• PRESENTED
• BY B.KRISHNA -
• 22C71A0526
• K.DURGA
P.HARIKA TEJA
- -
22C71A0546
22C71A0504
Weather
Forecasting:
An
Introduction
Weather forecasting is the science of predicting the
state of the atmosphere for a given location and
time. It relies on understanding complex
atmospheric patterns and using advanced data
collection and analysis techniques.
Understanding Weather
Patterns
1 Data Gathering
Meteorologists collect data from weather stations,
satellites, and other sources to monitor current
atmospheric conditions.
2 Pattern Recognition
They analyze weather data to identify and understand
recurring patterns in temperature, wind, precipitation,
and other variables.
3 Forecast Modeling
Sophisticated computer models are used to simulate
and predict future weather based on the observed
patterns.
Data Collection and
Analysis
Surface Satellite Radar
Observations Imagery Monitoring
Satellite data provides a Doppler radar systems
Meteorologists gather birds-eye view of track the movement
real-time data from weather systems and and intensity of
weather stations on cloud cover across large precipitation, enabling
temperature, humidity, regions. the detection of storms.
wind speed, and other
factors.
Forecasting Models and
Techniques
1 Numerical Weather Prediction
Complex mathematical models simulate the physics of the
atmosphere to project future weather conditions.
2 Ensemble Forecasting
Running multiple forecast models with slightly different initial conditions
to assess uncertainty and probabilities.
3 Statistical Methods
Applying statistical analysis to historical weather data to identify
patterns and trends.
4 Artificial Intelligence
Leveraging machine learning algorithms to improve forecast
accuracy and identify subtle atmospheric relationships.
Accuracy and Reliability of
Forecasts
Short-term Accuracy Medium-range Reliability
Weather forecasts for the next 1-2 days Forecasts for 3-7 days out are more
are generally quite accurate, with challenging, with accuracy ranging from
errors of less than 10%. 70-90% depending on weather patterns.
Long-term Limitations Improving Consistently
Forecasts beyond 7 days have greater Forecast accuracy has steadily improved
uncertainty due to the chaotic nature of over decades thanks to advancements in
the atmosphere. science and technology.
Weather Prediction
Technology
Satellites
Orbiting satellites provide comprehensive data on weather
patterns across the globe.
Radar Systems
Doppler radar detects precipitation and can track the movement of
storms in real-time.
Supercomputers
Powerful computers run complex weather models to generate
detailed forecasts.
Sensor
Communicating
Weather
Information
Data Gathering
Meteorologists collect and analyze weather data from
various sources.
Forecast Generation
Complex models are used to predict future
weather conditions.
Information Dissemination
Weather forecasts are communicated to the public
through media, apps, and other channels.
The Future of
Weather
Forecasting
Advancements Improved forecast
accuracy and lead times
Personalization Tailored weather
information for specific
locations and needs
Automation Increased reliance on AI
and machine learning
for forecasting
Collaboration Global cooperation to
share data and resources
for better predictions
