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Unit 42 Statistic For Management

This document provides an outline of a statistics unit that covers: 1) Evaluating business and economic data from published sources 2) Analyzing and evaluating raw business data using statistical methods 3) Applying statistical methods in business planning 4) Communicating findings using charts and tables The unit will cover descriptive statistics, sources of data, interpreting data as information and knowledge, and common statistical methods.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
166 views29 pages

Unit 42 Statistic For Management

This document provides an outline of a statistics unit that covers: 1) Evaluating business and economic data from published sources 2) Analyzing and evaluating raw business data using statistical methods 3) Applying statistical methods in business planning 4) Communicating findings using charts and tables The unit will cover descriptive statistics, sources of data, interpreting data as information and knowledge, and common statistical methods.

Uploaded by

Hein Khant
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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UNIT - 42

Statistics For Management

1
Unit Outline

Part (1) Evaluate Business and Economic Data/Information Obtained


from Published Sources
Part (2) Analyze and Evaluate Raw Business Data Using a Number
of Statistical Methods
Part (3) Apply Statistical Methods in Business Planning
Part (4) Communicate Findings Using Appropriate Charts and Tables

2
PART (1)

Evaluate Business and Economic


Data/Information

3
Contents

• What Is Statistics?
• Interpretation Of Business And Economic Data
• Data
• Information
• Knowledge

• Methods Of Analysis:

4
What Is Statistics?

“Statistics is the science concerned with developing and studying

methods for collecting, analyzing, interpreting and presenting

empirical data.”

5
What is statistics?

 Descriptive statistics deals with methods of organizing, summarizing,

and presenting data in a convenient and informative way.

 Inferential statistics is a way of making inferences about populations

based on samples
6
Key Statistical Concepts

 A population is the group of all items of interest to a statistics


practitioner.

 A sample is a set of data drawn from the studied population.

 Statistical inference is the process of making an estimate, prediction, or


decision about a population based on sample data.
7
Data, Information And Knowledge

Data
 Facts and statistics collected together for reference or analysis.
 A collection of text, numbers and symbols with no meaning

 Example
3, 6, 9, 12
Cat, dog, gerbil, rabbit, cockatoo
161.2, 175.3, 166.4, 164.7, 169.3

 These are meaningless sets of data


8
Sources of Data
Existing Sources

Data Available from Internal Company Records


Sources of Data
Existing Sources

10

Data Available from Selected Government Agencies


Sources of Data

Observational Study
 An observational study we simply observe what is happening in a particular
situation, record data on one or more variables of interest, and conduct a statistical
analysis of the resulting data.

Experiment
 An experiment is that an experiment is conducted under controlled conditions
 The data obtained from a well-designed experiment can often provide more
information as compared to the data obtained from existing sources or by
conducting an observational study 11
Data, Information And Knowledge

Information
 Information is the result of processing data, usually by computer.
 Data consists of raw facts and figures.
 When that data is processed into sets according to context, it provides information.

Data + Meaning = Information


 Example
3, 6, 9 and 12 are the first four answers in the 3 x table
cat, dog, gerbil, rabbit, cockatoo is a list of household pets
161.2, 175.3, 166.4, 164.7, 169.3 are the heights of 15-year-old students. 12
Data, Information And Knowledge

Knowledge
 Knowledge is produced as a result of understanding information that has been given to
us, and using that information to gain knowledge of how to solve problems.

 Knowledge can therefore be:


 Acquiring and remembering a set of facts, or

 The use of information to solve problems.

Information + Application or Use = Knowledge


13
Data, Information And Knowledge

Example

 4, 8, 12 and 16 are the first four answers in the 4 x table (because the 3 x table
starts at three and goes up in threes the 4 x table must start at four and go up in
fours)

 The tallest student is 175.3cm.

 A lion is not a household pet as it is not in the list and it lives in the wild.

14
Data Analysis – “The Concept”

 Approach to de-synthesizing data, informational, and/or factual


elements to answer research questions

 Method of putting together facts and figures to solve research problem

 Systematic process of utilizing data to address research questions

 Breaking down research issues through utilizing controlled data and


factual information 15
Categories of Data Analysis

1. Narrative (Eg. Laws, arts)

2. Descriptive (Eg. Social sciences)

3. Statistical/mathematical (pure/applied sciences)

4. Audio-optical (Eg. Telecommunication)

5. Others

 Most research analyses, arguably, adopt the first three.

 The second and third are, arguably, most popular in pure, applied, and social sciences 16
Statistical Methods
 Something to do with “statistics”
 Statistics: “meaningful” quantities about a sample of objects, things, persons, events,
phenomena, etc.
 Widely used in social sciences.
 Simple to complex issues. E.G.
 Correlation
 Anova
 Manova
 Regression
 Econometric modelling
 Two main categories:
 Descriptive statistics
 Inferential statistics 17
Descriptive Statistics

Use sample information to explain/make abstraction of population “phenomena”.

Common “phenomena”:
• Association (Eg. Σ1,2.3 = 0.75)

• tendency (left-skew, right-skew)

• Causal relationship (Eg. If X, then, Y)

• Trend, pattern, dispersion, range

Used in non-parametric analysis (Eg. Chi-square, t-test, 2-way anova)


18
Examples Of “Abstraction” Of Phenomena

350,000

No. of houses
300,000
200000
250,000
150000 200,000 1991
150,000 2000
100000
100,000
50000 50,000

0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Loa n t o pr ope r t y se c t or ( RM 32635.8 38100.6 42468.1 47684.7 48408.2 61433.6 77255.7 97810.1
million)
De ma nd f or shop shouse s ( unit s) 71719 73892 85843 95916 101107 117857 134864 86323

S upply of shop house s ( unit s) 85534 85821 90366 101508 111952 125334 143530 154179

Year (1990 - 1997)


District
Tre nds in prope rty loan, s hop hous e dem and & s upply

200
14

Price (RM/sq. f t of built a rea)


Proportion (%)

12 180

10
160
8
6 140

4
120
2
0 100

80
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Age Category (Years Old) 19
Demand (% sales success)
Exploratory Data Analysis
What is EDA?
 The analysis of datasets based on various numerical methods and graphical tools.
 Exploring data for patterns, trends, underlying structure, deviations from the trend,
anomalies and strange structures.
 It facilitates discovering unexpected as well as conforming the expected.
 Another definition: an approach/philosophy for data analysis that employs a variety of
techniques (mostly graphical).

20
Aim of the EDA
 Maximize insight into a dataset
 Uncover underlying structure
 Extract important variables
 Detect outliers and anomalies
 Test underlying assumptions
 Develop valid models
 Determine optimal factor settings (Xs) 21
Aim of The EDA

• The goal of EDA is to open-mindedly explore data.


• Tukey: EDA is detective work… unless detective finds the clues, judge or jury has
nothing to consider.
• Here, judge or jury is a confirmatory data analysis
• Tukey: confirmatory data analysis goes further, assessing the strengths of the
evidence.
• With EDA, we can examine data and try to understand the meaning of variables.
What are the abbreviations stand for.
22
Exploratory Vs Confirmatory Data Analysis
EDA CDA
• No hypothesis at first • Start with hypothesis

• Generate hypothesis • Test the null hypothesis

• Uses graphical methods (mostly) • Uses statistical models

23
Steps of EDA
• Generate good research questions
• Data restructuring: you may need to make new variables from the existing ones.
• Instead of using two variables, obtaining rates or percentages of them
• Creating dummy variables for categorical variables

• Based on the research questions, use appropriate graphical tools and obtain descriptive statistics. Try to
understand the data structure, relationships, anomalies, unexpected behaviors.
• Try to identify confounding variables, interaction relations and multicollinearity, if any.
• Handle missing observations
• Decide on the need of transformation (on response and/or explanatory variables).
• Decide on the hypothesis based on your research questions
24
After EDA

 Confirmatory data analysis: verify the hypothesis by statistical


analysis

 Get conclusions and present your results nicely.

25
Classification of EDA*
 Exploratory data analysis is generally cross-classified in two ways.
 First, each method is either non-graphical or graphical.
 Second, each method is either univariate or multivariate (usually just bivariate).

 Non-graphical methods generally involve calculation of summary statistics, while graphical


methods obviously summarize the data in a diagrammatic or pictorial way.
 Univariate methods look at one variable (data column) at a time, while multivariate methods look
at two or more variables at a time to explore relationships. Usually our multivariate EDA will be
bivariate (looking at exactly two variables), but occasionally it will involve three or more
variables.
 It is almost always a good idea to perform univariate EDA on each of the components of a
multivariate EDA before performing the multivariate EDA.
26

*Seltman, H.J. (2015). Experimental Design and Analysis. http://www.stat.cmu.edu/~hseltman/309/Book/Book.pdf


1. Presentation of quantitative data

One hundred people were shown two statistical data group, one from 1999 and

another from 2010.

The people were asked to rate both group in terms of happiness using an

ordinal scale ranging from very happy with a score of 1, to very unhappy with a

rating of 5. The results are show below in Table.

Display the above data in an appropriate format that will allow a comparison to

be made between the views on the two groups. 27


Y- Max University ( YMU )

Table : Happiness ratings of the 1999 and 2010 statistical data group

Rating Rating score 1999 group Number of people 2010 group Number of people

4 43
Very happy 1

15 31
Happy 2

Balanced 3 21 14

Unhappy 4 42 9

Very unhappy 5 18 3
THANK YOU

29

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