Lemon Tree Hotesl LTD 22122024
Lemon Tree Hotesl LTD 22122024
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Disclaimer: This presentation is only for educational purpose. It is not an investment advice.
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1)SEBI Registration Status
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2)Whether the research analyst or research entity or his associate or his relative has any fi nancial 2) No
interest in the subject c om pany/c om pani e s and the nature of such fi nancial interest.
3) Whether the research analyst or research entity or its associates or relatives have actual/benefi cial 3) No
ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject c om pany (at the e nd of the m o n t h
immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public
appearance)
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material confl ict of interest at the tim e of publication of the research report or at the time of public
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5)W h e t h e r i t or its associates have m a n a g e d or co -m a n a g e d p u b l i c off ering of securities for t h e s ubj e c t 5) No
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10)Whether the research analyst has served as an offi cer, director or employee of the subject 10)No
company.
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for the subject company.
Evolution of the Company
Company Overview
Lemon Tree Hotels (LTH) was incorporated on June 02, 1992. The Company is engaged in the business of developing, owning,
acquiring, renovating, operating, managing and promoting hotels, motels, resorts, and restaurants.
LTHL opened its first hotel with 49 rooms in May 2004. Today, the company has a portfolio of 180+ hotels, which includes over 110
operational hotels and more than 70 hotels set to open in India and internationally. Lemon Tree Hotels are located across metro
regions, including the NCR, Mumbai, Kolkata, Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Chennai, as well as numerous tier I, II and III cities such
as Pune, Ahmedabad, Chandigarh, Jaipur, Indore, Aurangabad, Udaipur, Visakhapatnam, Kochi, Ludhiana, Thiruvananthapuram,
Vijayawada etc. The company expanded internationally with hotels opening in Dubai in December 2019, in Bhutan in February
2020 and in Nepal in April 2024.
The company's Promoter, Mr. Patanjali Govind Keswani has approximately three decades of experience in the hotel and hospitality
industry. He has demonstrated ability to manage and grow its operations organically and also by acquiring and integrating hotels
Due to the dynamic and evolving nature of Indian guests' expectations and based on its market research, it has created following
brands.
`Lemon Tree Premier' which is targeted primarily at the upper-midscale hotel segment catering to business and leisure guests
who pay for premium.
`Lemon Tree Hotels' which is targeted primarily at the midscale hotel segment catering to business and leisure guests and
offers a comfortable, cost-effective and convenient experience
`Red Fox by Lemon Tree Hotels' which is targeted primarily at the economy hotel segment.
‘Keys Prima Hotels’ are sustainably designed upper-midscale hotels and resorts.
Adjusted Equity Shares (in crores) 77.7 77.8 78.1 78.6 79.2 79.2 79.2 79.2 79.2 79.2
Sales Growth YoY (%) 26.7% 12.0% 17.5% 13.5% 21.8% (62.4%) 59.8% 117.5% 22.4%
EBIDTA Growth YoY (%) 64.4% 21.7% 16.4% 23.3% 36.7% (68.5%) 77.5% 224.9% 17.3%
PAT Growth YoY (%) n/m n/m n/m 287.5% (123.2%) n/m n/m n/m 29.3%
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) % 17.6% 27.2% 28.3% 28.1% 30.7% 36.0% 22.8% 29.5% 51.2% 48.8% 47.7%
Net Profit Margin (NPM) % n/m n/m n/m 3.0% 10.3% n/m n/m n/m 16.1% 17.0% 13.0%
Tax Payout % (5.3%) (34.8%) (1451.5%) 20.6% n/m (499.1%) n/m n/m 21.2% 15.8%
Dividend Payout % n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m
Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 0.2x 0.7x 1.0x 1.2x 1.5x 1.0x (0.1x) 0.2x 2.0x 2.0x
Earnings Per Share (EPS) (0.8) (0.3) (0.1) 0.2 0.7 (0.2) (2.4) (1.7) 1.8 2.3 (212%) 26% (199%)
PE Ratio (x) 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 113.3x (133.4x) (15.7x) (36.6x) 43.5x 56.9x
Income Statement Analysis - Quarterly
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) % 45.6% 47.6% 54.2% 55.4% 47.5% 44.8% 48.4% 52.3% 42.9% 46.0%
Net Profit Margin (NPM) % 7.1% 9.8% 20.8% 23.4% 12.3% 11.6% 15.2% 25.7% 7.5% 12.3%
Tax Payout % 34.4% 22.5% 17.9% 19.6% 24.0% 24.7% 21.2% 5.6% 31.1% 22.6%
Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 1.5x 1.6x 2.3x 2.6x 1.8x 1.7x 2.0x 2.7x 1.6x 1.9x
Common Size Statement
Common Sizing Expenses
Year >> Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Raw material Expenses 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 0% 0%
Change in Inventory 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Power and Fuel Cost 12% 10% 9% 10% 10% 9% 13% 11% 8% 7%
Other Mfr. Exp 11% 11% 11% 10% 11% 8% 7% 8% 13% 14%
Employee Cost 27% 23% 24% 23% 22% 23% 28% 24% 17% 18%
Selling and Admin Expenses 22% 17% 19% 20% 18% 14% 20% 20% 11% 12%
Other Expenses 1% 3% 1% 1% 0% 2% 3% 1% 0% 1%
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) % 17.6% 27.2% 28.3% 28.1% 30.7% 36.0% 22.8% 29.5% 51.2% 48.8%
Fixed Assets (Net Block) 65% 61% 64% 59% 58% 88% 84% 84% 79% 90%
Capital Work in Progress (CWIP) 9% 13% 16% 23% 24% 5% 6% 8% 13% 1%
Investments 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other Assets 24% 25% 20% 17% 17% 7% 10% 8% 8% 9%
Total Assets 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
INR (in crores) Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 9 YEARS 5 YEARS 3 YEARS
Equity Share Capital 776 778 781 786 789 790 790 791 792 792
Reserves 34 30 27 28 86 199 127 40 62 175
Borrowings 571 625 799 1,011 1,196 2,017 2,159 2,128 2,177 2,336
Other Liabilities 515 572 605 632 701 756 738 674 698 725
Total Liabilities 1,896 2,004 2,212 2,458 2,772 3,763 3,815 3,633 3,729 4,028
Fixed Assets (Net Block) 1,236 1,231 1,418 1,460 1,604 3,307 3,194 3,051 2,957 3,641
Capital Work in Progress (CWIP) 167 259 351 559 664 190 242 297 482 25
Investments 31 6 6 15 35 14 6 10 6 13
Other Assets 462 508 436 425 469 252 374 276 284 348
Total Assets 1,896 2,004 2,212 2,458 2,772 3,763 3,815 3,633 3,729 4,028
Receivables 18 24 31 53 84 50 31 29 56 71
Inventory 5 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 11 14
Cash & Bank 30 14 18 21 31 41 141 54 27 54
Working Capital (53) (64) (168) (208) (232) (504) (364) (398) (414) (377)
Capital Employed 1,381 1,433 1,607 1,826 2,071 3,006 3,077 2,959 3,031 3,303
Total Equity 810 808 809 815 875 989 918 831 854 967
Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.3x 0.3x 0.3x 0.4x 0.3x 0.1x 0.1x 0.3x 0.3x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x
Receivables Days 21 25 32 45 37 59 27 18 22 32 32 22
Inventory Turnover 72.1x 79.8x 93.8x 96.7x 94.3x 32.6x 52.4x 93.9x 87.9x 78.2x 72.2x 78.1x
Debt To Equity 0.7x 0.8x 1.0x 1.2x 1.4x 2.0x 2.4x 2.6x 2.5x 2.4x 1.8x 2.4x 2.5x
Return on average Equity (RoAE) (3.2%) (0.6%) 1.8% 6.7% (1.4%) (19.6%) (15.7%) 16.7% 20.0% 0.5% (0.0%) 7.0%
Return on average Capital Employed 3.8% 5.1% 5.6% 6.7% 6.3% (0.9%) 1.2% 12.0% 13.4% 5.9% 6.4% 8.9%
Du-Pont Analysis
DuPont Analysis
COMPANY NAME >> LEMON TREE HOTELS LTD
INR (in crores) Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 290 368 412 484 550 669 252 402 875 1,071
Profit before tax (PBT) (60) (19) (0) 18 45 (2) (219) (145) 178 216
EBIT (Operating Profit + Other Income - Depreciation) 12 53 77 97 130 159 (28) 36 361 424
Interest Expense (72) (72) (78) (78) (85) (162) (190) (181) (182) (208)
Income Tax (3) (7) (5) (4) 11 (11) 32 7 (38) (34)
Net Income (63) (26) (5) 15 56 (13) (187) (137) 141 182
Total Assets 1,896 2,004 2,212 2,458 2,772 3,763 3,815 3,633 3,729 4,028
Shareholders Equity 810 808 809 815 875 989 918 831 854 967
CHECK TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
Cash Flow Analysis
Cashflow Analysis
COMPANY NAME >> LEMON TREE HOTELS LTD GROWTH TREND ANALYSIS
INR (in crores) Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 TOTAL 9 YEARS 5 YEARS 3 YEARS
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) (51) 68 122 115 187 151 41 135 385 465
Cash from Investing Activity (CFI) (150) (103) (229) (260) (289) (598) (66) (45) (283) (397)
Cash from Financing Activity (CFF) 159 19 111 149 113 457 111 (163) (132) (59)
Net Cash Flow (CFO + CFI + CFF) (42) (16) 4 3 10 9 87 (73) (31) 10
Profit After Tax (PAT) (63) (26) (5) 15 56 (13) (187) (137) 141 182 (38) (212%) 26% (199%)
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) (51) 68 122 115 187 151 41 135 385 465 1,617 (228%) 20% 125%
CFO/PAT (atleast 80%) 81% (267%) (2376%) 787% 331% (1156%) (22%) (99%) 274% 256% (4295%)
Re-investment (Capex/CFO) 205% 271% 264% 162% 875% 113% 12% 49% 73%
FCF/CFO (79%)
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) Working Capital and Tax Paid 51 Cr.
Cash from Investing Activity (CFI) Fixed Asset Purchsaed 331 Cr.
Cash from Financing Activity (CFF) Interest Paid 162 Cr., Financial Liabilities paid 39 Cr. Borrowing is at 141 Cr.
Ratio Analysis
Ratio Analysis
COMPANY NAME >> LEMON TREE HOTELS LTD
INR (in crores) Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 TTM
Operating Profit Margin (OPM) % 17.6% 27.2% 28.3% 28.1% 30.7% 36.0% 22.8% 29.5% 51.2% 48.8% 47.7%
Net Profit Margin (NPM) % n/m n/m n/m 3.0% 10.3% n/m n/m n/m 16.1% 17.0% 13.0%
Tax Payout % (5.3%) (34.8%) (1451.5%) 20.6% n/m (499.1%) n/m n/m 21.2% 15.8%
Dividend Payout % n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m n/m
Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 0.2x 0.7x 1.0x 1.2x 1.5x 1.0x (0.1x) 0.2x 2.0x 2.0x
Earnings Per Share (EPS) (0.81) (0.33) (0.07) 0.19 0.71 (0.16) (2.35) (1.73) 1.77 2.29
PE Ratio (x) 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 113.3x (133.4x) (15.7x) (36.6x) 43.5x 56.9x
Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.3x 0.3x 0.3x 0.4x 0.3x 0.1x 0.1x 0.3x 0.3x
Receivables Days 21 25 32 45 37 59 27 18 22
Inventory Turnover 72.1x 79.8x 93.8x 96.7x 94.3x 32.6x 52.4x 93.9x 87.9x
Debt To Equity 0.7x 0.8x 1.0x 1.2x 1.4x 2.0x 2.4x 2.6x 2.5x 2.4x
Return on average Equity (RoAE) (3.2%) (0.6%) 1.8% 6.7% (1.4%) (19.6%) (15.7%) 16.7% 20.0%
Return on average Capital Employed 3.8% 5.1% 5.6% 6.7% 6.3% (0.9%) 1.2% 12.0% 13.4%
CFO/PAT (atleast 80%) 81% (267%) (2376%) 787% 331% (1156%) (22%) (99%) 274% 256%
Median P/E for 10 years is 97.50 where as Current P/E is 80.00 and Industry P/E is 38.20.
Price is in uptrend due to perception/tailwind.
Market Cap to Sales
I – Improvements
Sales Revenue along with Sales Volume Growth .
Business Highlights:
Revenue and EBITDA Growth: - Highest-ever Q2 revenue of ₹284.8 crores, a 24% YoY growth., Net EBITDA grew 25% YoY to a margin of 46.1%.,
Excluding renovation expenses, EBITDA margin would be around 49%.
Operational Metrics: : -Gross ARR: ₹5,902, up 12% YoY., Occupancy: 68.4%, decreased by 328 bps YoY due to renovations, RevPAR: ₹4,035, a 7% YoY
increase.
Debt Reduction: : - Net debt decreased by ₹90 crores to ₹1,822.6 crores., Target to become debt-free in 3–3.5 years, accelerated if Fleur Hotels is listed..
Expansion: : -Signed 19 new management/franchise contracts, adding 1,373 rooms to the pipeline, Operationalized 5 hotels, adding 193 rooms, Total
operational inventory: 112 hotels, 10,318 rooms, with a pipeline of 75 hotels and 5,220 rooms.
Specific Developments:
Aurika Mumbai : - Strong growth anticipated, targeting a balanced portfolio of retail, corporate, and crew business.,
Keys Portfolio : - Major renovations underway; full impact expected by FY27.
ICRA Report as on 09th August, 2024
Financial Performance:
FY2024 Revenue and Profit: : - Revenue: ₹1,071.1 crore, a 22% YoY growth., Operating Profit Margin: ~49%. PAT: ₹181 crore, up from ₹139.7 crore in
FY2023.
Debt and Coverage Metrics: : - Debt (excluding lease liabilities): ₹1,889.1 crore as of March 2024. Total Debt/OPBDIT improved to 4.5 times from 4.9 times in
FY2023. Interest Coverage: Stable at 2.5 times.
Strategic Initiatives: : -
Portfolio Expansion: : - Total inventory: 104 hotels (9,863 rooms) as of March 2024, 42% of inventory under asset-light management contracts. Pipeline:
4,087 managed rooms across 62 properties.
Renovation and Upgrades: : - Significant renovations underway for selected properties, Enhanced ARR to ₹6,000 in FY2024 from ₹5,220 in FY2023.
Focus on Asset-Light Model: : - Aim to expand through management contracts to minimize capital requirements, Management fee income tripled to ₹50.1
crore in FY2024 compared to FY2022.
Operational Highlights:
Aurika Mumbai International Airport Hotel: : - Opened in Q3 FY2024; favorable location expected to drive growth, Stabilization anticipated to aid earnings.
Occupancy and ARR Trends : - Average Occupancy: 69% in FY2024 (up from 67% in FY2023). Positive market sentiment with increasing domestic and foreign
tourist arrivals.
Co. has built a strong brand over the years, recognized for its service standards.
Company Growth The company offers a different brands as per customers preferences.
Improved Margin Product,.
• Experience Management.
Management • Management is focusing in innovation, branding to cater customer demand and
increase its base.
Key Risks or Anti-Thesis –
Competition Risks • Competitive field with large local and global majors.
• Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd has Brand Image, Reputation and Good Track
Record.
• Promoters holding is Approximately at 22.80% with no pledge till Sep
2024.
• Improving Financials and diversion of product portfolio.
• Company is increasing Fixed Assets as well reducing Debts which is in sync
with company’s core business model which will helpful in future.
• It presents a ideal opportunity in the Sector which is/will be growing with
Government Initiative.
Last but not the least
• Thank you for being here today, I really appreciate that you took the
time to be here and listen to the presentation.
• Any area of improvement kindly let me know, it will be helpful .