NCR Real Estate 2025 Bcf14a4eff
NCR Real Estate 2025 Bcf14a4eff
NCR REAL
ESTATE
A BEACON OF GROWTH
AND OPPORTUNITY
2 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity 3 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity |3
Contents Foreword
pivotal urban centers such as Delhi, Gurgaon, Noida,
Foreword................................................................................................03 Greater Noida and Ghaziabad. The strategic location
NCR: An Overview............................................................................ 04 ofthesecitiescontinuetoexertasignificantpull
on a diverse demographic spectrum. It attracts
NCR Attractiveness: Highlights................................................... 06 not only career-driven professionals seeking
competitive job opportunities but also families who
Challenges Faced by the Ailing NCR aspire to enjoy contemporary urban living that is
Real Estate Market Prior to Structural Reforms................... 08 conveniently situated within proximity to various
employment hubs.
Structural Reforms – The Game Changer
in NCR Real Estate Market...............................................................10 As urbanization continues to accelerate at an
unprecedentedpace,largelydrivenbysignificant
Infrastructure as the Backbone of population growth and robust economic
NCR Real Estate Growth .................................................................15 development, the NCR continues to cater to a wide
arrayofhousingneedsandpreferences,reflecting
NCR–0 . 2 RevivalPostaDifficultRide ......................................18 the rich tapestry of lifestyles and aspirations present
within its population. From luxurious apartments
Growth Corridors of NCR...............................................................24 specificallyinGurgaon,equippedwithmodern
amenities to more affordable housing options in
Sohna ......................................................................................................24
micro markets of Greater Noida and Ghaziabad that
The National Capital Region (NCR) has consistently
Dwarka Expressway..........................................................................26 led India’s burgeoning real estate sector, with its
prioritize community and accessibility, the region
offers something for everyone.
New Gurgaon.......................................................................................28 vast spread of over 50,000 sq. km across four
states. Over the past decade, NCR has evolved, This burgeoning demand is further bolstered
Greater Noida West.......................................................................... 30 with many peripheral areas emerging as attractive by the government’s unwavering commitment
housing destinations, both for residential and to enhancing infrastructure initiatives aimed at
Noida International Airport (Jewar)...........................................32 commercial. Following a prolonged period of expanding road networks and metro connectivity.
stagnation since 2014, the residential market saw These enhancements play a vital role in improving
Way Forward........................................................................................35 a resurgence in both demand and supply after accessibility to various regions within NCR,
major reforms were implemented. While the ultimately broadening the horizons of potential
pandemicmarkedasignificantdipinsupplyand homebuyers.
sales, the market has since strengthened, with the
launch of approximately 53,000 units and sales of In this report, ANAROCK Research explores the
nearly 62,000 units in 2024. Further, the market criticalfactorsinfluencingthehousingmarketin
that previously recorded some of the highest NCR. The analysis includes a detailed look at the
unsold stock in the country is now undergoing region’s accelerating urbanization, infrastructure
a notable decline. At the end of 2024, NCR had development, the regulatory and policy framework
approximately 85,900 unsold units, representing impacting urban housing, trends in supply
nearly 16% of the total unsold stock across the top absorption and the major obstacles in the NCR
7 cities. In recent years, property prices across NCR trajectory.Additionally,thereportidentifieskey
have also experienced consistent growth, with key growth corridors and outlines the way forward for
hot spots seeing remarkable appreciation. future growth in this sector.
The National Capital Region (NCR) in India Haryana, 8 districts from Uttar Pradesh,
is recognized as one of the largest urban and 2 districts from Rajasthan, with the
conglomerations.Itexemplifiesan nation’s capital, New Delhi, as its core.
extraordinary model of inter-state regional
Over the last decade, spanning over
planning and development, incorporating
55,000 square kilometers, NCR has risen
the complete National Capital Territory of
as a premier economic hub within India.
Delhi, in addition to 14 districts from
Area (Sq Km) Area (Sq Km) Area (Sq Km) Area (Sq Km)
NCR Attractiveness:
Highlights
Though the residential real estate market of NCR has had a gloomy past, the new and
planned infrastructure projects coupled with more employment opportunities indicate
optimism about the future of the second largest residential market in the country.
1 3 5 7 9 11
2 4 6 8 10 12
8 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity |9
Delhi
111 857 953
Uttar Pradesh
3,828 6,714 56,716 State’s Endeavor to Ease the Home
Buyers’ Burden
The Uttar Pradesh Government implemented
the recommendation of the Amitabh Kant
Committee and expeditiously allowed the
(Gurgaon)
Haryana
registration of the halted housing projects.
895 3,475 NA Additionally, it also provided to absolve the
penal interest accrues for the period spanning
from April 2020 to March 2023 as a result of
pandemic-induced circumstances.
₹ 167,881 ₹ 8.07
10 Haryana Palwal 2,027 1,644 449
90.56 11 Haryana Bhiwani 4,211 2,150 1,391
Lakhs Crore Lakhs Cr.
12 Haryana Charkhi Dadri 1,344 402 152
Houses Central Assistance Total
13 Haryana Mahendragarh 460 213 62
Completed Committed Investment
14 Haryana Jind 2,699 2,446 1,314
02 03 06
15 Haryana Karnal 4,476 3,089 2,512
PMAY — U — 2.0
Infrastructure: The Backbone of
InAugustIndia
,4 2 0 launchedthePradhanMantriAwasYojana-UrbanPMAY- ( 0 2. Ua
, ) 02. five-
year initiative aimed at building one crore homes for urban low and middle-income families.
Backed by a USD120 billion investment, including a USD27.6 billion government subsidy, the
NCR Real Estate Growth
programutilizesvariousstrategieslikebeneficiary-ledconstructionandpublic-private
partnerships to promote inclusive housing.
DelhiNCR
- hasbenefitedfromimmenseconnectiveinfrastructureinvestmentsoverti
such as the country’s most extensive metro rail network which covers over 389 km, built
with an investment of INR 810,000 million and the busiest airport - Indira Gandhi
International Airport.
NBCC to Deliver Amrapali’s Stuck Large Indian Real Estate Developers
Projects in Noida and Greater Noida Foraying into NCR Market
NBCC, in 2019, was appointed as the Many big national level players such as Key infrastructure projects that took shape in last few years
project management consultant to Mahindra Lifespaces, Tata Housing and
undertake completion of the stuck Godrej Properties have already made their
Samalkha
709B
projects of Amrapali Group in Noida and strong footprints in NCR market in the last Eastern Peripheral Expressway Gohana
Ganaur
Baraut
44
Greater Noida, after homebuyers couple of years. Now players like Sobha The 135 km-long Eastern Peripheral Meham Sonipat
(through a petition) demanded the Baghpat Meerut
and Prestige Group have also purchased
334B
kalanaur
launched in 2010.
ra
lE
is under implementation by National Highways Loni
xp
HARYANA Bahadurgarh
res
Hapur
sw
Authority of India (NHAI), was also made Jhajjar Ghaziabad
ay
Out of a total of 38,500, NBCC aimed to 334B
DELHI
deliver 22,000 units by the end of 2024. partially operational (8.7 km stretch from Charkhi
Dadri
Badli Noida
Dadri
Gurgaon Sikandrabad
Also, the NBCC will build an additional Nizamuddin Bridge, Delhi to UP Border), in Faridabad
Palaudi
fivehousingprojects,sellthemat Rewari
34
Palwal
current market rates and raise around UTTAR
INR 15,000 crore.
48 NUH Dholagarh PRADESH
Neemrana
248A
Tijara 19
Samalkha
709B
Gohana
44
Baraut
ay
kalanaur
sw
res
Loni
State Industrial Infrastructure Development HARYANA
Bulandshahr
has been commissioned in November 2018. Palaudi
Manesar
Ballabgarh
34
Rewari
Palwal
UTTAR
48 NUH Dholagarh PRADESH
Neemrana
248A
Tijara 19
DELHI Dwarka
Sector 21
IGI Airport
Kapashehra
New Palam
Vihar
Udyog
Vihar
Daulatabad
Kherki
48
Majra
ay
sw
Iffco
HARYANA Chowk
es
pr
Ex
ka
ar
Dw
48
Gari
Rajiv
Harsaru
Chowk
D w ark a E
Hero Honda
Chowk
xpr
ess
48
wa
Kherki
Daula
y
Manesar Toll
Plaza
Prior Reforms
Diversion of Funds
Over the past decade, the real estate market in the Delhi - NCR has Funds collected from one project were diverted for business expansion or construction
u de e i ifica t tu ule ce ide ead i ta ce f of other projects.
e u e dece ti i e t eal e tate c a ie t a Lack of Transparency in the Transactions
sharp decline in demand and minimal price appreciation, the Absence of transparency in transactions prompted developers to mislead homebuyers
with inaccurate assurances regarding project features, layout, and amenities, resulting
e i a e c u te ed iad c alle e e e t ele a i u in disillusionment.
t uctu al ef uc a R R u d etc led
Delay in Completion and Delivery
t e eal e tate ect t a d a i i tu f ec e it a Delaysincompletionanddeliveryofflats/homesduetounscrupulousbuilders
e u e ce i de a d a d u l cheating homebuyers despite full payment were prevalent issues.
Post Reforms
Diversion of Funds
RERA mandates that 70% of the funds collected from homebuyers for a project must
be kept in a dedicated bank account, exclusively for the construction of that project
and its land cost.
Lack of Transparency in the Transactions
RERA aims to tackle critical concerns regarding fair transactions, timely delivery, and
quality construction by expeditiously resolving disputes, thereby empowering
homebuyers.
Delay in Completion and Delivery
Developers are now mandated by law to guarantee transparent, accountable, and
timely delivery of projects to homebuyers, operating within the regulatory framework
of RERA.
20 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity | 21
Revival of Residential Real Estate Market of NCR Declining Available Stock and Inventory Overhang
Residential Real Estate market of NCR has Gurgaon dominated the supply addition in the A market that once held one of the highest basis, the inventory reduced by 9% from nearly
witnessed a revival of demand and supply post NCR, accounting for 52% share, primarily on number of unsold units in the nation is now 95,000 units at the end of 2023. A strong sales
reforms, after struggling for a long time since Golf Course Road Extension, followed by Sohna experiencingthemostsignificantdecline.NCR velocityovertheyearsalongwithsignificant
2014. Both supply and sales reached the lowest Road and the NH8 Region. Noida and Greater as a total held nearly 85,900 available units at new launches resulted in an inventory overhang
level in the pandemic era. Post that the market Noida together comprised 28% share of NCR’s the end of December 2024 as compared to of only 17 months at the end of the year 2024.
has continued to strengthen and recorded a total supply in 2024. Meanwhile, Gurgaon also over 2,00,000 units back in 2017. On a yearly
remarkable supply of 53,000 units in 2024, led in housing sales, capturing 52% of the
almost 44% higher than the launches witnessed market, while Noida and Greater Noida
in the year 2023. Sales, on the other hand, together accounted for 27% of the total sales. Available Inventory
dropped marginally by 6% Y-o-Y with
approximately 62,000 units sold in 2024. 2,50,000 100
88
65
1,50,000 60
52
Resurgence in Sales and Supply 55
45
1,00,000 36 17 40
1,80,000
36
Market Activity Supply 23
Sales
50,000 22 20
1,60,000
17
1,40,000 0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
80,000
60,000
Rising Price Trend
40,000
NCR, as a whole, witnessed over 30% YoY (34% and 33% respectively), followed by
20,000
growth in average property prices during the Gurgaon with 30% price appreciation as
0 year 2024. However, while analyzing the compared to the previous year. Faridabad and
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 individual cities, we witnessed the maximum Ghaziabad are the two cities that recorded the
Source: ANAROCK Research hike in the city of Noida and Greater Noida lowest rise in price as compared to last year.
7,000
6,500
6,000
5,800
5,500 5,025
4,650 4,645 4,680 4,565 4,580 4,781
5,000 4,520 4,580
4,500
4,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
5% 3% 3%
8% 5% 10%
11% 21% 24%
15%
24% 7%
19% 59%
13% 17%
25%
28% 18%
27%
11%
62% 8%
47% 41% 15%
35% 4%
24%
11%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Affordable Mid-end High-end Luxury Ultra-luxury Sustained demand for luxury properties can be
Source: ANAROCK Research
attributed to the robust performance of capital
markets, resulting in an increased availability of
Budget Segmentation: Affordable (< INR 40 Lakh), Mid-end (INR 40 Lakh - INR 80 Lakh), High-end (INR 80 Lakh
- INR 1.5 Cr), Luxury (INR 1.5 Cr - INR 2.5 Cr), Ultra-luxury (> INR 2.5 Cr) disposable wealth among individuals.
Consequently, there is a heightened aspiration to
elevate one’s living standards by acquiring superior
residential accommodations along with an
aspiration for unparalleled amenities, a lifestyle
conducive to well-being, distinctive architectural
designs and a prestigious location that confers an
elevated social status upon its occupants.
24 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity | 25
919
Gramin Bank
ura
3,500 6,000
si
Zakupur
-A
3,000
Supply (Units)
Ro
5,000
ad
Situated in the southern section of Gurgaon, clusters near Bhiwadi and Manesar. 0 0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Sohna is also commonly referred to as South
Gurgaon. This micro market boasts convenient One of the fastest growing localities in Supply Price
access to a variety of well-established Gurgaon, Sohna already has an established Source: ANAROCK Research
Kherki n
ofDwarkaExpresswayissignificantly
Ext 10,000 10,000
Dhaula R elevated.
Supply (Units)
8,000 8,000
Maruti
Suzuki 6,000 6,000
2,000 2,000
0 0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
The expressway zone has been witnessing the rise of a number The micro market has transitioned from 1%
being an affordable market to an ultra- Mid End
of high-quality residential projects from reputed builders. luxurious market.
These range from affordable and mid-range housing to luxury
Affordable housing (under INR 40 lakh) has
3%
apartments and gated communities, catering to a diverse array High End
been the predominant segment in the
of preferences and budgets. market, comprising 66% of the total new
Overall, the residential real estate market along the Dwarka
units added during 2019 to 2023. 89%
Ultra Luxury
Expressway is dynamic and holds a promising future, with Conversely, the trend has seen a reversal in
opportunities for both residents looking for a quality living 2024 with all the launches recorded in ultra-
luxury segment (above INR 2.5 crore). 5%
environment and investors seeking valuable returns. Affordable
Overall, the luxury (INR 1.5 crore to INR 2.5
crore) and ultra-luxury (above INR 2.5 crore)
segments combined have contributed 91% to 2%
Luxury
the total supply of last 2 years. Source: ANAROCK Research
28 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity | 29
PALAM VIHAR
DEL
HI New Gurgaon – Residential Real Estate Dynamics
NANKROLA – Fastest Emerging
NEW GURGAON Residential and Commercial HHub
DE
NA LH
A AR I
ARY
248BB
H YA
48
NA In 2023, the micro market
SGT
University Joyville
Shri Mata Sheetla Sarhol Over the past six years, the saw the launch of
Gurugram As of the end of 2024,
ay
Devi Mandir approximately 8,400 new
sw
New Gurgaon region has
es
there were over 11,200
pr
Dhankot AYA units, marking the highest
Ex
Basai Road
added nearly 45,000 units
la
NAGAR
ar
Sector 29 annual supply in the last units still available in the
Dw
DLF Phase 1
to its housing supply, driven
Gurgaon
48
Sultanpur fiveyearsand micro market, with an
National Park 248BB by several infrastructure constituting over 36% of inventory overhang lasting
GARHI HARSARU Sector 37D Sector 44 and commercial Gurgaon’s total supply for 12 months.
Weste
Medanta - The
units were added in 2024.
Perip
Medicity, Gurugram
heral
352W
Ghata
Expy
248A
The average property price in New Gurgaon
New 248BB Sector 49
as of 2024 was around INR 10,350 per sq. ft. The micro market also witnessed a
significantriseintheaverageunitsize,
352W
Gurgaon 48 BADSHAHPUR
Since 2019, average property prices in the
micro market have increased by over 76% from 600 sq. ft. in 2019 to 2,520 sq. ft.
and 34% since the previous year. in 2024.
Kadarpur
Wes
IMT MANESAR
te
248A
rn P
48
erip
12,000 12,000
hera
Lakelands
py
Supply (Units)
8,000 8,000
SH57
Ghaziabad
DELHI Old Delhi
Greater Noida West – Residential Real Estate Dynamics
Easter
GT
GREATER NOIDA WEST – A Planned Urban Agglomeration Indirapuram
Rd
n Pe
Rd
xpy NH34 Hapur
riph
ut E
eer
i-M
Afterexperiencingasubstantialinfluxofover
eral
lh
De
NH44
Exp
Noi
da 80,000 units from 2013 to 2018, annual However, 2024 witnessed a supply of
y
rg launches in the micro market have since over 6,500 units, marking a 150%
-G
s Ma
Vika
re
ate
stabilized,fluctuatingbetween and
0 ,2 increase from the launches recorded in
rN
Bis
NH48
oid
rak
3,000 units. Since the beginning of 2019, the 2023. Nearly 2,560 units were launched
a
hR
Li n
region has seen a total supply of in 2023
kR
Dadr Dadri
d
hi GREATER
approximately 11,150 units till 2023.
iM
al NOIDA WEST
ai
n
Rd
Ya
Noida
a
Saket
Surajpur
ve
No Hin
Rd than doubled over the past
ida
- do
nR
there are about 8,940 fiveyearsandappreciated unit in this micro market
Greater
Gr
ea ive
NH236 te
rN
r units still available, with an about 24% in the last 1 has grown consistently
oi Noida NH34
inventory overhang lasting from 1,150 sq. ft. in 2019 to
year, reaching an average
da
Ex
pr
e 21 months. price of INR 8,450 per sq. 1,950 sq. ft. in 2024.
ss
w
ft. by the end of 2024.
ay
EDFC
7,000 9,000
8,000
6,000
7,000
Supply (Units)
5,000
6,000
Map not to scale, for representation purpose only 4,000 5,000
0 0
area includes sectors 1, 2, 3, 4, 10, 12, 16, 16B, the NCR. Additionally, the area is well equipped
una
entertainment options.
Real estate development in the micro market
began in the early 2000s, led by Greater
Supply : 2023 - 2024 6%
The year 2023 and 2024 witnessed Mid End
maximum supply in the premium
With robust infrastructure in place, the region is poised to segment (INR 80 Lakh – INR 1.5 Cr.), 28%
Ultra Luxury
become one of the most promising affordable real estate contributing over 53% of the total
investment destinations in the NCR. Additionally, commercial supply,indicatingasignificantshiftin
developments in and around Greater Noida West are demand from affordable to more 53%
significantlyenhancingthelocalrealestatemarket. upscale housing options. High End
With upcoming infrastructure projects like the Noida In contrast, affordable housing (under
12%
International Airport at Jewar and the FNG Expressway INR 40 lakh), which previously Luxury
underway, property prices in the area are anticipated to rise dominated the market, represented just
further. 1% of the supply of the last 2 years. 1%
Affordable
Source: ANAROCK Research
32 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity | 33
Noida International
Airport (Jewar)
Key Updates
A New Runway for NCR, Ready to
After the successful completion of a NHAI gets approval for construction of
Launch in May 2025 validationflightinDecemberoflastyear approximately 8.5 km elevated stretch on
and with more than 80% of the terminal GreenfieldExpresswayextendingfrom
building’s construction already complete, Jewar Airport to Faridabad. It aims to
JewarInternationalAirport,officiallyknownadvanced as cargo facilities, and sustainability the Noida International Airport in Jewar, enhance road connectivity and drive local
Greater Noida, is on schedule for its economic growth along the Faridabad-
Noida International Airport, is a major features. The airport will connect NCR to global upcoming launch in May 2025. Jewar route.
upcoming airport located in Jewar, Uttar destinations, boosting tourism, trade, and the
Pradesh, near Noida, part of the NCR. local economy. As an alternative to Indira
Scheduled to open in May 2025, it will be India’s Gandhi International Airport, its construction The government has allocated Rs 1,000 Upcoming infrastructure projects such as
crore for the development of the new metro connectivity, upgraded road
largest airport in terms of land area. Initially and operations are expected to generate expressway originating from Bulandshahr. connectivity; industrial corridors such as
designed to handle over 12 million passengers thousandsofjobsandsignificantlyimprove This link will connect to the Yamuna DMIC and other industrial townships are
annually, it will have modern terminals, regional connectivity. Expressway approximately 24 kilometres planned to improve the overall appeal of
ahead, with an estimated total project the region
cost of INR 4,415 crore.
Location
June 2022 Area Number of Ghaziabad
DELHI
1,334 Runways Noida
Jewar, Gautam
Budh Nagar District, Hectares 6 Dadri
Expected IGI Airport Greater
Uttar Pradesh Operational Noida
NH-91
34 | NCR Real Estate - A Beacon of Growth and Opportunity | 35
Way Forward
The NCR stands as North India’s vital Nevertheless, addressing regulatory
economic, political and cultural core, uncertainties and infrastructure constraints is
orchestrating substantial regional essential for maximizing the market’s
development. Encompassing Delhi and its potential.Significantinfrastructure
extended territories, the NCR’s central development includes new metro lines,
position in governance, housing India’s federal highways,andflyoversboostingconnectivity
apparatus, bolsters its strategic importance. and accessibility, thereby enhancing the
This, coupled with a highly developed quality of life for residents and also
transportation network of highways, railways, strengthening the region’s appeal as an
and airports, creates a fertile ground for investment destination. Upcoming Noida
investment. Industries like real estate, Airport (Jewar), industrial corridors such as
manufacturing and technology are thriving, DMIC, the Eastern Dedicated Freight Corridor,
driven by this connectivity and accessibility. FNG, Special Economic Zones in Noida and
The NCR’s expanding footprint, extending Greater Noida in Uttar Pradesh, and industrial
intoperipheriessignificantlyinfluencesthetownships in Haryana are few of the under
broader socio-economic fabric of North India, development/proposedprojectsinthe
shaping its growth trajectory. region.
The NCR’s real estate market is a perennial To conclude, the NCR’s real estate sector
subject of interest, distinguished by its strong demonstrates substantial long-term potential,
underlying factors and a favorable outlook for bolstered by its strategic positioning,
long-term growth. The market’s vitality is consistent infrastructure progress, and
primarily attributed to consistent end-user growing interest from homeowners and
demand, propelled by young professionals investors alike. Key growth corridors such as
and families drawn to the region’s abundant Sohna, New Gurgaon, Dwarka Expressway
career prospects. The emergence of and Greater Noida West are attractive
innovative housing models, such as co-living destinations offering multiple housing options
spaces and sustainable homes, is further alongwithofficeandretaildevelopments.
diversifying the market and attracting a wider Also, with core areas reaching saturation and
range of investors. Also, Gurgaon has been connectivity improving, peripheral locations
playing a pivotal role as an employment hub, areexpectedtoexperiencesignificantgrowth
attracting more Start-Ups, GCCs and small in demand and supply in the near future.
businesses to set up their operations.
About ANAROCK
ANAROCK is the leading independent real estate services company with a visible
presenceacrossIndiaandtheMiddleEast.TheCompanyhasdiversifiedinterestsacros
the real estate lifecycle and deploys its proprietary technology platform to accelerate
marketing and sales on behalf of its clients.
Over the last seven years, ANAROCK has expanded from being a residential-focused
organization to complementary sectors including retail, commercial, hospitality, logistics
data
& centres,industrialandland.Thefirmalsospecialisesinstrategicadvisory,
investmentbanking,researchvaluations
& andoffersappbasedflexibleworkspacesand
society management services. ANAROCK has developed proprietary technology that is
adopted across all its businesses.
ANAROCK has a team of over 2200 experienced real estate professionals who operate
across all major markets in India and the Middle East.
AUTHORS:
Ashim Bhanja Chowdhury
Senior Vice President - Research & Advisory | [email protected]
Simmi Arora
Assistant Vice President - Research & Advisory | [email protected]
EDITOR:
Priyanka Kapoor
Senior Vice President - Research & Advisory | [email protected]
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