1+sihombing Final
1+sihombing Final
2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24
ABSTRACT
This study aimed to examine the impact of financial performance
proxied to profitability, liquidity, solvency, and activity ratio, as
well as the moderating influence of dividend policy on stock price
of Sharia-compliant companies in the Indonesia Stock (IDX)
market. Panel data multi-linear regression with the random effect
estimator was used to investigate the factors influencing the
Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) stock price. The sample data was
confined to complete audited financial reports and consistent
*Corresponding Author
2 Determinants of profitability, liquidity, solvency, activity (Sihombing, Zakchona)
INTRODUCTION
Indonesia's Sharia economy faced global economic uncertainties and strict
business competitiveness over time. As a developing country with a Muslim majority
spread, Indonesia has a strong presence in the Sharia financial sectors and is ranked
tenth in total assets at the global level. The Sharia financial sector is classified into the
Sharia effect list and is published by the financial service authority periodically. The
Sharia financial sector grew its asset value by 13.82 percent year on year (yoy) from
IDR 1.801.40 billion in 2019 to IDR 2,050,44 billion in 2021. Indonesia's Sharia
financial sector has three sub-sectors: Sharia bank, non-bank, and capital market. In
2021, Sharia market capitalization had a total asset value of 60.27 percent and a
significant growth value of 14.83 percent, Sharia bank had a market capitalization
value of 33.83 percent, and Sharia non-bank had a market capitalization value of 5.90
percent (Indonesia Financial Service Authority, 2022).
Sharia stock is traded as many as 495 stock shares in 2021 is represented by
Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), known as a primary Sharia product and contains four
indices, such as Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI), Jakarta Islamic Index 70
(JII70), and IDX-MES BUMN 17. JII is evaluated two times a year and was developed
to provide safe investment for conservative potential investors. The stock price
fluctuated during 2016-2021. Infobank15 recorded a high stock price performance at
78.20 percent, while a low stock price was recorded by the JII index, decreasing its
value by -4 percent. Next, the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) increased its value by
39.50 percent, while SMinfra18 decreased its value by -1.90 percent. In 2016, JII
increased its performance by 15 percent. In 2017, JCI increased its performance by 30
percent, while JII decreased significantly by -37 percent. In 2018, JCI decreased by -
2.50 percent, and JII decreased by -9.70 percent. JCI increased by 1.70 percent, while
JII increased by 1.90 percent. During the Covid-19 pandemic, both significantly
reduced by -5.10 percent and -9.70 percent. Then, JCI performance recovered by 10.10
percent, while JII decreased by -10.90 percent. JII performance decline represents a
lousy signal of investment decision (Indonesia Stock Exchange, 2022).
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Volume 27 No. 2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24 3
The high stock price has good financial performance to increase returns
dividends, and investors can add more stock demand. Stock price determination is
caused by supply and demand volatility, which impacts the high stock price. There is
a positive correlation between the stock price and price indices. In contrast, a negative
correlation exists between the stock price and price indices (Mohamad, 2015). To
analyze the stock market performance, investors use fundamental analysis based on
the financial ratio (Herawati & Angger, 2018). The financial ratio is compared with
various company's data to describe a profit and loss and influence the stock price
development at a particular time (Rosdiana, 2021). The financial ratio contains
liquidity, solvency, profitability, and activity ratios (Devi & Sutrisno, 2015).
Theoretically, a company with profitable, liquidity, and asset management effectively
and efficiently creates high profit and solvency value, making a positive signal in
fundamental analysis and influencing the stock price.
One of the profitability ratios is proxied to return on equity (ROE) and had a
positive impact on the stock price (Anwar & Rahmalia, 2019; Gayatri & Thamrin,
2020; Puspita, 2017; Rasdayanti & Chaerudin, 2021; Satar & Jayanti, 2020), or had a
negative impact on the stock price in the Polish stock market (Megamawarni &
Pratiwi, 2021). In contrast, ROE did not affect the stock price in the Swiss stock
market (Ariesa et al., 2020; Kartika et al., 2017). Meanwhile, the liquidity ratio
proxied to the current ratio (CR) positively impacted the stock price (Gursida, 2017;
Mardianti & Dewi, 2021; Rasdayanti & Chaerudin, 2021). In contrast, CR had no impact
on the stock price in the stock market of Poland, Swiss, and Austria (Ariesa et al.,
2020; Ariyani et al., 2018; Gayatri & Thamrin, 2020; Herawati & Angger, 2018;
Imansyah & Mustafa, 2021; Ligocká & Stavárek, 2019; Olivia & Ovami, 2021;
Rosdiana, 2021; Samsuar, 2017).
Then, solvency ratio is proxied to debt-to-equity ratio (DER) had a negative
impact on the stock price (Ariyani et al., 2018; Devi & Sutrisno, 2015; Gayatri &
Thamrin, 2020; Megamawarni & Pratiwi, 2021; Rosdiana, 2021; Satar & Jayanti,
2020; Sri Oktaryani et al., 2016). In contrast, DER did not impact the stock price
(Gursida, 2017; Handayani et al., 2020; Ligocká & Stavárek, 2019; Rasdayanti &
Chaerudin, 2021). Next, the activity ratio is proxied to total asset turnover (TATO),
positively impacting the stock price (Anwar et al., 2021). In contrast, TATO did not
affect the stock price (Gursida, 2017). The stakeholders prefer to distribute the
dividend as a company's value description. They believed a dividend distribution could
attract potential investors and increase the stock price and return in the market.
According to previous research, a dividend regulation can moderate the return on
equity effect on the stock price (Mardianti & Dewi, 2021; Ramadhani et al., 2019;
Satar & Jayanti, 2020). It states that a dividend regulation can influence a relationship
between fundamental indicators and the stock price. Dividend regulation also
positively affected the stock price (Fitri & Purnamasari, 2018; Rahmawati & Suryono,
4 Determinants of profitability, liquidity, solvency, activity (Sihombing, Zakchona)
2017). In contrast, dividend regulation did not affect the stock price in Indonesia and
Malaysia.
The novelty of this research lies in including a moderating variable called
dividend payout ratio (DPR). Moderating variables can enhance or weaken the effect
of the profitability ratio on the stock price. In addition, the observation period was
from 2015 to 2020 to prove whether the results of previous research were situational
or not.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis determines the stock price (Bodie et al., 2018), uses
income and dividend prospects for future interest rate expectations, and evaluates the
company’s risk to calculate stock intrinsic with financial data. Investment has solid
fundamentals and is determined by strict analysis of the current condition of
companies, even in the future. Fundamental analysis calculates the future stock price
by estimating fundamental value and implementing this relationship in the stock price
determination. The fundamental analysis started with the last income and checked the
balance sheet, management quality evaluation, the company’s market position, and
business projection overall. Identifying the fundamental factors is more accessible than
identifying a company’s performance management. Fundamental analysis is used to
find potential investments based on investors' calculations. A bad company can be used
as a reasonable offer, and vice versa. A company with a solid fundamental would
impact good financing and be referenced as an investment decision. The financial
performance can be analyzed by the financial ratio (Dewi, 2017), while the financial
ratio can determine the amount of dividends. Financial ratios are proxied to the
profitability (Trinh et al., 2020), liquidity (Jiang et al., 2017), solvency, activity, and
market ratios to describe the stock price determination per share (Zulkifli et al., 2017).
Profitability Ratio
The profitability ratio represents a group of liquidity, asset management, and
operational debts (Brigham & Ehrhardt, 2019). The profitability ratio is proxied to
return-on-equity (ROE), which measures the return of investors and can determine
income growth. ROE can determine financial policy by estimating the dividend policy
(Bodie et al., 2018) to assess the company's intrinsic value to increase profit. High
ROE represents the company’s efficiency in obtaining high net profit and announcing
the dividend distribution to affect high stock prices. ROE measures investor and
stakeholder profitability (Weygandt et al., 2015). High ROE represents a company that
succeeded in managing capital, while capital management can increase profit, create a
good signal of investment, and impact high stock prices. It states previous research
that ROE had a positive impact on the stock price (Anwar & Rahmalia, 2019; Gayatri
& Thamrin, 2020; Puspita, 2017; Rasdayanti & Chaerudin, 2021; Satar & Jayanti,
2020). Therefore, the first hypothesis that can be proposed is as follows:
H1: Profitability has a positive impact on the stock price.
Liquidity Ratio
The liquidity ratio represents the relationship between cash and current assets
and liabilities. The liquidity ratio is proxied to the current ratio (CR), measures current
liability, and is covered by expected assets that can be converted into cash. A high
amount of current assets and liabilities represent a company's ability to cover its
liabilities (Pattiruhu & Paais, 2020). High CR has less impact on profitability because a
6 Determinants of profitability, liquidity, solvency, activity (Sihombing, Zakchona)
current asset creates a lower return than a fixed asset (Sihombing, 2018). Less CR represents
less capital capability to pay its liability, and management cannot manage cash on hand
carefully (Brigham & Ehrhardt, 2019). It performs well if a company can maximize
liquid assets into cash on hand to pay its current liability. A company can obtain high
net profit, creating an excellent signal to get dividends to the stakeholders depending
on the liquidity capability. High CR impacts the investor's trust in the company's
ability to obtain high profit and distribute as dividends, impacting high stock prices. It
states that in previous research, CR positively impacted the stock price (Gursida, 2017;
Mardianti & Dewi, 2021; Rasdayanti & Chaerudin, 2021). Therefore, the second
hypothesis that can be proposed is as follows:
H2: The current ratio has a positive impact on the stock price.
Solvency Ratio
The solvency ratio measures how much a company’s asset is covered by total
liabilities in the short-term and long-term (Kasmir, 2018). If a company is liquidated,
the debt-to-equity ratio (DER), one of the liquidity ratios, is responsible for covering
total liabilities to pay its liabilities (Syarif, 2019). Low DER represents a capital structure
funded by low debt; then, most profit can be distributed to the dividend. A high dividend can
attract more potential investors to buy the company's stock and will impact the high stock price
(Nirmolo & Widjajanti, 2018). The solvency ratio is used to evaluate total liabilities and
equities, and this ratio helps to count how much money can be allocated to creditors.
High DER will impact the bad company's performance and decrease stock price
because high debts will impact the interest cost and decrease the profit. In contrast,
low DER represents a good company's performance and creates a good signal of
investment and impact on high stock prices. It states that previous research that DER had
a negative impact on the stock price (Ariyani et al., 2018; Devi & Sutrisno, 2015; Gayatri
& Thamrin, 2020; Megamawarni & Pratiwi, 2021; Rosdiana, 2021; Satar & Jayanti, 2020;
Oktaryani et al., 2016). Therefore, the third hypothesis that can be proposed is as follows:
H3: Debt-to-equity ratio (DER) has a negative impact on the stock price.
Activity Ratio
The activity ratio measures how effectively and efficiently a company exploits
capital and assets into income (Sihombing, 2018). The activity ratio is proxied to total
asset turnover (TATO), which measures how effectively a company exploits asset
sources into production costs and increases net sales and profit. TATO represents asset
effectiveness in increasing sales and describes net sales that can be obtained from cash.
If TATO moves slowly, it describes a company with a fixed asset bigger than sales
capability. High TATO will impact on asset efficiency (Gursida, 2017). Asset
efficiency will impact the high profit and high dividend share. A high dividend will
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Volume 27 No. 2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24 7
impact the high stock price (Sutrisno, 2009). A company with a high TATO can obtain
more sales from asset allocation, while high sales can increase high profits and give a
positive signal for potential investors to buy this company’s stock. Based on previous
research, TATO positively impacted the stock price (Anwar et al., 2021). Therefore,
the fourth hypothesis that can be proposed is as follows:
H4: Total asset turnover (TATO) positively impacts the stock price.
(Rahmawati & Suryono, 2017). Profit can be distributed as dividends and invested in
the stock for future returns (Halim, 2015). Distributing dividends to the stakeholders
creates a positive signal to the prospective stock because the dividend amount
describes a company's capability to generate a profit. A company refusing to distribute
dividends is considered as bad news for the prospective company in the future, and it
will impact the investment decision and reduce the stock price (Bodie et al., 2018). A
high dividend distribution will impact less profit and is allocated to the retained
earnings, while less retained earnings will slow down income growth. In contrast, high
dividend distribution will impact the high stock price because its number will attract
potential investors. Previous research has shown that DPR positively impacts stock
prices (Fitri & Purnamasari, 2018; Rahmawati & Suryono, 2017). Therefore, the fifth
hypothesis that can be proposed is as follows:
H5: The dividend payout ratio (DPR) positively impacts the stock price.
DPR (Z)
H5
H1 H6
ROE (X1)
H2
CR (X2)
Stock Price (Y)
H3
DER (X3)
H4
TATO (X4)
Figure 1
Conceptual Framework
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Volume 27 No. 2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24 9
METHODS
This study used quantitative data to investigate the impact of independent
variables on the dependent factors, including a moderating element. Error! Reference
source not found. provided an overview of the independent variables: Profitability
proxied by ROE, Liquidity index measured through CR, Solvency represented by
DER, and Activity Ratio proxied by TATO. The dependent variable was identified as
stock price, while the moderating factor was defined by dividend policy, measured
through DPR. Data on stock price using annual closed price accumulation is converted
into logarithm natural shape (ln) to decline heteroscedasticity data and convert it into
percentage change (Gujarati & Porter, 2020). Error! Reference source not found.
explains the formulation of each variable and hypothesis development as follows:
Table 1
Variable Operationalization and Hypothesis Developments
Variable Proxied Formulation Scale Hypothesis Development
Annual
Stock Price closed stock
Ln (HS) Ratio
(Y) price
accumulation
Dividend 𝑫𝒊𝒗𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒅 DPR positively affect the stock
Dividend
payout ratio 𝑫𝑷𝑹 = ( ) × 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Ratio price (Fitri & Purnamasari, 2018;
Policy (Z) 𝑵𝒆𝒕 𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆
(DPR) Rahmawati & Suryono, 2017).
ROE positively affect the stock
price (Anwar & Rahmalia, 2019;
Return-on- 𝑵𝒆𝒕 𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆
Profitability Gayatri & Thamrin, 2020;
equity 𝑹𝑶𝑬 = ( ) × 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Ratio
(X1)
(ROE) 𝑺𝒉𝒂𝒓𝒆𝒉𝒐𝒍𝒅𝒆𝒓𝒔 𝑬𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒕𝒚 Puspita, 2017; Rasdayanti &
Chaerudin, 2021; Satar &
Jayanti, 2020).
CR positively affect the stock
Liquidity Current ratio 𝑪𝒖𝒓𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝑨𝒔𝒔𝒆𝒕𝒔 price (Gursida, 2017; Mardianti &
𝑪𝑹 = ( ) × 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Ratio
(X2) (CR) 𝑵𝒆𝒕 𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆 Dewi, 2021; Rasdayanti &
Chaerudin, 2021)
DER positively affect the stock
price (Ariyani et al., 2018; Devi &
Debt-to- 𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑳𝒊𝒂𝒃𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒆𝒔 Sutrisno, 2015; Gayatri &
Solvency
equity ratio 𝑫𝑬𝑹 = ( ) × 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Ratio Thamrin, 2020; Megamawarni &
(X3) 𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑬𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒕𝒚
(DER) Pratiwi, 2021; Rosdiana, 2021;
Satar & Jayanti, 2020; Sri
Oktaryani et al., 2016)
Total assets 𝑺𝒂𝒍𝒆𝒔
Activity TATO positively affect the stock
turnover 𝑻𝑨𝑻𝑶 = ( ) × 𝟏𝟎𝟎% Ratio
(X4) 𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑨𝒔𝒔𝒆𝒕𝒔 price (Anwar et al., 2021).
(TATO)
The sample data was limited to 15 companies, carefully selected from the
original 30 stock issuers in the population. These 15 companies represented various
sectors, including the energy field represented by Adaro Energy Corp (ADRO) and
Bukit Asam Corp (PTBA). At the same time, the primary consumer industry included
Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Corp (CPIN), Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Corp
(ICBP), Indofood Sukses Makmur Corp (INDF), Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Corp
(JPFA), and Unilever Indonesia Corp (UNVR). The raw material sector comprised
Indah Kiat Pulp and Paper Corp (INKP), Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Corp (INTP),
Semen Indonesia Corp (SMGR), Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Corp (TKIM), and
Chandra Asri Petrochemical Corp (TPIA). The health industry featured Kalbe Farma
Corp (KLBF), and the infrastructure sector included Telkom Indonesia Corp (TLKM),
as well as the United Tractors Corp (UNTR).
Panel Data Regression
This study adopted a descriptive analysis and conducted a panel data multi-
regression analysis using datasets consisting of multiple observations for each
sampling unit. These data sets, called Panel data, were generated by pooling time series
observations across various cross-sectional units (Baltagi, 2014). The application of
panel data was primarily applied in finance, trading, microeconomics, and
macroeconomics (Baltagi, 2005). The panel data technique examined incomplete and
nonstationary panels, unrelated regressions, simultaneous equations, limited
dependent variables, dynamic models, heteroskedasticity, as well as serial and spatial
correlation (Baltagi, 2005). The adoption of panel data offered the advantage of
controlling individual heterogeneity. However, studies without control over time series
and cross-section analyses faced the risk of obtaining biased results (Hsiao, 2003).
This panel data led to more variability, less collinearity among variables, increased
degrees of freedom, a better ability to study the dynamics of adjustment, as well as the
identification and measurement of effects not detectable in cross-section or time-series
data (Baltagi, 2005).
This study explored three types of panel data multi-linear regression
approaches, namely Common Effect (CE), Fixed Effect (FE), and Random Effect (RE)
models. These models were examined through three statistical methods, namely the
Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests. Most panel data applications
adopted a simple regression with ordinary least squares (OLS) that considered error
component disturbances and assumed cross-section data with consistent behavior. The
panel data was balanced, showing that all observations were present, either randomly
or non-randomly, despite attrition or sample selection (Baltagi, 2014). The equation of
the CE estimator was as follows:
yit =∝i + β1 X it + εit ......................................................................................................................... 1
The FE model adopted a binary indicator through the Least Squares Dummy
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Volume 27 No. 2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24 11
Variable (LSDV) to capture intercept differences, assuming that the coefficient (slope)
remained constant between cross-section and time series data (Baltagi, 2005),
expressed by the following formula.
yit = (∝i + μi ) + β1 Xit + εit ........................................................................................................... 2
Testing for Serial Correlation and Random Individual Effect Using LM Test
LM test played a crucial role in selecting a suitable model in random or
standard effect models, assessing the unbalanced nested error component model with
serially correlated disturbances (Breusch & Pagan, 1980). The hypothesis tested by the
LM test was H0: σνη = σµε = 0. This null hypothesis showed that the selection rule
was ignorable for the random effects model. The effectiveness of the LM test heavily
12 Determinants of profitability, liquidity, solvency, activity (Sihombing, Zakchona)
relied on the specification of the selectivity equation and the distributional assumptions
(Baltagi, 2005). The formula of the LM test is represented below:
𝑁𝑇 2
𝐿𝑀1 = [𝐴2 − 4𝐴𝐵 + 2𝑇𝐵2 ] ......................................................................................... 6
2(𝑇−1)(𝑇−2)
From the results of the Chow test, the researcher found a chi-square probability
of 0.000, which is less than 0.05, so the fixed effect model is more appropriate to use.
Furthermore, the Hausman test was carried out, and a chi-square probability of 0.798
was obtained, which is greater than 0.05. So, the random effect model is more
appropriate. Then, the Lagrange Multiplier is tested to check for a suitable model
between random and common effect models. The result shows that a probability value
0.000 is lower than 0.05, and a random effect model was implemented in this study.
Table 5
Determination Coefficient Test Result
Coefficient Value Prob. Value
2
R 0.203 Adj. R2 0.146
Source: Processed Data, 2023
After determining the best model, it is necessary to test the hypothesis through
the R2 test, F test, and statistical t-test. Table 5 explains that the R-squared is 0.146,
meaning that the dependent variable in this study will be affected by the independent
variable of 14.63 percent. Meanwhile, the other 66.616 percent comes from the
influence of other variables.
Table 6
F-test Result using Panel Data Multi-Regression by Random Effect Model
Coefficient Significance
F-stat 3.543*** Prob. Value 0.003
Source: Processed Data, 2023
Table 6 explains that the F-test result has a probability value 0.003, which
is lower than 0.05. This means that all independent variables simultaneously
impact JII’s stock price.
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Volume 27 No. 2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24 15
Table 7
Partial Test Result using Panel Data Multi-regression by Random Effect Model
Variable Coefficient Standard Error t-statistic Prob. Decision
C 8.832 0.602 14.660 0.000
ROE 3.764 1.030 3.652 0.000 H1 is accepting
CR 0.103 0.150 0.688 0.493 H2 is rejecting
DER -0.619 0.257 -2.408 0.018 H3 is accepting
TATO -0.825 0.370 -2.229 0.028 H4 is accepting
DPR 0.349 0.241 1.449 0.150 H5 is rejecting
(ROExDPR) -1.795 1.194 -1.503 0.136 H6 is rejecting
Source: Processed Data, 2023
According to Table 6
, a constant value of 8.832 with a significance value of 0.000 means JII's stock
price value of 8.832 or as much as Rp.6.851 without any contribution of ROE, CR,
DER, TATO, and DPR. ROE coefficient value of 3.764 with a significance value of
0.000 means ROE can increase by one and contribute to JII’s stock price value of 3.764
percent. CR coefficient value of 0.103 with a significance value of 0.493 means CR
has no impact on JII’s stock price. DER coefficient value of -0.619 with a significance
value of 0.018 means DER has a negative impact on JII's stock price while DER
increases 1, and it can decrease JII's stock price value of 0.619. TATO coefficient value
of -0.825 with a significance value of 0.028 means TATO has a negative impact on
JII's stock price. While TATO increases by 1, it can decrease JII's price value by 0.825.
DPR coefficient value of 0.349 with a significance value of 0.150 means DPR has no
impact on JII’s stock price. Interaction between DPR and ROE can result in a
regression coefficient value of -1.795 with a significance value of 0.136, which means
interaction between DPR and ROE has no impact on JII's stock price.
ROE positively impacts the company’s stock price listed in JII index.
ROE, measuring stakeholders' return, reflected the ability of the company to
generate profit from equity exploitation. The positive impact of ROE on stock price
implied that published financial reports could signal positive investment prospects
(Spence, 1973). Higher ROE showed the ability of the company to derive substantial
net profit from equity exploitation. Long-term investors opted to retain the company’s
stock price listed in JII index for increased dividends, while short-term shareholders
sold shares for higher returns. These outcomes affirmed previous findings that ROE
positively impacted stock prices (Mahirun et al., 2023; Sharma et al., 2023).
CR is positive and does not impact the company’s stock price listed in JII index.
CR assessed the liquidity of liquid assets to operating liabilities, where high
working capital, including accounts uncollectible, receivables, and unsold inventory,
could cover the payables (Brigham & Ehrhardt, 2019). A high CR suggested that the
16 Determinants of profitability, liquidity, solvency, activity (Sihombing, Zakchona)
company possessed more cash, receivables, and inventories than sales (Brigham &
Ehrhardt, 2019), mitigating financial distress. However, this result contradicted the
hypothesis that CR could not show an investment signal and did not impact the JII
stock price (Ligocká & Stavárek, 2019). According to Ross (1977), liquidity cannot
signal investment or influence stock price, as evidenced by thirteen stocks in the JII
index with CR less than 1, showing non-liquidity in financing. Investors analyzed
management inefficiencies, recognizing that internal factors cannot influence the
company’s stock price listed in JII index.
DER has a negative impact on the company’s stock price listed in JII index.
DER measured the ability of the company to cover its liabilities with capital
structure. In this study, DER had a negative impact on JII stock price, prompting
investors to analyze the increasing influence of DER on the business risk. Risk-averse
investors mitigated business risk by selling shares, leading to a reduction in stock price
(Graham & Dodd, 2023). High debts will impact the business risk potential, and
investors mitigate business risk by selling their company’s stock listed in JII’s index
and reducing their stock prices (Alim & Sihombing, 2022). This outcome correlated
with signaling theory, suggesting that high debts could increase financial risk, reduce
tax shields, and elevate the possibilities of financial distress, causing investors to
refrain from repurchasing stock. This result substantiated a previous study showing
that DER had a negative impact on stock prices (Bui et al., 2023; Rosdiana, 2021).
TATO negatively affects the company’s stock price listed in JII index.
TATO measured the effectiveness of the company in exploiting financial
sources. TATO represented asset effectiveness by allocating assets to obtain more
sales and sent a negative signal of investment due to inefficient operational cost
management, impacting profit and resulting in a reduction in stock price, influencing
business risk (Fridson & Alvarez, 2022). In this study, TATO negatively affected the
company’s stock price listed in JII index, with high TATO leading to a decrease in
shares. This result confirmed that TATO negatively influenced stock prices (Ahmad
et al., 2023). This result proves that TATO had a negative impact on the listed primary
industry and chemical prices in the stock market (Sari et al., 2021).
DPR does not affect the company’s stock price listed in JII index.
DPR is distributed to the stakeholders when the risk is lower than the capital
gain. DPR created a positive signal to attract investors to buy more stocks, thereby
increasing stock prices. However, the statistical result indicated that DPR did not
impact stock prices. Dividends typically cause a decrease in the stock price by the
amount of the dividend on the ex-dividend date. This reduction is offset by the
expectation of future dividends and other factors influencing investor sentiment. This
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Volume 27 No. 2 Oktober 2024, 1 - 24 17
leads to a complex interplay of supply and demand instabilities that affect the stock
price.
The results also strengthened the dividend irrelevance theory, suggesting that
dividend policy did not affect the company's value compared to stock price. This
theory stated that the dividend policy was determined by the indices capability of JII
to increase profit and minimize business risk. Investors who bought JII stocks needed
to focus on the dividend distribution and allocate the dividends into cash or buy back
more shares. This result correlated with a previous study showing that the dividend
policy did not impact the company’s stock price (AlGhazali et al., 2023).
DPR cannot moderate the effect of ROE on the company’s stock price listed in
JII index.
Profitability proxied to ROE impacted the JII stock price, while DPR did not
influence the equities. DPR could not moderate the effect of ROE on stock price, and
this result rejected the current hypothesis while supporting the study form (AlGhazali
et al., 2023). Dividends and ROE serve different functions in evaluating a stock's
performance. Dividends can provide income to investors that do not directly influence
the effect of ROE or the company’s profitability efficiency on the stock price. Both
are independent factors in stock valuation models.
In this study, investors believed that dividends could not influence ROE to
increase the company’s stock price listed in JII index because shareholders prioritized
cash flow distribution over dividend distribution and preferred to sell stock rather than
hold shares. The dividend irrelevance theory was affirmed and implemented in
investment decisions.
Theoretically, this result proves the irrelevant theory that dividend policy did
not affect the company's value compared to stock price. Practically, investors prefer
accepting shareholder’s profit over dividends because ROE indicates efficiency in
capital utilization and potential for growth, whereas dividends represent only a portion
of profits distributed to shareholders, often seen as less indicative of future growth
potential. Management should also address the amount of DER and TATO, as many
of these variables could decrease JII stock price in the Indonesian capital market.
The analysis acknowledged certain limitations, particularly concerning the
number of independent variables. According to the coefficient determination result, all
independent variables contributed less to the determination of JII stock price by 14.6
percent, while other leading indicators influenced shares in the IDX market by 85.4
percent. This study recommended further investigation to add more variables, such as
Return on Asset (ROA), Quick Ratio (QR), Inventory Turnover, and Dividend Yield,
to explore other indicators contributing to the stock price determination of JII.
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22 Determinants of profitability, liquidity, solvency, activity (Sihombing, Zakchona)