ENGG 404 Economic Study Methods (1)
ENGG 404 Economic Study Methods (1)
NG
ECONOMIC ENGG
Economic Study Methods
404 S
Kristine Mariel B. Bejasa, REE
Lecturer
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
All engineering studies of the capital project should consider the
return that a given project will or should produce. One basic question
is whether a proposed capital investment and its associated
expenditures can be recovered by revenue (or savings) over time in
addition to a return on the capital that is sufficiently attractive in
view of the risks involved and the potential alternative uses.
Because patterns of capital investment, revenue (or savings)
cash flows, and expenses cash flows can be quite different in various
projects, there is no single method for performing engineering
economic analyses that is ideal for all cases.
Consequently, several methods are commonly used:
1. Present Worth (PW)
2. Future Worth (FW)
3. Annual Worth (AW)
4. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
5. External Rate of Return (ERR)
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
Determining the Minimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR)
The Minimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR), sometimes called
the hurdle rate, should be chosen to maximize the economic well-
being of an organization subject to the following considerations:
1. The amount of money available for investment, and the source
and cost of these funds (i.e., equity funds or borrowed funds)
2. The number of good projects available for investment and
their purpose (i.e., whether they sustain present operations and are
essential, or whether they expand on present operations and are
elective)
3. The amount of perceived risk associated with investment
opportunities available to the firm and the estimated cost of
administering projects over short planning horizons versus long
planning horizons.
4. The type of organization involved (i.e., government, public
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
PRESENT WORTH METHOD
This method is based on the concept of the equivalent worth of
all cash flows relative to some base or beginning point in time called
the present. That is, all cash inflows and outflows are discounted to
the present point in time at an interest rate that is generally the
MARR.
Note: The higher the interest rate and the farther into the future
a cash flow occurs, the lower its PW is.
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
EXAMPLE #1: A piece of new equipment has been proposed by engineers to
increase the productivity of a certain manual welding operation. The
investment cost is $25,000, and the equipment will have a market value of
$5,000 at the end of a study period of five years. Increased productivity
attributable to the equipment will amount to $8,000 per year after extra
operating costs have been subtracted from the revenue generated by the
additional production. A cash-flow diagram for this investment opportunity is
given below. If the firm’s MARR
5000 is 20% per year, is this proposal a sound one?
Use the PW method. SOLUTION:
8000 8000 8000 8000 8000
Years 0 .... 6
Conclusion: Because PW(15%) ≥0, the retrofitted
space heating system shall be installed.
110k
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
FUTURE WORTH METHOD
This method is based on the equivalent worth of all cash inflows
and outflows at the end of the planning horizon (study period) at an
interest rate that is generally the MARR. Also, the FW of a project is
equivalent to its PW; that is, FW = PW(F/P, i%,N). If FW ≥ 0 for a
project, it would be economically justified.
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
EXAMPLE #3: In Example 2, the $110,000 retrofitted space-heating system
was projected to save $30,000 per year in electrical power and be worth
$8,000 at the end of the six-year study period. Use the FW method to
determine whether the project is still economically justified if the system has
zero market value after six years. The MARR is 15% per year.
SOLUTION:
30k 30k 30k 30k 30k 30k
Years 0 .... 6
110k
[ ] [ ]
𝑛
𝑖 (1+𝑖) 𝑖
𝐶𝑅= 𝐼 𝑛
−S 𝑛
(1+ 𝑖) − 1 (1+𝑖) −1
Initial investment x (Capital Salvage Value x (Sinking
recovery factor) fund factor)
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
EXAMPLE #4: By using the AW method, determine whether the equipment
described in Example 1 should be recommended.5000
25k
SOLUTION:
To use linear interpolation, we first need to try a few values for i′. A good starting point is to use
the MARR.
At %:
At %:
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
SOLUTION using linear interpolation :
let
At %:
At %:
Now that we have both a positive and a negative PW, the answer is bracketed (20% ≤ i′% ≤ 25%). The
dashed curve in Figure is what we are linearly approximating. The answer, i′%, can be determined by using
the similar triangles represented by dashed lines in Figure.
22.16%
Because the IRR is greater than the MARR(20%), the project is acceptable.
ECONOMIC STUDY METHODS
EXTERNAL RATE OF RETURN METHOD
The ERR method directly takes into account the interest rate
external to a project at which net cash flows generated (or required)
by the project over its life can be reinvested or borrowed.
(P / A, i’%, 40)
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