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Investing With The Trend A Rules Based Approach To Money Management 1st Edition Gregory L. Morris Full Chapters Instanly

The document is about the book 'Investing with the Trend: A Rules-Based Approach to Money Management' by Gregory L. Morris, which focuses on systematic investment strategies and market analysis. It discusses various aspects of market behavior, technical analysis, and rules-based money management. The book is published by John Wiley & Sons and is available in multiple formats, including PDF and eBook.

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2 views150 pages

Investing With The Trend A Rules Based Approach To Money Management 1st Edition Gregory L. Morris Full Chapters Instanly

The document is about the book 'Investing with the Trend: A Rules-Based Approach to Money Management' by Gregory L. Morris, which focuses on systematic investment strategies and market analysis. It discusses various aspects of market behavior, technical analysis, and rules-based money management. The book is published by John Wiley & Sons and is available in multiple formats, including PDF and eBook.

Uploaded by

hxkgwkqj160
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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INVESTING
WITH THE TREND
Since 1996, Bloomberg Press has published books for financial professionals on
investing, economics, and policy affecting investors. Titles are written by leading
practitioners and authorities, and have been translated into more than 20 languages.
The Bloomberg Financial Series provides both core reference knowledge and
actionable information for financial professionals. The books are written by experts
familiar with the work flows, challenges, and demands of investment professionals
who trade the markets, manage money, and analyze investments in their capacity of
growing and protecting wealth, hedging risk, and generating revenue.
For a list of available titles, please visit our Web site at www.wiley.com/go/
bloombergpress.
INVESTING
WITH THE TREND
A Rules-Based Approach to
Money Management

Gregory L. Morris
Cover Design: Wiley
Cover Illustration: Smoke Background © iStockphoto.com/Storman; Virtual Chart © iStockphoto.com/
everythingpossible

Copyright © 2014 by Gregory L. Morris. All rights reserved.

Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.


Published simultaneously in Canada.

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any
means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section
107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher,
or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222
Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com.
Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons,
Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at http://www.wiley
.com/go/permissions.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing
this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents
of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose.
No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies
contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate.
Neither the publisher nor author shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including
but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

For general information on our other products and services or for technical support, please contact our Customer
Care Department within the United States at (800) 762-2974, outside the United States at (317) 572-3993 or
fax (317) 572-4002.

Wiley publishes in a variety of print and electronic formats and by print-on-demand. Some material included with
standard print versions of this book may not be included in e-books or in print-on-demand. If this book refers to
media such as a CD or DVD that is not included in the version you purchased, you may download this material at
http://booksupport.wiley.com. For more information about Wiley products, visit www.wiley.com.

ISBN 9781118508374 (Hardcover)


ISBN 9781118726976 (ePDF)
ISBN 9781118726693 (ePub)

Printed in the United States of America


10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
To Laura, and our children, Dusti, Grant, Derek, and Kane.
And our grandchildren: Katy, Kinsey, Grayson, Connor, and Elaine.
Contents

Foreword ix
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xv

CHAPTER 1
Introduction 1

PART I: MARKET FICTION, FLAWS, AND FACTS 13

CHAPTER 2
Fictions Told to Investors 15
CHAPTER 3
Flaws in Modern Financial Theory 27
CHAPTER 4
Misuse of Statistics and Other Controversial Practices 51
CHAPTER 5
The Illusion of Forecasting 57
CHAPTER 6
The Enemy in the Mirror 71
CHAPTER 7
Market Facts: Bull and Bear Markets 83
CHAPTER 8
Market Facts: Valuations, Returns, and Distributions 113

PART II: MARKET RESEARCH 139

CHAPTER 9
Why Technical Analysis? 141
CHAPTER 10
Market Trend Analysis 159

vii
viii Contents

CHAPTER 11
Drawdown Analysis 231

PART III: RULES-BASED MONEY MANAGEMENT 267

CHAPTER 12
Popular Indicators and Their Uses 269
CHAPTER 13
Measuring the Market 281
CHAPTER 14
Security Ranking, Selection, Rules, and Guidelines 319
CHAPTER 15
Putting It All Together: The “Dancing with the Trend” Model 355
CHAPTER 16
Putting Trend-Following to Work 391

CHAPTER 17
Conclusions 399

Appendix A: Passive versus Active Management 409


Appendix B: Trend Analysis Tables 413
Appendix C: Market Breadth 445
Appendix D: Recommended Reading 457
Bibliography 459
About the Author 467
About the Online Resources 469
Index 471
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