Forestry Report Summary Document English
Forestry Report Summary Document English
PO Box 10 241
Wellington 6140
Aotearoa New Zealand
April 2025
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of
forestry in New Zealand
Summary document
April 2025
Contents
Forests in Aotearoa New Zealand 6
What is a forest? 7
Native forests 8
Timber production 10
The NZ ETS 10
Transitional forestry 13
NZ ETS 16
Regulation16
Economics17
Recommendations 19
6
Forests in Aotearoa New Zealand
Two main types of forests predominate in New Zealand: native forests that are
maintained for their environmental, cultural and conservation values; and exotic
commercial forests, which are managed for timber, fibre and (increasingly) carbon
storage. The latter is vastly dominated by radiata pine plantations.
New Zealand’s current approach to climate mitigation means that between 2022–2050,
more than 900,000 hectares of new forests could be planted across the landscape.1
While many New Zealanders may hope that much of this will be native forest,
current economic and policy drivers, such as the New Zealand Emissions Trading
Scheme (NZ ETS), make it more likely that these will be once again forests of radiata
pine (Pinus radiata).
• What is currently driving afforestation in New Zealand and what effect is this
having on our environment?
• What do we know about establishing native forests at scale?
• What are some of the most promising alternative exotic species that could be
established at a greater scale in New Zealand? How much do we know about them?
• What do we know about long-term management of different types of forests and
what management systems are possible other than clear-felling?
• What environmental impacts could result from greater uptake of alternative forestry
systems (i.e. other than radiata pine under a clear-fell or carbon forest regime)?
• What is preventing greater uptake of alternative forestry systems?
To be clear, radiata pine has, and should continue to have, an important role in
New Zealand's economy. Sited appropriately (and managed well) it is a highly valuable
resource with many benefits. However, our current heavy reliance on a single species
comes with environmental and economic risks that could impact the resilience of
our forests. In some places the adverse environmental effects of the current clear-fell
regime are simply too great to justify. Using forests to offset fossil emissions carries
even greater risks. This report also investigates what wider changes are needed to
address issues with our current approach to forestry.
1 Climate Change Commission, 2024. Advice on Aotearoa New Zealand’s fourth emissions budget. Table 4.2.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
What is a forest? 7
The term ‘forest’ can be defined in different ways. In this report, the term is used in its
broadest sense and includes these different types:
Native forests are any type of forest dominated by native tree species.
Exotic forests are any type of forest dominated by exotic tree species.
Plantation forests are where trees are planted at scale for commercial
purposes, such as wood production or carbon.
Production forests are managed for some level of wood (timber and pulp)
production. This includes rotational forests that are clear-felled (and then
replanted) and continuous cover production forests where harvesting is
more selective and managed to maintain a high level of canopy cover.
Carbon forests are managed only for carbon sequestration and storage and
will not be harvested.
Ngahere is a term used by Māori for the broad purposes of defining a forest
or any other land that predominantly has rākau (trees) on it. There are many
words for forest in te reo Māori due to local dialectical differences. Here we
use the term ngahere as it is the most common kupu (word) for forest.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
8 What is the current state of our forests?
There are 10.1 million hectares of forests in New Zealand today, covering 38% of our land
area. Of this, 8 million hectares are in native forests located on Crown, private land or
whenua Māori, and 2.1 million hectares are exotic plantation forests.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
9
Māori and forestry
Box 2: Benefits of forests
Māori play a key role in the forestry sector,
While commercial forests afford obvious making up a large part of the forestry
financial benefits, all forests (including workforce and owning large areas of
radiata pine) can provide environmental exotic plantation forest (190,000 ha) and
benefits. These vary considerably based native forest (570,000 ha).8 They also own
on the characteristics and management more than half a million hectares of land
regime of the forest. Benefits can include: covered in exotic forests, owned by private
companies. In 2022, Māori forestry assets
• regulation of soil-water interactions,
were worth $4.3 billion.9
which reduces erosion, improves land
stability, limits the impacts of flooding Māori have special relationships with
and improves water quality their whenua and ngahere that need to be
• greater biodiversity and ecosystem considered when discussing the future
resilience of forestry. Many whānau, hapū and iwi
see afforestation as a way of protecting
• animal welfare through the provision Papatūānuku.
of shelter, shade and food
Historically, breaches of te Tiriti o Waitangi
• social and cultural values
led to large losses of Māori land and
• improving and restoring the mauri of disrupted the traditional relationships Māori
whenua had with forests. Some land was retained
• carbon sequestration and storage, under Te Ture Whenua Māori Act 1993 or
contributing to climate mitigation efforts. returned in Treaty settlements, but much
of this is remote and marginally productive
with limited options for use. Planting carbon
forests has been one way of using this
whenua to generate revenue, but it presents
900,000
a challenge to Māori decision-makers
working with an intergenerational timeframe,
as it limits options for future land use.
2 https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators/predicted-pre-human-vegetation
3 Ministry for the Environment and Statistics NZ, 2024. New Zealand’s Environmental Reporting Series: Our Land 2024.
4 Wyse et al., 2018. New Zealand forest dynamics: A review of past and present vegetation responses to disturbance, and
development of conceptual forest models.
5 https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators/extinction-threat-to-indigenous-species
6 https://www.mpi.govt.nz/forestry/new-zealand-forests-forest-industry/about-new-zealands-forests
7 https://www.mpi.govt.nz/forestry/forest-industry-and-workforce/forestry-wood-processing-data
8 Ngā Pou a Tane, 2024. Tū Mai Rā! Te Whānau o Tāne: Growing the total economic value of our national Māori forest.
9 New Zealand Government, 2022. Te hau mārohi ki anamata: towards a productive, sustainable and inclusive economy:
Aotearoa New Zealand’s first emissions reduction plan.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
10 Where are we headed?
Current economic and policy drivers have put New Zealand on a trajectory towards establishing
vast areas of new exotic production and carbon forests. These forests are likely to mostly consist of
radiata pine, given the species’ current dominance in the industry and economic appeal for both wood
production and carbon sequestration.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
11
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
12 What are the alternatives?
There is a range of alternative forestry systems that could be considered in New Zealand,
including alternative exotic forests and management regimes, as well as the establishment
of new native forests.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
“Large-scale native 13
afforestation is likely to
need human intervention
to succeed.”
Transitional forestry
Transitional forestry is a relatively new form
of forestry, where fast-growing exotic forests
are managed to transform into native forests
over time. While the transition often involves
radiata pine as the exotic crop, other exotic
species could be suitable.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
14 Alternative exotic forests
Alternative exotic tree species can complement radiata pine by offering
diverse traits with different environmental benefits (and risks), as well as
novel commercial and land use opportunities. Some could also act as a
contingency species for timber production, should a biological disaster
affect radiata pine – although no other species tolerates such a wide range
of conditions as radiata pine.
The benefits and risks of exotics vary across species. Some species have
traits that offer environmental benefits, such as strong interlocking root
systems, which provide good erosion control, or being tolerant of shade,
which makes them suitable for continuous cover forestry. Some are more
susceptible to pests and diseases or are more flammable than other
species. In many cases, the forest management approach will be a more
significant driver of overall environmental impacts than the species of tree.
While there are many alternative species that could play a greater role in
forestry in New Zealand, some have been more developed and attracted
greater interest than others. Examples include coast redwoods, eucalypts,
cypresses, poplars and the radiata-attenuata pine hybrid.
Ongoing
Cost of management
planting of trees
Cost of
Challenges to Pest/weed
seedling
production native afforestation control
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
Alternative management regimes 15
There are a range of forest management approaches that are being applied
at a small scale in New Zealand that could be adopted more widely.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
16 What are the barriers to alternative forestry?
A more diverse forestry estate could offer environmental benefits, improve resilience and open
up new economic opportunities, but multiple barriers are preventing this from happening.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
Economics Availability of information 17
There are sticking points throughout the supply
and research
chain for alternative forestry systems that Research and development gaps are another
would need to be addressed to achieve scale barrier. New Zealand has overwhelmingly
and economic viability. Establishment and invested forestry research resources into
management costs can be high, and there is clear-fell radiata pine. Reliable information
greater uncertainty about financial returns and expertise about every stage of the
compared to a radiata pine clear-fell regime. process from planting to processing is
For example, alternative production systems easily accessible. Investment in radiata pine
that involve longer rotations or lower intensity research and development is ongoing and
harvesting typically require high value timber continues to exceed that of other species.
markets to be economically viable. However,
those markets may not be well developed due By contrast, we know much less about
to inconsistent supply or quality of alternative many of the steps involved in alternative
timbers. Access to infrastructure, such as mills forestry systems, from seed germination and
and transportation networks, can also be an establishment techniques to the economics
issue, as can accessing quality seedstock and of alternative management regimes and
expertise in alternative forestry systems. the properties of alternative timbers. This
lack of information makes alternative
High upfront costs are a particularly important forestry a potentially high-risk and expensive
barrier for native afforestation, with high-density undertaking. When investment into alternative
native plantings typically costing around $25,000 forestry has occurred, it has often been short-
per hectare.10 Costs can be higher than this on term and fragmented, and the findings not
difficult terrain or where pest control or fencing always shared. This has been particularly true
is needed. Research into lower cost native of native afforestation initiatives, where the
establishment approaches is underway. focus has been on upfront planting, with little
ongoing monitoring or sharing of outcomes.
Various government funds have been set up to
We would already know a lot more than we
encourage afforestation, with the One Billion
do now about likely cost-effectiveness and
Trees scheme notable for promoting native
success if learnings from these initiatives had
and alternative species. However, these funds
been systematically collected and shared.
often do not fully cover the establishment
costs of native species or, critically, long-term
maintenance of afforested areas. Without
long-term management, the health of the future
forest and its benefits cannot be assured.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
18
“Māori have unique relationships with
their whenua and ngahere that need
to be considered when discussing
the future of afforestation.”
11 Forests established before 1990 were automatically registered in the NZ ETS from the start. Owners of these pre-1990 forests were issued
some carbon credits as a one-off compensation payment, but they have surrender liabilities and must return credits if the land is deforested.
They do not earn more carbon credits for any additional carbon sequestration.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
Recommendations 19
In response to the issues raised in this investigation, the Commissioner has made 15
recommendations, which have been summarised below. For the full recommendations,
refer to Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand.
NZ ETS reform
1 Reform the NZ ETS to phase out forestry offsets for fossil emissions. Use the
increased auction revenue to fund targeted and locally appropriate afforestation
in areas that need it most (e.g. permanent native forests on highly erodible lands;
whenua Māori).
2 Create a separate ‘biogenic’ trading scheme that allows warming from biogenic
methane emissions to be offset by production forestry with radiata pine and other
suitable species.
3 At the very least, reform the permanent forest category in the NZ ETS. This
should include requiring permanent forest owners to have a realistic long-term
management plan for the forest, and creating categories, with associated rules,
for different types of permanent forests.
4 The Government should ensure that the long-term physical risks to the nation’s
forests and the financial risks that may accrue both to the forestry industry and to
the Crown are systematically monitored, communicated and managed.
5 Investigate how the value of forest carbon sequestration in the NZ ETS could be
discounted to reflect the risks of forest impermanence.
6 The Ministry for the Environment should investigate ways to ensure that forestry
companies cover the costs of the environmental damage they cause. This could
include the use of levies, other market mechanisms and revised regulation.
7 Ban clear-fell harvest in areas where it is identified as high risk. To do this, the
most at-risk areas should be identified and mapped at a suitably high resolution.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document
20 Regulatory change for alternative commercial forestry
8 Review the application of the Forests Act to native forests that are established
through assisted natural regeneration.
9 Develop national guidance about how councils should treat native timber
harvesting carried out in line with the Forests Act.
12 Ensure that alternative forestry systems are given prominent treatment in any
future prioritisation of environment and forest-related research.
13 Develop and maintain a publicly accessible data system to improve the availability
and usability of existing knowledge about alternative forestry systems.
Forestry policy
15 Any reframing of forestry policies as suggested by this report must engage Māori
from the outset.
Alt-F Reset: Examining the drivers of forestry in New Zealand | Summary document