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Trace Metals and other Contaminants in the Environment 8
Volume 1:
1: Heavy Metals in the Environment, edited by J.P. Vernet
Volume 2: Impact of Heavy Metals on the Environment, edited
by J.-P. Vernet
Volume 3: Photocatalytic Purification
Purification and Treatment of Water and Air,
edited by D.F.
B.Ma Ollis
rkert and H.
K. Al-Ekabi
Friese
Volume 4: Trace Elements –- Their Distribution and Effects
Effects in
the Environment, edited by B. Markert and K. Friese
Volume 5: Metals, Metalloids and Radionuclides in the Baltic Sea
Ecosystem, P. Szefer
Szefer
Volume 6: Bioindicators and Biomonitors: Principles, Concepts
and Applications, edited by B.A. Markert, A.M. Breure
and H.G. Zechmeister
Volume 7: Long-term Performance
Performance of Permeable Reactive Barriers, edited
by K.E. Roehl, T. Meggyes, F.-G. Simon and D.I. Stewart
Trace Metals and other Contaminants in the Environment 8
Till M. Bachmann
University of Stuttgart
Institute of Energy Economics and the
Rational Use of Energy (IER)
Stuttgart, Germany
ELSEVIER
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B r i t i of
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There is widespread public concern about hazardous chemicals that are contained
in air, soil, water and food which is supported by scientific evidence, however, not
as encompassing. Policy has therefore adopted a series of laws and regulations
with regard to the emissions into and concentration levels in different media in-
cluding food. As policy makers do not only have to consider the protection of the
environment but also need to ensure a well-functioning economy at the same
time, these limit or target values need to be set in a balanced way. The main prob-
lem, however, is to compare or rather optimize the different costs for achieving
these targets with the benefits to society by having a smaller exposure to hazard-
ous substances. According to neoclassical welfare economics theory, the optimal
pollution level is found when the costs of the last implemented measure that just
leads to the achievement of an environmental state (e.g., by implementing emis-
sion abatement techniques such as filters) are equal to the incremental increase in
welfare (e.g., a better health status) valued in monetary terms. The assessment of
the increases in welfare expressed in monetary values is associated with a rather
high degree of uncertainty. This is due to the fact that not all aspects of environ-
mental pollution can at present be valued (e.g., biodiversity loss) and due to the
uncertainties in the employed model-based assessments involving information on
emissions, description of the environmental fate of substances, behavioural pat-
terns of people, effect models and their valuation approaches. As a result, current
cost-benefit analyses are conducted in a way that they are complemented by qual-
itative aspects to a greater or lesser extent. It needs to be noted, however, that even
in such cases in which the knowledge base is more reliable the target setting proc-
ess in the end is primarily driven by political constraints and the outcome of com-
plex international negotiations, rather than robust scientific evidence.
This book sets out to improve the reliability of cost-benefit analyses partic-
ularly of hazardous substances present in air, water, soil and food. It suggests that
the human health risk assessment of chemicals is performed in a bottom-up anal-
ysis that is based on a spatially resolved multimedia modelling approach. In order
viii Preface
Till M. Bachmann
University of Stuttgart
Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy
Stuttgart, Germany
September 2005
Acknowledgements
nennen. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit konnte gezeigt werden, dass diese Besonder-
heiten einen erheblichen Einfluss auf die menschliche Exposition haben.
Basierend auf den abgeschatzten Konzentrationen in der Umwelt erfolgt
die Expositionsabschatzung, die fiir die Nahrungsaufnahme (Ingestion) komple-
xer ist als fur die Exposition uber die Atemwege (Inhalation). Dies ist darauf zu-
ruckzufuhren, dass der Mensch eine Vielfalt an unterschiedlichen Lebensmitteln
zu sieh nimmt, deren landwirtschaftliche oder gewasserbezogene Produktion zu-
dem raumlich verteilt ist. Die Expositionsabschatzung gegeniiber Nahrungsmit-
teln basiert auf einem ortsabhangigen Ansatz zur Risikoabschatzung, der von der
US-amerikanischen Umweltschutzbehorde fiir Sondermiillverbrennungsanlagen
empfohlen wird (United States - Environmental Protection Agency, 1998), wobei
versucht wird, keine Vorsorge-, sondern representative Werte zu ermitteln. Die
Expositionsabschatzung erfolgt auf der Ebene administrativer Einheiten, so dass
der Verfugbarkeit von Nahrungs- und Bevolkerungsdaten Rechnung getragen
wird. Handel wird als weiterer Bestandteil des environmental fate der Schadstoffe
betrachtet. Es wird angenommen, dass er zu einer VergleichmaBigung der Schad-
stoffkonzentrationen in den jeweiligen kommerziellen Nahrungs- und Futtermit-
teln innerhalb der geographischen Grenzen des Modells fuhrt, bevor es zur
Exposition von Mensch und Nutztier kommt. Als MaB fiir die aggregierte Expo-
sition gegeniiber Schadstoffen wird das Konzept des aufgenommenen Anteils der
emittierten Menge einer Substanz genommen ('Intake Fraction', Bennett et al.,
2002). Dadurch dass sehr untersehiedliche Zeitraume bei der Exposition iiber die
Atemwege und iiber die Nahrung relevant sind, insbesondere wenn Pulsemissi-
onsszenarien untersucht werden, wird die Intake Fraction getrennt nach Inhalati-
on und Ingestion sowie fur untersehiedliche Zeitspannen ausgewiesen. Eine
weitere Neuerung besteht darin, dass die Intake Fraction nur die Schadstoffspe-
zies beriicksichtigt, die auch zur schadlichen Wirkung beitragen, weshalb von ei-
ner effective Intake Fraction gesprochen wird.
Zur vollstandigen Verfolgung der Wirkungspfadanalyse mangelt es insbe-
sondere an Informationen iiber Effekte durch die Nahrungsexposition, die anhand
epidemiologischer Studien abgeleitet wurden. Daher erfolgt die Schadensab-
schiitzung mit Hilfe des PEDW slope factor-Ansalzes (Crettaz, 2000), der mit dem
Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)-Konzept kombiniert wird, das auch von
der Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) in Gesundheitsstatistiken verwendet
wird. Da die DALYs Gesundheitsschaden durch Erkrankungen und vorzeitige
Todesfalle in Aquivalenten von verlorenen Lebensjahren ('Years Of Life Lost',
YOLLs) ausdriicken und aggregieren, kann eine monetare Bewertung gemaB dem
Standardansatz der ExternE-Projekte erfolgen. Als Schwachpunkt der publizier-
ten und hier verwendeten DALY-Werte werden insbesondere die Gewichte fiir
Gesundheitsbeeintrachtigungen gesehen, die Krankheitszeiten in Aquivalente an
verlorenen Lebensjahren umwandeln.
Zitsammenfassung xiii
tragen vor allem die nicht-krebsbezogenen Effekte durch Blei bei, die zu einer Er-
hohung des Blutdrucks fuhren. Allerdings hangt dieser Beitrag sehr stark von der
Wahl der Diskontrate ab. Fur den Fall, dass eine positive Diskontrate angenom-
men wird, werden die Schadensfaktoren fiir die Nahrungsaufnahme betrachtlich
kleiner. Dies ist insbesondere auf die Persistenz der betrachteten Schadstoffe zu-
ruckzufuhren (vgl. Hellweg, 2000; van den Bergh et al., 2000; Huijbregts et al,
2001; de Vries et al., 2004) gepaart mit ihrem vergleichsweise langsamen Aus-
breitungsverhalten. Im Falle der Spurenelemente mit langsamer Dynamik, d. h.
Arsen und Chrom, gelangen innerhalb der ersten 100 Jahre nach einer Ein-Jahres-
Puls-Emission weniger als 2 % der potenziell zur Exposition beitragenden Menge
uber die Nahrung zum Menschen gemaB den hier vorgenommenen Abschatzun-
gen. Somit sind die menschlichen Expositionen iiber Boden und Wasser generell
dann besonders bedeutsam, wenn mittel- bis langfristige Zeitraume betrachtet
werden. Diese Expositionen sind daher im besonderen MaBe relevant beziiglich
einer nachhaltigen Entwicklung und dabei insbesondere hinsichtlich der interge-
nerationellen Gerechtigkeit.
Der abgeschatzte geringe Beitrag der durch Spurenelemente verursachten
quantifizierbaren externen Kosten zu den insgesamt quantifizierten externen Kos-
ten durch die klassischen Luftschadstoffe konnte zuvor auch fur Expositionen
iiber die Nahrungsaufnahme von Dioxinen und Substanzen mit ahnlicher Wir-
kung (v. a. PCBs) fur einzelne Lander gezeigt werden (Droste-Franke et al.,
2003). Allerdings ist dabei zu beriicksichtigen, dass die Anzahl der durch die vor-
liegende Arbeit zusatzlich bewertbaren Schadstoffe klein ist im Vergleich zu de-
nen, die potenziell noch in Betracht zu ziehen sind. Ihr Beitrag zu den
quantifizierbaren externen Kosten konnte erheblich sein. Dabei wird als haupt-
sachlich limitierender Faktor die Verfiigbarkeit von Dosis-Wirkungsbeziehungen
gesehen. Um zusatzlich noch solche Substanzen methodisch zu erfassen, fiir die
Dosis-Wirkungsbeziehungen bekannt sind (wie etwa Quecksilber und Dioxine),
bedarf es einer Weiterentwicklung des dargestellten methodischen Ansatzes. Zu
nennen sind vor allem der betrachtete geographische Raum, der zumindest auf die
Nordhemisphare, wenn nicht sogar auf die ganze Erde erweitert werden miisste,
und die vollstandige Integration der Medien Luft, Boden und Wasser in einem
Chemie-Transport-Modell.
Der verfolgte Ansatz stellt einen Mittelweg dar zwischen dem ambitionier-
ten Ziel, Spurenelementkontaminationen raumlich aufgelost auf europaischer
Ebene zu erfassen, einerseits und der Modellierung dieser Substanzen gemaB dem
aktuellen Kenntnisstand auf kleinerer Ebene andererseits. Die vorliegende Arbeit
leistet einen wichtigen Beitrag zur Verbesserung der Wissensbasis hinsichtlich
der GroBenordnung der (durch den Menschen verursachten) Gesundheitsschaden
und externen Kosten, da bisher insbesondere hinsichtlich der externen Kosten
Zusammenfassung xv
Acknowledgements ix
Zusammenfassung xi
Contents xvii
List of Figures xxv
List of Tables xxxi
Abbreviations and acronyms xxxix
1 Introduction 1
2 Assessment of human health impacts and the approach followed 5
2.1 Definitions and considerations of some terms 6
2.1.1 Nomenclature of substances of concern 6
2.1.2 Nomenclature with respect to exposure 7
2.1.3 Considerations with respect to risk and impact assessment 10
2.2 Impact Pathway Approach 12
2.3 Model aim and requirements 15
2.3.1 Modelling framework 19
2.3.2 Conclusion with respect to the modelling framework 30
3 Multimedia environmental fate and/or exposure assessment of prioritised con-
taminants 33
3.1 Existing multimedia environmental fate models with or without exposure
assessment 34
3.1.1 Multi-zonal multimedia environmental fate models without expo-
sure assessment 34
3.1.2 Multi-zonal multimedia environmental fate and exposure
models 37
3.1.3 Oligo-zonal multimedia environmental fate and exposure
models 42
xviii Contents
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