Machine Learning
Instructor: Dr. Syed Usman
Slides Courtesy: These slides were assembled by Eric Eaton, with grateful acknowledgement of the many
others who made their course materials freely available online.
Agenda of today’s Class
• Introduction to the Course
• An Activity
• Your Introduction
Contents
• Introduction to Machine Learning
• Supervised Learning
• Unsupervised Learning
• Reinforcement Learning
• Dimensionality reduction techniques
• Neural Networks
Text/Reference Books
• Pattern Recognition & Machine Learning, 1st Edition, Chris Bishop
• Machine Learning: A Probabilistic Perspective, 1st Edition, Kevin R
Murphy
• Applied Machine Learning, online Edition, David Forsyth
• Latest Research Papers
What is Machine Learning?
“Learning is any process by which a system improves
performance from experience.”
- Herbert Simon
Definition by Tom Mitchell (1998):
Machine Learning is the study of algorithms that
• improve their performance P
• at some task T
• with experience E.
A well-defined learning task is given by <P, T, E>.
3
Traditional Programming
Data
Computer Output
Program
Machine Learning
Data
Computer Progra
m
Output 4
Slide credit: Pedro Domingos
When Do We Use Machine Learning?
ML is used when:
• Human expertise does not exist (navigating on Mars)
• Humans can’t explain their expertise (speech recognition)
• Models must be customized (personalized medicine)
• Models are based on huge amounts of data (genomics)
Learning isn’t always useful:
• There is no need to “learn” to calculate payroll
5
Based on slide by E. Alpaydin
A classic example of a task that requires machine learning:
It is very hard to say what makes a 2
6
Slide credit: Geoffrey Hinton
Some more examples of tasks that are best
solved by using a learning algorithm
• Recognizing patterns:
– Facial identities or facial expressions
– Handwritten or spoken words
– Medical images
• Generating patterns:
– Generating images or motion sequences
• Recognizing anomalies:
– Unusual credit card transactions
– Unusual patterns of sensor readings in a nuclear power plant
• Prediction:
– Future stock prices or currency exchange rates
7
Slide credit: Geoffrey Hinton
Sample Applications
• Web search
• Computational biology
• Finance
• E-commerce
• Space exploration
• Robotics
• Information extraction
• Social networks
• Debugging software
• [Your favorite area]
8
Slide credit: Pedro Domingos
Samuel’s Checkers-Player
“Machine Learning: Field of study that gives
computers the ability to learn without being
explicitly programmed.” -Arthur Samuel (1959)
9
Defining the Learning Task
Improve on task T, with respect to
performance metric P, based on experience
E
T: Playing checkers
P: Percentage of games won against an arbitrary
opponent E: Playing practice games against itself
T: Recognizing hand-written words
P: Percentage of words correctly classified
E: Database of human-labeled images of
handwritten words
T: Driving on four-lane highways using vision
sensors
P: Average distance traveled before a human-
judged error
E: A sequence of images and steering commands recorded while
observing a human driver. 10
Slide credit: Ray Mooney
State of the Art Applications of
Machine Learning
11
Autonomous Cars
• Nevada made it legal for
autonomous cars to drive on
roads in June 2011
• As of 2023, 34 states have
legalized autonomous cars
Penn’s Autonomous
Car
(Ben Franklin Racing
Team) 12
Autonomous Car Sensors
13
Autonomous Car Technology
Path
Planning
Laser Terrain Mapping
Adaptive Vision
Images and movies taken from Sebastian Thrun’s multimedia w1e4bsite.
Deep Learning in the Headlines
15
Deep Belief Net on Face Images
object models
object parts
(combination
of edges)
edges
pixels
Based on materials 16
by Andrew Ng
Learning of Object Parts
17
Slide credit: Andrew Ng
Training on Multiple Objects
Trained on 4 classes (cars, faces,
motorbikes, airplanes).
Second layer: Shared-features
and object-specific features.
Third layer: More specific
features.
18
Slide credit: Andrew Ng
Scene Labeling via Deep Learning
[Farabet et al. ICML 2012, PAMI 2013] 19
Inference from Deep Learned Models
Generating posterior samples from faces by “filling in” experiments
(cf. Lee and Mumford, 2003). Combine bottom-up and top-down inference.
Input images
Samples from
feedforward
Inference
(control)
Samples from
Full posterior
inference
20
Slide credit: Andrew Ng
Machine Learning in
Automatic Speech Recognition
A Typical Speech Recognition System
ML used to predict of phone states from the sound spectrogram
Deep learning has state-of-the-art results
# Hidden Layers 1 2 4 8 10 12
Word Error Rate % 16.0 12.8 11.4 10.9 11.0 11.1
Baseline GMM performance = 15.4%
[Zeiler et al. “On rectified linear units for speech
recognition” ICASSP 2013]
2
1
Impact of Deep Learning in Speech Technology
22
Slide credit: Li Deng, MS Research
Types of Learning
23
Types of Learning
• Supervised (inductive) learning
– Given: training data + desired outputs (labels)
• Unsupervised learning
– Given: training data (without desired outputs)
• Semi-supervised learning
– Given: training data + a few desired outputs
• Reinforcement learning
– Rewards from sequence of actions
24
Based on slide by Pedro Domingos
Supervised Learning: Regression
• Given (x1, y1), (x2, y2), ..., (xn, yn)
• Learn a function f (x) to predict y given x
– y is real-valued == regression
9
8
September Arctic Sea Ice Extent
7
(1,000,000 sq km)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1970 1990 2000 2010 2020
1980 Year
26
Data from G. Witt. Journal of Statistics Education, Volume 21,
Supervised Learning: Classification
• Given (x1, y1), (x2, y2), ..., (xn, yn)
• Learn a function f (x) to predict y given x
– y is categorical == classification
Breast Cancer (Malignant / Benign)
1(Malignant)
0(Benign)
Tumor Size
27
Based on example by Andrew Ng
Supervised Learning: Classification
• Given (x1, y1), (x2, y2), ..., (xn, yn)
• Learn a function f (x) to predict y given x
– y is categorical == classification
Cancer (Malignant / Benign)
1(Malignant)
0(Benign)
Tumor Size
Based on example by Andrew Ng
Tumor Size 28
Supervised Learning: Classification
• Given (x1, y1), (x2, y2), ..., (xn, yn)
• Learn a function f (x) to predict y given x
– y is categorical == classification
Cancer (Malignant / Benign)
1(Malignant)
0(Benign)
Tumor Size
Predict Benign Predict Malignant
Based on example by Andrew Ng
Tumor Size 29
Supervised Learning
• x can be multi-dimensional
– Each dimension corresponds to an attribute
- Clump Thickness
- Uniformity of Cell Size
Age - Uniformity of Cell Shape
…
Tumor Size
30
Based on example by Andrew Ng
Unsupervised Learning
• Given x1 , x2 , ..., x n (without labels)
• Output hidden structure behind the x’s
– E.g., clustering
31
Unsupervised Learning
Genomics application: group individuals by genetic similarity
Genes
Individuals 32
[Source: Daphne Koller]
Unsupervised Learning
Organize computing clusters Social network analysis
Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/E. Churchwell (Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison)
Market segmentation Astronomical data analysis 33
Slide credit: Andrew Ng
Unsupervised Learning
• Independent component analysis – separate a
combined signal into its original sources
34
Image credit: statsoft.com Audio from http://www.ism.ac.jp/~shiro/research/blindsep.html
Unsupervised Learning
• Independent component analysis – separate a
combined signal into its original sources
35
Image credit: statsoft.com Audio from http://www.ism.ac.jp/~shiro/research/blindsep.html
Reinforcement Learning
• Given a sequence of states and actions with
(delayed) rewards, output a policy
– Policy is a mapping from states actions that
tells you what to do in a given state
• Examples:
– Credit assignment problem
– Game playing
– Robot in a maze
– Balance a pole on your hand
36
The Agent-Environment Interface
Agent and environment interact at discrete time : t 0, 1, 2,
steps Agent observes state at step t: K
t S
sproduces action at step t : at
A(st )resulting reward : rt 1
gets
and resulting next state :
st 1
... st rt +1 rt +2 s rt +3 ...
at st +1 t +2 st +3
at +1 at +2 at +3
37
Slide credit: Sutton & Barto
Reinforcement Learning
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cgWya-wjgY 38
Inverse Reinforcement Learning
• Learn policy from user demonstrations
Stanford Autonomous Helicopter
http://heli.stanford.edu/ https://
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCdxqn0fcnE
39
Framing a Learning Problem
40
Designing a Learning System
• Choose the training experience
• Choose exactly what is to be learned
– i.e. the target function
• Choose how to represent the target function
• Choose a learning algorithm to infer the target
function from the experience
Training data Learner
Environment/
Experience Knowledge
Testing data
Performanc
e Element 41
Based on slide by Ray Mooney
Training vs. Test Distribution
• We generally assume that the training and
test examples are independently drawn from
the same overall distribution of data
– We call this “i.i.d” which stands for “independent
and identically distributed”
• If examples are not independent, requires
collective classification
• If test distribution is different, requires
transfer learning
42
Slide credit: Ray Mooney
ML in a Nutshell
• Tens of thousands of machine learning
algorithms
– Hundreds new every year
• Every ML algorithm has three
components:
– Representation
– Optimization
– Evaluation
43
Slide credit: Pedro Domingos
Various Function Representations
• Numerical functions
– Linear regression
– Neural networks
– Support vector machines
• Symbolic functions
– Decision trees
– Rules in propositional logic
– Rules in first-order predicate logic
• Instance-based functions
– Nearest-neighbor
– Case-based
• Probabilistic Graphical Models
– Naïve Bayes
– Bayesian networks
– Hidden-Markov Models (HMMs)
– Probabilistic Context Free Grammars (PCFGs)
– Markov networks
44
Slide credit: Ray Mooney
Various Search/Optimization
Algorithms
• Gradient descent
– Perceptron
– Backpropagation
• Dynamic Programming
– HMM Learning
– PCFG Learning
• Divide and Conquer
– Decision tree induction
– Rule learning
• Evolutionary Computation
– Genetic Algorithms (GAs)
– Genetic Programming (GP)
– Neuro-evolution
45
Slide credit: Ray Mooney
Evaluation
• Accuracy
• Precision and recall
• Squared error
• Likelihood
• Posterior probability
• Cost / Utility
• Margin
• Entropy
• K-L divergence
• etc.
47
Slide credit: Pedro Domingos
ML in Practice
• Understand domain, prior knowledge, and goals
• Data integration, selection, cleaning, pre-processing, etc.
Loop • Learn models
• Interpret results
• Consolidate and deploy discovered knowledge
48
Based on a slide by Pedro Domingos
Lessons Learned about Learning
• Learning can be viewed as using direct or indirect
experience to approximate a chosen target function.
• Function approximation can be viewed as a search
through a space of hypotheses (representations of
functions) for one that best fits a set of training data.
• Different learning methods assume different
hypothesis spaces (representation languages) and/or
employ different search techniques.
49
Slide credit: Ray Mooney
A Brief History of
Machine Learning
50
What We’ll Cover in this Course
• Supervised learning • Unsupervised learning
– Decision tree induction – Clustering
– Linear regression – Dimensionality reduction
– Logistic regression • Reinforcement learning
– Support vector machines – Temporal difference
& kernel methods learning
– Model ensembles – Q learning
– Bayesian learning • Evaluation
– Neural networks & deep
learning • Applications
– Learning theory
Our focus will be on applying machine learning to real applications
54