04 OC - Fracture Risk Assessment
04 OC - Fracture Risk Assessment
Section Four
2010 Guidelines
* Combined risk for fractures of the proximal femur, vertebra [clinical], forearm, and proximal humerus.
Other fractures attributable to osteoporosis are not reflected; total osteoporotic fracture burden is underestimated
Click here for CAROC risk assessment in table format. Papaioannou A, et al. CMAJ 2010 Oct 12. [Epub ahead of print].
2010 Guidelines
10-year Risk Assessment for Men
(CAROC Basal Risk)
Click here for CAROC risk assessment in table format. Papaioannou A, et al. CMAJ 2010 Oct 12. [Epub ahead of print].
2010 Guidelines
* Hip fracture, vertebral fracture, or multiple fracture events should be considered high risk
** >3 months use in the prior year at a prednisone-equivalent dose ≥ 7.5 mg daily
www.shef.ac.uk/FRAX.
2010 Guidelines
Laboratory assessment:
Bone Turnover Markers (BTMs)
• The value of bone turnover markers (BTMs) in
estimating future risk of fracture in individual
patients needs further research
• As a result, BTMs have not yet been integrated
in current fracture-risk assessment systems
Statement Strength
Clinical risk factors (especially age, prior fragility fracture and
prolonged glucocorticoid exposure) enhance fracture Level 1
prediction independent of BMD alone
The Canadian FRAX tool and CAROC are well calibrated for
prediction of major osteoporotic fracture risk Level 1
Click here for a summary of the grading system for levels of evidence.
2010 Guidelines
Recommendation Grade
Absolute fracture risk assessment should be based on
established factors including age, BMD, prior fragility fracture, and A
glucocorticoid use
Click here for a summary of the grading system for levels of evidence.
2010 Guidelines
In both men and women age 50 or older, only the femoral neck T-
score (derived from the NHANES III reference range for Caucasian
D
women) should be used for the calculation of future osteoporotic
fracture risk under the Canadian FRAX and CAROC systems
Back-up Material
Additional slides that can be accessed from
hyperlinks on core slides
20
15
10
New Zealand
US Hispanic
Switzerland
United Kingdom
CANADA
Italy
US Black
Germany
US Caucasian
Japan
Hong Kong
US Asian
Sweden
Belgium
Turkey
China
Austria
Argentina
Finland
France
Spain
Lebanon
Return to main presentation Version 3.1 FRAX website (www.sheffield.ac.uk/FRAX).
2010 Guidelines
2.5
2.1
1.8 (1.1-4.4)
2.0 (0.8-4.6)
1.5 1.3
1.2 (0.5-3.1)
0.7 (0.5-2.8)
1.0
(0.3-1.8)
0.5
0.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Bone marker levels in quartiles
10-year
Prevalence Odds Relative
Risk factor(s) probability
(%) ratio Risk
(%)
Average 100 1.0 18.0
Low BMD 56 2.8 1.4 23.6
Prior fracture 39 3.5 1.77 28.8
High CTX 23 2.4 1.82 29.5
Low BMD + prior fracture 23 4.1 2.39 36.3
Low BMD + high CTX 16 4.1 2.74 40.1
Prior fracture + high CTX 12 5.3 3.50 47.3
All of the above 7 5.8 4.43 54.5
Level Criteria
i Independent interpretation of test results
ii Independent interpretation of the diagnostic standard
Level Criteria
1+ Systematic overview of meta-analysis of RCTs
1 One RCT with adequate power
2+ Systematic overview or meta-analysis of Level 2 RCTs
2 RCT that does not meet Level 1 criteria
3 Non-RCT or cohort study
Before/after study, cohort study with non-contemporaneous
4
controls, case-control study
5 Case series without controls
6 Case report or case series of < 10 patients
RCT = randomized, controlled study
2010 Guidelines
Level Criteria
A Need supportive level 1 or 1+ evidence plus consensus*
Return to main presentation Papaioannou A, et al. CMAJ 2010 Oct 12. [Epub ahead of print].
2010 Guidelines
Return to main presentation Papaioannou A, et al. CMAJ 2010 Oct 12. [Epub ahead of print].