The Jordanian Passage To Sustainable Electrical Power: Case Study of Challenges and Opportunities
The Jordanian Passage To Sustainable Electrical Power: Case Study of Challenges and Opportunities
Emad Awada
Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering Technology, Al-Balqa Applied University, Amman, Jordan
Corresponding Author:
Emad Awada
Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering Technology, Al-Balqa Applied University
Amman 11134, Jordan
Email: [email protected]
1. INTRODUCTION
As energy is essential for modern society, its availability and cost range affect every aspect of
human life. In fact, at the end of the last century, energy supply and environmental destruction emerged as
key elements in global sustainable development [1]-[3]. That is, issues such as fossil fuel prices reaching
significant values, severe environmental impact, and resource dominance by a few countries [3]-[5] have
driven researchers, policymakers, and planners to adopt new methods to secure energy for the following
generation. In Kim et al. [6], while the International Energy Agency (IEA) defines energy security as the
accessibility of resources at a reasonable price, the oil crisis in the 1970s had escalated oil prices and shifted
European and American interests to the Middle East oil for security and stability [4]. As a result, the whole
world has started looking into replacing conventional energy sources with new renewable sources. For
example, as Jordan's energy future is affected directly by geopolitical instability and economic fluctuations,
the ability to maintain energy security has been a critical issue. In the geopolitical uncertainty, Jordan faces
considerable limitations in conventional resources, including crude oil, coal, and natural gas, which make the
country susceptible to global energy market disruptions. According to Enerdata [7] and the Jordanian
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, Jordan imports 94% of its energy supplies from neighboring
countries while its domestic demand continues to increase at 3% a year. Therefore, as energy demand
continues to rise, energy consumption is projected to accelerate sharply in the near future [8] with the risk of
hindering supplies due to major political conflict in the rejoin [9]. In 2022, the Jordanian Ministry of Energy
and Mineral Resources (MEMR) [10] published an annual report highlighting the primary sectors of energy
consumption. The report has shown that the transportation, residential, and industrial sectors accounted for
the top three energy consumers, with a combined total of 85% of the country's energy and 22% for the
residential sector. Yet, due to ongoing population growth, this percentage is anticipated to increase rapidly
[9]. Meanwhile, based on historical data provided by the National Electric Power Company (NEPCO) [11],
the use of fossil fuels for power generation has been surging over the last two decades, which will limit the
country's economic growth. In the latest published report for the MEMR, Jordan Energy Strategy 2020-2030,
the primary energy forecasted demand between 2020 and 2030 is shown in Table 1. With an 8% increase by
2030, crude oil will form 51%, followed by natural gas with 25% of total projected fossil fuel energy
consumption [10].
According to the official reports from the Jordanian Petroleum Refinery [12], Jordan continues to
rely heavily on imported crude oil, both now and in the foreseeable future. Interestingly, as noted by Momani
[13], even when oil prices soared to $147 per barrel in 2008, this dependence on crude oil as the country’s
primary energy source remained unchanged. In Abu-Attieh et al. [14], natural gas and crude oil were the
main energy sources utilized by Jordan in 2018. That is, up to 89% of the total energy mix in Jordan was
based on imported natural gas and crude oil. Meanwhile, in Sandri et al. [15], imported fossil fuels continue
to dominate Jordan's energy mix for 2020. Therefore, the nation's energy security is at risk due to global and
local events. This situation worsens as the nature of demographic expansion arises. On the other hand, the
influx of refugees from neighboring countries, such as Syria and Iraq, is placing an increasing burden as
energy demand rises. Additionally, regional stability and disturbance may affect energy supplies. In 2011, an
intentional explosive assault against the Jordanian and Egyptian primary gas feeder line that provided 88% of
Jordan's supplies cost the country 4 billion JD for alternative sources to operate power plants [9]. Therefore,
energy policy and security were re-examined, and alternative resources such as nuclear [15] and oil
shale [10], [13] were reconsidered.
This case study will add to the literature on Jordan's energy security and sustainability in terms of
policy, geopolitical treaties, environmental, and technological developments. By investigating the energy
situation in Jordan, identifying key obstacles, and assessing energy source availability, this study intends to find
the pathway to achieve sustainability and feasibility in electrical energy security.
2. METHOD
Environmental considerations, sustainable resources, governmental policy, and regulations will be
investigated to conclude the frameworks that influence energy security, futures, and impact based on regional
geopolitical factors and resource availability. As a critical aspect of this analysis, energy demand patterns,
consumption trends, distribution networks, and alternative renewable energy resources will be addressed to
highlight the Jordanian path to sustainable electrical energy. Aiming to transform Jordan’s energy sector,
governmental and private sector involvement is required to diversify energy sources, reform energy markets
from traditional fossil fuels to renewable alternative resources, and implement new regulatory incentives. By
investigating energy implications, environmental considerations, and projected future electrical consumption,
the study will provide long-term electrical energy sustainability in Jordan.
The Jordanian passage to sustainable electrical power: case study of challenges and … (Emad Awada)
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imported from Egypt to form an overall 96% of Jordan's energy market [17], [18]. As a result, this massive
amount of imported fossil fuel has a serious impact on energy security and could lead to critical power
disruptions due to political conflict.
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behaviors play substantial roles in unnecessary energy depletion or conservation. According to the NEPCO
annual report for dwelling types' electrical consumption, in 2013, the total building electrical consumption was
43.02%, and this percentage increased to 45.12% in 2018. As a result, this increase in residential consumption
has cost the national electrical company over 17 million Jordanian dinars [24], forcing decision-makers to take
serious action to minimize energy consumption and arrange for a new source of electrical power.
Focusing on residential buildings in Amman, Jordan, three urban categories (single houses,
apartments, and large houses) form this sector. That is, based on Monna et al. [25] for 2015, single houses,
which construct 55% consume an average of 3600 kWh/year per house, apartment buildings form 42% with
approximately 5400 kWh/year per apartment unit, and large houses (villa) forming 2.8% with an average of
9600 kWh/year per villa. Yet, residential electrical consumption is expected to increase by 30% in
2030 [11], [26]. However, as in Table 2 for Jordan's electrical tariff structure [11], charging per kWh
increments from one tier to another as electrical consumption increases. This will lead to an average of 70
JD/month for the two largest residential types, single houses and apartment dwellings. Meanwhile, for the villa
households, an average of 140 JD/month as charges per kWh shifted through the tariff tier rapidly.
Meanwhile, as the residential sector forms an important consumption sector, residential electrical
consumption can be categorized by household appliances, where cooling, heating, and water heating
collectively account for approximately 64% of residential electrical consumption [22].
As a result, a few practices can be recommended to conserve energy and cut down on cooling,
heating, and water-heating electrical consumption, such as:
- Construct buildings with energy-star ratings to improve insulation.
- Use passive techniques in designing buildings, such as increasing shaded area, building orientation, and
window-to-wall ratio.
- Use energy-saving appliances and implement and promote energy efficiency initiatives.
- Promote solar thermal water heaters.
- Promote renewable energy systems such as solar PV panels for low-cost renewable energy.
- Develop and enforce a sustainable energy policy and regulation.
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energy. An outline and obligations of electricity purchasers and sellers, emphasizing that the sale of
renewable energy should be made to licensed wholesale or retail providers through purchase agreements that
follow the law. In the residential sector, extra restrictions have been applied in terms of qualifications, the
amount of allowed power production (5.5 KW peak), and smart grid-metering technologies to optimize
energy management [30]. On the other hand, as water heaters consume 15% of residential electrical energy,
the MEMR passed a law in 2013 to enforce the installation of water heaters for residential dwellings larger
than 150 m2 to accommodate renewable rather than conventional energy. This law exempted small dwellings,
less than 150 m2, and businesses [10]. To expedite the economy in Jordan, the Finance Ministry passed a law
to drop closing fees by 70% on residential dwellings between 150 m 2 and 120 m2 and exempt units below
120 m2. As a result, dwellings with 150 m2 or more became less attractive to tenants; units consisting of solar
heaters did not exceed 20% in Amman, and less than 10% of projected new constructions [10]. On the single-
house side, which forms 55% of the residency, the majority have relied on the benefit of renewable energy
modifications by replacing the conventional electrical water heater with a solar water heater, installing solar
photovoltaic panels, and replacing conventional home appliances with energy-star-rated appliances for
maximum energy conservation. That is, as technology advances, 7% of residential electrical power
consumption can be eliminated by the new solar water heaters equipped with well-insulated water cylinders
and capable of preserving water temperature for more than 72 hours. Meanwhile, in terms of the solar
photovoltaic system, a standard residential system comes with 10 double-face monocrystalline panels, 2 m in
height by 1 m in width each, and a 550-watt output. The system has a capability of 5.5 kW output peak on an
ideal sunny day and perpendicular irradiation. As in Awada et al. [9], with an average 6 sun-hours time
window, and 6.5 kWp/m2 (average peak wattage for the year), daily energy production in kWh can be
determined as in (1).
Where: 𝑊𝑝𝑣 = array peak wattage, kWp; E = daily energy, kWh; PSHs = Average daily Peak Sun Hours of
PV array operation; and 𝜂𝑠𝑦𝑠 = system efficiency.
On a rooftop area of 20 m2, an average of 8190 kWh/annual, and 682.5 kWh/month can be
generated to cover typical single household and apartment consumption in normal conditions and turn out a
minimum light bill of 12 JD (taxes 5 JD and holding fee 7 JD). For villas, a huge benefit can be attained
through dropping to the first tariff tier, as purchase power will drop on average to 160 kWh/month with no
holding and a 0.042 Jordanian dinar (JOD)/kWh tariff. Meanwhile, as in Monna et al. [25], the average
effective rooftop area for solar PV installation is 126 m 2, 253 m2, and 213 m2 for single houses, apartment
buildings, and villas, respectively, as in Table 3. Accordingly, these facts have suggested renewable energy
space availability and the obligation of residential installation.
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power generation, residential load can be covered and exceeded, as in section 2.5. In addition, the physical
installation of solar PV will provide significant heating and cooling costs by increasing the shaded area
(rooftop). Therefore, the national electrical power company can drastically save on residential electrical
power consumption by enacting a law to invest in residential PV electrical generation.
Table 4. Max./Min. Solar PV electrical power generation based on the residential building rooftop area
Building category Effective PV Min. solar Min. electrical power Max. solar Max. electrical power
area system units generation system units generation
Houses 126 m2 1 8190 kWh/annual 6 49,140 kWh/annual
Apartment Bldg. with 10 253 m2 10 81,900 kWh/annual 12 98,280 kWh/annual
apartments. units
Villa 213 m2 1 8190 kWh/annual 10 81,900 kWh/annual
As a result, to build a sustainable future and long-term energy strategy, Jordan must focus on
upgrading infrastructure and expanding the legal and regulatory framework for renewable energy. However,
achieving this goal requires collaboration between policymakers, engineers, technology developers, and
investors. Unfortunately, political and economic short-sightedness has slowed technology transfer and stable
energy planning. These obstacles make it harder for Jordan to achieve energy independence and can
significantly impact the country's future energy strategy. To overcome these challenges, the government must
introduce major incentives for upgrading electrical grid infrastructure, promoting solar water heater
installations, and implementing a range of renewable energy projects in all sectors. Whether financed by the
public or private sector, these initiatives will help alleviate Jordan’s energy crisis. Expanding renewable
energy capacity will not only reduce reliance on imported oil but also ease the burden on power generation
companies by decreasing fuel consumption. In similar case studies, in Aldhubaib [33], Saudi Arabia's energy
policy was examined to highlight its challenges, particularly its heavy reliance on fossil fuels without
alternative energy sources. With rapid population and economic growth, Saudi Arabia was the largest oil
consumer in the Middle East and one of the highest globally, consuming approximately 3.5 million barrels
per day. Meanwhile, in terms of electricity consumption, buildings accounted for 29% of total energy use,
with per capita consumption steadily increasing. In response, decision-makers implemented significant
measures to promote alternative, sustainable electricity generation. Given the country's high direct solar
irradiance of up to 30 MJ/m² per day, Saudi Arabia's installed solar energy farm with a capacity reached
nearly 440 MW in 2021 and set a plan for 58.7 GW of solar electrical power generation by 2030, which
forms around 70% of the country's power generation. In another case, as in Akpan et al. [34], Zimbabwe's
energy landscape was examined, highlighting the integration of renewable energy into the national grid.
Alongside the existing hydropower generation capacity, photovoltaic (PV) systems have gained significant
acceptance. These systems are being increasingly adopted to alleviate the load on the national grid and
mitigate frequent power outages. Yet, despite the renewable energy substantial growth in the last few years,
the adoption of renewable energy comes with challenges such as high Initial costs, power storage, power
intermittency, grid integration, resource availability, and policy constraints [35]. That is, in countries with
economic constraints and infrastructure limitations, the integration and transition to sustainable renewable
energy systems could face barriers and hinder growth [35], [36]. For example, in Basit et al. [37], Countries
with power generation that have traditionally depended on fossil fuel power plants, as baseload providers,
will have low ramping rates and infrastructure to accommodate load fluctuations. Consequently, the
integration of solar PV systems into the existing power network may introduce challenges in network
reliability and stability, such as voltage imbalances, frequency fluctuations, and power flow disruptions. As a
result, although the energy mix continues to grow, the integration between renewable and conventional
energy networks remains an issue in many countries as the infrastructure must be updated [38]-[40].
5. CONCLUSION
With a population of over 9.5 million, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan is characterized as an oil-
poor country in a disturbed region. Being dependent on external sources, Jordan has been forced to allocate
around 25% of its gross domestic product (GDP) to the energy sector. Yet, any disturbance in the Middle
East region directly affects Jordanian energy security. In today’s era of the highest level of energy prices, the
size of the Jordanian energy market has doubled since 1990, with very limited local energy resources. With
no obvious energy plans, either on a national scale or in Arab countries, different Jordanian sectors are
planning their energy needs based on a general trend of energy supply and demand. The situation indeed
needs a comprehensive plan to assess the impact of worldwide energy policy and Jordan's national energy
security. Therefore, the need to diversify energy resources beyond traditional sources is required. Financial
incentives, such as tax exemptions to enhance private initiatives in the field of renewable energy, are required
The Jordanian passage to sustainable electrical power: case study of challenges and … (Emad Awada)
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to enable renewable energy with long-term projects as promising energy sources. In addition, long-term
power purchasing agreements need to be secured to establish a sustainable electrical price at a premium tariff
over the cost of electricity generation, allowing the private sector to recover the costs of the project. In
general, as the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan is facing several pending challenges, such as meeting an
increasing demand for energy supply, reducing emissions, and increasing energy supply security, the
Jordanian law, regulations, and future energy strategies in terms of renewable energy must be expanded for
extra future reliance and significant steps toward energy security and independence.
FUNDING INFORMATION
Author states no funding is involved.
Name of Author C M So Va Fo I R D O E Vi Su P Fu
Emad Awada ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
DATA AVAILABILITY
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, [EA],
upon reasonable request.
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BIOGRAPHIES OF AUTHORS
Emad Awada received the B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees in Electrical
Engineering from Prairie View A&M University, USA, in 1998, 2006, and 2011, respectively.
He is currently an associate professor at the Department of Electrical Engineering, Al-Balqa
Applied University, Jordan. His research interests include power systems, renewable energy,
energy conservation, mixed-signal systems, signal processing, and power fault detection. He
can be contacted at email: [email protected].
The Jordanian passage to sustainable electrical power: case study of challenges and … (Emad Awada)