ICICI Securities Awfis Space Q1 FY25 Results Review
ICICI Securities Awfis Space Q1 FY25 Results Review
CMP: INR 709 Target Price: INR 757 7% ICICI Securities Limited is the author and distributor of this report
In its maiden quarter post listing on the stock exchanges, Awfis Space Solutions (Awfis) has delivered on its two main
FY25 guidance parameters: 30%+ revenue growth for FY25 and expansion in IGAAP EBITDA margin between 11.5-
12%. The company reported Q1FY25 consolidated revenue of INR 2.6bn, up 37% YoY and 11% QoQ with overall
occupancy at 71% and mature centre occupancy (>12 months) at 84%. With an overall operational + committed
pipeline of 127,726 seats (over 100,000 operational), we expect continued growth going ahead. We estimate 35%
operational seat CAGR, 31% revenue CAGR and 48% IGAAP EBITDA CAGR (EBITDA post lease payments) over FY24-
27E. We retain ADD and TP of INR 757 based on 25x Jun’26E IGAAP EBITDA.
Source: Company, I-sec research, *Numbers are for Total Chargeable Area and Centres, which includes operational and
under fitout, 2 LOI refers to Letters of Intent signed with space owners
Source: Company, I-sec research, *LOI refers to Letters of Intent signed with space owners
Source: Company, I-sec research, Note: *Include Food and beverage, personal and household products, Real estate ,
Chemicals, construction and packaging materials, Telecommunication services, Energy and utilities and Others
Financial Analysis
Owing to the competitive nature of the India co-working/flex spaces market and as
flex operators expand into tier II cities as well, we believe space addition and pre-
leasing/tie-ups with enterprise clients would be the key revenue driver over medium
term. We also expect a sector consolidation story in due course with larger organised
and branded players taking up centres from smaller players as clients gravitate
towards branded players across cities in India.
In this context, Awfis’ strategy for expansion through the asset-light MA route along
with a combination of SL contracts could enable the company to grow operational
seats at 35% CAGR over FY24-27E. We assume minimal blended occupied seat price
increase (4-5% like-to-like) over FY24-27E with a steady state operational portfolio
occupancy of ~70% over FY25-27E as new centres take 6-12 months to fully mature.
Note: As per the existing accounting standards under IND-AS, lease payment paid
to space owners/landlords by co-working/flexible space operators is accounted
below reported IND-AS EBITDA under line items of financial expenses and
depreciation which does not give an accurate picture of EBITDA growth and
EBITDA margin. Hence, we have calculated IGAAP EBITDA and EBITDA margin
which factor in the actual lease payments for the period.
Avg. Monthly Price per Occupied Seat 7,866 7,945 8,024 8,104
YoY Growth (%) 8.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Source: Company data, I-Sec research
0 -
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
We estimate the company may deliver 31% revenue CAGR over FY24-27E driven
largely by seat expansion across cities. At the same time, we estimate it may clock
48% IGAAP EBITDA CAGR over FY24-27E with EBITDA margin rising to 13.5% by
FY27E from 9.2% as of FY24 as the business sees operations of scale, higher
contribution of non-seat revenue and cost optimisation initiatives in existing centres.
With the company having estimated net cash balance of INR 0.4bn as of FY24 and
IPO proceeds of INR 1.3bn in Q1FY25, we expect it to generate adequate IGAAP
EBITDA each year between FY24-27E to match its capex, and thereby, retain an
average annual net cash balance of INR 1.7bn between FY25-27E.
10000 8,488 60
44.1
8000 55.7
5,453 31.3 31.9 40
6000 28.3
4000 2,570
1,784 20
2000
0 -
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
1,329 5.0
1500 1.8
1000 780
-
-3.5
500
-5.8 100
-5.0
0
-62 -150
-500 -10.0
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E FY27E
Valuation
Awfis has a unique business model. While the company does not act as a land
aggregator or landlord of office space, it focuses on providing services to its clients on
demand side and also partners with space owners/landlords on supply side. With
Awfis being the first co-working/flexible workspace company in India, there is also
limited scope for comparison with industry peers. Hence, we believe Awfis is more
comparable to listed hotel peers.
We believe given Awfis’ superior RoCE profile which may consistently range over
40% FY26E onwards and net cash balance sheet combined with an estimated 48%
EBITDA CAGR over FY24-27E, an EV/EBITDA of multiple of 25x is justified in line
with hotel peers.
We retain our ADD rating with an unchanged target price of INR 757/share based
on 25x Jun’26E IGAAP EBITDA of INR 2.0bn and adding net cash of INR 1.7bn.
Key risks: Slowdown in overall office leasing across India and pricing competition
among co-working flexible workspace operators.
Valuation of Awfis
Jun’26 INDAS116 EBITDA (INR mn) 2,032
Awfis Enterprise Value (EV) in INR mn (25x EV/EBITDA) 50,803
Add: Net Cash as of Jun’26 (INR mn) 1,727
Awfis Equity Value (INR mn) 52,530
Equity Value per Share (INR) 757
Source: Company data, I-Sec research
Jul-24
Jul-24
Jun-24
Jun-24
Financial Summary
Profit & Loss Cashflow statement
(INR mn, year ending March) (INR mn, year ending March)
Profitability Ratios
RoCE (%) 24.8 39.5 49.5 50.0
RoE (%) (8.4) 9.5 18.5 18.5
Source Company data, I-Sec research
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