Robust Static Super Replication of Barrier Options Radon Series On Computational and Applied Mathematics 1st Edition Jan H. Maruhn Full
Robust Static Super Replication of Barrier Options Radon Series On Computational and Applied Mathematics 1st Edition Jan H. Maruhn Full
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Radon Series on Computational and Applied Mathematics 7
Managing Editor
Heinz W. Engl (Linz/Vienna)
Editors
Hansjörg Albrecher (Linz)
Ronald H. W. Hoppe (Augsburg/Houston)
Karl Kunisch (Graz)
Ulrich Langer (Linz)
Harald Niederreiter (Singapore)
Christian Schmeiser (Linz/Vienna)
Radon Series on Computational and Applied Mathematics
≥
Walter de Gruyter · Berlin · New York
Keywords
Static hedging, barrier options, robust optimization, stochastic volatility,
semi-infinite optimization, semidefinite programming.
앪
앝 Printed on acid-free paper which falls within the guidelines
of the ANSI to ensure permanence and durability.
ISBN 978-3-11-020468-1
쑔 Copyright 2009 by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, 10785 Berlin, Germany.
All rights reserved, including those of translation into foreign languages. No part of this book
may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical,
including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission
in writing from the publisher.
Printed in Germany
Cover design: Martin Zech, Bremen.
Printing and binding: Hubert & Co. GmbH & Co. KG, Göttingen.
To Sylvia
Preface
the fields of mathematical finance and optimization. Afterwards we introduce the con-
cept of statically hedging barrier options in Chapter 2 and review the main approaches
that have been considered in the literature so far.
Chapter 3 presents the starting point of our analysis in the form of a stochastic
optimization problem characterizing cost-optimal static super-replication strategies in
general financial market models. As it turns out, the structure of the problem allows
to prove the existence of optimal static hedging strategies based on suitable results
from the field of convex analysis. In addition we introduce a first naive Monte Carlo
discretization of the stochastic super-replication constraint which allows to compute
the strategy by solving a large scale linear programming problem. Numerical results
for the Black–Scholes and Heston’s stochastic volatility model show that the proposed
approach outperforms all other approaches in the literature. In particular the computed
portfolio matches the sensitivities of the target option and is only marginally more
expensive than the barrier option itself.
Although these results are promising, the Monte Carlo method has the significant
drawback of slow convergence which can lead to long computation times. To circum-
vent this problem, Chapter 4 reformulates the stochastic super-replication constraint
into an infinite number of deterministic constraints. The structure of the resulting lin-
ear semi-infinite optimization problem can be exploited to drastically reduce compu-
tation time in comparison to the Monte Carlo-based method. Moreover, the equivalent
formulation allows to derive the dual optimization problem with an interesting eco-
nomical interpretation. In analogy to the case of dynamic hedging the dual problem
maximizes the discounted expectation of the barrier option payoff. But this time the
expectation is maximized over the set of measures which are price-consistent with re-
spect to the standard options in the hedge portfolio – a far bigger set than the equivalent
martingale measures. This also theoretically underlines that the ability to approximate
call prices is a key property for the derivation of a successful static hedge.
Based on the semi-infinite reformulation of the hedging problem Chapter 5 intro-
duces a robustification of the hedging strategy against changes of the volatility surface.
From an optimization point of view, the robustness is described by model parameter
uncertainty sets which correspond to an infinite number of future volatility surface sce-
narios. The existence of solutions of this problem is proven by applying the maximum
principle and Mizohata’s uniqueness theorem for parabolic partial differential equa-
tions. Furthermore, we prove the convergence of suitable algorithms for the numerical
solution of the robust hedging problem. These methods for the first time quantify and
eliminate the model parameter sensitivity of hedge portfolios for barrier options by
addressing the nonlinearity of call option prices with respect to changes of the volatil-
ity surface. Numerical results for the Black–Scholes and Heston’s stochastic volatility
model show that robustness against model parameter uncertainty can be gained by
surprisingly low cost.
Chapter 6 shows that the previous results can in analogy be transfered to a sub-
replication setting. Combined with the super-replication prices this leads to robust
Preface ix
static bounds for the price of barrier options which are surprisingly tight if compared
to purely model-independent bounds in the literature. Moreover, we also robustify the
static hedging problem against jumps by introducing an additional model parameter
uncertainty set. However, based on the maximum principle, we can eliminate this
uncertainty set and transform the problem to a formulation which can be interpreted as
moving the barrier. The chapter concludes with a section which shows how to apply
the robust hedging approach to a large variety of barrier option contracts.
Chapter 7 considers an additional robustification against model errors in the form
of ellipsoidal uncertainty sets in the price space. Fortunately, these ellipsoidal uncer-
tainty sets can be replaced by an infinite number of second order cone or semidefinite
programming constraints. To compute a solution of the problem, we propose an algo-
rithm successively solving linear and nonlinear semidefinite programming problems
and prove its convergence under mild conditions.
Finally, Chapter 8 analyzes the real world performance of the static superhedge
based on a seven year dataset. As it turns out, the theoretical robustness against
changes of the volatility surface (including the skew) is also confirmed empirically.
Compared to a static strike spread hedge and a dynamic local volatility hedge, the
robust static superhedge is the portfolio leading to the smallest hedge error dispersion.
To summarize, the book develops a static hedging approach which allows to ro-
bustify trading strategies against model parameter uncertainty in the form of volatility
shocks, skew and jump risk as well as model errors. The practical applicability of
the framework as well as the performance of the trading strategies are illustrated with
numerous examples throughout the book.
This book is based on the author’s dissertation accepted on March 5th, 2007, at the
University of Trier. Most of the work evolved during my time as a research associate
at the Department of Mathematics, in the research group Numerical Analysis led by
Prof. Dr. Ekkehard W. Sachs. At this point I would like to thank the people who have
contributed to this research and supported me during the past years.
First of all I would like to thank my advisor Prof. Dr. Ekkehard W. Sachs for numer-
ous discussions as well as the joint work and publications on static hedging. Besides
his contributions to this work, I am especially grateful that he encouraged me to ex-
perience all aspects of the life of a researcher including the freedom to choose my
academic focus, the opportunity to participate in various international conferences and
that he always supported my ambitions to work on projects with external industry
partners. It was a very inspiring and pleasant time in the research group.
Furthermore, I wish to thank Dr. Hansjörg Albrecher for fruitful comments and for
acting as a referee of my PhD thesis.
In addition I would like to thank the Financial Engineering team (Equities, Com-
modities and Funds) of UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking, Bayerische Hypo-
x Preface
und Vereinsbank AG, for supporting and initiating my work on static hedging during a
joint research project. I am particularly indebted to Alexander Giese for very deep and
enduring discussions on this work and the practice of mathematical finance in general.
Our initial paper on static hedging was the starting point for the research presented in
this book.
Moreover, I wish to express my gratitude to Dr. Friedemann Leibfritz for detailed
discussions on the theory and practice of optimization as well as the joint work on
the robustification against model errors. My thanks also go to Morten Nalholm and
Matthias Fengler for the collaboration regarding the empirical performance of the
robust static hedge. I also thank my colleagues Ewgenij Hübner, Ilia Gherman and
Christina Jager at the University of Trier for a great time in the department of mathe-
matics.
Special thanks go to PD Dr. Robert Plato for numerous suggestions and for being so
patient with respect to necessary revisions of the manuscript. Moreover, I am grateful
for the detailed comments and suggestions of an anonymous referee.
Finally, I would like to thank my wife Sylvia for constantly supporting me over the
past years. Without her the completion of this research would not have been possible.
I am also indebted to my parents for their moral and financial support of my academic
career.
Jan Maruhn
Munich, April 2009
Contents
Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii
1 Theoretical Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.1 Probability Theory and Stochastic Differential Equations . . . . . . . 1
1.2 Fundamentals of Mathematical Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.3 Optimization Basics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195
1 Theoretical Background
In this chapter we review some basic mathematical concepts which we refer to through-
out the book. Section 1.1 briefly introduces some definitions from probability theory
and the field of stochastic differential equations. Afterwards Section 1.2 presents the
main ideas of mathematical finance which are relevant in our context. In Section 1.3
we finally discuss several classes of optimization problems with a particular focus on
the definition and properties of linear semi-infinite programming problems.
Further X is a local martingale if there exists a sequence of stopping times .k /k2N ,
k kC1 , k !k!1 1 (a.s.) 8 k, such that X k D .Xk ^t / t is a martingale 8 k.
Definition 1.4. Assume that a probability space .; F ; P / with augmented filtration
F D .F t / t2I , I D Œ0; T is given. Further let W D .W t1 ; : : : ; W tk / t2I be an F-
Brownian motion and assume that ˇ D .ˇ1 ; : : : ; ˇm / W RC Rm ! Rm , D
. ij /i;j W RC Rm ! Rmk are Borel-measurable functions. Suppose that D
.1 ; : : : ; m / is an Rm -valued, F0 -measurable random variable. Then an Rm -valued
process X D .X t1 ; : : : ; X tm / t2I is a solution of the system of stochastic differential
equations
k
X j
dX ti D ˇi .t; X t /dt C ij .t; X t /d W t ; X0i D i ; 1 i m (1.3)
j D1
Rt Rt j
with initial condition X0 D , if the integrals 0 ˇi .s; Xs /ds, 0 ij .s; Xs /d Ws are
well defined for all t and
Z t k Z
X t
X ti D i C ˇi .s; Xs /ds C ij .s; Xs /d Ws
j
.a:s:/ 8 t 2 I; 1 i m:
0 j D1 0
Theorem 1.5. Based on the notation and assumptions of Definition 1.4 we further
suppose that kk2 is square integrable and that the following conditions hold:
4 Chapter 1 Theoretical Background
Then the stochastic differential equation (1.3) has an almost surely unique solution.
Proof. See Øksendal [75], Theorem 5.2.1 and the weakening of the Lipschitz condi-
tion in Irle [54], Theorem 13.9.
Within this work we are mostly concerned with the case of m D k D 1 and
m D k D 2, that is either we have a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation
driven by one Brownian motion or a system of two equations driven by two Brownian
motions.
In either case, an analytic solution of the equations might not be possible such that
we have to approximate the solution numerically. For this purpose a variety of dis-
cretization schemes are available (see for example Kloeden and Platen [59] or Kloeden,
Platen and Schurz [60]). In our context the Euler–Maruyama scheme is of sufficient
accuracy. Given a stochastic differential equation (1.3), the scheme approximates the
process X on a time grid 0 D t0 < t1 < : : : < tN D T by setting X t0 D and then
proceeding for D 1; : : : ; N via the recursion
X ti D X ti 1
C ˇi .t 1 ; X t 1 /.t t 1 /C
k
X j j
(1.4)
C ij .t 1 ; X t 1 /.W t W t 1 / 8 i D 1; : : : ; m:
j D1
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