Chapter 17
International
Business
Finance
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All rights reserved.
1. Globalization of Products
and Financial Markets
Direct Foreign Investment (DFI) occurs when the
multinational corporation (MNC) has control over the
investment, such as when it builds an offshore
manufacturing facility.
Capital flows (Portfolio Investment) between
countries has also been increasing motivated by the
possibility of obtaining higher returns and/or reducing
portfolio risk through international diversification.
The increase in world trade and investment activity is
reflected in the recent globalization of financial
markets.
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2. Exchange Rates
Floating-rate international currency system is
a system in which exchange rates between
different national currencies are allowed to
fluctuate with supply and demand conditions.
Most major currencies, including US dollars,
fluctuate freely in the market.
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Exchange Rates
A country’s relative economic strengths, trade
balance, level of monetary activity, and
Balance of payments (BOP) are important
determinants of exchange rates.
Short-term day-to-day fluctuations in
exchange rates are caused by changing
supply and demand conditions in the foreign
exchange market.
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The Foreign Exchange Market
Foreign Exchange Market is organized
as an Over-the-counter market i.e. a
network of telephone and computer
connections among banks, foreign
exchange dealers, and brokers.
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3. Levels of FE market
Level 1: Customers buy and sell foreign
exchange through their banks.
Level 2: Banks buy and sell foreign exchange
from other banks in the same commercial
center.
Level 3: Banks buy and sell foreign exchange
from banks in commercial centers in other
countries (i.e. New York, London, Zurich,
Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo).
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Example: Multi-level trading
Importer buys Japanese Yen from a
bank in California for payment to a
Japanese supplier.
California bank purchases the
Japanese Yen from a bank in New
York.
The New York buys the Yen from
another bank in New York.
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Exchange Rates and Quotes
Exchange rate
The price of foreign currency in terms of the
domestic currency.
Spot Transactions at spot rate
In a spot transaction, one currency is traded
for another currency today
Rates are typically “Direct Quotes”
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Direct and Indirect Quote
Direct Quote
Indicates the number of units of the home currency
required to buy one unit of the foreign currency
Example: 1.6288 dollars per British pound
Indirect Quote
Indicates the number of units of a foreign currency
that can be bought for one unit of the home
currency. It is the reciprocal of direct quote.
Example: =1/1.6288 = .6139 pounds per dollar
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Bid and Ask rates
Bid: Rate at which bank buys foreign
currency from a customer
Ask: Rate at which bank sells foreign
currency to a customer
The difference between the asked quote
and the bid quote is known as bid-
asked spread.
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Cross rate
The computation of an exchange rate
for a currency from the exchange rates
of two other currencies.
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Forward rate
A forward exchange contract requires
delivery, at a specified future date, of one
currency for a specified amount of another
currency.
The exchange rate for the future is agreed
today and is known as the “forward rate”. The
actual payment of one currency and receipt of
another currency take place at the future
date.
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Forward contract example
Forward contracts are usually quoted
for periods of 30, 90, and 180 days.
If the 30-day forward quote for Euros
is $1.30, it means that the bank is
contractually bound to deliver Euro at
$1.30 and the customer is bound to buy
Euro at $1.30, regardless of the actual
spot rate.
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Exchange Rates and
Arbitrage
Foreign exchange quotes in two different
countries must be in line with each other.
If the exchange rates are out of line, then a
trader could make a profit by buying in the
market where the currency was cheaper and
selling it in the other.
The process of buying and selling in more than
one market to make a riskless profit is called
arbitrage. Such opportunities do not exist for a
long time due to arbitrage process.
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Types of Arbitrage
Simple
Eliminates exchange rate differentials across the
markets for a single currency
Triangular
Eliminates exchange rate differentials across
markets for all currencies
Covered-Interest
Eliminates differentials across currency and interest-
rate markets
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Exchange Rate Risk
The risk that tomorrow’s exchange rate
will differ from today’s rate.
Exchange rate risk affects:
international trade contracts
foreign portfolio investments
direct foreign investment
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Exchange Rate Risk in
International Trade Contracts
Example: You are expecting to receive
1m Euros next year from exports.
The future value of Euros in dollars is
uncertain and depends on future
exchange rate.
If Euro = $1.25, you will receive $1.25m
but if the Euro depreciates to $.90, your
contract is worth only $.90m.
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Exchange Rate Risk in
Foreign Portfolio Investments
The future return on portfolio is unknown as
investments in securities is a risky investment.
Thus investing in Euro market securities could
yield –5% or +10%. In addition, investor is
exposed to US $/Euro exchange rate
fluctuation.
Thus if the Euro investment yields 10% but the
Euro depreciates during the period, the net
return will be less than 10% depending
on the extent of Euro depreciation.
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Exchange Rate Risk in Direct
Foreign Investment
In a DFI, parent company invests in assets
denominated in foreign currency. The US based
parent company receives the repatriated (or
converted) profit stream from the subsidiary in
dollars.
Thus exchange rate risk arises due to:
Fluctuations in the dollar value of the assets located
abroad.
Fluctuations in the home currency-denominated profit
stream.
May affect future profit stream
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3. Interest-Rate Parity Theory
IRP theory can be used to relate differences
in the interest rates in two countries to the
ratio of spot and forward exchange rates of
the two countries’ currencies. The IRP
condition can be stated as follows:
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4. Purchasing Power Parity
Theory (PPP)
In the long run, exchange rates adjust
so that the purchasing power of each
currency tends to be the same.
The exchange rate changes tend to
reflect international differences in
inflation rates.Countries with high rates
of inflation tend to experience declines
in the value of their currency.
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Purchasing Power Parity
Theory (PPP)
Thus according to PPP, Expected spot
rate = Current spot rate expected
difference in inflation rate.
In other words, according to PPP, a
dollar should have the same purchasing
power anywhere in the world
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PPP
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Law of One Price
PPP is based on the law of one price - a
proposition that in competitive markets in
which there are no transportation costs or
barriers to trade, the same goods sold in
different countries sell for the same price if all
the different prices are expressed in terms of
the same currency.
Thus if Big Mac Costs $2 in US and the
exchange rate with British Pound is 1 Pound =
$2, Big Mac should cost 1 Pound in UK.
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The International
Fisher Effect
International Fisher Effect states that the real
interest rate should be the same all over the
world, with the differences in nominal rate
resulting from differences in expected
inflation rates.
Thus investing in a foreign bank with highest
interest rate may simply mean investing in a
country with the highest rate of inflation.
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5. Exposure to
Exchange Rate Risk
Three Measures of foreign exchange
exposure:
Translation Exposure
Transaction Exposure
Economic Exposure
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Translation Exposure
Translation exposure risk arises because the
foreign operations of MNCs have financial
statements denominated in the local
currencies of the countries in which the
operations are located. These denominations
must be translated into the MNCs home
currency at the prevailing exchange rate.
Exchange rate gains or losses due to
translation exposure are not realized, and
have little or no impact on taxable income.
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Transaction Exposure
Transaction exposure refers to the net
contracted foreign currency transactions
(such as receivables, payables, fixed price
sales or purchase contract) for which the
settlement amounts are subject to changing
exchange rates.
Transaction exposure can be hedged by
using money market hedge, or forward
contracts or futures contracts or options.
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Economic Exposure
Economic exposure refers to the overall impact of
exchange rate changes on the value of the firm. This
change in value may be caused by a rate change-
induced decline in the level of expected cash flows
and/or by an increase in the riskiness of these cash
flows.
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Economic Exposure
Economic exposure to exchange rate changes depends
on the competitive structure of the markets for a firm’s
inputs (purchases/expenses) and outputs (Sales) and
how these markets are influenced by changes in
exchange rates.
For example, the profits of a Canadian company that
used coal in its production process was influenced
indirectly by the Yen/US$ exchange rate as the price of
coal depended on Japanese demand for coal, which in
turn depended on the Yen/US$ exchange rate.
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6. Multinational
Working-Capital Management
Basic principles of working-capital
management for a multinational
corporation are similar to those of a
domestic firm.
Tax rate and exchange rates are additional
considerations
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Two techniques used for
managing working capital
Leading and Lagging Strategies
Holding a net asset (long) position in a weak or
potentially depreciating currency is not desirable.
Lead – To get rid of assets early (i.e. lead) and convert
the assets into a stronger currency
Lag – To delay the collection against a net asset position
in a strong currency.
In case of net liability (short) position
For a weakening currency – delay payment
For a strengthening currency – lead the payments
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2. Cash Management and
Positioning of Funds
Funds may be transferred from a subsidiary
of the multinational company in country A to
another subsidiary in country B such that the
foreign exchange exposure and the tax
liability is minimized.
Transfer of funds among subsidiaries and the
parent company is done via royalties, fees,
and transfer pricing.
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Transfer Pricing
Price a subsidiary or a parent company
charges other companies that are part
of the multinational company for its
goods and services.
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7. International Financing
Decisions
MNC has access to both domestic and
foreign markets for financing
Foreign host countries may often provide low-cost
subsidized financing to attract investments
Because of its international presence, MNC
can tap into a third country capital markets.
MNC can also access external currency
markets: Eurodollar, Eurocurrency, or Asian
dollar markets.
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Factors to consider before MNC arrive at its
capital structure decisions
Local norms regarding capital structure
Corporate attitude towards exchange rate and
political risks
Local-affiliate capital structure must reflect home
country requirements with regard to the company’s
consolidated capital structure.
The optimal MNC capital structure should reflects its
wider access to financial markets, its ability to
diversify its economic and political risks, and its other
advantages over domestic companies.
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8. Direct Foreign Investment
The decision process for DFI is similar to
capital budgeting decisions in the domestic
context.
Risks in domestic capital budgeting arises
from two sources: business risk and financial
risk.
In international capital budgeting problem, we
also have to incorporate political risk and
exchange rate risk.
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Political Risk
Political risk arises because the foreign subsidiary
conducts business in a political system different from
that of the home country.
Some examples of such risk include:
Expropriation of assets without compensation
Nonconvertibility of the subsidiary’s foreign earnings into the
parent’s currency
Changes in the laws governing taxation
Restrictions on sale price, wage rates, local borrowing, extent
of local ownership, hiring of personnel, transfer payments
made to the parent.
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Exchange Rate Risk
As observed before, exchange rate
risks can have significant effect on cash
flows and earnings.
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