International Business Insights and Risks
International Business Insights and Risks
Business
Lecture
5
153
03/12/2024 1
Homework questions
2
11 Days – 11 Sessions
Session 1: Introduction to International Business--Globalization
Session 2: Communication, Culture, ethics, CSR and sustainability
Session 3: National Political, Economic and Legal Systems
Session 4: International trade and government Policies
Session 5: Industrial types, organizations, strategies in
international business, analysis and risk, control and planning
Session 6: Evaluation of countries and business
Session 7: Practical business planning, organization structure, strategies
and control
Session 8: Money, investment, finance & accounting
Session 9: Production and supply chains
Session 10: Global marketing
Session 11: Management, leadership, HRM and diversity
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1. Industrial types & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
5. Control systems
6. Business planning 4
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1. Industrial types & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
5. Control systems
6. Business planning 5
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1 & 2. Industries &
opportunities
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What are the traditional industry types?
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5 ‘traditional’ types
and Characteristics
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What industrial sector is best to enter?
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So what is the potential in the industries that
are worth entering?
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Characteristics
E-commerce/business:
B2C
B2B
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Emerging
industries
Fast and
furious
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14
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Questions to consider
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Questions one needs to consider:
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What are the industry and business
opportunities in the near future?
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1. Industrial types, clusters & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
5. Control systems
6. Business planning 19
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What ‘tools’ can you use to
analyse business markets?
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A standard tool used for
market analysis
PESTEL
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PESTEL Analysis
Political
Economic (financial)
Social (cultural)
Technological
Environmental
Legal
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ES S
U S I N
H E B
E T A Y &
T A R T OD
H A D S W ?
W RE N R RO
T M O
TO
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Emerging, fragmented (but connected) and
global
Innovation:
Competitiveness lies in a company’s or firm’s-specific
advantage (FSAs), which need to be continuously
upgraded, and this requires firms to be innovative.
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Company specific resources and capabilities
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Porter’s forces
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FIVE FORCES (Michael Porter) model helps you
analyse and understand an industry’s structure.
1. Threat of substitute
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1. Threat of substitute
Industry is more attractive when the threat of a
substitute is low.
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a. economies of scale (new entrants have to
accept cost disadvantages).
Traditional Entrepreneurial
Slow Quick
Heavy Light
Unguided (dumb) Guided (smart)
Static targets Moving targets
Inflexible Flexible
High fixed costs Low fixed costs
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1. Industrial types, clusters & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
5. Control systems
6. Business planning 36
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3. Risk
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If risk is about balancing + and – what factors are going
to help you decide to enter a market or start a
business?
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Threat to success of a business or
industry (i.e. profitability)
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RISK – Traffic lights and alarms The greater the need
for success, the easier
it is to ignore the
downside.
Probable IMPACT:
- Downside Downside
Can the risk be absorbed?
Specific
Measurable
Achievable
Relevant
Timely (time-bound)
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Business Risks (1/2)
Risk name TVaR in MSEK Explanations
1. Redundancy of 45
employees due to
lost orders (+/-0)
Description: Price reduction can occur due to new competitors (cross segment merchandising),
lower demand for maintenance, economic down-turn
2. Price reduction 16 Risk Response:
(market
conditions) (+/-0) *Instead of hiring new employees, increase the use of subcontractors.
*Reduce overhead costs: Thorough follow-up on overheads to make sure that they don't increase
* Alternative ways of purchasing. Explore alternative suppliers.
3. Damage in 11
customer
facilities (+/-0)
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Product/service feasibility
Organisational feasibility
Financial feasibility
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Product/service feasibility
Product/service desirability
Product/service demand
Industry attractiveness
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Organisational feasibility
Management skills and
competence/expertise/experience
Resources availability/sufficiency
Financial feasibility
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Customer
Internal or external?
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What are you doing
for your customer?’
‘Understanding your
market – creating
value’.
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What value to you bring to your customer?
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A. Helping them get a job done
C. Creating gains.
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HELP THEM TO ‘GET A JOB DONE’ (2
factors)
1. What do customers find too costly? (e.g. time, money, substantial effort ..)
2. What frustrates customers?
3. How are current solutions underperforming for customers? (e.g. lack
of features, performance, faults, etc.)
4. What are the main difficulties and challenges encountered by
customers?
5. What negative social consequences does the customer encounter
or fear? (e.g. loss of face, power, trust, or status)
6. What risks does the customer fear? (e.g. financial, social, technical risks)
7. What common mistakes does your customer make? (e.g. usage
mistakes)
8. What barriers are keeping your customer from adopting
solutions? (e.g. upfront investment costs, learning curve, resistance to change, etc.)
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Factor 2: CREATE ‘CUSTOMER GAINS’
The benefits customers expect, desire or would be surprised by. This includes functional
utility, social gains, positive emotions and cost savings.
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What value do you bring to your
customer?
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10 tests for a business opportunity
1. Market conditions?
2. Industry conditions?
3. Access to required resources?
4. Technology –proof, prototype, patent,
platform
5. Timing –Market, funding?
6. Is it scalable?
7. Is there an exit route?
8. Personal fit –skills, experience, interest
9. Team –fit and function
10. Revenue model
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So … in conclusion … What is the (your)
dream ticket?
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THE DREAM TICKET..!
• The idea creates or adds significant value
to
a customer or consumer
• It solves a major problem for which
customers will pay a premium (they just have to have it)
• The idea is protectable (patent)
• Large (VD xx m -trillion) market
• Strong market growth (20% pa)
• High gross margin (40% plus)
• High potential for net profit (10 to 15%)
• Realistic break-even point
• Strong cash flow
• Clear exit evident from the start
• Attractive returns for investors (>40% IRR)
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1. Industrial types, clusters & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
5. Control systems
6. Business planning 63
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4a. Industrial clusters
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Industrial clusters (organisations)
Innovation clusters
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• SILICON VALLEY SUCCESS STORIES.
• •AirBnB–started 2007 – worth $25 bn.
• •Instagram –launched 2010 – worth $35 bn.
• •Fitbit –Founded 2007 – worth > $4 bn.
• •Whatsapp–Founded 2009 –Sold to Facebook in 2014 for $19.3 bn.
• •Tinder –released 2012 – worth $5 billion
• •Uber –launched 2009 – worth $62.5 billion
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https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/
doing-business-guide/vietnam/sector-
insights/how-to-source-industrial-
suppliers-in-vietnam
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These successes are not just in the tech
industries, but also:
Retail
Food
Health Care
Creative Industries
Tourism
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So, what makes a good cluster?
• Critical mass
• Money / investment
• Talent
• Recycling ideas
• But also “teaching” and mentorship
• Spill-overs and knock-ons
• Co-creation of novelty / uniqueness
• Networking and transivity (a:b, b:c, So c:a)
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Transivity – logic and mathematics
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1. Industrial types, clusters & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
5. Control systems
6. Business planning 78
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4b. Organisational
structures
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What do organisational
structures look like?
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What do organisational structures look
like?
Why?
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e.g.
Development of a company
Local Regional
Multinational
National
Global
Proctor and Gamble
Localisation – based on International
Market Development
Organisation
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Proctor and Gamble in the mid-2000s
organisation structure was not working, so
P&G changed it. Dropped 100 brands and
focused on 80 core brands (rep 95%
co.profits)
But
Local companies cooperated fully with local
customers, cooperation with local projects and
had local responsiveness
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What does it depend on?
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Structure
Processes Incentives
and
controls
Culture
‘knock-on’ Question:
If power is decentralized is there bigger chances of
conflict between lower and senior managers?
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Ceo
Support
services
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Questions that need to be addressed about the
structures:
• Functional differences
• Product
• Geographic
1. Vertical
(chain of command)
Centralised – top down decisions (autocratic)
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3 Manager/Leader styles
Autocratic Consultative Consensual
w n
d o
pManagers
To degree of
involvement
Subordinates
degree of
Bo
involvement
tto
m
Leadership regularly conforms to national stereotypes and
up
therefore, when transferring from culture to culture, careful
thought is required.
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2. Horizontal structures
(how to divide the firm into discrete functional groups)
What is to be done?
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Factors that encourage decentralisation and centralisation of
decision making in MNE operations
104
105
Board
Ceo
Communication
Legal HRM
And
Purchasing Manufacturing A Finance Marketing
Sales
Employees Employees Employees Employees
Manufacturing B
Z Y Country
X X
Y
Human Resources
Finance
Market &
Support Systems
Communication
Magnus Hasselgren Berndt Larsson
Headquaters
Manufacturing
Division
Headquarters
Country A, B, C
GM
(products A, B and/or C)
However, when
subsidiaries report to two
different bosses this
requires excellent
communication and may
mean that subsidiaries
Extract from International Business – Environment and Operation by Daniels,
compete for company
Radebaugh & Sullivan (Pearson 2015)
resources.
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Structures change depending on markets,
people, technology, etc.
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What happens when through highly developed ICT,
employees can report at any time from any place on
the planet?
Distance management! (managers who are responsible
for leading employees from a remote location)
Network
structure
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e.g. The film industry
People (“employees”) move freely
from project to project and
applying their skills (i.e., directing,
talent search, animation,
costuming, set design, etc.) as
needed.
NB
As the company develops the structure will
change; e.g. domestic/national, cross-border, international, etc.
• Poor communication
• Focused on different goals - ‘Turf war’ – ‘I am
boss and I have power’
• Poor coordination
• Too much standardisation and not ‘local focus’
(local responsiveness)
• Difficult to share competencies and ‘know-how’
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So, need to have integrating networks and
mechanisms:
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Control mechanisms
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1. Industrial types, clusters & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
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What are the control systems (depending on the
organisation, culture and strategy)
1.Market
2.Bureaucracy A
3.Peer Control (guidance)
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2. Bureaucracy A
Rules and regulations that work in
an organisation’s structure and
relies on standardisation, e.g. TQM
(Total Quality Management)
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3. Peer control A
This is the preferred way of doing things (‘the way
we do things around here’).
Toyota way:
Hansei, Hemawashi, Genchi, Genbutsu, 5S, Jidika, Heijunka, Muda,
Mura, Kaizen, JIT …
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Mechanisms for control include:
B
1. Report (what is reporting strategy and
what does a report look like?)
3. Evaluations
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1.Reporting B
Managers rely on frequent, accurate and real-
time reports to allocate resources, monitor
performance and reward successes, which also provide
early warning of ‘challenges.’
Example: Scorecards
PI RONA Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0
PI No of customers # 0 0 0 0 0 0
PI Contracted Gross Margin MSEK 254 281 -28 l 1.418 1.461 -43 l (temporary)
BP/FC –FC in line with BP;
deviation is explained
KPI Procurement Savings MSEK 0 0 0 0 0 0 FX-effect
Proc
ellen
Exc
ess
KPI
3 Metric
Scorecard
Level
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Comments
PI Cash flow (FFO) MSEK 113 122 125 147 160 169
Perception
KPI Customer Satisfaction Score 71,0 72,0 72,0 74,0 75,0 75,0
Customer
Excellence
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EXTRA
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Do you know what a business plan looks
like?
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What does a practical business model
include (Barringer-Ireland)?
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A business model is a firm’s plan or recipe
for how it creates, delivers and captures
value for its stakeholders.
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CORE STRATEGY
Business Mission Basis of differentiation
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Resources – the inputs a firm has to produce,
sell, distribute and service a product or a
service.
The key assets are the assets a firm owns that enables
its business model to work. These assets can be financial,
intellectual, physical or human)
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RESOURCES
Core competence Key assets
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Financials – how the firm earns money; the revenue
streams, cost structure and financing/funding
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FINANCIALS
Revenue stream
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Operations– How the company works on a day-to-
day basis! Primary elements of operation being;
Product / service production, channels and key
partners
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OPERATIONS
Product or service Channels
production
Key partners
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1. Industrial types, clusters & opportunities
2. Analysis of business
3. Risk
The plan!
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BUSINESS PLAN
Getting started
Whose plan is this?
Business name:
Owner(s) name:
Business address and postcode:
Section one
Executive summary
Section two
Owner’s background
Section four
The market
Section five
Market research
5.1 Key findings from desk research:
5.2 Key findings from field research – customer questionnaires:
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5.4 Additional information:
Section six
Marketing strategy
What are you going to do? Why have you chosen this marketing method? How much will it
cost?
TOTAL COST
Section seven
Competitor analysis
7.1 Table of competitors
Strengths Weaknesses
Opportunities Threats
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Section eight
Operations and logistics
8.1 Production:
8.2 Delivery to customers:
8.3 Payment methods and terms:
8.4 Suppliers:
Name and location of supplier Items required Payment arrangements Reasons for choosing supplier
and prices
8.5 Premises:
8.6 Equipment
If being bought
Item required Already owned? New or second hand? Purchased from Price
8.7 Transport:
8.8 Legal requirements:
8.9 Insurance requirements:
8.10 Management and staff:
8.11 Additional information:
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Section nine
Costs and pricing strategy
Product/service name
H Mark up (%)
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Section ten
Financial forecasts
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6
A Month name
Sales forecast
B Product/service
C Product/service
Costs forecast
D Product/service
E Assumption
s
(e.g.
Seasonal
trends)
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10.2 Personal survival budget
A Mortgage/rent
Estimated costs
Local tax
Water costs
Clothing
Telephone
Hire/rent charges
Insurance
Other
B Total costs
D Total income
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10.3 Cash flow forecast
Personal drawings
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10.4 Costs table
Cost item What is included and how you worked it out Total cost
Section eleven
Back-up Plan
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To be successful with the launch
of a business, enterprise or
organisation depends on the
‘gap’ in the market.
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Homework questions
Warm up
and prep
Lecture
+ Q&A
Discuss
Individual x x x x x x x x
presents
Case/
Activity/
Mid- A B (C)
course
test exam Final
Vietnamese exam
Opportunity
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170
Breakout room presentation & seminar
discussion groups
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Case, activity or exercise -
discussion
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CASE
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