Beginners Guide to
CAPITAL ASSET PRICING
MODEL (CAPM)
Ever wondered how much return you
should expect from an investment?
Knowing the potential return on your
investments is crucial whether you're a
seasoned investor or just starting out.
This is where the Capital Asset Pricing
Model (CAPM) comes into play.
CAPM was developed by William F.
Sharpe, John Lintner, and Jan Mossin in
the 1960s.
It is a tool used to determine how much
return you should expect from an
investment based on its market risk.
CAPM Formula
E(Ri) = Rf + βi + (Rm−Rf)
Where:
E(Ri) = Expected return of the
investment
Rf = Risk-free rate
βi= Beta of the investment
Rm = Expected return of the market
Rm−Rf= Market risk premium
Risk-Free Rate (Rf): This is the return on
an investment with zero risk, typically
government bonds. It represents the
minimum return investors expect for any
investment.
Beta (β): Beta measures an investment's
volatility compared to the market.
Beta > 1 = higher volatility
beta < 1 =lower volatility
Market Risk Premium (Rm - Rf):
Additional return investors expect from
the market over the risk-free rate.
A Simple Example to Understand
Imagine you are considering investing
in a stock with a beta of 1.2. The risk-free
rate is 3%, and the expected return of
the market is 8%.
Using the CAPM formula:
E(Ri)= 3% + 1.2 × (8%−3%)
E(Ri)= 3%+1.2 × 5%
E(Ri)= 3% + 6%
E(Ri)= 9%
The expected return on the stock,
according to CAPM, is 9%.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM)
Let’s decode beta a bit more.
Beta = 1 means the stock moves like the
market
Beta = 0 means no market risk, so
expected return is equal to the risk-free
rate
Beta > 1 means more risk, so more
return expected
Beta < 1 means lower risk, so less return
expected
CAPM is useful in many ways
Investors use it to evaluate if a stock’s
return is justified.
Companies use it to calculate cost of
equity for funding decisions.
It’s also used in portfolio construction.
But CAPM also has flaws
It assumes that markets are efficient
and that all investors have the same
expectations.
Beta is based on historical data and
may not accurately predict volatility.
It considers only market risk, ignoring
other real-world factors.