Bajaj Housing Finance
Bajaj Housing Finance
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01 09
Bajaj Housing Finance
Page # 03
Page # 38
Summary
Peer comparison
02 10
Page # 06
Story in charts Page # 40
Valuation and view
03
Page # 8 11
Company overview Page # 41
Beyond brick and mortar: Key Risks
04 Playing the major league
Page # 09
Shareholding pattern
Bajaj Housing Finance (BHFL) is the fastest-growing
and the second-largest HFC in India, with a five-
year AUM CAGR of ~29% over FY20-FY25. It had an
12
AUM of INR1.2t as of Jun’25. Page # 42
BHFL offers a comprehensive suite of mortgage
05 products that cater to a broad spectrum of
customers, ranging from individual homebuyers to
Leadership Team of Bajaj
Housing Finance
Page # 10 large-scale developers. BHFL has also introduced a
near-prime and affordable segment, positioning
Leader in mortgages with a
comprehensive product suite
itself to serve the entire housing finance
ecosystem.
13
The company has exhibited one of the strongest Page # 43
asset quality profiles among its peers, driven by its
06 focus on large, prime-ticket loans, coupled with
stringent underwriting standards and prudent risk
Board of Directors of Bajaj
Housing Finance
Page # 14 management practices. GNPA has remained
Strengthening the core for
sustained growth
consistently benign, ranging between 0.30-0.35%,
over the past five years, highlighting the resilience 14
and stability of its portfolio.
Page # 44
RoE is expected to remain moderate in the
medium term, at ~13-14%, due to intense ESG initiatives
07 competition and relatively low yields in the prime
Page # 20
home loan segment. While Bajaj Group’s strong
execution capabilities add credibility, the current
premium valuations, when weighed against the
15
Growth leader in mortgages; modest RoE profile, may result in subpar stock Page # 45
execution better than peers returns going forward. Bull and bear cases
BHFL trades at 3.6x P/BV and 29x FY27E P/E, which
08
is a ~60% premium to its IPO price. We model
AUM/PAT CAGR of ~22% each over FY25-28E, with
an RoA/RoE of 2.3%/14.2% in FY28E. We initiate
16
Page # 33 coverage on BHFL with a Neutral rating and a TP of Page # 46
INR120 (premised on 3.6x Sep’27E P/BV). SWOT analysis
Housing finance industry:
Unlocking the long-term
potential 17
Page # 47
Financials and valuations
September 2025 2
Initiating Coverage | Sector: NBFCs
September 2025 3
Bajaj Housing Finance
The company maintains a low-risk, sustainable balance sheet, with its loans
against property (LAP), lease rental discounting (LRD), and Construction Finance
books also being granular (relative to the industry). A significant margin of safety
is ensured through conservative LTV at origination. With guided gross NPAs of
0.6-0.8% and minimal credit costs, BHFL is positioned as a high-quality, low-
volatility player in an otherwise competitive mortgage sector.
September 2025 4
Bajaj Housing Finance
Asset quality resilient; expect benign credit costs of ~15bp over FY26-28
BHFL has demonstrated robust asset quality performance over the years, which
is attributed to: 1) a focus on low-risk salaried and mass affluent segment,
wherein ~85% of its customers were salaried as of FY25, 2) centralized
underwriting processes augmented by digitized credit processes and collection
teams, 3) tight commercial underwriting and a focus on low-risk LRD within the
wholesale segment, and 4) close tracking of early warning signals (EWS) and
portfolio monitoring. This has translated into significantly lower credit costs.
Over the past three years, the company’s GS3 remained in the range of ~0.2%-
0.3%, outperforming peers whose GNPA ranged between ~1.5% and 8.2%
during the same period.
While the share of non-housing loans in the loan mix has risen, the majority of
these loans continue to be low-risk. Given the evolving risk profile of the
company’s loan book, it guides for normalized credit costs of ~20-22bp and
GNPA in the range of ~40-60bp over the medium term. We estimate credit costs
of ~15-16bp over FY26-FY28.
September 2025 5
Bajaj Housing Finance
STORY IN CHARTS
Bajaj Housing Finance: Playing the major league
A B C D
Granular and low- Best-in-class sourcing, Declining rate cycle Asset quality resilient;
risk business model underwriting, and to weigh on NTI expect benign credit
collection framework despite stable costs of ~15bp over
spreads FY26-28
Well-diversified Tech-driven,
borrowing scalable
Healthy return
profile; potential distribution;
ratios for a high
NTI risks from a strong parentage
quality franchise
declining rate of the Bajaj
cycle Group
September 2025 6
Bajaj Housing Finance
STORY IN CHARTS
Expect disbursements CAGR of 15% over FY25-28 AUM CAGR of ~22% over FY25-FY28E
Disbursements (INR b) YoY Growth (%) AUM (INR b) YoY Growth (%)
37
31 30 32
30
26
23 22
21
16 19
15
12 13
-
262 343 447 499 562 652 751 389 533 692 914 1,147 1,388 1,707 2,090
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Expect spreads to remain at ~1.9% in FY26E NIMs to remain broadly stable in FY26E
7.9 7.4
6.9 7.6 7.2 7.1
5.9 6.7
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Expect asset quality to remain stable Credit costs to remain around ~15bp in FY27/FY28E
GNPA (%) NNPA (%) PCR (%) Provisions (INR m) Credit costs (%)
63.6 63.7 0.69
60.3 58.0
54.3 56.0 55.0
38.0
0.39
0.20 0.16 0.15 0.16
0.2 0.08 0.08
0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2
0.1 2,472 1,811 1,235 609 801 1,990 2,354 2,944
0.4 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
77.2
56.6
14.6 15.2 14.2
13.4 13.2
11.1 11.9
37.6
7.8
24.9 25.2 24.3
16.9
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
September 2025 7
Bajaj Housing Finance
Company overview
With an AUM of INR1.2t as of Jun’25, BHFL is the second-largest HFC in India
after LICHF. It operates as a subsidiary of Bajaj Finance, one of India’s most
diversified NBFCs, which serves ~107m customers across the country. BHFL is
headquartered in Pune.
BHFL offers finance to both individuals and corporate entities for purchasing and
renovating homes or commercial spaces. It also provides LAP for business or
personal needs, along with working capital for business expansion. Additionally,
the company extends financing to developers engaged in the construction of
residential and commercial properties and offers LRD to developers and high-
net-worth individuals.
BHFL has an extensive distribution network of 217 branches expanding through
21 states and 175 locations as of Jun’25. The company delivered an AUM CAGR
of ~29% over FY20-FY25. It has maintained a robust asset quality, and its gross
stage 3 (GS3) stood at ~0.3% as of end-FY25.
Exhibit 1: Bajaj Group structure - Bajaj Finance, the parent company, holds ~88.75% stake in BHFL
September 2025 8
Bajaj Housing Finance
Shareholding pattern
Corporates
88.7
Others
September 2025 9
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 5: Top five states account for ~67% of branches; Maharashtra leads with ~26%
Branches
Maharashtra (%) Karnataka (%) Gujarat (%)
Rajasthan (%) Madhya Pradesh (%) Others (%)
27 30 33
9 9 9
11 11 10
14 14 13
10 10 9
28 27 26
September 2025 10
Bajaj Housing Finance
loans sourced through indirect channels have a higher ATS of INR4.9m. The
company emphasizes lending to customers with higher CIBIL scores, with ~77%
of its customers having a CIBIL score of >750.
The company originates home loans through: 1) its direct-to-customer (D2C)
BHFL launched a specialized
strategic business unit in team, which leverages the builder ecosystem, branch-based engagements, and
FY22 focused on near-prime its internal digital assets to optimize lead conversion, and 2) its partnerships with
and affordable housing intermediaries, including channel partners, aggregators, DSAs, and connectors, to
customer segments. deepen its penetration in micro-markets.
To broaden its housing loan portfolio, BHFL launched a specialized strategic
business unit (SBU) in FY22 focused on near-prime and affordable housing
customer segments. It introduced Sambhav Home Loans, designed for first-time
buyers from lower-income segments. Additionally, to offer a complete mortgage
solution across customer categories, BHFL has expanded its customer profile to
cover self-employed non-professional customers.
Home loans customer mix CIBIL >750 CIBIL 650-750 CIBIL < 650
Salaried (%) SEP (%) SENP (%)
1.6 1.2 1.0
19.7 20.8 21.6
5 4 8
5 5 11 12
4
4 4 78.6 78.0 77.4
90 90 87 85 84
September 2025 11
Bajaj Housing Finance
Salaried (%) SEP (%) SENP (%) Direct (%) Indirect (%)
11 12 11 49.4 49.3
7 7 45.5
24 24 20 17 16
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 Jun'25 FY22 FY23 FY24
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company DRHP
Developer finance
BHFL provides financing to developers for both residential and commercial real
estate development projects, adopting a D2C approach. This strategy emphasizes
Provides milestone-linked tranche
cultivating a granular loan book by extending construction finance to developers
disbursements to projects. All
transactions are backed by the with a proven record of on-time project completion, strong financial health, and
escrow mechanism. consistent loan repayment practices. BHFL caters to developers that are focused
on micro market, regional, as well as pan-India projects.
The company provides developer financing across 16 locations in India. As of
Jun’25, it reported an ATS of ~INR490m, with 812 active funded projects and 543
Key objective developer active developer relationships.
financing is to create a The loans provided in this segment are secured through project cash flows,
sourcing funnel for BHFL’s project inventory, land, and an undivided share of land. BHFL provides milestone-
retail home loan business linked tranche disbursements to projects based on the stage of construction,
sales, and collections. All these transactions are backed by the escrow
mechanism for cash flow tracking.
A key objective of the company’s developer financing segment is to create a
sourcing funnel for its retail home loan business.
September 2025 12
Bajaj Housing Finance
Affordable housing
To further broaden its market reach, BHFL has launched a specialized SBU
Recently launched Sambhav targeting near-prime and affordable housing customer segments, offering
Home Loans, a near prime customized financial products to individuals who carry marginally higher credit
and affordable home loan risks than traditional prime borrowers.
option for first-time buyers This SBU is designed to carefully calibrate pricing strategies that reflect the
from lower-income segments
nuanced risk profiles of slightly more vulnerable customers, providing
competitively priced solutions without compromising the risk thresholds defined
for this business.
BHFL has recently launched Sambhav Home Loans, a near prime and affordable
home loan option for first-time buyers from lower-income segments. Through
this strategic expansion, the company aims to secure a wider customer base,
effectively manage credit risk, and sustain profitability in this distinct segment of
the financial market.
Exhibit 10: Housing loan dominates the product mix, holding ~56% share in total AUM (%)
66 62 62 59 58 56 56
September 2025 13
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 11: Share of indirect sourcing increasing in HL Exhibit 12: Broadly 50:50, direct and indirect sourcing in LAP
Home loans sourcing mix LAP sourcing mix
Direct (%) Indirect (%) Direct (%) Indirect (%)
D2C strategy
BHFL engages directly with customers through its branch-based sales teams,
enabling personalized service and fostering loyalty. The D2C approach also
leverages digital platforms to streamline processes, reduce costs, and enhance
customer convenience, with features like lead tracking and improved website
functionalities driving penetration and lead generation.
September 2025 14
Bajaj Housing Finance
Retail underwriting
The company has established a centralized underwriting process managed
BHFL has implemented a through six hubs, supported by the implementation of straight-through
dashboard monitoring system processing (STP) for salaried customers and approved project finance (APF)
that allows the risk team to projects. This setup ensures faster and more accurate loan evaluations. The
pinpoint potential issues and process is further strengthened by digitized credit workflows and the strategic
take timely corrective actions integration of account aggregators, which provide digital access to customers’
financial data from multiple institutions—subject to customer consent—enabling
efficient retail underwriting.
Furthermore, the risk team monitors EWS in accounts with a history of payment
bounces to identify customers with a higher risk of delinquency. The company
also conducts periodic portfolio reviews, leveraging credit bureau reports and
credit databases. Additionally, it has implemented a dashboard monitoring
September 2025 15
Bajaj Housing Finance
system that allows the risk team to access key borrower information, pinpoint
potential issues, and take timely corrective actions.
Commercial underwriting
BHFL has specialized underwriting teams for LRD and developer financing,
operating within stringent board-approved credit policies. During the initial
approval stage, the field teams conduct preliminary evaluations of loan
applications, examining the developer's/ customer’s profile, transaction
structure, proposed funding schedules, and project milestones.
Subsequently, a comprehensive credit appraisal memo supports the
underwriting of each loan, which is reviewed by the centralized team. To ensure
the security of commercial transactions, repayments are managed through
escrow mechanisms, providing effective oversight and transparency over project
cash flows and rental income associated with developer financing and LRD,
respectively.
Collection framework
Four-tier in-house collection BHFL has a well-established collections framework supported by a robust four-
infrastructure, including tier in-house infrastructure, which includes touch-free collections (tele-calling),
touch-free collections (tele- field collections, legal recovery, and settlement processes to efficiently manage
calling), field collections,
loan collections.
legal recovery, and
As of Mar’25, the collections team consisted of 260 personnel (compared to 356
settlement processes
as of Mar’24). While this number seems to have declined YoY, the decline is
primarily due to a change in hiring strategy. Over the past two years, BHFL has
increasingly added junior-level officers on outsourced payroll, and if these
outsourced staff were to be included, the effective collections team size would
have remained broadly stable.
The company has also set up a specialized collections team to manage cases
where collections are overdue for a certain period, as well as a separate team to
focus on the resolution of cases through SARFAESI. As a result, collection
efficiency improved from ~98.4% in FY22 to 99.5% in FY25P.
September 2025 16
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 14: Share of bank borrowings declined to ~37% as of Jun’25 from ~59% in FY22
Borrowing Mix (%)
Banks NHB Refinance Non-Convertible Debentures Commercial Paper Deposits
10 1 4 3 3
36 35
30 46 51
- 4 10
10 10
59 59 51 41 37
September 2025 17
Bajaj Housing Finance
37
Non-Convertible
Debentures
51
Commercial Paper
10
Deposits
8 7 6 4 4 8 2 1 1 0
1 1 1 1 5 5 8 8 10 10 15 14 28 27 55 55 72 71 100 100
1-7D 8-14D 15-30/31D >1-2M >2-3M >3-6M >6M-1Y >1-3Y >3-5Y >5Y
Note: *As a % of cumulative outflows; Source: MOFSL, Company
To manage the interest rate risk arising from the mismatch of fixed-rate
liabilities and floating-rate assets, the company enters into interest rate swaps
to convert the notional amount of fixed-rate liabilities into floating-rate
liabilities.
September 2025 18
Bajaj Housing Finance
The committee monitors the regulatory LCR for compliance and liquidity
maintenance. LCR stood at 125% as of Mar’25 as against the regulatory
requirement of 100%.
28.2
0.5 25.5
23.0 23.3 21.6
19.7 21.3 0.4
0.8 0.3 0.3
0.8 0.6
27.7 25.1
22.2 20.7 23.0 21.3
19.0
September 2025 19
Bajaj Housing Finance
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY27E
FY26E
FY28E
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26E
FY27E
FY28E
BHFL remains committed to maintaining a low-risk retail portfolio, with housing
loans comprising ~56% of its product mix as of Jun’25. However, the company is
strategically driving growth by expanding its non-housing loan portfolio
(including wholesale/corporate loans), which has grown from ~34% in total
AUM mix in FY19 to ~44% in FY25. This shift is expected to support blended
yields in a declining interest rate cycle and partly offset the compression in
margins and the impact on profitability.
BHFL aims to broaden its housing loan portfolio by further expanding into the
affordable housing segment (launched in FY22). This expansion is driven by a
risk-calibrated strategy to effectively address the full spectrum of the housing
loan market.
The company plans to further expand its geographical presence, strengthen
relationships with existing developers, onboard new developers who meet its
Peers like LICHF and PNBHF stringent underwriting standards, and focus on building a granular and
exhibited significant stress diversified portfolio.
(post-Covid) in their
BHFL has demonstrated a superior AUM CAGR over the last five years, and we
wholesale loan book but
believe that its growth leadership in the mortgage segment will continue. While
BHFL was able to navigate it
its peers like LICHF and PNBHF exhibited significant stress (post-Covid) in their
far better than its peers
wholesale loan book, BHFL was able to navigate the Covid stress far better than
its peers.
September 2025 20
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 20: BHFL grew faster than its peers over the last five years
AUM growth YoY (%)
37 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E
30 32
26
21 23
17 18
13
8 9 8 8 9 7
5
-10 -1
Exhibit 21: Disbursements momentum has improved for both BHFL and PNBHF
Disbursements growth YoY (%)
FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E
31 33
30 25 24
21
16 17
12 13 9 12 11
4
-8
BHFL has gradually increased the proportion of non-home loans in its AUM mix. As a
result, the proportion of home loans has reduced from 66% in FY19 to 56% as of
Jun’25.
Exhibit 22: Proportion of non-home loans has gradually increased over the last few years
(%)
AUM Mix (%)
Housing Loans LRD LAP Developer finance Rural Mortgage Loans Other loans
3 3 3 3 2 1 1
4 - -
5 5 5 5 6 4 9 11 - 13 12
12 12 12 9 10 11 10
9 12 13 16 19 19 20
66 62 62 59 58 56 56
September 2025 21
Bajaj Housing Finance
10 LAP
56 Developer finance
20
Rural Mortgage Loans
Other loans
Exhibit 24: 84% of the home loan customers are salaried Exhibit 25: 16% of LAP customers are salaried customers
LAP customer mix
Home loans customer mix
Salaried (%) SEP (%) SENP (%) Salaried (%) SEP (%) SENP (%)
5 4
8 11
5 5 12
4 64 64 69 76 77
4 4
90 90 87 11 12
85 84 11 7 7
24 24 20 17 16
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 Jun'25 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 Jun'25
Source: MOFSL, Company; Source: MOFSL, Company
Note: SENP: Self-employed Non-Professional; SEP: Self-employed professional Note: SENP: Self-employed Non-Professional; SEP: Self-employed professional
September 2025 22
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 26: ~85% of the total AUM is from Top 5 states as of Mar’25 (%)
AUM mix (basis geography)
Maharashtra Karnataka Telangana Gujarat New Delhi
10 9 8
8 8 8
14 15 15
22 22 23
31 31 32
Exhibit 27: Similarly, ~85% of total disbursements were from Top 5 states in FY25 (%)
Disbursements mix (basis geography)
Maharashtra Karnataka Telangana Gujarat New Delhi
10 9 8
8 8 8
14 15 15
22 22 23
31 31 32
Exhibit 28: Yield trends for large HFCs Exhibit 29: Cost of borrowing trends for large HFCs
Yields (%) CoB (%)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF BHFL LICHF PNBHF
8.0
7.8
7.5
7.8
10.9
7.9
7.3
10.7
7.2
10.6
10.5
7.6
7.4
7.2
6.9
6.9
10.0
6.7
9.9
6.6
9.7
9.5
9.6
9.8
8.8
…
8.3
…
9.0
8.7
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
September 2025 23
Bajaj Housing Finance
Banks offer home loans that are linked to an external benchmark (usually repo
rate), and PSU banks are typically more aggressive in this segment in a declining
interest rate environment. This could prompt BHFL to lower its interest rates
(ahead of the re-pricing of its liabilities) to stem the balance transfer and sustain
its strong growth trajectory.
7.9 7.4
6.9 7.6 7.2 7.1
5.9 6.7
September 2025 24
Bajaj Housing Finance
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Source: MOFSL, Company
PNBHF’s cost-to-income ratio (FY25: 26%) and opex-to-average asset ratio (FY25:
1%) will continue to remain higher than those of its peers, LICHF and BHFL, since it is
also aggressively scaling up a dedicated emerging and affordable housing vertical.
LICHF’s opex-to-avg. asset ratio at ~0.5% is the lowest among HFCs, thanks to its size
and sourcing model.
September 2025 25
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 34: Opex-to-avg. asset trends for BHFL and its peers
Opex to avg. assets (%)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF
Exhibit 35: AUM per branch Exhibit 36: AUM per employee
AUM/branch (INR m) AUM/employee (INR m)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF BHFL LICHF PNBHF
3,328
9,531
3,525
4,250
9,051
2,375
5,309
9,865
2,258
1,088
1,171
1,191
374
144
994
470
248
394
385
356
580
FY23 FY24 FY25 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 37: Disbursements per branch Exhibit 38: Disbursements per employee
Disbursements/branch (INR m) Disbursements/employee (INR m)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF BHFL LICHF PNBHF
1,651
2,282
2,077
1,901
2,309
2,085
792
586
616
September 2025 26
Bajaj Housing Finance
1.1 1.1
1.0 1.0 27.7 29.2
25.7 24.0
0.8
0.7 20.8
0.7 0.6 19.6 17.9 16.5
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
September 2025 27
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 41: Player wise trends in GNPA Exhibit 42: Player wise trends in NNPA
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
September 2025 28
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 43: Credit costs to remain benign for BHFL and its peers
Credit costs (%)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF
Consistently demonstrated 1.4 1.3
superior asset quality, 1.0
0.9 0.8
maintaining lower 0.70.6 0.6
delinquency ratios, which 0.4 0.3
0.2
0.1 0.10.1 0.20.2 0.20.30.2
translate into significantly
lower credit costs -0.2
-0.2
38.0
0.2
0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
0.1
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
As noted earlier, ~ 85% of BHFL’s home loan portfolio serves salaried customers,
enhancing the company’s stability and resilience across business cycles. Asset
quality has remained stable over the past four years, with GNPA improving from
~0.35% as of Mar’21 to ~0.3% as of Jun’25, while NNPA has improved from ~0.2%
to 0.1% over the same period.
The company has a proven track record of maintaining stable asset quality,
outperforming its peers, which have exhibited volatility. Notably, even during the
Covid-19 pandemic and its aftermath, while the peers were grappling with asset
quality challenges, BHFL demonstrated remarkable stability and maintained
credit costs within a controlled range.
BHFL maintains a comprehensive risk management framework supported by
digitized processes tailored to each product offering, ensuring early warning
systems that track key indicators such as bounce rates and overdue positions.
September 2025 29
Bajaj Housing Finance
We anticipate the company will sustain its strong asset quality, with GNPA and
NNPA remaining stable at current levels, thereby ensuring benign credit costs.
We expect GNPA/NNPA of 0.3%/0.1% in FY26/FY27E.
Exhibit 45: Over the last four quarters, GNPA across product segments has been broadly
stable
GNPA % (product wise)
2QFY25 3QFY25 4QFY25 1QFY26
1.1
1.01.0 1.0
0.80.8
0.70.6
BHFL’s credit costs would In the years after Covid-19, BHFL reported credit costs of 40-70bp over FY20-22.
remain benign at ~15-16bp However, its credit costs declined to <10bp over FY24-25. This was an outcome
over FY26-28E. of its strong underwriting and robust collection efforts. Notably, the company's
collection efficiency improved from around 98.4% in FY22 to ~99.5% in FY25. We
expect BHFL’s credit costs to remain benign and conservatively model credit
costs of ~15-16bp over FY26-28E.
0.69 0.2
0.3
- 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3
0.49 1.3
0.39
99.7 99.2 99.4 99.4 99.4
0.20
0.16 0.15 0.16 98.4
0.08 0.08
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 Jun'25
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
September 2025 30
Bajaj Housing Finance
On the profitability front, BHFL once again demonstrates clear leadership. The
company delivered a 45% PAT CAGR over FY22-FY25, far exceeding LICHF (33%)
and PNBHF (32%). Though the growth rate is expected to normalize slightly, BHFL
will still lead in the FY25-27E period with an estimated 21% PAT CAGR, compared
to a muted 2% for LICHF and ~17% for PNBHF. This performance indicates BHFL’s
ability to convert its AUM growth into bottom-line profitability efficiently.
Exhibit 48: It has the highest AUM CAGR and… Exhibit 49: …the highest PAT CAGR among its peers
AUM CAGR (%) PAT CAGR (%)
Exhibit 50: Strong capital adequacy position as of FY25 Exhibit 51: Leverage to increase from FY27 onwards
FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
The company is well-capitalized for growth, with a high capital adequacy (CRAR)
Leverage will keep
of ~26.9% as of Jun’25. Even with an AUM CAGR of ~22% over FY25-28E, CRAR
improving and will boost
the RoE profile, despite RoA will decline to ~22% by Mar’28.
remaining in the range of Leverage will keep improving over the next two years and will boost the RoE
2.2-2.3% over the next profile, despite RoA remaining in the range of 2.2-2.3% over the next three years.
three years We model an RoA/RoE of 2.3%/14% by FY28E.
Exhibit 52: PAT CAGR of ~22% over FY25-FY28E Exhibit 53: RoA/RoE of 2.3%/14% in FY28E
PAT (INR b) Growth (%) RoA (%) RoE (%)
77.2
14.6 15.2 14.2
56.6 13.4 13.2
11.1 11.9
37.6
7.8
8 24.9 25.2 24.3
16.9
5
7 13 17 22 25 32 39 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
September 2025 31
Bajaj Housing Finance
LICHF delivered a healthy RoE of ~16% each in FY24 and FY25, aided by strong
improvement in profitability and its ability to better leverage its balance sheet
despite an inferior RoA profile compared to BHFL and PNBHF.
BHFL’s RoE profile will
However, BHFL’s RoE profile will continue to gradually improve as leverage picks
continue to gradually
improve as leverage picks up. BHFL can generate strong shareholder returns while maintaining capital
up. efficiency. BHFL’s sustained improvement in RoE suggests superior financial
management, stronger earnings growth, and effective balance sheet
optimization. Together, the healthy RoA and RoE trends underline BHFL’s
scalable and profitable growth model.
September 2025 32
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 56: Housing finance in India to clock an AUM CAGR of ~14-16% over FY25-FY28
63
40.6
35.9
31.9
23.6 27
21.4
Lender-wise share: Public sector banks accounted for the highest share (~39%)
in overall housing credit, which was followed by private sector banks with ~35%
share and housing finance companies with ~18% share.
During FY20-FY25, among major lenders, private sector banks witnessed the
fastest growth in housing finance credit with a CAGR of ~14%, followed by public
sector banks with ~13.5% CAGR during FY20 to FY25 and housing finance
companies with ~10.3% loans CAGR.
September 2025 33
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 58: Prime housing finance to clock an AUM CAGR of ~21-23% over FY24-FY27
20.9
11.5
9.3
6 7.3
4.6 5.1
September 2025 34
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 59: Overall LAP portfolio to clock ~15-17% CAGR between FY25 and FY28
LAP Portfolio (NR t)
23.0
14.4
11.7
10.0
7.4 8.4
6.8
September 2025 35
Bajaj Housing Finance
1.7
1.5
1.4 1.4
1.2 1.2 1.2
Exhibit 61: Affordable housing finance to clock ~8-10% CAGR between FY25 and FY28
17.7
12.6 13.3
12.0
10.3 11.0
9.7
September 2025 36
Bajaj Housing Finance
September 2025 37
Bajaj Housing Finance
Peer comparison
Exhibit 62: Peer comparison – snapshot of the financial performance of BHFL and its peers
BHFL LICHF PNBHF
Particulars (INR m)
FY25 FY26E FY27E FY25 FY26E FY27E FY25 FY26E FY27E
NII 30,069 36,805 44,923 81,295 81,904 91,940 27,223 31,476 39,503
Other income 5,898 5,903 7,216 3,577 5,007 4,507 4,179 5,288 6,937
Opex 7,464 8,375 9,357 13,826 14,593 16,145 8,130 9,226 10,562
PPOP 28,503 34,334 42,783 71,416 72,719 80,743 23,272 27,538 35,879
Provisions 801 1,990 2,354 2,858 5,340 8,467 -1,585 -1,979 1,842
PAT 21,629 25,293 31,656 54,290 53,229 57,099 19,361 23,023 26,549
BHFL LICHF PNBHF
Particulars (INR b) FY25 FY26E FY27E FY25 FY26E FY27E FY25 FY26E FY27E
Total assets 1,028 1,262 1,544 3,139 3,375 3,650 825 982 1,164
AUM 1,147 1,388 1,707 3,028 3,254 3,519 804 942 1,111
Disbursements 499 562 652 640 693 762 219 273 331
Borrowings 821 1,028 1,277 2,706 2,896 3,123 623 756 914
Networth 199 225 256 363 404 450 169 190 213
GNPA (%) 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.1
NNPA (%) 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.7
BHFL LICHF PNBHF
RoA Tree (%) FY25 FY26E FY27E FY25 FY26E FY27E FY25 FY26E FY27E
Interest Income 9.7 9.2 9.2 9.1 8.7 8.7 9.4 9.2 9.1
Interest Expended 6.5 6.1 6.0 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.5
Net Interest Income 3.3 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.6 3.5 3.5 3.7
Other Operating Income 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6
Net Income 3.9 3.8 3.7 2.8 2.7 2.8 4.1 4.1 4.3
Operating Expenses 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0
PPoP 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.4 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.3
Provisions/write offs 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 -0.2 -0.2 0.2
PBT 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.1 3.2 3.3 3.2
Tax 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7
Reported PAT 2.3 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.5 2.5 2.5
Leverage 5.7 5.4 5.9 8.9 8.5 8.2 4.9 5.0 5.3
RoE 13.4 12.1 13.4 16.0 13.9 13.4 12.2 12.8 13.2
Source: Company, MOFSL
September 2025 38
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 63: AUM growth for BHFL and its peers Exhibit 64: PAT growth for BHFL and its peers
AUM growth YoY (%) PAT growth YoY (%)
37 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
30 32 77 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
26 65
57
38 44
13 25 26 25 28
8 9 8 7
5 14
-10 -1
-8
-16
Exhibit 65: Margin profile for BHFL and its peers Exhibit 66: Opex ratio trends for BHFL and its peers
NIMs (%) Opex to avg. assets (%)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF BHFL LICHF PNBHF
Exhibit 67: GNPA trends for BHFL and its peers Exhibit 68: Credit cost trends for BHFL and its peers
8.2 1.3
1.0
0.9 0.8
0.6
4.7 4.4 3.9 0.4
0.2 0.3
3.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
2.5
1.5 1.1
0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 -0.2
Exhibit 69: RoA trends for BHFL and its peers Exhibit 70: RoE trends for BHFL and its peers
RoA (%) RoE (%)
BHFL LICHF PNBHF BHFL LICHF PNBHF
16.3 16.0
2.4 2.5 14.6 15.2
2.2 2.2 2.3 13.4
1.8 11.1 11.2
1.6 1.6 1.7
10.1
1.2 1.1
0.9
11.6 12.2
8.9 10.0
September 2025 39
Bajaj Housing Finance
Exhibit 71: Valuation Matrix for Housing Financiers (both large and affordable HFCs)
Val CMP TP Mkt. Cap EPS (INR) BV (INR) RoA (%) RoE (%) P/E (x) P/BV (x)
Rating
summary (INR) (INR) (INRb) FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E
Large HFCs
BHFL Neutral 112 120 932 3.0 3.8 27 31 2.2 2.3 11.9 13.2 36.9 29.5 4.1 3.6
LIC HF Neutral 557 650 308 96.7 103.7 735 817 1.6 1.6 13.9 13.4 5.8 5.4 0.8 0.7
PNB HF Buy 800 980 208 88.6 102.1 732 819 2.5 2.5 12.8 13.2 9.0 7.8 1.1 1.0
Affordable HFCs
Aavas Neutral 1,585 1,900 126 82.5 100.5 633 734 3.2 3.4 13.9 14.7 19.2 15.8 2.5 2.2
HomeFirst Buy 1,253 1,600 131 51.2 64.6 413 473 3.9 4.0 15.6 14.6 24.5 19.4 3.0 2.6
Aadhar* NR 512 NA 222 25.4 30.8 171 201 4.4 4.5 16.4 17.1 20.1 16.6 3.0 2.5
Aptus* NR 349 NA 175 18.3 22.2 100 118 7.1 6.9 20.3 20.9 19.0 15.7 3.5 3.0
India Shelter* NR 886 NA 96 43.9 53.9 291 342 5.2 4.6 17.4 17.6 20.2 16.5 3.0 2.6
Others
CanFin Neutral 742 900 99 71.1 77.5 439 502 2.2 2.1 17.4 16.5 10.4 9.6 1.7 1.5
Repco Neutral 353 430 22 69.4 73.1 594 663 2.8 2.7 12.3 11.6 5.1 4.8 0.6 0.5
Source: Company, MOFSL; Note: *Refers to Bloomberg Consenus; NR refers to Not Rated
September 2025 40
Bajaj Housing Finance
Key Risks
Intense competition in the prime home loans segment: The prime home loans
market is mature, highly competitive, and largely dominated by well-established
banks with extensive branch networks. BHFL might face significant competitive
pressures, as banks will continue to leverage their cost advantages to offer more
attractive interest rates and flexible loan terms. These factors could limit BHFL’s
ability to expand its market share and sustain its loan growth trajectory over the
long term.
Slowdown in the economy or the real estate sector: A slowdown in the broader
economy or the real estate sector is likely to moderate growth for housing
finance companies. Given BHFL’s significant presence in the prime housing
market, the company could be adversely affected by such a downturn.
September 2025 41
Bajaj Housing Finance
September 2025 42
Bajaj Housing Finance
S M Narasimha Swamy
Independent Director
S M Narasimha Swamy is an Independent
Director of the Company. He holds a
bachelor’s degree in commerce and a
master’s degree in commerce, each from Sri
Venkateswara University, Tirupati.
September 2025 43
Bajaj Housing Finance
ESG initiatives
Environmental initiatives
Energy and resource efficiency: BHFL has enhanced the use of digital platforms
and e-documentation across loan origination, servicing, and customer
engagement, resulting in reduced paper usage and lower energy intensity at
branches. The company is also migrating a larger share of its customers to digital
repayment modes, thereby reducing dependence on physical infrastructure.
Carbon footprint measurement and disclosure: In FY25, BHFL reported ~22,800
tCO₂e emissions, with Scope 2 (electricity consumption) and Scope 3
(outsourced services and employee travel) being the primary contributors. The
company has started tracking emissions more systematically, although its
coverage remains narrower relative to global best practices.
Sustainable finance potential: BHFL is evaluating opportunities to align with
Bajaj Finance’s broader ESG roadmap by developing financing products for
energy-efficient and green-certified housing. It is in the early stages of designing
“green housing loan” offerings to address the growing demand for sustainable
housing finance.
Social initiatives
CSR and community development: In FY25, BHFL allocated ~INR300m towards
CSR initiatives, with a focus on education, healthcare, skill development, and
financial literacy. The company partnered with NGOs and community
organizations to enhance access to quality healthcare and vocational training,
particularly benefiting rural youth.
Employee practices: BHFL has institutionalized structured training programs,
leadership development tracks, and internal mobility opportunities to support
career progression for its core employee base. The company also emphasizes
diversity, employee well-being, and engagement initiatives to foster an inclusive
and transparent workplace culture.
Governance
Robust board structure and risk oversight: BHFL’s governance framework is
aligned with RBI housing finance regulations as well as the parent Bajaj
Finance’s standards. Independent committees for Audit, Risk Management, IT &
Cybersecurity, and Nomination & Remuneration ensure accountability,
strengthen decision-making, and provide oversight on key risks.
Policy framework and compliance: BHFL has adopted a comprehensive policy
suite covering whistleblower protection, anti-money laundering (AML), related-
party transactions, and vendor risk management. The company has also made
focused investments in IT and cybersecurity infrastructure to enhance data
protection and reduce exposure to digital fraud.
Transparent reporting and disclosures: BHFL publishes both BRSR and BRSR
Core reports, with limited assurance for select ESG metrics to enhance reliability
and comparability with peers. Additionally, parent-level disclosures provide
further oversight and alignment with global sustainability benchmarks.
September 2025 44
Bajaj Housing Finance
Bear case
In our bear case, we assume ~20% AUM CAGR, driven by a ~13% disbursement
CAGR over FY25-FY28E.
We expect spreads and margins to remain largely stable at ~1.9% and 3.3%,
respectively, in FY26.
We estimate NII and PPOP CAGR of ~19% each over FY25-28 on account of
strong loan growth and the company’s ability to deliver operating efficiencies.
We estimate cost ratios to improve over the next three years. We expect
negligible credit cost, leading to a PAT CAGR of ~18% over FY25-FY28.
Exhibit 72: BHFL: Bull case scenario Exhibit 73: BHFL: Bear case scenario
INR m FY26E FY27E FY28E INR m FY26E FY27E FY28E
AUM 13,87,872 17,42,870 21,78,338 AUM 13,81,141 16,56,144 19,75,202
YoY Growth (%) 21 26 25 YoY Growth (%) 20 20 19
NIM (%) 3.3 3.3 3.3 NIM (%) 3.3 3.2 3.2
NII 36,805 45,943 57,543 NII 36,161 43,041 50,561
PPoP 34,334 44,172 56,471 PPoP 33,613 40,431 47,557
Credit Costs 1,990 2,049 2,842 Credit Costs 1,966 2,194 2,666
PBT 32,344 42,122 53,629 PBT 31,647 38,236 44,891
PAT 25,293 32,982 41,992 PAT 24,748 29,939 35,150
Growth (%) 17 30 27 Growth (%) 14 21 17
RoA (%) 2.2 2.3 2.4 RoA (%) 2.2 2.2 2.1
RoE (%) 11.9 13.7 15.1 RoE (%) 11.7 12.5 12.9
BV (INR) 27 31 36 BV (INR) 27 31 35
BHFL Multiple (Sep'27E) 4.2 BHFL Multiple (Sep'27E) 2.8
BHFL Target Price (INR) 140 BHFL Target Price (INR) 90
Upside (%) 25% Downside (%) -20%
Source: MOFSL, Company Source: MOFSL, Company
September 2025 45
Bajaj Housing Finance
SWOT analysis
September 2025 46
Bajaj Housing Finance
Balance Sheet
Y/E March FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Equity Share Capital 48,833 48,833 48,833 67,122 67,122 83,282 83,282 83,282 83,282
Reserves & Surplus 7,018 11,489 18,580 37,910 55,213 1,16,187 1,41,480 1,73,135 2,12,474
Net Worth 55,851 60,322 67,414 1,05,032 1,22,335 1,99,468 2,24,761 2,56,417 2,95,755
Borrowings 2,56,004 3,16,006 4,14,923 5,37,454 6,91,293 8,20,719 10,28,173 12,76,736 15,73,048
Change (%) 68.0 23.4 31.3 29.5 28.6 18.7 25.3 24.2 23.2
Other liabilities 1,869 2,256 2,934 4,056 4,643 7,900 9,123 10,452 11,978
Total Liabilities 3,13,724 3,78,584 4,85,271 6,46,541 8,18,271 10,28,088 12,62,057 15,43,605 18,80,781
Investments 25,080 32,660 12,483 20,009 19,386 25,333 26,600 27,930 29,326
Loans 2,79,754 3,34,189 4,64,821 6,21,139 7,93,008 9,95,129 12,21,108 14,98,517 18,33,389
Change (%) 61.4 19.5 39.1 33.6 27.7 25.5 22.7 22.7 22.3
Other assets 8,890 11,734 7,967 5,393 5,878 7,626 14,349 17,158 18,066
Total Assets 3,13,724 3,78,584 4,85,271 6,46,541 8,18,271 10,28,088 12,62,057 15,43,605 18,80,781
E: MOFSL Estimates
September 2025 47
Bajaj Housing Finance
Ratios (%)
Y/E March FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
Spreads Analysis (%)
Avg. Yield on Loans 10.1 9.2 8.7 9.6 10.0 9.8 9.3 9.2 9.2
Avg Cost of Funds 7.9 6.9 5.9 6.7 7.6 7.9 7.4 7.2 7.1
Spread of loans 2.2 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.4 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1
NIM (on loans) 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
Profitability Ratios (%)
RoE 9.1 7.8 11.1 14.6 15.2 13.4 11.9 13.2 14.2
RoA 1.7 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3
Cost/Income 32.8 27.7 29.2 25.7 24.0 20.8 19.6 17.9 16.51
Opex to avg. assets 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
Asset quality FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
GNPA (INR m) 233 1,191 1,464 1,373 2,156 2,870 3,899 4,990 6,197
GNPA (%) 0.08 0.35 0.31 0.22 0.27 0.29 0.32 0.33 0.34
NNPA (INR m) 143 739 669 500 782 1,140 1,638 2,196 2,789
NNPA (%) 0.05 0.22 0.14 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.15
PCR (%) 38.66 37.95 54.30 63.61 63.75 60.28 58.00 56.00 55.00
Credit costs 0.49 0.69 0.39 0.20 0.08 0.08 0.16 0.15 0.16
Valuation FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
No. of Shares (m) 4,883 4,883 4,883 6,712 6,712 8,328 8,328 8,328 8,328
EPS 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.8 4.7
EPS Growth (%) 196.2 7.6 56.6 28.9 37.6 0.7 16.9 25.2 24.3
Price-Earnings (x) 130 121 77 60 43 43 37 29 24
Book Value (INR) 11 12 14 16 18 24 27 31 36
BVPS Growth (%) -27 47 14 23 91 -60 11 9
Price-BV (x) 9.8 9.1 8.1 7.2 6.1 4.7 4.1 3.6 3.2
DPS (INR) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividend yield (%) - - - - - - - - -
E: MOFSL Estimates
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing
September 2025 48
Bajaj Housing Finance
NOTES
September 2025 49
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September 2025 50
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September 2025 51
Bajaj Housing Finance
The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not consider demat accounts
which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
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The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or
will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
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This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any
way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of MOFSL. The report is based on the facts, figures
and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources
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document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounti ng and tax advice or a representation that
any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their
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Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change
without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its associates, their
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September 2025 52