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Topics Today: - Conversion For Arithmetic Gradient Series - Quiz Review - Project Review

The document discusses various topics related to arithmetic and geometric series: 1) It covers the formulas to calculate the sum of finite arithmetic and geometric progressions. 2) It discusses how to convert an arithmetic gradient series to a uniform series using a conversion factor. 3) It provides the formula to calculate the present value of an arithmetic gradient series using a conversion factor. 4) It discusses geometric gradient series and provides the formula to calculate the present worth of a geometric gradient series using a growth adjusted interest rate and conversion factor.

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King Bangngay
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
39 views

Topics Today: - Conversion For Arithmetic Gradient Series - Quiz Review - Project Review

The document discusses various topics related to arithmetic and geometric series: 1) It covers the formulas to calculate the sum of finite arithmetic and geometric progressions. 2) It discusses how to convert an arithmetic gradient series to a uniform series using a conversion factor. 3) It provides the formula to calculate the present value of an arithmetic gradient series using a conversion factor. 4) It discusses geometric gradient series and provides the formula to calculate the present worth of a geometric gradient series using a growth adjusted interest rate and conversion factor.

Uploaded by

King Bangngay
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 36

Topics Today

• Conversion for Arithmetic Gradient Series


• Conversion for Geometric Gradient Series
• Quiz Review
• Project Review

1
Series and Arithmetic Series
• A series is the sum of the terms of a
sequence.
• The sum of an arithmetic progression (an
arithmetic series, difference between one
and the previous term is a constant)
sn  a  (a  d )  (a  2d )  (a  3d )  ...  (a  (n  1)d )

• Can we find a formula so we don’t have to


add up every arithmetic series we come
across?

2
Sum of terms of a finite AP
S n  a  (a  d )  (a  2d )  ...  [a  (n  2)d ]  [a  (n  1)d ]
S n  a  (a  d )  (a  2d )  ...  (a  nd  2d )  (a  nd  d )
S n  (a  nd  d )  (a  nd  2d )  ...  (a  2d )  (a  d )  a
2 S n  a  (2a  nd )  (2a  nd )  ...  (2a  nd )  (2a  nd )  a
There are (n) 2a terms  2a  n  2an;
There are (n - 1) nd terms  nd  (n - 1)  nd (n - 1) ; Therefore,
2Sn  2an  nd (n  1)
2 S n  n[2a  (n  1)d ]
n
S n  [2a  (n  1)d ]
2
3
Arithmetic Gradient Series
• A series of N receipts or disbursements that increase
by a constant amount from period to period.
• Cash flows: 0G, 1G, 2G, ..., (N–1)G at the end of
periods 1, 2, ..., N
• Cash flows for arithmetic gradient with base annuity:
A', A’+G, A'+2G, ..., A'+(N–1)G at the end of
periods 1, 2, ..., N where A’ is the amount of the base
annuity

4
Arithmetic Gradient to Uniform Series
• Finds A, given G, i and N
• The future amount can be “converted” to an
equivalent annuity. The factor is:
1 N
( A / G, i , N )  
i (1  i )N  1
• The annuity equivalent (not future value!)
to an arithmetic gradient series is A =
G(A/G, i, N)

5
Arithmetic Gradient to Uniform Series
• The annuity equivalent to an arithmetic
gradient series is A = G(A/G, i, N)
• If there is a base cash flow A', the base
annuity A' must be included to give the
overall annuity:
Atotal = A' + G(A/G, i, N)
• Note that A' is the amount in the first year
and G is the uniform increment starting in
year 2.
6
Arithmetic Gradient Series with
Base Annuity

7
Example 3-8
• A lottery prize pays $1000 at the end
of the first year, $2000 the second,
$3000 the third, etc., for 20 years. If
there is only one prize in the lottery,
10 000 tickets are sold, and you can
invest your money elsewhere at 15%
interest, how much is each ticket
worth, on average?

8
Example 3-8: Answer
• Method 1: First find annuity value of prize
and then find present value of annuity.
A' = 1000, G = 1000, i = 0.15, N = 20
A = A' + G(A/G, i, N) = 1000 + 1000(A/G,
15%, 20)
= 1000 + 1000(5.3651) = 6365.10

• Now find present value of annuity:


P = A (P/A, i, N) where A = 6365.10, i =
15%, N = 20
P = 6365.10(P/A, 15, 20)
= 6365.10(6.2593) = 39 841.07

• Since 10 000 tickets are to be sold, on


average each ticket is worth (39
841.07)/10,000 = $3.98. 9
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor
(to Uniform Series)

• The arithmetic gradient conversion factor (to


uniform series) is used when it is necessary
to convert a gradient series into a uniform
series of equal payments.

• Example: What would be the equal annual


series, A, that would have the same net
present value at 20% interest per year to a
five year gradient series that started at $1000
10
and increased $150 every year thereafter?
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor
(to Uniform Series)
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5

$1000

$1150
A A A A A
$1300
$1450

(1  i ) n  (1  ni ) $1600
A  Ag  G
i[(1  i ) n  1]
(1  0.20)5  (1  5 * 0.20)
 $1,000  $150
0.20[(1  0.20)5  1]
 $1,246
11
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor
(to Present Value)

• This factor converts a series of cash


amounts increasing by a gradient value,
G, each period to an equivalent present
value at i interest per period.
• Example: A machine will require $1000
in maintenance the first year of its 5
year operating life, and the cost will
increase by $150 each year. What is the
present worth of this series of
maintenance costs if the firm’s minimum
attractive rate of return is 20%? 12
Arithmetic Gradient Conversion Factor
(to Present Value)
$1600
$1450
$1300
$1150
$1000
1 2 3 4 5

P
(1  i ) n  1 1  (1  ni )(1  i )  n
PA G
i (1  i ) n
i2
(1  0.20)5  1 1  (1  5 * 0.20)(1  0.20) 5
 $1,000  $150
0.20(1  0.20) 5
(0.20) 2
 $3,727
13
Geometric Gradient Series
• A series of cash flows that increase or decrease
by a constant proportion each period
• Cash flows: A, A(1+g), A(1+g)2, …, A(1+g)N–1
at the end of periods 1, 2, 3, ..., N
• g is the growth rate, positive or negative
percentage change
• Can model inflation and deflation using
geometric series
14
Geometric Series
• The sum of the consecutive terms of a
geometric sequence or progression is
called a geometric series.
• For example:
Sn  a  ak  ak 2  ak 3  ....  ak n 2  ak n 1
Is a finite geometric series with quotient
k.
• What is the sum of the n terms of a finite
geometric series
15
Sum of terms of a finite GP
Sn  a  ak  ak 2  ....  ak n  2  ak n 1
kSn  ak  ak 2  ....  ak n  2  ak n 1  ak n
Sn  kSn  a  0  0  .....  0  0  ak n
Sn (1  k )  a (1  k n )
(1  k n )
Sn  a
(1  k )

• Where a is the first term of the geometric progression,


k is the geometric ratio, and n is the number of terms
in the progression.
16
Geometric Gradient to
Present Worth
• The present worth of a geometric series is:
A A(1  g ) A(1  g )N 1
P  
(1  i ) (1  i )2
(1  i )N
• Where A is the base amount and g is the
growth rate.
• Before we may get the factor, we need what
is called a growth adjusted interest rate:
1 i 1 1 g
i   1 so that 
1 g 1 i  1 i
17
Geometric Gradient to Present Worth
Factor: (P/A, g, i, N)
(1  i  )N  1 1 
(P / A, g, i , N )   
  N 1 g
i (1  i )  
(P/A,i ,N)

( 1  g)
Four cases:
(1) i > g > 0: i° is positive  use tables or formula
(2) g < 0: i° is positive  use tables or formula
(3) g > i > 0: i° is negative  Must use formula
(4) g = i > 0: i° = 0   A 
P  N 
1 g 

18
Compound Interest Factors
Discrete Cash Flow, Discrete Compounding

To Find Given Name of Factor Factor


Compound Amount
F P Factor (single payment) (1  i) n
Present Worth Factor
P F (single payment) (1  i )  n

Compound Amount (1  i ) n  1
F A Factor (uniform series) i
i
A F Sinking Fund Factor (1  i ) n  1

19
Compound Interest Factors
Discrete Cash Flow, Discrete Compounding

To Find Given Name of Factor Factor


i (1  i ) n
A P Capital Recovery Factor (1  i ) n  1
(1  i) n  1
Present Worth Factor
P A (uniform series) i (1  i) n
Arithmetic Gradient
(1  i ) n  (1  ni )
Conversion Factor (to
A G uniform series) i[(1  i ) n  1]
Arithmetic Gradient
Conversion Factor (to 1  (1  ni)(1  i )  n
P G present value) i2
20
Compound Interest Factors
Discrete Cash Flow, Continuous Compounding

To Find Given Name of Factor Factor


Compound Amount
F P Factor (single payment) e rn
Present Worth Factor
P F (single payment) e  rn

Compound Amount e rn  1
F A Factor (uniform series) er 1
er 1
A F Sinking Fund Factor e rn  1

21
Compound Interest Factors
Discrete Cash Flow, Continuous Compounding

To Find Given Name of Factor Factor


e rn (e r  1)
A P Capital Recovery Factor e rn  1
e rn  1
Present Worth Factor
P A (uniform series) e rn (e r  1)
Arithmetic Gradient 1 n
Conversion Factor (to  rn
A G uniform series)
e 1 e 1
r

Arithmetic Gradient
Conversion Factor (to e rn  1  n(e r  1)
P G present value) e rn (e r  1) 2
22
Compound Interest Factors
Continuous Uniform Cash Flow, Continuous Compounding

To Find Given Name of Factor Factor


Sinking Fund Factor
r
(continuous, uniform
C F payments) e rn  1
Capital Recovery Factor
re rn
(continuous, uniform
C P payments) e rn  1
Compound Amount
e rn  1
Factor (continuous,
F C uniform payments) r
Present Worth Factor
e rn  1
(continuous, uniform
P C payments) re rn
23
Quiz---When and Where
• Quiz: Tuesday, Sept. 27, 2005
• 11:30 - 12:20 (Quiz: 30 minutes)
• Tutorial: Wednesday, Sept. 28, 2005
• ELL 168 Group 1
• (Students with Last Name A-M)
• ELL 061 Group 2
• (Students with Last Name N-Z)

24
Quiz---Who will be there

• U, U, U, U, and U!!!!
• CraigTipping [email protected]
• Group 1 (Last NameA-M) ELL 168
• LeYang [email protected]
• Group 2 (Last Name N-Z) ELL 061

25
Quiz---Problems, Solutions

• Do not argue with your TA!


• Question? Problems? TAWei
• Solutions will be given on Tutorial
• Bring: Blank Letter Paper, Pen, Formula
Sheet, Calculator, Student Card
• Write: Name, Student No. and Email

26
Quiz---Based on Chapter 1.2.3.

• Important: Wei’s Slides


• Even More Important: Examples in Slides
• 1 Formula Sheet is a good idea
• 5 Questions for 1800 seconds.
• Wei used 180 seconds (relax)

27
Quiz---Important Points

• Simple Interests
• Compound Interests
• Future Value
• Present Value
• Key: Compound Interest
• Key: Understand the Question

28
Quiz---Books in Library!!!

Engineering Economics in Canada, 3/E

Niall M. Fraser, University of Waterloo


Elizabeth M. Jewkes, University of Waterloo
Irwin Bernhardt, University of Waterloo
May Tajima, University of Waterloo

Economics: Canada in the Global Environment


by Michael Parkin and Robin Bade.

29
Calculator Talk

• No programmable
• No economic function
• Simple the best
• Trust your ability
• Trust your teaching group

30
• Questions?

• (Sorry I forget the problems)

31
Project----Time Table
• Find your group: Mid-October
• Select Topic: End of October
• Survey finished: End of October
• Project: November (3 Weeks)
• Project Report Due: Final Quiz

32
Project----Requirements

• Group: 3-6 Students


• Topic: Practical, Small
• Report: On Time, Original
• Marks: 1 make to 1 report
• Report: 25 marks out of 100

33
Project Topic----What to do

• You Find it
• Practical
• Example: Run a Pizza Shop
• Example: Run a Store for computer renting
• Example: Survey on the Tuition Increase
• Example: Why ??? Company failed…..
• Team Work

34
Project----Recourse
• Not your teaching group
• No spoon feed: Independent work
• Example: Government Web
• Example: Library, Database, Google
• Example: Economics Faculty
• Example: Newspaper, TV
• Example: Friends
35
Summary
• Conversion for Arithmetic Gradient Series
• Conversion for Geometric Gradient Series
• Quiz: My slides and the examples in slides
• Project: Good Idea, be open, independent

36

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