New Engineering Economics and Costing by Yalelet T.11
New Engineering Economics and Costing by Yalelet T.11
and Costing
By: Yalelet T.
CHAPTER ONE
Introduction to Engineering
Economics and Time Value of Money
CHAPTER OUTLINES
Differentiate Engineering Economics ,Economics and costing
Time value of money
Simple and Compound interest rate
Cash flow terms and diagram
Compound interest factors
1.INTRODUCTION
1.1 Economics, Engineering Economics and costing
It = (P + ) (i)
In Fig. 1.1 the cash outflows are Rs.100000, Rs.15000 and Rs.25000 occurring at end of year (EOY), 0 i.e. at the beginning, EOY 4 and EOY 7 respectively. Similarly, the cash inflows Rs.35000, Rs.80000 and Rs.45000 are occurring at EOY 3, EOY 6 and EOY 10 respectively.
End of year 10
Time 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year 1 Year 7
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
P
F
A = Uniform annual worth
from EOY „1‟ till EOY „5”
Fig 1.3 Cash flow diagram showing P, F and A
Cont.…
While deriving the different compound interest factors,
it is assumed that the interest is compounded once per
interest period i.e. discrete compounding. Further the
cash flows are assumed to be discrete i.e. they occur at
the end of interest period.
A. Single payment compound amount factor
(SPCAF)
The single payment compound amount factor is used to
compute the future worth (F) accumulated after “n”
years from the known present worth (P) at a given
interest rate ‘i’ per interest period.
It is assumed that the interest period is in years and the
interest is compounded once per interest period.
The known present worth (P), unknown future worth
(F) and the total interest period “n” years are shown in
Fig. 1.4.
Cont.…
End of year F = unknown
P = known
………. (equa2)
Thus, the generalized formula for the future worth at the
end of “n” years is given by:
…………………………(equa3)
The factor in equation (3) is known as the single
payment compound amount factor (SPCAF).
Cont.…
Example: A sum of money $5,000 is deposited in a project account
and left there to earn interest for 15 years. if the interest per year is
12%,how much the compounding amount after 15 years?
Given required
P =$5,000 F =?
n =15 years F = $5,000
i = 12% = $27,367.85
B. Single payment present worth factor
(SPPWF):
The single payment present worth factor is used to
determine the present worth of a known future worth (F)
at the end of “n” years at a given interest rate ‘i’ per
interest period.
The present worth (P), future worth (F) and the total
interest period “n” years are shown in Fig. 1.5.
Cont.…
The expression for the present worth (P) can be written
as follow:
P = F()
0 1 2 3 4 5 n -4 n -3 n -2 n -1 n
P = unknown
Fig 1.5 Cash flow diagram for ‘known F’ and ‘unknown P’
Cont.…
The factor () is known as single payment present worth
factor (SPPWF). Thus if future worth (F) at the end of
“n” years is known, the present worth (P) at interest rate
of “i” (per year) can be calculated by multiplying the
future worth with the single payment present worth
factor.
Cont.…
0 1 2 3 4 5 n -4 n -3 n -2 n -1 n
0 1 2 3 4 5 n -4 n -3 n -2 n -1 n
A = known
Cont.…
Example: If equal end-of-year deposits of $5000 are made to a
project fund paying 8% per year for ten years. How much can be
expected to be available for withdrawal from the account for capital
expenditure immediately after the last deposit is made?
Given required
A =$5,000 F =? F = A []
i = 8% F = $5,000[
n =10 years F =$72,432.50
F. Sinking fund factor(SFF):
EOY
1 2 3 4 5 n-4 n-3 n-2 n-1 n
A=unknown
Cont.…
Example: How large are the end-of-year equal amounts that must be
deposited into a project account so that a balance of $75,000 will be
available for withdrawal immediately after the twelfth annual
deposit is made? The initial balance in the account is zero at the
beginning of the first year. The account pays 10% interest per year.
Given required
F =$75,000 A =? A = F []
i = 10% = $75,000[]
n = 10 years = $3,507.25
G. Cash flow involving arithmetic gradient payments or
receipts:
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 2 3 4 5 n -4 n -3 n -2 n -1 n
C C(1 + g) C(1+g ) 2 3
C(1+g) 4
C(1+g) n -5
C(1+g) n -4 n -3
C(1+g) C(1+g) n -2 n -1
C(1+g) C(1+g)
GEOMETRIC Gradient
P
where, i #g
Similarly, the future worth and equivalent uniform annual worth of the
geometric gradient series can be obtained by multiplying its present worth
“P” with the compound interest factors namely single payment compound
amount factor (SPCAF) and capital recovery factor (CRF) respectively at
the given rate of interest “i” per interest period and the number of interest
periods.
Cont.…
i = 10% = $20,000[]
n = 5 years = $84,533.60
g = 6%
Cont.…
Annuity: is the fixed sum of money payed/saved at
regular interval of time under certain condition.
If the cash flow deposited at the end of each year is
called regular annuity. Whereas, if the cash flow
deposited under at the beginning of each year /period is
called annuity due.
END OF CHAPTER
CHAPTER TWO
Depreciation, Inflation and deflation
CHAPTER OUTLINES:
What is depreciation, inflation and deflation
Causes of depreciation
Assumption of depreciation
Method of Calculating Depreciation
Effect of inflation
Different levels of inflation
Effect and causes of deflation
2. INTRODUCTION
Depreciation: is the loss of value of the physical assets
used in production. It also reduces efficiency as well as
value of assets. It is permanent, continuing and gradual
shrinkage in the book value of a fixed asset.
Inflation: is a quantitative measure of how quickly the
price of goods in an economy is increasing. Inflation is
caused when goods and services are in high demand, thus
creating a drop-in availability.
Deflation: occurs when too many goods are available or
when there is not enough money circulating to purchase
those goods.
2.1 DEPRECIATION
Depreciation can be understood in 3 senses.
In physical sense, depreciation is a decline in the
physical ability of equipment in the process of
production.
In economic sense, depreciation is a decline in the worth
of an asset due to outdated technology and due to
changes in psychological factors like tastes and
preferences.
In accounting sense, depreciation is estimated value of
fall in the worth of asset, which is generally treated as
an implicit cost.
2.2 Causes of Depreciation
Bv2 =Bv1-Dm
= (P-Dm ) -Dm
= P-2Dm
In the same manner the generalized expression for book value at the
end of any given year ‘m’ can be written as follows;
Bvm = P-mDm
B. Declining Balance method
END OF CHAPTER
CHAPTER THREE
Cost comparison of alternation methods
Chapter outlines
What is cost comparison?
Different types of Cost comparison methods
Different types of analysis-period situations
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Comparisons of assets or investment projects are
necessary in order to select the best among the
alternatives, i.e., to accept one and reject others.
When these alternatives are mutually exclusive in
nature, comparisons need to be taken into account a
particular point of time, i.e. At current or base period as
the reference year.
Moreover, as the value of any currency keeps on
changing over time, comparisons cannot be made across
time unless the value of the projects is transferred into a
particular time.
Cont.…
Let’s take an example: An invested amount of 10, 00000
in the year 2014 cannot be compared with 10, 00000 in
the year 2011 as both the investment occurred in two
different times. These two amounts need to be
transferred to the same time for comparison purpose.
Comparison of alternatives: For most of the engineering
projects, equipments etc., there are more than one
feasible alternative. It is the duty of the project
management team (comprising of engineers, designers,
project managers etc.) of the client organization to select
the best alternative that involves less cost and results
more revenue.
Cont.…
. For this purpose, the economic comparison of the
alternatives is made.
The different cost elements and other parameters to be
considered while making the economic comparison of
the alternatives are initial cost, annual operating and
maintenance cost, annual income or receipts, expected
salvage value, income tax benefit and the useful life.
When only one, among the feasible alternatives is
selected, the alternatives are said to be mutually
exclusive.
Cont.…
The differences in different parameters namely initial
capital investment, annual operation cost, annually
generated revenue, expected salvage value, useful life,
magnitude of output and its quality, performance and
operational characteristics etc. may exist among the
mutually exclusive alternatives.
Thus, the economic analysis of the mutually exclusive
alternatives is generally carried out on the similar or
equivalent basis, since each of the feasible alternatives
will meet the desired requirements of the project, if
selected.
Cont.…
The economic comparison of mutually exclusive
alternatives can be carried out by different equivalent
worth methods:
1. Present worth method,
2. Future worth method and
3. Annual worth method.
In these methods all the cash flows i.e. cash outflows and
cash inflows are converted into equivalent present worth,
future worth or annual worth considering the time value of
money at a given interest rate per interest period.
1.Comparison of alternatives by present
worth method:
In the present worth method for comparison of mutually
exclusive alternatives, the future amounts i.e.
expenditures and incomes occurring at future periods of
time are converted into equivalent present worth values
at a certain rate of interest per interest period and are
added to present worth occurring at “0” time.
The different compound interest factors namely single
payment present worth factor, uniform series present
worth factor and present worth factors for arithmetic
and geometric gradient series etc. will be used to
convert the respective future amounts to the equivalent
present worth values for different alternatives.
Cont.…
The converted equivalent present worth values are always
less than the respective future amounts since the rate of
interest is normally greater than zero.The methodology for
the comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives by the
present worth method depends upon the magnitude of useful
lives of the alternatives.
There are two cases:
A) the useful lives of alternatives are equal and
B) the useful lives of alternatives are not equal.
The alternatives having equal useful lives are designated as
equal life span alternatives whereas the alternatives having
unequal life spans are referred as different life span
alternatives.
A) Equal life span alternatives
The comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives
having equal life spans by present worth method is
comparatively simpler than those having different life
spans.
In case of equal life span mutually exclusive
alternatives, the future amounts as already stated are
converted into the equivalent present worth values and
are added to the present worth occurring at time zero.
Then, the alternative that exhibits maximum positive
equivalent present worth or minimum negative
equivalent present worth is selected from the considered
feasible alternatives.
B) Different life span alternatives:
If the comparison of the alternatives is not made over
the same life span, then the cost alternative having
shorter life span will result in lower equivalent present
worth i.e. lower cost than the cost alternative having
longer life span. Because in this case, the cost of the
short span alternative is considered only for a shorter
period of time, even though this alternative may not be
economical.
Cont.…
In case of mutually exclusive investment alternatives,
the alternative with longer life span will result in higher
equivalent present worth i.e. higher positive equivalent
worth, as the costs, revenues, savings through reduced
costs is considered over a longer period of time than the
alternative with shorter life span.
Thus, in order to minimize the effect of such kind of
discrepancy on the selection of best alternative from the
considered feasible alternatives, the comparison is made
over the same life span.
Cont...
The two approaches used for economic comparison of
different life span alternatives are as follows;
i) Comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives over a
time period that is equal to least common multiple (LCM)
of the individual life spans
ii) Comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives over a
study period which is not necessarily equal to the life span
of any of the alternatives.
Cont.…
In the first approach the comparison is made over a time
period equal to the least common multiple of the life spans of
mutually exclusive alternatives. The cash flow of the
alternatives i.e. cash flow of the first cycle is repeated and the
number of repetitions depends upon the value of least
common multiple of life spans between the mutually
exclusive alternatives.
In the second approach, a study period is selected over which
the economic comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives
is carried out. The length of the study period will depend on
the overall benefit of the project i.e. it may be shorter or
longer (as compared to useful lives of the individual
alternatives) depending upon the short-term or long-term
benefits as desired for the project.
Cont.…
Thus the cash flows of the alternatives occurring during
the study period are only considered for the economic
comparison.
However; if any alternative possesses salvage value at
the end of its useful life and that occurs after the study
period, then its equivalent value must be included in the
economic analysis.
The values of equivalent present worth of the mutually
exclusive alternatives are calculated over the selected
study period and the alternative showing maximum
positive equivalent present worth or minimum negative
equivalent present worth is selected.
1. Comparison by Present worth method
Now present worth criterion of an investment is the net
equivalent amount at present time. So basically in any
cash flow, you have the receipts and disbursements
occurring at different times. So basically you have to
find the net value of all these receipts - that of the
disbursements and basically that is to be evaluated at the
present time.
Now some examples showing the use of present worth
method for comparison of mutually exclusive
alternatives are presented. First the comparison of equal
life span mutually exclusive alternatives by present
worth method will be illustrated followed by
Cont.…
Example 1:There are two alternatives for purchasing a
concrete mixer. Both the alternatives have same useful
life. The cash flow details of alternatives are as follows;
Alternative-1: Initial purchase cost = 3,00,000, Annual
operating and maintenance cost = 20,000, Expected
salvage value = 1,25,000, Useful life = 5 years.
Alternative-2: Initial purchase cost = 2,00,000, Annual
operating and maintenance cost = 35,000, Expected
salvage value = 70,000, Useful life = 5 years. Using
present worth method, find out which alternative should
be selected, if the rate of interest is 10% per year.
Cont.…
Example 2: A material testing laboratory has two
alternatives for purchasing a compression testing
machine which will be used for determining the
compressive strength of different construction materials.
The alternatives are from two different manufacturing
companies.
The cash flow details of the alternatives are as follows;
Alternative-1: Initial purchase price = Rs.1000000,
Annual operating cost = Rs.10000, Expected annual
income to be generated from testing of different
construction materials = Rs.175000, Expected salvage
value = Rs.200000, Useful life = 10 years.
Cont.…
Alternative-2: Initial purchase price = Rs.700000,
Annual operating cost = Rs.15000, Expected annual
income to be generated from testing of different
construction materials = Rs.165000, Expected salvage
value = Rs.250000, Useful life = 5 years. Using present
worth method, find out the most economical alternative
at the interest rate of 10% per year
2. Comparison of alternatives by Future
worth method:
In the future worth method for comparison of mutually
exclusive alternatives, the equivalent future worth (i.e.
value at the end of the useful lives of alternatives) of all
the expenditures and incomes occurring at different
periods of time are determined at the given interest rate
per interest period.
As already mentioned, the cash flow of the mutually
exclusive alternatives may consist of expenditures and
incomes in different forms.
Cont.…
Therefore the equivalent future worth of these
expenditures and incomes will be determined using
different compound interest factors namely single
payment compound amount factor, uniform series
compound amount factor and future worth factors
for arithmetic and geometric gradient series etc.
Similarto present worth method, first the
comparison of equal life span alternatives by future
worth method will be illustrated followed by
comparison of different life span alternatives.
Cont.…
Example 3: There are two alternatives for purchasing a
concrete mixer. Both the alternatives have same useful
life. The cash flow details of alternatives are as follows;
Alternative-1: Initial purchase cost = Rs.300000, Annual
operating and maintenance cost = Rs.20000, Expected
salvage value = Rs.125000, Useful life = 5 years.
Alternative-2: Initial purchase cost = Rs.200000, Annual
operating and maintenance cost = Rs.35000, Expected
salvage value = Rs.70000, Useful life = 5 years. Using
future worth method, find out which alternative should
be selected, if the rate of interest is 10% per year.
Cont.…
Example 4 : A material testing laboratory has two
alternatives for purchasing a compression testing
machine which will be used for determining the
compressive strength of different construction materials.
The alternatives are from two different manufacturing
companies.
The cash flow details of the alternatives are as follows;
Alternative-1: Initial purchase price = Rs.1000000,
Annual operating cost = Rs.10000, Expected annual
income to be generated from testing of different
construction materials = Rs.175000, Expected salvage
value = Rs.200000, Useful life = 10 years.
Cont.…
Alternative-2: Initial purchase price = Rs.700000,
Annual operating cost = Rs.15000, Expected annual
income to be generated from testing of different
construction materials = Rs.165000, Expected salvage
value = Rs.250000, Useful life = 5 years. Find out the
most economical alternative at interest rate of 10% per
year by future worth method.
3.Comparison of alternatives by Annual
worth method:
In this method, the mutually exclusive alternatives are
compared on the basis of equivalent uniform annual
worth. The equivalent uniform annual worth represents
the annual equivalent value of all the cash inflows and
cash outflows of the alternatives at the given rate of
interest per interest period.
In this method of comparison, the equivalent uniform
annual worth of all expenditures and incomes of the
alternatives are determined using different compound
interest factors namely capital recovery factor, sinking
fund factor and annual worth factors for arithmetic and
geometric gradient series etc.
Cont.…
Example 5:There are two alternatives for purchasing a
concrete mixer and following are the cash flow details;
Alternative-1: Initial purchase cost = 300000, Annual
operating and maintenance cost =20000, Expected salvage
value =125000, Useful life = 5 years.
Alternative-2: Initial purchase cost = 200000, Annual
operating and maintenance cost = 35000, Expected salvage
value = 70000, Useful life = 5 years. The annual revenue to
be generated from production of concrete (by concrete
mixer) from Alternative-1 and Alternative-2 are 50000 and
45000 respectively. Compute the equivalent uniform annual
worth of the alternatives at the interest rate of 10% per year
and find out the economical alternative.
Cont.…
Example 6: Compare the following equipment on the
basis of the equivalent uniform annual worth and find
out the most economical one at the interest rate of 9.5%
per year.
Equipment-A
Cash flow details:
Initial purchase cost = 5000000, Annual operating cost
= 60000 at the end of year “1” and increasing by 3000
in the subsequent years till the end of useful life.
Annual income = 770000 , Cost of one time major
repair = 200000 at the end of year “8” Expected
salvage value = 1400000, Useful life = 12 years.
Cont.…
Equipment-B
Cash flow details:
Initial purchase cost = 4600000, Annual operating cost
= 75000 Annual income =710000 for the first 5 years
and increasing by 5000 in the subsequent years till the
end of useful life. Cost of one time major repair =
230000 at the end of year “6”, Expected salvage value =
1200000, Useful life = 12 years.
CHAPTER FOUR
Economic Analysis of industrial
operation
Chapter outlines
How to calculate Break even and payback
period?
Linear and non-linear break even point
analysis
Decision making with probability
4.1 INTRODUCTION
Economic analysis is the study of economic systems. It may
also be a study of a production process or an industry. The
analysis aims to determine how effectively the economy or
something within it is operating. For example, an economic
analysis of a company focuses mainly on how much profit it
is making.
4.2 Break Even Analysis:
The break-even point is the point at which total revenue
is equal to total cost. At this point, the profit is zero. (A
particular company neither makes nor loses money at
this point).
There are two types of costs to consider: variable and
fixed.
Fixed costs include things like rent, lease payment,
insurance payment, etc. Fixed costs do not depend on
the number of units (e.g. number of pizzas sold).
Cont.…
Variable costs vary with the number of units. For
example, the more pizzas you make, the greater the food
cost. Revenue will vary with the number of units.
Generally, as the number of units increases, revenue also
increases.
Break-even analysis finds a point at which TR=TC. It is
a point of output at which there is no profit and no loss.
Some Formulas Total revenue = price x number of units
(TR = P*Q). This is also known as the revenue function.
Cont.…
Total cost = variable cost x number of units + total fixed
cost (TC = VC*Q + FC). This is also known as the cost
function.
At break-even point, TR = TC.
When TR and VC are directly proportional to output,
then it is called linear break-even analysis. If this
condition is not satisfied, the concerned break-even
analysis is known as non-linear break-even analysis.
Cont..
Let’s calculate break-even point by algebraic method
TC= FC+ VC
Q×P = FC+ VC
QP-Qv-FC=0
Q(P-V)-FC=0
Q =break-even quantity=
Break-even sales = QP = P [] =
Cont.…
Break-even sales can be found out by the
difference between actual sales and break-even
sales or [profit×sales]/ [sales-VC]
Margin of safety is an important concept in B-E
analysis. It is defined as the sales over and above
the break-even sales. It represents the strength of
an investment situation.
Margin of safety = actual sales-break even sales
Cont.…
The sum of the first three yearly cash inflows, $37 000, is less than the initial investment,
$50 000; but the sum of the first four yearly cash inflows, $55 000, exceeds the initial
investment. Hence the payback period will be somewhere between 3 and 4 years.
Linear interpolation yields
PBP= 3 + {(50,000 – 37,000)/(55,000 – 37,000)}*(4 – 3) = 3.72 years
Because it ignores the time value of money
CHAPTER FIVE
Re-Engineering and Reverse Engineering
Introduction
5.1 Re-Engineering
Re-engineering is the investigation and redesign of individual
components.
It may also describe the entire overhaul of a device by taking the
current design and improving certain aspects of it. The aims of re-
engineering may be to improve a particular area of performance or
functionality, reduce operational costs or add new elements to a
current design.
The methods used depend on the device but typically involve
engineering drawings of the amendments followed by extensive
testing of prototypes before production. The rights to re-engineer a
product belong solely to the original owner of the design or relevant
Cont.….
5.2 Reverse Engineering
Unlike re-engineering, reverse engineering takes a finished
product with the aim of discovering how it works by testing
it.
Typically this is done by companies that seek to infiltrate a
competitor's market or understand its new product. In doing
so they can produce new products while allowing the
original creator to pay all the development costs and take all
the risks involved with creating a new product.
Analysis of a product in this way is done without technical
drawings or prior knowledge of how the device works, and
the basic method used in reverse engineering begins by
identifying the system's components, followed by an
investigation into the relationship among these components.
Cont.…
Reengineering is an engineering process to reconstitute an existing system into a
new form through a combination of reverse engineering, restructuring, and
forward engineering.
Cont.…
Reengineering relates closely to maintenance, which is generally
viewed as consisting of corrective, perfective, preventive, and
adaptive maintenance.
5.3 Re-engineering Framework
Problem solving involves an understanding of the problem, i.e., a
clear understanding of the root causes in terms of its existing
state, an understanding of the desired state, and a path (plan) to
evolve from the current state to the desired state. The current
state reflects properties of the existing system and the process by
which the system is engineered (developed and maintained). A
subset of those properties is undesirable, reflecting the problem to
be solved. System understanding reflects the process of creating
and maintaining an understanding of a system (through analysis,
elicitation, and capture).
Cont.…
System evolution represents the engineering activity of migrating the existing system to the desired state. Based on an understanding of the current and desired system state and available (re)engineering technology, an analysis making engineering tradeoffs by considering technical, management, and economic risks and constraints results in a (re)engineering plan. During the execution of this plan (i.e., the actual evolution of the system through engineering activity), the plans may be reassessed taking into consideration changes in the context (e.g., technical changes such as promising new technologies or economic changes such as budget
reductions or increases).