Lecture 18
Lecture 18
Fall, 2022
N. R. Brown
Outline
One Method:
• 35 potentially interesting samples, 22
countries
• Inductive generalizations
Method – Phase 1
• Materials:
– 20 neutral cue words:
automobile, bag, ball, book, box, bread, chair, coat, dog,
pencil, piano, pill, radio, river, snow, spoon, stone,
street, tree, window
• Task:
– recall an autobiographical event
• related to cue word
• specific
• at least one week old
– write brief description on index card
Method – Phase 2
• Task:
– estimate when (year) each event occurred.
• Verbal Protocol:
– Ps thought aloud while generating dates
35 Samples from 22 Countries
22 Netherlands 21 82 3/07
30 Romania 35 70 2017
31 Cambodia 24 67 2017
Other samples – Unpublished, partially analyzed, no LiH Effect
32 El Paso Tx
33 Ciudad Juarez, MX
34 Czech Republic
35 Slovakia
• Observed:
– Bosnia, Lebanon, (civil war)
change ≈ transition
Induction-based Prediction
LiH Effect:
1.should occur only when a public event has
produced a high degree of material change.
Three Samples:
•Russia, Azerbaijan, & Uzbekistan
•20-30 years old in 1991
Material Change Questions
•This event has changed the places where I Transition Impact Scale
hang out. Svob et al., 2014
•This event has changed the things I own.
•This event has changed my material • Provides an index of
circumstances.
•This event has changed the activities I engage transitional impact of
in. personal & public events
•This event has changed the people I spend
time with. • Subscales for Material &
•This event has changed where I live. Psychological Change
Psychological Change Questions
•This event has changed my attitudes.
• 12 statements
•This event has changed the way I think about – Agreement ratings:
things.
•This event has impacted my emotional 1 (strongly disagree)
responses. 5 (strongly agree)
•This event has changed my sense of self.
•This event has impacted me psychologically.
•This event has influenced my understanding of
right and wrong.
End of Communism failed
to produce a robust LiH Effect.
% of Public Event
5 References
Material Psychological
Mean Transitional Impact
Change Change
4 Serbia 5%
Montenegro 4%
3
Russia-1 5%
2 Russia-2† 1%
Azerbaijan† 1%
1
Uzbekistan† 1%
ek a
n
er n
ek a
n
er n
ija
Az ista
i
ija
Az ista
U uss
U uss
ba
ba
East 7%
R
R
zb
zb
Germany*
†
Nourkova & Brown, 2015; *Menzel & Bohn, 2013
Conclusion
• Historical events organization autobiographical
memory ONLY when they act as collective
transitions.
• Collective transition:
– Acts a group level
– Brings about a fundamental change in the fabric
of daily life -- in what people do, where they do
it, and with whom.
• Material change, not psychological change,
(probably) predicts LiH Effect
Motivation I
The Data & Their Implications
LiH Findings
FoDL (Fabric of Daily Life)
Metaphor
LiH Effect: 31 Samples Later
LiH Effect occurs & H-DAPs are formed:
change ≈ transition
• T-DECs
• Event Represenations
• Periods
• Transitions
Temporally-Delineated Event Components
P 37
L 18
A 92
1
3
Event Representation --
E 683 Standard View:
1
Bound set of T-DECs*
Autobiographical Periods
Coordinate temporally-delineated knowledge:
– T-DECs
– Distinctive events/Notable personal
narrative
– Evaluations
– Period-specific semantic knowledge
Examples:
“My High School years,” “My NYC period”
The Question:
From Event Periods
2. Creates/strengthens inter-EC
associations (Hebbian Learning)
• forming/altering EC networks
P
1
37
L 18 A 9
3 2
E 6831
EC
Network
s
Event
Representations
T2’s take on Lifetime Periods
Period Representation
•Weakly interconnected set of event representations.
Prototypical Transition(-by-Replacement):
•Relocating to distant city
Prior dwelling current dwelling; prior office current office; old commute
current commute; prior colleagues current colleagues; prior local current local,
etc.
Transitions Defined
Transitions:
•Produce (mark) synchronized
additions/deletions of many salient ECs
(people, places, objects, activities)
Relocation
EC Networks
Event
Representations
T2: Empirical Support
Context: T2 developed to account for mnemonic impact of
Collective Transitions
Question: What about important Personal Transitions?
Method
1.Word-cued memory:
18 cue words: ball, book, box, bread, etc.
practice words: automobile and bag
2. Think-aloud dating:
the year of events & dating protocols
3. TIS-12 (immigration)
6 material-impact items + 6 psychological-impact items
3
8
Living-through-Immigration Effect
22
21 Immigration (15%)
20
19 Historical (6%)
18 Pop/Sports/Weather/Holiday (1%)
17
16 Personal/Generic (78%)
15 5-year bins
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
Percentage of Justified Estimates
1
0
-45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10
Years Before (-) / After (+) Immigration
Reminiscence Bump
Immigration Bump
28
Temporal Distributions
Younger Cohort
26
24 (Mean DoB = 1953) of Recalled Events:
22
20
18
Very Related (6%)
Somewhat Related (7%)
Post-formative
Not Related (87%)
16
Bosnians
Percentage of All Recalled Events
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
Upheaval Bump:
•Date: Old = Young
0
28
26
Older Cohort
24 (Mean YoB = 1938)
22
20 Very Related (5%)
Reminiscence Bump:
Somewhat Related (6%)
18 Not Related (89%)
16
14
12
10
•Date: Old < Young
8
6
4
2
0
6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 7 0
94 95 95 96 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 00 00 01
9-1 7-1 2-1 7-1 2-1 7-1 2-1 7-1 2-1 7-1 2-1 7-2 2-2 8-2
3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 0 0
19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20
But How?
Predictions: The COVID Bump
Background:
•Task: Recall AMs for 1st yr in uni
– Elevated Recall:
• 1st months of university
• Semester ends
– March – among “the boringist
month”
•University Entry as Personal
Transition
•Transitions (& holidays) spawn
memorable personal events
Robinson, 1986
COVID Meets the Calendar Effect
Background:
•Transitions/upheaval spawn memorable personal
events Bumps
Siege of Sarajevo Immigration: CN CA
Assumption:
•Onset of COVID, March 2020, served as collective
transition.
Prediction:
•COVID Bump for March 2020.
The Pandemic IS Interesting
Because it is unique:
•Scope: near universal
•Highly variable
– impact & responses
•Nature & Durations of Restrictions
– “transition-by-omission”
•Experiencing mediated COVID
– 2 yrs – Relentless, saturation coverage
– 2 yrs – inescapable topic of conversation
COVID Meets the Calendar Effect
Background:
•Transitions/upheaval spawn memorable personal
events Bumps
Siege of Sarajevo Immigration: CN CA
Assumption:
•Onset of COVID, March 2020, served as collective
transition.
Prediction:
•COVID Bump for March 2020.
COVID Bump Study
Tasks:
•Recall 12 memorable, interesting or important
personal events.
•Date recalled events
•COVID Relatedness Judgments
•Transitional Impact Scale (TIS-12)
Participants:
•First-year undergraduates
– University of Alberta
– University of Michigan
– University of Texas El Paso
COVID Bump Study: Two Waves
Range Includes
COVID Onset March Bump?
Wave N Test Start End 3/20?
Winter Collection
UA, UTEP, & UM
Fall
Collection
UA Only
Wave 2 Wave 2
Wave 1 Wave 1
HS Grad Start Uni
HS Grad Start Uni
Wave 1
Wave 2
AB-FA: Wave 1 & Wave 2
22
2019/2020; N = 113
20
18
COVID Bump 3/20
16
14
12
10
8
Percentage of
Recalled Memories
2
O Ja F M A M J Ju A
Se ct No De n e b ar p r ay u n l ug
pt v c
AB-FA: Wave 1 & Wave 2
No 3/21 Bump!
Waves 1 & 2: Four Replications
Alberta Alberta Michigan Texas
20
Fall Term Winter Term Winter Term Winter Term
18
16
14
12
10
4
Percentage of Recall Events
10
8
March
4
Memories
2
Percentage of
AB
Fa A M
ll B W I W TX
in W
in t in
te er te
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COVID Related Memories
Relatedness Judgments:
0=Unrelated CONDITION: MII
SETTI
1=Indirectly Related
NG EVENT MEMORY RELATEDNESS MONTH YEAR
Learning I was exposed to COVID at work at had to 2 – This event was DIRECTLY RELATED to the
shut the store down COVID-19 Pandemic
UA May 2021
When I got to go back in person after being online for 2 – This event was DIRECTLY RELATED to the
2=Directly Related
3 months last year. It was so exciting to see my COVID-19 Pandemic
friends and my favourite teacher again. I only got 2
more weeks of that class but it was fun in the
moment
February 2021
At graduation my friend and I skipped the grad 1 – This event was INDIRECTLY RELATED to
dinner because we didn't want to hangout with the the COVID-19 Pandemic
other people. We had pizza and looked at our
pictures instead
June 2021
I recall going to my sisters birthday party, and how 1 – This event was INDIRECTLY RELATED to
happy she was to see all of her friends. I remember the COVID-19 Pandemic
meeting her friends for the first time in teh jungle
gym, and how happy I was that she was finally able
to have a birthday party, since covid causes her to
not be able to for so long.
October 2021
I watched the new Spiderman movie. 0 – This event was UNRELATED to the
COVID-19 Pandemic December 2021
I drove to my aunties house in the country for the 0 – This event was UNRELATED to the
first time. COVID-19 Pandemic
September 2021
We went to Fort Lauderdale for spring break, which 2 – This event was DIRECTLY RELATED to the
was our first trip since the pandemic started. COVID-19 Pandemic
UM March 2021
I got super bad acne on my face due to constant 2 – This event was DIRECTLY RELATED to the
masking, and had an unwanted COVID-19 Pandemic
interaction/converasation with an acquaintance
about it
May 2021
I graduated from high school. It was outside on a 1 – This event was INDIRECTLY RELATED to
football field while we were wearing masks. the COVID-19 Pandemic
June 2021
I competed in my last ethics bowl competition and 1 – This event was INDIRECTLY RELATED to
while it was online, I had lots of fun debating ethical the COVID-19 Pandemic
topics.
February 2021
My mom sent me yellow flowers and a smiley face 0 – This event was UNRELATED to the
mug for my birthday. COVID-19 Pandemic July 2021
I attended my first college football game. 0 – This event was UNRELATED to the
COVID-19 Pandemic August 2021
In April of last year I took my 2 covid-19 vaccines at 2 – This event was DIRECTLY RELATED to the
my university. COVID-19 Pandemic
UT April 2021
Getting COVID prior going to my dream concert 2 – This event was DIRECTLY RELATED to the
COVID-19 Pandemic
September 2021
My first date with my girlfriend through zoom. 1 – This event was INDIRECTLY RELATED to
the COVID-19 Pandemic
January 2021
Day I quit my first job 1 – This event was INDIRECTLY RELATED to
the COVID-19 Pandemic
July 2021
I drove a boat on a river during vacation. 0 – This event was UNRELATED to the
COVID-19 Pandemic June 2021
In November it was my birthday so I buy a new 0 – This event was UNRELATED to the
phone with my money. COVID-19 Pandemic November 2021
COVID Related Memories (Rated 1 or 2)
Relatedness Judgments:
0=Unrelated
1=Indirectly Related
0.7
2=Directly Related Wave 1
Wave 2
0.6
0.5
•Related memories common
0.4
•% Related decreases over time
(kinda) 0.3
COVID-Related
Memories
0.2
0.1
Percentage of 0.0
AB
F al AB M TX
l IW
W in W
in te in
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