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5-Trip Rate Changes Over Time

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5-Trip Rate Changes Over Time

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TRIP RATE CHANGES OVER TIME: AN

EXAMINATION OF MAIN TRICS LAND


USES
MIKE GREEN, SURREY COUNTY COUNCIL
BACKGROUND

• TRICS Contains over 30 years of survey data.


• Our first analysis of trip rates over time.
• Retail, Employment and Residential land uses studied.
• Traffic only analysis and multi-modal analysis.
• Any trends cannot be assumed to continue in to the future.
• Very important that data collection continues so that
ongoing trends can be continually assessed.
• Be aware of trip rate calculation “cut off” date defaults.
THE LAND USES

• 01/A: Food Superstore


• 02/A: Office
• 03/A: Houses Privately
Owned
TRAFFIC ANALYSIS & MULTI-MODAL
ANALYSIS

• Traffic Analysis
• Total Vehicles

• Multi-Modal Analysis
• Total Vehicles
• Total People
• Pedestrians
• Public Transport users
• Cyclists
CRITERIA OF ANALYSIS: FOOD
SUPERSTORES

• Trip rates (both directions) per 100m2 GFA


• Survey Dates • Friday Periods
• 1989-1993 • 0800-0900 Morning Peak
• 1700-1800 Evening Peak
• 1994-1998 • 0700-1900 (12 Hours)
• Saturday Periods
• 1999-2003 • 1200-1300 Peak Hour
• 2004-2008 • 0700-1900 (12 Hours)
• Maximum Sample Size: 65 survey days
• 2009-2013 • Edge of Town, Suburban Area and Edge of Town
Centre location types combined.
• 2014-2018
(multi-modal range)
FOOD SUPERSTORE RESULTS: FRIDAYS
TOTAL VEHICLES PER 100m2 GFA

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
08:00-
3.013 5.128 6.204 6.315 4.286 3.605
09:00

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
17:00-
12.648 15.174 14.510 14.317 9.871 6.622
18:00

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


FOOD SUPERSTORE RESULTS: FRIDAYS
MULTI-MODAL TRIPS PER 100m2 GFA
08:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-
09:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 5.897 6.315 4.286 2.833
TP 9.251 9.497 5.975 4.417
P 1.353 1.305 0.629 0.700
PTU 0.369 0.522 0.042 0.232
C 0.114 0.166 0.045 0.042

17:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


18:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 13.839 14.317 9.871 5.162
TP 24.272 24.406 14.845 8.942
P 2.421 3.371 1.150 1.181
PTU 0.288 0.451 0.081 0.235
C 0.150 0.190 0.069 0.092

07:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


19:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 139.242 158.072 102.688 68.962
TP 231.851 275.760 156.303 113.595
P 21.097 45.916 15.775 15.607
PTU 4.013 7.098 0.947 3.466
FOOD SUPERSTORE RESULTS:
SATURDAYS
TOTAL VEHICLES PER 100m2 GFA

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
12:00-
12.752 14.837 15.112 13.278 10.902 11.779
13:00

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
07:00-
117.908 139.780 143.733 126.114 107.417 109.985
19:00
FOOD SUPERSTORE RESULTS:
SATURDAYS
MULTI-MODAL TRIPS PER 100m2 GFA
12:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-
13:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 14.997 13.278 10.902 11.913
TP 28.678 24.725 19.452 22.263
P 2.977 2.411 1.451 1.731
PTU 0.716 0.415 0.248 0.671
C 0.247 0.151 0.093 0.070

07:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


19:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 137.964 127.272 114.320 111.650
TP 253.059 234.507 199.527 206.859
P 25.908 26.812 16.608 16.787
PTU 4.967 4.532 2.490 6.688
C 1.757 1.400 1.057 0.889
CRITERIA OF ANALYSIS: OFFICES

• Survey Dates • Trip rates (both directions) per 100m2 GFA


• 1989-1993 • Weekday (Monday-Friday) Periods
• 1994-1998 • 0800-0900 Morning Peak
• 1999-2003 • 1700-1800 Evening Peak
• 0700-1900 (12 Hours)
• 2004-2008
• Maximum Sample Size: 45 survey days
• 2009-2013 • Edge of Town, Suburban Area and Edge of
• 2014-2018 Town Centre location types combined.
(multi-modal range)
OFFICE RESULTS: WEEKDAYS
TOTAL VEHICLES PER 100m2 GFA

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
08:00-
1.814 2.127 1.837 1.656 1.765 1.235
09:00

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
17:00-
1.273 1.435 1.746 1.385 1.484 1.120
18:00

1989- 1994- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


OFFICE RESULTS: WEEKDAYS
MULTI-MODAL TRIPS PER 100m2 GFA
08:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-
09:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 1.542 2.225 2.228 2.714
TP 2.509 3.361 3.200 4.373
P 0.221 0.381 0.421 0.611
PTU 0.411 0.445 0.305 0.594
C 0.154 0.041 0.088 0.138

17:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


18:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 1.293 2.045 1.920 1.860
TP 2.126 3.173 2.860 3.356
P 0.211 0.349 0.415 0.541
PTU 0.375 0.449 0.263 0.614
C 0.125 0.056 0.058 0.103

07:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


19:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 12.822 14.788 16.518 12.674
TP 24.203 28.224 28.385 25.213
P 6.872 8.126 7.578 7.122
PTU 2.077 2.415 1.824 3.328
CRITERIA OF ANALYSIS:
HOUSES PRIVATELY OWNED

• Survey Dates • Trip rates (both directions) per 1 Dwelling


• 1989-1993 • Weekday (Monday-Friday) Periods
• 1994-1998 • 0800-0900 Morning Peak
• 1999-2003 • 1700-1800 Evening Peak
• 0700-1900 (12 Hours)
• 2004-2008
• Maximum Sample Size: 64 survey days
• 2009-2013 • Edge of Town, Suburban Area and Edge of
• 2014-2018 Town Centre location types combined.
(multi-modal range)
HOUSES PRIVATELY OWNED RESULTS:
WEEKDAYS – TOTAL VEHICLES PER 1
DWELLING

1989-19931994-19981999-20032004-20082009-20132014-2018
08:00-
0.654 0.688 0.597 0.578 0.546 0.527
09:00

1989-19931994-19981999-20032004-20082009-20132014-2018
17:00-
0.719 0.668 0.642 0.605 0.627 0.518
18:00

1989-19931994-19981999-20032004-20082009-20132014-2018
07:00-
HOUSES PRIVATELY OWNED RESULTS:
WEEKDAYS - MULTI-MODAL TRIPS PER 1 DWELLING

08:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


09:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 0.672 0.602 0.594 0.548
TP 1.348 1.209 1.186 1.062
P 0.169 0.261 0.283 0.193
PTU 0.053 0.057 0.043 0.031
C 0.052 0.022 0.039 0.013

17:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


18:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 0.651 0.624 0.599 0.533
TP 1.126 1.037 1.014 0.959
P 0.123 0.153 0.178 0.153
PTU 0.023 0.020 0.033 0.025
C 0.040 0.025 0.028 0.014

07:00- 1999- 2004- 2009- 2014-


19:00 2003 2008 2013 2018
TV 5.623 5.671 5.209 5.156
TP 9.815 9.921 9.420 8.994
P 1.252 1.881 1.937 1.591
NON-SPECULATIVE SUMMARY

• This limited analysis undertaken by TRICS shows, for a


small number of land use categories, an apparent reduction
in vehicle trips over time.
• This is also evident to a certain degree for total people
trips, although these appear to be more dynamic. Individual
modes show more inconsistent trends.
• An overall shift towards non-vehicular modes is also
suggested.
• TRICS provides a cut-off date in the calculation process and
also provides guidance on its use (see Good Practice
Guide).
FURTHER DISCUSSION NEEDED

• There are many different influences to Travel Behaviour.

• How will these changes impact Trip Generation in the


future?

• Continued Independent Surveys will help inform historic


trends

• TRICS - Changes in Behaviours Guidance

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