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Springer Climate
Human Ecology
of Climate
Change Hazards
in Vietnam
Risks for Nature and Humans in Lowland
and Upland Areas
Springer Climate
Series Editor
John Dodson, Menai, Australia
Springer Climate is an interdisciplinary book series dedicated to climate research.
This includes climatology, climate change impacts, climate change management,
climate change policy, regional climate, climate monitoring and modeling,
palaeoclimatology etc. The series hosts high quality research monographs and
edited volumes on Climate, and is crucial reading material for Researchers and
students in the field, but also policy makers, and industries dealing with climatic
issues. Springer Climate books are all peer-reviewed by specialists (see Editorial
Advisory board). If you wish to submit a book project to this series, please contact
your Publisher ([email protected]).
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer International Publishing AG
part of Springer Nature.
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Prolegomena
When I got the invitation from the Editors to write a preface for a monograph
studying human ecology of climate change hazards in Vietnam, I immediately
expressed my interest in reading the essay. I found out that the selection of the place
(Vietnam) to study risks for nature and the humans in a holistic way was so didactic
and wisely chosen that I thought it could be used as a pilot study with applications
in other parts of the world. The reasons have to do with the complex topography and
the general geographic location of Vietnam in relation to the most dangerous
extreme weather phenomena whose frequency and intensity have been increasing in
the past few decades. In addition, human ecology in such a complex topography and
climate indeed offers a unique opportunity toward original research of the physical
and socioeconomic impacts of climate change to be applied both to the coastal and
mountainous areas of Vietnam.
Professors An Thinh Nguyen and Luc Hens as Editors in Chief are providing to
the scientific community a unique collection of original research papers and offer
clarifications on the relationships between local communities and various environ-
ments subjected to climate change hazards. It is obvious to the reader that the aim
of this monograph is to provide a holistic outlook on the impacts to the societies in
Vietnam as affected at least partially by climate change. Human ecological princi-
ples have been applied to local communities concerning their response to a hazard-
ous environment. The book provides an inspiring mosaic in a wide range of
applications of human ecology. The diversity of biophysical, socioeconomic, and
policy responses are interpreted in an easily readable way, and the monograph suc-
cessfully provides information on the economic effects at the most affected areas of
Vietnam.
It is interesting to note here that the selection of two types of Vietnamese land-
scapes, i.e., the dominant mountainous and the much smaller coastal lowland, can
be used as local examples that other countries with similar topography can use on
their own adaptation strategies to climate change hazards. It will be also extremely
useful to Vietnam policies to cope according to the complexity of their landscape
and the response of the society to extreme weather and environmental effects.
v
vi Prolegomena
This book offers to the reader an interesting navigation in the effects of the most
violent weather tropical storms, floods, and on longer time scales sea level rise and
coastal erosion, highlighting the impacts on humans and their development pros-
pects. Heavy rains, floods, and landslides and the biophysical and socioeconomic
impacts at selected sites are impressively presented. Finally, the book provides use-
ful recommendations toward resilient landscapes and improved green cities in
Vietnam.
To conclude, this monograph is original, presents new results, and provides a
new look in its conclusions clarifying relationships between local communities sub-
jected to climate and weather hazards. Although it contains lots of useful informa-
tion for this particularly vulnerable part of the world, the conclusions have significant
global value embracing international interest to the reader. I am confident that the
reader of this impressive monograph will find it as useful and as a pleasant exercise
which applies also to other parts of the world similar to the Vietnam social and natu-
ral vulnerability to spectacular phenomena and to societies at complex topography.
The authors and the Chief Editors should be very proud for the outcome of such a
complex and difficult task that they have so successfully accomplished.
Athens, 5 July 2018 Christos Zerefos
President of the Hellenic Foundation
for Research and Innovation
Foreword
Over the last 25 years, the issue of climate change has left the confines of the
scientific research community, and is now recognized as a major, global societal
problem. Gradually and progressively, potential impacts on future generations are
becoming understood, including essential aspects of the way society will produce
energy and organize its mobility. These realizations have moved the debate from sci-
entific uncertainty and its associated doubts, to concrete policy and societal actions.
Vietnam ranks among the countries most affected by climate change. Although
there is a lot of variation in the country, which spans 15° latitude, temperatures have
overall increased, rain regimes have changed, monsoon season has extended, and
tropical storms have increased both in number and intensity.
These changes increasingly affect both the natural and the human environment.
Storms cause erosion of the coastline and beaches which are necessary assets for the
inhabitants of the dunes and for tourism. An increasing number of Vietnam’s islands
have already disappeared in the sea or are threatened by erosion. People living near
the sea or in the lowland of the Red River delta and the Mekong delta face the con-
sequences of the storms and inundations, and find their houses and the public infra-
structure damaged or destroyed.
As a part of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Changes and
in the context of its “green economy” shift, the Vietnamese government established
a comprehensive climate change policy which is now being implemented by the
provinces and the communes. Coastal cities such as Da Nang and Hai Phong have
successfully implemented green innovations. They established a renewable energy
policy, paid particular attention to the green patrimony of the city, and managed
their ports effectively.
I particularly welcome this book because of its interdisciplinary character: It
looks beyond the biophysical aspects of climate change and puts particular empha-
sis on people. It deals with their perception, their expectations, and their realizations
adapting to the effects of climate change. It discusses the resilience and the innova-
tion on the subject. As an economist, I particularly appreciate the sections on the
monetary aspects of storms and natural disasters addressed by the book.
vii
viii Foreword
The book has a series of original aspects, not only its human targeted inspira-
tion but also the human ecological approach. Combining different methods in
original research frameworks is a strength which might provide inspiration to sci-
entists worldwide. On its contents, the reader will find here not only an analysis of
the already often addressed natural disaster problems along the coast, but also the
less studied mountains which are frequently affected by storms.
This book deserves a wide reading audience. Although it is primarily a contribu-
tion to the human ecological science backing climate change, the content and the
analysis are important for all of us concerned about sustainable development and
the effects of the increasing frequency and intensity of the associated natural disas-
ters. Allow me to strongly recommend this book not only to scientists but also to a
wide range of societal actors.
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nguyen Van Thanh
Vice-Minister Security, Vietnam
Acronyms
ix
x Acronyms
Part I Background
1 Human Ecology of Climate Change Hazards: Concepts, Literature
Review, and Methodology ���������������������������������������������������������������������� 3
1.1 Concepts and Literature Review �������������������������������������������������������� 4
1.1.1 Human Ecology���������������������������������������������������������������������� 4
1.1.2 Human Ecology of Climate Change Hazards ������������������������ 8
1.1.3 Climate Change Hazards in Vietnam�������������������������������������� 12
1.2 Methodology �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 17
1.2.1 Integration of Time and Space������������������������������������������������ 17
1.2.2 Integration of Biophysical with Socioeconomic Data������������ 22
1.2.3 Stakeholder Delphi Survey ���������������������������������������������������� 23
1.2.4 Analytical Complete (Unraveling Complexity)���������������������� 27
1.2.5 Combination Methods������������������������������������������������������������ 30
1.3 The Challenge ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 34
1.4 Conclusion������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 35
2 Climate Change-Associated Hazards, Impacts, and Vulnerability
at Regional Level�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 37
2.1 Climate Change Hazard Impacts and Vulnerability
Along the Vietnamese Northern Central Coast���������������������������������� 38
2.1.1 The Northern Part of the Central Coast of Vietnam �������������� 38
2.1.2 Climate Change���������������������������������������������������������������������� 39
2.1.3 Natural Hazards���������������������������������������������������������������������� 43
2.1.4 Climate Change Vulnerability������������������������������������������������ 44
2.2 Climate Change Hazards in the Vietnamese Northern
Mountainous Region�������������������������������������������������������������������������� 53
2.2.1 Vietnamese Northern Mountainous Region���������������������������� 53
2.2.2 Natural Hazards���������������������������������������������������������������������� 56
2.3 Conclusion������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 59
xi
xii Contents
xv
Short Bibliographical Note
Editors in Chief
xvii
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