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INVESTING
WITH THE TREND
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INVESTING
WITH THE TREND
A Rules-Based Approach to
Money Management
Gregory L. Morris
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Foreword ix
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xv
CHAPTER 1
Introduction 1
CHAPTER 2
Fictions Told to Investors 15
CHAPTER 3
Flaws in Modern Financial Theory 27
CHAPTER 4
Misuse of Statistics and Other Controversial Practices 51
CHAPTER 5
The Illusion of Forecasting 57
CHAPTER 6
The Enemy in the Mirror 71
CHAPTER 7
Market Facts: Bull and Bear Markets 83
CHAPTER 8
Market Facts: Valuations, Returns, and Distributions 113
CHAPTER 9
Why Technical Analysis? 141
CHAPTER 10
Market Trend Analysis 159
vii
viii Contents
CHAPTER 11
Drawdown Analysis 231
CHAPTER 12
Popular Indicators and Their Uses 269
CHAPTER 13
Measuring the Market 281
CHAPTER 14
Security Ranking, Selection, Rules, and Guidelines 319
CHAPTER 15
Putting It All Together: The “Dancing with the Trend” Model 355
CHAPTER 16
Putting Trend-Following to Work 391
CHAPTER 17
Conclusions 399
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