Lecture 3-Project Scheduling & Time Management
Lecture 3-Project Scheduling & Time Management
MANAGEMENT
LECTURE 3
CONTENT OF PRESENTATION
PMI approach of Time Management
Use of software for planning,
WBS/ Activity Definition
scheduling & control of projects
Estimation o Process overview
o [Purpose of Estimation
o Software application
o Factors influencing Estimates
o Methods of Estimation o EVMS
o Problems in Estimation
o Accuracy in Estimation
o Importance of Accurate Estimates
Scheduling (Planning and Scheduling)
o Objectives
o Techniques
o Critical Path Method (CPM)
Basic Definition of CPM
Activity
Activity Duration
Network Construction
Example 1
o Histogram
Resource Histogram
Constructing Resource histogram
o Procedure for Resource Leveling
o PERT
o Example
PMI Approach of Project Time Management (Cont..)
PROJECT TIME MANAGEMENT
SOLUTION:
Production Rate: 5 fixture x 5 electrician = 25 fixtures per man hour
1-man hour
Activity Duration = 480 fixture x 5 floors = 96 hours
25
Activity Duration = 96 hours = 12 day
8 hours
ESTIMATION: EXAMPLE-1 (b)
The following items of works were to be conducted in a
project;
1. Excavation of 4768 cubic meter
2. Driving of RCC Piles (48 Nos.) Dia 2ft. 200 ft deep.
Find Duration and Budget of Project. Assume missing data.
SOLUTION:
IMPORTANCE OF ACCURATE ESTIMATES
Inaccurate time estimates can result in unrealistic schedule
Inaccurate time estimates can result in inefficient use of
resources and late delivery.
Inaccurate cost estimates can result in insufficient budget being
allocated, or excess budget being set aside for the project when
it could be used for other projects.
If the cost or benefits estimates are inaccurate this can lead to
incorrect decisions about proceeding with the project being
made.
16
17
Estimate-Convergence Graph
Project Cost Project
(effort and size) Schedule
4 1.6
2 Hig 1.25
h Es
t im
at e
1.5 1.15
1.25 1.1
1.0 Actual Cost 1.0
0.8 0.9
0.67 ate 0.85
st im
E
Low
0.5 0.8
0.25 0.6
Initial Approved Requirements Architecture Detailed Product
product product specification design design complete
definition definition specification specification
SCHEDULE
DEVELOPMENT
Bill of quantities / list of activities
• A bill of quantities (BOQ) is a document or format used
in all type of tendering works in the construction industry
in which materials, parts, and labor (and their costs) are
itemized in tabular forms like in columns and rows.
• BOQ APARTMENT BUILDING
PROJECT SCHEDULING
• Project Planning:
Process of identifying all the activities necessary to successfully
complete the project is called project planning.
• Project Scheduling:
Process of determining sequential order of planned activities,
assigning realistic duration, to each activity and determining start
and finish dates of each activity is called project scheduling.
B F
A H
C G
E
A 6 None 0 6 0 6 0
B 20 A 6 26 15 35 9
C 5 A 6 11 6 11 0
D 8 A 6 14 17 25 11
E 10 D 14 24 25 35 11
F 14 C 11 35 11 35 0
G 8 C 11 19 45 53 34
H 12 C 11 23 31 43 20
I 6 B, F 14 20 37 43 23
J 10 E, H 23 33 43 53 20
K 18 G, I, J 35 53 35 53 0
CONSTRUCTING RESOURCE HISTOGRAM
PROGRAMME EVALUATION
AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE
(PERT)
PROGRAMME EVALUATION AND REVIEW
TECHNIQUE (PERT)
PERT is an inherent planning technique forces the manager to
develop a comprehensive plan and allows realistic scheduling. The
procedure for monitoring, forecasting and simulating allows the
manager to respond quickly to unexpected changes in the project,
detect trouble areas early and evaluate proposed alternative courses
of action. PERT also helps to evaluate alternatives at any time during
projects duration by looking effect of each change on its completion
date. PERT also helps to simulate the project time & cost and
effects of alternate decisions.
It is a planning & Control techniques that precuts statistical
information regarding the uncertainties associated with completing
the different activities associated to a project. Expected Value of
activity direction
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PERT AND CPM
CPM PERT
CPM uses one time estimate that PERT uses three time estimates (optimistic, most
represents the normal time. likely, and pessimistic) to derive an expected time.
CPM is deterministic in nature. PERT is probabilistic in nature,
CPM is used for those projects where PERT is used for R&D, where percent complete is
percent complete can be determined with almost impossible to determine except a completed
reasonable accuracy such as construction. milestones.
CPM is activity oriented and can be used as PERT is event oriented rather than activity oriented
an arrow diagram network. and can be used as an arrow diagram network.
CPM as a controlling device for the simple PERT serves a useful control device as it assist the
reason that one must repeat the entire management in controlling a project by calling
evaluation of the project each time the attention through constant review to such delays in
changes are introduced into the network activities which might lead to a delay in the project
completion date.
Cannot be used for risk analysis and Can be used for risk analysis and management
management
CPM Gives Critical Path PERT gives probability in % to achieve critical path
May be used successfully for projects May be used successfully for projects with
without uncertainties and risks uncertainties and risks
EXAMPLE: PERT
Activity Duration Pred. Expected Variance
a) Draw net work for PERT Time
b) Find Expected Time “te” for O M P te σ2
all activities and “TE “ A 4 8 15 Nil
B 8 10 20 Nil
c) Find Variance “σ2” for all
activities C 11 12 15 Nil
d) Find “Z” value, when Ts= 40
days D 13 15 20 C
e) Find the probability to E 2 3 4 B
complete the project in 40 F 2 3 5 A
days G 3 4 8 A
f) Find the scheduled duration H 1 2 3 G
(Ts) for project completion I 5 8 12 D,E,F
with 80% probability J 3 5 7 H,I
EXAMPLE-1: PERT
(i)Draw net work for PERT
(ii)Find Expected Time “te” for all
Activity Duration Pre Expect Varianc
activities d. ed Time e
(iii)Find Variance “σ2” for all activities O M P te σ2
(iv)Find “Z” value, when Ts= 103
(v)What is the probability that project A 8 10 15 Nil
execution? D 18 20 26 B
Calculations:
E 1 2 4 B
F 1 2 5 C
G 3 4 7 E
H 1 2 3 F
I 10 15 21 D
J 3 5 7 G
K 32 40 56 H,I,
J
L 4 8 13 K
SOLUTION
Activity Duration Pred Expected Variance
Time
O M P te σ2
A 8 10 15 Nil
B 8 10 12 A
C 11 12 13 B
= 10.5 days
D 18 20 26 B
= = E 1 2 4 B
F 1 2 5 C
G 3 4 7 E
= 1.36 H 1 2 3 F
I 10 15 21 D
J 3 5 7 G
K 32 40 56 H,I,J
L 4 8 13 K
SOFTWARE BASED
PLANNING & SCHEDULING
PLANNING, SCHEDULING AND CONTROL
Software application
• MS Project
• Primavera (P3, P6)
• Risky Project
• Pertmaster
Process Overview
1. Project Baseline Schedule
2. Project Baseline Budget
PROJECT STATUS AT MONTH 3
Mo n th s
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Pro je c t Sta rt
Pro je c t Co m p le te
Ea rth wo rk s
F o u n d a tio n u p to Plin th
Ele c tric a l W o rk s
EAC
Utilization = 44.1 % F lo o rin g
Pa in t
W o o d W o rk
x 100000 x 100000
Additional EV Parameters: 10 40
8 32
6
BAC 24
5 20
4 16
3 EV 12
2 8
Resource/ Cost Profi l e Legend
Total of Al l Resources Detai l scal e (l ef t) : X 100000
1 4
Total earl y cost per Month (Current Est i mat e) Cumul at i ve scal e ( ri ght ): X 100000
Current est i mate curve
Earned val ue curve
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Pl anned val ue curve
Mo n th s
Sh e e t 1 o f 1
SCHEDULE ANALYSIS BAC
Data Date
Schedule Performance
Planned (PV): 19.82 lakhs
Earned (EV): 14.50 lakhs
Schedule Variance = EV-PV = -5.32
Schedule Performance Index = EV/PV = 0.73
COST
TIME
Cost Analysis BAC
Data Date
Cost Performance
Actual Cost (AC): 16.40 lakhs
Earned (EV): 14.50 lakhs
Cost Variance = EV-AC = -1.90
Cost Performance Index = EV/AC = 0.88
COST
TIME
ESTIMATE AT COMPLETIONBAC
Data Date
Estimate at Completion
Actual Cost (AC): 16.40 lakhs
Earned (EV): 14.50 lakhs
EAC = BAC/CPI = 42.3
Variance at Completion = BAC-EAC = -5.07
COST
TIME
60
Thank You