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Edited by
Rajendra K. Jain
India and the European Union
in a Turbulent World
Rajendra K. Jain
Editor
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To My Parents
for always inspiring and supporting me
Introduction
The world today is in geopolitical flux and in disarray. The 2008 financial
crisis and the economic rise of Asia underlined the redistribution and dif-
fusion of power and the emergence of a more multipolar world with the
G8 giving way to the more representative G20. The postwar liberal world
order established by the West—which was ‘neither liberal nor worldwide
nor orderly’ (Haass 2018)—is under unprecedented strain. It has been
eroded largely because the political, economic and security fundamentals
that undermined it are invalid, and there is no consensus on other global
issues (Tharoor and Saran 2020a: xii).
The world has entered a period of profound change and uncertainty
with the unpredictable behaviour of the Trump Administration, the rise
and growing assertiveness of China, Brexit, a divided Europe, a re-emerg-
ing Russia, an even more disturbed Middle East, and the backlash against
globalization. These developments, according to Foreign Minister
S. Jaishankar, have had/are likely to have a six-fold impact. Firstly, with
the broader distribution of power, the world has become increasingly mul-
tipolar with emerging powers demanding a greater voice in world affairs
and institutions. Secondly, the rise of nationalism is resulting in greater
economic friction as well as a ‘stronger multipolarity with weaker multilat-
eralism’ in many domains. Thirdly, the world is likely to witness a fallback
on balance of power as its operating principle which usually produces
‘unstable equilibriums’. The world will also witness ‘a proliferation of
frenemies … allies who publicly turn on each other or competitors who
are compelled to make common cause on issues’. Fifthly, we are likely to
vii
viii INTRODUCTION
Europe into the Indo-Pacific. Moreover, unlike Europe, only the United
States remains a credible partner in attempts to balance against China.
India, Pramit maintains, remains much more of ‘a realpolitik practitioner’
than the EU would like to be. New Delhi’s heterogeneity of thought and
policy signifies that it requires a lot of attention to be able to work with
EU on policy terms. Both Brussels, which lacks a common strategic cul-
ture, and New Delhi are reluctant to make such an investment in each other.
After tracing the evolution of the postwar ‘liberal order’, Patryk Kugiel
argues that the unilateral policy of President Donald Trump, an increas-
ingly assertive China and a resurgent Russia have combined to put the
postwar liberal order into crisis. He goes on to critically evaluate the posi-
tion of the European Union and India on four critical elements of the
liberal order—a rules-based order and multilateralism, free trade and glo-
balization, the promotion of democracy and human rights, and non-pro-
liferation. While India and EU have similar approaches towards many
global issues, he argues, structural and ideological differences tend to hin-
der cooperation. Thus, while they may not be ideal partners in preserving
the liberal order, they are nevertheless indispensable for its sustenance and
reform. In conclusion, Patryk argues that India and the EU apparently
have a broad convergence of views on the liberal international order, but
there are differences in detail largely because of historical legacies and
because they are at different levels of development. While India and the
European Union may not be ideal partners in preserving the liberal inter-
national order, they are, he concludes, nevertheless, indispensable for its
reform. They are, he argues, apparently ‘the best partners to work together
towards a new post-Western order, which would still be “rules-based”, but
not necessarily “liberal”’.
In the next chapter, Anna Wróbel argues that the World Trade
Organization (WTO) is confronting an existential crisis, which has consid-
erably weakened its role in global trade governance and accentuated the
symptoms of dysfunctionality of the multilateral trading system. The WTO
has lost not only its effectiveness in trade negotiations, but could lose its
ability to settle trade disputes, especially with the United States having
blocked the possibility of processing appeals in trade disputes by not filling
the vacancies in the Appellate Body. The chapter seeks to answer the ques-
tion whether the WTO is still an effective instrument for the realization of
trade interests of its members, especially the European Union and India.
The chapter examines the negotiating positions of the EU and India
towards the Doha Round, evaluates proposals made by the EU and India
x INTRODUCTION
immigration. Secondly, India has to revisit its policy towards the European
Union, strengthen links with France and Germany, and make a serious
effort at forging closer ties with secondary European countries, including
those of Central Europe.
Authored by one of India’s key negotiators of the Broad-Based Trade
and Investment Agreement (BTIA), Dinkar Khullar, former Ambassador
to the European Union, provides a succinct analysis of the salient aspects
as well as the points of convergence/divergence in the negotiations that
started in June 2007 and went on till April 2013, when they came to a
standstill. The author discusses the mismatch of respective perceptions and
ambitions, the different procedural mechanisms of the two sides and how
the two sides dealt with the difficult issues like agriculture, automobiles,
wines and spirits, services, intellectual property rights, sustainable devel-
opment and human rights. He examines the reasons behind India’s termi-
nation of Bilateral Investment Treaties with many Member States of the
EU. He discusses the issue of confidentiality in negotiations, the role of
civil society and the impact of Brexit on the BTIA. Khullar is somewhat
sceptical about an early conclusion of the BTIA, especially given the strong
reservations about FTAs at the higher levels of the Government of India.
If and when a free trade agreement with the EU is signed, he concludes, it
would be ‘a sui generis one’. He urges the Union to look for a balanced
and realistic outcome rather than an overly ambitious one.
India and the European Union confront similar challenges of interna-
tional terrorism, terrorist networks and global Islamic fundamentalism.
Bhaswati Mukherjee examines the evolution and the degree of coopera-
tion with the European Union and key Member States in counter-terror-
ism. She discusses Indian efforts for a Comprehensive Convention on
International Terrorism and India-EU cooperation in counter-terrorism
since the Lisbon Summit (2000). The October 2017 joint statement on
cooperation in combating terrorism, she maintains, was a significant
breakthrough. She goes on to examine evolving cooperation through the
joint working groups on counter-terrorism with the EU and several
Member States. India and the European Union, she argues, have come a
long way in bypassing Pakistan as an impediment to cooperation and that
India is becoming a key partner for the West in developing a common
approach towards combating terrorism.
Manpreet Sethi argues that the European Union has been a key propo-
nent of non-proliferation whereas India was an outlier until a decade ago.
The divergent views on nuclear issues kept the two sides estranged over
xii INTRODUCTION
heralded the sudden onset of what Ian Bremmer calls ‘a “G-Zero” world—
one that is at once multipolar, leaderless, and likely besieged by renewed
geopolitical conflict’ (Bremmer 2011). The pandemic is leading to ‘a
smaller, meaner kind of world’ since in all polities, there is already ‘a turn-
ing inward, a search for autonomy and control of one’s own fate’ (Menon
2020; Borrell 2020).
The European Union, which in the past had tended to be seen by India
as an undervalued partner, is now increasingly part of most conversations
in fields like the economy, technology, standards, best practices, develop-
ment, defence and security. The renewed focus on Europe is the result of
changing geopolitics, India’s own priorities, Europe’s growing relevance
in the post-Brexit era, China’s expanding footprint in the continent, Brexit
and the search for alternatives to the loss of the UK as the gateway to
Europe. All these developments have compelled India to revisit, re-exam-
ine and rethink its own policies towards Europe and search for alternatives
to Britain. This realization has been accompanied by a more proactive
engagement of Europe—concentration on Germany, France and Spain,
the Nordic countries as well as Central and Eastern Europe, which had
hitherto received inadequate attention because of limited historical ties,
weak people-to-people links and marginal economic cooperation.
The US-China geopolitical contest and trade war is taking the world
towards a new Cold War. The uncertainties of a more turbulent world
have made both India and the European Union look towards each other
and towards like-minded partners with similar values, international out-
look and adherence to international law to strengthen multilateralism and
a rules-based world order.
References
Borrell, J. (2020). The Post-Coronavirus World is Already Here. ECFR Policy
Brief 320. Retrieved May 30, 2020, from https://www.ecfr.eu/page/-/the_
post_coronavirus_world_is_already_here.pdf.
Bremmer, I. (2011). A G-Zero World: The New Economic Club will Produce
Conflict, Not Cooperation. Foreign Affairs, 90(2), 2–7.
Haass, R. (2018, March 21). Liberal World Order, R.I.P. Project Syndicate.
Ikenberry, G. J. (2011). The Future of the Liberal World Order: Internationalism
after America. Foreign Affairs, 90(3), 56–62, 63–68.
INTRODUCTION xv
xvii
xviii Contents
Index219
Notes on Contributors
xix
xx NOTES ON CONTRIBUTORS
Manpreet Sethi is Senior Fellow, Centre for Air Power Studies, New
Delhi where she heads the project on nuclear security. Over the last two
decades, she has been researching and writing on nuclear energy, strategy,
non-proliferation, disarmament, arms and export controls and ballistic
missile defence. She is the recipient of the prestigious K Subrahmanyam
award, an honour conferred for excellence in strategic and security
studies. She lectures regularly at establishments of Indian Armed
Forces, Police and Foreign Services. She has been a Member of the
Prime Minister’s Informal Group on Disarmament (2012) and sev-
eral Track II initiatives. She has been Member of Executive Board of
Indian Pugwash Society and is a Consultant with the global Nuclear
Abolition Forum and Asia Pacific Leadership Network. Her publica-
tions include Code of Conduct for Outer Space: Strategy for India (2015)
and editor of Towards a Nuclear Weapons Free World (2009), Global
Nuclear Challenges (2009) and Nuclear Power: In the Wake of
Fukushima (2012).
Sheetal Sharma is Assistant Professor, Centre for European Studies,
School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.
She is coordinator of the Jean Monnet Module on Society, Culture, and
Social Change in Europe. She was previously lecturer at the Institute
of Technology and Management, Gurgaon, India. Her research inter-
ests include social and cultural issues in contemporary Europe and
India and their historical roots, multiculturalism and diversity, the
methodology of the social sciences, and gender issues and the empow-
erment of women. She has written a number of book chapters and
journal articles and is the author of Legal Profession and Women: A Study
in Professions and Gender (2006).
Anna Wróbel is Assistant Professor, Department of Regional and Global
Studies, Faculty of Political Science and International Studies, University
of Warsaw. She holds a PhD on the policy of liberalization of international
trade in services. A Member of the Polish Association of International
Studies, she is also the co-editor of The Dragon and the (Evening) Stars:
Essays on the Determinants of EU-China Relations (in Polish) (2013) and
The Future of Global Economic Governance: Challenges and Prospects in an
Age of Uncertainty (2020).
Abbreviations
xxiii
xxiv Abbreviations
The election of Donald Trump as the President of the United States has
posed a major challenge to the Atlantic Alliance and the post-World War
II international order. A Europe used to the special bonding of an Atlantic
Alliance has been buffeted by Trump’s preference for a robust unilateralist
foreign and trade policy. India, more distant from the US, has perceived
some geopolitical benefits in Trump’s unorthodox ways in regard to
China. But the weakening of the US-Europe relationship, along with
upheavals like Britain’s vote to leave the European Union, has meant that
India and the European Union have come much closer together in the
past five years on a number of policy issues integral to the international
order. This trend was already evident before either Trump or Brexit, but
American external polices have accelerated the coming together of India
and the EU.
China. Trump’s China policy has proven to be remarkably forceful with its
sweeping imposition of tariffs and barriers on technology.
Two elements of the international order—climate and maritime secu-
rity—have seen the maximum amount of India-EU cooperation. In the
case of climate change, this was greatly enhanced following the Trump
Administration’s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement. Both in terms of
the EU and with individual European countries, there has been consider-
able cooperation on the climate front (Khandekar 2018). India has also
raised existing maritime security cooperation with France and Britain, and
has even had its first naval actions with French warships flying the EU flag.
However, there has been a minimal degree of overlap on the issue of trade
and almost none in the area of nuclear non-proliferation, though both
multilateral systems have been deliberately targeted by Trump. New Delhi
and Brussels have sought to uphold the sanctity of the World Trade
Organization (WTO) against unilateral American trade actions. However,
India is a minor player in global trade and among the more protectionist
WTO members. Many of Trump’s grouses against India are also shared by
the European Union (Peterson Institute for International Economics 2003).
New Delhi has been indifferent to the fate of NATO, a key target of
Trump’s ire and a major source of concern for the EU. The one overseas
military operation that Trump wants to wind up which worries India—the
US military action in Afghanistan—is a war most Europeans also believe
should come to an end. The nascent military arrangements India has
invested in, whether the India-US-Japan trilateral or the Quad, are all
about the Indo-Pacific, where India sees the EU is seen as having little or
no role. The Trump Administration has remained fully supportive of these
efforts, if anything seeing India as the less aggressive participant in all three.
New Delhi and Brussels have both opposed the American abrogation of
the nuclear agreement with Iran and the subsequent imposition of US
sanctions. India lacks the economic wherewithal to defy the United States
on the sanctions and so has largely acquiesced, preferring to negotiate
temporary exemptions directly with Washington. European attempts to
set up parallel financial mechanisms to get around the US sanctions were
supported by India but proved abortive. The two sides were on the same
side but lacked the capability to do much about the US’s actions
(Emmott et al. 2019, 9 May).
On Trump’s decision to cancel the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces
(INF) Treaty, however, India and the EU were not on the same page. New
Delhi saw the INF Treaty through the prism of China and the fact the
4 P. PAL CHAUDHURI
treaty had allowed China a near monopoly in missiles of that range in the
western Pacific. Brussels saw it in terms of a breakdown of the post-Cold
War consensus on non-proliferation and destabilizing to their region.
India, a long-standing former sufferer of multilateral nuclear technology
sanctions, is generally cynical about the multilateral non-proliferation and
arms control regime.
Where the EU and India differ the most is the importance they place
on the ‘liberal’ prefix that is sometimes attached to ‘international order’.
Arguably, nothing distinguishes the Atlantic Alliance from similar arrange-
ments in the world more than the commonality of the United States and
the Union when it comes to values. This is a much weaker element even
with the five treaty alliances of the United States in the Indo-Pacific.
Constitutional democracy is well entrenched in the Indian polity today
but India remains ambivalent about liberalism and all that it entails, both
at home and abroad. Indian attitudes regarding liberalism are an ever-
changing landscape though present trendlines show Indians becoming
more liberal in their economic views but less tolerant on social issues
(Meinardus 2019). Being ambivalent about the universal applications of
liberal democracy is one reason India does not support its export. Privately,
most Indian commentators will argue democracy is alien to the cultures of
both China and the Arab world. Therefore, the question of exporting
democracy to elsewhere has never been part of India’s foreign policy. New
Delhi prefers to emphasize that the world order should be ‘rules-based’
but not necessarily that it be ‘democratic’ at the nation-state level (Muni
2009; Press Trust of India 2019). While the Union was as enthusiastic
about democracy promotion as the United States in the aftermath of the
Cold War, that sentiment in Brussels has waned as other issues have
assumed priority and interventions in places like Libya have turned sour.
Trump’s enthusiasm for dictators and right-wing populists has shocked
Europeans but has been treated with indifference by Indians.
The international order has many elements and the Trump
Administration has wielded at least a verbal axe on most of its foundations.
India and the EU agree on the importance of only some of the pillars of
that order, but this has been enough to accelerate cooperation between
the two. India will seek ‘coalitions of the willing’, say senior Indian diplo-
mats, to rally around specific pillars of the international order.1 Another
reason for limited India-EU cooperation is continuing uncertainty by
both sides whether Trump’s policy will necessarily remain US policy after
1 INDIA, THE EUROPEAN UNION AND THE WORLD ORDER 5
Campaign Views
On the campaign trail through 2016, Trump laid out a worldview that ran
counter to the prevailing foreign policy consensus in Washington and the
major Western capitals. He made three major overlapping claims that posi-
tioned him even outside the mainstream of his own Republican Party. As
one of his early political backers explained after Trump’s inaugural address
and its America First theme, ‘Trump is repudiating the establishment con-
sensus. He is part of neither its rightwing nor its leftwing’ (Gingrich 2016).
Firstly, he expressed a preference for unilateral foreign policy action in
the context of an extremely narrow view of the national interest, labelled
as ‘America First’. While a belief in unilateralism is widespread among
conservative American politicians, in Trump’s case it encompassed a repu-
diation of almost all US bilateral and multilateral commitments, including
those in trade, defence and immigration and even bodies that the United
States had itself created.
Secondly, Trump claimed that American allies were exploiting the
United States by not shouldering their fair share of the costs of the alli-
ance. Unprecedented for a postwar US President, Trump expressed scep-
ticism about the utility of even NATO. He even remarked that the
European Union was created to take advantage of the US.
Thirdly, Trump espoused a crude version of mercantilism which saw
US trade deficits as signs of America’s wealth leaking out to other coun-
tries. He was critical of almost all multilateral trading arrangements as
being biased against the United States. Trump’s worldview was a throw-
back to a nineteenth-century American conservativism and consistent with
his own statements going back to the 1980s (The Economist 2016, 9
November; Sanger and Haberman 2016; Wright 2016). In other words,
unlike other postwar American presidents, Trump did not believe ‘a world
of expanding democracy and free markets’ was in American interests and
did not believe that the relatively low costs of the American alliance struc-
ture and investments in international institutions constituted a geopoliti-
cal ‘bargain’ (Kahl and Brands 2017).
6 P. PAL CHAUDHURI
Symbolic Acts
During his first year in office, President Trump acted on some of his prom-
ises, but in a manner that seemed to indicate he was mostly interested in
symbolic victories. The most striking action was on trade policy. Right
after his inauguration, Trump withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
Four months later, he initiated a review of the North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA). Trump maintained an unrelenting criticism, in
speeches and on social media, of the trade surpluses of a number of coun-
tries, including China and Germany, were running with the United States.
None of this caused too much alarm. The Trans-Pacific Partnership was
already in limbo because of Congressional opposition and Trump incor-
porated many of its new elements into the amended NAFTA. The US
leader made only a few passing references to the EU, India and the larger
international trading system. He even allowed a joint statement critiquing
‘protectionism’ at the G-20 summit in March (Schneider-Petsinger 2017).
On American overseas military commitments, Trump also seemed
more bark than bite. In July 2017, in a speech in Warsaw, he declared that
a strong Europe was in everyone’s interest. He called upon Europeans to
contribute ‘billions’ more because of him (Trump 2017). The following
month he publicly committed to sending more troops to Afghanistan
though he insisted their primary role would be counterterrorism.
There were a number of policy areas where Trump did turn the US ship
of state in a different path. The most obvious were in regard to West Asia.
In October 2017, the US president refused to certify Iran’s compliance
with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the formal name
of the agreement which had been negotiated between the West and Iran
over restrictions on the latter’s nuclear programme. But Trump did not
impose any actual costs on Iran; he merely called upon the US Congress
to consider sanctions. In December 2017, Trump announced the recogni-
tion of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and promised to move the US
Embassy to that city. Most European governments joined the majority in
the United Nations to censure the American move. India, which already
recognized Palestine but had developed a close relationship with Israel,
abstained. On both these issues, Trump was not out of line with main-
stream Republican views. Barack Obama had never been able to secure a
consensus in favour of his Iranian agreement during his presidency. Again,
neither of these decisions fundamentally affected regional stability.
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