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SpringerBriefs in Sociology
Uwe Engel
Editor
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Preface
Artificial intelligence represents a key technology that is already changing the world
today, with the expectation of changing the world in much more fundamental ways
in the future. The widespread reluctance of sociology to deal with this challenge is
more than astonishing. We still observe a lack of methodologically trustworthy data
from social research. For example, the European Social Survey, the flagship of
European social research, has not provided any such data to date; Eurobarometer
studies do occasionally provide at least some smaller question modules. That is
not much.
Thus, we wanted to contribute to closing this research gap by providing themat-
ically more extensive and differentiated survey data, even if this were only possible
in a local sample of the Free Hanseatic City of Bremen. But we also wanted to help
close an additional research gap. The key questions were: In what way will AI
change society, and how will the interaction with robots change people’s
everyday life? Although we cannot provide precise forecasts, we can show which
developments experts do expect, from today’s perspective. For this, we used the
Delphi method, asking a larger selection of experts from different disciplines for
their scientific assessments.
A sociological investigation at the intersection of AI and society certainly runs the
risk of one-sided alarmism, nor would that be completely unpopular. However, to
avoid any one-sidedness from the outset, we paid much attention to professional
heterogeneity, in terms of the constituency of experts that we asked for their opinions
and the project group itself. This latter group is affiliated with two major institutions
at the Bremen science location, the Robotics Innovation Center, Deutsches
Forschungszentrum für Künstliche Intelligenz GmbH (DFKI), and diverse chairs
of the University of Bremen. As the context of each chapter details, these institutions
involve the Robotics Chair and EASE, the Bremen Spatial Cognition Center, the
Civil Law Chair, and the Social Science Methods Centre. The scientific backgrounds
of the project members represent robotics, cognition science, jurisprudence, and
social science.
v
vi Preface
The idea for the “Bremen AI Delphi” project was born in the context of the
Digital Traces Workshop, which took place on November 8–10, 2018, at the
University of Bremen. The Social Science Methods Centre organized the three-day
workshop, and the German Research Foundation (DFG), the federal state of Bremen,
and the Bremen International Graduate School of Social Sciences funded it. During
the workshop, an interdisciplinary group of scholars shared recent advancements in
computational social science and established new research collaborations. Question-
naire construction and fielding were realized in 2019. A first major report to the
public took place on a project-related “theme day” at Radio Bremen on January
14, 2020, four weeks after the end of the field phase. With this volume, we present
the project’s major findings for scientific discussion.
The grand financial support of the State and University Library Bremen (SuUB)
enables free access to this book. We are extremely grateful to SuUB for this support.
vii
Contributors
ix
Chapter 1
Trustworthiness and Well-Being: The
Ethical, Legal, and Social Challenge
of Robotic Assistance
Michael Beetz, Uwe Engel, Nina Hoyer, Lorenz Kähler, Hagen Langer,
Holger Schultheis, and Sirko Straube
1.1 Introduction
That artificial intelligence and robots will change life is widely expected. Interna-
tional competition alone will ensure continuing investments in this key technology.
No country will be able to maintain its economic competitiveness if it does not invest
in research and the development of such a key technology. However, this premise
complicates things if AI applications do not meet with the necessary acceptance in a
country’s society, including acceptance by social interest groups and, thus, accep-
tance in the population. Populations in democratically constituted, liberal societies
using to a greater extent technologies that they do not want to use is a difficult
scenario to imagine.
This raises the question of AI’s social and ethical acceptance. How should the
development of this technology advance to gain and secure this acceptance? The key
lies in the perceived trustworthiness of the technology and, consequently, the
reasons that lead people and interest groups to attest to this property of AI and its
applications. For instance, as the Royal Society (2017) puts it, using the example of
machine learning: “Continued public confidence in the systems that deploy machine
learning will be central to its ongoing success, and therefore to realizing the benefits
that it promises across sectors and applications” (p. 84).
Trustworthiness
The trustworthiness of AI depends upon its consistency with suitably appearing
normative (political and ethical) beliefs and their underlying interests. Ethical
guidelines, such as those that the EU Commission has published, represent this
approach to trustworthiness very well (European Commission Independent High-
Level Expert Group on Artificial Intelligence, 2019). For instance, AI systems
should support human autonomy and decision-making, be technically robust and
take a preventive approach to risks, ensure prevention of harm to privacy, and be
transparent. Also, they should ensure diversity, non-discrimination, fairness, and
accountability. These guidelines went into the “ecosystem of trust,” a regulatory
framework for AI laid down in the European Commission’s White Paper on Artifi-
cial Intelligence, in which “lack of trust” is “a main factor holding back a broader
uptake of AI” (European Commission, 2020, p. 9). Consequently, a “human-centric”
approach to the development and use of AI technologies, “the protection of EU
values and fundamental rights such as non-discrimination, privacy and data protec-
tion, and the sustainable and efficient use of resources are among the key principles
that guide the European approach” (European Commission, 2021, p. 31).
In a broader sense, such an approach to trustworthiness applies to any interest
groups in politics, economy, and society that express normative beliefs in line with
their interests. However, the relevant views are not only those of interest groups but
also those among the population of a country, where normative beliefs determine
whether a technology like AI appears trustworthy. Ideas of fairness, justice, and
transparency are no less relevant for the people than for interest groups. Then, it is
less about the technology itself than about the interests that lie behind its applications
and their integrity. An important use case is in the labor market, for the (pre)selection
of job seekers, described in more detail below.
However, relevant drivers of perceived trustworthiness include not only norma-
tive beliefs but also attitudes, expectations, psychological needs, and the hopes and
fears relating to AI and robots, in a situation where people lack personal experience
with a technology that is still very much in development. In such a situation, trust
1 Trustworthiness and Well-Being: The Ethical, Legal, and Social. . . 3
depends heavily on whether people trust a technology with which they have had no
primary experience.
Trust
The ability to develop trust is one of the most important human skills. Self-
confidence in one’s abilities is certainly a key factor. Trust also plays a paramount
role in people’s lives in many other respects—for example, from a sociological point
of view, as trust in fellow humans, social institutions, and technology. Social
systems cannot function without trust that is so functional because it helps people
to live and survive, in a world whose complexity always requires more information
and skills than any single person can have. I need not be able to build a car to drive it,
but I must trust that the engineers designed it correctly. Not everyone is a scientist,
but in principle, everyone can develop trust in the expertise of those who have the
necessary scientific skills. In everyday life, verifying whether claims correspond to
reality is often difficult. Then, the only option is to ask yourself whether you want to
believe what you hear and if criteria exist that justify your confidence in their
credibility. In short, life in the highly complex modern world does not work without
trust. This applies even more to future technologies, such as AI and robots.
Malle and Ullman (2021, p. 4) cite dictionary entries that define “trust” as “firm
belief in the reliability, truth, or ability of someone or something”; as “confident
expectation of something”; as the “firm belief or confidence in the honesty, integrity,
reliability, justice, etc. of another person or thing.” In line with these, the authors
relate their own concept of trust to persons and agents, “including robots,” and
postulate that trust’s underlying expectation can apply to multiple different proper-
ties that the other agent might have. They also postulate that these properties make
up four major dimensions of trust: “One can trust someone who is reliable, capable,
ethical, and sincere” (Malle & Ullman, 2021, p. 4).
The acceptance of AI and robots requires trust and additional ingredients, a
selection of which this chapter highlights. The selection includes the perceived
utility and reliability of AI and robots, as well as their closeness to human life. We
look at a wider array of areas of application, as well as robotic assistance in the
everyday life and care of people. We ask about their respective acceptance, pay
special attention to the role that respondents assign to communication in human–
robot interaction, and relate this acceptance (i.e., the anticipated willingness to use)
to patterns of trust in robotic assistance and autonomous AI, using latent variable
analysis. As we detail below, this analysis reveals a pattern that trust in the capabil-
ity, safeness, and ethical adequacy of AI and robots will build.
Well-Being in Human–Robot Interaction
Trust in AI and robots is one key factor; well-being is a second one. Both prove to be
key factors in AI and robots in immediate, everyday human life. People have
communication needs that they expect their social interactions to meet. People
exchange ideas, take part in different types of conversations, express thoughts and
feelings, develop empathy, expect respect and fairness—occasionally also affection
and touch—and also react in interpersonal encounters to content, interaction part-
ners, and the course of such encounters with gestures and facial expressions.
4 M. Beetz et al.
1.2 Acceptance
1
The figures in this section were presented in a German-speaking public talk held at the University
of Bremen in early 2020. See the video at https://ml.zmml.uni-bremen.de/video/5e6a5179d42f1
c7b078b4569
6 M. Beetz et al.
The majority even sees the expected consequences of AI for the labor market and
one’s own workplace as positive rather than negative, as described below. This is in
line with the result of an analysis of the comparative perception of 14 risks, which we
report in more detail elsewhere (Engel & Dahlhaus, 2022, pp. 353–354). There we
asked respondents to rank from a list the five potential risks that worry them most.
Respondents hardly regarding “digitization/artificial intelligence” as such a risk
(12th place out of 14) is noteworthy; only the specific risk of “abuse/trade of
personal data on the Internet” received a top placement in this ranking (fourth
place, after “climate change,” “political extremism/assaults,” and “intolerance/hate
on the Internet”).
However, at the same time only 33% regard robots and artificial intelligence as
“quite probable” or “quite certain” “technologies that are safe for humans.” Only
28% view them as “reliable (error-free) technologies,” and only 24% as “trustworthy
technologies.” Other indicators also show this very clearly, especially if specific
areas (see below) solicit trust and acceptance. Thus, a high potential for acceptance
meets considerable skepticism and a correspondingly wide scope for exploiting this
potential.
In which areas should robots have a role primarily, and in which areas should robots
(if possible) have no role? Table 1.1 shows the list that we gave the respondents to
answer these two separately asked questions. To rule out question-order effects (the
so-called primacy and recency effects), we re-randomized the area sequence for each
interview. The ranking asked for places 1 to 5.
When asked about first place, 28% named industry, 16% search and rescue
services, 16% space exploration, 10% manufacturing, and 10% marine/deep-sea
research. Four of these five areas also shape the preference for second place.
There, 26% named marine/deep-sea research, 15% space exploration, 15% industry,
13% health care, and 10% manufacturing. Industry, space exploration, and deep-sea
research also dominate the remaining places, followed by manufacturing and
health care.
Table 1.1 List of areas where robots should be used primarily vs. not be used at all
List of the areas presented in randomized sequence
In industry In caring for people In the leisure sector
In manufacturing In education In transport/logistics
In the service sector In search and rescue services In agriculture
In people’s private everyday lives In space exploration In the military
In health care In marine/deep-sea research In no area
1 Trustworthiness and Well-Being: The Ethical, Legal, and Social. . . 7
Table 1.2 Probabilities of areas where robots should be used primarily vs. not be used at all
Probability that an area is part of the respective TOP 5 ranking set
Pr
Where should robots Pr (area ¼ element Where should robots, if (area ¼ element
be used primarily? of TOP 5 set) possible, not be used at all? of TOP 5 set)
. . . in the industry 0.7546 Care of people 0.6204
. . . in space 0.7454 people’s private lives 0.4954
exploration
. . . in marine/deep-sea 0.6852 Education 0.4861
research
. . . with search and 0.5139 Military 0.3843
rescue services
. . . in health care 0.4306 Leisure sector 0.3704
. . . in manufacturing 0.3889 Service sector 0.2407
. . . in transport/ 0.3519 Health care 0.1065
logistics
. . . in agriculture 0.1991 Agriculture 0.1065
. . . at the military 0.1528 No area 0.0880
. . . in the service 0.0972 Transport/logistics 0.0648
sector
. . . in caring for 0.0741 Search and rescue services 0.0463
people
. . . in people’s private 0.0694 Manufacturing 0.0231
everyday lives
. . . in education 0.0463 Industry 0.0093
. . . in the leisure sector 0.0370 Space exploration 0.0046
. . . in no area 0.0185 Marine/deep-sea research 0.0
The preferences at the other pole are also noteworthy. When asked where robots
should not be in use at all, four areas dominate: caring for people, private everyday
life, education, and leisure.
For a more compact picture, we calculated the probability that an area is part of
the respective TOP 5 preference set and plotted the two corresponding distributions
against each other (Table 1.2 and Fig. 1.1). While industry, space exploration, and
marine/deep-sea research are clearly the favorite areas, respondents endorse keeping
three areas free of robots: care of people, people’s private everyday lives, and
education. While these areas polarize responses the most (Fig. 1.1), the following
area clusters do the same, though not as dramatically as the former: search and rescue
services, health care, manufacturing, and transport/logistics, on the one hand; on the
other hand, military, leisure, and service sectors.
For a subset of the areas, an interesting comparison is possible with data for
Germany, collected some years ago as part of a Eurobarometer study (European
Commission, 2012). Figure 1.2 shows the result of this data analysis. Even if the
percentages are not directly comparable across Figs. 1.1 and 1.2 (due to different
calculation bases, partly different question wording), the rough pattern relates them
to one another and reveals remarkable stability over time. As is true today, the use of
8 M. Beetz et al.
Fig. 1.1 Where robots should be used primarily vs. not be used at all
Fig. 1.2 Robotic use: Preferred areas against areas that should be banned by law
robots in space exploration, search and rescue services, and manufacturing had
already met with comparatively high levels of acceptance in 2012; the lack of
acceptance in care, education, and leisure appears similarly stable. Otherwise, two
changes stand out: the use of robots in the military appears more negative today;
conversely, their use in health care appears more positive today.
We foresee an area comprising two challenges, arising on the premise that assistance
robots for the home or for care will only find acceptance in the long term if they can
interact with people in a way that people perceive as pleasant communication. We
can hardly imagine a human–machine interaction that aligns with repeated frequent
encounters but does not satisfy human communication needs. This applies to the
extent that humans’ inclination toward anthropomorphism assigns assistance robots
1 Trustworthiness and Well-Being: The Ethical, Legal, and Social. . . 9
Fig. 1.3 Imagining that humans communicate with robots and receive help from them: Mean
values (medians) and pertaining upper/lower bounds of the middle 50% of responses
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