0% found this document useful (0 votes)
24 views25 pages

Ch07

Uploaded by

bradthibeau
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
24 views25 pages

Ch07

Uploaded by

bradthibeau
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 25

• Chapter 7

Chapter Title
Efficient
Diversification

INVESTMENTS | Bodie et al. 10th CE | © 2022 McGraw-Hill Education Limited


Overview
• The investment decision:
– Capital allocation (risky vs. risk-free)
– Asset allocation (construction of the risky
portfolio)
– Security selection

• Optimal risky portfolio


• The Markowitz portfolio optimization model
• Risk pooling and risk sharing

7-2
The Investment Decision

• Top-down process of investment:


1. Capital allocation between the risky portfolio
and risk-free asset
2. Asset allocation across broad asset classes
 e.g., Canadian stocks, international stocks,
long-term bonds

3. Security selection of individual assets within


each asset class

7-3
Diversification and Portfolio Risk

• Market risk
– Market-wide risk sources
– Remains even after diversification
– a.k.a. systematic or non-diversifiable risk

• Firm-specific risk
– Risk that can be eliminated by diversification
– a.k.a. diversifiable or non-systematic risk

7-4
Portfolio Risk and the Number of
Stocks in the Portfolio

7-5
Portfolio Diversification

7-6
Portfolios of Two Risky Assets:
Expected Return

Consider a Portfolio made up of Equity (stock)


and Debt (bond) fund.

E(rp) = wD E(rD) + wE E(rE)

wD = proportion of funds in bond fund (D)


wE = proportion of funds in stock fund (E)
E(rD) = expected return on D
E(rE) = expected return on E

7-7
Portfolios of Two Risky Assets:
Risk

• Portfolio variance

Cov(rD, rE)= Covariance of returns for bond


and equity
D = Standard deviation of bond returns
E = Standard deviation of equity returns

7-8
Portfolios of Two Risky Assets:
Risk

• Covariance of returns on bond and equity:

DE = Correlation coefficient of returns


D = Standard deviation of bond returns
E = Standard deviation of equity returns

7-9
Portfolios of Two Risky Assets:
Correlation Coefficients

Range of values for ρD,E

-1.0 ≤ ρ ≤ 1.0

• If ρ = 1.0, the securities would be perfectly


positively correlated
• If ρ = -1.0, the securities would be perfectly
negatively correlated
• If ρ = 0, the securities would be uncorrelated
7-10
Portfolio Expected Return as a
Function of Standard Deviation

7-11
The Minimum Variance Portfolio
• The minimum variance portfolio: the
portfolio composed of risky assets with
smallest standard deviation
• Risk reduction depends on the correlation:
– The smaller the correlation, the greater
the risk reduction potential
– If ρ = +1.0, no risk reduction is possible
– If ρ = -1.0, a riskless hedge is possible
– If ρ < 1, σP can be less than the standard
deviation of either component asset
7-12
The Sharpe Ratio

• Maximize the slope of the CAL for any


possible portfolio, P

• The objective function is the slope:

E rp   rf
Sp 
σp
Sharp ratio measures the excess return per unit of risk.

7-13
Optimal Risky Portfolio
E rP   11%
σ P  14.2%
ErP   rf
SP 
P
11%  5%

14.2%
 .42

Optimal Allocation to P
A4
E rP   rf
y
Aσ P2
11%  5%
  .7439
4  14.2%
2

7-14
The Proportions of the Optimal
Complete Portfolio

Overall Portfolio
E rP   11% y  .7439
σ P  14.2% rf  5%
E rOverall   y  E rP   1  y  rf
 .7439  11%  .2561  5%
 9.46%
σ Overall  .7439  14.2%  10.56%
9.46%  5%
SOverall   .42
10.56%
In case of two risky assets, the weights of the optimal risky
portfolio (i.e., split between D and E) are given in Eq. 7.13.
7-15
Markowitz Portfolio
Optimization Model (1)

• Security selection
– Determine the risk-return opportunities
available
– All portfolios that lie on the minimum-
variance frontier from the global
minimum-variance portfolio and upward
provide the best risk-return combinations

7-16
The Minimum-Variance Frontier of
Risky Assets

7-17
Markowitz Portfolio
Optimization Model (2)

• What is the optimal risky portfolio P?


• Search for the CAL with the highest
reward-to-variability ratio
• Everyone invests in P, regardless of their
degree of risk aversion
– More risk averse investors put less in P
– Less risk averse investors put more in P

7-18
Efficient Frontier of Risky Assets
with the Optimal CAL

7-19
Markowitz Portfolio
Optimization Model (3)
• Capital Allocation and the Separation
Property
– Portfolio choice problem may be separated
into two independent tasks
 Determination of the optimal risky portfolio
is purely technical and objective
 Allocation of the complete portfolio to risk-free
versus the risky portfolio depends on personal
preference

7-20
7-21
Markowitz Portfolio
Optimization Model (4)

• The Power of Diversification


– We can express portfolio variance as

– Portfolio variance can be driven to zero if the


average covariance is zero
– The irreducible risk of a diversified portfolio
depends on the covariance of the returns

7-22
Markowitz Portfolio
Optimization Model (5)
• Optimal Portfolios and Non-normal Returns
– Fat-tailed distributions can result in extreme
values of Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected
shortfall (ES)  smaller allocations
– If other portfolios provide sufficiently better VaR
and ES values than the mean-variance efficient
portfolio, we may prefer these when faced with
fat-tailed distributions

7-23
Risk Pooling and the Insurance
Principle
• Risk pooling
– Merging uncorrelated, risky projects as a means
to reduce risk
– It increases the scale of the risky investment by
adding additional uncorrelated assets
• The insurance principle
– Risk increases less than proportionally to the
number of policies when the policies are
uncorrelated
– Sharpe ratio increases
7-24
Risk Sharing
• As risky assets are added, a portion of the
pool is sold to maintain a risky portfolio of
fixed size but better return-risk trade-off
• True diversification means spreading a
portfolio of fixed size across many assets, not
merely adding more risky bets
– Naturally own a smaller fraction of each
invested company; sharing risk with others
– Think about holding a share in an insurance
company

7-25

You might also like