating with a user’s AWS account, business intelligence tools, contact
center and business apps to provide comprehensive and personalized answers to user questions as well as perform
tasks on behalf of the user.
• In our 1Q25 CIO Survey, Google Cloud was the third largest gainer of incremental share of IT budgets as enterprises
shift to the cloud in the next three years, trailing Microsoft and Amazon
Google • Google has announced various agentic offerings and shipping products at an accelerated pace, including Project
Mariner (which is coming to Vertex AI), Gemini Code Assist, Vertex AI Agent Builder, and Gemini for Google
Cloud Workspace
• Gemini 2.5 Pro is currently the leading model across a variety of benchmarks and Google’s integration of Gemini
across GCP could improve capabilities and enterprise adoption
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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• OpenAI has established itself as a frontrunner in Agentic AI development, with several foundational models serving as
the intelligence backbone for agentic systems. The company has released a complete development ecosystem for
building agentic applications including 1) Agents SDK, 2) Responses API, and 3) built-in tools integration
• The company has moved beyond theoretical frameworks and delivered practical agentic applications that demonstrate
its potential including 1) Operator, an autonomous AI agent capable of performing complex tasks through web browser
OpenAI interactions, 2) Codex, an agentic web-based coding tool, and 3) Deep Research, an agent that conducts in-depth web
searches and analyses to generate comprehensive reports
• OpenAI has significant financial backing enabling it to innovate, having raised a total of $48 billion in private funding
with the latest record-setting $40 billion funding round at a $300 billion valuation – would make it the fourth largest
publicly traded software company after MSFT ($3.4 trillion), ORCL ($560 billion), and PLTR ($318 billion)
• Anthropic has emerged as a formidable contender to OpenAI, with differentiated technological capabilities, strategic
partnerships, and a governance framework uniquely suited for enterprise adoption
• The company’s Claude models provide the cognitive backbone for advanced agentic systems, including Claude 3.7
Sonnet which introduced a breakthrough “hybrid reasoning” framework that enables users to control the computational
Anthropic resources used, optimizing performance based on task complexity. The model family (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus) offers
right-sized solutions across use cases, from real-time customer service agents to longer term tasks with many steps
• Strategic partnerships – AWS and Accenture – and constitutional AI framework is helping drive enterprise adoption,
particularly in highly regulated industries. Partnership with AWS and Palantir to provide U.S. intelligence and defense
agencies access to Claude, validating security credentials for sensitive applications
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
• CyberArk has meaningfully invested in expanding its machine identity and agentic security capabilities through its
acquisition of Venafi and the announced launch of its Secure AI Agents solution (see here for additional details).
CyberArk • Given the potential scalability and broader AI agent market opportunity, there’s likely room for multiple winners within
the Identity Security landscape, though CyberArk’s foundation in PAM positions it well with the IT admins that will
ultimately be managing and responsible for the expansion of AI agents across enterprise environments while the
company’s entrance into machine identity increases platform capabilities to better address non-human identities.
• IGA solutions are focused on helping organizations set and enforce policies around who has access to what
applications and data in an organization and as AI agents are deployed at scale across an enterprise, they will need an
increasing level of access to both data and applications to complete more complex tasks. With SailPoint’s foundation in
SailPoint IGA, existing human identity security capabilities should translate well to non-human’s
• Announced its “Agent Identity Security” solution in March with capabilities including 1) managing lifecycle of AI agents
with automated governance, and 2) enforcing access certifications to prevent unauthorized access and security risks.
• A leader in human authentication, a growing presence within governance, and the company’s “Auth for GenAI” solution
highlight the continued expansion of Okta’s capabilities across multiple identity security growth vectors.
• While Okta is taking a different approach to positioning itself within the agentic marketplace (relative to CyberArk and
Okta SailPoint), its leadership in authentication and success with newer product cycles highlight the company as another
potential winner as the use of AI agents across the enterprise continue to expand.
• Okta’s “Auth for GenAI” solution includes 1) user authentication, 2) calling APIs on the user’s behalf, 3) async
authentication, and 4) fine grained authorization for retrieval augmented generation (RAG).
• In early innings of monetizing its multi-product platform and has emerged as a potential GenAI winner as orgs. look to
adopt and experiment with LLMs. By leveraging its “Edge Network” with 330+ PoPs globally, it’s well-positioned to gain
share given increased AI inference at the edge, especially as it relates to cost, latency and data security/residency.
Cloudflare • Cloudflare’s Developer Services Platform already has >3 million developers and continues to see growing adoption
across R2 Object Storage, Workers and AI gateway for training, inference and monitoring AI workloads.
• Cloudflare’s Workers AI, a serverless GPU-powered platform on Cloudflare's global network, provides all the
foundational elements of running AI inference on GPUs in 190+ cities. 23
Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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• Snowflake is poised to benefit from the deployment of AI agents and agentic architectures in two fundamental ways.
First, as one of the popular stores of business data and increasingly semi-structured and unstructured data, Snowflake
will be a key source of context and information for a variety of 3rd party and custom developed AI agents. Second,
Snowflake is also well positioned to monetize agentic architectures with its Cortex Agents.
• Cortex agent leverage two key AI “tools” from Snowflake – 1) Cortex Analyst and 2) Cortex Search. Cortex agents call
Snowflake Cortex Analyst in scenarios when the agent needs to respond to queries requiring structured data leveraging Cortex
Analyst’s text-to-sql capabilities. In cases, where the agent needs to respond to an unstructured data request (such as
document or an invoice) Cortext Search is called given its hybrid search (semantic + keyword) capabilities.
• Snowflake’s agents can be embedded in any application and the core value proposition is the ability to respond to
structured and unstructured queries from a single platform.
• As part of its Foundry platform for commercial customers, Palantir AIP allows customers to securely deploy LLMs
within organizations and provides a set of integrated capabilities including data integration, ontology mapping,
management services, workflow automation, application deployment and many others to build AI applications.
• AIP supports the building and deployment of AI agents that can then be embedded within AIP applications via the AIP
Palantir Agent Studio module within AIP
• With Agent Studio, customer can build agents of varying complexity including simple ad-hoc agents, task-specific
agents, agentic applications (that can manage and update state) and fully automated agents that can be delegated
tasks to fully execute complex workflows.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
• ServiceNow’s expansion in the scope of workflows automated and ability to combine AI, data, and workflow automation
position it to become the de facto “AI operating system for enterprises”.
• AI agents and their ability to solve more complex use cases will be based upon the data they’re built upon and
ServiceNow’s expansive workflow automation capabilities (IT, HR, customer service, etc.) combined with its CMDB
ServiceNow serving as the system of record for enterprises’ IT infrastructure (>85% of Fortune 500 are customers) provide the
company with a robust data asset that it can leverage to offer differentiated AI agents.
• Building upon this data advantage, ServiceNow’s Workflow Data Fabric offering provides customers with the ability to
connect their data residing outside of ServiceNow into the platform, unifying customer data and expanding the number
of use cases AI agents can address.
• Atlassian’s core products are deeply embedded in the daily workflows of enterprises and teams, giving the company a
unique vantage point on how modern organizations collaborate, manage projects, and share knowledge. This
foundation, along with a highly efficient innovation engine, positions it well to integrate agentic AI across core
workflows and benefit from the emerging opportunity
Atlassian • Atlassian has embedded Rovo and Atlassian Intelligence – its AI/Agentic AI functionalities – into its core products (Jira,
Confluence, and Jira Service Management). We view this approach as the right strategic move for driving near-term
adoption and usage to secure a better positioning for the long-term agentic AI opportunity
• Today there are >1.5 million MAUs on Rovo and Atlassian Intelligence, up from >1 million a quarter ago
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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• Salesforce remains a key play on the incumbency advantage to operationalizing AI agents, with competitive
differentiation across: 1) Defined Role, where Salesforce can extrapolate clearly outlined jobs for the agents that exist
inside an organization, de-risking the process & time to defining the experience; 2) Data, where Data Cloud ingests
structured, unstructured, metadata, & federated data both internally from Salesforce and from external sources
(Snowflake, Databricks, etc), to drive knowledge behind the agents; 3) Actions, or the workflows needed to perform a
Salesforce job, where Salesforce can capitalize on years of experience building a broad swath of workflows, all while leveraging
the Trust Layer to place ethical and accuracy guardrails around each step of the agent process
• Salesforce’s solid Agentic positioning is growing increasingly apparent with building Agentforce momentum: as of
F1Q26, the company sustained 120% YoY growth in Data + AI ARR (~$100M of which is specific to Agentforce) &
reported ~8k Agentforce deals, up from ~5k in 4Q25
• HubSpot is well positioned to address the agent opportunity given: 1) deep data sets combining rich structured and
unstructured data; 2) a unified platform approach that provides context across data, engagement (myriad different
hubs), and action (AI-powered execution); and 3) a vibrant agent ecosystem developed through the company’s
Agent.ai network. Further, HubSpot’s value proposition as an easy-to-use, out of the box solution with AI embedded
across the platform allows for quick time-to-deployment and potential to scale over time
HubSpot • Strategically, HubSpot remains relentlessly focused on driving strong adoption and utilization with new products before
introducing direct monetization, a framework we believe should foster strong and durable monetization tailwinds ahead
• With usage and adoption statistics starting to materially inflect, HubSpot’s move to integrate credit-based pricing
strategies for the Customer Agent product bridges an intuitive hybrid Subscription/Consumption model which should
well align price to value for the solution
• AI Agents have a higher likelihood of initial adoption and are monetizable within domains that are: 1) Primarily cost
centers, where organizations can realize tangible ROI from reduced headcount; 2) Experiencing talent shortages,
where organizations are increasingly looking to technology as the solution for the labor gap; and 3) High levels of
manual data processing. Furthermore, given enterprise CFO buyers are inherently more risk-averse, we believe this
OneStream will allow for existing vendors in this space to benefit versus new vendors.
• OneStream has been developing AI/ML tools since 2017 (SensibleML) and recently launched multiple agents (Finance
Analyst, Operations Analyst, Search Analyst, Deep Analysis) that have seen strong initial customer feedback as the
agents can handle a lot of the manual and data intensive parts of their jobs.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
Gartner defines this segment as “tools that augment and extend Magic Quadrant for AI Applications in IT Service Management
IT Service Management workflows using AI.”
• They analyze ITSM data and metadata to provide advice and
actions on IT service desk and support activities.
• They can either be stand-alone solutions, capabilities within
an ITSM platform, or an add-on to an ITSM platform.
While this definition and solutions are not strictly “Agentic”, this
gives us a rough sense of which vendors are best positioned in
the ITSM space as this technology progresses and garners
adoption.
• ServiceNow offers “thousands” of pre-built AI agents for
“every” workflow and an AI Agent Studio to build fully
customized agents. The company also recently introduced its
AI Agent Orchestrator, a “control tower” that conducts
planning and leads collaboration between ServiceNow and
third-party AI Agents.
• Aisera’s Agent Assist is an Agentic AI-driven tool designed to
boost agent productivity by providing real-time, context-aware
answers and case summaries, recommend next best actions,
and draft knowledge-base articles. Embeds directly within
SaaS apps like ServiceNow, Salesforce, Zendesk, Jira,
Freshworks, etc.
• Moveworks’ platform, powered by its Agentic Automation
Engine, enables users to create AI Agents for automating
workflows across the organization.
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Source: Gartner Magic Quadrant for AI Applications in IT Service Management
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Source: Gartner Magic Quadrant for Enterprise Conversational AI Platforms
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Many vendors focused on driving adoption and usage rather than generating meaningful revenue
Bottom Line from their AI Agents. Despite having a pricing model in place, most are experimenting with
different forms, including usage-based, workflow-based, and outcome-based.
• Fixed Monthly Fee: Customers pay a recurring fee for access to the AI agent, regardless of usage (i.e., Devin)
Per Agent • Tiered Pricing: Different pricing tiers offer varying levels of access and features
• Per-User Pricing: Customers pay a fee per user who has access to the AI agent (i.e., NOW)
• API Calls: Vendors charge based on the number of requests made to the AI agent’s API (CRM’s Flex Credits)
Per Action /
• Compute Time/Data Processed: Pricing is tied to the amount of processing power or data the AI agent uses
Consumption • Token-Based: Based on the number of tokens used for input and output by the AI agent (i.e., Anthropic, OpenAI)
Per Workflow • Per Conversation: Customers pay a fee for each AI agent interaction or conversation (i.e., CRM)
• Latest evolution of pricing, whereby customers pay based on the successful outcomes achieved by the AI
agent, such as resolved conversations, saved cancellations, or increased sales.
Per Outcome
• While not publicly available, Sierra emphasizes an “outcome-based pricing” approach for their customer service AI
agent.
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Key Considerations
• How Many Credits are Allocated?*
• Free: N/A
• Starter: N/A
• Pro: 3k credits/month
• Enterprise: 5k credits/month
• What Subscriptions/Seats are Eligible?
• All Hubs (Marketing, Sales, Service, Operations, Content)
across all tier levels (Starter, Pro, Enterprise)
• Only Paid & Partner seats (not free/view-only users)
• How do Users Purchase Incremental Credits Above What is Allocated?
• Small: 5k incremental credits/month, priced at $45/month
• Medium: 30k incremental credits/month, priced at $270/month
• Large: 100k incremental credits/month, priced at $900/month
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Part II
How Did We Get Here?
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What is an AI Agent?
What is an An AI Agent is a system (software program) that understands and interact with its environment (receive inputs), collect data, make
AI Agent decisions, executes tasks and meet specified goals without using pre-determined rules.
Autonomous AI Agents are systems that leverage large language models (LLMs) to plan and execute a task or process without a
Autonomous high degree of human interaction. These agents distinguish themselves from standard GenAI chatbots by combining tools (i.e.,
databases, websites, APIs, and even other agents) with memory of past interactions to chain multiple thoughts and actions
AI Agent together, enabling them to autonomously work toward defined objectives while drawing on both external information and learned
experiences to produce relevant outputs.
Agentic Architecture generally refers to the idea of bringing together multiple engines for understanding queries/requests,
Agentic evaluating strategies for solving problems, accessing necessary data and executing the planned actions. Under this architecture, a
large language model (LLM) typically serves as a reasoning engine, connected to tools and memory. Tools help connect the
Architecture LLM to other sources of data or computation and can be used to take actions (run code, modify files, etc.). Memory (short or long
term) helps the agent remember previous interactions with either humans, other agents, or tools.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research, www.simform.com
Natural During the late 1980s, natural language processing (NLP) – a subdivision of AI which makes human language understandable to
computers – experienced an evolutionary leap as a result of steady increase in computational power and the use of new machine
Language learning algorithms – which focused primarily on statistical models as opposed to models like decision trees. During the 1990s, statistical
Processing models for NLP rose dramatically.
Intelligent In the early 1990s, AI research shifted its focus to “intelligent agents” – sometimes called agents or bots – which could be used for news
retrieval services, online shopping, and web browsing. This era saw the rise of machine learning (data-driven approaches and neural
Agents networks) and emergence of intelligent agents designed to operate autonomously.
In the 2000s, with the use of Big Data programs (i.e., Apache Hadoop, NoSQL databases) along with advances in machine learning and
Machine data mining to extract information from complex data sets, agents gradually evolved into digital virtual assistants and chatbots. These
digital virtual assistants started as convenient sources of information about the weather, the latest news, and traffic reports. Chatbots,
Learning although similar to virtual digital assistants in many ways, could talk to real people and were often used for marketing, sales, and
customer service.
Advances in NLP, machine learning, decision-making capabilities and access to massive amounts of data have turned digital virtual
assistants and chatbots into truly useful tools. Current AI Agents combine multiple approaches and capabilities, including 1) large
Modern language models (LLMs) providing natural language understanding and generation; 2) multi-modal processing allowing agents to work
AI Agents with text, images, audio, and other data types; 3) reasoning and planning capabilities through integration of LLMs and techniques like
chain-of-thought prompting; 4) integration with external tools and APIs to perform tasks; and 5) use of shorter-term and long-term
memory for continuity, self-reflection, and performance improvement over time.
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RPA vs AI Agents?
Key Robotic Process Automation uses pre-defined rules to automate tasks that involve structured
data. In contrast AI agents are able to automate tasks and processes using indeterministic,
Distinction reasoning and context while showing the ability to adapt to change
• Decision Making: Follows pre-defined rules and decision • Decision Making: Autonomous, undeterministic based on
trees reasoning and context
• Data Handling: Structured, predefined inputs • Data Handling: Structured and unstructured, dynamic
• Orchestration: Centralized control, follows fixed inputs
workflows • Orchestration: Decentralized, can self-organize and
• Interaction: UI-based, mimics human clicks and collaborate
keystrokes • Interaction: Conversational, API-driven, and reasoning-
• Fault Tolerance: Low; fails when encountering based
unexpected inputs • Fault Tolerance: High; can adjust to errors and
• Learning: No learning; runs static rules to execute routine uncertainties
tasks • Learning: Continuous learning allows for reasoning,
problem-solving and decision making
39
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
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No Agentic behavior – pure rule-based automation. Tasks follow a fixed, deterministic process with no planning or
Level 0 execution control. Examples include Data entry and web scrapping. i.e., RPA
Basic AI-enhanced automation where LLMs assist in decision-making but within predefined steps. Limited benefits
Level 1 over traditional automation. Examples include routing customer support emails.
Task-specific AI assistant capable of using tools, interpret intent, execute actions like summarization or content
Level 2 generation, but follow static, short-term plans. Examples include AI co-pilots for search, summarization, and email
drafting. i.e., GitHub Copilot
Current Level – First level constrained autonomy. AI Agents can create, execute, and adapt
plans based on feedback, handling complex tasks with multiple reasoning cycles. Examples
Level 3 include reconciling a 100-page invoice against internal systems with human-like reasoning. i.e.,
Agentforce
While still theoretical today, they are technically feasible. AI Agents can self-
improve, modify their instructions, create new tools, and adapt to evolving
Level 4 tasks. Examples include invoice reconciliation agent that autonomously
adds vendors and improves accuracy.
40
Source: sema4.ai “The Five Levels of Agentic Automation”
Length of tasks that generalist frontier model agents can complete autonomously has been
Bottom Line doubling approximately every 7 months for the last 6 years.
In under a decade, AI Agents are expected to independently complete a large fraction of software tasks that currently take
humans days or weeks
Time it takes human professionals to complete task
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Part III
Organizing the Agent Landscape
42
43
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
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System of Record style agents focus on automating functions related to specific domains such as
SoR Agents coding, customer service, sales lead generation, business intelligence, etc. Examples include:
GitHub Co-pilot, Workday, Salesforce Agentforce and HubSpot Prospecting agent
Agent SoR agents take a functional role in terms of their automation objectives. This means that the agents operate within a
Role particular business function or application-specific domain
Agent Focus of SoR agents is on specific role(s) within a particular domain such as customer service agents, software
Focus developers, business analysts, research assistants, sales development representatives etc.
Value
The value proposition for SoR agents centers on labor displacement or labor avoidance
Proposition
Quantifiable With a value proposition often tied to labor displacement/avoidance, directly ascribing cost savings should be easier
ROI? with SoR style agents
Time to
Given the ability to deliver hard, measurable ROI, the monetization timeline for SoR agents should be sooner and
Market generally ahead of SoE agents
Impact
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Source: Morgan Stanley Research
Agent SoE agents take on a more supervisory / managerial role in that they manage a workflow across multiple applications
Role and functional systems
Agent Compared to SoR agents that focus on automating particular roles within a given domain, SoE agents focus on
Focus automating workflows or an entire business process
Value The value proposition for SoE agents is about enabling better utilization of enterprise resources as well as better
Proposition utilization of the software vendor’s solution
Quantifiable With a value proposition more associated with utilization than labor displacement, measuring ROI is generally more
ROI? difficult for SoE style agents than SoR agents
Time to
Given less quantifiable ROI, the monetization timeline for SoE agents should be later and generally after SoR style
Market agents
Impact
45
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
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46
Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
As investors look to understand the competitive landscape, we suggest organizing across two
Bottom Line
vectors, the second vector would be horizontal versus vertical oriented solutions
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49
Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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Prompts the agent to think in a linear, step This style of prompting brings together
by step by fashion by generating an reasoning in the form of thoughts with
internal reasoning chain before producing actions. Unlike CoT, ReAct agents are able
the final answer. Chain of Thought to interact with tools and its environment to
reasoning does not use any external tools generate an answer
Extends ReAct style reasoning by adding Unlike the linear reasoning employed by
two key elements: self-reflection and long- ReAct agents, Tree of Thought agents
term memory. By adding these capabilities search through a tree of possible
these agents can improve and learn over reasoning steps and evaluate each path
time with each successive run. before choosing the optimal one
Sources: 1) Shunyu Yao, Et al. “ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models”, 2) Sunyu Yao, Et al. “Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem solving With Large Language Models; 50
3) Jason Wei, Et al. “Chain-of-Thought Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models, 4) Noah Shinn, Et al. “Reflexion:Language Agents with verbal Reinforcement Learning”
Logic
Thought 1→ Thought 2 → Thought 3 → Final Answer
Structure
Advantages Simple and easy and easy to implement and good for math, logic puzzles and general reasoning tasks
Limitations Does not interact with its environment, cannot access tools and does not make any observations during reasoning
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Source: Prompt Engineering Guide (https://www.promptingguide.ai/)
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Logic Agent generates multiple solution paths → Forms decision tree → Evaluates paths → Selects the Optimal Path at
Structure each step
Allows for planning and a structured evaluation of different potential solutions while eliminating unpromising solutions
Advantages at each step. Useful in tasks that require complex decision making and deliberate planning
Do not interact with the environment, complex to implement, require capable evaluators and is computationally
Limitations expensive
52
Source: Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models; Shunyu Yao et al (2023)
ReAct Agents
What are AI agents that integrate reasoning with action are defined by their capacity to engage with the
React environment through tools, their capability to make observations, and their ability to further
Agents? reason based on those observations.
Logic
Thought → Take an Action → Observe → Repeat
Structure
Can interact with the environment and access various tools, adapts based on feedback and good at use cases
Advantages involving interactive tasks such as coding, Q&A augmented by retrieval
Limitations Does not have persistent memory across interactions and does not learn from past experience
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Source: Prompt Engineering Guide (https://www.promptingguide.ai/)
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Reflexion Agents
What are AI agents that resemble ReAct agents but incorporate self-reflection and long-term memory.
Reflexion Following each trial, the agent evaluates its successes and failures, retains feedback, and applies
Agents? this knowledge to enhance future performance.
Logic
(Thought → Act → Observe) → (Self-reflect → Update Long-term Memory) → Future Trial
Structure
Can interact with the environment and access various tools, adapts based on feedback and good at use cases
Advantages involving interactive tasks such as coding, Q&A augmented by retrieval
Limitations Does not have persistent memory across interactions and does not learn from past experience
54
Source: Prompt Engineering Guide (https://www.promptingguide.ai/)
Memory
Long-term Memory
Short-term Memory
AI Agent
Tools Planning
Code Interpreter LLMs Chain of Thought
Calculator
Reflexion
Web Search
Self-critique
APIs
Open AI Llama Claude Deep Seek Subgoal Decomposition
Data Sources
Action
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Source: Lilian Weng’s Lil’Log (https://lilianweng.github.io/)
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Foundational Every agent is powered by an AI or Large Language Model to take instructions, call tools, apply reasoning, execute
Models tasks, structure response and deliver outputs
Define the set of actions an AI agent can take and can include code interpreters, calculators, calendars, web search,
Tools enterprise search, public/private APIs and databases/data sources
Refers to the process used to acquire and store and retrieve information. There are two major categories of memory:
1) short-term and 2) long-term. Short-term memory (aka working memory) is enabled by approaches such as retrieval
Memory augmented generation (RAG) to provide the agent necessary information and context to execute the task at hand.
Long-term memory refers to the ability of the Agent to recall information over extended episodes usually by leveraging
a vector/operational data store
Refers to the ability of the agent to decompose the problem into subgoals to enable efficient execution of tasks.
Planning Furthermore, planning includes the ability to reflect and refine behavior through self-criticism, self-reflection and
learning from mistakes
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Source: Lilian Weng’s Lil’Log (https://lilianweng.github.io/)
Multi-agent Frameworks
What Is an Multi-agent AI frameworks is software that simplifies the process of building systems by
Agent providing high levels of abstraction including ready-made components to handle tasks such as
Framework? orchestration, memory management, tool usage and reasoning
A python-based, open source multi- Created by LangChain, LangGraph is an An open source programming framework
agent framework that is designed to open source framework that allows developed by Microsoft, Autogen allows
orchestrate agents in a collaborative developers to build complex agentic developers to build agents and enables
environment. Agents are defined by their applications using a graph-based agents to work together to accomplish
roles and collaborate intelligently to architecture to model and manage the tasks by replicating the structure of
achieve common objectives relationships involved in an AI workflow human teams and organizations
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Source: LangGraph, CrewAI, Microsoft websites
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Agent Protocols
What are
Protocols enable uniform standards for AI models as well as agents to connect to external
Agent
services and for fostering agent to agent communication and collaboration
Protocols?
58
Source: Edwin Lisowski Medium Blog (https://medium.com/@elisowski)
Primary focus Enabling LLMs to get real-time Enabling local communication, Enabling cross-platform agent
context by creating a standard coordination and orchestration communication, collaboration
interface to tools, data & APIs between agents and orchestration
Architecture Client-server (host/server Decentralized, local runtime HTTP-based client/server with
model) Agent Cards
Scope Vertical integration: connection Agents running locally (say on Horizontal integration: agent-
to tools/services to AI models a desktop or single server) to-agent communication &
coordination
Ecosystem Support Wide acceptance across the Linux foundation, BeeAI and Over 50 companies have
ecosystem including Microsoft, IBM Research announced support including
Open AI, Google, AWS, Altassian, Salesforce, SAP,
Cloudflare, Paypal, MongoDB, MongoDB, LangCahin, Elastic,
Atlassian and Glean Datadog and Confluent
Security Model App-layer auth, OAuth2, Runtime sandboxing, private OAuth2, scoped endpoint
scoped APIs network security exposure
Best for LLM apps with external Edge AI, embedded systems, Multi-agent workflows across
data/tool needs offline agents platforms in the cloud
Use Case Connecting an LLM to internal On-device coordination of Distributed enterprise agents
APIs multiple small agents collaborating
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Source: Edwin Lisowski Medium Blog (https://medium.com/@elisowski)
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Solution MCP provides a universal standard for LLMs to connect apps, data and services without the need for coding
Just as personal computers utilize USB as a standard way to connect to a host of services (storage, chargers,
An Analogy headphones, monitors), AI models use the MCP protocol as a standard way to extend their knowledge and
capabilities
The emergence of MCP makes it easier to build AI agents that are useful and capable in real world environments
Implication helping to usher in new a wave of agentic applications
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Source: Data Science Collective (https://medium.com/data-science-collective)
Part IV
Market Landscape
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Part V
Company Spotlights
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Hyperscalers – Microsoft
Microsoft Agents
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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Hyperscalers – Amazon
Amazon Q
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
Hyperscalers – Google
Gemini
• Key Capabilities:
TPU
• Vertex AI Agent Builder
• Easier Agent Creation: Enterprises can use an agent
development kit (ADK) to build conversational or task-
specific agents with no-code/low-code prompts that can
connect to their data, API, and workflows securely
• Agent2Agent (A2A) Protocol: Universal
communication standard that allows agents across
different ecosystems to communicate with each other,
allowing business agents to work together across
different tasks
• Gemini for Google Workspace
• Integration Across Drive: Gemini can link to an
enterprise’s Google Docs, Sheets, Slides, etc. and can
generate text, charts, emails, meeting notes etc.
• Agentspace
• Centralized Hub for Agents: Integrates with an
enterprise’s database and acts as a one-stop shop for
employees to search across enterprise data, use/create
agents, and generate video/image/text/code
• Gemini Code Assist
• AI Coding Assistant: Code generation, completion,
debugging that can integrate with enterprise databases
• Vertex AI Agent Builder and Gemini Code Assist are available currently
through Google Cloud; Gemini for Google Workspace is available in
Google Workspace Business and Enterprise plans, and Agentspace is
currently only available to select customers
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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• Key Capabilities:
• Task Automation: Handles repetitive web activities with 38%
success rate on OSWorld benchmarks (vs 72% human
baseline). Examples include grocery ordering, flight booking, etc.
• Workflow Personalization: Users can 1) save recurring task
sequences (i.e., weekly grocery orders), 2) set site-specific
preferences (i.e., airline seat selection), 3) run multiple
concurrent tasks through separate browser sessions.
• Security Protocols: Auto-switches to manual mode for
logins/payments, blocks screenshots during sensitive
interactions, and requires user confirmation before finalizing
orders/transactions.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
Pricing
• Key Capabilities
• Task Automation and Workflow Execution: The agent
autonomously executes multi-step digital tasks, including 1) web
browsing, 2) application management, content creation, and
administrative workflows.
• Unlike traditional RPA, it adapts to unstructured
interfaces and dynamic workflows without predefined
scripts.
• Technical Implementation: The system works through a four-
stage loop, including 1) prompt analysis to interpret user
instructions, 2) chooses between integrated capabilities/tools like
terminals, text editors, or browser controls, 3) performs tasks
within a sandboxed Docker container or VM, taking screenshots
to verify outcomes, and 4) repeats steps until task completion or
a 10-iteration limit.
• Token Pricing: Claude 3.7 and 3.5 Sonnet charge $3/1M input tokens
and $15/1M output tokens.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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Out-of-the-box Agents
• First introduced in April 2024 and launched to GA in October 2024,
Rovo is Atlassian’s first AI-powered SKU designed as an enterprise
search platform and virtual teammates (Agents) that can be called on
or created by any team member to collaborate and automate tasks.
• Rovo operates across three fundamental dimensions: Find (Rovo
Search), Learn (Rovo Chat), and Act (Rovo Agents).
• Rovo Search: Get relevant information from your Atlassian
tools (Cloud and Data Center), 3rd party SaaS applications,
and custom data sources. Use pre-built connectors that
seamlessly integrate with Jira, Confluence, Loom, and
Bitbucket, along with essential platforms like Google Drive,
Microsoft SharePoint, Figma, Slack, Microsoft Teams, and
GitHub.
• Rovo Chat: With deep understanding of your organization,
Rovo offers personalized answers and provides expert
advice. Answers questions about your team, projects, and
company.
• Rovo Agents: Out-of-the-Box Agents can easily step into
tasks like writing release notes, translating content into
multiple languages, grooming your backlog and more. Build
Custom Agents with no-code/low-code or the Forge
development platform. Also explore a diverse range of
Agents created by 3rd party partners on the Atlassian
Marketplace. Pricing
• Rovo for GitHub Copilot provides instant code • Initially introduced with a $20/user/month price tag
suggestions tailored to a team’s design rules, Jira • Now access is free for Premium and Enterprise customers,
tasks, and more all within the IDE.
• Coming to Standard soon.
• Rovo’s truly “Agentic” nature is evident by its ability to execute
complex tasks autonomously by leveraging AI models while • $5/month for non-Atlassian users
integrating seamlessly into existing workflows. Its purpose-built • Consumption limit in place to control costs, with
agents can perform tasks with minimal human intervention, while overconsumption triggering a bill – though not punitive
learning and adapting in real-time. • Also included as part of new Teamwork Collection bundle along with
Jira, Confluence, and Loom
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
• ServiceNow announced the general availability of its Yokohama Agentic Pricing Not Specified, Though Management
release in early March, introducing AI Agent Studio, Workflow Commentary Suggests a Value-Based Metering System
Data Fabric, and providing customers with teams of Agentic Commentary
preconfigured AI agents, enabling users to automate workflows "We have well over a 1,000 customers using our AI platform in Agentic AI. Well over 250 million in ACV. It's
and improve productivity levels Investor Day
the fastest growing product family in the history of ServiceNow , and it will continue to be that. And as Amit said,
it's a hybrid pricing model. And what that means is, when we delivered Pro Plus on day one, there was a seat-
• The company offers its solutions in three packages: 1) Standard, based license like we've always had, but there was also a consumption based that we built into that licensing
model. And that's super important as we move forward. "
2) Pro, and 3) Pro Plus, with access to AI Agents being offered
within the Pro Plus package. The Pro Plus offering provides "Q1 was another substantial acceleration for ServiceNow AI. The number of Pro Plus deals more than
customers with an initial set of agentic capacity with potential to 1Q25 Transcript quadrupled year-over-year, including 39 deals with three or more Now Assist products. Average ACV deal
sizes grew by one-third quarter-over-quarter as Pro Plus products were included in 15 of our top 20 deals. "
purchase / add further capacity should organizations exceed
initial usage levels
• AI Agent Studio: Provides users the ability to efficiently design Morgan Stanley TMT Conference
"The more you use it and the more it accommodates interactions with multiple systems across your
business or your network, the more we will make on the consumption-based pricing model. "
custom AI agents that integrate into their existing enterprise-wide
workflows and data. The solution leverages a no-code language-
based interface, enabling customers to build a team of AI agents "As the agents become increasingly productive, they will drive the consumption pricing meter. And that, of
course, will be in addition to the seat-based licensing foundation. You'll get both."
• Examples of pre-configured AI agents include: 4Q24 Transcript
"If they (customers) go beyond the capacity and the Assist, which is the metered capacity, if they go beyond
• Security Operations Expert that, they're still buying Assist packs. So it's not like one assist per time in terms of consumption."
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• At Workday’s Rising conference in September 2024, Workday “We monetize it through one of three ways. Number one, our agents, whether it's our
introduced Illuminate, which is their platform of AI products and Recruiter Agent or – we have a new agent that we've announced that's really an internal
models built on Workday’s HR and finance datasets. Illuminate is mobility agent for employees to start to think about how they move around. We have the
succession agent, we have a whole bunch of agents. We announced the policy agent. We
focused on three key areas: 1) Accelerating tasks with GenAI, 2)
announced a financial audit agent. So we're going to build our own agents. And that's a
Assisting users with Copilots like Workday Assistant, and 3) way for us to monetize the Workday platform.
Transforming business processes through role-based agents.
• Workday has rolled out multiple role-based agents so far: At the same time as others out there start to build agents, we've developed something as
part of the Agent System of Record an agent gateway. So when people want to get
• Recruiting Agent: Provides AI-powered talent sourcing and
access and onboard into the enterprise, a new digital agent or digital employee, we're
screening capabilities, boosting recruiting solution selling going to monetize this new gateway as people come through and get access to our
price by 150% platform. So it's another way for us to monetize it.
• Expenses Agent: Provides users with flexible ways to
submit and approve expenses, while giving leaders the And then the third way we're monetizing it is into an agent or the agent gateway. But it's
ability to set controls and analyze spend our products that include AI. An example is Extend Pro. Another example would be what
we're doing with something like talent optimization, which is a SKU, it's not an agent, but
• Succession Agent: Assists HR teams with succession it's 100% driven or through something like Evisort, which is a CLM solution that a 100% AI
planning by identifying and developing potential candidates driven as well. So we have many different ways to monetize AI going forward and we think
for key positions within the organization we're uniquely positioned.”
• Contracts Agent: Continuously analyzes contracts across
- Carl Eschenbach, CEO, at Morgan Stanley TMT Conference, March 2025
the enterprise, surfaces obligations and opportunities buried
in unstructured data, and drives business actions to capture
value and mitigate risk
• Payroll Agent: Identifies and updates invalid payroll data,
automates audit workflows, surfaces insights, recommends
fixes, monitors compliance, and delivers system updates
• Financial Auditing Agent: Increases efficiency during
audits by connecting complex business documents to
monitor transactions, reconcile balances, and review internal
controls, allowing audit firms to develop apps that connect
directly to their Workday customers
• Underlying these role-based agents is Workday’s Agent System of
Record, a centralized platform to manage an organization’s entire
fleet of AI agents (both from Workday and third parties). This system
helps organizations maintain control, governance, and visibility while
leveraging AI agents.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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• Initially launched in May 2023 as part of the Appian 23.2 release, and significantly enhanced through its 24.2 release in 2024, Appian AI Skills
represents the company’s implementation of agentic AI within its low-code process automation platform. It exemplifies practical agentic AI,
balancing purpose-built enterprise processes automation with human oversight.
• Through its collaboration with AWS Bedrock, Appian allows users to leverage the latest Gen to:
• Incorporate AI agents into mission-critical processes.
• Train custom AI models.
• Build your own generative AI prompts in processes.
• Leverage the latest models while maintaining privacy.
• Automate common use cases like content generation and processing, PII extraction, and data extraction.
Pricing
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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SAP's AI strategy centers around Joule, its generative AI copilot launched in Out-of-the-box Agents
September 2023. Joule is embedded throughout SAP's cloud enterprise
portfolio, allowing users to interact with business data using natural language
across applications from HR to finance, supply chain, and customer
experience.
SAP delivered over 130 AI use cases at the end of 2024 and has committed to
delivering 400+ by end of 2025, focusing on measurable business outcomes
while maintaining principles of relevance, reliability, and responsibility.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
Claimed Performance
• Core Functionalities:
• Autonomous planning and execution of complex engineering
tasks
• Coding, debugging, and problem-solving with ability to recall
relevant context and fix mistakes Pricing
• Learning unfamiliar technologies by researching online
resources to complete tasks After an initial early access period, Devin became generally available
• Building and deploying applications end-to-end from simple in December 2024 with pricing starting at $500 per month,
text prompts • Subscription includes no seat limits, access to its Slack integration,
• Finding and fixing bugs in existing codebases independently IDE extension, and API, along with onboarding and support.
• Training and fine-tunning its own AI models when necessary • There is a pay-as-you-go component for additional ACUs or “Devin
Activity Units” at $2/ACU, up to a limit. Each ACU is roughly
equivalent to 15 minutes of active Devin work.
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
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Startups – Glean
Work AI Platform
Startups – Sierra
Agent OS
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Startups – Aisera
Aisera Agentic AI Platform
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Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research
Startups – CrewAI
CrewAI
• Founded in 2023 by João Moura in São Paulo, Brazil, CrewAI is a
multi-agent AI platform providing a framework for building,
deploying, and managing AI agents, with both high-level simplicity
and precise low-level control, for creating autonomous AI agents
tailored to any scenario:
• CrewAI Crews: Optimize for autonomy and collaborative
intelligence, enabling you to create AI teams where each agent
has specific roles, tools, and goals
• CrewAI Flows: Enable granular, event-driven control, single
LLM calls for precise task orchestration and supports Crews
natively.
• CrewAI began as an open-source framework (still is), but after a
successful private beta, it launched an Enterprise edition in October
2024 after raising $18 million across two funding rounds including a
Series A led by Insight Partners. Valuation is unknown.
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Startups – LangChain
LangChain – LangSmith – LangGraph
• Founded in October 2022 by CEO Harrison Chase and co-founder Ankush
Gola, LangChain originated as an open-source project to facilitate LangChain Ecosystem
development of applications connected to LLMs. After gaining significant
traction, it incorporated in April 2023 and has since raised ~$35 million in
private funding.
Startups – Anysphere
Cursor
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Disclosure Section
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S.A. de C.V., and/or Morgan Stanley Canada Limited. As used in this disclosure section, "Morgan Stanley" includes Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Morgan Stanley C.T.V.M. S.A., Morgan Stanley Mexico,
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Analyst Certification
The following analysts hereby certify that their views about the companies and their securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that they have not received and will not
receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report: Josh Baer, CFA; Brian Nowak, CFA; Elizabeth Porter, CFA; Chris Quintero;
Sanjit K Singh; Keith Weiss, CFA.
.
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Inc., Airbnb Inc, Akamai Technologies, Inc., Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc, Amplitude Inc., Appian Corp, AppLovin Corp, Asana Inc, Atlassian Corporation PLC, Autodesk, BigCommerce Holdings,
Inc., BILL Holdings Inc, Blackline Inc, Booking Holdings Inc, Box Inc, Bumble Inc., C3.ai, CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd., Chewy Inc, Cloudflare Inc,
Confluent, Inc., CoreWeave, Couchbase, Inc., Coursera, Inc., Criteo SA, CrowdStrike Holdings Inc, CyberArk Software Ltd, Datadog, Inc., DigitalOcean Holdings Inc, Docebo Inc., DocuSign Inc,
DoorDash Inc, DoubleVerify Holdings Inc, Duolingo Inc, eBay Inc, Elastic NV, Electronic Arts Inc, Etsy Inc, Expedia Inc., FIGS, Inc., Five9 Inc, Fortinet Inc., Freshworks Inc, Gen Digital Inc., GitLab
Inc, GoDaddy Inc, HubSpot, Inc., Instacart, Integral Ad Science Holding Corp., Intuit, Jamf Holding Corp, JFrog Ltd., Klaviyo, Inc, LegalZoom.com Inc, Lightspeed POS Inc., Liveramp Holdings Inc,
Lyft Inc, Match Group Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, Microsoft, MongoDB Inc, Nextdoor Holdings Inc, NICE Ltd., Okta, Inc., OneStream Inc, Opendoor Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, PagerDuty,
Inc., Palantir Technologies Inc., Palo Alto Networks Inc, Peloton Interactive, Inc., Pinterest Inc, Playtika Holding Corp, Qualys Inc, Rapid7 Inc, Reddit Inc, Revolve Group Inc, RingCentral Inc, Roblox
Corporation, Sabre Corp, SailPoint Inc, Salesforce, Inc., Samsara Inc, Semrush Holdings Inc -A, SentinelOne, Inc., ServiceNow Inc, ServiceTitan Inc, Shopify Inc, Shutterstock Inc, Snap Inc., Snowflake
Inc., Sprinklr Inc, Sprout Social Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Tenable Holdings Inc, Toast, Inc., Trade Desk Inc, Twilio Inc, Uber Technologies Inc, Udemy Inc, UiPath Inc, Unity Software Inc,
Varonis Systems, Inc., Vertex Inc., Webtoon Entertainment Inc, Wix.Com Ltd, Workday Inc, WW International Inc, Yelp Inc, Zeta Global Holdings Corp, Zillow Group Inc, Zoom Video
Communications Inc, Zscaler Inc.
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Corporation PLC, Autodesk, BigCommerce Holdings, Inc., Blackline Inc, Booking Holdings Inc, Box Inc, CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd., Chewy
Inc, Cloudflare Inc, Confluent, Inc., CoreWeave, CyberArk Software Ltd, Datadog, Inc., DigitalOcean Holdings Inc, DocuSign Inc, DoorDash Inc, Dynatrace Inc, eBay Inc, Electronic Arts Inc, Etsy
Inc, Expedia Inc., Five9 Inc, Fortinet Inc., Freshworks Inc, Gen Digital Inc., GoDaddy Inc, HubSpot, Inc., Integral Ad Science Holding Corp., Intuit, Jamf Holding Corp, LegalZoom.com Inc, Match Group
Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, Microsoft, MongoDB Inc, NICE Ltd., OneStream Inc, Opendoor Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, PagerDuty, Inc., Palantir Technologies Inc., Palo Alto Networks Inc,
Peloton Interactive, Inc., Pinterest Inc, Playtika Holding Corp, Qualys Inc, Reddit Inc, Revolve Group Inc, RingCentral Inc, Sabre Corp, SailPoint Inc, Salesforce, Inc., ServiceNow Inc, ServiceTitan
Inc, Shopify Inc, Snap Inc., Snowflake Inc., Take-Two Interactive Software, Tenable Holdings Inc, Toast, Inc., Twilio Inc, Uber Technologies Inc, Udemy Inc, UiPath Inc, Unity Software Inc, Varonis
Systems, Inc., Wix.Com Ltd, Workday Inc, WW International Inc, Zeta Global Holdings Corp, Zillow Group Inc, Zoom Video Communications Inc, Zscaler Inc.
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Point Software Technologies Ltd., Compass, Inc., Confluent, Inc., CoreWeave, Couchbase, Inc., Coursera, Inc., Criteo SA, CyberArk Software Ltd, Datadog, Inc., DigitalOcean Holdings Inc, Docebo
Inc., DocuSign Inc, DoubleVerify Holdings Inc, Duolingo Inc, Dynatrace Inc, E2open Parent Holdings Inc, eBay Inc, Elastic NV, Electronic Arts Inc, Etsy Inc, Expedia Inc., FIGS, Inc., Five9 Inc, Fortinet
Inc., Freshworks Inc, Gen Digital Inc., GoDaddy Inc, Integral Ad Science Holding Corp., Intuit, Jamf Holding Corp, JFrog Ltd., Karooooo Ltd, Klaviyo, Inc, LegalZoom.com Inc, Liveramp Holdings Inc,
Match Group Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, Microsoft, Nextdoor Holdings Inc, OneStream Inc, Opendoor Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, PagerDuty, Inc., Palo Alto Networks Inc, Playtika Holding
Corp, Qualys Inc, Rapid7 Inc, Revolve Group Inc, RingCentral Inc, Sabre Corp, SailPoint Inc, Salesforce, Inc., Semrush Holdings Inc -A, ServiceNow Inc, ServiceTitan Inc, Shopify Inc, Shutterstock
Inc, Sprinklr Inc, Sprout Social Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Tenable Holdings Inc, Udemy Inc, Varonis Systems, Inc., Vertex Inc., Wix.Com Ltd, Workday Inc, Yelp Inc, Zeta Global Holdings
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Chris Quintero
BILL Holdings Inc (BILL.N) O (01/16/2025) $45.68
Blackline Inc (BL.O) O (09/29/2024) $58.22
E2open Parent Holdings Inc (ETWO.N) E (01/17/2024) $3.23
OneStream Inc (OS.O) O (01/16/2025) $29.07
Vertex Inc. (VERX.O) O (01/17/2024) $41.87
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Meta A Marshall
8x8 Inc (EGHT.O) U (06/14/2024) $1.77
Five9 Inc (FIVN.O) E (10/10/2022) $28.55
NICE Ltd. (NICE.O) O (10/16/2023) $175.96
RingCentral Inc (RNG.N) E (08/08/2023) $26.80
Twilio Inc (TWLO.N) O (02/24/2025) $120.80
Zoom Video Communications Inc (ZM.O) E (10/11/2022) $81.33
Roy D Campbell
Karooooo Ltd (KARO.O) O (04/27/2021) $57.86
Sanjit K Singh
Appian Corp (APPN.O) E (12/03/2021) $31.80
C3.ai (AI.N) U (01/04/2021) $25.34
Confluent, Inc. (CFLT.O) E (01/16/2025) $24.18
Couchbase, Inc. (BASE.O) E (08/16/2021) $19.46
Datadog, Inc. (DDOG.O) E (01/16/2025) $121.75
Dynatrace Inc (DT.N) E (02/13/2024) $54.94
Elastic NV (ESTC.N) O (12/16/2024) $86.29
GitLab Inc (GTLB.O) O (10/09/2024) $48.77
JFrog Ltd. (FROG.O) O (12/21/2023) $43.18
MongoDB Inc (MDB.O) O (04/12/2023) $225.38
Stock Ratings are subject to change. Please see latest research for each company.
* Historical prices are not split adjusted.
Matthew Cost
AppLovin Corp (APP.O) O (04/10/2025) $414.14
Compass, Inc. (COMP.N) E (07/20/2022) $6.16
Criteo SA (CRTO.O) E (01/26/2016) $26.28
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc (DV.N) E (06/25/2024) $15.03
Electronic Arts Inc (EA.O) E (08/04/2021) $147.88
Integral Ad Science Holding Corp. (IAS.O) E (04/16/2024) $8.24
Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN.O) E (07/24/2023) $0.66
Playtika Holding Corp (PLTK.O) E (11/27/2022) $4.88
Roblox Corporation (RBLX.N) O (11/04/2024) $94.20
Shutterstock Inc (SSTK.N) E (07/28/2022) $17.86
Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO.O) O (02/01/2018) $231.03
Trade Desk Inc (TTD.O) O (06/01/2023) $71.11
Unity Software Inc (U.N) O (09/02/2024) $24.79
Webtoon Entertainment Inc (WBTN.O) E (07/22/2024) $8.78
Yelp Inc (YELP.N) U (01/10/2019) $36.80
Zillow Group Inc (Z.O) E (04/18/2018) $69.80
Nathan Feather
Bumble Inc. (BMBL.O) E (03/08/2021) $5.35
Chewy Inc (CHWY.N) O (10/31/2023) $47.49
Duolingo Inc (DUOL.O) O (04/23/2025) $522.99
eBay Inc (EBAY.O) O (04/18/2024) $77.74
Etsy Inc (ETSY.O) U (04/18/2024) $62.72
FIGS, Inc. (FIGS.N) E (02/29/2024) $5.09
Match Group Inc (MTCH.O) E (04/18/2024) $31.50
Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON.O) E (03/14/2022) $6.94
Revolve Group Inc (RVLV.N) E (10/20/2024) $22.57
WW International Inc (WGHTQ.PK) NR (05/20/2025) $0.27
Stock Ratings are subject to change. Please see latest research for each company.
* Historical prices are not split adjusted.
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